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Iran war: How the crisis in key Strait of Hormuz waterway is affecting fuel supplies for different countries | Money News

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Cargo ships in the Gulf, near the Strait of Hormuz in March. Pic: Reuters

Fears of fuel shortages have been sparked recently as the number of tankers passing through the Strait of Hormuz was reduced to a trickle amid threats from Iran, which experts say effectively controls the waterway.

Now some of those concerns are coming to fruition with several countries experiencing shortages.

Normally, about a fifth of the world’s oil and gas supplies flow through the strait but since the start of the US-Israeli strikes on Iran in late February shipping has almost come to a standstill.

Money blog: Interest rate on many student loans to be capped

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Cargo ships in the Gulf, near the Strait of Hormuz in March. Pic: Reuters

Iranian retaliatory attacks have forced vessels to stay put, causing petrostate storage facilities to fill and some production to cease.

More than 20 million barrels of oil and petroleum liquids per day normally transit the Strait of Hormuz, but daily traffic is reportedly down by about 95%. However, some ships linked to Pakistan, China and India are being allowed through by Iran.

But the impacts of supply disruption are showing up in some countries and not just in higher prices.

Mainland Europe

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The risk of jet fuel shortages hitting in early May and June has been highlighted by the head of Europe’s biggest airline, Ryanair chief executive Michael O’Leary, who spoke to Sky News.


‘A policy of monumental stupidity’

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Already in Italy, however, there are temporary restrictions on fuel supplies at four airports.

President of the Italian Civilian Aviation Authority, Pierluigi Di Palma, however, said this was primarily due to increased air traffic during the Easter holidays.

“The Middle East conflict is not yet a current issue, nor does it overlap with the fuel supply issue,” he told Italian media.

The elevated cost of fuel has led to some airline cancellations. Scandinavian airline SAS said last month it would cancel at least 1,000 flights in April due to surging aviation costs.

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Meanwhile, in France, just under one in five petrol stations (18%) were on Tuesday morning lacking some ​kind of fuel, according to French junior ​energy ‌minister Maud Bregeon.

The UK

While supplies have not been disrupted in the UK, some petrol stations have had pumps out of service.

A boss of Asda, the UK’s second-largest fuel retailer, warned at the end of March of “temporary shortages”.

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Asda’s executive chair, Allan Leighton, said it had been experiencing high demand from drivers and “the odd pump” would be affected as demand outpaced supply.


‘There will be fuel shortages’

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Supply has remained stable but speaking to Sky News, a former BP executive, Nick Butler, said the government should be “seriously planning how they’re going to handle” potential outages.

Some corners of the world have struggled more, particularly less wealthy nations. While dozens of countries have brought in fuel use curbs as well as increased production measures and are managing, others are affected by low stocks.

Read more: How countries are dealing with rising oil and gas prices


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Are vessels going through the Strait of Hormuz?

The Americas

Peru has faced the double impact of a gas pipe rupture and Iran war-related supply difficulty, leading the government to implement emergency measures, and the UK government advising against all but essential travel to parts of Peru.

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Similarly, Cuba has been hit doubly hard by the supply shock. Since January, it has been impacted by supply difficulties after the Trump administration blocked oil supplies from entering the country.

In the US, the average price for a gallon of gasoline topped $4 on Tuesday last week for the first time since 2022, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA).

Asia

In South Korea, people have been panic-buying bin bags amid fears of a shortage. The bags are made from polyethylene which is derived from naphtha – a refined product of crude oil.

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In India, a shortage of gas has seen the ceramics industry shut for nearly a month in the western region of Gujarat.

State media in Vietnam said last week ‌the country’s airlines were planning to cut their ​operations due to a fuel shortage.

In the Philippines, President Ferdinand Marcos declared a state of national energy emergency, which his administration said posed “an imminent danger of a critically low energy supply”.

Australia

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Last Friday, Australians were urged to “avoid panic buying” as the government revealed more than 600 service stations had run out of fuel.

Energy minister Chris Bowen confirmed there were 410 service stations across the country out of diesel and 193 without petrol.

Mr Bowen sought to reassure Australians about the fuel supplies, telling motorists there was no need to panic buy.

Africa

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Like in the UK, excess demand from South African motorists caused large queues and some outages.

After a March shipment to Mauritius did not arrive, the government introduced energy-saving measures, limiting nonessential electricity use.

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I’m a Celebrity South Africa viewers ‘raging’ over major cliffhanger

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Manchester Evening News

Two new campmates joined the spin-off series

I’m a Celebrity South Africa viewers left “raging” as the latest episode ended on a major cliffhanger during the first eating trial.

The ITV spin-off series has returned to viewers screens, and this year they mean business. The trials and challenges are set to be even tougher than the main installment as 12 new famous faces return to tackle them.

During Tuesday’s (April 7) episode, the campmates were still in their divided two camps, with the Savannah Scrub hoping they’d soon join the main camp.

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However, the stars were met with different news as Ant and Dec informed them that two new campmates would be joining the competition, and set up an eating trial for the newcomers.

As everyone gathering round to watch, Coronation Street’s Craig Charles and Essex icon Gemma Collins showed up in the Savannah. Craig and Gemma were on the same series in 2014, with Gemma quitting after 72 hours and Craig sadly also departing due to his brother’s death.

The main camp were asked which celebrity they wanted to back, and David Haye made the decision to choose Craig. That meant that Gemma was the newcomer of Savannah Scrub.

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During the gruesome trial, they were faced with dishes such as fish eye pie and brain freeze as they try to win points for their opposing teams.

They had to decide how many servings of each dish they wished to consume, with the player who committed to the highest number of servings forced to follow through in order to win a point.

Things became intense as both Gemma and Craig chose to drink 30 shots of the unappetising liquid in front of them. Ant and Dec announced that it was now a race to see which one of them would finish first, and therefore win the challenge for their chosen camp.

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However, just as they started the credits rolled and viewers at home admitted they were “raging” as they have to wait until tomorrow to see the result.

On X (formerly known as Twitter), @taytomultifan wrote: “I’m raging they ended it there” as @supertv247 added: “Axe this pre-recorded format immediately WHAT DO YOU MEAN ending the episode on a cliffhanger in the MIDDLE OF A TRIAL?!”

@upsteadkidd agreed and said: “what a cruel way to end that” as @sophielout453 quipped: “No no no, it didn’t just end like that. Who do I’m celeb think they are. Love island?”

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Man, 46, wanted in connection with alleged burglary

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Man, 46, wanted in connection with alleged burglary

Darren Gill, 45, from Middlesbrough, is also wanted in connection with alleged shop theft charges, North Yorkshire Police said.

The force said Gill, who has links to Harrogate and Knaresborough, did not attend court in connection with the charges.

Gill is described as white, 5ft 5ins tall, of medium build, with grey hair.

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North Yorkshire Police said “numerous police inquiries are ongoing” to locate Gill.

“If you know where he is call North Yorkshire Police on 101 and quote reference 12250170299, or speak to Crimestoppers anonymously on 0800 555 111,” a force spokesperson said.

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Trump announces suspension of attacks on Iran after threatening to ‘wipe out a civilization’

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Trump announces suspension of attacks on Iran after threatening to ‘wipe out a civilization’

With most of Washington and much of the country awaiting his next move, Donald Trump backed off his threat to unleash devastation across Iran on Monday evening.

The president wrote on Truth Social that U.S. forces would pause plans for a massive, final military assault against Iran for two weeks while negotiations continued between the two countries, mediated by Pakistan.

He also claimed that a complete re-opening of the Strait of Hormuz would be part of the arrangement around a temporary pause in his plans.

“Based on conversations with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir, of Pakistan, and wherein they requested that I hold off the destructive force being sent tonight to Iran, and subject to the Islamic Republic of Iran agreeing to the COMPLETE, IMMEDIATE, and SAFE OPENING of the Strait of Hormuz, I agree to suspend the bombing and attack of Iran for a period of two weeks,” said the president.

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“This will be a double sided CEASEFIRE! The reason for doing so is that we have already met and exceeded all Military objectives, and are very far along with a definitive Agreement concerning Longterm PEACE with Iran, and PEACE in the Middle East,” he added.

Donald Trump vowed on Monday that he would destroy Iran’s ‘civilization’ if the country did not agree to his demands
Donald Trump vowed on Monday that he would destroy Iran’s ‘civilization’ if the country did not agree to his demands (AFP/Getty)

This is a breaking news report. More to follow…

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Russia and China veto watered-down UN resolution aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz

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Russia and China veto watered-down UN resolution aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz

UNITED NATIONS (AP) — Russia and China on Tuesday vetoed a U.N. Security Council resolution aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz that had been repeatedly watered down in hopes those two countries would abstain.

The vote — 11-2, with two abstentions from Pakistan and Colombia — took place just hours after U.S. President Donald Trump issued an unprecedented threat that a “whole civilization will die tonight” if Iran does not open the strategic waterway and make a deal before his 8 p.m. Eastern deadline. One-fifth of the world’s oil typically passes through the strait, and Iran’s stranglehold during the war has sent energy prices soaring.

Russia and China strongly defended their opposition, both citing Trump’s most perilous threat yet to end Iran’s civilization as confirmation that the proposal would have given the U.S. and Israel “carte blanche for continued aggression,” as Russian envoy Vassily Nebenzia put it.

Nebenzia and China’s U.N. ambassador, Fu Cong, said the resolution failed to capture the root causes and full picture of the conflict by not showing that America and its closest ally started the now spiraling war.

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Fu said in his statement that resolution was “highly susceptible to misinterpretation or even abuse,” and if it were adopted ”would send a wrong message and have serious, very serious consequences.”

Russia and China immediately followed up by circulating a rival resolution, seen by The Associated Press, which urged all parties to halt military activities and condemned attacks on civilians and civilian infrastructure. Nebenzia told reporters it was already in a form that could be put to a vote.

,The foreign minister of Bahrain, which authored the draft, assailed the U.N.’s most powerful body for not taking action and allowing the international community to be “held hostage to economic blackmail” from Iran.

Abdullatif bin Rashid Al Zayani said failing to adopt the resolution sends “the signal that the threat to international waterways can pass without any decisive action by the international organization responsible for the maintenance of international peace and security.”

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Al-Zayani told reporters that Gulf countries will intensify diplomatic efforts to deter Iran’s attacks and safeguard freedom of navigation.

But Iran’s ambassador to the U.N. thanked its allies on the 15-member council for refusing to adopt the resolution.

“The text unjustifiably and misleadingly portrays Iran’s lawful measures in the Strait of Hormuz, which have been taken in the exercise of its inherent right of self-defense in accordance with the UN Charter, as threats to international peace and security,” Amir-Saeid Iravani said in his statement.

How the resolution evolved

It’s doubtful the resolution, even if it had been adopted, would have impacted the war, now in its sixth week, because it was been significantly weakened to try to get Moscow and Beijing to abstain rather than veto it.

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The initial Gulf proposal would have authorized countries to use “all necessary means” — U.N. wording that would include military action — to ensure transit through the Strait of Hormuz and deter attempts to close it.

The United States, which had supported the draft from its original form, assailed the countries that objected to the resolution.

“No one should tolerate that they are holding the global economy at gunpoint,” Mike Waltz, the U.S. ambassador to the U.N., said of Iran, “but today, Russia and China did tolerate it.” He said in his statement: “They sided with a regime that seeks to intimidate the Gulf into submission, even as it brutalizes its own people during a national internet blackout, for daring to imagine dignity or freedom.”

After Russia, China and France, all veto-wielding members of the Security Council, expressed opposition to approving the use of force, the resolution was revised to eliminate all references to offensive action. It would have authorized only “all defensive means necessary.” A vote had been expected on Saturday.

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But instead the resolution was further weakened to eliminate any reference to Security Council authorization — which is an order for action — and limit its provisions to the Strait of Hormuz. Previous drafts had included adjacent waters.

The resolution vetoed Tuesday would have “strongly” encouraged countries to coordinate their efforts to ensure the safety of navigation across the Strait of Hormuz, including escorting merchant and commercial vessels.

The resolution also demanded that Iran stop impeding freedom of navigation through the strait and attacking civilian infrastructure.

Why it was Bahrain pushing the UN resolution

In response to the U.S. and Israeli attacks beginning on Feb. 28, Iran has targeted hotels, airports, residential buildings and other civilian infrastructure in more than 10 countries, including the Islamic Republic’s Gulf neighbors, some of the world’s major exporters of oil and natural gas.

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Iran’s blockade in the strait is seen by Gulf nations as an existential threat. Bahrain, a Gulf nation that hosts the U.S. Fifth Fleet and is the Security Council’s Arab representative and its president this month, has been pressing for U.N. action.

In response to Iran’s strikes against its Gulf neighbors, the Security Council adopted a Bahrain-sponsored resolution on March 11 condemning the “egregious attacks” and calling for Tehran to immediately halt its strikes.

That resolution, adopted by a vote of 13-0 with Russia and China abstaining, also condemned Iran’s actions in the Strait of Hormuz as a threat to international peace and security and called for an immediate end to all actions blocking shipping.

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This version corrects the second reference to China’s U.N. ambassador to Fu.

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Michigan is No. 1 in final AP Top 25 poll after winning national title

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Michigan is No. 1 in final AP Top 25 poll after winning national title

Michigan is No. 1 in the final Associated Press Top 25 men’s college basketball poll for the 2025-26 season after winning the program’s first national championship in 37 years.

The Wolverines (37-3) claimed all 57 votes in Tuesday’s poll in the third year the AP has released its final rankings after the completion of the NCAA Tournament. Michigan beat UConn 69-63 in Indianapolis on Monday night to complete the winningest season in program history, along with winning its first NCAA title since 1989 and the Big Ten’s first since 2000.

Michigan spent a week at No. 1 in mid-February and didn’t rank lower than fourth after November in its second season under Dusty May.

Yaxel Lendeborg, an AP first-team All-American, had said before the Final Four that this could go down as the best team in program history, including the famed “Fab Five” freshman teams that reached the NCAA title game in 1992 and 1993. Standing amid the confetti on the court after Monday night’s win, Lendeborg figured this year’s group had done enough to earn that distinction.

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“I think we are, man,” said Lendeborg, who battled through ankle and knee injuries suffered in the win against Arizona in the national semifinals. “I’m waiting for the Fab Five to give us the approval. But if they do, then I’ll let it be said that we’re the best team ever.”

The top tier

UConn (34-6) jumped five spots to No. 2 after its March Madness run, including an incredible comeback from 19 down to stun Duke in the Elite Eight and keep alive its chances for a third national title in four seasons. Arizona was third, followed by Duke, which held the No. 1 ranking before March Madness and was the tournament’s top overall seed before a loss to UConn in the Elite Eight.

Illinois was next, climbing eight spots to No. 5 after the program’s first trip to the Final Four since 2005. That marked the second time that a team went from being ranked outside the top 10 to cracking the top five after a Final Four run, the other being Alabama jumping 16 spots to No. 3 to end the 2024 season.

Purdue, Houston, Iowa State, Florida and St. John’s rounded out the top 10.

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Climbing to final position

Tennessee finished at No. 12 after reaching the Elite Eight for the third straight year. The Volunteers’ postseason push vaulted them 11 spots, making them the biggest climber from the March 16 poll before the NCAA Tournament.

In all, nine teams ranked from the previous poll moved up in the season’s final rankings.

Last slide

Virginia had the poll’s biggest tumble, falling eight spots to No. 17 after falling in the second round to the Volunteers as a 3-seed.

No. 18 Gonzaga and No. 25 Wisconsin both fell six spots after failing to make the second weekend. The Cavaliers, Zags and Badgers were among 11 ranked teams from March 16 to tumble while still remaining inside the final poll.

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In and out

Iowa and Texas both jumped into the poll after being unranked heading into March Madness. The Hawkeyes finished the season ranked No. 15 after reaching the Elite Eight in a run that included a second-round upset of top-seeded Florida.

Iowa’s jump marked the third time a team that was unranked going into the NCAAs hopped into the top 15 in the post-tournament AP poll. The other two came in 2024, with N.C. State sitting at No. 10 after its improbable Final Four run and Clemson at No. 14 after reaching the Elite Eight.

The 22nd-ranked Longhorns entered the poll after going from the First Four to the Sweet 16.

Iowa and Texas replaced North Carolina (No. 21) and St. Mary’s (No. 22) from the previous poll.

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Conference watch

The Big Ten dominated this year’s tournament, first by getting a league-record six teams into the Sweet 16 then tying the tournament’s overall record with four teams in the Elite Eight before ultimately sending Michigan and Illinois to Indianapolis. The league finished with a national-best seven teams in the final AP Top 25 of the season.

The Southeastern Conference was next with six ranked teams, followed by the Big 12 with five, the Atlantic Coast Conference with four and the Big East with two. The West Coast Conference with Gonzaga was the only league from outside the power conferences to have a Top 25 team.

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AP college basketball: https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-basketball-poll and https://apnews.com/hub/college-basketball

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‘Upset’ I’m A Celebrity viewers make the same Adam Thomas demand

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Wales Online

I’m A Celebrity… South Africa star Adam Thomas has returned to the ITV show leaving soap fans feeling nostalgic

I’m A Celebrity star Adam Thomas has returned to the ITV show, sparking a frenzy among soap fans. The 37-year-old originally appeared on the 16th series of the popular reality programme in 2016, but he is also famed for playing Adam Barton in Emmerdale for nearly a decade, from 2009 to 2018.

During his time on the ITV show, fans saw his character tackle a series of storylines, including a feud with Cain Dingle (Jeff Hordley), turning to arson, an on-off marriage with Victoria Sugden (Isabel Hodgins), and a bromance with Aaron Dingle (Danny Miller).

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However, the loveable rogue was last seen in the soap fleeing the country in 2018 after taking the fall for Emma Barton’s (Gillian Kearney) murder, which had been committed by his mum, Moira (Natalie J. Robb).

Making a hasty exit in a shipping container to start a new life in France, viewers were left heartbroken when Adam decided to leave Emmerdale.

At the time, addressing the exit, the actor said it wasn’t an easy decision for him. In a statement, Adam explained: “I’ve had an amazing eight years working on Emmerdale, and I’ve loved every minute of it.

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“It was a really tough decision to take to leave but I felt that now is the time to move on and challenge myself with some new roles.”

He added: “I’d like to thank everyone at Emmerdale for both giving me the opportunity to work as part of such a great team and for giving my character, Adam Barton, some great storylines too.”

However, seeing Adam back on television has left Emmerdale fans demanding he returns to the soap.

Taking to X, one fan penned: “When I said I wanted Adam Thomas back I meant on @emmerdale #ImACeleb #Emmerdale”, as another replied: “Shout it louder!”

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A third explained: “Seeing Adam Thomas on ITV and it not being in Emmerdale is deeply upsetting to me #imaceleb.”

One person confessed: “Emmerdale star Adam Thomas’ (crying faces)”, while another added: “With all that’s going on in his family, Adam should have returned years ago. I’d recast if the OG actor isn’t interested. #Emmerdale.”

Away from Emmerdale, the actor launched his career following an appearance on the BBC’s Doctors in 2002, and is also particularly recognised for his portrayal of Donte Charles in Waterloo Road.

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In 2023, Adam also competed in the 21st series of Strictly Come Dancing, paired with professional dancer Luba Mushtuk. He was eliminated in Week 7, finishing in 9th place after a dance-off against Angela Rippon.

I’m A Celebrity… South Africa currently airs at 9pm on ITV and ITVX

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how the planet’s climate has changed since the photo that inspired the environmental movement

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how the planet’s climate has changed since the photo that inspired the environmental movement

A new Earthset image has been captured by the crew of Artemis II, 58 years since the iconic Earthrise photograph taken by the crew of Apollo 8. Over these past six decades, the climate has changed dramatically.

“Oh my God, look at that picture over there! There’s the Earth comin’ up. Wow, is that pretty.” That was Nasa astronaut Bill Anders’ reaction to seeing the Earth appearing to rise above the lunar horizon as their Apollo 8 spacecraft came around the Moon on Christmas Eve 1968.

Theirs were the first human eyes to see our planet at such a distance and from another celestial body. As fellow astronaut Jim Lovell said a few hours later: “The Earth from here is a grand oasis in the big vastness of space.”

That original Earthrise image is widely credited with helping to set the mainstream environmental movement in motion. Although I wasn’t born when the Apollo 8 photo was taken, a framed print of it hangs above my desk as a reminder of the beauty and fragility of our planet.

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‘Earthset’ is the new photo from the far side of the Moon, captured on April 6 2026 by the crew of Artemis 2 as Earth dips behind the lunar horizon.
Nasa

For me as a climate scientist, these photos, taken 58 years apart, inspire me to reflect on how the Earth’s climate has changed in the interim.

The concentration of carbon dioxide (and other greenhouse gases) in our atmosphere has rapidly increased as a result of over half a century of continued and spreading industrial development, driven primarily by burning fossil fuels.

This is clearly illustrated by the Keeling curve – a graph that plots the continuous record of atmospheric CO₂ from Mauna Loa Observatory in Hawaii (started by Charles Keeling in 1958).

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À lire aussi :
Mauna Loa Observatory captured the reality of climate change. The US plans to shut it down


This curve shows a steep and steady increase from approximately 320 parts per million (ppm) in 1968 to about 430ppm in 2026. This increase of over one-third in the total carbon dioxide in our atmosphere shows little sign of slowing down.

graphs showing increase in atmospheric CO2

Observed timeseries of atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration and global mean surface temperature with added logos for the Apollo 8 and Artemis 2 missions.
For latest updates on these and other key climate change indicators, visit the Met Office climate dashboard: https://climate.metoffice.cloud/dashboard.html

That additional blanket of greenhouse gases has increased the surface temperature of our planet. Data from the World Meteorological Organization shows how the global mean temperature record (the average temperature of the Earth’s surface) has risen by approximately 1.2°C since the Apollo 8 Earthrise photo was taken. This represents most of the warming that has happened since the early industrial period in the mid-19th century.

While an average global temperature increase of 1.2°C may not sound large, it means that regional hot extremes and new records are now much more likely. For example, my team’s recent research has shown that a 40°C day in the UK (first recorded on July 19 2022) is now over 20 times more likely than it was in the 1960s.

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The global average temperature has surged in the past three years – most probably driven by a combination of internal climate variability and human-made emissions (including strong reductions in industrial aerosol particle emissions that largely act to cool the planet). In 2023, temperatures jumped from the previous record of 1.29°C (set in 2016) to 1.45°C above the early-industrial 1850-1900 baseline.

This record was then immediately broken in 2024 – the first year to temporarily exceed 1.5°C. Going beyond that boundary in a single year doesn’t mean we have breached the 1.5°C target set by the 2015 Paris climate agreement, which is generally accepted to refer to a 20-year average. However, it does highlight how rapidly we are now approaching that level of warming.




À lire aussi :
Record January heat suggests La Niña may be losing its ability to keep global warming in check


Temperatures in both years were partly boosted by warmer conditions in the tropical Pacific due to El Niño, a climate phenomenon that affects weather patterns globally. Last year, after El Niño had subsided, was slightly cooler at 1.43°C. However, current forecasts give a high probability for another El Niño developing during the second half of 2026. If this materialises, we could easily exceed 1.5°C again.

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A key question is whether global warming is accelerating. This is difficult to detect directly from the surface temperature record. However, a recent study found a significant acceleration after accounting for the “noise” of year-to-year variability.

The view from above

Climate science isn’t just about measuring changes in temperature.

One of the legacies of the 1960s space race was the subsequent launch of many satellite observation platforms that have transformed our ability to monitor, understand and predict changes to the global climate.

We now have continuous monitoring of many key components of Earth’s climate system, including sea surface temperature, sea level, and the extent of polar sea ice, glaciers and land surface changes. Unfortunately, many of these reveal worrying trends, such as more frequent heatwaves on land and sea, loss of Arctic sea-ice, melting glaciers and sea-level rise.

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graph showing fluctuations and increasing levels of earth energy over time

Observed timeseries of Earth energy imbalance (EEI) from Nasa Ceres dataset.
Ned Williams

One of the most concerning recent trends comes from a set of satellite instruments called the Nasa Ceres, which have measured changes in the Earth’s energy imbalance (EEI) since 2000. EEI is the difference between the amount of solar energy absorbed by the planet and the thermal energy radiated back into space.

The Ceres data shows a strong upward trend, indicating a growing rate of accumulation of energy, consistent with an acceleration in global heating.

Looking ahead, I hope that by the time astronauts take the first Earthrise photo from Mars (perhaps in the late 2030s), we are heading towards net-zero carbon emissions and more stable global temperatures.

Achieving net zero is this century’s Moonshot. The prize is minimising the severity of the worst climate consequences of global heating – leaving our children and future generations a sustainable “grand oasis” here on Earth.

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Why organisations pick the wrong leaders

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Why organisations pick the wrong leaders

Plenty of people have worked under a manager who appears confident, articulate and highly visible – yet they struggle to lead their team effectively. Team members can become disengaged, decision-making slows and performance declines. But despite this, the same people always seem to progress through the hierarchy.

Unfortunately, this is not unusual. In many organisations, leadership potential is assessed using signals that are easy to observe. These could be confidence, charisma or communication style – rather than the traits that actually produce effective teams.

This creates a persistent problem. Organisations promote people who look like leaders rather than those who demonstrate the capabilities required to lead.

Promotion decisions are often made under conditions of uncertainty. Bosses will not always have the right information to be able to predict a candidate’s leadership ability. This is why they fall back on visible cues.

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These cues are generally based on how someone performs in meetings, how well they present their ideas, or how comfortable they appear when speaking to senior management or stakeholders. Those who show self-confidence and authority while communicating tend to be perceived as ready for leadership.

But these signals can be misleading. In my ongoing doctoral research on inclusive leadership, I have found that effective leadership is less about visibility and more about how leaders support and develop their teams.

Studies have found that people who show dominance and confidence can be perceived by management as more capable and ready for leadership, despite objective measures of performance which do not always support this judgement.

Other research has even shown that traits such as narcissism can increase the likelihood of someone becoming a leader – even though these qualities do not predict leadership effectiveness.

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When evaluating leaders, managers have been found to confuse confidence with competence. Large studies on personality and leadership show that people with traits like extroversion are more likely to become leaders. But again, these traits are not always strong predictors that someone will be effective in the job.

The qualities that matter more

While confidence and visibility are essential attributes in leadership, they are not core drivers of success. Research shows other capabilities can matter more. These include sound judgement, the ability to help others develop, emotional intelligence and the capacity to build an environment where employees feel valued. This might mean staff feeling free to share ideas or raise concerns, for example.

Teams perform more effectively when employees feel valued in their workplace. And an openness to sharing ideas and admitting mistakes without fear are also essential factors in building strong teams.

Studies of emotional intelligence suggest that leaders who demonstrate empathy and interpersonal awareness are often better able to build trust and keep their team performing at a high level. The true measure of leadership has been shown to be reflected in team performance and outcomes, rather than a leader’s personal charisma or visibility.

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Good leaders encourage collaboration over self-promotion.
adriaticfoto/Shutterstock

Yet these capabilities can be hard to measure during the promotion process. They develop gradually through experience and are often demonstrated through everyday interactions, rather than visible moments like presentations or meetings. As a result, organisations may overlook people who have strong leadership potential – simply because their contributions are less visible.

Promoting the wrong leaders can have significant consequences. When employers reward visibility over capability, they risk creating a culture where self-promotion is prioritised over collaboration. Teams will be more reluctant to challenge decisions or give fresh perspectives, especially if leaders appear confident but are not open to feedback.

Over time this can weaken decision-making, reduce employees’ engagement and ultimately increase staff turnover. Large meta-analysis also shows strong links between a manager’s behaviour, their employees’ engagement and business outcomes (measured in things like productivity and customer satisfaction).

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Promotion systems that favour confidence and visibility can also affect diversity within leadership teams. People who communicate differently or who are less inclined to talk up their achievements could be overlooked even if they demonstrate strong leadership skills. This can result in leadership teams that lack diversity in thinking and experience, as similar traits and communication styles are repeatedly rewarded.

If organisations want to improve, they must look past the most visible signals of leadership potential. Instead, they could focus on evidence of how people support and develop their teams before they reach leadership level, by looking at things like how they mentor colleagues, create a cohesive teamwork culture or respond to challenges with other workers.

Organisations can gather broader feedback on potential leaders from peers or team-based assessments. This allows them to create a more accurate picture of how someone leads in practice.

And leadership development programmes can help organisations learn how to identify people who demonstrate strong skills but who do not necessarily fit those traditional leadership stereotypes.

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Modern workplaces are becoming more complex, with remote working and the rapid adoption of AI changing how employees are organised and managed. Leaders must be able to adapt through these challenges, while managing diverse teams. In these environments, the ability to listen, collaborate and support staff can be far more important than simply projecting confidence.

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Chester-le-Street: Refurbished Hollathans to be Black Rabbit

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Chester-le-Street: Refurbished Hollathans to be Black Rabbit

The Black Rabbit is opening in the former Hollathans on Ashfield Terrace in Chester-le-Street after its long-time owners stepped away from the venue after 20 years.

The venue has been taken over by Terry Haley, 32, and Richard Nellis, 57.

Terry runs bars in Durham including The Drunken Duck and the Ye Old Elm Tree, while Richard is best known for running Hibou Blanc and The Grey Owl. He also runs the Abbey Group, a construction company specialising in the hospitality sector.

Black Rabbit is set to open this week in the former Hollathans in Chester-le-Street. (Image: BLACK RABBIT/ FACEBOOK)

The new owners have invested £750,000 into a refurbishment of the premises.

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The pair met in a sauna and eventually decided to work together.

The Black Rabbit is set to open on Ashfield Terrace this Friday, April 10, for drinks only over the weekend before closing again from Monday until Friday, April 17, when it will relaunch with a full bar and kitchen.

The owners said the decision to open earlier than planned came after strong interest online from people wanting to visit the venue.

Richard and Terry said: “It has always been a well-established place within the town that recently had dwindled away, but it was still a staple in the area and so when we saw the opportunity we just had to take it.

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“The Black Rabbit will be a luxury, nice offering bringing something up market to the area, similar to what Richard has already built with his higher end places.

“Due to demand and response that we didn’t expect to this level we will be opening for drinks only on Friday (April 10) and a full opening with the kitchen the following week.”

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HMS Dragon docks in Mediterranean after ‘minor’ water system issue

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HMS Dragon docks in Mediterranean after 'minor' water system issue

Obese-Jecty, a former Army officer, said: “Four weeks late to the Eastern Mediterranean and lasted two weeks before suffering maintenance issues, with the MoD claiming it’s a scheduled stop, just as the potential of retaliatory Iranian strikes within hours is the lead headline around the world.”

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