John Swinney has made reducing child poverty his number one priority as First Minister.
The SNP Government is set to miss a landmark target to reduce child poverty across Scotland by a “considerable margin”.
Then first minister Nicola Sturgeon unveiled ambitious plans in 2016 to reduce the level of child poverty to at most 10 per cent by 2030.
John Swinney has since made helping more kids out of poverty his “number one priority” since taking on the top job in Scottish politics.
But a report published today by the independent Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) said that despite progress being made on the issue thanks to devolved policies – such as the introduction of the Scottish Child Payment – it was unlikely the target would be met.
The child poverty rate is currently around 21 per cent, compared to 28 per cent across the UK as a whole and 38 per cent in Greater London.
But experts said the lower level is largely due to housing costs in Scotland being substantially cheaper than those in the south of England, with Scots also more likely to live in a socially rented property.
The IFS also said there has never been a child poverty rate of 10 per cent in the UK, including in the 1960s when inequality in society was far lower than now.
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Tom Wernham, senior research economist, said: “Scotland’s devolved benefit system is reducing income inequality and child poverty.
“Further increases in devolved benefits are the most direct way to continue to reduce child poverty.
“But the scale of benefit increases needed to achieve the very stretching 10 per cent child relative poverty target would cost billions of pounds per year and increase disincentives to work. Increases to employment and the wages of lower earners could, in principle, reduce poverty and boost Scottish Government revenues at the same time, but to deliver such increases at scale in practice would be very challenging.
“If the next Scottish Government also prioritises the living standards and life chances of children from lower-income families, a mix of benefit, labour market and public service policies will likely be needed.
“In the context of a constrained budget, it will also need to be clear eyed about what its key priorities are.”
Jackie Baillie, Scottish Labour deputy leader, said: “John Swinney and the SNP have always been more interested in setting targets than meeting them, but it is particularly shameful on an issue as serious as child poverty.
“A Scottish Labour government will work across government to tackle the root causes of poverty – fixing the basics and making sure our economy and our services work for Scottish families.
“Scottish Labour will fix the crisis in our NHS so people aren’t locked out of work through ill-health, build an education system that helps every child succeed, cut housing costs with the most ambitious housebuilding programme in the history of devolution, and deliver more well-paid jobs across our society.”
Jamie Greene, Scottish Lib Dems economy spokesman, said: “Despite the grand rhetoric from the SNP, they have left thousands of children in poverty.
“For the past nineteen years, the SNP have failed to use the powers they have had at their disposal to move the dial.
“Just like Nicola Sturgeon broke her promise to close the attainment gap, John Swinney has broken his promise to reduce child poverty. They simply cannot be trusted.”
Shirley-Anne Somerville, SNP candidate for Dunfermline, said: “Scotland has the lowest levels of child poverty on these islands – that’s thanks to SNP action in government and that’s exactly what you get from John Swinney’s strong leadership.
“John Swinney has made eradicating child poverty his number one mission and we are making good progress, despite complete failure from the Labour Party to get a grip of the cost of living crisis.
“Our game-changing Scottish Child Payment is unavailable anywhere else in the UK, and our plans for year round childcare for every child from nine months until the end of primary school will be transformative.
“The reality is though, our mission on child poverty is undermined by Westminster governments that have punished Scottish families time and again – only through a fresh start with independence can we break free of broken, Brexit Britain and build a fairer, wealthier, Scotland.”
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