Happy Independence Day, everyone! Nothing says independence more than the freedom to take our hard-earned money and put it on a sport that most only watch every four years. We do it with the Olympics, and we do it with the World Cup. We’ve had quite a few swings and misses, but we’ve also cashed a couple of solid plus-money plays. Let’s try to do it again.

Canada vs Morocco

This marks the start of the round of 16. There aren’t really too many lopsided matches in terms of odds any longer – more on that in a moment. Instead, we should be getting the best teams and solid matches from here on out. Canada vs Morocco is no exception. Canada is here after taking down Saudi Arabia. I haven’t seen much out of our neighbors to the north that I’ve been overly impressed with. They’ve scored at least one goal in every game and gotten two shutouts, so there is some stuff to hang their hat on.

MOROCCO SENDS THE NETHERLANDS HOME WITH DRAMATIC WORLD CUP KNOCKOUT IN PENALTIES

TOPSHOT – Morocco’s defender #18 Jawad El Yamiq (C) attempts a shot during the Qatar 2022 World Cup semi-final football match between France and Morocco at the Al-Bayt Stadium in Al Khor, north of Doha on December 14, 2022. (Photo by KARIM JAAFAR / AFP)

For Morocco, they had a much more difficult task of getting the victory against the Netherlands. They won in penalty kicks, and it was a wild shootout. They also haven’t actually lost a match yet and have just one draw. This should be a tight game, and a draw at +245 is where the value lies, in my opinion. I’m not going to tell you it’s a safe bet, but I think these two teams are a bit more evenly matched, and neither seems to be super aggressive on offense. Give me the draw.

France’s Kylian Mbappe, left, celebrates after scoring the opening goal by a penalty shoot during the Euro 2024 group B qualifying soccer match between France and Greece at the Stade de France, outside Paris, Monday, June 19, 2023. (AP Photo/Christophe Ena)

Paraguay vs. France

If you watched the Argentina game yesterday, you know that lines don’t always tell you the full story of how things will go. The Argentinians were massive favorites and Cape Verde gave them all they could handle. Argentina won 3-2, but it took extra time to get there. Paraguay has a chance to do that today against France. France is -1600 to advance, meaning even if it goes to penalty kicks, France is still the massive favorite. Paraguay beat Germany in penalty kicks for their win to get here. It was their best game of the tournament.

France’s Olivier Giroud celebrates after Kylian Mbappe scored their side’s second goal during the World Cup round of 16 soccer match between France and Poland, at the Al Thumama Stadium in Doha, Qatar, Sunday, Dec. 4, 2022. (AP Photo/Ricardo Mazalan)

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France has looked unstoppable. They are still the favorites to win the World Cup. If you’ve watched them, and even if you’re not a soccer enthusiast, you can see why. Kylian Mbappe has been dynamic and continues to rack up goals. He is a real threat to Messi and the Golden Boot. He is -205 to score a goal today. I prefer his teammate, Ousmane Dembele. I think so much attention goes to Mbappe, Dembele, who already has four goals himself this tournament, gets less attention and easier looks. I’m going to play him to score at +105.

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For more sports betting information and plays, follow David on X/Twitter: @futureprez2024

The 2026 World Cup is into the Round of 16 on Saturday, July 4, and co-hosts Canada kicked things off in the early match, where they dropped a 3-0 decision to Morocco. At 5 p.m. ET, Paraguay face World Cup favorites and back-to-back semifinalists France. The French won the 2018 World Cup and and have been dominant behind an attack led by Kylian Mbappe, Michael Olise and Ousmane Dembele. Paraguay upset four-time world champions Germany in a penalty shootout in the Round of 32 but have scored three goals at World Cup 2026. France have scored 13  in their four games, which is why Les Bleus are massive -600 favorites on the 90-minute money line and -2000 to advance to the next round. 

Mbappe is priced at -175 at FanDuel to score a goal any time in the match, and while that might not be a bad wager, there could be more value to be found when looking to make anytime goalscorer wagers. Many of the goals at World Cup 2026 have come from the major stars, but the defenses get tougher as the knockout rounds progress, so finding the best anytime goalscorer odds can be tricky. We have the best bets to score a goal today here, and you can get more analysis of the 2026 World Cup from SportsLine experts like Jon Eimer, Martin Green and Brad Thomas. You need to see what they are saying about Saturday’s matches. Anyone following their World Cup betting advice at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen huge returns.

Best World Cup goalscorer picks for Saturday

• Ismael Saibari, Morocco (+180, FanDuel)
• Jonathan David, Canada (+350, FanDuel)
• Bradley Barcola, France (+170, FanDuel)

Ismael Saibari, Morocco (+180)

The versatile forward, who has spent his entire club career in the Netherlands with PSV Eindhoven, finished off the Dutch with his penalty kick in Tuesday’s shootout. He also scored in all three group stage games and has been the best player on the field for large stretched of Morocco’s matches. The 25-year-old is set to join Bayern Munich next season, and he is breaking out in a big way. Saibari was named last season’s Dutch Player of the Year and has 42 goals In 142 appearances in the Eredivisie. He should continue to make his mark with a goal in this critical match. 

Jonathan David, Canada (+350)

David is the key to the Canada attack, and he and Tajon Buchanan both will be looking to make more of an impact after both struggled in the past two games. David had a hat trick in the 6-0 victory against Qatar but has been mostly bottled up since. Morocco are tough in the back but can be beaten on the counter-attack, and if the Canucks are going to pull the upset, David is going to be the catalyst. I was leaning toward Promise David at the same price, and while he could (and probably should) play a big role, he has been coming off the bench so his playing time is uncertain. 

Bradley Barcola, France (+170)

Les Bleus have an embarrassment of great players beyond Mbappe, and Barcola is one of the emerging stars. The 23-year-old has 25 goals over the past two seasons with PSG in France’s Ligue 1 and has five in his past 19 matches (nine starts) with the national team. It’s easy to get lost in the shuffle on this France side, but Barcola has been demanding attention. He has two goals in the World Cup, including one off the bench against Senegal. That Mbappe guy is really good so if you don’t mind the juice or are building a parlay, he’s a good bet, but so is Barcola. He could net you a decent profit with a goal here.     

The Round of 16 match between France and Paraguay in Philadelphia is set to be played in excess heat, with temperatures expected to cross 40 degrees Celsius (104 degrees Fahrenheit). To make matters worse, there is also the threat of thunderstorms. However, as it stands, the match will not be postponed, and it will begin as per schedule.

The legend of Joey Chestnut continues.

Chestnut is now an 18-time Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating contest champion after blowing out the competition once again, this time by downing 66 hot dogs and buns in Coney Island.

It is now the 10th consecutive time Chestnut has won the competition; he was barred from the 2024 event due to sponsorship issues.

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Joey Chestnut, left, consumes hot dogs during the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Fourth of July hot dog eating contest at Coney Island in Brooklyn, N.Y., Saturday. (AP Photo/Anna Connors)

Chestnut did not run away with it early on, as he was neck and neck with 2024 champ Patrick Bertoletti and James Webb through the first 90 seconds.

But once that time passed, Chestnut began to stretch away from the competition. Through three minutes, Chestnut was at 28, while Webb was at 22, and Bertoletti at 21. But at the halfway mark, Chestnut had eaten 42 hot dogs and had a 10-wiener lead.

Joey Chestnut and Miki Sudo, winners of the 2026 Nathan’s Famous Fourth of July hot dog eating contest, hold their title belts at Coney Island in Brooklyn, N.Y., Saturday. (AP Photo/Anna Connors)

JOEY CHESTNUT REVEALS FOODS HE WON’T EAT IN COMPETITION AS HE TOURS MINOR LEAGUE STADIUMS FOR LOCAL DELICACIES

Chestnut remained at record pace (76) with four minutes to go, but like all eating contests, fatigue and full stomachs set in to go along with near-triple-digit heat. Chestnut hit the 60 mark with 60 seconds to go, and officials counted his 66 afterward.

He admitted he knew he would not get the record early on but stayed calm to take home the victory.

Chestnut competed in the event while serving a 180-day probation sentence after pleading guilty to a misdemeanor battery charge stemming from drunkenly slapping a man in an Indiana bar earlier this year. He was granted permission to travel to New York for the event.

Joey Chestnut wins the men’s competition at Nathan’s Annual Hot Dog Eating Contest in New York City. (Adam Gray/Getty Images)

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Miki Sudo won the women’s event earlier in the day with 39 dogs and buns; she has won each of the 12 contests she has competed in, with her first way back in 2014.

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Most golfers have been taught to keep their heads down when chipping. But according to three-time major champion Padraig Harrington, the opposite feeling may be the key to cleaner contact, more spin and a better short game.

The secret? Learning to use the ground.

If you watch elite players closely, you’ll notice something most amateurs haven’t mastered quite yet. As the club approaches impact, they apply pressure to their lead foot and then rise up through impact.

“We’re not trying to stay down. We’re not trying to keep our head down,” Harrington says. “I’m actually pushing myself back up with that left foot. It gives an absolutely beautiful strike.” 

It’s a subtle move that’s almost impossible to spot at full speed, yet it plays a major role in producing those crisp, spinny chips.

While it’s difficult to detect in another golfer’s swing, it’s surprisingly easy to learn yourself.

Train ball-first contact with a simple alignment stick drill

As Harrington demonstrates, a simple alignment stick drill is a great way to groove this feeling. Just place a stick‚— or other alignment tool — on the ground to mark the midline of your stance. Then, play the ball two or three inches in front of it.

Your objective is simple: strike the ball without touching the stick. If you can consistently miss the stick, you’re training yourself to bottom out after the ball, producing the clean, ball-first contact every good chip requires.

Once that strike becomes second nature, add in the pressure shift. As your club approaches the ball, press into the ball of your lead foot and allow that pressure to push you upward through impact.

“Get yourself left. Stay left. You have to trust that, okay?” Harrington says, “We don’t want any of this backing up.”

An easy way to check whether you’re doing it correctly is to look at your lead leg after impact. If your lead knee remains bent, there’s a good chance your weight has drifted back during the swing. If your lead leg has straightened, you’ve likely used the ground properly.

“If your knees bend … that’s because your center of mass has gone backward and that’s counterbalancing it by going forward,” Harrington says. 

“Whereas, if you get yourself left, you’re just going to post up like so.”

Perhaps the biggest benefit is that this feeling doesn’t stop at your short game. The same pressure shift and ground force that Harrington teaches for chipping are a fundamental part of an athletic full swing. Master it around the greens first, and you’ll not only hit crisper chips with more spin, but you’ll also build a movement pattern that carries through the rest of your game.

The undefeated colt Omolong is being targeted for the Group 1 Coolmore Stud Stakes during the 2026 Melbourne spring carnival, following his recent stylish victory at Rosehill Gardens on Saturday which kept his perfect record intact.

Omolong unleashed a powerful finishing surge to achieve his second win from as many starts in the Thank You ATC Members Handicap over 1100 metres.

Leading trainer Chris Waller indicated that Omolong would now enjoy a brief spell before being set for feature races later in the spring carnival.

“I’m predicting he will have a great future,” Waller said of Omolong. “A race like the Coolmore down the straight (Flemington) later in the spring I think will be ideal. Obviously, there is a lot of improvement still to come for him to do that but he’s still very raw, still developing, and I think there is a lot of upside to him. He has always shown us a lot of promise, he’s a bright, shining star.”.

Omolong, who was a drifting favourite at $3.10 with Australian betting sites, came from off the speed and sprinted impressively to catch Seeiaye ($6.50), with Satin Summer ($5.50) finishing third just over a length behind.

Kotor, a $3.10 equal favourite on debut, showed early speed but faded from the turn and finished seventh.

Waller commented that “Omolong has a lot of natural talent” and is expected to continue improving with racing experience and maturity as a spring three-year-old.

“The Golden Rose will come around too quickly for him so we will pick out something mid-spring and aim him at the Coolmore Stud Stakes,” Waller stated. “I remember Northern Meteor started late in the spring before winning the Coolmore so it will be that style of preparation for this colt.”

Star apprentice Siena Grima recorded her 29th city winner of the season on Omolong, placing her just one win behind Braith Nock in the Sydney apprentices’ premiership race.

“Omolong was a bit sweaty behind the gates, but he was still walking in nice, relaxed circles,” Grima reported. “He got into a beautiful spot and travelled lovely from there. He is very leggy and raw. He’s still got a lot to learn, so I didn’t want to upset him. I had him on the bridle travelling, which is what I was happy about. I just let him build from the five (hundred), got a lovely cart into the straight and once he was balanced up and in a good rhythm, once I went for him he continued to find.”

Waller praised Grima’s handling of the pressure in Sydney racing, noting her maturity exceeded her years.

“This is one of the toughest (riding) jurisdictions in the world but Siena continues to deal with that and is doing a fantastic job,” Waller remarked.

Omolong, the promising son of Newgate’s highly-rated sire Extreme Choice, was a late-season foal, born on December 19 three years ago.

Breeder Gerry Harvey, who retained 10 percent of the colt after selling him to Yulong for $850,000 at last year’s Magic Millions June Sale, was instrumental in convincing Newgate Farm supremo Henry Field to extend Extreme Choice’s breeding season into January.

Field admitted that without Harvey’s persistence, Omolong may not have been born. He recalled his conversation with the breeder about Extreme Choice as if it were yesterday.

“I was actually at a Keeneland Broodmare Sale (USA) when Gerry called,” Field told Racing And Sports earlier in the week. “Gerry asked if he could breed some mares to Extreme Choice in January. I told him no as the season traditionally finishes at the end of December. But I have to thank Gerry for ripping into me and giving me the kick up the backside I needed to have a rethink about Extreme Choice.”

Harvey, who doesn’t often accept rejection, ultimately convinced Field to take a different tack with Extreme Choice. When Field relented, Harvey sent several mares to Extreme Choice that January three years ago, including Samarmeteors, who was already the dam of stakes winner Prost. Omolong is the result of that particular mating.

Keep an eye on the latest racing odds for the Coolmore Stud Stakes as the spring carnival approaches.

Serena Williams’ Wimbledon comeback has been brought to a premature end after the 44-year-old was forced to withdraw from her first-round doubles match with sister Venus Williams due to a knee injury.

With a combined age of 90, the tennis legends were set to play their first match together in four years against Solana Sierra and Camilla Osorio. Serena returned to singles on Tuesday, but injured her knee in a defeat to Maya Joint.

“I’m heartbroken to have to withdraw from doubles,” Williams posted on Instagram. “Coming back to compete again has been a gift, and the opportunity to play alongside Venus once more meant the world to me. I did everything I could to be ready, but unfortunately my knee just isn’t ready to compete.”

Elsewhere, Alexandra Eala made more history for the Philippines as the 21-year-old rising star stunned defending Wimbledon champion Iga Swiatek to extend her record run to the fourth round. Eala, the 29th seed, won 7-6 6-2 in two hours and 14 minutes for the biggest win of her blossoming career as well as the most significant upset of this year’s Championships.

Meanwhile, Arthur Fery, the last British player left standing in the singles, kept his Wimbledon run alive with a stunning five-set win over Zizou Bergs to reach the fourth run for the first time. In the all-American on Centre Court, former Australian Open champion Madison Keys knocked out last year’s runner-up Amanda Anisimova.

Follow latest scores and updates from Wimbledon, below

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Alexandra Eala comes of age at Wimbledon and brings 112 million people with her

The 21-year-old, who knocked out reigning champion Iga Swiatek, has embraced becoming a source of inspiration for the Philippines after breaking new ground by reaching the fourth round of Wimbledon

Jamie Braidwood4 July 2026 20:52

Wimbledon rises for Arthur Fery, the last Brit standing

Serving to stay in the biggest match of his life, as the shadows began to lengthen across Wimbledon’s Court 18 and fans climbed onto fold-out seats on the balcony and clambered onto benches to look down below, Arthur Fery was suddenly ground to a halt. A third nosebleed of the match stopped Fery in the his tracks and forced him to think.

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He had been battling Belgium’s Zizou Bergs for over four hours for a place in the last-16, scrapping from the brink after being a double-break down in the fourth set and a single break down in the fifth. Fery trailed 4-1 in both sets, but the deeper a hole the British wildcard faced, the tougher he fought, and the higher he climbed.

Once again, Fery managed to block out the distractions, with his epic 2-6 7-5 2-6 7-6 (3) 7-6 (10/5) over Bergs ensuring there will be a British player in the fourth round of Wimbledon.

Jamie Braidwood4 July 2026 19:41

Arthur Fery flies British flag at Wimbledon with epic five-set victory

Arthur Fery defied persistent nosebleeds to win a five-set roller coaster against Zizou Bergs and reach the fourth round of Wimbledon for the first time.

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The 23-year-old wild card needed treatment three times for the issue, which has dogged him throughout the tournament, while he was 4-1 down in both the fourth and fifth sets.

But Fery showed huge courage and belief to fight back both times before claiming a 2-6 7-5 2-6 7-6 (3) 7-6 (10/5) victory after four hours and 38 minutes.

Eleanor Crooks 4 July 2026 19:05

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Why Arthur Fery, the last Brit standing at Wimbledon, is ready for his moment

The contentious subject of British wildcards has been a theme throughout the opening week of Wimbledon, particularly after the dismal Monday that brought 10 defeats and the snubbing of Dan Evans from singles ahead of his final tournament before retirement. But it is clear the decision to award Fery direct entry into the main draw, offering him a fourth appearance at the Championships, was a sound one.

His run at Queen’s, when he reached the quarter-finals, also as a wildcard, brought his ranking to a career-high 118th in the world. Having also qualified for the main draw of the Australian Open in January, where he defeated an ill Flavio Cobolli, Fery could walk through the gates of the All England Club and feel like he could belong there.

Jamie Braidwood4 July 2026 19:03

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GAME, SET, MATCH! ARTHUR FERY THROUGH TO FOURTH ROUND

Incredible scenes on Court 18! Arthur Fery fights from a break down in both the fourth set and the fifth set to beat Zizou Bergs in five and reach the fourth set of Wimbledon! A massive effort from Fery, whose back was pushed to the wall. But the British wildcard came back swinging, beating the Belgian in a match tiebreak! He falls to his back in disbelief.

He will play either Matteo Berrettini or Grigor Dimitrov in the last-16 on Monday!

Jamie Braidwood4 July 2026 19:00

FOURTH SET! Arthur Fery forces a decider against Zizou Bergs

That’s an outstanding tiebreak from Arthur Fery! A forehand winner spanked down the line and an instinctive flicked volley from the net gets the British wildcard into the fifth. A brilliant fight from Fery, who was a break down in this fourth set.

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Jamie Braidwood4 July 2026 17:33

Arthur Fery and Zizou Bergs into fourth-set tiebreak

Arthur Fery is not going down without a fight in the fourth set. He breaks back, then has a look at set point to force the decider as Zizou Bergs commits a double fault. Relief for Bergs, though, as he steadies behind serve to get through to the decider.

Jamie Braidwood4 July 2026 17:26

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Arthur Fery trails Zizou Bergs by two sets to one

The 23-year-old wildcard is getting lots of support from the fans hanging over the balcony on Court 18, but he was always going to face a tough ask against the Belgian Zizou Bergs. After Fery battled back in the second, Bergs has assumed control. He leads by a set and break.

Jamie Braidwood4 July 2026 16:54

Alexandra Eala on inspiring the Philippines

“It’s incredible to have my countrymen cheering me on and, and knowing that we’re all in this together.

“So this is, goes out to them, this goes out to my family, this goes out to all the little girls with ruffled socks and chubby cheeks.

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“It means the world.”

Jamie Braidwood4 July 2026 16:44

Venus Williams returned to mixed doubles yesterday

Venus WIlliams, 46, played in the mixed doubles tournament on Friday together with Kevin Krawietz, losing in straight sets to Tereza Mihalikova and Lloyd Glasspool.

Jamie Braidwood4 July 2026 16:30

The new “5 in 5” eligibility rule is a welcome change that adds stability to the landscape of college athletics.

What will this mean for roster construction at the G6 level?

On today’s episode of Locked On College Football, recruiting analyst Brian Smith joins Spencer McLaughlin to discuss the fallout.

Will there be an impact in recruiting strategy from the high school ranks?

Cal enters its first year under head coach Tosh Lupoi, who will get a real test in his first game as a head coach against UCLA and Bob Chesney.

Are they a true dark-horse with some odd scheduling quirks? 

00:00 Discussing new 5 and 5 rule impacts
06:03 Choosing the right college for athletes
09:33 Transfer portal opportunities in college football
11:51 New college eligibility rules
16:30 Discussion on sports player development
19:19 Analyzing Cal’s coaching challenges
21:04 Predicting Cal’s Football Season
26:49 Predicting Cal’s end-of-season success
27:22 Coaching changes and team records

/ @lockedoncollegefootball  

Serena Williams of the United States sits during a changeover in her first round women’s singles match against Maya Joint of Australia, at the Wimbledon Tennis Championships in London, Tuesday, June 30, 2026. (AP Photo/Maja Smiejkowska)

LONDON–Serena Williams’ Wimbledon comeback is over after the American legend pulled out of the doubles due to a knee injury on Saturday.

Williams and her sister Venus were due to play in the first round on Saturday, but Serena announced just hours before the match that her knee had not healed enough to play.

“I’m heartbroken to have to withdraw from doubles,” the 44-year-old said on Instagram.

READ: Venus Williams relishes Wimbledon reunion with sister Serena

Serena, a 23-time Grand Slam singles champion, suffered the injury during her defeat against Australia’s Maya Joint in the first round of the Wimbledon singles on Tuesday.

That was her first singles match since the 2022 US Open after four years in retirement.

The sisters, who won the Wimbledon doubles six times, were scheduled to face Solana Sierra and Camila Osorio after being given a wild card entry into the event.

But no court was specified by tournament organisers in the order of play, raising the possibility that seven-time Wimbledon singles winner Serena could withdraw.

To the disappointment of her legion of fans, Serena did just that, revealing the fluid on her injured knee made it impossible to continue her sensational return to Wimbledon.

“Coming back to compete again has been a gift, and the opportunity to play alongside Venus once more meant the world to me,” she said.

“I did everything I could to be ready, but unfortunately my knee just isn’t ready to compete. The photo of the syringes shows the fluid they drained from my knee after my singles match…yikes!”

Serena made an astonishing return to tennis at Queen’s Club last month, where she played in the doubles with Canadian Victoria Mboko.

But an injury to Mboko curtailed Williams’ run in the Wimbledon warm-up event after the pair won their first match.

 ‘Stay tuned’

Serena Williams of the United States, left, and Maya Joint of Australia shake hands at the end of their first round women’s singles match at the Wimbledon Tennis Championships in London, Tuesday, June 30, 2026. (AP Photo/Maja Smiejkowska)

Serena then crashed out in the first round of the Berlin doubles with Karolina Muchova before accepting Wimbledon’s offer of a wild card into the singles last week.

Serena had been motivated by a desire to play in front of her two young daughters Olympia and Adira, but they saw their mother feature in just one match at Wimbledon.

Serena competed gamely in her three-set defeat against Joint — a player 24 years younger than the American — on a packed Centre Court.

She did not fulfil her scheduled post-match press conference and her agent later said that was due to the knee injury, setting off speculation she would have to quit the doubles.

Williams posted footage of her limping in a heavy bandage, as well as some syringes full of fluid, as she confirmed her withdrawal.

“The good news is my knee shouldn’t swell or collect that much fluid again. The bad news is that, as hard as I tried, I just wasn’t able to get it ready for doubles,” she said.

“I’m especially grateful to tournament director, Jamie Baker, and the entire tournament team for giving me every opportunity to play here.”

Now questions will be asked about her ability to recover in time for the US Open later this year, while it is far from certain how much longer Serena’s comeback tour will last.

Hinting she is not finished yet, Williams said: “Thank you to the fans for your incredible support and for making this comeback so meaningful. All I can say is stay tuned to a city near you…”

The Cup Series makes its first visit to Chicagoland Speedway since 2019 as the eero 400 2026 takes place on Sunday. It’s the second race of the NASCAR In-Season Challenge, and the green flag for 2026 NASCAR at Chicago drops at 6 p.m. ET. Just three active drivers have prevailed at this track in two-time winner Brad Keselowski, plus Denny Hamlin and Alex Bowman, who have one win apiece. Others like Tyler Reddick, Chase Briscoe and Shane van Gisbergen, who won last week, will make their track debuts at the 2026 eero 400.

Despite that, Reddick is the second-favorite at +430, trailing only Hamlin (+380), per the latest NASCAR Chicago 2026 odds. Kyle Larson is priced at +600 as he searches for his first checkered flag of the season. As the last winner at Chicagoland, Bowman carries interest within eero 400 DFS picks but is a +4000 NASCAR longshot. Before locking in any NASCAR Chicago predictions or NASCAR DFS lineups, you need to see the projected leaderboard from Mike McClure’s proven model.

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McClure is a legendary professional DFS player with more than $2 million in career winnings. He uses a powerful prediction model that simulates every lap of NASCAR action 10,000 times. All told, the model has nailed a whopping 30 winners since 2021 and nailed Denny Hamlin’s back-to-back wins at Michigan and Pocono last month. Anyone following his NASCAR betting picks at their favorite sportsbooks could have seen huge returns.

Now, McClure has turned his attention to the NASCAR eero 400. He’s only sharing his best bets at SportsLine.

2026 NASCAR at Chicago predictions

For NASCAR at Chicago 2026, McClure is fading Denny Hamlin (+380), saying despite him being the favorite, simulations have Hamlin barely even cracking the top 5. After three straight victories, Hamlin has regressed in his last two starts, placing 14th in San Diego and then 26th last week at Sonoma. While he did win at Chicagoland in 2015, even with that victory, Hamlin has twice as many finishes 15th or worse (six) at this track than top 5s (three). While he’s a contender this week, he’s being overvalued at sportsbooks, making him one to avoid with NASCAR Chicago bets.

Another surprise: The model is high on Ty Gibbs (+1500), who is projected to make a strong run towards the title. Gibbs is coming off a successful race at Sonoma, notching a pair of stage wins and finishing third in the main race. That was his seventh top 5 of the year, which ranks fourth in NASCAR, while his 11 top 10s are topped by just two other drivers. Gibbs is finally realizing his full potential in his fourth year as a full-timer on the Cup Series as he sits fourth in the standings after never placing better than 15th previously. See which other drivers the model is backing at SportsLine.

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How to make 2026 eero 400 picks

McClure is also high on two other longshots of at least +1800 who make runs for the top of the leaderboard, including an enormous longshot of around +4000, potentially netting any backer a huge payday. You can only see who they are here.

So who wins the 2026 eero 400, and which massive longshots could stun NASCAR at Chicago? Visit SportsLine now to see the 2026 eero 400 picks and best bets from a NASCAR model that nailed back-to-back Denny Hamlin wins last month, and find out.

2026 NASCAR at Chicago odds, lineup

See full NASCAR eero 400 picks at SportsLine

(Odds from FanDuel, subject to change)

Denny Hamlin +380
Tyler Reddick +430
Kyle Larson +600
Christopher Bell +900
Chase Elliott +1000
Ryan Blaney +1200
Chase Briscoe +1400
Ty Gibbs +1500
William Byron +1800
Chris Buescher +1800
Bubba Wallace +2000
Carson Hocevar +2000
Daniel Suarez +3000
Brad Keselowski +3000
Alex Bowman +4000
Joey Logano +4000
Austin Cindric +5000
Corey Heim +6000
Erik Jones +6000
Ryan Preece +8000
Ross Chastain +10000
Shane Van Gisbergen +10000
Zane Smith +10000
Riley Herbst +17500
Michael McDowell +25000
Connor Zilisch +25000
Austin Dillon +25000
John Hunter Nemechek +30000
Austin Hill +40000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +40000
Cole Custer +50000
JJ Yeley +50000
Todd Gilliland +50000
AJ Allmendinger +50000
Cody Ware +50000
Ty Dillon +50000
Josh Berry +50000
Josh Bilicki +50000
Noah Gragson +50000