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College football’s 26 mind-blowing stats for 2026: Returning production, trends

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College football has always been a sport driven by outrageous numbers, but entering the 2026 season, several statistical realities across the country feel almost impossible to comprehend. In an era shaped by NIL, the transfer portal and expanded playoff expectations, roster continuity and returning production have become more important than ever — and some programs are entering the fall with noticeable advantages over the rest of the sport.

From national title contenders returning nearly their entire offensive lines to bluebloods replacing a heavy chunk of meaningful snaps from a year ago, the numbers paint a fascinating picture ahead of the 2026 season. Several playoff hopefuls rank among the nation’s leaders in returning production, while others are attempting to reload after massive roster turnover. 

There are also individual player trends, historic streaks and program-defining stats that show just how dramatically college football continues to evolve as it enters another season.

Whether it’s an SEC heavyweight bringing back nearly every offensive contributor, a Big Ten threat returning unprecedented experience or a powerhouse facing alarming regression signs, these numbers help explain why preseason expectations across the country are soaring — or crumbling.

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Here are 26 of the most mind-blowing stats entering the 2026 college football season.

Coaching greatness

1. Kirby Smart has more first-round picks (21) than losses at Georgia (20). Former Bulldogs offensive tackle Monroe Freeling became Smart’s 21st first-rounder in April, surpassing the number of total losses he’s had between the hedges during an illustrious tenure that includes two national titles. Many wondered whether Georgia would suffer a setback in 2025 after losing three Day 1 defensive picks, but the Bulldogs fielded a top-15 defense nationally and won their fourth SEC title under Smart.

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2. Indiana hasn’t lost a home game under Curt Cignetti (15-0). Guess who holds the nation’s longest home winning streak entering the 2026 season? Indiana has become a terror to beat in Bloomington under Cignetti, clobbering nine Big Ten opponents by an average of 33.3 points per game. The Hoosiers went 14-17 at Memorial Stadium over the previous five years combined prior to Cignetti’s arrival. The only ranked opponent Indiana has toppled at home during this unbeaten run was No. 9 Illinois last season — so the schedule’s been considerably favorable relative to Big Ten standards.

3. Kalen DeBoer is college football’s winningest active coach against top 25 opponents (20-6, .769). Alabama’s third-year leader has always gotten the most out of his players against the best teams on his schedule. He won four straight games against ranked opponents last season prior to a 1-3 slip down the stretch, including a blowout loss to Indiana in the CFP. Smart at 42-17 (.711) and Ohio State’s Ryan Day (27-11, .710) are close behind.

4. Kirk Ferentz has more wins (209) and NFL Draft picks (101) than any active coach. Success leads to longevity, and Ferentz has led a successful program at Iowa since the turn of the century. After producing seven draft picks last month, he surpassed 100 career NFL selections, making him the only active coach with that number. After leaving the Baltimore Ravens as their associate head coach in 1998, Ferentz has two Big Ten titles with the Hawkeyes and has been named conference coach of the year four times.

5. Dabo Swinney’s four national championship game appearances are more than any active coach. Swinney’s run at Clemson will never be forgotten, even as the NIL and transfer portal era has leveled the playing field a bit in recent years. At one point in Clemson’s climb, the Tigers won 12 or more games for five consecutive seasons and finished inside the top four of the final rankings every year from 2015 through the 2020 campaign. Both of Swinney’s national championships came against Saban and Alabama. It was a stretch that rivaled the ACC’s best ever, previously displayed by Bobby Bowden at Florida State from 1992 to 2000.

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6. Bill Belichick is the nation’s oldest coach (74) and could join elite company with a historic season. Florida State legend Bobby Bowden is the only coach at 75 or older to win a Power Five conference title, doing so in 2005 before retiring a few years later following a 7-6 finish. Entering his second campaign at North Carolina, Belichick hopes to bring the Tar Heels their first ACC championship since 1980 and would produce another feather in the cap if he does so after winning six Super Bowls as a head coach at the NFL level with the New England Patriots. Florida Atlantic’s Zach Kittley is college football’s youngest coach. He’ll turn 35 three weeks before the Owls’ opener this season at Florida.

Alabama’s Kalen DeBoer is college football’s winningest active coach against AP Top 25 competition.
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Team success

7. In the AP poll era, 9 SEC and 9 Big Ten programs have won conference titles. Competitive balance abounds. However, since the CFP began in 2014, each of these leagues has a clear top tier, followed by teams in contention, with the middle and bottom filling out the schedule. Alabama or Georgia has won 11 of the last 12 SEC championships, with LSU (2019) being the only outlier. There’s been a bit more parity in the Big Ten over that stretch, thanks to the recent surge from Oregon and Indiana. Six programs have won league titles in the CFP era, led by Ohio State’s six crowns and Michigan’s three.

8. Georgia has won 48 straight against unranked opponents, the most nationally by a long shot. Since losing in double overtime to South Carolina in 2019 in Athens, the Bulldogs haven’t lost a game against an unranked team. However, they have a long way to go to beat the SEC record — 100 by Alabama under Saban. The next closest Power Four program is Oregon. The Ducks are sitting on 33 straight wins over teams outside the top 25 under Dan Lanning.

9. Chances are high we see another first-time playoff participant in 2026. After numerous first-timers — including SMU, Arizona State, Texas Tech, Texas A&M and Miami — made the 12-team bracket in each of its first two seasons, let’s summon more parity this fall. UNLV, Memphis, Louisville, BYU, Houston and Utah are just a few of the programs with rosters competitive enough to get there in 2026 with a couple breaks. Thank you, revenue share and NIL spending for making rosters a bit more comparable for many.

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Dubious distinctions

10. Matt Rhule is 0-9 against top 25 opponents at NebraskaAfter losing three games last fall to ranked teams with the Huskers, Rhule is now 2-25 overall in his career against top 25 opponents. Despite a winless mark in the category at Nebraska, Rhule signed a two-year extension in October amid worries he could leave for the Penn State vacancy. If you include retention bonuses, Rhule’s salary over the entire contract has an AAV of over $11.7 million. Rhule’s last victory over a ranked team came against Navy on Dec. 3, 2016, during his tenure at Temple.

11. The Big 12 is 1-8 all-time in the playoff, including TCU’s 58-point loss to end the 2022 season. One of Texas Tech’s best seasons in program history ended with a thud last fall in the form of a shutout loss to Oregon, the Big Ten’s third-best team, in the CFP quarterfinals. That was the Big 12’s third straight playoff setback dating back to the Horned Frogs’ loss to Georgia in the 2023 title game. That TCU team outlasted Michigan in the semifinals for the league’s first CFP win. The Big 12’s worst in CFP action had been Oklahoma. The Sooners were 0-4 under Lincoln Riley, including a couple of blowout losses.

12. Only one preseason No. 1 since 2005 has won the national championship. Nick Saban won six titles at Alabama, but his 2017 team was the only squad to go front-to-back as America’s best. Seven of the 20 teams ranked No. 1 over the last two decades finished outside of the top 5, including Texas last season at No. 12 and 2012 USC, which was unranked. Teams vying for this year’s preseason No. 1 in August include Ohio State, Texas, Georgia and Notre Dame. The Buckeyes’ last preseason top billing came in 2015 before Ryan Day’s tenure.

13. Over the Group of Six’s four all-time playoff games, the average margin of defeat is 21.5 points. Those requesting more CFP entries from the non-Power Four ranks, beware. Talent discrepancies between the haves and have-nots are noticeable in the postseason, which started with Cincinnati’s 27-6 loss to Alabama in the 2021 playoff and culminated in blowout losses by James Madison and Tulane last fall in the first round. Oregon jumped out to a 31-point lead on the Dukes last season and pushed ahead 48-13 midway through the third quarter before Bob Chesney’s Sun Belt champions trimmed the gap and made it somewhat respectable.

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14. Will James Franklin overcome ranked opponent woes at Virginia TechFranklin was fired at Penn State for not beating enough quality opponents. His loss to Oregon last season at home was the Nittany Lions’ 15th straight defeat to a team inside the AP poll’s top 6, and his career mark of 2-21 against such opponents is the second-worst by any FBS head coach all time (minimum 20 contests). Later, Penn State became the first FBS team since 1978 to drop consecutive games as a 20-plus-point favorite, leading to his immediate exit. At Virginia Tech, previous coach and current defensive coordinator Brent Pry was 0-6 against ranked opponents over his three-plus-year tenure.

15. If history repeats, nearly half of the preseason AP Top 25 will find themselves struggling in November. According to numbers from The New York Times, an average of 9.5 teams ranked in the preseason have finished unranked in each of the AP polls since the rankings expanded to 25 teams in 1989. Last season, 11 teams capsized and were not included in the final AP rankings: Clemson, Penn State, Illinois, LSU, SMU, South Carolina, Florida, Kansas State, Iowa State, Boise State and Tennessee. Until the preseason poll drops in August, you can check out our post-spring top 25 for an early glimpse.

Matt Rhule is 2-25 in his coaching career against AP Top 25 opponents, and 0-8 at Nebraska.
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Roster quirks

16. USC returns more offensive starters (nine) than 93 FBS programs return total starters. With a nation-leading 15 returning starters this season, the Trojans should have their most complete team under Lincoln Riley. Jayden Maiava is the star at quarterback, and he can breathe easy knowing USC’s offense is loaded along the front lines and backfield with Waymond Jordan and King Miller back. Miller rushed for 972 yards and eight touchdowns while Jordan averaged 6.5 yards per carry last fall. Early-round wideouts Makai Lemon and Ja’Kobi Lane are the only two starters not returning on offense.

17. Iowa State and North Texas return zero starters from last season’s bowl teams. Nearly all of the Cyclones’ impact players followed Matt Campbell to Penn State, while North Texas was gutted of its talent after Eric Morris bolted for the Oklahoma State vacancy. The Cowboys signed an FBS-leading 55 transfers this cycle to finish with a top-15 haul, highlighted by 17 former Mean Green players, including standouts Drew Mestemaker (quarterback), Caleb Hawkins (running back) and Wyatt Young (wide receiver).

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18. Notre Dame leads the nation in returning snap percentage. No team brings back more experience than the Fighting Irish, with 66% of their returning snaps back at their respective positions, including a staggering 73% of defensive snaps under Marcus Freeman. Leonard Moore, Christian Gray and others are back in a loaded secondary that also features Colorado transfer D.J. McKinney. Considering Notre Dame replaces two first-round picks — Jeremiyah Love and Jadarian Price — at the running back position, it’s quite surprising the Fighting Irish can still flex enhanced experience on that side of the football.

19. Three different schools have signed three No. 1-rated transfers at various positions in a single cycle. LSU has pushed all of its 2026 roster resources toward the center of the table this offseason after coming to terms with quarterback Sam Leavitt, edge rusher Princewill Umanmielen and offensive tackle Jordan Seaton as portal five-stars. During the 2024 portal cycle, Ohio State landed top-ranked safety Caleb Downs, No. 1 quarterback Julian Sayin and No. 1 running back Quinshon Judkins before riding that star-driven roster — along with Will Howard — to a national championship. Lane Kiffin hopes to do the same in Baton Rouge. In 2021, Georgia signed Arik Gilbert (tight end), Derion Kendrick (cornerback) and Tykee Smith (safety) as three of the top-10 prospects that cycle and each No. 1 at their positions.

20. The Power Four’s turnover margin leader has played in the national title game three straight years. Indiana’s plus-22 turnover margin last season was the best in FBS and bested the Power Four’s top team in each of the previous two seasons (Notre Dame in 2024 at plus-18 and Michigan in 2023 at plus-19). Takeaways are not something you can coach, but Hoosiers defensive coordinator Bryant Haines and staffs with the Fighting Irish and Wolverines did stress going after the football and bringing the pain. Those three also keyed on not coughing it up, too.

Individual accolades

21. Jeremiah Smith needs 20 touchdown receptions to set the all-time Power Four mark. Ohio State’s unstoppable junior would become the most potent wideout in Power Four history by reaching the end zone 20 times, a feat that’s only been done twice since 2019. Former Alabama Heisman winner DeVonta Smith ranks fifth in FBS history in scoring catches (46) behind four standouts from the Group of Six — Jarett Dillard, Corey Davis, Troy Edwards and Darius Watts. Jeremiah Smith is the Power Four’s active leader in touchdown receptions with 27 entering what is likely his final campaign. DeVonta Smith’s 23 touchdown catches in 2020 and 20 from Ja’Marr Chase at LSU in 2019 are the highest marks in a single campaign.

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22. The last four Heisman winners have been transfers. Sign of the times, right? Fernando Mendoza (Indiana, 2025), Travis Hunter (Colorado, 2024), Jayden Daniels (LSU, 2023) and Caleb Williams (USC, 2022) all struck gold at different programs from where they originally signed, which is great news for the quarterbacks at Ohio State, Oregon, Indiana, Miami and LSU, should history repeat itself. Three of those elites added new signal callers this offseason, while returning starters Julian Sayin and Dante Moore for the Buckeyes and Ducks, respectively, were once transfers themselves.

23. Why is Missouri’s rushing prowess so often overlooked? Since Eli Drinkwitz brought his outside zone run game to the Tigers in 2020, Missouri has seen three of its running backs surpass 1,600 yards rushing in a single season — the most by any FBS program during that time. Tyler Badie (1,604 yards in 2021), Cody Schrader (1,627 in 2023) and Ahmad Hardy (1,649) last season all led the SEC in rushing, and all were underrated recruits. Badie signed with the Tigers as a three-star, Schrader as an unranked Division II All-American transfer and Hardy out of Louisiana-Monroe. Ole Miss All-America running back Kewan Lacy, who ranked third nationally in rushing yards with 1,464 yards and 23 touchdowns last fall, originally signed with Missouri in 2024 and appeared in six games as a reserve. That’s how adept this coaching staff is at identifying top-flight talent in the backfield. 

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24. Julian Sayin is gunning for the all-time quarterback efficiency honor. During his first season as Ohio State’s QB1 last fall, the former Alabama transfer led the nation in completion percentage (78.4%) and passing efficiency (182.05). His current completion percentage prior to going 22-of-35 against Miami in the CFP was better than the all-time NCAA record of 77.4% by Oregon’s Bo Nix (2023) and Alabama’s Mac Jones (2020). However, Sayin’s final outing pushed him to 77% for the season, so Nix stayed on top. Putting Sayin’s numbers further in perspective, new Ohio State offensive coordinator Arthur Smith is under pressure to ensure Sayin’s second year as the starter tops his first.

25. ‘The Big House Streak’ will continue under Kyle Whittingham. Official “sellouts” aren’t tracked at Michigan. However, the Wolverines have announced an attendance of 100,000-plus at 329 consecutive home games since 1975. Nebraska has sold out 410 consecutive home games entering the 2026 season, which is believed to be the longest streak in college football. Oklahoma has a recognized sellout streak of 161 games, which includes last fall’s CFP first-round loss to Alabama. In 2019, Notre Dame’s home sellout streak of 273 ended against Navy.

26. On-field play this fall means more than any 2027 NFL mock draft evaluation can provide. By now, you’ve likely digested your share of various first-round mocks for next cycle. And as a fan of those, you know there’s nothing set in stone with 12 (or more) games’ worth of sample size upcoming for scouts and evaluators to dissect prior to the combine. Before falling in love with a projected Day 1 quarterback, left tackle or elite edge rusher, let things play out. Garrett Nussmeier and Drew Allar were locks to go early this time last summer, and look what happened to those two quarterbacks, along with the emergence of Fernando Mendoza. Will Arch Manning, Dante Moore, LaNorris Sellers and others deliver, or will we see another in-season whiff from the game’s perceived best under center? This is what makes this time of year so difficult to project — and exciting — across the sport.

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All Signs Point to One Spot for Vikings Summer Free Agency

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Vikings defenders participate in drills during the first day of mandatory minicamp at TCO Performance Center.
Minnesota Vikings defenders (Domonique Orange) participate in drills during the opening day of mandatory minicamp at the TCO Performance Center. The session offered an early look at Brian Flores’ defense as veterans and newcomers worked through assignments and technique development. Captured on June 9, 2026, the practice highlighted Minnesota’s preparation for the upcoming season. Mandatory Credit: YouTube.

The moment the Minnesota Vikings traded Jonathan Greenard to the Philadelphia Eagles for two 3rd-Round picks, they created a semi-urgent need at the outside linebacker position — if they don’t trust their in-house commodities.

The club has just over $13 million to spend in summer free agency, and all signs point to another EDGE defender if Bo Richter, Tyler Batty, or Chaz Chambliss don’t win the OLB3 job.

Vikings’ Pass Rush Depth Makes EDGE the Obvious Target

Brian Flores scans the field from the sideline during the Vikings' NFC Wild Card playoff game at State Farm Stadium. vikings free agency
Minnesota Vikings defensive coordinator Brian Flores watches from the sideline during NFC Wild Card playoff action at State Farm Stadium. On Jan. 13, 2025, Flores managed defensive adjustments, personnel groupings, and situational strategy as Minnesota competed in a high-stakes postseason environment against one of the league’s top offensive teams. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images.

Vikings Could Use FA Cash at OLB

Minnesota may not sign an OLB this week, but it should be on the mind of new general manager Nolan Teasley, according to The Athletic‘s Alec Lewis.

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He wrote Tuesday, “Trading Jonathan Greenard to the Philadelphia Eagles places major responsibility on third-year edge rusher Dallas Turner. It also emphasizes the depth behind Turner and Van Ginkel. The scheme can only go so far.”

“When one-on-one pass-rush opportunities present themselves, the Vikings need edge rushers who can win. Minnesota’s staff thinks highly of former undrafted edge rushers Chaz Chambliss, Bo Richter and Tyler Batty, though none of them have produced at the NFL level.”

Based on last year’s snap counts, Richter or Batty would likely get the OLB3 nod on the depth chart if Tealsey signs no newcomers.

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Lewis continued, “The Vikings have around $13 million in cap space, according to Over The Cap, and some enticing free-agent edge rushers remain. The Vikings could wait until training camp to make a move.”

“But from a competitiveness standpoint, supplementing this position group seems paramount.”

The Options

If one assumes the Vikings don’t fire up a fancy trade for an EDGE defender — they probably won’t because they would’ve kept Greenard otherwise — free agency actually has a barrage of promising options. Assuming Minnesota doesn’t wait until the last minute, here’s the EDGE market right now:

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  • Cameron Jordan
  • Derek Barnett
  • Haason Reddick
  • Jadeveon Clowney
  • Joey Bosa
  • Kyle Van Noy
  • Leonard Floyd
  • Marcus Davenport
  • Von Miller
  • Yannick Ngakoue

The list is thick, and outside of Davenport — a former Viking who disappeared after a high ankle sprain in 2023 — fans would not be disappointedwith any man from this list.

An easy way to think of it? It’s a good time to need a veteran outside linebacker. Plenty to go around.

Jadeveon Clowney warms up before a preseason game between the Carolina Panthers and New York Jets. vikings free agency
Carolina Panthers linebacker Jadeveon Clowney participates in pregame warm-ups before an exhibition matchup against the New York Jets. On Aug. 17, 2024, the veteran pass rusher prepared for preseason action at Bank of America Stadium, continuing his role as one of the Panthers’ most experienced defensive contributors. Mandatory Credit: Jim Dedmon-USA TODAY Sports.

SKOR North‘s Judd Zulgad noted on Clowney in particular this week, “Clowney, who is 33, has 66.5 sacks in 153 games over 12 seasons with seven teams. Last season, he had 8.5 sacks in 13 games with Dallas. Teasley is familiar with Clowney, who spent the 2019 season in Seattle when Teasley was the Seahawks’ director of pro personnel.”

Rolling the Dice with a UDFA?

If it’s not a household name like Jordan, Clowney, Bosa, Floyd, or Miller, Minnesota would promote from within. Four in-house options are available after Van Ginkel and Turner, all the aforementioned undrafted free agents: Richter, Batty, Chambliss, and Cam’Ron Stewart.

As Lewis noted, there’s no way to know in June if those men have the juice for a full-time OLB3 role, but behind the scenes, defensive coordinator Brian Flores should know if any of the four is ready.

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Meanwhile, the longer the Vikings wait without signing a free-agent EDGE, the closer they get to riding with Richter, Batty, Chambliss, and Stewart. There’s also a chance that Minnesota waits until the post-cutdown market, when approximately 1,200 NFLers hit free agency or bide their time for a practice squad assignment.

Other Positions of Need?

Finally, the other spots on the roster that could use some love from Teasley. This list is not that long, believe it or not.

Minnesota has plenty of safeties, and if Harrison Smith returns, no more are needed. If Smith doesn’t return for Year No. 15, a free-agent safety cannot be ruled out if rookie Jakobe Thomas isn’t ready for the regular season.

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Mark Wilf and Nolan Teasley speak during an introductory press conference at the TCO Performance Center in Eagan. vikings free agency
Minnesota Vikings owner Mark Wilf joins newly hired general manager Nolan Teasley during an introductory press conference at team headquarters. On June 3, 2026, Teasley outlined his vision for the franchise, discussing roster construction, organizational goals, and collaboration with ownership as he formally began his tenure in Minnesota. Mandatory Credit: YouTube.

With the safety caveat, the positions of need are down two spots in June, July, and August: cornerback and guard. Flores has Byron Murphy Jr., Isaiah Rodgers, James Pierre, rookie Charles Demmings, and Dwight McGlothern locked and loaded at CB. If the Vikings wanted to be ultra-deep, free agents like Trevon Diggs and Mike Hilton are looking for work.

At guard, the situation is similar to OLB. Should Joe Huber and Henry Byrd do the trick as depth, no more guards are required. The saving grace is that about 10 decent depth guards are on the free-agent wire.

Vikings training camp is about seven weeks away. A quality, big-name EDGE like Clowney or Bosa would likely cost around $10 million.


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Dustin Baker is a novelist and political scientist. His second novel, The Invaders , is out now. So is … More about Dustin Baker

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World Cup 2026: Was weather delay to England v Costa Rica sign of things to come?

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England head coach Thomas Tuchel said the delay to their World Cup warm-up game with Costa Rica gave them a “little taste of what can happen” – but will that prove to be an understatement?

The match was due to start at 21:00 BST in Orlando, Florida, but heavy rain and thunderstorms pushed it back an hour to 22:00 BST.

Weather delays have been a major talking point in the build-up to this year’s World Cup, with several matches in last year’s Fifa Club World Cup in the United States impacted by thunderstorms.

This was not the first tournament warm-up game to suffer delays caused by storms either – and many fans are concerned it could become a theme throughout the World Cup.

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“We were aware of that before – now we experience it,” Tuchel told ITV before the game. “It’s no problem.

“It should not be an excuse to lose our mood or patience or to lose our hunger to play the game.

“No problem at all. We realised it when we were still at the hotel so it was easy. We just said half an hour later in the bus and let’s go.”

Fans who had already arrived at Inter&Co Stadium were told to evacuate from the stands and retreat to a safe position on the concourses to avoid lightning strikes.

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Thunderstorms in the US are not uncommon, but when it comes to them impacting matches, Fifa has no power to make its own rules and must adhere to the advice of local authorities.

Recommendations of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) are used and they say if any lightning strike is detected within eight miles of a stadium, the game has to be stopped.

A mandatory 30-minute countdown begins and each time there is a lightning strike inside the distance, the countdown clock resets to 30 minutes.

If a full 30 minutes has elapsed, the supporters can go back to their seats and players will have a short warm-up.

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Haiti make change to World Cup 2026 shirt after Fifa complaint

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Haiti have been forced into a late change on their World Cup 2026 shirts after Fifa accused them of violating its regulations on political speech.

Haiti, preparing to kick off their World Cup in Group C against Scotland in Boston on Saturday, previously had a shirt that depicted a war scene from the country’s battle for ⁠independence.

But shirt manufacturer Saeta confirmed on Wednesday that a swift, late change had been made after collaborating with the Haitian Football Federation on the design.

It previously was said to be geared towards “celebrating the pride, resilience, and spirit” of the Haitian people, with the Colombian manufactuer emphasising that it did not intend it to be a political statement.

“During the review process, ‌FIFA determined that certain ‌visual elements could be interpreted differently under its equipment regulations and ultimately requested ⁠modifications to the design,” Saeta said in a statement.

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Haiti’s home kit by Saeta
Haiti’s home kit by Saeta (Saeta)

“While this interpretation differed from our intention, Saeta respected the process and implemented the final requirements communicated by FIFA.”

Soccer’s world governing ‌body FIFA, the Haitian Football ​Federation and the team’s media ‌officer did not ⁠immediately respond when asked by ⁠Reuters for comment.

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Messi scores from the spot as Argentina beat Iceland 3-0 in WC friendly | FIFA World Cup 2022

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Lionel Messi is ready for his sixth World Cup.


After recovering from a muscle injury, the captain of the reigning world champions played 20 minutes and scored a penalty in Argentina’s 3-0 victory over Iceland on Tuesday in its final tune-up match before the World Cup.


Messi, recovered from muscle fatigue and a slight strain in his left hamstring that he suffered in his last appearance with Inter Miami on May 24, started the game from the bench. 

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Just days before his 39th birthday and his sixth World Cup, Messi came on in the 70th minute and he scored a penalty kick after Lautaro Martinez was fouled inside the area.

 


Messi, the all-time top scorer for the Argentine national team with 117 goals, converted the penalty with a high left-footed shot in the 72nd minute.


Argentina, seeking its fourth World Cup title after those won in 1978, 1986, and 2022, will open its tournament against Algeria on June 16 in Kansas City in Group J, which also includes Austria and Jordan.

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It was the second match between the two nations. The first one was at the 2018 World Cup, when the European side managed a 1-1 draw in which Messi missed a penalty.

(Only the headline and picture of this report may have been reworked by the Business Standard staff; the rest of the content is auto-generated from a syndicated feed.)

First Published: Jun 10 2026 | 10:36 AM IST

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Not Argentina, Machine-Learning Algorithm Predicts This Team To Win FIFA World Cup 2026

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The FIFA World Cup has seen ‘Paul the Octopus’ – the famous eight-limbed soothsayer. In this age of AI and machine learning, predicting a World Cup winner has become more refined. Take, for example, Achim Zeileis, Professor of Statistics, University of Innsbruck. He has used “machine learning algorithm and subsequent simulations are fueled by data, expert knowledge and statistical models” to predict the likely winner of the FIFA World Cup 2026 – the biggest edition of the marquee event so far.

What Was the Process Followed to Predict the Winner?

Achim Zeileis says his algorithm proceeds in two steps. “In the first, sophisticated statistical models and expert insight from bookmakers and transfer markets are combined to determine the strengths of all teams and their players. In the second step, a machine learning algorithm decides how to best combine the strength estimates with other information about the teams,” he wrote in The Independent.

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“We ran the simulation 100,000 times to determine the tournament’s most likely course. The results show that Spain is the favourite for the title with a winning probability of 14.5%, closely followed by England and France, each at 12.4%, and Germany at 11.2%.”

“Portugal and Argentina also have good chances of winning the title, at 8.9% and 8.2%, respectively.”

A Deep Dive

Zeileis says his algorithm took note of four variables.

“First, all national matches over the past eight years are the basis for a “retrospective” estimate of the teams’ strengths. Second, a “prospective” strength estimate is obtained from quoted odds of various international bookmakers, reflecting their expert opinions about the upcoming tournament,” he wrote further.

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“Third, ratings of the individual players are produced based on their contributions to goals at the club and national levels. And finally, the current quality and future potential of the players are reflected in their expected market values. These are available from the Transfermarkt website, which uses a wisdom-of-the-crowd approach to estimate the unknown real market values.


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Super Eagles Hailed Despite Narrow Friendly Defeat to Portugal as Iwobi Reaches 100 Caps

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Nigeria’s Super Eagles produced a spirited performance but suffered a narrow 2-1 defeat to Portugal in an international friendly match played in Leiria on Wednesday night.

Before kick-off, Super Eagles midfielder Alex Iwobi was honoured for making his 100th appearance for Nigeria. The Chairman of the National Sports Commission, Shehu Dikko, alongside NFF Executive Committee member Sharif Rabiu Inuwa, presented him with a special framed shirt to mark the milestone.

Portugal, led by football legend Cristiano Ronaldo, started brightly but found a determined Nigerian side ready to compete.

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Ronaldo had an early chance in the ninth minute but failed to beat goalkeeper Maduka Okoye. At the other end, striker Akor Adams also went close but dragged his effort wide.

Portugal took the lead in the 23rd minute when Pedro Neto fired past Okoye from close range after a pass from Diogo Dalot.

Okoye then produced a brilliant save to deny Bruno Fernandes in the 33rd minute before Ronaldo narrowly missed with a header moments later.

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Nigeria continued to push forward and got their reward in the 37th minute. Adams won possession in midfield, made a run into the box and finished confidently after receiving a pass from Fisayo Dele-Bashiru to make it 1-1.

The Super Eagles remained competitive after the break, with Okoye making two important saves from João Félix. Ronaldo also continued searching for a goal but could not find the target.

On the hour mark, Super Eagles coach Éric Chelle introduced several substitutes, including Terem Moffi, Raphael Onyedika and Frank Onyeka. The changes gave Nigeria fresh energy as they continued to trouble the hosts.

However, Portugal found the winning goal with 15 minutes remaining. Francisco Conceição cut in from the right and fired home to restore his side’s lead.

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Okoye made another impressive save late in the game to deny Félix, but Nigeria could not find an equaliser before the final whistle.

Despite the defeat, the Super Eagles earned praise for their fighting spirit and strong display against a Portugal side preparing for the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

The loss was only the second defeat in regular time for Chelle since taking charge of Nigeria 15 months ago.

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I tried ‘zero-torque’ putters for 6 months. Here’s why I’m not using one now

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Fifa and global players’ union agree landmark deal

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World governing body Fifa has struck a landmark deal with global players’ union Fifpro that means players will be represented when major decisions affecting the game are agreed.

Faced with a number of separate legal claims around player welfare, Fifa has agreed a memorandum of understanding with Fifpro, which it says “marks [a] paradigm shift in governance of professional football, with transfer system and player welfare standards”.

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For the first time, Fifpro will have a veto over key areas of the game’s governance and also observer access, with speaking rights, at the powerful Fifa Council, the decision-making body of global football.

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Fifa says it has struck the deal on the condition that all legal proceedings against it, initiated by Fifpro, are withdrawn.

In October 2024, Fifpro filed an “abuse of dominance” claim against Fifa around the overcrowded match calendar.

Earlier this week, former France midfielder Lassana Diarra reached a settlement in his damages claim, initially for 65 million euros (£56.1m), against Fifa and the Belgian Football Association after his contract was cancelled by Russian club Lokomotiv Moscow and he was subsequently denied a transfer to Charleroi in 2014.

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One of the key elements of the agreement is that players will have greater protection from what are regarded as abusive practices, including forcing them to train on their own, withholding passports or abusing registration procedures.

In those circumstances, players will be able to cancel their contracts and still receive the payments they are due under those contracts, claim compensation for justifiable expenses and potentially demand an extra six months’ pay in damages.

Clubs that fail to respect their contractual obligations will face swifter and more effective sporting and financial consequences.

Fifpro president Sergio Marchi said: “This agreement represents an important step forward for football. Ensuring that players and their representatives have a meaningful voice in decisions affecting their careers is not only beneficial for footballers, but for the game as a whole.”

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Speaking at the Azteca Stadium in Mexico City a day before the World Cup begins, Fifa president Gianno Infantino hailed the agreement.

“It’s about unity, about bringing everyone together,” he said.

“We’ve always been having dialogues. Now, sometimes you don’t agree, when you don’t agree, well, you can go and say it to everyone, or you can sit down and discuss and see what makes sense.

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“So, we signed a memorandum of understanding with Fifpro, everything is agreed.”

Good news, but issues remain – analysis

This all looks very positive, but it is not quite perfect.

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The major issue over the congested match calendar is still to be resolved, and it is understood the Professional Footballers’ Association is not yet in a position to back down from its own legal threat,

It remains to be seen if a resolution for the outstanding issues can be found and, if it cannot, whether Infantino will threaten to pull the plug on the whole agreement.

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However, for now, the players’ voice is starting to be heard.

For too long, it has appeared the people most responsible for the enduring worldwide appeal of the game have no input into the major decisions around it. That is beginning to change.

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Barcelona or Bayern transfer, Carrick decision – Should Man United take Marcus Rashford back?

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Marcus Rashford enjoyed an upturn in form on loan at Barcelona last season but the Manchester United forward still has no certainty over which club he will be playing for in 2026/27

Marcus Rashford’s future is in limbo. The Manchester United academy graduate impressed on loan at Barcelona last season, with many expecting him to stay after his debut campaign in Spain.

The forward contributed to Barca’s La Liga title and Supercopa victory in a brilliant 2025/26 season for Hansi Flick’s side. Rashford‘s form in Catalonia played a key role in England boss Thomas Tuchel calling him up for the Three Lions’ World Cup squad this summer.

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But uncertainty surrounds his next destination. Barca have until June 15 to exercise their £26million purchase option to sign him on a permanent deal. Reports in Spanish publication Marca claim they won’t do this and have already moved on after signing Anthony Gordon for more than £69m from Newcastle United.

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The question is: where could Rashford go if the Spanish champions choose, as now looks likely, not to sign him? Premier League sides, including Arsenal, Tottenham Hotspur and Aston Villa, who had Rashford on loan for the second half of the previous season, have been linked.

United have no plans to reintegrate the 28-year-old back into their first team, but with no clear destination for him, should they re-consider that stance? Below are the thoughts of journalists at the Manchester Evening News…

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Tyrone Marshall

Rashford’s ego must have been hurt when he found out that Barcelona were signing Antony Gordon. That really did come out of nowhere and given the season Rashford had at Barcelona, you can understand his frustration.

That return of 14 goals and 14 assists is a reminder that there is a good player there. In fact, there is a very good player and he won’t be short of suitors this summer.

A return to United should be a non-starter, though. The reasons why he was cast aside by Ruben Amorim have been well documented, and it was a decision backed by the club, not just taken unilaterally by Amorim.

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Rashford would have to show a lot of contrition, and there is little evidence of that happening. The other issue is that he no longer fits within the wage structure redrawn by Ineos.

If Rashford was to be a squad player behind Matheus Cunha and Patrick Dorgu, but was taking home twice or even three times as much, it would risk creating friction. This squad is in a good place now and it doesn’t need those problems rearing their head again.

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Isaac Seelochan

This is a bruising situation for Rashford. He couldn’t have done much more at Barcelona last season, but their apparent reluctance to sign him speaks volumes.

Money cannot be used as an excuse after Barca shelled out almost £70m on Gordon. Yes, his wages are high, but I’m sure there could be a compromise if both parties wanted this deal to happen.

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Ultimately, whatever happens with Barcelona, United need to move him on. No one can say with any confidence that Rashford will find the motivation and form to become an important player for Michael Carrick.

The Reds cannot afford to take any risks and have proven with their current attacking options that they don’t need him. Instead, focus should be on selling him – even to a Premier League rival – with his homegrown status as an academy graduate meaning any sale would be pure profit.

Jack Flintham

It has all gone a bit pear shaped for Rashford. For much of this season, it seemed as though the 28-year-old would make his move to Barcelona permanent. Barca were happy, Rashford was happy and United were happy to let him go and start a new chapter.

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Now, that seems to be in ruins. Rashford’s future is up in the air and you cannot see a clear option for him at the moment. If he has a good World Cup, there will undoubtedly be clubs interested in him and I still feel the best route for Rashford and United is for him to leave this summer.

Having said that, United will be wanting a left-sided winger this summer and Rashford can do a job for the Reds on that flank. Ruben Amorim’s exit and Michael Carrick’s arrival also positions Rashford nicely to do an unexpected 180.

However, the main stumbling block will be with the fans. Unlike Alejandro Garnacho, Rashford did not go out of his way to intentionally rile up the United fanbase and he has been largely respectful to the club. But the manner in which things imploded under Amorim has not been forgotten and it will divide opinion if he is given another chance, not least due to his hefty salary.

It still remains in United’s best interests to sell Rashford and continue to usher in a new era at Old Trafford.

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Kieran King

I don’t think Manchester United should allow Marcus Rashford to be part of the first-team group at Old Trafford next season. I believe that ship has sailed and he should move on again, preferably on a permanent basis.

Michael Carrick started to create something special in the second half of the season and he should continue with the same group of players while adding a couple that strengthen the squad both on and off the pitch.

I know Rashford has been a sensation, at times, for United over the years, but he made it clear last summer that he wanted to leave the Reds and I don’t think that mindset is needed in the camp right now.

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Carrick should require commitment from every single player and that cannot be guaranteed with Rashford. United would be better off signing someone who is desperate to put on the shirt, such as Matheus Cunha and Bryan Mbeumo proved last season, rather than bringing back Rashford into the fold.

Although Barcelona is no longer an option for Rashford, I think Bayern Munich could be a suitable next destination for him. He would act as back-up to Luis Diaz in that side and play second-fiddle to Harry Kane up front. It could work as a perfect match if Rashford and Bayern are keen to make it happen.

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3 Shots that tour pros survive on, per a top teacher

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While we may never truly know the inner workings of a tour player’s game, there are a few shots and strategy basics that pros — and even elite amateurs — know and follow. Recently, Cameron McCormick, a GOLF Top 100 Teacher and instructor to tour players like Jordan Spieth, shared three crucial shots pros rely on in tournaments to navigate tough playing conditions.

While the pros use these key shots, they’re also simple enough to incorporate into your own game — and they might just be what you’ve been missing.

Keep reading to learn what the three survival shots are and how to start using them during your rounds.

Low, fairway finder drive

While it’s fun to hit the long bomb, precision off the tee is often rewarded more than length — but you still don’t want to give up the advantage of hitting driver off the tee. 

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That’s why it’s important to have a stock drive that you know can find the short grass every time. McCormick explains that pros create more control by dialing back their swing and making an easy setup adjustment. 

“Pros are going to dial speed down a little bit, they’ll drop the tee height, which will help them create a lower launch trajectory, keeping the ball out of the wind,” McCormick says.

To dial back your swing, focus on control rather than simply swinging slower. A useful drill is to practice at 80–90% effort and gradually increase your speed. As soon as your control or consistency starts to decline, you’ve found your limit. From there, scale back to the highest level of effort where you can still produce consistent results.

For tee height, experiment to find what best complements your swing. In the clip above, McCormick tees the ball so that the top of the ball is level with the top edge of the driver face. Use that as a starting point, then test slightly higher and lower tee positions to determine which setup helps you make the most consistent contact.

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Flighted wedge shots

Like many amateur golfers, you may find that your wedge shots inside 100 yards constantly come up short. While there are a number of reasons this can happen, McCormick says a common mistake amateurs make is trying to hit the ball too high on these key scoring shots.

“In trying to hit it high, I introduce the chance of mis-executing my ball speed too short and therefore leaving it short,” he says.

Rather than launching their wedges high into the air, tour pros favor a low, flighted trajectory.

“Pros will almost always choose to flight their wedges lower because it gives them better control of their carry distance,” McCormick says.

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To hit those penetrating, flighted wedge shots, use two keys from GOLF Top 100 Teacher Parker McLachlin, better known as Short Game Chef. First, set up with your weight forward. Then, play the ball slightly forward of center. This setup encourages a downward angle of attack without getting too steep, helping you produce the low, flighted wedge shots the pros have mastered. 

Protect the low-side miss

When faced with a putt that’s long and winding, McCormick explains that tour pros always protect the low-side miss. They play the maximum possible break, so that it only gets closer to the hole as it crests the hill.

“It almost ensures that the next one is a guaranteed tap in,” McCormick says.

Not only does this improve your chances of making the putt, but as McCormick explains, it also demands less speed. Instead of choosing a line that requires an aggressive stroke and causes the ball to break away from the hole, you select a path that allows the putt to track closer and closer to the cup as it loses speed

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