Connect with us

Sports

Matheus Cunha rescues Manchester United but their major issue remains clear

Published

on

Manchester United avert a crisis, but can’t really avoid criticism. Michael Carrick got lucky against Fulham, and consequently got away with one. For now.

A game that had looked like it was edging towards a first Alvaro Arbeloa win, courtesy of Lisandro Martinez’s bizarre own goal, instead saw another wicked deflection divert it to a 1-1 draw.

Neither club is completely unhappy, but this could have been a lot worse for both.

An exuberant Fulham at least climb off the bottom of the table, ensuring it is Tottenham Hotspur who sit there going into this three-week international window. They look the closest to the “crisis club” enduring all manner of external criticism and introspection going into an unusually long break. That was so close to being United.

Bruno Fernandes struck the post in the first half in what was United’s best opportunity to score
Bruno Fernandes struck the post in the first half in what was United’s best opportunity to score (Reuters)
A fortuitous own goal scored by Lisandro Martinez gave Fulham the lead in a dire contest with Manchester United
A fortuitous own goal scored by Lisandro Martinez gave Fulham the lead in a dire contest with Manchester United (Reuters)

Matheus Cunha’s deflected late strike, however, shouldn’t put off bigger discussions.

This was another underwhelming display, completely lacking in any kind of convincing attacking football. There is just so much off with the team right now.

Advertisement

An irony is that the calamitous own goal actually came in the one period of the game where what United were doing actually made some sense. Fulham are one of the most aggressive teams in the Premier League in how they push forward, almost absurdly overcommitting.

After that contributed to an entertainingly open first half, Carrick evidently realised his team should just try and hit the home side on the counter. It was logical… until your team just does something illogical.

An Alex Iwobi shot was eventually deflected into the path of Martinez, who instinctively reacted and helped the ball back towards goal. With Senne Lammens wrong-footed by his initial save, however, he didn’t reach across and somewhat meekly allowed the ball to go past him.

He might have been conscious of a back-pass or maybe was just too far away, but it all just added up to another hapless moment.

Advertisement

Carrick might well feel that’s just what happens in football when it feels everything is going against you.

It is almost the total opposite of last season, where it was like everything – right up to the calendar – was going United’s way. They had a positive momentum. Now, certainly until that late strike, it was a negative momentum.

And that’s also why he might feel the equalising goal was so important. It was a stroke of fortune when United badly needed it.

Rather than intense discussion of Carrick losing his job, the talk could be about how this might be a turning point, that this is something to build on, that it will psychologically settle a team that had looked tense.

Advertisement

That would also be a bit much, though.

Man Utd were too passive and lacked the desire to win the game
Man Utd were too passive and lacked the desire to win the game (Getty)
Matheus Cunha's goal earned United a point at Craven Cottage
Matheus Cunha’s goal earned United a point at Craven Cottage (PA)

United do look to have visible structural problems in the team. They don’t properly construct attacks that aren’t almost set-piece moves. So many passages of play end with hopeful long shots or hopeless crosses, to a striker that isn’t even there.

That is where the main discussion should lie.

Put bluntly, they don’t even attack in the way that Fulham do. The 19th-place position of Arbeloa’s side does seem like it doesn’t fully reflect performances given they have had an enjoyable intensity about all of their games, but the issue is a clear inability to close anything out.

There’s a vulnerability there, that doesn’t look like it’s going to go away any time soon.

Advertisement

Is it a naivety about the Premier League from a young manager, who does have something about him?

Can they grow from fully committing to the idea?

It is at least an idea. United don’t really seem to have one going forward, and that should be the real concern out of this match, regardless of result.

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Advertisement
Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Sports

UFC 331 Underdog Pick: Why Brunno Ferreira Can Upset Edmen Shahbazyan

Published

on

Mar 7, 2026; Las Vegas, Nevada, UNITED STATES; Brunno Ferreira (blue gloves) reacts after the fight against Gregory Rodrigues (red gloves) during UFC 326 at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-Imagn ImagesMar 7, 2026; Las Vegas, Nevada, UNITED STATES; Brunno Ferreira (blue gloves) reacts after the fight against Gregory Rodrigues (red gloves) during UFC 326 at T-Mobile Arena. Mandatory Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-Imagn Images

Many feel the way that you have to bet on UFC is parlaying heavy favorites together, but underdogs win approximately 35% of the time in the world’s largest MMA promotion. Don’t be afraid to hunt for plus money.

Years ago, I developed a predictive model that uses in-fight stats and fighter attributes to simulate UFC fight outcomes — so long as the combatants had at least 30 completed octagon minutes or 5 total fights. I found that, in the UFC, moneyline favorites are usually overvalued.

How is that possible? Well, in a fight environment with as many variables per second as MMA, it’s hard to see the difference between -150 and -350 in real time. Great bets can lose. Terrible bets can win by lucky measures.

Every week, I’m going to give you my favorite underdog bet of the week. They’ll usually be showing value in my model, and I’ll explain their path to victory.

Here’s my favorite bit of plus money available for UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2

Advertisement

Note: All fight odds come via Polymarket, the official prediction market of UFC.

Swaim’s Underdog of the Week: Brunno Ferreira (+160)

Model Odds: +110

Model’s Favorite Exact Outcome and Implied Odds: Decision (+440)

Our Current Best Offers

Advertisement

Channel debug: betting

In one of the most strange lines of a loaded card in Los Angeles, bettors (or traders) are pushing Edmen Shahbazyan toward a two-to-one favorite in a battle of extremely similar fighters. I don’t get it.

Shahbazyan is the more polished fighter from Xtreme Couture, one of the best MMA gyms in the world under head coach Eric Nicksick. In this same division, his teammate, Sean Strickland, has the belt. But, that’s also been the case for years as “The Golden Boy” has struggled to make his mark at middleweight.

Advertisement

Shahbazyan’s 9-6 record is far from perfect, and his +0.19 striking success rate (SSR) is fairly flat. When fresh, the striker is long, fast, and dangerous. But he’s proven to have an expiration date in fights, most recently verified in a second-round loss to Gerald Meerschaert. “GM3” has gone on a five-fight losing skid since beating Shahbazyan.

Anytime the middleweight exerts himself early, it ends poorly. He’s gone to a cautious decision in two of his last three fights knowing this. All Brunno Ferreira might have to do here is force action and survive long enough to watch Shahbazyan fade.

“The Hulk” has certainly been good at that. He’s got a 1.63% knockdown rate, and 7 of his 11 UFC-affiliated appearances, including the Contender Series, ended in Round 1. Twice a victim in those scenarios, that’s probably the most dangerous round for him.

But, in deeper waters, Ferreira has proven his Brazilian jiu-jitsu black belt is legitimate with submissions in two of his last five fights. A longer fight? Well, he outlasted former title challenger Marvin Vettori in one of those, too. If this isn’t a quick, clean kickboxing match, Ferreira seems to have a great chance.

Advertisement

Anecdotally, the Brazilian has struggled at times with discipline and coming to fight week in the best possible conditioning. On a two-fight losing skid, he looked in outstanding shape at weigh-ins. I typically don’t factor in that hard-to-quantify noise, but I think it matters greatly for Ferreira, given his history and his entering a fight like this, where endurance could be a key factor.

The model’s verdict agrees with my assessment. It feels like Shahbazyan’s technique is really expensive when, at the end of the day, these are both powerful strikers with inconsistent defense, submission danger, and questionable gas tanks. I’ve got Edmen a slight favorite (52.5%), but it’s otherwise saying to flip a coin.

If this fight extends to Round 2, Ferreira should be in an excellent position to pull the upset.

Our Current Best Offers

Advertisement

Channel debug: betting

Source link

Advertisement
Continue Reading

Sports

I don’t understand the glum face

Published

on

Former Manchester United striker Michael Owen expressed his surprise about attacker Marcus Rashford’s forlorn lock in the 1-1 Premier League draw at Fulham on Sunday (September 20).

Following a goalless first half at Craven Cottage, Lisandro Martinez’s own goal in the 63rd minute put the hosts in front before Matheus Cunha forced a share of the spoils for the Red Devils a minute from time.

Rashford, 28, started the game but couldn’t make much of an impact as he cut a largely isolated and frustrated figure up front. Owen explained the look on Rashford’s face (as per UF):

“I don’t understand the glum face. He just doesn’t seem to be enjoying his football. He is the weak link in the attack as things stand. He’s 28 now. He should be in his prime. He should be absolutely tearing defences down.”

Advertisement

Rashford, back at Old Trafford after a productive loan spell at Barcelona last season, remains without a goal or an assist in six games across competitions this campaign.

He has played all five league games, starting four, and featured for 80 minutes in the 3-2 home defeat to Brighton & Hove Albion in the EFL Cup opener last week. The defeat marked United’s first at home in any competition in 50 years after taking a two-goal lead.


What’s next for Manchester United?

Fulham vs Manchester United - Premier League 2026/27 - Source: GettyFulham vs Manchester United - Premier League 2026/27 - Source: Getty
Fulham vs Manchester United – Premier League 2026/27 – Source: Getty

Following an underwhelming start to the new season, the pressure is beginning to mount on Manchester United head coach Michael Carrick, who has seen his side go winless in three games across competitions.

After a 1-0 Premier League home loss to 10-man Manchester City a week ago, the Red Devils slumped to a 3-2 EFL Cup home defeat to Brighton & Hove Albion in midweek before ending the week with a 1-1 stalemate at Fulham.

The Red Devils return to action after the extended international break with a home game against Tottenham Hotspur in the Premier League on October 10. Three days later, they travel to Atletico Madrid for their second UEFA Champions League league phase game of the season before travelling to Leeds United in the league on October 18.

Advertisement