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Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van Assche preview, head-to-head, odds, prediction & betting tips

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Match Details

Fixture: (1) Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van Assche

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Date: July 24, 2026

Tournament: Estoril Open

Round: Quarterfinals

Venue: Clube de Tenis do Estoril, Cascais, Portugal

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Category: ATP 250

Surface: Clay

Prize Money: €612,620

Live Telecast: USA – Tennis Channel | UK – Sky Sports | Canada – TSN+

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Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van Assche preview

Andrey Rublev at Wimbledon 2026. (Source: Getty)Andrey Rublev at Wimbledon 2026. (Source: Getty)
Andrey Rublev at Wimbledon 2026. (Source: Getty)

Top seed Andrey Rublev will take on Luca Van Assche in the quarterfinals of the Estoril Open 2026.

Rublev received a bye into the second round, where he faced lucky loser Timofey Skatov. The Russian was in control of the match from start to finish. He conceded only one game in each set to register a comfortable 6-1, 6-1 victory.

Van Assche fought past home hope Federico Silva in three sets to reach the second round, where eighth seed Pablo Carreno Busta awaited him. The Frenchman captured the opening set courtesy of a break of serve in the fourth game, the only break in the entire set.

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Carreno Busta initially led by a break in the second set but couldn’t hold on to his advantage for too long. Nevertheless, he snagged another break of serve in the 10th game to take the set.

Van Assche dealt the first blow in the third set to go 2-1 up, only for his older rival to immediately negate his upper hand in the next game. He raised his level after that and bagged the next four games on the trot for a 6-3, 4-6, 6-2 win.


Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van Assche head-to-head

Rublev leads their rivalry 1-0. He won their previous meeting at the Citi DC Open 2024 in three sets.


Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van Assche odds

Player Moneyline Handicap Bets Total Games
Andrey Rublev -625 +1.5 (-2000) Over 20.5 (-120)
Luca Van Assche +400 -1.5 (+650) Under 20.5 (-120)

(Odds via BetMGM)

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Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van Assche prediction

Luca Van Assche at the French Open 2026. (Source: Getty)Luca Van Assche at the French Open 2026. (Source: Getty)
Luca Van Assche at the French Open 2026. (Source: Getty)

Rublev stormed to the title in Bastad last week and continued his winning ways with a dominant performance against Skatov. He improved his record for the season to 26-13 with the win, and to 16-5 on clay.

Van Assche was pushed to three sets yet again but wore down Carreno Busta in the end to reach his second quarterfinal at the ATP level this year. He has a 6-4 record on the main tour, and a 22-6 record at the Challenger level. He has won three titles on the Challenger tour this year, including one on clay.

Van Assche’s run is likely to end at this stage. He has a 0-10 career record against top 20 players. His last match against a top 20 opponent was against Rublev at the Citi DC Open a couple of years ago. While he managed to push Rublev to three sets back then, he might not be able to do so on this occasion on account of the Russian’s present form.

Pick: Andrey Rublev to win in straight sets.


Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van Assche betting tips

Tip 1: The match will have at least 18 games.

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Tip 2: Rublev to win at least one set with a score of 6-3.