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Ethereum Faces Resistance Near $2,300 as Momentum Weakens Within Tight Trading Range

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Ethereum posted a -3.19% daily move, rejecting near $2,300 and closing lower within the range
  • Price remains range-bound between $2,000 and $2,300 after exiting a prolonged downtrend phase
  • Momentum indicators show weakening strength as MACD histogram shrinks and lines converge
  • Key support at $2,110 faces pressure, while resistance near $2,300 continues limiting upside attempts

Ethereum began the second quarter with mild gains, yet recent price action shows hesitation near key resistance levels.

A daily chart shared by analyst Daan Crypto Trades points to weakening momentum, as ETH struggles to sustain upward movement within a defined consolidation range.

What Does Current Price Action Reveal About Ethereum’s Market Structure?

A tweet from Daan Crypto Trades outlines Ethereum’s current position on the ETH/USD 1D chart from Bitstamp. The latest candle opened at 2,285.1 and reached a high of 2,289.3.

The price later dropped to a low of 2,176.6 before closing at 2,212.8. This marks a decline of 72.8 points, representing a 3.19% loss on the day.

This daily candle reflects a strong rejection near the upper boundary of the range. The close near the lower half of the candle suggests that sellers regained control during the session. As a result, upward attempts faced resistance, limiting further gains in the short term.

Looking at the broader structure, Ethereum remains in a recovery phase after a prolonged decline. From November to February, the market formed consistent lower highs and lower lows. During that period, price dropped from above 4,000 to around 1,700.

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Since March, the structure has shifted into sideways movement. Price has been trading between 2,000 and 2,300, forming a consolidation range.

This range reflects a balance between buyers and sellers after the earlier decline. While higher lows have formed since February, resistance continues to cap upward movement near 2,300 to 2,400.

How Do Indicators and Key Levels Shape Ethereum’s Next Move?

Volatility bands on the chart provide further context for current price action. The upper band sits near 2,295.8, while the middle band stands at 2,112.8.

The lower band is positioned around 1,941.7. Price recently tested the upper band but failed to break above it. This rejection pushed the price back toward the mid-band level.

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The mid-band near 2,110 now acts as a short-term pivot zone. Holding above this level may support continued consolidation.

However, a break below could expose the lower range near 2,000. The lower band at 1,940 remains a deeper support level if selling pressure increases.

Momentum indicators also show a shift in strength. The MACD-style oscillator remains positive, with the histogram reading at +0.86%.

The fast line stands near 1.71%, while the signal line is around 0.86%. Although momentum turned positive recently, the histogram is shrinking, and the lines are converging.

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This pattern often signals slowing upward momentum. As a result, buying pressure appears to be fading near resistance levels. This aligns with the recent rejection near 2,300, where sellers stepped in again.Source: TradingView

Resistance remains clearly defined between 2,295 and 2,320. A break above this zone would open the path toward 2,400 and beyond.

On the downside, immediate support lies between 2,110 and 2,120. Below that, the 2,000 to 2,050 range continues to act as a strong floor.

Current conditions suggest a market still searching for direction. Short-term movement leans toward the downside following the recent rejection. However, the broader structure remains range-bound, with no confirmed breakout yet.

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If price drops below 2,110, a move toward 2,000 becomes more likely. On the other hand, reclaiming 2,300 could shift momentum back toward higher targets between 2,500 and 2,700.

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Strategy signals another bitcoin buy as company needs just 2% annual BTC growth to cover dividends

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Strategy signals another bitcoin buy as company needs just 2% annual BTC growth to cover dividends

Strategy co-founder Michael Saylor signaled an imminent bitcoin purchase on Sunday, posting “think bigger” alongside the company’s BTC acquisition tracker that has preceded every major buy since 2020.

The company has made 105 bitcoin purchases since it began accumulating in August 2020. Its most recent, on April 6, added 4,871 BTC for $329.8 million. Total holdings stand at 766,970 BTC acquired at a blended cost basis of $75,644, roughly $5,000 above the current market price and representing $14.5 billion in unrealized losses that Strategy disclosed in a first-quarter SEC filing.

MSTR is buying at a pace that dwarfs new supply. Strategy accumulated 46,233 BTC in March, while miners produced approximately 16,200 BTC, meaning a single company absorbed nearly three times the bitcoin that the entire global mining network generated in the same period.

Meanwhile, Saylor also disclosed that Strategy’s breakeven annual return rate on its STRC preferred equity product is approximately 2.05%. If bitcoin appreciates faster than that over time, the company can cover its preferred dividends indefinitely without issuing new MSTR shares.

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The number quantifies both the appeal and the fragility of the funding model. A 2% hurdle is low by historical bitcoin standards, but it assumes bitcoin never goes sideways or down for an extended period while the dividends keep compounding.

STRC is the mechanism that makes the buying machine run. The preferred equity product saw hundreds of millions in new inflows around its recent ex-dividend date, providing the capital for continued accumulation. Strategy keeps buying as long as investor appetite for STRC holds.

Bitcoin traded at $71,800 on Monday, according to CoinDesk data, up 7.9% on the week and holding above $70,000 for the fourth consecutive day since the Iran ceasefire was announced.

Whether Saylor’s “think bigger” translates into a purchase large enough to move the market depends on the size. At Strategy’s recent pace of 40,000-plus BTC per month, the next filing could push total holdings past 800,000 before the end of April.

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Aave DAO Grants 25M in Stablecoins to Aave Labs in Governance Vote

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Aave DAO Grants 25M in Stablecoins to Aave Labs in Governance Vote

Aave Labs, the core development team behind the Aave protocol, has been granted $25 million in stablecoins, alongside a token allocation of 75,000 AAVE by its decentralized autonomous organization (DAO) as part of the “Aave Will Win” framework. 

The vote passed Saturday with nearly 75% in favor. The stablecoin allocation will be paid in installments over 12 months, while the 75,000 AAVE tokens will vest linearly over four years, according to the governance dashboard. 

The Aave Will Win framework aims to accelerate the protocol’s growth, with the DAO funding development and Aave Labs focusing on building and scaling. The stablecoins directly fund Aave Labs’ operations, while the token allocation serves as an incentive for developers to help grow the protocol.

Other elements of the framework, including the growth and development grants tied to specific product launches and milestones, will have separate governance proposals. 

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Aave is one of the largest DeFi protocols in the industry, with its total value locked exceeding $25 billion, DeFiLlama data shows. The framework marks a major shift in funding allocation. 

The vote passed on Saturday with nearly 75% in favor. Source: Aave

Most important proposal in protocol’s history, founder says 

Following the vote, Aave founder Stani Kulechov said in an X post Saturday that Aave Will Win is the “most important proposal in Aave’s history” and it “just passed with a landslide.” 

“If you own AAVE, you own not just the economic rights of the protocol, but the brand, the users, and the integrations, he added. “This is the direction we are committing to, a multi-year journey. The foundation is set. Now it’s time to build. Aave will win.”

Source: Stani Kulechov

Under the framework, which passed on April 5, Aave Labs would shift to a DAO-funded operating model, with revenue generated by Aave products, such as Aave Pro, flowing to the DAO treasury rather than being retained by Aave Labs. 

The proposal also sought ratification of Aave V4 as the protocol’s long-term technical foundation and outlined plans for a new foundation to steward the Aave brand. Aave Labs would also focus only on Aave-related products, with the goal of streamlining operations, accelerating development and building more competitive offerings. 

“Fintechs are entering DeFi, institutions are coming on-chain, and regulatory clarity is emerging in certain markets that allows us to go directly to consumers,” Aave Labs said.

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“The protocols that win the next decade will be those that move fast, build great tools and products and capture new markets before competitors,” it added.

Proposals met with friction before 

Some community members have previously raised concerns about the size of the funding package and the inclusion of 75,000 AAVE tokens, which carry voting power, and the definition of what counts as revenue. 

Related: Chaos Labs taps out as Aave’s risk provider, decision ‘not made in haste’

The Aave Will Win framework passed a temperature check on March 1, and soon after, a major governance delegate, the Aave Chan Initiative, announced it would wind down its involvement with the DAO due to concerns about governance standards and voting dynamics during the proposal process.

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In January, another proposal to transfer control of Aave’s brand assets and intellectual property to its DAO failed, prompting debate within the Aave community over the protocol’s long-term direction and governance structure.

Magazine: Bitcoin quantum-safe without upgrade? CZ’s 2031 crypto vision: Hodler’s Digest, April 5 – 11