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Range-bound trend likely as investors shift focus beyond heavyweights: Narendra Solanki

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Range-bound trend likely as investors shift focus beyond heavyweights: Narendra Solanki
As India’s earnings season unfolds, markets are showing signs of cautious stability following a sharp recovery from recent lows. After rebounding nearly 2,000 points from the 22,000 level, equities entered the results season with optimism—but early signals, particularly from the IT sector, have tempered expectations.

In a conversation with ET Now, market expert Narendra Solanki from Anand Rathi Shares & Stock Brokers shared his perspective on the earnings trajectory and market reactions so far.

“Yes, definitely, right now the kind of recovery we have seen from 22,000 levels of about almost 2000 points, so the market has recovered smartly and we just entered with that kind of recovery into the result season and the markets were hoping for the result season to be largely in line. But there has been some disappointment from a few large names in the IT, especially from the guidance point of view for at least the next two to three quarters wherein we can see some subdued growth which is less than expectations, so that has actually taken the market by surprise on the negative side.”

The disappointment, particularly around forward guidance, has weighed heavily on IT stocks. According to Solanki, the Nifty IT index has slipped back to levels last seen during the peak of the March downturn, effectively erasing its recent gains.

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“If you see the Nifty IT index, it is now trading at the lows which were seen in mid-March, which was at the peak of the crisis. So, the complete recovery in the IT sector is washed out.”


Despite this, the broader market has displayed resilience. With most heavyweight sectors—especially IT and banking—having already reported earnings, the focus is now shifting toward a wider set of companies.
“From next week onwards, the earnings and the results will be more broad-based, including some in financials and some in manufacturing. So, the market would still be reacting to the results but because the heavyweights are out and the earnings would spread out within large sectors, it should consolidate from here onwards.”Solanki expects markets to remain range-bound in the near term, with no sharp directional moves.

“Right now, we do not see any significant run-up on either side. So, we do not see any runaway rally, neither do we see a very sharp selloff, but we see a 2% to 3% kind of range of consolidation happening and the remaining move would be decided by the kind of earnings we see in the quarter.”

On the investment front, the current environment is prompting a strategic shift toward segments with higher agility and domestic exposure.

“We are more focused on smallcaps and midcaps because that is where the companies are more agile and that is where the bases are low, so it really helps them in order to turn around and strategise in a fast manner in comparison with their largecap peers.”

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A key theme emerging from Solanki’s outlook is the strong potential in domestically driven sectors, particularly power and infrastructure.

“If you see especially in the power sector, not only on the power generation side but also on the transmission and distribution side, we have a lot of underinvestment there in those spaces and with the kind of renewable targets the government is setting up, there has been a lack of capacity to evacuate the power from the renewable sites. So, there has to be a very huge investment coming up for the next three to five years in the transmission and distribution segment.”

He adds that this opportunity extends beyond core players to ancillary companies supplying equipment to the sector.

Autos—especially two-wheelers and related ancillaries—also feature prominently in his strategy, alongside a cautiously optimistic stance on financials.

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“We are also positive on autos, especially two-wheelers and ancillaries. And other sectors like financials we are positive; however, there is a bit of a conscious positiveness into it because right now the macro situation which is there at the moment, it is increasingly becoming hard for the central bank to stay on the current policy and there has to be some relook in terms of inflation trajectory. This crisis is already almost for two months and it is going to linger on for some more time, so that is creating some tight fiscal space for the country.”

As earnings season progresses, the market’s next move will likely hinge on how broader sectors perform and whether domestic growth themes can offset global uncertainties.

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Bristol-Myers Squibb: 'Strong Buy' As 2026 Milestones Could Bolster Its Prospects

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Bristol-Myers Squibb: 'Strong Buy' As 2026 Milestones Could Bolster Its Prospects

Bristol-Myers Squibb: 'Strong Buy' As 2026 Milestones Could Bolster Its Prospects

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Stifel initiates HMH Holding stock with buy on offshore drilling outlook

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(VIDEO) Sawe Shatters 2-Hour Barrier with Stunning 1:59:30 London Marathon Victory

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Luka Dončić

LONDON — Kenyan runner Sabastian Sawe made history Sunday by becoming the first athlete to break the two-hour marathon barrier in an official race, clocking an astonishing 1:59:30 to win the 2026 TCS London Marathon and etch his name permanently into the sport’s record books.

Sabastian Sawe
Sabastian Sawe

The 31-year-old defended his title on the fast, flat London course in ideal cool and calm conditions, surging away in the final miles to shatter the previous world record and deliver one of the greatest performances in distance running history. Ethiopia’s Yomif Kejelcha finished second in 1:59:41, while Uganda’s Jacob Kiplimo took third in 2:00:28 — producing the deepest men’s marathon field ever assembled.

“This is unbelievable. I came here to make history,” Sawe said moments after crossing the finish line on The Mall, his face a mix of exhaustion and pure joy. “The pacemakers were perfect, the crowd carried me. Running under two hours in a real race — this is something I dreamed about since I was a boy.”

Sawe’s performance eclipsed the previous world record of 2:00:35 set by the late Kelvin Kiptum in Chicago in 2023. It also bettered his own London course record from 2025. The victory marks his fifth consecutive marathon win and solidifies his status as the undisputed king of the distance.

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Perfect Conditions Fuel Record Attempt

Organizers could not have asked for better weather. Temperatures hovered in the low 50s Fahrenheit with light winds — textbook conditions for fast times on the point-to-point course that starts in Blackheath and finishes in front of Buckingham Palace. More than 59,000 runners participated in the 46th edition of the world’s most iconic mass-participation marathon.

A large pack stayed together through the halfway mark in just over 59 minutes before accelerations began whittling it down. Sawe made his decisive move after 35 kilometers, dropping all but Kejelcha and Kiplimo. The final 7 kilometers became a masterclass in pacing and mental strength as Sawe pulled away to etch his name alongside legends like Eliud Kipchoge.

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In the women’s race, Ethiopia’s Tigst Assefa defended her title in commanding fashion, clocking 2:15:41 to break her own women-only world record. Kenya’s Hellen Obiri took second in 2:15:53, with Joyciline Jepkosgei earning bronze in 2:15:55. All three dipped under 2:16, highlighting extraordinary depth on the women’s side.

A Meteoric Rise

Sawe’s journey from rural Kenya’s Rift Valley to marathon immortality has been remarkably swift. After excelling on the track and in half marathons, he made his full marathon debut in Valencia in 2024 with a stunning 2:02:05 — the second-fastest debut ever. He then won London in 2025 and Berlin later that year before delivering Sunday’s historic performance.

Trained by Italian coach Claudio Berardelli, Sawe blends traditional Kenyan high-altitude training with modern sports science. His tactical intelligence, devastating surges and mental toughness have become trademarks. Rivals now openly acknowledge he has raised the ceiling of what is possible in the marathon.

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Significance of the Sub-2 Breakthrough

While exhibition races had previously seen times under two hours, Sawe’s 1:59:30 is the first ratified performance under the barrier in a legitimate competition with verified timing, doping controls and World Athletics rules. It validates years of progress in training methods, nutrition, shoe technology and pacing strategies.

Sports scientists say the achievement represents a new era. The psychological barrier of two hours had stood for decades. Sawe’s run proves human limits continue expanding, much as Roger Bannister’s sub-four-minute mile did in 1954.

British and Wheelchair Highlights

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British interest centered on strong showings from home athletes. Mahamed Mahamed led the British men in 10th overall with 2:06:14, while Eilish McColgan was the top British woman in seventh. In the wheelchair races, Switzerland’s Catherine Debrunner claimed her fourth London title.

Looking Ahead

Sawe’s victory caps a remarkable rise and sets a new standard for the marathon. Eyes now turn to future Abbott World Marathon Majors and the Olympics. With his perfect record and the two-hour barrier broken, the Kenyan star appears poised for further dominance.

For the tens of thousands who ran London on Sunday, the day will be remembered as the moment the impossible became reality on one of running’s grandest stages. Sawe’s 1:59:30 run will be debated and celebrated for years to come — proof that barriers exist to be broken when talent, preparation and courage align perfectly.

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As the sun set on The Mall and finishers continued streaming across the line, the 2026 London Marathon entered the history books as the day distance running took its boldest leap forward yet.

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(VIDEO) Bayern Munich Stuns Mainz with Epic 4-3 Comeback from 3-0 Down

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Harry Kane scored yet again as Bayern Munich eased past Club Brugge

MAINZ, Germany — FC Bayern Munich produced one of the most remarkable comebacks of the 2025/26 Bundesliga season Sunday, storming back from a three-goal deficit to defeat 1. FSV Mainz 05 4-3 in a thrilling Matchday 31 encounter that showcased the champions’ never-say-die mentality.

Trailing 3-0 at halftime after goals from Dominik Kohr, Armindo Sieb (Nebel) and Sheraldo Becker, Bayern looked headed for a rare defeat. Instead, the Bavarians unleashed a devastating second-half response, with Nicolas Jackson pulling one back before Michael Olise, Jamal Musiala and Harry Kane delivered a dramatic turnaround in front of a stunned crowd at the MEWA Arena.

The victory keeps Bayern firmly on course in their title defense while dealing a severe blow to Mainz’s hopes of climbing the table. The match will be remembered as a classic Bundesliga thriller that highlighted both the attacking brilliance of the champions and the defensive vulnerabilities that occasionally surface even in dominant teams.

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How the Comeback Unfolded

Mainz shocked the visitors with an aggressive start. Kohr opened the scoring in the 15th minute, capitalizing on a set piece. Nebel doubled the lead in the 29th minute with a clinical finish, and Becker made it 3-0 just before halftime, leaving Bayern coach Vincent Kompany with plenty to address during the break.

Whatever Kompany said at halftime clearly worked. Jackson gave Bayern hope with a goal shortly after the restart. Then Olise produced a moment of individual brilliance in the 73rd minute, curling a stunning strike into the top corner that reignited the comeback. Musiala leveled the score in the 80th minute with a composed finish, and Kane completed the remontada just three minutes later, slotting home the winner.

Bayern’s second-half performance was a masterclass in attacking football. The speed of their transitions, clinical finishing and relentless pressing overwhelmed a tiring Mainz side that had given everything in the first half.

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Kompany’s Impact and Bayern’s Character

Since taking over, Kompany has instilled a winning mentality that refuses to accept defeat. This comeback victory — coming from three goals down — perfectly embodies that spirit. Players like Olise, Musiala and Kane showed why Bayern remains the benchmark in German football despite occasional wobbles.

Harry Kane, in particular, continues his remarkable form since joining from Tottenham. His winner took his Bundesliga tally even higher and reinforced his status as one of the world’s premier strikers. Musiala’s growing influence in midfield and Olise’s flair on the wing provided the creative spark the comeback required.

Mainz’s Valiant Effort

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Despite the defeat, Mainz can take pride in their first-half display. They executed a perfect game plan early on, pressing high and exploiting spaces behind Bayern’s defense. For 45 minutes, they looked capable of a famous upset. The second-half collapse, however, exposed the gap in squad depth and experience against the league’s elite.

Broader Bundesliga Implications

The result keeps Bayern on top of the table as they chase another Meisterschale. With several games remaining, the champions appear determined to finish the season strongly. For Mainz, the loss adds pressure in their battle to avoid the lower reaches of the standings.

This match joins a growing list of memorable Bayern comebacks, echoing historic remontadas that have defined the club’s modern era. Fans on social media quickly dubbed it one of the season’s highlights, with clips of Olise’s wonder goal and Kane’s winner going viral within minutes of the final whistle.

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What the Players Said

Post-match reactions captured the drama. Kompany praised his team’s character: “This is what we work for every day — the belief that we can turn any situation around.” Kane was more understated, simply saying, “We kept going, and it paid off.” Mainz coach Bo Svensson acknowledged the second-half dominance of Bayern but took positives from his side’s early performance.

Looking Ahead

Bayern now turns its focus to the remaining fixtures and a potential deep run in other competitions. Their ability to recover from difficult positions bodes well for the business end of the season. For Mainz, the task is to regroup quickly and secure vital points in the coming weeks.

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Sunday’s match at the MEWA Arena will be remembered as a textbook example of Bundesliga entertainment — early shock, dramatic fightback and a result that reinforces Bayern’s status as the team to beat. As the 2025/26 season enters its final stretch, moments like this remind fans why the league remains one of the most exciting in world football.

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Trade bodies say guaranteed hours under Employment Rights Act could threaten jobs

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The British Retail Consortium, Food and Drink Federation, Recruitment and Employment Confederation, and UK Hospitality write to Government

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UK Hospitality signed the letter to Government(Image: PA)

Four trade bodies say proposals for guaranteed hours under the Employment Rights Act could threaten quality jobs.

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The British Retail Consortium, Food and Drink Federation, Recruitment and Employment Confederation, and UK Hospitality jointly wrote to the Government warning that the measure could result in diminished opportunities and worse conditions for workers.

They put forward amendments to the policy which they believe would prevent “the double whammy of increasing unemployment and fewer young people entering the labour market”.

The letter stated: “Across our sectors, concern is deep and growing that the current approach risks stripping flexibility from the labour market at precisely the wrong moment.

“With demand already weakened, poorly designed guaranteed hours measures could become a tipping point, pushing employers to reduce hiring, limit hours or withdraw flexible roles altogether, denying work to those who need it most, or moving to less secure, more casual models of engagement.”

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A Government spokesperson responded: “We will only achieve a thriving economy once people have a wage they can count on, which is why we’re giving greater certainty to over half the UK’s workforce through our Employment Rights Act.

“We will ensure people can have the security they need by giving eligible workers the right to guaranteed hours, and we will work closely with workers and employers on how the measures are implemented.”

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SPDR infrastructure ETF to delist from Italian exchange

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AI drives global IT spending to $6.31 trillion, but Indian IT firms face a margin squeeze, warns Gartner

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AI drives global IT spending to $6.31 trillion, but Indian IT firms face a margin squeeze, warns Gartner
Global IT spending has been revised sharply upward — from $6.15 trillion in February to $6.31 trillion in just two months — and the driver is almost entirely AI. That is the assessment of John-David Lovelock, Chief Forecaster at Gartner, who told ET Now that AI-optimised servers and hyperscaler data centre buildouts are adding significant sums to technology investment forecasts worldwide.

“We are building the foundation for what we need to run AI large language models and agents in the future,” Lovelock said, noting that enterprise networking equipment spending has also risen as a direct knock-on effect of the hyperscaler expansion.

India’s opportunity in managed services

Despite overall IT services growth running at a modest 3–4%, Lovelock sees a genuine opportunity opening up for India. As CIOs globally shift their internal teams away from routine, commoditised work toward strategic AI initiatives, a labour gap is emerging — and managed services providers are well placed to fill it.

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The next phase of that opportunity, he said, lies in managed services providers building AI and agentic automation into their offerings, creating a new layer of cost efficiency for global clients. India, with its deep services talent base, is well positioned to capture this demand.

The uncomfortable reality for services firms

But Lovelock did not shy away from the structural challenge facing Indian IT. The industry is at a crossroads, he said — and the dynamics are unfavourable for pure services players compared to software companies.


When a software firm invests in AI, clients reward it with larger contracts for richer features. When a services firm does the same, clients expect the efficiency gains to be passed back to them in the form of lower prices. “Services firms spend money to bring in AI-enabled delivery and they are rewarded with smaller contracts,” Lovelock said plainly. That asymmetry is a structural headwind the entire global services industry — not just India — must navigate.

India does not need to win the data centre race

On the question of India’s participation in the AI infrastructure buildout, Lovelock offered a reassuring perspective. Unlike cloud computing, where data centres need to be close to end users due to latency constraints, AI delivery can tolerate the delay involved in distance. This means India does not need to match the United States — which accounts for over 50% of global AI spending — in mega data centre construction to remain relevant.Having local data centres would help India build its own large language models and domain-specific AI, but it is not a prerequisite for benefiting from and contributing to the global AI economy.

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Margins under pressure near to mid-term

For IT companies broadly, Lovelock warned that margins will face significant pressure in the near to medium term. The industry is still in an investment phase — overbuilding data centre capacity ahead of demand — and many companies are offering AI products, services, and tokens at reduced prices or free to build user bases. A clear, standardised path to monetising that infrastructure has yet to emerge, and the means of doing so vary widely across companies.
The broader message: the AI era creates real opportunity for India’s IT sector, but the business model of services delivery is being fundamentally disrupted — and firms that do not embed AI into how they work, not just what they sell, risk being left behind.

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Australia’s Two-Speed Housing Market Cools as Sydney, Melbourne Prices Slip in 2026

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SYDNEY — Australia’s $12.6 trillion residential property market is showing clear signs of divergence and moderation in early 2026, with house prices falling in Sydney and Melbourne while resource-driven cities like Perth and Brisbane continue to post strong gains amid persistent supply shortages and shifting interest rate pressures.

The Sydney Opera House also switched its lights off to mark the event
Sydney
AFP / Steven Saphore

The latest data from Cotality released in April reveals national dwelling values rose a modest 0.7% in March, bringing first-quarter growth to 2.1%. While this marks continued appreciation, the pace has slowed noticeably from late 2025, reflecting higher borrowing costs, cost-of-living pressures and growing buyer caution in the country’s two largest markets.

Sydney home prices fell 0.2% over the first three months of the year, while Melbourne recorded a 0.6% decline. Together, these two cities — which account for roughly 55-60% of the national market — are exerting downward pressure on the broader index. Median house prices now stand at approximately $1.295 million in Sydney and $828,000 in Melbourne.

In contrast, Perth surged 7.3% in the March quarter, Brisbane rose 5.1%, Adelaide gained 3.6%, and smaller capitals like Darwin, Hobart and Canberra also posted positive growth. This “two-speed” dynamic has become a defining feature of the 2026 market, driven by differing economic conditions, migration patterns and housing supply levels across states.

Factors Driving the Split

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Economists point to several key influences. Western Australia and Queensland continue to benefit from strong resources sectors, population inflows and relatively affordable entry points compared to the eastern seaboard. Perth’s median dwelling value is approaching $1 million after years of rapid appreciation, yet demand remains robust due to tight inventory.

Sydney and Melbourne, however, are feeling the pinch of higher interest rates and stretched affordability. The Reserve Bank of Australia’s rate settings have curbed borrowing capacity, particularly for buyers in premium segments. Lower-quartile properties in these cities have held up better, while higher-end homes have seen noticeable softening.

A federal first-home buyer scheme expansion has also contributed to price pressure at the lower end of the market. Cotality data shows eligible homes rose 6.7% in the six months following policy changes — nearly double the growth in higher-priced segments — raising concerns the initiative may be inflating entry-level prices rather than purely improving access.

National Outlook and Forecasts

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Major banks and forecasters have moderated their 2026 predictions. Commonwealth Bank now expects national dwelling price growth of around 5% this year and 3% in 2027, down from previous estimates. ANZ forecasts capital city prices to rise 2.8% in 2026 and 2.1% in 2027, citing higher rates and affordability constraints.

Despite the cooling, fundamentals remain supportive in many areas. Record-low rental vacancy rates continue driving investor interest, while net overseas migration sustains demand. However, new housing supply is gradually increasing, which could help ease pressure later in the year and into 2027.

Rental Market Remains Tight

The rental sector shows little sign of relief. National median rents continue climbing, with some regional areas in South Australia seeing year-on-year increases of 12.5%. Vacancy rates hover near historic lows, exacerbating affordability challenges for tenants and adding fuel to political debates ahead of the federal budget.

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Challenges and Policy Implications

Housing affordability remains a critical issue heading into the 2026 federal budget. Experts urge policymakers to prioritize boosting supply, protecting rental stock and removing barriers to downsizing rather than measures that could further inflate prices. Calls for tax reform, planning system overhauls and incentives for build-to-rent projects are growing louder.

First-home buyers face particular hurdles, with the national median property price hovering near $908,000-$933,000. Only about 30% of properties fall below $700,000, intensifying competition in the affordable segment.

Regional Variations Offer Opportunities

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Buyers and investors are increasingly looking beyond the traditional east coast hotspots. Perth, Brisbane and Adelaide offer stronger growth prospects in the near term, though analysts warn that rapid gains could moderate as affordability constraints spread. Regional markets have also shown resilience, with some areas outperforming capitals due to lifestyle shifts and remote work trends.

What Lies Ahead

The Australian real estate market in 2026 is transitioning from the boom conditions of recent years to a more balanced — yet still challenging — environment. While national values continue inching higher overall, the widening city-by-city and segment-by-segment gaps suggest a period of selective growth rather than uniform appreciation.

Prospective buyers may find improved negotiating power in Sydney and Melbourne, particularly at the upper end, while investors seeking yield and growth potential are eyeing western and northern markets. For sellers, timing and pricing strategy will be crucial in a market that rewards realism over optimism.

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As the year progresses, interest rate decisions, federal budget measures and global economic signals will play key roles in shaping the trajectory. For now, Australia’s housing market remains resilient but clearly cooling, offering both opportunities and risks for participants across the spectrum.

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2 Injured in East Austin Outside Sam’s BBQ; Suspect Still at Large

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Austin Shooting: 2 Injured in East Austin Outside Sam's BBQ;

AUSTIN, Texas — Two people were shot and injured Sunday night outside the popular Sam’s BBQ restaurant in East Austin, prompting a large police response and leaving the suspect still at large Monday as detectives continue to interview witnesses and search the area.

Austin Shooting: 2 Injured in East Austin Outside Sam's BBQ;
Austin Shooting: 2 Injured in East Austin Outside Sam’s BBQ; Suspect Still at Large

Austin Police Department officers responded to multiple 911 calls reporting shots fired around 8:26 p.m. in the 2000 block of East 12th Street near Chicon Street. Upon arrival, they found two victims suffering from gunshot wounds outside the beloved East Austin barbecue landmark. Both were transported to area hospitals with non-life-threatening injuries.

No fatalities have been reported, and authorities described the incident as isolated with no immediate threat to the broader public. East 12th Street between Chicon and Alamo streets remained closed for several hours as crime scene investigators processed the area.

Busy Night in Vibrant Neighborhood

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The shooting occurred in a bustling section of East Austin known for its food scene, nightlife and cultural vibrancy. Sam’s BBQ, a longtime neighborhood staple at 2000 E. 12th St., had been hosting events earlier in the day, and nearby businesses including the Austin Daiquiri Factory were active on a busy Sunday evening.

Witnesses described hearing multiple gunshots followed by chaos as people sought cover. Police have not released detailed descriptions of the victims or the suspect. Detectives are reviewing surveillance footage from the area and interviewing those present at the time of the incident.

The suspect fled the scene on foot, and no vehicle description or suspect sketch has been released. APD urged anyone with information to contact detectives or Austin Crime Stoppers. A reward for information leading to an arrest may be offered.

Community Reaction and Safety Concerns

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East Austin residents expressed shock and frustration over yet another violent incident in the rapidly changing neighborhood. Longtime locals noted the area’s transformation from a historically working-class and minority community to a hub for new development, restaurants and nightlife. Some voiced concerns about rising crime amid gentrification pressures.

Sam’s BBQ owners and staff have not issued a public statement, but the restaurant is a beloved institution known for its smoked meats and community ties. The shooting’s proximity to the establishment has drawn extra attention from both patrons and local media.

Austin Police Chief has characterized the event as isolated and urged calm while the investigation proceeds. No connections to other recent incidents have been reported.

Broader Context of East Austin Violence

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While Austin remains one of the safer major cities in Texas, sporadic shootings in East Austin have raised ongoing community discussions about public safety, policing strategies and socioeconomic factors. City leaders have invested in violence interruption programs and increased patrols in high-activity areas, but incidents like Sunday’s continue to test those efforts.

This latest shooting comes amid a busy weekend in the city, with various events drawing crowds to East Austin venues. Officials reminded residents to remain vigilant, especially during evening hours in entertainment districts.

Investigation Ongoing

Austin Police continue to gather evidence and seek tips from the public. Anyone with video footage, eyewitness accounts or other information is encouraged to contact APD or Crime Stoppers anonymously. Updates will be released as they become available.

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The two victims are expected to survive, according to preliminary hospital reports, though their conditions were not detailed publicly. Family members have not been identified, and police are withholding names pending notification.

As East 12th Street reopens and the neighborhood returns to its usual rhythm, the search for the suspect remains active. Authorities emphasize that this appears to be a targeted or isolated dispute rather than a random act of violence, though the full motive has not been determined.

For now, the community around Sam’s BBQ and surrounding blocks is processing another instance of gun violence in a city that continues to grapple with growth, change and safety concerns. Police ask for patience as detectives work to bring the suspect into custody and provide answers to those affected.

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Paytm shares crash 8% as RBI cancels Paytm Payments Bank’s banking license. What lies ahead?

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Paytm shares crash 8% as RBI cancels Paytm Payments Bank's banking license. What lies ahead?
The shares of One 97 Communications, the parent company of the popular fintech platform Paytm, crashed around 8% on Monday after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) cancelled Paytm Payments Bank‘s (PPBL) banking licence, following which the company announced it will shut down the subsidiary.

In an exchange filing released after market hours on Friday, Paytm announced that the RBI has effectively cancelled Paytm Payments Bank’s banking licence. Paytm clarified that it does not have any exposure to the associate entity and provides no services in partnership with it. It added that Paytm Payments Bank operates independently.

“There is no direct financial impact on the company since, as previously disclosed, the company had already impaired its investment in PPBL as of March 31, 2024,” it added. “As informed earlier, Paytm (One 97 Communications Limited) and its services, which have been operating without interruption, will continue to operate uninterrupted. These include the Paytm app, Paytm UPI, Paytm Gold and all other services offered by its subsidiaries and associated companies, such as Paytm QR, Paytm Soundbox, Paytm Card Machines, Paytm Payment Gateway, Paytm Money, among others,” it further said.

This comes after more than two years of regulatory scrutiny and restrictions, including a ban on fresh deposits in 2024. Paytm had obtained a limited banking license in August 2015 that allowed it to take small deposits but not give out loans. The central bank said the bank’s operations were “detrimental” to depositors and public interest, citing compliance lapses, including issues around customer due diligence and governance. The general character of the management of the bank is prejudicial to the interest of depositors as also the public interest,” the statement said, adding “No useful ⁠purpose or ‌public interest would be served by allowing the bank to continue.”

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Later on Saturday, Paytm announced that PPBL’s board of directors and shareholders have approved the necessary resolutions to enable the winding up of the company. “The company wishes to assure its shareholders and investors that the winding-up of PPBL and the consequential cessation of the associate relationship are not expected to have any material impact on the business, operations, or financial condition of the company. The company continues to operate its businesses independently and in accordance with applicable laws and regulations,” it added.


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Bernstein on Paytm

RBI’s decision to cancel the banking license of Paytm Payments Bank is likely to be incrementally negative for its parent, Bernstein said in its note. The brokerage described the regulator’s language in its communication as “harsh” and “concerning.” That said, the Societe Generale Group-backed brokerage has retained an ‘Outperform’ rating on Paytm, with a target price of Rs 1,500, implying an upside of around 31% from the previous closing price.

“While Paytm has no role in the current management/board of PPBL (despite the 49% ownership), the harsh language in the RBI’s letter is concerning,” Bernstein said, noting the history of regulatory actions against the business.

“Post the RBI restrictions on Paytm Payments Bank Limited (PPBL) in early 2024, the company did put in time and effort to terminate the interlinkages between PPBL and the core business, reconstitute the board, and take steps to potentially revive operations of the bank,” the note said.

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The brokerage sees no impact on current business or numbers as the operations of PPBL have been suspended for more than a year, and the company has created a clear separation between the payments bank and the parent company, especially after the regulatory action in early 2024.

Bernstein believes this development could clear the way for the company to apply for an NBFC or PPI license, which might enable Paytm to offer certain payment products (e.g., wallet) and credit products.

Goldman Sachs on Paytm

Goldman Sachs maintained its ‘Buy’ rating on Paytm shares, but reduced its target price to Rs 1,400 apiece from Rs 1,470. The latest target price implies an upside potential of nearly 31% from the stock’s previous closing price.

The international brokerage said it sees the RBI’s cancellation of the associate entity’s banking license as an incremental negative, although there is no direct financial impact on Paytm, ET Now reported. The key risk is the potential impact on customer or merchant sentiment, it said.

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While this may act as a near-term overhang, Goldman Sachs added that the core business momentum of Paytm remains intact.

Bonanza Portfolio on Paytm

The cancellation of Paytm Payments Bank licence by Reserve Bank of India is fundamentally neutral for One97 Communications, as the investment had already been fully impaired and operational decoupling was completed in early 2024, said Abhinav Tiwari, Research Analyst at Bonanza. He added that this event largely formalizes the closure of a non core, non contributing entity rather than introducing a fresh financial shock.

“Operationally, the core business remains resilient, with payments GMV and merchant base showing healthy traction, alongside strong growth in financial services distribution. The company has delivered a visible turnaround with positive PAT and improving EBITDA margins, supported by a strong cash buffer. However, the investment case still relies on sustainability. Margins remain thin, ROE trajectory is yet to normalize, and past regulatory lapses continue to weigh on institutional confidence. Overall, while the regulatory overhang reduces, execution consistency over the next few quarters will be critical to justify re-rating,” he added.

(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

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