Match Details
Fixture: (2) Carlos Alcaraz vs Roman Safiullin
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Date: August 31, 2026
Tournament: US Open Tennis Championships
Round: First Round (Round of 128)
Category: Grand Slam
Surface: Outdoor hard
Venue: USTA Billie Jean King National Tennis Center, Queens, New York City
Prize Money: $108,000,000
Live Telecast: USA – Tennis Channel | UK – Sky Sports | Canada – TSN
Carlos Alcaraz vs Roman Safiullin preview
Second seed Carlos Alcaraz will face off against unseeded Roman Safiullin in the first round of the 2026 US Open on Monday.
Alcaraz enters this one having not played a singles match since April, sidelined for four months by a right wrist injury sustained in Barcelona. He tested things out in mixed doubles with Serena Williams earlier this week, reaching the quarterfinals before falling to Belinda Bencic and Flavio Cobolli, and he arrives as the No. 2 seed and defending champion, looking rusty but dangerous. It’s uncharted territory for him at a Major, having never entered a Grand Slam with this little match play behind him in his career so far.
Meanwhile, Safiullin enters off a 6-7(6), 6-4, 3-6 first-round loss to Hugo Grenier in Winston-Salem, though it followed a genuinely strong summer that included a run to the Wimbledon fourth round, upsetting Andrey Rublev and Joao Fonseca along the way before falling to Novak Djokovic in four sets. He’s shown he’s not afraid of the occasion against elite names, a trait that could serve him well walking into Arthur Ashe Stadium against the defending champion.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Roman Safiullin head-to-head
Their head-to-head is level at 1-1, with Safiullin’s win coming at the 2023 Paris Masters, and Alcaraz avenging that loss the following year at the Paris Olympics.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Roman Safiullin odds
(Odds via BetMGM)
Carlos Alcaraz vs Roman Safiullin prediction
Alcaraz’s talent ceiling remains far above Safiullin’s on paper, the defending champion here whose game, when sharp, has few real weaknesses. But four months away from competitive singles is a genuine unknown, and Grand Slam matches, especially best-of-five, tend to punish any lingering timing or footwork issues in the early sets more than shorter formats would.
Safiullin’s recent numbers back up just how real his summer form has been, not just the results. His Wimbledon run included winning 83% of first-serve points against Rublev and outpointing Fonseca 105 to 81 in a clean straight-sets win, both matches built on tight, disciplined serving paired with disruptive return games. That combination, minimizing free points on serve while creating real pressure on return, is exactly the kind of profile that can trouble a player still finding his footing after a long layoff.
Their head-to-head is split evenly too, and it’s worth noting Safiullin’s win came when Alcaraz was fully fit and ranked No. 2 in the world, so this isn’t a case of him needing an off-night from the Spaniard to have a chance. Still, even a rusty Alcaraz carries more raw shot-making upside than almost anyone in the draw, and the extra two sets of a Slam format give him more room to adjust if the start is shaky.
Pick: Alcaraz to win in four sets.
Carlos Alcaraz vs Roman Safiullin betting tips
Tip 1: The match will have at least 35 games.
Tip 2: Safiullin to win a set with a score of 6-4 or better.
Edited by Pritha Ghosh









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