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Market Analysis: GBP/USD Weakens Again, EUR/GBP Shows Signs of Stability

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Market Analysis: GBP/USD Weakens Again, EUR/GBP Shows Signs of Stability

GBP/USD failed to climb above 1.3575 and corrected some gains. EUR/GBP started a decent increase and might aim for more gains above 0.8800.

Important Takeaways for GBP/USD and EUR/GBP Analysis Today

· The British Pound is showing bearish signs below the 1.3500 support.

· There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near 1.3440 on the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen.

· EUR/GBP is gaining pace and trading above the 0.8750 pivot level.

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· There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.8755 on the hourly chart at FXOpen.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of GBP/USD at FXOpen, the pair failed to stay above the 1.3535 pivot level. As a result, the British Pound started a fresh decline below 1.3500 against the US Dollar.

There was a clear move below 1.3485 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The bears pushed the pair below 1.3440. Finally, there was a spike toward the 1.3400 handle. A low was formed near 1.3400, and the pair is now consolidating losses.

There was a minor move above 1.3425 and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.3575 swing high to the 1.3400 low. On the upside, the GBP/USD chart indicates that the pair is facing resistance near a key bearish trend line at 1.3440.

A close above the trend line might send the pair toward the 50% Fib retracement at 1.3485 and the 50-hour simple moving average. If the bulls remain in action, they could aim for more gains.

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In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.3535. The next major hurdle for GBP/USD sits at 1.3575. On the downside, there is a key support forming near 1.3400. If there is a downside break below 1.3400, the pair could accelerate lower. The next key interest area might be 1.3360, below which the pair could test 1.3320. Any more downside could lead the pair toward 1.3250.

EUR/GBP Technical Analysis

On the hourly chart of EUR/GBP at FXOpen, the pair started a decent increase from 0.8700. The Euro traded above 0.8750 to enter a positive zone against the British Pound.

The pair settled above the 50-hour simple moving average and 0.8760. The pair traded as high as 0.8789 before there was a downside correction. There was a move below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.8702 swing low to the 0.8790 high.

However, the pair is stable above 0.8750 and the 50% Fib retracement. Besides, there is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.8755.

A downside break below 0.8755 might call for more downsides. In the stated case, the pair could drop toward 0.8745. Any more losses might call for an extended drop toward the 0.8730 pivot zone.

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If there is another increase, the EUR/GBP chart suggests that the pair is facing hurdles near 0.8775. A close above 0.8775 might accelerate gains. In the stated case, the bulls may perhaps aim for a test of 0.8800. Any more gains might send the pair to 0.8840.

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Hong Kong and Shanghai to Pilot Blockchain for Cargo-Trade Data

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Crypto Breaking News

Hong Kong and Shanghai authorities unveiled a joint plan to deepen blockchain-enabled collaboration in trade finance and cargo documentation, signaling a practical shift toward digital infrastructures for cross-border commerce. The memorandum of understanding, signed on March 2, 2026, brings together the Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA), the Shanghai Data Bureau (SDB), and the National Technology Innovation Center for Blockchain (NTICBC) to explore a blockchain-based cross-border platform that would interlink trade data, electronic bills of lading, and associated financial applications as part of HKMA’s Project Ensemble. Officials framed the move as a concrete step toward more efficient, transparent and regulatorily sound trade workflows, with pilots and research guiding the rollout.

Key takeaways

  • HKMA, SDB, and NTICBC formalize cooperation to digitize cargo trade and finance via a blockchain-driven cross-border platform.
  • The project aligns with HKMA’s Project Ensemble and aims to integrate trade data, electronic bills of lading, and financial services within a unified digital rails framework.
  • The initiative leverages the Commercial Data Interchange (CDI), HKMA’s blockchain-based data infrastructure launched in 2022 to enable institutional access to corporate data for lending and financing.
  • Project CargoX is expected to play a role in strengthening trade and cargo data capabilities for financing and related services.
  • Separately, Hong Kong is pursuing tax concessions for digital assets, proposing to broaden qualifying investments for funds and family offices, with potential exemptions on profits if approved.

Tickers mentioned:

Market context: The MoU arrives amid a broader push to modernize financial infrastructure in Asia, with Hong Kong positioning itself as a hub for digital finance and cross-border tokenized services, and Shanghai advancing its fintech ambitions within the broader mainland regulatory framework.

Sentiment: Neutral

Price impact: Neutral. The announcement describes strategic cooperation and policy considerations rather than immediate market moves.

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Trading idea (Not Financial Advice): Hold. The collaboration signals long-term structural changes in trade finance infrastructure rather than short-term price triggers.

Market context: The plan sits at the intersection of regulatory clarity, digitization of trade finance, and growing interest in tokenized and data-driven financial services, within a macro environment of ongoing digitization and cross-border coordination in the Asia-Pacific region.

Why it matters

The memorandum underscores a concerted effort by two of Asia’s largest financial centers to reimagine how trade and finance data move across borders. By pursuing a blockchain-enabled cross-border platform, the partners aim to reduce paperwork, shorten settlement times, and improve data integrity for cargo finance. The initiative is designed to harmonize digital records with traditional documents like bills of lading, marrying the reliability of paper-based processes with the efficiency of digital ledgers. In practice, a platform of this kind could lower the operational friction that has historically dogged freight finance, where misaligned documents and slow reconciliation can stall shipments and funding cycles.

On the technical side, the collaboration will leverage the HKMA’s CDI, a blockchain-based financial data infrastructure launched in 2022 to give institutional lenders access to a broader set of corporate data. CDI is already being used to streamline lending decisions by consolidating disparate data sources, and its extension into trade finance could yield faster underwriting and more accurate risk assessment for shipments and financing arrangements. The plan also references Project CargoX, an HKMA initiative intended to strengthen data capabilities across cargo and trade workflows to support financing and related services. Taken together, the effort signals a shift from standalone digital pilots toward interoperable, end-to-end digital rails that can support a wider ecosystem of trade-related financial products.

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“We look forward to driving innovative application of digital technology in areas such as cargo trade and finance, promoting joint achievements in digital innovation, exploring a digital infrastructure that links Shanghai and Hong Kong, promoting digitalisation of trade finance.”

The officials framing the MoU emphasized that the collaboration is not merely a theoretical exercise but a milestone in building practical, data-powered digital infrastructure. In remarks from the Shanghai Data Bureau, the partnership was described as a meaningful step toward data-powered, innovation-driven development, with the ambition of creating a secure, efficient, and open digital ecosystem for cross-border trade. By aligning Shanghai’s data capabilities with Hong Kong’s financial services ecosystem, the parties hope to demonstrate how a regulated, standards-based, and transparent approach to data can improve outcomes for traders and financiers alike.

Beyond the cross-border platform itself, the policy dimension of the announcement signals a broader regulatory openness to digital assets as a legitimate investment category. In parallel to the MoU, Hong Kong’s government laid out a policy path to make its tax concessions more attractive to investment funds and family offices by expanding qualifying investments to include digital assets. If the proposal passes through the legislative process, profits from digital assets held within these investment structures could qualify for tax exemptions, subject to approval. This element complements the tech push by creating a more favorable fiscal environment for capital deployment into digital asset strategies, potentially drawing more global fund participants to Hong Kong as a gateway to the region’s digital economy.

Taken together, the announcements reflect a broader regional strategy: to blend cutting-edge digital infrastructure with a clear, asset-backed regulatory framework that can support both traditional finance and newer digital assets. The MoU’s emphasis on data interoperability and risk-aware automation—paired with a thoughtful tax policy—suggests policymakers are seeking a stable yet forward-looking path for the digitization of trade and finance in a way that can be scaled and exported to other markets in the region.

What to watch next

  • Progress of pilot deployments or go-live plans for the cross-border platform under Project Ensemble, including milestones and timelines for the joint research program.
  • Results and findings from CDI-enabled pilots in trade finance, and how cargo data integrates with eBLs and financing workflows.
  • Further details on Project CargoX’s role, timelines for its adoption, and how it interfaces with existing trade-data standards.
  • Regulatory and legislative updates on the digital assets tax concessions, including timing of any approvals from the Legislative Council Financial Affairs Committee.

Sources & verification

  • Official MoU announcement from info.gov.hk describing the HKMA–SDB–NTICBC collaboration on cross-border trade data and Project Ensemble.
  • HKMA – Commercial Data Interchange (CDI) documentation and its role in institutional access to corporate data since 2022.
  • HKMA – Project CargoX description for enhancing cargo and trade data capabilities in financing.
  • Remarks by Hui Ching-yu on digital asset concessions, including the Legislative Council Financial Affairs Committee meeting (P2026030200210).

Hong Kong–Shanghai cross-border blockchain initiative: what it means for markets and users

The collaboration represents a shift from isolated pilots toward integrated, governance-aligned digital rails that can support a broader set of trade-finance products. By weaving together trade data, electronic bills of lading, and financing tools within a blockchain framework, the partnership seeks to reduce friction in invoicing, risk assessment, and settlement—benefits that could resonate across supply chains and the banks that finance them. The emphasis on using CDI as the backbone for data access underscores a belief in regulated, auditable data flows as a bedrock for confidence in digital trade structures. If successful, the cross-border platform could serve as a model not only for Hong Kong and Shanghai but for other hubs looking to harmonize trade data standards with financial services in a standards-based, interoperable manner.

From a policy standpoint, the digital asset tax concessions reflect a recognition that financial technologies and crypto-adjacent assets are increasingly relevant to institutional investment. While the policy is still subject to legislative approval, the proposal indicates a willingness to create incentives for funds and family offices to allocate to digital assets, potentially accelerating institutional exposure to this broader asset class. The policy, paired with the MoU’s focus on infrastructure, positions Hong Kong as a testbed for regulated digital rails that can support both traditional financing and newer digital-asset strategies, all within a framework designed to promote transparency and governance.

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In the broader market context, these developments occur amid growing interest in tokenization, data-centric finance, and cross-border fintech collaboration across Asia. While actual market prices for assets will reflect a multitude of macro and idiosyncratic variables, the signaling value of such coordinated public-private efforts is meaningful: they indicate a pathway toward more efficient trade finance channels, enhanced data privacy and security, and a regulatory posture that seeks to balance innovation with oversight.

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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46% of Bitcoin supply now in loss, near 2022 bear levels

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46% of Bitcoin supply now in loss, near 2022 bear levels

Around 46% of BTC, or 9.09m coins, sit at a loss in early 2025, nearing 2022 bear‑market loss concentrations after the 2024–2025 rally unwound.

Summary

  • About 9.09m BTC, roughly 46% of the 19.8m circulating supply, are below their last on‑chain transaction price, the second‑highest loss reading since mid‑2022’s ~10m‑coin peak.
  • Previous cycle lows saw 50–60% of BTC supply in loss; current levels mirror late‑2022 conditions but at much higher absolute prices, as many 2024–2025 entrants are now underwater.
  • CryptoQuant data show net realized profits flipping to net losses since late 2025, with holders realizing up to 69k BTC in aggregate losses, resembling the 2021–2022 bull‑to‑bear transition

Approximately 9.09 million Bitcoin (BTC), representing roughly 46% of the cryptocurrency’s circulating supply, is currently held at a loss as of early 2025, according to data from CryptoQuant.

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The figure marks the second-highest loss concentration recorded in CryptoQuant’s dataset spanning from July 2020 through early 2026, falling just below the peak reached during the 2022 bear market.

The BTC Supply in Profit/Loss chart from CryptoQuant displays coins held at a loss as a negative figure, with the current reading of negative 9.09 million coins approaching the deepest loss concentration visible on the chart. That record was set in mid-2022, when approximately 10 million coins were underwater as Bitcoin fell following the Luna and FTX contagion events.

The circulating supply of Bitcoin totals approximately 19.8 million coins, meaning nearly half of all Bitcoin that has moved on-chain is currently held below its last transaction price.

A key distinction separates the current period from the 2022 bear market. While a comparable number of coins were held at a loss during both periods, Bitcoin’s absolute price level remains significantly higher now than in 2022. The current loss concentration reflects holders who entered the market during the 2024-2025 rally and are now underwater, according to the data.

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High supply-in-loss readings create specific market dynamics, according to market analysts. Holders facing losses experience pressure to either sell or maintain positions through corrections. Those with the highest cost basis relative to current prices typically exhibit lower conviction in long-term recovery.

The 2022 period provides a historical reference point. The supply-in-loss figure peaked near 10 million coins in late 2022 before declining as the market bottomed and new buying brought coins back into profit. That decline from peak loss concentration preceded the sustained price recovery that extended through 2023 and 2024.

Whether the current 9.09 million coin reading represents a peak depends on price stabilization at current levels or further decline, according to analysts tracking the metric.

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Crypto Griefing: Profiting by Losing

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Crypto Griefing: Profiting by Losing

Crypto is built on a powerful idea: align incentives correctly, and rational actors will secure the system.

Most protocol design rests on this belief.

But there’s a blind spot few teams model seriously:

What if harming the network is rational — just not within the network itself?

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This is the foundation of what we can call crypto griefing markets: situations where actors willingly lose money on-chain because they profit elsewhere.

Not hacks.
Not exploits.
Not rug pulls.

But economically rational sabotage.

Defining Crypto Griefing

In game theory, griefing refers to behavior where an actor accepts a cost in order to impose a cost on others. Traditionally, it’s seen as irrational or malicious.

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In crypto, however, griefing can be rational when:

  • The attacker has off-chain exposure (derivatives, venture positions, competitive businesses).

  • The damage creates external financial gain.

  • The cost of sabotage is lower than the external payoff.

The protocol may observe a net loss from the attacker’s wallet.
The attacker sees a net gain across their portfolio.

This distinction is crucial.

Most tokenomic models assume participants optimize within the system. Crypto griefing breaks that assumption by introducing cross-market incentives.

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Why Incentive Alignment Breaks Down

Protocols often rely on the principle that:

If attacking costs money, rational actors won’t attack.

This only holds if:

  1. Actors are exposed primarily to the protocol’s token.

  2. There are no correlated positions elsewhere.

  3. There are no strategic non-financial motives.

In modern crypto markets, these assumptions rarely hold.

Large participants often maintain:

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  • On-chain token exposure

  • Off-chain derivative positions

  • Venture stakes in competitors

  • Business models dependent on specific governance outcomes

When incentives extend beyond the protocol boundary, alignment becomes fragile.

Common Forms of Economically Rational Sabotage

1. Short-and-Destabilize Strategies

An actor builds a significant short position on a token via centralized derivatives or OTC markets.

They then:

  • Thin liquidity depth through aggressive trading

  • Increase volatility during sensitive periods

  • Trigger liquidation cascades in leveraged markets

  • Amplify panic during narrative inflection points

They may incur direct losses from destabilizing trades.

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But if the short position profits significantly from price collapse, the strategy becomes rational at the portfolio level.

From the protocol’s perspective, it appears irrational.
From a cross-market view, it is calculated.

2. Governance Griefing

DAO governance assumes token-weighted voting aligns long-term incentives.

However, voters may:

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  • Operate competing protocols

  • Run businesses dependent on alternative outcomes

  • Hold asymmetric exposure elsewhere

A voter might rationally support a proposal that harms token value if it protects off-chain revenue.

The DAO sees a participant voting against their own economic interest.
In reality, they are protecting a broader one.

3. Oracle and Liquidation Engineering

In tightly coupled DeFi systems, small price distortions can cascade.

Actors may:

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  • Push thin markets during low-liquidity windows

  • Exploit Oracle update timing

  • Trigger liquidations to create reflexive price drops

  • Profit from correlated positions outside the affected protocol

Even temporary distortions can cause lasting reputational damage.

The attacker does not need perfect control — only sufficient pressure to tip a fragile system.

4. Network Congestion and Launch Sabotage

During high-profile launches, congestion becomes an attack surface.

A competitor or short-exposed fund could:

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  • Spam transactions degrade user experience

  • Drive gas prices higher

  • Cause failed transactions during critical moments

  • Create a public perception of instability

The attacker may lose transaction fees.

But if the reputational damage reduces adoption or weakens funding prospects, the indirect payoff may justify the cost.

In narrative-driven markets, perception has measurable economic value.

Why Fully On-Chain Systems Are Especially Vulnerable

Transparency is a core strength of crypto systems.

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But transparency also enables precise attack modeling.

On-chain data reveals:

When attack costs are visible, they become quantifiable.

When costs are quantifiable, they become tradable.

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Protocols optimize for capital efficiency.
Attackers optimize for cross-market asymmetry.

The protocol sees only the visible ledger.
The attacker sees the entire financial landscape.

Destructive Equilibria in Reflexive Markets

Crypto markets are reflexive: price influences confidence, and confidence influences price.

This creates conditions where:

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  • Small shocks cascade into large moves.

  • Liquidity dries up rapidly under stress.

  • Panic spreads faster than fundamentals can correct.

If multiple actors benefit from a downturn — such as through short positions — destructive equilibria can form.

In these scenarios, sabotage doesn’t need to be large. It only needs to initiate reflexivity.

Defensive Design Strategies

While eliminating griefing may be impossible, protocols can reduce vulnerability.

1. Nonlinear Cost Structures

  • Dynamic fee adjustments during congestion

  • Escalating governance deposits

  • Anti-spam economic filters

The goal is to make sabotage costs rise faster than external payoffs.

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2. Anti-Reflexive Mechanisms

  • Time-weighted average price (TWAP) oracles

  • Smooth liquidation curves

  • Circuit breakers during extreme volatility

Reducing cascade effects lowers the leverage of small attacks.

3. Governance Hardening

Increasing commitment reduces opportunistic interference.

4. Cross-Market Risk Modeling

This is the most difficult defense.

Protocols must consider:

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  • Correlated derivatives markets

  • Concentrated token ownership

  • Competitive industry dynamics

However, off-chain incentives are inherently opaque.

Complete visibility is impossible.

The Emergence of Griefing Risk Markets

If griefing risk becomes measurable, it may also become insurable.

Potential future developments include:

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  • Insurance products covering congestion or governance attacks

  • Derivatives tied to network performance degradation

  • DAO treasury hedging strategies against sabotage risk

If hacks created smart contract insurance markets, economic sabotage may create new meta-markets around strategic risk.

Once risk can be priced, it becomes financialized.

Conclusion

Crypto is often described as a system that aligns incentives through code.

But code cannot contain incentives that exist outside its boundaries.

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As protocols grow in importance, they become strategic assets.
Strategic assets attract strategic behavior.

Griefing markets do not require criminals.
They require rational actors operating across interconnected markets.

The lesson is not that crypto is broken.

It is that incentive alignment only works within the scope you model.

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And in a globally interconnected financial system, that scope may be far smaller than we assume.

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Magic Eden Abandons Ethereum and Bitcoin NFTs to Pursue Casino Gaming

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

TLDR

  • Magic Eden discontinues Ethereum & Bitcoin NFT marketplaces, pivoting to Dicey casino platform.

  • Platform maintains Solana NFT packs while eliminating underperforming blockchain integrations.

  • Bitcoin NFT traders will lose API & wallet functionality by early April.

  • Dicey’s closed beta generated over $15M in wagers, driving iGaming strategy.

  • Company pivots toward profitable revenue streams & blockchain gaming experiences.

The NFT marketplace Magic Eden has announced it will discontinue support for Ethereum and Bitcoin NFT trading to prioritize Dicey, its crypto casino platform. Support for EVM and Bitcoin-based marketplaces will cease on March 9. Subsequently, the Bitcoin API will be terminated on March 27, with the Magic Eden Wallet shutting down completely by April 1.

NFT packs—collections of randomized NFTs similar to physical trading card packs—will continue as one of the platform’s remaining offerings. Company leadership indicated this restructuring enables concentration on revenue-generating products while eliminating operational redundancies. The strategic realignment comes as NFT market valuations dipped below $1.5 billion in February. Since the 2021 NFT market peak, trading activity has declined substantially, forcing Magic Eden to reevaluate its strategic direction. Moving forward, the platform will emphasize products that complement its Solana-based foundation.

Scaling Back Ethereum NFT Operations

The platform will terminate all Ethereum NFT functionality, eliminating features associated with EVM chain compatibility. This shutdown impacts trading capabilities, listing functions, and associated marketplace services for Ethereum-based digital collectibles. According to the company, this consolidation enables better resource distribution toward priority offerings like NFT packs and iGaming ventures.

Ethereum-focused operations delivered minimal revenue contribution while demanding substantial operational expenditures. Leadership disclosed that approximately 80% of operational expenses originated from product segments producing just 20% of total revenue. Eliminating Ethereum integration allows the company to emphasize high-performance segments and pursue sustainable expansion.

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While discontinuing EVM compatibility, the platform will maintain NFT-focused offerings on Solana. Magic Eden intends to sustain user activity through collectible pack releases and specialized features. This approach emphasizes operational efficiency and revenue generation over extensive multi-chain presence.

Exiting Bitcoin NFTs and Runes Marketplaces

Magic Eden will simultaneously discontinue Bitcoin NFT trading platforms, encompassing both Ordinals and Runes marketplaces, effective March 9. The Bitcoin-focused API infrastructure will be shut down later that month, eliminating all associated platform functionality. The proprietary Magic Eden Wallet will be permanently discontinued on April 1 as this transition concludes.

This withdrawal addresses minimal user adoption and substantial maintenance requirements for Bitcoin NFT offerings. By channeling resources toward Dicey and NFT pack products, Magic Eden redirects investment toward solutions with greater scalability potential. This consolidation enhances the company’s competitive positioning within the developing crypto entertainment landscape.

Users currently trading Bitcoin NFTs must migrate to alternative marketplace platforms for continued asset management. Magic Eden’s priority remains preserving revenue-positive services while eliminating underperforming product lines. The strategic transformation acknowledges current marketplace conditions and evolving user preferences.

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Betting on Dicey and Crypto iGaming

The company’s future roadmap centers on expanding Dicey, its blockchain-based casino, alongside launching a cryptocurrency sportsbook for wagering activities. Throughout a two-month limited-access beta period, approximately 200 participants placed over $15 million in total wagers. This platform merges entertainment with financial services, establishing a fresh growth trajectory for Magic Eden.

Leadership views crypto gaming as a sustainable long-term opportunity given diminishing NFT marketplace revenues. Dicey exemplifies Magic Eden’s transformation toward crypto-based entertainment, blending gaming mechanics, betting functionality, and blockchain technology. The platform targets users interested in both digital asset ownership and online gaming participation.

Magic Eden anticipates Dicey will stimulate user engagement while preserving ME token functionality throughout its product ecosystem. NFT packs will persist as an offering, though primary resource allocation will support iGaming platform development. This strategic direction demonstrates the organization’s dedication to revenue sustainability and pioneering blockchain implementations

 

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Article explains Vitalik’s ETH plan to cut proving costs via binary state tree and RISC-V VM.

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why BTC can’t maximize both privacy, decentralization

ETH tackles 80% proving bottleneck as Vitalik proposes binary state tree and long-term RISC-V VM swap.

Summary

  • EIP-7864 replaces the hexary keccak Merkle Patricia Tree with a unified binary state tree using BLAKE3 (or a future Poseidon2), cutting Merkle proof size by about 75% and branches by 3–4x.
  • Page-based storage groups 64–256 adjacent slots so early-slot dapps can save over 10k gas per transaction, while simpler, more uniform depth improves auditing and sets up future state expiry.
  • Long-term, Vitalik proposes replacing the EVM with a RISC-V VM, arguing state tree plus VM drive over 80% of proving cost and that a RISC-V stack would align with existing ZK provers, reduce precompiles, and keep old contracts via staged migration.

Ethereum (ETH) co-founder Vitalik Buterin has proposed two technical changes aimed at addressing proof-efficiency challenges in the blockchain network, according to a proposal outlined in EIP-7864 and related documentation.

The near-term proposal, designated as EIP-7864, would replace Ethereum’s current hexary keccak Merkle Patricia Tree with a binary tree structure utilizing a more efficient hash function. The existing hexary structure was designed for priorities that differ from the proving-heavy architecture Ethereum developers are currently pursuing, according to the proposal.

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The binary tree structure would produce Merkle branches that are four times shorter than the current system, as binary operations require 32 times log(n) compared to hexary’s 512 times log(n) divided by 4, according to technical specifications in the proposal.

The reduction would decrease costs for client-side branch verification and reduce data bandwidth requirements for tools including Helios and private information retrieval systems by the same factor, the proposal states.

Proving efficiency gains would extend beyond branch length improvements. The proposal indicates that shorter branches would deliver a three to four times improvement, separate from hash function optimization. Implementing blake3 instead of keccak could provide an additional three times improvement, while a Poseidon variant could potentially deliver 100 times improvement, though additional security analysis is required before Poseidon deployment, according to the document.

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The binary tree design includes a page-based storage system that groups adjacent storage slots into pages of 64 to 256 slots, approximately 2 to 8 kilobytes. The block header and the first 1 to 4 kilobytes of code and storage would share the same page, allowing contracts that read from initial storage slots to benefit from batch efficiency rather than individual access costs. The proposal estimates this could save more than 10,000 gas per transaction for decentralized applications that load data from initial storage slots, which represents a substantial portion of active deployed contracts.

Binary trees offer simpler implementation and auditing processes, according to the proposal. The structure provides more predictable access depth across contracts of varying sizes, reducing variance in execution costs, and creates space for embedding metadata required for future state expiry development.

The longer-term proposal involves replacing the Ethereum Virtual Machine with a more efficient virtual machine such as RISC-V. The proposal argues that the EVM’s architecture is not optimized for a proving-heavy blockchain and that replacing it would address fundamental inefficiencies rather than managing them through accumulated precompiles and workarounds.

Buterin’s proposal cites four advantages of RISC-V over the EVM. First, raw execution efficiency: RISC-V outperforms the EVM to a degree that would eliminate the need for many precompiles, as underlying computations could run efficiently within the VM itself. Second, prover efficiency: zero-knowledge provers are currently written in RISC-V, creating natural alignment with existing proving infrastructure. Third, client-side proving: a RISC-V VM would enable users to generate zero-knowledge proofs locally about account interactions with specific data, enabling privacy and verification applications not currently supported by the EVM without external tools. Fourth, simplicity: a RISC-V interpreter can be implemented in several hundred lines of code, according to the proposal.

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The deployment roadmap outlined in the proposal includes three stages. In the first stage, a new virtual machine, potentially RISC-V, would handle precompiles only, with current and new precompiles becoming code blobs in the new VM. In the second stage, users could deploy contracts directly in the new VM. In the third stage, the EVM would be retired and reimplemented as a smart contract written in the new VM, preserving backwards compatibility for existing contracts with the primary change being gas cost adjustments, which are expected to be overshadowed by concurrent scaling developments.

Buterin characterizes both changes as addressing the same fundamental challenge from different angles. The state tree and the VM together account for more than 80 percent of the bottleneck in efficient proving, according to the proposal. Addressing either component without the other leaves the larger problem partially unresolved, while addressing both would produce a protocol structurally aligned with the zero-knowledge-proof-heavy architecture Ethereum has been developing, rather than retrofitting that architecture onto infrastructure designed for different requirements.

The proposal acknowledges that the VM replacement does not currently represent consensus within the Ethereum development community, describing it as a change that will become more apparent once state tree modifications are completed. The proposal presents the changes as sequential: binary trees first, followed by VM replacement once proving infrastructure matures around the new state structure. The EVM has accumulated complexity through years of incremental additions, and the proposal states that meeting Ethereum’s functionality requirements necessitates addressing the VM rather than continuously implementing workarounds.

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WTI Oil Trading Opens with a 10% Bullish Gap

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WTI Oil Trading Opens with a 10% Bullish Gap

On Friday, we warned that trading on Monday could be volatile — but not to this extent! The situation sharply escalated over the weekend following a large-scale strike by Israel and the US on targets in Iran, during which the supreme leader Ali Khamenei was reportedly killed. In retaliation, Iran launched missiles and drones at Israel, Saudi Arabia, and other targets.

Although financial markets had priced in some escalation risks, they reacted very sensitively:
→ Gold (XAU/USD): the price surged above $5,400 per ounce.
→ US Dollar Index (DXY): the US currency strengthened, not only as a safe-haven asset but also amid expectations of a new wave of global inflation driven by higher fuel costs.
→ Equity indices: opened sharply lower. Airlines and the tech sector were hit hardest, while defence stocks rose against the broader market.
→ Oil: showed the most aggressive reaction, with WTI opening at a bullish gap of roughly 10% compared with Friday’s close.

Shipping in the Strait of Hormuz (through which around 20% of global oil supply passes) is effectively paralysed following attacks on tankers. As shown on the XTI/USD chart, barrel prices are fluctuating widely as traders attempt to determine a fair value under these extraordinary circumstances.

Technical Analysis of XTI/USD

Three days ago, we drew an ascending channel on the oil price chart, which has held up:
→ its upper boundary acted as resistance at Monday’s open;
→ its median pushed the price upwards.

Bearish perspective:
→ following the bullish gap, prices failed to continue higher and fell sharply;
→ the round level of $73 acted as resistance.

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Bullish perspective:
→ the channel median previously acted as resistance but now serves as support;
→ the psychological level of $70 favours buyers.

It is reasonable to expect WTI oil to remain volatile within a broad $70–73 range, with price impulses largely driven by political statements regarding escalation in the Middle East.

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Bitcoin holds up after Iran strike, outpacing equities in risk-off session: Crypto Markets Today

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Bitcoin holds up after Iran strike, outpacing equities in risk-off session: Crypto Markets Today

Bitcoin is trading near $66,500 after adding 1.1% since midnight UTC and more than 5% from the weekend low of $63,000.

The crypto market is back in the middle of a trading range that has persisted since the start of February, with a volatile past week testing $70,000 to the upside and $62,500 to the downside.

Weekend price action was driven by the military strikes that killed Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei, triggering retaliatory attacks and raising concerns about potential disruption to traffic in the Strait of Hormuz.

According to trading firm QCP, the strike sparked roughly $300 million in long liquidations — but the scale of forced selling was relatively contained, suggesting markets were already positioned for a volatile weekend.

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The escalation pushed investors toward traditional havens, sending gold and silver to their highest levels in more than a month. Oil surged 13% to $82 a barrel, the highest price since July 2024.

U.S. equity index futures fell, with the S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq 100 down 1.1% and 1.5%, respectively, since midnight UTC.

The crypto market showed resilience, with most of the losses occurring on Saturday when U.S. markets were closed.

Derivatives positioning

  • The fallout from the Iran war has been more contained than might have been expected. While cumulative crypto futures open interest has dropped 2% to $93.78 billion, it remains above the recent low of $92.40 billion.
  • Over $300 million in leveraged bets have been liquidated by centralized exchanges in 24 hours, with bullish bets accounting for most of the tally.
  • Annualized perpetual funding rates for major cryptocurrencies, including bitcoin and ether, are little changed to negative, indicating a slightly bearish bias.
  • Still, the market isn’t showing signs of panic, as evidenced from the bitcoin 30-day annualized implied volatility index, BVIV. It remains steady at around 58.8%, well within the price range seen last week. The same is true for the ether volatility index.
  • On Deribit, short-term bitcoin puts traded at an 8%-10% volatility premium to calls, a sign of heightened downside worries. The $60,000 put, or bearish bet, remains the most popular on the exchange.
  • Block flows featured demand for bitcoin put spreads.

Token talk

  • The altcoin market largely tracked bitcoin over the weekend, but one of the fastest to recover was lending token MORPHO, which continued its impressive two-week streak with a 5% jump over the past 24 hours having risen by 2.6% since midnight UTC.
  • Decentralized finance (DeFi) tokens JUP, AAVE and LDO are all in the black as speculative appetite remains relatively strong despite a global shift to haven investments.
  • Hyperliquid’s HYPE token surged by more than 29% on Saturday to snap February’s downtrend. While it lost 3.8% on Monday, losing 3.8% it remains above the crucial $30 level of support.
  • , the DeFi token linked to U.S. President Donald Trump’s family, exentended declines, falling 2.5% of its value since midnight. It is now down by more than 44% since mid-January following a series of lower highs and lower lows.
  • CoinDesk’s DeFi Select (DFX) Index is the only benchmark that is positive over the past 24 hours. The worst performing was the CoinDesk Computing Select Index (CPUS) and the CoinDesk Smart Contract Platform Select Capped Index (SCPXC), down by 1.87% and 1.71%, respectively.

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XRP and BNB Battle for 4th Spot, BTC Price Calms at $66K: Market Watch

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BTCUSD Mar 2. Source: TradingView


Binance Coin took the lead today by surpassing its XRP rival.

Although the traditional financial markets in Asia and Europe opened earlier this morning and the US futures markets joined, BTC’s price has actually remained relatively calm at around $66,000 following the weekend developments.

Most altcoins are also unexpectedly quiet today, but minor losses continue to dominate. Ethereum continues to struggle below $2,000.

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BTC Calms at $66K

After last Wednesday’s rejection at $70,000, the primary cryptocurrency dropped below $67,000 a day later but found support and entered the weekend at $68,000. However, Saturday began with intense volatility as the US and Israel launched numerous airstrikes against Iran.

The Middle East country retaliated against several nations in the region, including the UAE, Qatar, and Bahrain, and BTC’s price tumbled to a new multi-day low of $63,000. However, reports emerged later that day that Iran’s Supreme Leader was killed during the attacks, and bitcoin erased all losses and touched $68,000 once again.

It failed there and dipped to $65,200 on Sunday, and even more volatility was expected on Monday morning when the futures and some legacy markets opened. However, BTC has remained relatively stable and now sits around $66,000.

Its market capitalization remained inches above $1.320 trillion, while its dominance over the alts is north of 56%.

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BTCUSD Mar 2. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD Mar 2. Source: TradingView

BNB Back to 4th

XRP was among the poorest performers after the attacks began, which allowed BNB to surpass it in terms of market cap. The two changed positions yesterday once again, but BNB has the upper hand today with a price tag of $617 and a market cap of $84.2 billion compared to XRP’s $82.5 billion.

Most other larger-cap alts are slightly in the red, with ETH losing the $2,000 support once again. SOL, DOGE, ADA, BCH, HYPE, and LINK are down by around 2-3%, while CC and DOT have lost more than 4% daily. In contrast, HTX is up by over 3%.

The total crypto market cap has declined by about $30 billion in a day and is down to $2.350 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview Mar 2. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview Mar 2. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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AI Infrastructure Solutions for Enterprises by Antier Trusted AI Partner

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Enterprise Blockchain Development Cost, blockchain app cost, blockchain software pricing

✨ AI Summary

  • Discover how Artificial Intelligence has evolved from a niche experiment to a crucial asset for enterprise growth
  • Learn why successful AI deployment requires advanced infrastructure solutions and how AI-first enterprises integrate intelligence into every aspect of operations
  • Uncover the challenges traditional IT systems face with modern AI workloads and explore key pillars of enterprise-grade AI infrastructure
  • Dive into real-world use cases and understand the business impact of AI-ready infrastructure
  • Find out how strategic AI transformation roadmaps guide organizations towards full-scale AI integration, delivering measurable value and competitive advantage.

Artificial Intelligence has transitioned from a niche experiment to a strategic foundation for enterprise growth. Modern organizations rely on AI not just for automation or analytics, but to drive data-driven decision-making, predictive operations, and real-time insights. Yet, deploying AI successfully requires more than advanced algorithms; it demands enterprise-grade AI infrastructure solutions that support high-volume data processing, scalable compute workloads, and secure governance.

Many enterprises fail to achieve ROI because their IT systems cannot handle AI’s complexity. Structured AI infrastructure consulting services guide organizations in assessing readiness, designing scalable pipelines, and integrating AI into core workflows. Partnering with an experienced AI infrastructure development Company ensures transformation is sustainable, optimized, and aligned with business objectives.

What Does It Mean to Be an AI-First Enterprise?

An AI-first enterprise integrates intelligence into every layer of operations. Unlike organizations that adopt isolated AI tools, AI-first enterprises design infrastructure and workflows to maximize model performance, automation, and insight generation. Key characteristics include:

  • Enterprise-wide AI integration: From supply chains to finance, AI drives core decisions.
  • Real-time data orchestration: Automated pipelines ensure data is always accessible and accurate.
  • Scalable compute architecture: Dynamic resource allocation supports high-demand AI workloads.
  • Governance and compliance alignment: Secure and auditable AI deployment prevents regulatory and ethical risks.

Transitioning to AI-first requires investment in AI infrastructure solutions for enterprises and strategic guidance from AI infrastructure consulting services.

Why Traditional IT Struggles with Modern AI Workloads

Most legacy IT systems were built for routine business applications, not for the demands of AI. As organizations scale AI, these outdated systems reveal critical weaknesses that can hinder performance and ROI:

  • Compute Limitations: AI training and real-time inference require high-performance GPUs, TPU clusters, or distributed computing. Traditional CPU-only servers cannot handle these workloads efficiently, leading to slow processing and delayed insights.
  • Data Silos: Disconnected databases and unstructured data prevent AI models from learning effectively, resulting in inaccurate predictions and incomplete insights.
  • Scalability Challenges: AI workloads are unpredictable, with spikes in processing demand. Static infrastructure either fails to meet these peaks or results in wasted resources and higher costs.
  • Security & Compliance Risks: AI systems process sensitive information, requiring robust encryption, audit trails, and regulatory compliance. Legacy infrastructure often lacks these protections.
  • MLOps Gaps: Without proper model lifecycle management—including deployment, monitoring, and retraining—AI models degrade over time, producing unreliable results.

Addressing these challenges is why forward-thinking enterprises rely on AI infrastructure implementation partners to design scalable, secure, and high-performance AI environments.

Key Pillars of Enterprise-Grade AI Infrastructure

A robust AI infrastructure must integrate multiple layers, ensuring reliability, scalability, and governance:

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1. High-Performance Compute Architecture

  • Supports distributed AI training and inference workloads.
  • Utilizes hybrid cloud, on-prem GPU clusters, and edge computing for flexibility.
  • Enables cost-efficient scaling during peak demand.

2. Data Engineering & Governance

  • Automates real-time ingestion, cleansing, and transformation.
  • Establishes data lineage and auditability for regulatory compliance.
  • Supports diverse data sources, including structured, semi-structured, and unstructured datasets.

3. MLOps & Deployment Pipelines

  • CI/CD frameworks ensure continuous integration, testing, and deployment.
  • Versioning of models, pipelines, and datasets minimizes errors.
  • Monitoring tools detect drift, bias, and performance anomalies.

4. Security, Compliance & Responsible AI

  • Implements role-based access controls, encryption, and monitoring.
  • Aligns with GDPR, ISO, SOC, and industry-specific standards.
  • Introduces ethical AI frameworks to prevent bias or misuse.

5. Performance Optimization & Monitoring

  • Real-time dashboards track AI system efficiency.
  • Automated resource allocation optimizes costs and ensures uptime.
  • Continuous feedback loops enhance model accuracy and infrastructure efficiency.

Assessing AI Infrastructure Maturity

Organizations evolve along a structured maturity curve. Understanding your stage informs strategy:

  • Experimental: Pilot AI models with limited integration.
  • Operational: AI deployed, but with limited scalability and monitoring.
  • Scalable: Enterprise-wide pipelines, standardized MLOps, and reliable data infrastructure.
  • AI-First Autonomous: Fully orchestrated AI-driven operations with real-time insights, intelligent agents, and automated decision-making.

Mapping your maturity level is critical for building a successful AI transformation roadmap.

Building a Strategic AI Transformation Roadmap

Successfully becoming an AI-first enterprise requires more than technology adoption; it demands a structured roadmap that guides your organization from assessment to full-scale AI integration. A strategic AI transformation roadmap ensures every step is deliberate, measurable, and aligned with business objectives:

  • Infrastructure Audit & Gap Analysis: Assess your current systems, data pipelines, compute capacity, and governance processes to identify limitations and opportunities for AI readiness.
  • Architecture Blueprinting: Design AI-ready infrastructure, including scalable compute, secure storage, and robust networking layers, to support future growth and AI workloads.
  • Deployment & Integration: Implement high-performance AI pipelines, secure environments, and MLOps frameworks for seamless model development, testing, and production rollout.
  • Business Unit Integration: Embed AI into key operations—marketing, finance, supply chain, and customer engagement—so intelligence drives decisions across the enterprise.
  • Optimization & Governance: Continuously monitor performance, retrain models, and enforce ethical and regulatory compliance to ensure AI remains reliable, secure, and effective.

Partnering with experienced AI infrastructure consulting services and a trusted AI infrastructure development Company ensures each phase is executed efficiently, accelerating AI adoption while minimizing risk.

Real-World Enterprise Use Cases

Robust AI infrastructure unlocks tangible business outcomes:

  • Predictive Fraud Detection: Real-time anomaly detection across financial transactions.
  • Intelligent Supply Chains: Automated routing, demand forecasting, and inventory optimization.
  • Predictive Maintenance: AI-driven monitoring reduces downtime and operational costs.
  • Generative AI for Productivity: Copilots automate document generation, analysis, and reporting.
  • Customer Insights & Personalization: AI models provide real-time segmentation and recommendations.

These outcomes are only achievable with a scalable, secure, and compliant AI foundation.

The Business Impact of AI‑Ready Infrastructure

Investing in AI‑ready infrastructure delivers measurable value across operations, strategy, and competitive advantage much more than just speed or cost savings. Leading research from global analysts and industry reports highlights how modernizing technology foundations is critical to realizing the true potential of AI.

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1. Accelerated Enterprise AI Value

According to Gartner, AI has become a core part of business operations, and by 2030, AI is expected to touch all IT work, with AI‑augmented tasks and automation reshaping workflows across every department. Modern infrastructure enables enterprises to realize AI value faster and at scale rather than stalling after initial pilots.

2. Improved Decision Making and Operational Efficiency

IBM research notes that most enterprises are increasing IT investment to support AI – yet only a small percentage feel their current infrastructure fully meets business needs. Modern AI infrastructure empowers organizations with real‑time insights, faster model deployment, and automated workflows, improving efficiency and reducing manual errors.

3. Productivity & Competitive Impact

Deloitte’s State of AI in the Enterprise report shows that many organizations report tangible productivity and efficiency gains directly from their AI investments. The ability to deploy AI insights across operations, sales, and service functions drives measurable business benefits and supports future growth ambitions.

4. Strategic AI Infrastructure Drives Innovation

Microsoft’s massive ongoing investments in AI cloud and data center infrastructure highlight how foundational compute and platform readiness enable enterprises to innovate reliably from intelligent applications to automated analytics without overburdening internal IT teams.

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5. Platform Strength Enables Business Outcomes

Modern AI infrastructure not only accelerates deployment but also reduces risks related to governance, security, scaling, and performance. By enabling better data access, governance frameworks, hybrid architectures, and automation, enterprises can use AI as a strategic growth engine rather than a cost center.

6. AI Investment is Now Strategic

Industry reporting confirms that enterprises are rapidly increasing cloud, data center, and hybrid infrastructure spending to support intensive AI workloads from training to inference reflecting the essential role modern infrastructure plays in business transformation.

The AI-Readiness Imperative

The AI revolution is redefining enterprise competitiveness. Organizations that ignore infrastructure modernization risk wasted AI investments, operational instability, and compliance pitfalls. Becoming AI-first is not about adopting isolated tools; it requires an end-to-end transformation guided by AI infrastructure consulting services. Strategic design, secure deployment, and scalable pipelines form the backbone of success, enabled by a trusted AI infrastructure implementation partner.

By partnering with Antier – AI infrastructure solutions for enterprises, organizations can ensure AI initiatives are sustainable, high-performing, and ROI-driven, securing their position as market leaders in the AI-first era.

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Khamenei’s death raises questions about Trump’s China trip

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What's next after the joint military operation in Iran

A monitor plays footage of US President Donald Trump announcing US and Israeli strikes against Iran in the James Brady Press Briefing Room of the White House in Washington, DC, U.S., on Saturday, Feb. 28, 2026.

Bloomberg | Bloomberg | Getty Images

BEIJING — Uncertainty is growing over U.S. President Donald Trump‘s high-stakes trip to China after Washington targeted a second foreign leader in two months.

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Trump announced over the weekend that joint U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran killed its Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. In early January, the U.S. also captured Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro and his wife from their residence.

Analysts say those actions could complicate Trump’s high-stakes trip to Beijing.

“President Xi Jinping won’t feel easy about the death of the top leader of Iran,” said George Chen, partner at The Asia Group, noting Beijing’s relatively good relations with Tehran and Caracas.

“How can Xi feel everything is normal and alright and be prepared to welcome Trump to visit in [a] happy mood?” he said. Chen added that “investors should manage their expectations on what Trump can achieve for his China trip — if he still goes.”

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Trump is scheduled to visit Beijing from March 31 to April 2, following a fragile trade truce with China reached in late October. It would mark the first trip by a sitting U.S. president since 2017.

But Beijing has yet to confirm the dates.

China’s Foreign Ministry on Sunday condemned Khamenei’s killing and called it “a grave violation of Iran’s sovereignty and security.” Beijing urged for an immediate ceasefire, although it was less direct about the U.S. role than it had been after Maduro’s capture.

“I worry the U.S. side might use Iran, if it’s going poorly, to delay the trip,” said a foreign business executive tracking meeting preparations very closely, who requested anonymity due to the sensitivity of the matter.

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“I think the risk [of the trip falling apart] is on the U.S. side more than the Chinese side,” the executive added.

What's next after the joint military operation in Iran

U.S.-based prediction markets signaled a greater likelihood of a delayed Trump trip.

As of late Monday morning, Polymarket showed a sharp drop in expectations that Trump would visit China by March 31, to 42%, from 83.9% on Feb. 21, while wagers on a visit by April 30 remained high at 81%.

Kalshi showed a slight drop in expectations that Trump would visit China by 2027, though it remained a high 91%.

While many analysts still expect the trip to proceed, it’s less clear how U.S. businesses will navigate plans for deals in the world’s second-largest economy.

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Several U.S. executives had been expected to accompany Trump on his Beijing trip, following a pattern of business delegations following leaders of different countries on their trips this year to China in a bid to strike deals.

“Prior to the attack on Iran, many American CEOs were already unwilling to go with Trump to China. Now the situation is even more tricky,” according to an active member of the American business community in China, who also requested anonymity due to the sensitivity of the matter.

The White House and China’s Foreign Ministry did not immediately respond to a CNBC request for comment.

The Chinese readout so far indicates an “unusually softer tone,” said Jack Lee, analyst at China Macro Group. He expects Trump to visit Beijing as planned, but is watching whether Washington signals restraint on arms sales to Taiwan.

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The democratically self-ruled island, claimed by Beijing, remains a central flashpoint in U.S-China relations.

Risks of prolonged conflict

Trump, meanwhile, told British newspaper the Daily Mail that U.S. strikes on Iran could last four weeks — a point that Chinese state media highlighted Monday morning. That timeframe would run into the planned March 31 start date for his trip to China.

“If the conflict escalates into a regional war beyond what the U.S. originally planned, it’s not impossible that Trump might delay the trip,” said Yue Su, principal economist at the Economist Intelligence Unit.

“Still, I expect Trump and [Xi] to have a phone conversation about this at some point,” she said. Her base case remains that Trump goes ahead with his China trip later this month.

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China this week kicks off an annual parliamentary meeting, where top diplomat Wang Yi typically speaks to the press. In mid-February, Wang told U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio on the sidelines of the Munich Security Conference that the U.S. and China should work to expand areas of cooperation.

In foreign policy, Beijing has prioritized its own interests by forging bilateral ties while encouraging multilateral engagement. Official statements around past U.S.-China meetings have noted the need to create “conditions” for developing bilateral relations.

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The U.S. actions in Iran have eroded trust between the two countries, said Dong Shaopeng, a senior researcher at Renmin University of China. While he still expects Trump and Xi to meet in a few weeks, he said he hopes the conflict does not spread to other countries in the Middle East.

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State-affiliated Chinese columnist “Niutanqing” on Monday described the Iran “war” as more intense than the conflict in Ukraine, drawing several lessons. Of the several lessons from the turn of events, the columnist said that Khamenei’s death revealed “traitors” can emerge from within, and that negotiations may conceal the true intentions of an adversary, according to a CNBC translation of the post in Chinese.

If the Trump-Xi meeting proceeds as planned, it could offer an opportunity for broader peace talks while addressing strained U.S.-China relations.

“The issues that they have to work out, China-U.S. trade, are pretty important, and the meeting has been scheduled to be in place for a long time, and so cancelling it would be pretty radical at this point,” said Gary Dvorchak, managing director at Blueshirt Group.

“I don’t think it would … help the situation to cancel the meeting for any reason.”

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