Business
ASX 200 Slips as Oil Prices Surge on Iran Ceasefire Collapse While Energy Stocks Buck the Trend Today
SYDNEY — Australian shares closed lower Thursday, with the S&P/ASX 200 index falling 22.6 points, or 0.26 percent, to 8,762.5, as renewed hostilities between the United States and Iran pushed oil prices sharply higher and weighed on the broader market, even as energy stocks posted strong gains on the back of surging crude prices.
The decline extended a difficult run for Australian equities, marking the fourth consecutive session of losses. The index fell 0.3 percent to close at 8,804 on Tuesday, then dropped a further 0.2 percent to 8,785 on Wednesday, as investors grew increasingly cautious following the collapse of the ceasefire agreement between Washington and Tehran. President Donald Trump declared the U.S.-Iran ceasefire “over” earlier this week, and American forces launched fresh strikes against Iran on Tuesday in response to attacks on three commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz, sending oil prices climbing roughly 11 percent over the past five trading sessions.
Thursday’s session opened sharply lower, with the ASX 200 down as much as 0.9 percent in early trade before paring some losses through the day. Key sectors including materials, financials and healthcare each fell more than 1 percent during the session, while energy stocks continued their strong recent run, climbing further as oil prices extended their advance. The S&P/ASX 200 Energy index rose 1.9 percent Thursday, marking its second consecutive day of gains and pushing the sector to a near three-week high, with strength spanning coal, refining, uranium, and oil and gas names. Utilities stocks with exposure to liquefied natural gas markets, including AGL Energy and Origin Energy, also moved higher during the session.
Beyond the energy-driven divergence, several individual company developments shaped Thursday’s trading. Gold miner Pantoro fell sharply, dropping 19.6 percent to $1.77, after reporting full-year 2026 gold production of 77,400 ounces, roughly 10 percent below its downgraded guidance range of 86,000 to 92,000 ounces. The company attributed the shortfall to labor shortages, contractor underperformance and equipment availability issues affecting underground production, though it maintained a debt-free position with cash and gold holdings of $223.4 million. Pantoro’s fiscal 2027 guidance pointed to a step-up in output, targeting 90,000 to 105,000 ounces at an all-in sustaining cost of $2,800 to $3,400 per ounce, weighted toward the second half of the year, alongside plans to resume open-pit mining at its Green Lantern site and begin underground development at O’Briens Reef from the September quarter.
Elsewhere in the resources sector, gold miner Catalyst Metals entered forward contracts covering 30,000 ounces of gold at a fixed price of $6,075 per ounce, with deliveries spread evenly at 2,000 ounces per month over 15 months beginning in August, a move designed to protect near-term revenue against price volatility. Construction materials group Fletcher Building rallied after upgrading its fiscal 2026 earnings guidance, providing one of the session’s more notable positive company-specific catalysts.
Wednesday’s session had featured broader sectoral pressure, with electronic technology, non-energy minerals and industrial services stocks dragging on the index. BHP Group fell 2.3 percent that day after workers announced plans to strike July 16 at the company’s Western Australian iron ore terminal over demands for recognition of specialist skills and associated compensation. Trading Economics reported that early losses on Wednesday were trimmed somewhat after Reserve Bank of Australia Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter noted that domestic economic activity remained resilient despite weaker consumer and business sentiment following the recent oil price shock.
Tuesday’s session had seen even broader-based selling, with mining heavyweight BHP Group dropping 2.9 percent, Evolution Mining sliding 3.8 percent, Telstra losing 3.1 percent, and Macquarie Group falling 2.4 percent, while the four major banks each declined between 1.0 and 1.7 percent. Gold stocks were hit particularly hard that session, tumbling 4.3 percent as bullion prices retreated, with Northern Star Resources, Australia’s largest listed gold miner, dropping 5.1 percent. Not every stock struggled during that stretch, however, with WiseTech Global jumping 5.7 percent on Tuesday after the technology company named a new chair, a move the market interpreted as addressing lingering governance concerns that had weighed on the stock in recent months.
The broader macroeconomic backdrop has added further uncertainty to trading this week. The International Monetary Fund cut its 2026 global growth forecast to 3 percent, citing risks stemming from the Middle East conflict, while projecting Chinese economic growth would slow to 4.6 percent amid higher oil prices and structural headwinds, with India expected to lead major economies at 6.4 percent growth. The IMF’s updated forecast assumed energy prices would remain roughly 25 percent above prewar levels, based on an assumption that the Strait of Hormuz would reopen from mid-July, while flagging renewed Middle East conflict, trade fragmentation and a possible correction in AI-driven equity valuations as the primary downside risks to the global outlook.
Regional monetary policy also factored into Thursday’s session. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised its Official Cash Rate by 25 basis points to 2.5 percent, marking its first rate increase since 2023, and signaled further tightening was likely as it works to bring inflation back toward its target. The bank projected inflation would peak at 3.9 percent in the current quarter before easing to 3.3 percent by the September quarter, an improvement on its previous forecast of a 4.3 percent third-quarter peak.
Investors also remained focused on data due later this week from China, Australia’s largest trading partner, with June consumer price index and producer price index figures expected to offer fresh signals on the health of Chinese demand. Overnight, Wall Street finished mostly lower but well off session lows, with the S&P 500 closing down 0.28 percent after touching lows of negative 1.09 percent intraday, as chip stocks including Nvidia and Broadcom helped support the broader market even as risk sentiment soured following the collapse of the U.S.-Iran ceasefire.
With Middle East tensions continuing to develop and no clear resolution in sight, investors are likely to remain focused on further geopolitical developments, oil price movements, and this week’s Chinese economic data as they assess whether the current pullback in Australian equities represents a temporary pause or the beginning of a more extended period of volatility heading into the back half of 2026.
Business
Hammer receives binding offer from Austral
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ZoomInfo: Cheap On Earnings, Expensive On Enterprise Value
ZoomInfo: Cheap On Earnings, Expensive On Enterprise Value
Business
Jio Financial Services shares rise 2% after firm sets record date for dividend. What to expect?
Jio Financial Services shares rose to Rs 262.65 apiece on Monday, extending a more than 10% jump in a week. The company paid a dividend of Rs 0.5 per share to its shareholders last year. After announcing the latest dividend in April this year, the stock currently has a dividend yield of 0.19%, according to data on Trendlyne.
Fixing the record date as August 10 means that only shareholders who own the company’s shares in their demat accounts as of August 10 (next Monday) will be eligible to receive the dividend, subject to shareholder approval at the upcoming Annual General Meeting (AGM).
Earlier this month, Jio Financial Services reported 155% year-on-year (YoY) jump in its consolidated net profit at Rs 830 crore in the first quarter of FY27, while revenue from operations increased 227% YoY to Rs 2,004 crore during the quarter under review.
Consolidated total income rose 141% YoY to Rs 1,496 crore from Rs 619 crore. It was up 47% from Rs 1,020 crore in the March quarter. Interest income grew 165% YoY to Rs 962 crore, while fees and commission income surged to Rs 325 crore from Rs 54 crore.
Also read | Jio Financial Services sets record date for dividend. Check details
Jio Financial Services share price
Jio Financial Services shares had jumped nearly 4% to close at Rs 256 apiece on Friday. The stock gained more than 10.5% in a week and over 9% in a month. However, it is down nearly 12% in 2026 so far.
In the longer term, the shares of the company have fallen around 21% in a year. The company currently has a market capitalisation of more than Rs 1.73 lakh crore.Motilal Oswal has a Buy rating on Jio Financial Services with a target price of Rs 315 apiece. The brokerage said the company delivered a healthy quarter, driven by strong growth in Jio Credit, whose assets under management (AUM) crossed Rs 300 billion.
It also highlighted steady progress across the payments, insurance, and asset management businesses, although operating expenses remained elevated due to continued investments in incubating new businesses and expanding existing operations. Motilal Oswal cut its FY27 and FY28 EPS estimates by 4% and 6%, respectively, to account for higher operating costs, but expects consolidated PAT to grow at a 46% CAGR between FY26 and FY28.
Also read | For investors with some patience: 6 mid-cap stocks from different sectors with upside potential of up to 20%
(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)
Business
Morningstar: Undervalued With A Differentiated Business Model (NASDAQ:MORN)
I am a self-taught individual investor and I have been investing in stocks for over 25 years. I focus on dividend growth investing with a long-term horizon since I believe in the compounding power of dividend growth investing. I generally look for undervalued stocks with sustainable dividend growth and capital appreciation potential. I try to provide a little more in depth analysis weighing the positives and negatives. I am now in the Top 2.0% out of 28,000+ financial bloggers (February 2024) as tracked by Tip Ranks for my SA articles.Blog: www.dividendpower.orgWork/ associated with the existing authors James Marino and Ferdis.
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.
Business
10 Things to Know About Warren Buffett’s Famous S&P 500 Advice Amid Today’s Rising Concentration Risk
Warren Buffett’s decades-old advice to put money into low-cost S&P 500 index funds remains one of the most widely followed pieces of investment guidance in the world. But as the index has grown increasingly dominated by a small handful of technology giants, analysts say the strategy today carries different risks than when Buffett first popularized it. Here are 10 things to know about the guidance and how it applies to today’s market.
1. The advice traces back to Buffett’s 2013 shareholder letter. In that letter, Buffett instructed the trustee overseeing a bequest to his wife to allocate 90% of the funds to a low-cost S&P 500 index fund, with the remaining 10% directed toward short-term U.S. government bonds. He recommended Vanguard specifically, though he did not name a particular fund or ticker.
2. VOO is widely seen as the closest match to Buffett’s description. Vanguard’s S&P 500 ETF, trading under the ticker VOO, carries an annual expense ratio of just 0.03%, among the lowest available for a fund tracking the index, and aligns closely with the kind of low-fee vehicle Buffett described in his original guidance.
3. Technology now dominates the index far more than it once did. According to recent index weighting data, technology stocks make up roughly 37% of the S&P 500. Just three companies, Apple, Nvidia and Microsoft, together account for roughly 20% of the entire index’s value, meaning a large share of any S&P 500 index fund’s performance now hinges on the fortunes of a small handful of mega-cap technology firms.
4. That concentration has grown dramatically since Buffett first gave the advice. Ten years ago, the S&P 500’s 10 largest stocks represented just 15.3% of the index’s total market capitalization. Five years after Buffett’s 2013 letter, that figure had risen to 27.2%. Today, according to MacroMicro data, the top 10 stocks account for roughly 37.5% of the index, down slightly from an all-time high near 43% reached earlier this year, but still among the highest concentration levels in the index’s history.
5. Artificial intelligence spending is now a major driver of index-wide earnings. Goldman Sachs has forecast that companies tied to artificial intelligence could contribute roughly half of the S&P 500’s overall earnings growth in 2026. That dependence means a slowdown in AI-related capital spending or disappointing earnings from a handful of mega-cap technology companies could weigh disproportionately on the entire index, a risk that did not exist to the same degree when Buffett first offered his recommendation.
6. Long-term return expectations for U.S. stocks have moderated. Vanguard’s broad U.S. equity return model now projects 10-year annualized returns of between 4.2% and 6.2%, down from an earlier forecast range of 4.9% to 6.9%, reflecting the impact of higher current valuations on expected future returns. By comparison, the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF, trading under the ticker IVV, posted an annualized gain of 15.47% over the 10 years ending in June, a pace analysts generally view as unlikely to be sustained indefinitely.
7. Current valuations remain a point of debate among analysts. According to FactSet data, the S&P 500 currently trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.6, a level some analysts view as elevated relative to historical averages, though others argue current earnings growth, particularly among AI-linked companies, helps justify the higher multiple.
8. Money continues flowing into S&P 500 index funds at record levels. Vanguard’s VOO recently became the first exchange-traded fund in history to surpass $1 trillion in assets under management. According to data cited by Reuters, the fund has attracted roughly $69 billion in net inflows so far in 2026, following $118 billion in 2024 and $138 billion in 2025, with no other ETF attracting more investor money this year.
9. Experts generally still endorse the strategy despite the added concentration risk. Analysts writing for outlets including the Motley Fool and 24/7 Wall St. have said Buffett’s underlying advice remains sound in principle, since S&P 500 index funds continue to offer low costs and broad exposure to the U.S. economy. But those same analysts caution that investors should understand the fund no longer provides the same level of diversification it once did, given how heavily its performance now depends on a small group of dominant technology companies.
10. Buffett himself has continued monitoring risk within specific holdings tied to his broader philosophy. In more recent commentary, Buffett has reportedly cautioned about the risks tied to specific high-profile stocks, including SpaceX, following sharp declines in that company’s share price after its public listing, reflecting his continued attention to volatility and valuation risk even within widely held names.
Analysts broadly agree that Buffett’s core message, favoring low fees, broad diversification and long-term patience over active trading, remains valid advice for the average investor. But they emphasize that today’s S&P 500 looks meaningfully different from the one Buffett first pointed to in 2013, and that investors relying on the index for diversification should understand just how concentrated their exposure to a handful of technology giants has become, particularly if they are also invested in other tech-heavy benchmarks such as the Nasdaq Composite.
Business
Boliden: Finding The Entry For 2026-2028
Boliden: Finding The Entry For 2026-2028
Business
Why is TG Therapeutics stock sliding today?

Why is TG Therapeutics stock sliding today?
Business
Evolution open to more deals
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Business
LeBron James Could Be Worth Up to $430 Million to Philadelphia’s Economy, New Estimates Suggest This Year
LeBron James signed with the Philadelphia 76ers this summer for just $8 million over two seasons, a deep discount from the maximum contract he could have commanded elsewhere. But according to new economic projections, the true value of his arrival to the city of Philadelphia could dwarf his actual salary many times over.
Consulting firm The Boyd Company estimated that James’s first full season with the 76ers could generate between $250 million and $430 million in total regional economic activity, a figure the firm shared in a post on X. “A move to Philly is more than a blockbuster sports story — it reinforces one of America’s premier sports and business markets, generates enormous media attention, fan engagement, tourism and economic impact,” the firm wrote. “The Boyd Co. knows that the biggest location decisions — whether made by Fortune 500 companies or superstar athletes — can reshape regional economies and propel a city’s national profile.”
The Boyd Company’s projection does not represent direct revenue for the 76ers organization itself. Instead, it reflects the broader ripple effect James’s presence is expected to have across the wider Philadelphia regional economy, spanning everything from ticket sales and hotel stays to restaurant spending and retail purchases tied to increased tourism and fan travel throughout the season.
James signed a two-year veteran’s minimum contract worth a total of $8 million, walking away from what would likely have been a maximum contract paying him in excess of $50 million annually had he signed elsewhere. His salary for the 2026-27 season specifically will total $3.9 million, according to reporting on the deal. That stark gap between James’s modest actual salary and his projected economic value has led some analysts to describe the signing as potentially the biggest bargain in professional sports history, even before accounting for the on-court talent he brings to a Philadelphia roster that already included Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey, VJ Edgecombe and newly acquired forward Jaylen Brown.
Not every economist is comfortable putting a precise number on James’s expected impact this early. Ethan Conner-Ross, an economist with the Philadelphia-based consulting firm Econsult Solutions Inc., cautioned against overstating the certainty of any single projection. “It’s hard to precisely quantify, sitting here today, what that exact number is going to be,” Conner-Ross told The Philadelphia Inquirer. Conner-Ross pointed to several distinct components that would ultimately factor into James’s overall economic footprint in the region, including his own personal spending as a high-earning professional relocating to the area, any local and state taxes he would pay on his income, and the money he would spend on housing, whether renting or purchasing property in the Philadelphia region. That housing question remains unresolved, with some reports suggesting James might instead choose to commute to games from New York City rather than establish a primary residence in the Philadelphia area.
The largest single driver of the projected economic impact is expected to come from home game attendance. Thousands of fans are anticipated to travel to Philadelphia from across the United States, and potentially internationally, specifically to watch James play, a dynamic that would be further amplified if this proves to be the final season of his playing career. Beyond ticket purchases themselves, those visiting fans would generate additional spending on hotels, restaurants, transportation and other tourism-related activity throughout the city during game weekends.
Early evidence of James’s drawing power has already shown up in ticket pricing data. According to TickPick, the average purchase price for a 76ers game last season was $68. Following James’s signing, the cheapest available ticket for the team’s first preseason home game had already climbed to $283, according to the same source, illustrating the immediate shift in market demand tied directly to his arrival on the roster.
James’s move to Philadelphia is also expected to make him the league’s top-selling jersey this season, with fans expected to purchase his new No. 23 76ers jersey in significant numbers. While Milwaukee Bucks star Giannis Antetokounmpo’s new No. 7 jersey with the Miami Heat is also expected to sell well following his own offseason move, analysts do not expect it to match the demand generated by a new LeBron James jersey.
James’s arrival has also elevated Philadelphia’s championship odds for the coming season. With James joining an already talented core, the 76ers now hold the fourth-best odds to win the 2027 NBA championship, according to reporting on the team’s outlook, though economic projections tied to James’s presence remain far more certain than any on-court outcome, since a deep playoff run or championship, while not guaranteed, would likely add substantially to the economic activity already projected for his first season with the team.
James’s move to Philadelphia echoes a similar high-profile relocation from earlier in his career, when he left the Miami Heat in 2014 to return to the Cleveland Cavaliers, a decision that similarly generated significant economic attention and analysis regarding its impact on Cleveland’s local economy at the time. With James now beginning a new chapter of his career in Philadelphia, economists and city officials are likely to continue closely tracking ticket sales, tourism figures and broader regional spending data throughout the season to determine how closely the actual economic impact of his arrival ultimately aligns with the Boyd Company’s initial $250 million to $430 million projection.
Business
How Companies Track Shifts in Consumer Behaviour Over Time
Consumers’ behaviors change due to new technologies, trends, economic environment, and customer needs. Organizations unable to track these changes often experience difficulties with competitiveness, while firms capable of doing this can respond quickly and thus improve customer experience and increase revenues.
Today’s consumers expect a personalized approach, faster services, an efficient digital experience, and customized products.
Monitoring changes in consumer behaviors can help organizations to learn how customers find products, compare different offers, buy items, interact with companies, and behave after sales. In turn, this information is useful to enhance marketing initiatives, design innovative solutions, offer high-quality support, and retain customers.
What is the concept of consumer behavior?
Consumers’ behaviors are the actions, decisions, and emotional reactions of customers during each step of their purchasing journey. They include:
- How do consumers search for the required goods and services?
- What factors influence people’s choices in favor of one brand rather than another?
- Which channels are the main ones for customers?
- How do consumers react to marketing and advertising efforts?
- Why do clients stop making purchases?
- How do customers use the purchased goods or services?
- What causes them to make new orders?
Consumer behaviors involve offline and online activities. Companies examine customers’ visits to websites, social media profiles, search histories, app usage, reviews left by consumers, purchase histories, and customer service interactions to learn more about clients and their needs. Businesses often combine these insights with data collected through social listening tools to better understand customer sentiment and online engagement patterns.
Through behavioral monitoring, firms can detect changes, predict new trends, and adapt to evolving consumer needs.
Why is monitoring consumer behavior important?
Knowing customers’ behaviors allows businesses to compete successfully by providing a better customer experience, improving products, and developing effective marketing campaigns.
Improving Personalization
Nowadays, consumers require more personalized approaches. Firms use behavioral data to personalize product recommendations, marketing campaigns, emails, and other elements of their websites.
For example, streaming service providers examine video-watching behaviors of customers to come up with content recommendations. E-commerce companies use data collected about the browsing and purchasing activity of customers to recommend additional items.
Personalized customer experience increases satisfaction and boosts revenues since customers tend to purchase products that correspond to their interests and needs.
Improving Marketing Performance
Through monitoring consumers’ behaviors, organizations get to know which marketing campaigns are more successful and efficient. Businesses may understand what audiences should be addressed by particular campaigns, on what channels ads work better, what types of marketing messages catch consumers’ attention, and which factors motivate people to buy a product.
Thus, marketing specialists are able to run targeted campaigns and save resources. For instance, a company selling vacations can find out that middle-aged women living on the West Coast react well to ads offering travel packages to Hawaii. In such a case, this firm would be able to develop targeted marketing campaigns aimed at this target audience.
Effective personalization usually brings significant profit. As recent studies demonstrate, organizations using personalized marketing strategies tend to receive a much higher return on investment than companies utilizing generic campaigns.
Tip: Small businesses may rely on basic analytics or manual research to understand customer preferences and online engagement. However, as customer conversations grow across multiple channels and regions, larger organizations often turn to enterprise platforms such as Sprinklr Social Listening tool to analyze customer sentiment, monitor brand perception, identify emerging trends, and gain deeper insights into consumer behavior at scale
Key ways businesses use to monitor consumer behaviors
Firms apply different methods to track customer behaviors in the process of researching and analyzing them.
Quantitative Research
The primary purpose of quantitative research is to measure numerical indicators. Businesses examine various metrics, including:
- Number of sales
- Conversion rate
- Retention rate
- Click-through rate
- Purchase frequency
- Average purchase size
Using this method of research allows firms to spot global trends in the behavior of large audiences.
For example, a retail company may notice that mobile sales have risen by 40% over the last year. It shows consumers’ preferences for mobile purchasing processes.
Qualitative Research
The goal of qualitative research is to uncover emotions, motivations, and perceptions of consumers. Researchers conduct interviews, focus groups, open questionnaires, and user testing to understand how people act.
For example, customers could tell why difficult navigation or slow-loading pages prevent them from finishing the purchasing process. Such insights can contribute greatly to improving customer experience.
Predictive Analytics
Predictive analytics is a set of technologies used for predicting future behaviors of customers. Organizations use this tool to predict:
- Possibilities to convert leads into clients
- Chances of customers’ churn
- Product demand
- Customer lifetime value
- Clients’ response to special offers
Predictive AI systems enable businesses to take care of customer needs beforehand.
For example, a company may discover that some customers show symptoms of dissatisfaction or loss of interest. In such a situation, businesses can run a campaign aimed at retaining clients.
Customer Journey Mapping
Customer journey mapping is a technique allowing businesses to trace every interaction of customers with a firm. Such interactions may relate to:
- Ads seen by customers
- Social media interactions
- Website visits
- Contacts with customer support
- Payment process
- Interactions that occur after the purchasing process
Customer journey mapping helps firms to detect points that cause trouble for users and prevent them from completing the desired actions.
For example, a company may find out that a lot of users leave websites without buying goods because of complicated registration. To avoid losing potential customers, firms need to optimize these processes.
New AI systems for customer journey mapping analyze data coming from surveys, phone calls, client reviews, and other interactions to detect key touchpoints. Many organizations also integrate social listening tools into journey mapping strategies to identify customer concerns and trending discussions across online communities.
Cohort Analysis
In cohort analysis, clients are divided into groups based on their common traits or events and monitored for changes in behavior. Cohorts may consist of people who:
- Bought something in a certain month
- Are customers from a particular marketing campaign
- Live in certain regions
- Belong to a specific age group
- Have started subscriptions at a certain point in time
Analyzing cohorts makes it possible to see general behavioral tendencies and draw conclusions from them.
For example, an organization could find out that clients recruited via influencer marketing remain loyal for a much longer period than those obtained via paid search ads.
Cohort analysis gives businesses an understanding of how marketing campaigns affect retention rates and customer lifetime value.
Conclusion
Monitoring changes in consumer behavior has become critical for modern organizations. By discovering customers’ behaviors, businesses may be able to develop efficient marketing campaigns, invent innovative products, offer good support, and establish connections with clients.
Organizations obtain valuable data on customer behaviors from their websites, mobile apps, CRM systems, social media, interactions with customer support services, surveys, and AI-powered analytical platforms. Combining the methods of qualitative and quantitative research allows organizations to learn more about customers and their needs. The use of social listening tools further helps companies track customer opinions, industry trends, and brand reputation in real time.
Technologies, such as predictive analytics, customer journey mapping, cohort analysis, and A/B testing, help companies identify important tendencies and predict future trends.
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