Connect with us
DAPA Banner

Business

Declining Venture Funding Highlights the Region’s Exit Challenges

Published

on

Southeast Asia Startup Funding Hits $5.4 Billion in 2025

For years, the dominant narrative around Southeast Asia’s private capital markets was one of boundless promise: a region of 700 million consumers, accelerating digitization, and vast pools of untapped enterprise value waiting to be unlocked by bold investors.

Key Takeaways

  • Structural downturn in VC funding
    • Venture capital deal value in Southeast Asia fell by 33.9% in 2025, marking a multiyear contraction.
    • This is described as a “recalibration” rather than a temporary pause.
  • Three forces driving the decline
    • Fundraising pressures: Difficulty raising new funds, especially from international limited partners.
    • Reduced cross-border participation: Retreat of US and Chinese investors due to domestic focus and geopolitical friction.
    • Tighter diligence standards: More scrutiny on profitability and business models, leading to fewer deals.
  • Private equity resilience
    • PE remains active in infrastructure, logistics, and B2B platforms, which offer tangible assets and predictable cash flows.
    • Reflects a global shift toward defensible, cash-generating investments.
  • Liquidity crisis
    • The biggest challenge is exits, not capital deployment.
    • Shallow IPO markets and limited strategic buyers constrain liquidity.
    • Secondary sales and sponsor-to-sponsor deals are common but insufficient substitutes for robust exit mechanisms.

That narrative has not collapsed entirely, but it has been brutally stress-tested. And the stress test, judging by the latest data, has exposed fault lines that optimistic forecasts long papered over.

According to PitchBook’s 2026 Southeast Asia Private Capital Breakdown, venture capital deal value in the region fell by 33.9% in 2025, continuing what is now an undeniable multiyear contraction. 

Let that number settle for a moment. A one-third reduction in deal value, compounded across consecutive years, is not a cyclical dip. It is a structural recalibration. 

The report is careful to use that precise language: this is a “continued recalibration rather than a short-term pause.” That distinction matters enormously, both for how investors interpret the data and for how founders, regulators, and policymakers respond to it. 

Advertisement

The Three Forces Strangling VC

PitchBook identifies three converging forces behind the collapse in VC deal value: fundraising pressures, reduced cross-border participation, and the application of tighter diligence standards. Each deserves scrutiny on its own terms, because together they form a self-reinforcing cycle that makes rapid recovery unlikely.

Fundraising pressure is the upstream problem. When managers cannot raise new funds, they cannot deploy capital, and in a market where international limited partners have grown increasingly skeptical of emerging market exposure, Southeast Asian-focused vehicles have found it harder to close. 

That capital drought cascades downstream into fewer term sheets, smaller check sizes, and a narrowing of the companies that can realistically access institutional venture funding.

Reduced cross-border participation compounds the damage. Southeast Asia’s VC ecosystem was never purely indigenous. It was built, in significant part, on the back of US and Chinese capital that saw the region as a growth frontier. With US investors more domestically focused and Chinese cross-border investment constrained by geopolitical friction, that external demand has retreated. What remains is a thinner, more locally concentrated investor base that simply cannot fill the gap.

Advertisement

And tighter diligence? That is, frankly, long overdue but painful in the short term. The easy-money era inflated valuations and funded business models that struggled to demonstrate a credible path to profitability. Investors are now asking harder questions at the term sheet stage, which is correct and necessary, but which inevitably means fewer deals getting done and more time between capital events. 

Private Equity: The Relative Bright Spot

Not everything is contracting. The PitchBook report draws a clear distinction between the VC malaise and the comparative resilience of private equity, and that distinction is instructive. PE sponsors in Southeast Asia have continued to back opportunities in infrastructure, logistics, and B2B platforms, sectors characterized by tangible assets, recurring revenues, and the kind of cash flow visibility that makes institutional underwriting tractable.

This is not coincidental. It reflects a broader global reallocation away from high-multiple growth bets and toward assets with defensible economics. Infrastructure, in particular, has become a magnet for private capital across Asia, as governments grapple with energy transition, digital connectivity, and supply chain diversification. Southeast Asia, sitting at the intersection of all three trends, offers genuine strategic relevance for patient capital with long investment horizons.

The B2B platform play is also worth noting. As consumer-facing digital businesses, the darlings of the 2015 to 2022 boom, have struggled with unit economics and customer acquisition costs, enterprise-focused models have quietly demonstrated better durability. Investors who pivoted toward B2B have been rewarded with more predictable revenue profiles, and the PE community has taken notice.

Advertisement

But even this relative optimism must be contextualized against the larger structural challenge hanging over the entire market. 

The Real Crisis: Liquidity Has Nowhere to Go

Here is the hard truth that PitchBook’s report surfaces with quiet clarity: the challenge for Southeast Asia’s private markets is no longer deployment. It is liquidity.

For a decade, the dominant conversation was about whether enough capital was flowing into the region. Governments competed for investment, incubators proliferated, and unicorn valuations became a proxy for national ambition. The deployment problem, at least partially, was solved. The liquidity problem never was.

Exits remain the region’s single greatest constraint. Two structural deficiencies define the landscape: shallow IPO markets and a limited pool of strategic buyers. Neither is new, but both have become more acute as the vintage years of 2018 to 2022 investments approach the natural horizon for liquidity events.

Advertisement

Southeast Asia has never developed the deep, liquid public market infrastructure of comparable economic regions. Exchanges in Singapore, Indonesia, Thailand, and Malaysia exist, but they lack the depth, analyst coverage, and institutional investor participation to absorb large-scale VC-backed listings at the valuations that would make exits meaningful for early-stage investors. The result is a structural mismatch: founders and funds have built companies, but the machinery to monetize them remains underdeveloped.

Strategic acquisitions are similarly constrained. The large technology conglomerates, both regional champions and global platforms, that might once have served as natural acquirers have pulled back from aggressive M&A. Budget discipline and regulatory scrutiny have made big-ticket strategic acquisitions rarer, leaving secondary sales and sponsor-to-sponsor transactions as the primary exit mechanisms. These are useful instruments, but they are not the same as genuine market liquidity. 

What Comes Next: A Market That Must Earn Its Recovery

Some will read the PitchBook data and see opportunity in adversity, the classic contrarian argument that the best investments are made when sentiment is at its worst. That argument has merit in principle. The structural fundamentals of Southeast Asia, including demographics, urbanization, and the digitization of commerce and financial services, have not disappeared. They remain compelling on a decade-long view.

But investors tempted by that thesis must grapple honestly with the liquidity constraint. Deploying capital into a market where exit mechanisms are structurally compromised is not contrarian investing. It is a trap. The discipline required right now is not courage but patience, paired with a clear-eyed insistence that any new investment be underwritten against a realistic scenario for how and when that capital will be returned.

Advertisement

For the ecosystem to genuinely reset and recover, several developments must happen in parallel. Local capital markets need to deepen. 

Regional exchanges must become credible venues for technology listings. Sovereign wealth funds and domestic institutional investors must step into the role that foreign capital once played. And the PE-led approach of backing infrastructure and B2B platforms at disciplined valuations must become the template, not the exception.

The region has real assets. It has growing middle classes, improving regulatory environments, and a generation of operators who have learned hard lessons through the contraction. What it lacks, for now, is the exit infrastructure to translate those assets into returns. Until that gap closes, the story of Southeast Asia’s private capital markets will remain, as PitchBook frames it, not a recovery but a recalibration. And recalibrations, by definition, take time. 

Advertisement
Continue Reading
Click to comment

You must be logged in to post a comment Login

Leave a Reply

Business

Music giant Universal gets $64bn takeover offer

Published

on

Music giant Universal gets $64bn takeover offer

The music giant behind acts such as Taylor Swift and Sabrina Carpenter gets an offer from Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square.

Continue Reading

Business

Form 8K Nuvalent Inc For: 7 April

Published

on


Form 8K Nuvalent Inc For: 7 April

Continue Reading

Business

OXLC Is A Mess – Here's Why I'm Bullish

Published

on

OXLC Is A Mess - Here's Why I'm Bullish

OXLC Is A Mess – Here's Why I'm Bullish

Continue Reading

Business

Aroundtown buys back 8.7 million shares in early April

Published

on


Aroundtown buys back 8.7 million shares in early April

Continue Reading

Business

Bowman Consulting: Capturing Utility Growth Without Paying A Premium

Published

on

Bowman Consulting: Capturing Utility Growth Without Paying A Premium

Bowman Consulting: Capturing Utility Growth Without Paying A Premium

Continue Reading

Business

FTSE 100 Climbs Modestly to 10,461.88 on April 7 as Energy Stocks Lift UK Market Amid Global Tensions

Published

on

FTSE 100 Surges 0.8% Today as Oil Eases and Markets

LONDON — The FTSE 100 index edged higher Tuesday, reaching 10,461.88 points by mid-morning trading on April 7, 2026, as gains in energy and defensive stocks offset broader caution stemming from escalating geopolitical risks in the Middle East.

FTSE 100 Surges 0.8% Today as Oil Eases and Markets
FTSE 100 Surges 0.8% Today as Oil Eases and Markets Rebound (Stock Market)

The blue-chip benchmark rose 25.59 points, or 0.25%, from the previous close of 10,436.29 set on April 2. It traded within a range of 10,399.45 to 10,487.67 during the session, according to data reported at 09:57:33 BST. All figures were delayed by at least 15 minutes as markets remained active.

The modest advance came as investors weighed fresh developments around U.S. President Donald Trump’s deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, with oil prices fluctuating amid fears of supply disruptions. Energy giants such as Shell and BP provided support, benefiting from elevated crude benchmarks even as some analysts warned of potential demand destruction if conflict intensifies.

Banking and mining shares showed mixed performance, reflecting ongoing sensitivity to interest rate expectations from the Bank of England and global growth concerns. Defensive sectors including pharmaceuticals and consumer staples offered stability, helping limit downside on a day when European peers traded in a narrow band.

The FTSE 100 has displayed resilience in early April after a volatile first quarter marked by sharp swings tied to Middle East tensions. The index had recovered some ground following a period in March when it briefly erased all 2026 gains amid oil price spikes above $110 per barrel. Tuesday’s small uptick extended a pattern of cautious optimism as traders awaited clearer signals on monetary policy and diplomatic outcomes.

Advertisement

Analysts noted that the UK market’s heavy weighting toward energy, financials and materials leaves it particularly exposed to commodity cycles and geopolitical headlines. With Brent crude hovering near elevated levels, oil majors contributed positively to the index, counterbalancing any weakness in export-oriented or rate-sensitive names.

Broader market sentiment remained guarded. Investors continued monitoring Trump’s repeated warnings of potential strikes on Iranian infrastructure, including power plants and bridges, should Tehran fail to comply with the latest deadline. Such developments have kept volatility elevated across global equities, with the FTSE 100 oscillating around the psychologically important 10,400-10,500 zone in recent sessions.

Year-to-date performance for the FTSE 100 in 2026 has been uneven. The index enjoyed strong gains earlier in the year, briefly pushing toward record territory above 10,900 points in February before retreating sharply on conflict-related fears. By early April, it had clawed back some losses but remained below its 2026 peak.

Tuesday’s trading volume appeared moderate for a midweek session, consistent with lighter activity often seen when major U.S. markets are closed or when headlines dominate over corporate earnings. No major UK earnings releases dominated the calendar, shifting focus to macroeconomic and geopolitical factors.

Advertisement

Sector leaders on the day included energy firms riding the oil wave, while utilities and healthcare names provided a buffer. Conversely, some technology and consumer discretionary stocks lagged as risk appetite stayed restrained.

The pound sterling traded softer against the dollar, reflecting mixed UK economic data and global safe-haven flows. A weaker currency can support multinational earnings within the FTSE 100 when translated back to sterling, offering another tailwind for the index on export-heavy days.

Looking ahead, market participants await the next Bank of England policy decision and inflation readings. Expectations for gradual rate cuts have been tempered by persistent inflationary pressures linked to energy costs. Any dovish signals could further support equities, particularly rate-sensitive sectors like real estate and banking.

The FTSE 100’s composition — dominated by established multinational corporations — has historically provided a degree of insulation during periods of global uncertainty compared with more growth-oriented indices. However, its underperformance relative to U.S. benchmarks in recent years has prompted ongoing debate about UK market valuations and attractiveness to international investors.

Advertisement

Some strategists argue the index offers compelling dividend yields and undervalued cyclical stocks, particularly in banking and resources, should geopolitical risks ease. Others caution that prolonged Middle East instability could weigh on global growth and commodity demand, capping upside.

As of mid-morning Tuesday, the intraday high of 10,487.67 suggested buyers were testing resistance near recent swing levels, while the low of 10,399.45 indicated underlying caution. The 0.25% gain represented a measured step rather than a decisive breakout, aligning with choppy conditions seen across European bourses.

Broader European indices showed similar modest moves, with the STOXX 600 and CAC 40 trading in narrow ranges. Wall Street futures pointed to a potentially quiet open later in the day, pending any fresh headlines from Washington or Tehran.

For UK investors, the FTSE 100 remains a core benchmark for pension funds and passive strategies. Its performance carries significant implications for retirement portfolios given the index’s prominence in domestic savings products.

Advertisement

Tuesday’s data underscored the market’s ability to absorb geopolitical noise without sharp sell-offs, a resilience tested repeatedly since late February when tensions first escalated. Oil prices, while elevated, had not yet triggered the kind of sustained demand destruction feared by some economists.

Analysts will continue watching for signs of rotation between defensive and cyclical stocks as the week progresses. Corporate earnings seasons in the coming months could provide fresh catalysts, particularly from banking heavyweights and energy majors reporting on first-quarter results.

In the longer term, structural questions persist about the FTSE 100’s growth prospects amid slower UK economic expansion compared with the United States. Initiatives to boost domestic investment and listings have gained attention, though tangible shifts remain gradual.

As trading continued into the London afternoon, the index hovered near the 10,460 level. Investors appeared content with small gains while monitoring developments that could rapidly alter risk sentiment.

Advertisement

The session served as a reminder of the delicate balance global markets navigate between corporate fundamentals and headline-driven volatility. With the FTSE 100 closing the previous session at 10,436.29 after a 0.69% advance on April 2, Tuesday’s continuation suggested steady but unspectacular momentum.

Whether the index can sustain gains and push toward the upper end of its recent range will depend largely on de-escalation signals from the Middle East and domestic policy clarity. For now, the modest 0.25% rise offered a steady start to the trading week for UK equities.

Continue Reading

Business

AI training is the real key to job creation, not mass unemployment

Published

on

AI training is the real key to job creation, not mass unemployment

Kate Alessi, Google’s managing director for the UK and Ireland, has pushed back firmly against warnings that artificial intelligence will trigger widespread unemployment, insisting that the greater risk lies in failing to equip workers with the skills to thrive alongside the technology.

Speaking as Google unveiled a new national upskilling programme backed by £2 million in grant funding from Google.org, Alessi argued that history offered a reassuring precedent. Every previous wave of technological disruption, she noted, had prompted the same anxieties about disappearing jobs – and every time, the fears had proved overblown as new roles emerged to replace the old.

Her intervention comes at a pointed moment. In January, the Mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, cautioned that AI could bring about a new era of mass unemployment without proper oversight, while Bank of England governor Andrew Bailey drew comparisons with the Industrial Revolution, stressing the need for retraining and education on a significant scale.

Alessi does not deny that change is coming, but she frames it rather differently. Citing research from the policy consultancy Public First, she pointed out that roughly six in ten UK jobs are expected to be enhanced rather than eliminated by AI. The challenge, she maintained, is ensuring that people are prepared to step into the roles the technology creates, not simply bracing for the ones it displaces.

The figures suggest there is considerable ground to make up. According to new research commissioned by Google, although nearly two thirds of the UK population have tried AI tools, just one in ten consider themselves advanced users. Only a quarter felt they were deploying AI in ways that saved them meaningful time or gave them genuinely new capabilities.

Advertisement

“Most people are really only scratching the surface,” Alessi said.

To address that gap, Google is rolling out a series of practical initiatives. Alongside the grant funding, the company plans to run Gemini tours across universities, aimed at ensuring graduates enter the workplace with a working knowledge of AI. It will also stage a series of pop-up events branded as “squeeze the juice” bars in towns and cities around the country, designed to show ordinary users how to move beyond basic prompting to tackle more complex tasks – from automating routine admin to conducting in-depth research.


Jamie Young

Jamie Young

Jamie is Senior Reporter at Business Matters, bringing over a decade of experience in UK SME business reporting.
Jamie holds a degree in Business Administration and regularly participates in industry conferences and workshops.

When not reporting on the latest business developments, Jamie is passionate about mentoring up-and-coming journalists and entrepreneurs to inspire the next generation of business leaders.

Advertisement

Continue Reading

Business

Iran war upends spring housing

Published

on

Iran war upends spring housing

FILE PHOTO: A for sale sign is shown for a residential home in Encinitas, California, U.S. July 25, 2025.

Mike Blake | Reuters

A version of this article first appeared in the CNBC Property Play newsletter with Diana Olick. Property Play covers new and evolving opportunities for the real estate investor, from individuals to venture capitalists, private equity funds, family offices, institutional investors and large public companies. Sign up to receive future editions, straight to your inbox.

Advertisement

The all-important spring housing market is well underway, but expectations are falling short due to the war in Iran and its impact on both the U.S. economy and consumer sentiment. 

Mortgage rates, which were previously forecast to be far lower this spring than last, are now much higher, and concerns over employment and inflation are throwing cold water on pent-up homebuyer demand.

Buyers in the first quarter of this year were more concerned about the economy and mortgage rates than they were about home prices, according to real estate agents who participated in the quarterly CNBC Housing Market Survey. 

“They’re fearful of the war, they’re fearful of gas prices, [for] their job security,” said Faith Harmer, an agent in the Las Vegas metropolitan area.

Advertisement

The CNBC Housing Market Survey is a national inquiry of real estate agents selected randomly across the United States. Responses for the first-quarter survey were collected between March 24 and March 30. This quarter, 70 agents shared their insights.

When asked about their buyers’ primary concern, about one-third of agents said the economy, while another third said mortgage rates. The latter marked a big jump from just 26% in the fourth quarter. 

Only 9% of agents in the first-quarter survey said prices were their buyers’ biggest concern, down from 18% in the previous period.

This should come as no surprise, as the average rate on the 30-year fixed mortgage hit a low of 5.99% the day before the Iran war started and then began to climb. It’s now hovering around 6.5%. 

Advertisement

Still, while most agents said prices were either flat or falling, nearly twice as many agents, 29%, reported home prices rising during the first quarter than did in the previous quarter. Price dynamics can vary widely depending on the market and region of the country.

But affordability is not improving as much as most experts had forecast. When asked how affordability was hitting buyers, 19% of agents said it was causing them to get out of the market. That was up from just 11% at the end of last year. 

More than half of agents reported at least one contract cancellation.

“Buyers that were on the fence and deciding to buy are now on the fence and going the other direction, saying, ‘I’m not going to buy,’” said Eric Bramlett, an agent in Austin, Texas.  

Advertisement

As buyer demand drops, homes are sitting on the market longer. In the first quarter, 31% of agents reported that their listings were on the market for more than six weeks, compared with 26% in the fourth quarter.

“We just had one recently where they wanted what they wanted, and they wouldn’t come down to a price that the market could bear,” Harmer, the agent in Las Vegas, said. “So, in the end, they just pulled it off the market.”

Sellers are now more worried about that wait time. Fully 37% of responding agents said time on the market was their sellers’ top concern, compared with 30% at the end of last year. 

That took share from price as sellers’ top concern, falling from nearly half of agents ranking it first to 39%. 

Advertisement

Still, fewer agents reported price cuts than the previous quarter, but that may be the result of seasonal dynamics and the impact of lower mortgage rates in the middle of the first quarter, which gave buyers more purchasing power.

That may also be why fewer agents said they had to delist homes compared with the fourth quarter, when agents reported a slower-than-usual fall market with more frustrated sellers.

Even as concerns over the economy and interest rates rise, agents in the first quarter still said the market was either in the buyer’s favor or balanced. The share that called it a buyer’s market did drop quarter to quarter, from 42% to 36%, likely due to those new buyer headwinds – higher mortgage rates, the war and a weaker job market. And sellers are taking note.

“We’ve had two sellers who were planning on listing in May already decide, ‘Let’s hold, let’s search later in the summer for our next home to buy, and then we’ll try and list in the fall,’” said Dana Bull, an agent in the Boston area. “So they originally thought that the spring would be perfect for them, because it just felt like it was going to be the best time, and now they don’t feel as confident, and they want to wait and see.”

Advertisement

Just over half of agents surveyed said they expect the market to improve as the spring goes on, but that share is way down from the end of last year, when there was no war in the picture. 

A higher share of agents said they expect the market to stay the same as last quarter, which is significant, given that the market is going from the historically slowest season for housing to the usually busiest. 

Get Property Play directly to your inbox

CNBC’s Property Play with Diana Olick covers new and evolving opportunities for the real estate investor, delivered weekly to your inbox.

Subscribe here to get access today.

Advertisement
Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.
Continue Reading

Business

UBS upgrades Popular stock rating on earnings growth outlook

Published

on


UBS upgrades Popular stock rating on earnings growth outlook

Continue Reading

Business

Nationwide swallows up Virgin Money as chief executive prepares to exit

Published

on

Business Live

Chris Rhodes is set to retire in September following the completion of the £2.9bn takeover

EMBARGOED TO 0001 THURSDAY NOVEMBER 25 File photo dated 19/11/12 of a general view of a branch of Virgin Money in Derby city centre. Virgin Money is launching an increased flexible working package for its staff after publishing research on the importance of better parental leave.

A general view of a branch of Virgin Money in Derby city centre.

The chief executive of Virgin Money is poised to leave the company later this year as the UK lender becomes fully integrated into the Nationwide umbrella.

Advertisement

Chris Rhodes assumed leadership at Virgin Money following its acquisition by Swindon-headquartered Nationwide in late 2024. Prior to this role, Rhodes held the position of finance chief at the UK’s largest building society for more than five years.

On Tuesday, Nationwide announced Rhodes would step down in September 2026.

Dame Debbie Crosbie, chief executive of Nationwide, said Rhodes “steadied and strengthened the Virgin Money business” over the past 18 months.

The building society giant struck a deal for the then FTSE 250-listed Virgin Money in March for approximately £2.9bn.

Advertisement

The firm subsequently secured around £2.3bn from the acquisition, which raised questions about Virgin’s leadership decision to accept a deal that some felt undervalued the bank, which held a £4.4bn book value, as reported by City AM.

The acquisition – finalised at the beginning of October – helped create the UK’s second-largest retail banking provider, ahead of NatWest and behind Lloyds Banking Group.

Nationwide confirmed the completion of a legal mechanism known as Part VII Transfer on Tuesday, which enables a bank to transfer all its customers, accounts, and contracts to another bank without requiring individual consent from every single customer.

his paves the way for Virgin Money and Nationwide to be merged into a single organisation, with suggestions that a replacement for Rhodes will not be necessary.

Advertisement

The procedure encompasses the whole of Clydesdale Bank, which is the legal entity that owned Virgin Money and Yorkshire Bank.

As part of the arrangement, Nationwide therefore assumes responsibility for customer accounts, mortgages, credit cards, data and banking contracts at the former brands.

English business magnate Sir Richard Branson established Virgin Money in March 1995, initially known as Virgin Direct.

Branson secured a windfall of approximately £724m from the transaction with Nationwide, which comprised £414m for his 14.5 per cent stake.

Advertisement

The balance of the sum derived from Nationwide agreeing to pay for the use of the Virgin Money brand – a fee that includes £15m in annual royalties for the first four years as well as a £250m exit fee, which positions the brand to vanish from the high street within six years from the date of the acquisition.

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2025