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UK economy grows marginally in last three months of 2025

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It fell short of the 0.2 per cent forecast as the services sector registered zero growth

Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves speaks at a business reception at Lancaster House in central London in September 2025

Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves speaks at a business reception at Lancaster House in central London (Image: PA)

The UK economy experienced modest growth in the fourth quarter of 2025, falling marginally short of predictions as an anticipated lift from the services sector failed to materialise.

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Latest data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed the economy grew a lacklustre 0.1 per cent in the three months to December 2025.

A poll of City economists by Bloomberg had forecast 0.2 per cent growth for the fourth quarter.

This occurred as the services sector, which is frequently regarded as the powerhouse of the economy owing to its substantial contribution of over 80 per cent to GDP, registered no growth during the period.

Production output rose 1.2 per cent whilst construction contracted 2.1 per cent, as reported by City AM.

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“The economy continued to grow slowly in the last three months of the year, with the growth rate unchanged from the previous quarter,” Liz McKeown, director of economic statistics at the ONS, said.

“The often-dominant services sector showed no growth, with the main driver instead coming from manufacturing.”

McKeown added construction recorded its weakest performance in more than four years.

A rise in activity was anticipated by economists following numerous surveys in the final quarter which indicated businesses had suspended their investment plans until uncertainty surrounding the public finances was resolved. Reeves had been anticipated to confront a severe fiscal shortfall following a productivity downgrade.

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However, the Office for Budget Responsibility’s economic forecast subsequently revealed a spike in tax revenues – driven primarily by inflation – which more than compensated for the £16bn downgrade.

Nevertheless, Reeves imposed tax increases totalling £26bn in the Budget, although businesses managed to mitigate some of their gravest concerns.

The elimination of certain fiscal uncertainty was predicted by economists to have triggered a boost in activity following the November Budget.

An Institute of Directors (IoD) survey preceding the Budget demonstrated private sector confidence had tumbled to its lowest level since the industry body began gathering data a decade earlier as tax speculation intensified.

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Economists have raised concerns about a late-year growth surge with Oxford Economics highlighting that any improvement would represent “payback” for declining output during preceding months.

“This appears to be noisy data rather than there being any strong underlying narrative,” Oxford Economics UK economists Andrew Goodwin and Edward Allenby said.

The Bank of England also delivered Reeves a setback during the Monetary Policy Committee’s most recent meeting where they reduced their growth projection for 2026 to 0.9 per cent from 1.2 per cent.

This coincided with a revised growth estimate for 2025 of 1.4 per cent, down from the earlier 1.5 per cent. Simon French, chief economist at Panmure Liberum, stated: “2026 won’t be a vintage year for UK economic performance by historical standards.

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“The composition of economic growth remains overly reliant on public sector spending, and housing wealth.”

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Crocs Update Post Q4 Earnings – Still A Cheap Buy

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Crocs Update Post Q4 Earnings - Still A Cheap Buy

Crocs Update Post Q4 Earnings – Still A Cheap Buy

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Africa Becomes World’s Fastest-Growing Solar Market in 2025 Despite Global Slowdown

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BTC Mining Firm Marathon Digital To Develop Kenya's Green Energy Infrastructure, Thanks To New Deal

Africa emerged as the world’s fastest-growing solar market in 2025, even as global growth slowed, according to a new report from the Africa Solar Industry Association.

The continent’s installed solar capacity rose 17% this year, driven largely by imports of Chinese-made solar panels.

Globally, solar capacity increased 23% to 618 gigawatts (GW) in 2025. While that is still strong growth, it marks a slowdown from the 44% jump seen in 2024.

In contrast, Africa’s steady rise shows a shift in where renewable energy momentum is building.

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“Africa’s growth is driven by changing policies and enabling conditions in a number of countries,” said John Van Zuylen, CEO of the Africa Solar Industry Association.

Speaking at the Inter Solar Africa summit in Nairobi, he added, “Solar energy has moved beyond a handful of early adopters to become a broader continental priority. What we are seeing is not temporary. It is policies aligning with market dynamics.”

According to AP News, Chinese companies have played a key role. “Chinese companies are the main drivers in Africa’s green transition,” said Cynthia Angweya-Muhati, acting CEO of the Kenya Renewable Energy Association.

She noted they are investing heavily in supply chains across the continent’s green energy system.

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Still, not all imported equipment is yet in use. Since 2017, nearly 64 gigawatts peak (GWp) of solar equipment has been shipped to Africa, but only 23.4 GWp is currently working. A gigawatt peak measures the highest possible power output under ideal conditions.

Solar Boom Spreads Across Africa Beyond South Africa

Solar demand is spreading beyond traditional leaders. South Africa once accounted for about half of all solar panel imports to Africa. Now, its share has fallen below one-third as other nations ramp up purchases.

In 2025, 20 African countries set new records for solar imports, and 25 countries each imported at least 100 megawatts, Yahoo reported.

Nigeria overtook Egypt as the second-largest importer, as homes and businesses turned to solar and battery systems instead of diesel generators.

Algeria’s imports jumped more than 30 times compared to the previous year, with Zambia and Botswana also seeing strong growth.

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Battery prices have dropped sharply, falling to $112 per kilowatt-hour in 2025 from $144 in 2023. Lower costs allow families and companies to use solar power day and night. “This ever-decreasing price of storage has game-changing implications for Africa,” Van Zuylen said.

Despite progress, policy uncertainty remains a challenge. “The problem is not the opportunity. It’s visibility,” said Amos Wemanya, senior analyst at Powershift Africa.

“If a government announces a plan, companies need to trust that it will remain in place.”

Originally published on vcpost.com

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Opinion: Tension, tariffs fuel uncertainty

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Opinion: Tension, tariffs fuel uncertainty

OPINION: Grain growers will be watching with interest as unrest in Iran spreads to global markets for inputs including urea.

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A Look Ahead At Gray Media's 2026 Political Advertising Tailwind

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A Look Ahead At Gray Media's 2026 Political Advertising Tailwind

A Look Ahead At Gray Media's 2026 Political Advertising Tailwind

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Grain record confirmed as WA crop production tops 27m

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Grain record confirmed as WA crop production tops 27m

Western Australia’s broadacre farmers have delivered another record crop, topping more 27.3 million tonnes.

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McDonald’s Says Its Value Campaign Is Paying Off

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McDonald’s Says Its Value Campaign Is Paying Off

McDonald’s MCD 2.74%increase; green up pointing triangle said that its multiyear quest to make its food more affordable is working.

The world’s largest burger chain reported that global same-store sales rose 5.7% in the three months ended Dec. 31, outpacing analysts’ expectations for the quarter. The chain’s total revenue also beat expectations.

Copyright ©2026 Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 87990cbe856818d5eddac44c7b1cdeb8

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Aussie shares end week higher despite late sell-off

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Aussie shares end week higher despite late sell-off

Australia’s share market has had its best week in nine months, despite a bleak final session as jitters around artificial intelligence disruption hit risk sentiment.

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Albemarle chief calls for West-China cost gap to be addressed

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Albemarle chief calls for West-China cost gap to be addressed

Albemarle’s chief Kent Masters says higher operating costs in the West must be addressed if ex-China supply chains are going to be solidified, after idling the Kemerton lithium plant.

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New links to Bristol Airport and more frequent trains announced in West of England transport plan

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The proposals also include a mass transit network that is similar to a number of cities in Europe

Weca has unveiled a new 'vision for transport' in the West

Weca has unveiled a new ‘vision for transport’ in the West(Image: Weca)

Plans for major transport improvements across the Bristol and Bath region, including more trains and better buses, have been unveiled. The proposals are part of a 10-year growth strategy by the West of England Combined Authority (Weca), which published the report.

The plans include new public transport links between the centre of Bristol and the airport, such as an electric-powered tram or a light railway, as well as new train stations around the region and more frequent services. Weca has also suggested it could build a mass-transit system, linking “key economic centres” in the West of England, in the next four or five years.

Other proposals include better walking and cycling routes, and improvements to streets and pavements, as well as more electric vehicle charging points.

Weca has pledged to improve travel across the Bath and Bristol region after claiming congestion costs the local economy more than £150m.

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“Nobody wants to sit stuck in traffic or hang around for a bus that never turns up,” said Helen Godwin, mayor of the West of England. “We need a transport system that people can trust, wherever they live.

“Together, we can and must deliver the integrated transport system that people need and deserve.”

Transport secretary Heidi Alexander said: “The West of England is a fantastic place to live and work, and local people deserve a transport network that gets them where they need to be quickly and easily. This vision lays out a clear plan for faster, greener, and more reliable journeys.”

The announcement comes less than a year after the government confirmed plans to fund more than £752m in transport improvements across the region.

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Dave Lees, chief executive of Bristol Airport, said the transport hub would support the “further work needed” to make the transport plans “a reality in the future”. Currently, Bristol is the UK’s only regional airport without a fixed mass transit link.

“Much more could be done if the region works together,” he said. “It would enable more people get to the airport by public transport and as one of the biggest private sector employers locally, it would connect the thousands of jobs we offer to more people.”

Last year, Bristol Airport opened a £60m transport interchange, which included thousands of parking spaces and a bigger area for buses. In December, it also announced plans to replace its bus fleet with all-electric vehicles.

Councillor Hugh Malyan, cabinet member for highways and transport at North Somerset Council, said: “We want to deliver practical, joined-up transport improvements that support local jobs and businesses and make a real difference in our towns, villages and rural communities.”

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The report assesses the progress made over the past 20 years in regions of Europe which are a similar size to the West of England Combined Authority area, including Toulouse in France and Malmo in Sweden.

Beyond the UK, around 23 cities in France that are smaller than Bristol have a mass transit system, while Utrecht, in the Netherlands, has a similar population and has three tramlines and more than 40 stations.

The document also sets out the importance of building new homes near transport links.

Tony Dyer, leader of Bristol City Council, added: “Through this plan, we can take the first steps to delivering the modern, reliable, and future proofed transport network, which includes a mass transit system, that our residents deserve.”

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