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It’s wrong to caricature Welsh firms as being too cautious when it comes to growth finance

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Our finite public funds are best deployed alongside private capital to meet evolving demand

Chief executive of of the Development Bank for Wales Giles Thorley.(Image: Matthew Horwood)

When people talk about “access to finance”, the debate can sound disarmingly simple. Banks should lend more, government should plug the gap. In reality, fixing the supply side ignores the far bigger question of demand. Confidence, conditions, product fit, place and incentives that either enable investment or quietly deter it.

The latest Wales SME Access to Finance report, from the British Business Bank and supported by Economic Intelligence Wales, reflects that nuance. It contains genuine positives: eight in ten Welsh SMEs say their cash flow is currently positive. It also sets out stubborn challenges: Wales has the highest share of SMEs reporting barriers (19%) and the lowest share anticipating they’ll need finance over the next year (17%). If we want more innovation, investment and growth, we must treat those friction points as the work to be done, not as a footnote to a stable status quo.

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The economic backdrop matters

Context is doing a lot of work here. After the inflation shock, price pressures have eased but not vanished: UK CPI was 3.4% in December 2025, above the 2% target and still high enough to make many owners cautious about borrowing. The Bank of England cut the base rate to 3.75% in December, with most forecasters expecting gradual further easing through 2026. Yet insolvency figures remain elevated by historical standards, even if monthly totals fluctuate.

None of that screams crisis but nor does it shout exuberance. If you are running a good business on tight margins, “wait and see” can feel like the smartest, safest choice.

What the data tells us

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First, barriers are persistent. One in five Welsh SMEs reports a barrier when seeking finance, a higher rate than Scotland or Northern Ireland with factors including ability to repay, awareness of the options or the complexity of the process.

Second, confidence varies by place. In South West Wales, only 45% of respondents that plan to raise finance feel confident they’ll secure it, compared with 62% across Wales.

READ MORE: Equity investor BGF looking to increase deal flow in Wales and South WestREAD MORE: WRU and Principality Building Society extend stadium naming rights deal

Third, the product mix is skewed short term. Heavy use of business and personal credit cards, plus lingering Covid era loans, is not “wrong” but it can be expensive and suboptimal for growth investment.

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The report shows “0% equity usage” in North Wales. With small samples, granular percentages splits can mislead. Equity is being deployed in the region, for example we’ve completed 54 equity transactions there, and encouragingly 10% of respondents say they plan to raise it signalling growing awareness of the value of patient capital.

It’s interesting here to look at Economic Intelligence Wales’s recent report on the role of technology in banking. This highlighted that over half of businesses stay with the same bank for more than 20 years and 84% of those with the 4 largest high street banks. 59% communicate with their banks at least every six months but only 1% of those interactions are face to face. When real decision makers feel far away, and processes feel opaque, confidence suffers. We should be nudging more businesses toward finance and funders that fit the job: asset lines for kit, working capital tools for seasonality, and equity for scaling innovation.

Where does this leaves the Development Bank of Wales?

We exist to help where markets under-deliver. Since 2017, we’ve passed £1bn invested across Wales, supporting 4,700 businesses. That matters, and I’m proud of the team and the entrepreneurs behind those numbers. But we are one, very small piece of a bigger system, and we are here to work alongside private capital, not replace it.

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Relationship banking has receded, decision making centralised, and the local “credit conversation” is harder to find. That affects confidence and navigation—especially for smaller firms.

What we’re doing, practically, is rooted in place. Our teams are based in communities across Wales, so the first conversation happens locally and on our customers’ terms, we back that up with our learning hub that helps time pressed owners navigate the finance landscape in straightforward terms, and a ‘founder playbook’ focused specifically on using equity well at the earliest stages. We work closely with Business Wales, so referrals, information and support should feel seamless, one system, multiple doors.

And we are actively seeking to work collaboratively with other public finance institutions to align products, co-fund where it makes sense, and cut duplication. The aim is simple: clearer guidance, quicker routes to the right capital, and a joined-up ecosystem that puts Welsh businesses, wherever they are, at the centre.

Banks and brokers can partner with us on navigation. If a business is a better fit for our product, send them our way for co-funding, if they’re a better fit for yours, we’ll do the same. The goal is fewer dead ends and faster “right fit” financing.

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Universities and tech hubs can keep feeding the pipeline across innovation led clusters and help us replicate that readiness in more places. Spinouts are a strength, let’s make sure the capital muscle around them is equally strong beyond the M4 corridor.

Where mandates allow, institutional investors can help us build the structures that channel more patient capital into Welsh productivity assets without compromising risk and return discipline.

Stability isn’t the enemy. But complacency is

It’s easy to caricature Welsh SMEs as “too cautious.” I don’t buy it. Many are being sensibly prudent after a bruising few years. Our job is not to wag fingers at prudence, it is to reduce friction so that when founders see a credible growth opportunity, the path to funding is short, clear and proportionate.

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That is what a development bank can do in 2026: fix navigation, reduce effort, broaden options, and crowd in scale. We will do that consistently, locally, transparently, and with partners, and in doing so Wales will convert more of its resilience into growth. We are a small nation with enormous creative and industrial potential. The report reminds us that the friction founders feel isn’t just interest rates, it’s navigation, confidence, and fit.

Eight years in, sustained growth in our investment activity shows the model is working, but the economy in 2026 is materially different from 2017. As needs shift with conditions and with funders’ risk appetite, our finite public funds are best deployed alongside private capital to meet evolving demand and multiply impact.

In Wales, we’re very good at resilience. The next step is to be just as good at backing ourselves. Confidently, patiently, and at scale.

  • Giles Thorley is chief executive of the Development Bank of Wales
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JR Research is an opportunistic investor. I was recognized by TipRanks as a Top Analyst, and also by Seeking Alpha as a “Top Analyst To Follow” for Technology, Software, and Internet, as well as for Growth and GARP. I identify attractive risk/reward opportunities supported by robust price action to potentially generate alpha well above the S&P 500. My picks have consistently demonstrated market outperformance over time. My approach combines timely and sharp price action analysis with fundamentals as my foundation. I also tend to avoid overhyped and overvalued stocks while capitalizing on battered stocks with significant upside recovery possibilities. I run the investing group Ultimate Growth Investing which specializes in identifying high-potential opportunities across various sectors. My main ideas revolve around stocks with strong growth potential, and also well-beaten contrarian plays. I designed the group for investors seeking to capitalize on growth stocks with solid fundamentals, robust buying momentum, and appealing turnaround plays to generate alpha consistently. Learn more

Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of QQQ, SPY either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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Justice family sues to block Greenbrier takeover amid debt fight

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Sen. Jim Justice, R-W.Va., and his family are suing to block what they describe as an attempt to take control of their historic Greenbrier resort after a hotel-affiliated investor acquired hundreds of millions of dollars in their debt.

In a complaint filed in Greenbrier County Circuit Court, Justice, his family and their business entities accuse an affiliate of Omni Hotels & Resorts and several financial players of orchestrating a takeover of the iconic property through what they call “deceptive” tactics.

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The dispute centers on roughly $289 million in loans tied to Justice family businesses, which were sold by Carter Bank to White Sulphur Springs Holdings, an entity backed by Omni’s parent company, TRT Holdings.

That entity has separately filed a federal receivership lawsuit, seeking to place the Greenbrier and related businesses under court-controlled management — a move that could ultimately strip the family of operational control.

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Greenbrier Resort exterior view

The Greenbrier Resort in White Sulphur Springs, West Virginia. (Mitchell Layton/Getty Images)

According to the complaint, the Justices say they were actively working to pay off the debt and had secured potential financing. They claim TRT executives initially expressed interest in a cooperative deal, including a proposal to forgive $200 million in debt in exchange for a 50% ownership stake and management control of the resort.

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Justice allegedly agreed to the framework, but the family claims TRT reversed course the next day. Soon after, the Justices say they were issued a notice of default, which they argue was designed to block their ability to pay off the loans at an agreed price of about $341 million, according to the complaint.

The family is now asking the court to halt any foreclosure or asset seizure and to allow them to repay the debt under what they describe as fair terms.

Sen. Jim Justice, R-W.Va.

Sen. Jim Justice, R-W.Va., talks with reporters in the U.S. Capitol after a vote on March 12, 2026. (Tom Williams/CQ-Roll Call, Inc via Getty Images)

The complaint also accuses Carter Bank and TRT of acting in bad faith during negotiations, including raising payoff demands and imposing tight deadlines that the family claims undermined refinancing efforts.

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In addition, the Justices allege TRT improperly obtained confidential financial and operational information about the Greenbrier during earlier deal discussions and later used that information to position itself to acquire the debt and pursue control of the resort.

However, the Omni-backed entity presents a sharply different account. In the federal receivership filing, White Sulphur Springs Holdings alleges “waste, fraud and abuse” within the Justice business empire, claiming resort revenues were diverted to other ventures, taxes went unpaid, and certain employee-related obligations were not fully met.

The filing also points to a series of financial and legal pressures facing the family’s businesses, including tax disputes, loan defaults and other litigation, according to court filings and records cited by the Charleston Gazette-Mail.

Greenbrier Resort exterior view

The Greenbrier, a historic luxury resort long tied to the Justice family, has faced financial strain in recent years. (Mitchell Layton/Getty Images)

The Greenbrier, a historic luxury resort long tied to the Justice family, has faced financial strain in recent years, including prior foreclosure threats that were ultimately avoided, according to the Gazette-Mail.

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The dueling legal actions now set up a high-stakes legal battle over control of one of West Virginia’s most prominent properties, with both sides accusing the other of acting in bad faith as the future of the resort hangs in the balance.

CLICK HERE TO GET FOX BUSINESS ON THE GO

FOX Business reached out to the Justice family, Omni Hotels & Resorts, and Carter Bank for comment.

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The World Gold Council is the market development organization for the gold industry. Our purpose is to stimulate and sustain demand for gold, provide industry leadership, and be the global authority on the gold market. We are a unique organization that delivers tangible benefits to the gold industry. We are an active force within the market, working with a large and diverse set of partners to create access, drive innovation and stimulate demand, while providing a collective voice for our members. We provide insights into the international gold markets, helping people to understand the investment qualities of gold and its role in meeting the social and environmental needs of society. For more information visit www.gold.org.

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Nifty set to reclaim 24,000 as US-Iran dialogue hopes lift global cues

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Nifty set to reclaim 24,000 as US-Iran dialogue hopes lift global cues
Indian equity markets are set for a strong opening on Wednesday, with the Nifty likely to reclaim the 24,000 mark, tracking a sharp rise in GIFT Nifty, which was up around 200 points in early trade. The positive momentum comes amid improving global sentiment, driven by renewed hopes of diplomatic engagement between the United States and Iran.

Markets remained shut on Tuesday on account of Ambedkar Jayanti, but global developments during the holiday have turned supportive. Signals from US leadership that talks with Iran remain possible have eased immediate concerns of escalation in the Strait of Hormuz, a key route for global oil supplies. This has led to some cooling in crude prices after recent sharp spikes, helping improve risk appetite across asset classes.

Global equities have responded positively to these developments. US markets ended higher overnight, with gains led by technology stocks, while Asian indices opened firm, reflecting a broader risk-on sentiment. This marks a reversal from the cautious tone seen earlier in the week when geopolitical tensions had weighed heavily on investor confidence.

Back home, the Nifty and Sensex had ended Monday’s session in the red, pressured by rising tensions in West Asia and fears of disruption in oil flows. However, the latest cues suggest a potential shift in near-term sentiment, with traders likely to position for a rebound.

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From a technical perspective, analysts believe the broader market structure remains constructive. Nilesh Jain, VP and Head of Technical and Derivative Research at Centrum Finverse, said the index continues to support a buy-on-decline strategy as long as it holds above its 21-day moving average, placed at 23,270.


A decisive move above the 24,000 level could act as a trigger for short covering, potentially pushing the index towards the 24,200-24,400 zone in the near term. Momentum indicators are also supportive, with the relative strength index (RSI) holding above the 50 mark, signalling underlying strength in the trend.
That said, volatility remains a key concern. The India VIX has risen sharply, gaining around 8% to move above the 20 mark, indicating elevated uncertainty in the market. Analysts caution that a sustained rally would require volatility to cool, as higher VIX levels tend to limit aggressive risk-taking.On the macro front, domestic indicators continue to provide a degree of stability. Recent inflation data has remained largely under control, with limited pass-through from elevated energy prices so far. This offers some cushion to equities even as global uncertainties persist.

Looking ahead, near-term market direction will remain closely tied to geopolitical developments and crude oil movements. While the easing of tensions has provided immediate relief, the situation remains fluid.

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I focus on a rigorous fundamentals-foremost equity and credit research. I currently work as a financial advisor/planner, and do analysis in my free time. I have an undergrad in business administration, an MBA in finance, and currently am a doctoral candidate (a DBA with a concentration in Finance and Investment Management). My research style typically involves process-driven research, followed by blending several valuation models together to get a blended, 12 month price target. I enjoy utilizing full DCF analysis in conjunction with SOTP, peer/multiples analysis, and risk-adjusted approaches. I thoroughly enjoy reading filings, technical documentation relevant to the sector, and then translating that data into conclusions with actionable insights. I enjoy learning about the various sectors and companies I find myself researching, and always feel like there is something to learn. As a curious individual, equity and credit research is very fulfilling, and even fun!I always try to find 2-4 variables that drive value or hinder growth, stress test them, and then let fundamental evidence incorporated with book-value set my viewpoint for the research project. I enjoy the energy sector, commodities, tech, and financial sectors the most. I joined Seeking Alpha to share my thoughts with a wide audience. I originally started with sharing my analysis with a few of my friends who are also advisors and/or analysts. I am always open to a myriad of viewpoints, as I feel the most accurate viewpoints and research is made through a collection of great minds working together to figure something out. If you appreciate thorough research, and want to learn more about a company beyond just what is inside of their books, then I believe you will enjoy the research that I work on.

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