Business
New York AG warns about prediction market risks ahead of Super Bowl
New York Attorney General Letitia James speaks to the media, after she attended a hearing and pleaded not guilty to charges that she defrauded her mortgage lender, outside the U.S. District Court for the Eastern District of Virginia, in Norfolk, Virginia, U.S., Oct. 24, 2025.
Jonathan Ernst | Reuters
Days before Super Bowl 60, New York Attorney General Letitia James has a message for consumers: Be careful about placing trades on prediction markets.
“New Yorkers need to know the significant risks with unregulated prediction markets,” James said in a statement Monday. “It’s crystal clear: so-called prediction markets do not have the same consumer protections as regulated platforms. I urge all New Yorkers to be cautious of these platforms to protect their money.”
Prediction platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are expected to generate billions of dollars in trading volume around the Super Bowl.
Consumers can make trades on game events — similar to online sportsbooks like DraftKings or FanDuel — as well as on predetermined outcomes, such as which companies will advertise during the Super Bowl, an issue CNBC Sport reported on last week.
James said the platforms’ products are bets “masquerading” as event contracts, which are generally regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.
Kalshi, which initially declined to comment, said in statement later Monday, “We agree that consumers should steer clear of unregulated prediction markets. Our members’ platforms are all regulated by the CFTC, similar to how the SEC regulates the stock market. Regulation comes with many of the guardrails the AG outlines – a ban on insider trading, self-exclusion, and responsible trading guidelines. We all want the same thing: safe, fair, and legitimate products.”
Representatives for Polymarket didn’t immediately respond to request for comment.
James warned that concerns around the nascent prediction market industry include “upholding prohibitions against insider betting and requiring regulatory review to ensure the financial stability and integrity of gambling operators.”
“Prediction markets may appear as modern, high-tech platforms for speculation or ‘forecasting,’ but in practice, many operate as unregulated gambling without the basic protections New York consumers both deserve and expect from properly licensed operators,” James said in the statement.
Prediction market contracts trade somewhat similarly to all-or-nothing options, with contracts priced between $0 and $1. The contracts trade up or down depending on the action.
In addition to contracts on Super Bowl commercials, both Polymarket and Kalshi are offering other trades related to the game, including on matters like “What songs will be played at the halftime show?,” “Who will attend the big game?,” and more traditional sportsbook “bets” such as “Seattle vs. New England: Most Rushing Yards,” as CNBC reported last week.
There are laws that prohibit insider trading on prediction markets, just as on traditional financial markets. But industry experts say they’re skeptical that the CFTC, recently gutted as part of widespread government cuts, has the will or the means to police those problems.
Last week, CFTC Chairman Michael Selig said he had directed agency staff to withdraw a proposed rule that would have banned prediction trades on sports and politics. He said new rules would be coming.
Disclosure: CNBC has a commercial relationship with Kalshi.
Business
Beyond Meat dealing with ‘internal control' issue

Problem has delayed the publication of the company’s latest financial results and annual report.
Business
Form 13F AMG Asset Management Group For: 17 March

Form 13F AMG Asset Management Group For: 17 March
Business
Nvidia's Negative Feedback Loop – GTC Update
Nvidia's Negative Feedback Loop – GTC Update
Business
Warner Bros CEO to pocket up to $887 million from Paramount deal

Warner Bros CEO to pocket up to $887 million from Paramount deal
Business
General Mills readies return of La Tiara taco brand

Relaunch to expand distribution from regional to national.
Business
More than 200 jobs at risk at carmaker Bentley
The news comes as financial results for 2025 show a seventh consecutive year of profitability.
Business
HMRC criticised over ‘unfair’ interest gap as taxpayers charged 7.75% but paid just 2.75%
HM Revenue & Customs has come under fresh criticism over what tax experts describe as a “deeply unfair” imbalance between the interest it charges taxpayers and the rate it pays on refunds, raising wider concerns about trust, transparency and the efficiency of the UK’s tax system.
According to analysis from audit, tax and advisory firm Blick Rothenberg, taxpayers who fall behind on payments are currently charged daily late payment interest at a rate of 7.75 per cent. By contrast, those owed money by HMRC receive interest at just 2.75 per cent on repayments, even when delays stretch over many months.
Tom Goddard, assistant manager at the firm, said the disparity creates a system that appears heavily weighted in favour of the tax authority. He argued that while taxpayers face escalating financial penalties for delays, HMRC itself is not subject to equivalent consequences when repayments are slow.
The imbalance becomes more pronounced when penalties are factored in. Taxpayers who fail to settle liabilities within 12 months can face additional charges of up to 15 per cent of the outstanding amount, alongside further penalties if tax returns are submitted late. In contrast, there is no comparable compensation mechanism when HMRC delays repayments, even in cases where individuals or businesses suffer financial consequences as a result.
Goddard pointed to the real-world impact of these delays, citing cases where taxpayers have waited more than a year for repayments to be processed. In one instance, a client missed a significant investment opportunity after funds earmarked for deployment were tied up in a prolonged HMRC repayment process. Despite repeated attempts to resolve the issue, the delay persisted due to internal administrative complications and a lack of clear ownership within the organisation.
The broader concern, he suggested, is not only the financial disparity but the operational friction involved in resolving disputes. Taxpayers seeking to reclaim funds often face a lengthy and complex process, involving multiple departments and repeated follow-ups. For many, the cost of professional advice required to navigate the system can offset any financial benefit from the repayment itself.
This dynamic risks creating a perception that the system is both inefficient and adversarial. While HMRC attributes delays largely to administrative pressures, critics argue that the burden of those inefficiencies falls disproportionately on taxpayers, particularly at a time when many individuals and businesses are already under financial strain.
The issue also raises questions about HMRC’s broader transformation agenda. One of the stated priorities in its “Transformational Roadmap” is to improve day-to-day performance for individuals and businesses, with a shift towards a more automated, digital-first system intended to handle up to 90 per cent of queries.
While digitalisation is expected to streamline processes and reduce the estimated £20 billion annual cost of tax administration, there is scepticism about whether it will address underlying service challenges. Critics argue that without sufficient investment in expertise and support, automation alone may not resolve delays or improve outcomes for taxpayers.
Trust remains a central theme in the debate. HMRC has identified closing the UK’s £46.8 billion tax gap as a key objective, but advisers suggest that rebuilding confidence in the system is equally important. A more balanced approach to interest rates and compensation, they argue, could encourage greater cooperation and compliance from taxpayers.
There is also a behavioural dimension to consider. If taxpayers perceive the system as inequitable, they may be less inclined to engage proactively with HMRC or prioritise timely compliance. Conversely, a system that treats delays on both sides more evenly could foster a more collaborative relationship between the tax authority and those it serves.
For now, however, the disparity in interest rates remains a point of contention. As scrutiny of HMRC’s performance intensifies, pressure is likely to grow for reforms that address both the financial imbalance and the operational challenges that underpin it.
Without such changes, critics warn, the gap between policy intent and taxpayer experience will continue to widen, undermining confidence in a system that relies on voluntary compliance to function effectively.
Business
UK insolvencies jump 18% as households hit breaking point amid rising costs
Individual insolvencies across England and Wales have surged by 18 per cent year-on-year, in what experts are warning is clear evidence of a deepening household financial crisis as rising borrowing costs, persistent inflation and accumulated debt continue to weigh heavily on consumers.
New data from The Insolvency Service shows that 11,609 people entered insolvency in February 2026, marking a 6 per cent increase on January and a significant jump compared with the same month last year. The figures paint a stark picture of mounting financial strain, particularly among vulnerable households and increasingly, middle-income earners.
The total comprised 768 bankruptcies, 4,210 debt relief orders (DROs) and 6,631 individual voluntary arrangements (IVAs), with DROs reaching their highest monthly level since their introduction in 2009. The record number reflects both structural financial pressures and policy changes, including the removal of the application fee in April 2024, which has made the process more accessible.
However, industry observers say the scale of the increase goes far beyond administrative changes. Darryl Dhoffer, founder of The Mortgage Geezer, described the data as a clear signal that many households have reached a tipping point after years of financial pressure. He pointed to what he described as the “lag effect” of higher interest rates, which is now feeding through into household finances after a prolonged period of tightening monetary policy.
While the Bank of England’s base rate currently stands at 3.75 per cent, elevated borrowing costs have continued to squeeze mortgage holders and consumers carrying unsecured debt. At the same time, inflation, although easing from its peak, remains above target at around 3 per cent, limiting the extent to which households are seeing meaningful relief in day-to-day costs.
Tony Redondo, founder of Cosmos Currency Exchange, said the figures highlight how cumulative financial pressures are now manifesting in real-world outcomes. He noted that while the removal of fees has contributed to the rise in DROs, the broader trend reflects households “finally collapsing under accumulated debt from previous years”.
He warned that the outlook remains fragile, particularly in light of geopolitical uncertainty and the potential for renewed inflationary pressures linked to energy markets. Any sustained increase in inflation could force the Bank of England to keep interest rates higher for longer, further intensifying the strain on borrowers approaching refinancing deadlines.
Financial planners echoed concerns that the current data may represent the early stages of a wider deterioration. Nouran Moustafa, practice principal at Roxton Wealth, said the figures should not be viewed as a one-off spike but rather as part of a broader pattern of economic fragility.
She emphasised that behind the statistics lies significant human impact, with many households operating without any financial buffer. In such conditions, even relatively small increases in costs or interest rates can push individuals into insolvency.
The pressure is not limited to households. Company insolvencies rose by 7 per cent month-on-month to 1,878 in February, although they remain below levels seen during the peak of business failures between 2022 and 2025. Analysts suggest this reflects a mixed picture, with some businesses stabilising while others continue to face tightening margins and weakening demand.
Anita Wright, chartered financial planner at Ribble Wealth Management, said the data reflects a broader liquidity squeeze across the economy. She noted that rising bond yields are feeding into higher borrowing costs for businesses, while consumers facing higher living costs are cutting back on spending, further compressing margins.
This combination of weak growth and persistent inflation, often described as stagflationary conditions, creates a particularly challenging environment for both households and businesses. While some firms have been able to absorb pressures through cost-cutting or the use of reserves, that resilience is finite, and insolvency rates tend to rise once those buffers are exhausted.
The implications are also being felt in the workplace. Kate Underwood, founder of Kate Underwood HR and Training, warned that financial stress among employees is increasingly spilling over into business operations. She highlighted rising levels of absenteeism, reduced productivity and higher staff turnover as workers struggle to cope with mounting financial pressures.
For small businesses in particular, the challenge is acute. Unlike larger corporates, they often lack the financial flexibility to absorb rising wage demands or offer higher salaries, making them more vulnerable to workforce instability driven by cost-of-living pressures.
The latest figures also come at a time when expectations for interest rate cuts have been significantly scaled back. Prior to the recent escalation in geopolitical tensions, markets had anticipated multiple rate reductions in 2026. However, rising oil and gas prices have shifted expectations, with policymakers now more cautious about easing monetary policy.
This change in outlook could prove critical. As Redondo noted, the combination of higher rates, depleted savings and thin margins leaves both households and businesses exposed to further shocks. Should borrowing costs remain elevated or increase further, the risk of a broader wave of defaults and insolvencies could intensify.
For now, the data underscores a fundamental issue facing the UK economy: a growing number of households and businesses are operating with little to no margin for error. In such an environment, the difference between stability and financial distress can be measured in relatively small shifts in costs or income.
As policymakers weigh the next steps on interest rates and fiscal policy, the sharp rise in insolvencies serves as a clear warning signal that underlying financial pressures are not only persistent but increasingly visible across the economy.
Business
Natura &Co Holding S.A. 2025 Q4 – Results – Earnings Call Presentation (OTCMKTS:NTCOY) 2026-03-17
Seeking Alpha’s transcripts team is responsible for the development of all of our transcript-related projects. We currently publish thousands of quarterly earnings calls per quarter on our site and are continuing to grow and expand our coverage. The purpose of this profile is to allow us to share with our readers new transcript-related developments. Thanks, SA Transcripts Team
Business
Another former sub postmaster dies awaiting payout
Tributes are paid to Parmod Kalia who ran a branch in Orpington, who has died aged 67.
-
Tech6 days agoA 1,300-Pound NASA Spacecraft To Re-Enter Earth’s Atmosphere
-
Crypto World3 days agoHYPE Token Enters Net Deflation as HyperCore Buybacks Outpace Staking Rewards
-
Business7 days agoExxonMobil seeks to move corporate registration from New Jersey to Texas
-
Fashion4 days agoWeekend Open Thread: Addict Lip Glow
-
Tech7 days agoChatGPT will now generate interactive visuals to help you with math and science concepts
-
Sports3 days ago
Why Duke and Michigan Are Dead Even Entering Selection Sunday
-
NewsBeat6 days agoResidents reaction as Shildon murder probe enters second day
-
Business2 days agoSearch for Savannah Guthrie’s Mother Enters Seventh Week with No Arrests
-
Business6 days agoSearch Enters Sixth Week With New Leads in Tucson Abduction Case
-
Business3 days agoUS Airports Launch Donation Drives for Unpaid TSA Workers as Partial Government Shutdown Enters Fifth Week
-
Sports6 days agoPWHL, Senators discussing plan to keep Charge in Ottawa
-
Crypto World3 days agoCoinbase and Bybit in Investment Talks: Could Bybit Finally Enter the US Crypto Market?
-
NewsBeat6 days agoI Entered The Manosphere. Nothing Could Prepare Me For What I Found.
-
Business3 days agoCountry star Brantley Gilbert enters growing non-alcoholic beer market
-
Business1 day agoAustralian shares drop as Iran war enters third week
-
Sports4 days agoCollege Basketball Best Bets: Conference Tournament Semifinal Picks
-
Crypto World1 day agoCrypto Lender BlockFills Enters Chapter 11 with Up to $500M in Liabilities
-
Crypto World7 days agoWill Chainlink price reclaim $10 amid volatility squeeze?
-
Tech7 days agoClarity as strategy
-
Politics6 days agoTrump Says Middle East Is ‘Very Lucky’ That He’s President

You must be logged in to post a comment Login