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Welsh firms report a rise in confidence shows new Lloyds research

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While up the headline confidence level for Wales is below the UK as a whole

Lloyds Bank

Lloyds Banking Group.(Image: PA)

Business confidence in Wales rose in June but remains below the UK as a whole, shows latest research from Lloyds Bank

Its business barometer shows companies in Wales reported higher confidence in their own trading outlook month-on-month, up 13 points at 48%. When taken alongside their optimism in the economy, up five points to 16%, this gives a headline confidence reading of 32% (up from 23% in May). For the UK as a whole overall confidence was down 3% to 44%.

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elsh firms reported strong customer demand (89%) as the key driver of confidence in their own trading outlook A net balance of 20% of businesses in the country also expect to increase staff levels over the next year, up two points on last month. Business confidence in Wales now sits below the 12-month average of 42%, with its highest figure of 76% in July last year.

Looking ahead to the next six months, Welsh businesses identified their top target areas for growth as introducing new technology such as AI or automation (52%), entering new markets (36%) and investing in their team, for example through training (33%).

Nathan Morgan, area director for Wales at Lloyds, said: “It’s encouraging to see confidence among Welsh businesses rise this month, with firms feeling more positive about their own trading outlook and the wider economy.

“That optimism is being backed by clear plans for growth, with businesses looking to embrace new technology, enter new markets and invest in their teams.

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“With hiring intentions also edging up, there are positive signs of momentum across Wales. We’ll continue to support Welsh businesses as they adapt and pursue new opportunities.”

Business confidence rose across six of the 12 UK regions and nations in June, with the south west of England seeing the biggest improvement on May, up 22% jump to 44%. The East Midlands had the highest headline confidence reading of 56%.

On the UK position, Amanda Murphy, chief executive for Lloyds Business and Commercial Banking, said: “Confidence has edged down this month, and that reflects what we’re hearing directly from businesses. Many are still dealing with a mix of higher costs, uncertain demand and a wider global backdrop that feels difficult to read. That is weighing on decision making, particularly for firms that are focused on the UK market and have fewer ways to offset those pressures.

“However, this is not a picture of businesses stepping back altogether. Trading outlook remains relatively steady and we continue to see firms looking for new opportunities, even if investment plans have become more cautious. Businesses have shown over time that they can adapt in tough conditions, but for many the priority is managing costs and maintaining stability rather than pushing for growth.

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Lactalis fined over Ferguson Valley brand milk label

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Lactalis fined over Ferguson Valley brand milk label

A dairy company had to pay almost $60,000 after the consumer watchdog issued notices for mislabelling its milk products, including one from Western Australia.

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Astera Labs: A High-Risk, High-Reward Play On The AI Boom

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Nebius Is Priced For Flawless Delivery

Astera Labs: A High-Risk, High-Reward Play On The AI Boom

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EU border delays ‘not bearable’ over summer, warns airport boss

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Under the EES system, digital records linked to passports track when “third country” nationals – including British and American travellers – enter and leave the so-called Schengen free movement zone, which includes 29 European countries.

However, Airlines UK and Airlines for America said the EES rollout had been inconsistent.

They added “with peak summer travel approaching and the system not yet working as it should, airlines need the commission and member states to get serious about contingency measures and take a pragmatic look at whether the current timeline is realistic”.

Steve Heapy, chief executive of Jet2, said his airline found “the continued pursuit of a policy so baffling – in cases where it has clearly not been implemented in a robust manner”.

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He said allowing EES checks to be paused where systems were not ready would “result in a much better experience for holidaymakers”.

Von Massenbach said there had been a “very high level meeting in Brussels” on Wednesday, “and we see now that they start to understand that this is a situation that is not bearable, not bearable over the summer”.

Airports lobby group, ACI Europe, have written to EC president Ursula Von Der Leyen, claiming wait times at border control had now reached up to five hours in peak traffic periods, and things could worsen as the busiest time of the year approached.

It warned “airlines face half-empty planes at gate closing time, while passengers are stuck in border control queues”.

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Countries do have the ability to suspend EES checks under some circumstances.

However, ACI Europe argued states needed to be allowed to pro-actively suspend the system if high volumes of passengers are expected.

An EC spokesman said that “all efforts are being made to limit the impact [of EES] on travellers from outside the EU”.

He said the impact was “limited” in “most” EU airports and where there were issues, member states had not been able to provide sufficient numbers of border guards, appropriate infrastructure and automated equipment.

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He said the EC continued to offer support with the new system, and was willing to do even more “in view of the coming summer period”.

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Woodside's Tony O'Neill exits board

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Woodside's Tony O'Neill exits board

Woodside Energy director Tony O’Neill has resigned after two years on the company’s board.

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Merck Shares Decline as Pharmaceutical Giant Faces Market Rotation and Pipeline Developments

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Neuren Pharmaceuticals Shares Surge 36% on Positive European Opinion for

NEW YORK — Merck & Co. Inc. shares fell more than 2 percent Tuesday, closing at $125.37 as investors rotated out of certain pharmaceutical names amid broader market shifts and company-specific considerations.

The 2.44 percent decline, or about $3.13 per share, reflected typical sector volatility as the pharmaceutical industry navigates patent cliffs, regulatory developments and pipeline investments. Merck, known for its oncology portfolio and vaccines, has maintained a strong position despite periodic pressures.

Keytruda, Merck’s flagship cancer treatment, continues driving significant revenue. The PD-1 inhibitor has achieved blockbuster status, with expanding approvals across multiple indications. However, eventual patent expiration remains a long-term focal point for investors.

The company’s recent performance has shown resilience in core areas. Oncology sales have provided stability, while vaccine franchises like Gardasil contribute to diversified revenue. Animal health operations through Merck Animal Health add further balance.

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Tuesday’s trading occurred against a backdrop of sector rotation. Technology and growth stocks attracted capital, while some defensive healthcare names faced mild pressure. Merck’s movement aligned with peers experiencing similar dynamics.

Merck has pursued strategic acquisitions and licensing deals to bolster its pipeline. Recent transactions aim to complement existing strengths in oncology and expand into new therapeutic areas. Integration and development timelines influence investor sentiment.

Regulatory milestones remain critical. Approvals for new indications or formulations can drive upside, while clinical trial outcomes introduce variability. Merck’s research and development spending supports a robust pipeline addressing significant medical needs.

Analysts monitor Merck’s ability to offset potential revenue losses from maturing products. Diversification efforts and operational efficiency help mitigate risks associated with patent expirations.

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The pharmaceutical sector faces ongoing policy debates around drug pricing and innovation incentives. Merck advocates for balanced approaches that support research while ensuring patient access.

Global operations expose Merck to currency fluctuations, supply chain dynamics and varying regulatory environments. Strong performance in key markets has helped offset challenges elsewhere.

Tuesday’s decline contributed to a mixed session for healthcare stocks. Broader indices showed varied performance as economic data and corporate earnings influenced sentiment.

Merck’s dividend remains attractive for income-focused investors. Consistent payouts reflect the company’s financial strength and commitment to shareholder returns.

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Capital allocation priorities include research investment, strategic transactions and return of capital. Management balances growth initiatives with prudent financial management.

The company’s commitment to corporate responsibility encompasses access to medicines, environmental sustainability and diversity initiatives. These efforts align with stakeholder expectations in the healthcare industry.

Tuesday’s close at $125.37 left Merck shares in a range reflecting balanced views on near-term prospects. Valuation metrics incorporate growth projections and risk factors.

Longer-term, Merck’s pipeline and commercial execution will determine trajectory. Successful launches and label expansions could support revenue stability.

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Industry analysts project continued demand for innovative therapies. Merck’s focus on oncology, vaccines and animal health aligns with global health priorities.

Competitive dynamics in pharmaceuticals require ongoing innovation. Merck invests significantly in research to maintain leadership positions.

Tuesday’s session highlighted typical market fluctuations. Merck’s fundamentals remain solid despite share price movement.

Investors will monitor upcoming earnings and clinical updates for additional insights. Guidance parameters often influence expectations in the sector.

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Merck plays a vital role in addressing unmet medical needs. Its products impact millions of patients worldwide through treatments and preventive measures.

The company’s history of scientific advancement supports its reputation. Discoveries in multiple therapeutic areas have contributed to public health improvements.

As Merck navigates the evolving pharmaceutical landscape, focus remains on delivering value through innovation and execution. Tuesday’s trading reflected ongoing assessment by market participants.

Broader economic factors, including interest rates and healthcare policy, influence sector performance. Merck’s defensive characteristics provide some insulation from cyclical pressures.

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The stock’s movement Tuesday contributed to sector narratives around rotation and valuation. Pharmaceutical companies with strong pipelines often command premiums.

Merck continues emphasizing patient-centric approaches and scientific rigor. These principles guide development and commercialization strategies.

Tuesday’s decline represents one session in a longer-term story. Merck’s trajectory depends on successful pipeline advancement and market conditions.

Investors maintain varied outlooks based on risk tolerance and time horizons. Dividend yield and growth potential appeal to different strategies.

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The pharmaceutical industry remains essential to healthcare systems globally. Merck’s contributions through research and medicines support its strategic importance.

As markets assess opportunities, Merck stands as a established player with diversified operations and forward-looking investments.

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Macro headwinds are behind us; largecaps poised to outperform: Prashant Jain

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Macro headwinds are behind us; largecaps poised to outperform: Prashant Jain
India’s equity markets are entering a more constructive phase as macroeconomic headwinds begin to fade, according to Prashant Jain, CIO, 3P Investment Managers who believes large-cap stocks are well positioned to outperform amid improving economic conditions and more reasonable valuations.

Speaking to ET Now, Jain said the combination of stronger domestic fundamentals, improving external balances, and stable valuations has strengthened his outlook for Indian equities. While he remains optimistic about the broader market, he believes opportunities are emerging selectively across sectors, particularly in large-cap banking and information technology.

Macro environment turns supportive
Jain believes India has moved past the macro challenges that weighed on investor sentiment over the past few years. He pointed to a healthier balance of payments outlook, supportive measures taken by the Reserve Bank of India, and a shift in equity ownership from foreign investors to domestic institutional investors as key positives.”I am quite constructive on the markets. The macro challenges that India was facing are clearly behind us. The balance of payments in the current year should be materially positive because of both external factors and the steps the RBI has taken. Valuations are reasonable, and stocks have moved into very strong hands from foreigners to domestic institutional investors. Multiples are reasonable, so I am actually quite constructive on these markets,” he said.

IT sector presents value despite near-term challenges
The recent correction in IT stocks, particularly following weak guidance from some mid-tier companies, has created value, Jain said. While pricing pressures remain a concern, he does not expect Indian IT companies to witness a structural decline in business.
He believes the current pricing environment is cyclical and could improve as enterprises increase technology spending to adopt artificial intelligence.”There is value, in my opinion, and I do not think these businesses are going to melt away. Even in the current deflationary environment, toplines are not negative. They are holding on, maybe flattish or with very low growth. As enterprises adopt AI, they will need to spend more, and I do not think IT budgets are likely to degrow,” he said.

However, he cautioned that Indian IT stocks continue to face valuation pressure from cheaper global peers.

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“The challenge is that similar businesses outside India are trading at 20-30% lower multiples. That will continue to pose a headwind for Indian IT stocks until there is some change in sentiment,” he said.

Potential triggers could revive IT sentiment
Despite the valuation gap with global peers, Jain believes several factors could unlock value in Indian IT stocks over time.

“When you are getting good value, it is very hard to forecast how that value will unlock itself. Maybe earnings turn out slightly better than expected, foreign selling stops, domestic investors continue to support these companies, or some companies announce buybacks. Any of these could become a trigger,” he said.

Avoids specific view on ER&D companies
Asked about engineering research and development companies, which have seen mixed commentary amid slowing European auto demand, Jain chose not to offer a stock-specific opinion.

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“Let me not comment specifically on ER&D names. I do not think I would be able to do justice there,” he said.

Large private banks offer compelling value
Jain is particularly constructive on large private sector banks, arguing that the sector has been weighed down by prolonged foreign institutional selling despite improving fundamentals.

He noted that credit growth has strengthened, valuations have become attractive, and the unwinding of long-held foreign positions appears to be nearing completion.

“Over the last one or two years, value has clearly emerged in large private banks. Credit growth has inched up sharply, and as FCNR(B) dollars come in, it will be positive for banks. The sector has massively underperformed because foreigners have been reducing positions, but at current valuations I would be quite constructive,” he said.

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Largecaps likely to outperform as foreign selling eases
While small and mid-cap stocks have staged a recovery from recent lows, Jain believes large-cap companies currently offer better value. He expects improving macro conditions and easing foreign selling to benefit the large-cap segment over time.

“As a category, largecaps are offering better value. They have borne the maximum brunt of foreign selling, and as macro conditions improve and foreign selling abates, largecaps should outperform smallcaps,” he said.

At the same time, he acknowledged that opportunities continue to exist in the broader market.

“After the correction in small and midcaps over the last two years, value is emerging on a stock-specific basis. It is going to be a stock picker’s market,” he said.

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Strong economy could lift large-cap earnings
Jain dismissed concerns that earnings growth will remain confined to smaller companies, arguing that India’s underlying economy remains robust. He cited healthy demand conditions, strong credit growth, rising GST collections, and supportive nominal GDP trends as reasons why large-cap earnings could also accelerate.

“The underlying economy is doing extremely well. Credit growth, GST numbers and demand conditions point to a very robust economy. We could see some acceleration in earnings growth even in the large-cap space,” he said.

No clear view on real estate
While acknowledging that the real estate sector remains important, Jain said he does not track it closely enough to offer a meaningful opinion.

“It is a good space, but I do not track it very closely. So, let me not comment on that,” he said.

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Consumer discretionary preferred over staples
Jain drew a clear distinction between consumer staples and consumer discretionary businesses, arguing that the former faces slower growth and increasing competitive pressures despite its strong business quality.

He believes discretionary consumption offers better long-term growth opportunities, although investors must remain disciplined on valuations.

“Consumer staples are highly penetrated and will continue to exhibit slow growth. They are also facing increasing competition from organised retail, D2C brands and private labels. The businesses are excellent, but valuations remain demanding relative to likely growth,” he said.

Instead, he prefers businesses linked to discretionary spending.

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“I would be more inclined towards the consumer discretionary space than the consumer staples space,” he said.

He added that the discretionary universe is broad, covering automobiles, airlines, consumer durables, building materials, food delivery, cosmetics and apparel retail, making stock selection critical.

“It is a very diverse category. The attempt should be to have a realistic view of what growth is sustainable over the long term and what is already priced in. My preference would be to do more work in that space than in the staples space,” he said.

Outlook
Jain’s investment outlook remains firmly constructive. He believes improving macroeconomic conditions, healthier valuations and resilient domestic liquidity are creating an attractive backdrop for equities. While he sees selective opportunities across sectors, his preference currently lies with large-cap companies, private sector banks, and select consumer discretionary businesses, while viewing stock selection as the key driver of returns in the small- and mid-cap universe.

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Reabold awards share options to executives as 2025 bonus

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Reabold awards share options to executives as 2025 bonus

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Mizuho raises Robinhood stock price target to $130 on global growth

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Mizuho raises Robinhood stock price target to $130 on global growth

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Shreddies and Cheerios maker given green light for major Wiltshire factory expansion

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The £66m investment is expected to secure 190 jobs and create 40 new ones

Cereal Partners UK will expand the site in Staverton near Trowbridge

Cereal Partners UK will expand the site in Staverton near Trowbridge(Image: Cereal Partners UK)

The maker of Shreddies and Cheerios has been given the go-ahead for a major expansion of its Wiltshire factory.

Cereal Partners UK was granted permission by the council this week for a £66m extension of its Staverton plant near Trowbridge. The investment is expected to secure 190 existing roles at the site and create 40 new jobs.

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Cereal Partners UK has been a major employer in Wiltshire for nearly 30 years, producing well-known breakfast cereals such as Shredded Wheat and Shreddies in the county.

Wiltshire Council said the investment would “enhance the site’s capacity and efficiency” and allow the company to respond more effectively to changing consumer demand while supporting its future growth.

The Staverton expansion comes 15 months after Cereal Partners UK confirmed production at its plant in Bromborough, on the Wirral, would end and be re-located to Wiltshire under plans.

Councillor Helen Belcher, cabinet member for economic development, said: “This is a positive development for Wiltshire, representing a significant investment in the local economy. It secures existing jobs at the Staverton site while also creating opportunities for future employment as the business grows.

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“Cereal Partners UK has been an established part of the local economy for many years, and this investment demonstrates continued confidence in Wiltshire as a place to do business.

“Enhancing the facility’s capacity and efficiency will help support the company’s long-term sustainability while contributing to economic growth in the Trowbridge area.”

Cereal Partners UK is part of Cereal Partners Worldwide, which was formed in 1990 as a joint venture between Nestlé S.A. and American food giant General Mills.

The UK division has established itself as the second largest manufacturer, with over 25 per cent of a market that’s worth more than £1.3bn.

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Its brands include Shredded Wheat – first introduced more than a century ago – and Shreddies, which was first produced in 1953.

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Citizens raises Liberty Media Formula One stock price target on strong demand

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Citizens raises Liberty Media Formula One stock price target on strong demand

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