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As bitcoin (BTC) price extends declines, industry figures say it’s time to buy: Crypto Daybook Americas

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CD20, Feb. 11 2026 (CoinDesk)

By Francisco Rodrigues (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)

Bitcoin dropped for a third straight day after failing to remain above the $70,000 hit during the weekend recovery as spot trading volumes thinned and theCrypto Fear and Greed Index held in “extreme fear” territory.

The broader crypto market capitalization has slipped to about $2.28 trillion, with the CoinDesk 20 (CD20) index losing 3.4% over the past 24 hours. Even so, onchain data aggregator Glassnode described the pullback as modest by past standards, with no signs of panic selling seen in prior cycle peaks.

Despite the lower volumes and poor sentiment, inflows to spot bitcoin ETFs have been steady over the past three days, helping absorb some selling pressure. The market is now in a price discovery phase, according to Wintermute.

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“With spot volumes still relatively light, leverage is driving short term moves as was illustrated by BTC squeezing back up from the lows last friday on the back of heavily crowded perp shorts,” Wintermute desk strategist Jasper De Maere wrote in an emailed note. “It’s likely the market will continue to whip across this range as its still in price discovery.“

Major figures appear to remain bullish. Speaking at Consensus Hong Kong, Tom Lee, chief investment officer of Fundstrat and chairman of ether treasury firm BitMine Immersion (BMNR), told investors they should look for entry points rather than try to time a bottom.

On CNBC, Michael Saylor, executive chairman of bitcoin treasury firm Strategy (MSTR), reiterated his long-term bet on the cryptocurrency, saying he expects it to outperform traditional equities despite the drawdown.

Weak U.S. retail sales have moderately lifted U.S. interest rate-cut expectations and weighed on the dollar. Now, attention will switch to today’s nonfarm payrolls figures and inflation data, which could further influence risk appetite. Stay alert.

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Read more: For analysis of today’s activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today

What to Watch

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

  • Crypto
    • Feb. 11: Immutable to complete the merge of Immutable X and Immutable zkEVM.
  • Macro
    • Feb. 11, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. nonfarm payrolls for January Est. 70K (Prev. 50K)
    • Feb. 11, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. unemployment rate for January Est. 4.4%(Prev. 4.4%)
    • Feb. 11, 8:30 a.m.: U.S. average hourly earnings for January YoY Est. 3.8% (Prev. 3.6%)
  • Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)

Token Events

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

  • Governance votes & calls
    • Feb. 11: Ripple to host XRP Community Day on X Spaces discussing XRP adoption, regulated finance and innovation.
  • Unlocks
    • Feb. 11: to unlock 0.32% of its circulating supply worth $14.33 million.
  • Token Launches
    • Feb. 11: Coinbase to list RaveDAO (RAVE), DeepBook (DEEP), and Walrus (WAL).

Conferences

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

Market Movements

  • BTC is up 0.25% from 4 p.m. ET Tuesday at $66,868.63 (24hrs: -3.14%)
  • ETH is down 2.96% at $1,947.84 (24hrs: -3.25%)
  • CoinDesk 20 is down 2.75% at 1,900.89 (24hrs: -3.53%)
  • Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is up 1 bp at 2.83%
  • BTC funding rate is at -0.0023% (-2.536% annualized) on Binance
CD20, Feb. 11 2026 (CoinDesk)
  • DXY is down 0.3% at 96.50
  • Gold futures are up 1.73% at $5,117.80
  • Silver futures are up 6.22% at $85.39
  • Nikkei 225 closed up 2.28% at 57,650.54
  • Hang Seng closed up 0.31% at 27,266.38
  • FTSE is up 0.50% at 10,405.94
  • Euro Stoxx 50 is down 0.41% at 6,022.26
  • DJIA closed on Tuesday up 0.1% at 50,188.14
  • S&P 500 closed down 0.33% at 6,941.81
  • Nasdaq Composite closed down 0.59% at 23,102.47
  • S&P/TSX Composite closed up 0.71% at 33,256.83
  • S&P 40 Latin America closed down 0.57% at 3,746.47
  • U.S. 10-Year Treasury rate is down 1 bps at 4.135%
  • E-mini S&P 500 futures are unchanged at 6,966.50
  • E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are unchanged at 25,218.00
  • E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index futures are up 0.13% at 50,338.00

Bitcoin Stats

  • BTC Dominance: 59.12% (-0.29%)
  • Ether-bitcoin ratio: 0.02914 (-0.81%)
  • Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 1,002 EH/s
  • Hashprice (spot): $33.56
  • Total fees: 2.6 BTC / $179,640
  • CME Futures Open Interest: 120,785 BTC
  • BTC priced in gold: 13.1 oz.
  • BTC vs gold market cap: 4.46%

Technical Analysis

Chart of bitcoin price and 200-week exponential moving average.
  • BTC/USD is currently hovering below the 200-week exponential moving average, a critical support level that must be reclaimed to prevent further downside.
  • The market now awaits the weekly close to confirm whether this breach marks a definitive breakdown or a temporary deviation.

Crypto Equities

  • Coinbase Global (COIN): closed on Tuesday at $162.51 (-2.83%), -3.39% at $157.00 in pre-market
  • Circle Internet (CRCL): closed at $59.75 (-0.58%), -1.84% at $58.65
  • Galaxy Digital (GLXY): closed at $21.19 (+0.19%), -1.75% at $20.82
  • Bullish (BLSH): closed at $32.05 (+0.00%), -1.68% at $31.51
  • MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $7.66 (-4.96%), -3.13% at $7.42
  • Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $14.83 (-0.94%), -2.29% at $14.49
  • Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $18.13 (-2.26%), -2.48% at $17.68
  • CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $10.03 (-1.57%), -2.49% at $9.78
  • CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $42.62 (-2.76%)
  • Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $10.86 (+1.12%)

Crypto Treasury Companies

  • Strategy (MSTR): closed at $133.00 (-3.93%), -3.12% at $128.85
  • Strive (ASST): closed at $9.18 (-9.51%), -3.27% at $8.88
  • SharpLink Gaming (SBET): closed at $6.65 (-6.47%), -0.60% at $6.61
  • Upexi (UPXI): closed at $0.98 (-7.14%), +1.96% at $0.99
  • Lite Strategy (LITS): closed at $1.03 (-1.90%)

ETF Flows

Spot BTC ETFs

  • Daily net flows: $166.5 million
  • Cumulative net flows: $54.98 billion
  • Total BTC holdings ~1.27 million

Spot ETH ETFs

  • Daily net flows: $13.8 million
  • Cumulative net flows: $11.91 billion
  • Total ETH holdings ~5.84 million

Source: Farside Investors

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Crypto World

What Does it Mean for Bitcoin?

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What Does it Mean for Bitcoin?

Warren Buffett, the legendary investor and chairman of Berkshire Hathaway, revealed on CNBC this week that his firm purchased approximately $17 billion in US Treasury bills at the latest auction. Is a stock market crash coming and what does it mean for Bitcoin (BTC)?

Key takeaways:

  • Berkshire held $373 billion in cash or cash equivalents as of 2025’s close, more than double the levels in 2023.

  • The firm’s rising cash reserves typically precede major stock market crashes, a bad sign for Bitcoin.

Buffett still sees better value in cash than in stocks

Buffett’s message is straightforward: Berkshire does not see the recent equity pullback as a sufficiently attractive buying opportunity.

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For context, the S&P 500 has fallen about 5.75% since reaching a record high in January.

S&P 500 weekly performance chart. Source: TradingView

Buffett said stocks are not “substantially” cheaper after the decline and described the sell-off as “nothing” compared with earlier downturns in which markets fell more than 50%.

That helps explain Berkshire’s latest Treasury-bill purchase. The company ended 2025 with about $373 billion in cash and equivalents, up from a record $334.2 billion a year earlier and more than double its level at the end of 2023.

Buffett, who famously called Bitcoin “rat poison,” typically gets into cash before major stock crashes, historical data shows.

In 1998, for instance, Buffett began trimming Berkshire’s stock exposure and raising cash, pushing the company’s cash and cash-equivalents holdings to $13.1 billion, or about 23% of total assets.

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Berkshire’s cash and cash-equivalents holdings chart. Source: GuruFocus.COM

By mid-2000, that figure had climbed to nearly $15 billion, or roughly 25% of assets, before Berkshire started deploying capital into bargains as the Dot-com bubble burst.

Bitcoin’s positive correlation with stocks may hurt prices

Bitcoin has traded more like a stock than a traditional safe haven for much of the post-2020 period, often moving in the same direction as US equities, especially the tech-heavy Nasdaq.

As of Wednesday, the 20-week rolling correlation coefficient between the two markets was positive at 0.47.

Nasdaq Composite and BTC/USD’s 20-week correlation coefficient chart. Source: TradingView

If Buffett’s risk-off strategy is correct, then Bitcoin should see another crash alongside stocks. Fresh quantum-security concerns, war-driven inflation risks, and nearly 50% US recession odds are putting pressure on the BTC price.

Berkshire’s portfolio decisions have also leaned away from crypto-adjacent finance.

In the first quarter of 2025, the firm fully exited Nu Holdings, a crypto-friendly fintech company, after building its position in 2021 and 2022. It secured about $250 million in profits from these investments.

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Multiple analysts predict BTC’s price to drop to as low as $30,000 in 2026.