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Crypto World

Bitcoin price slips toward $65K as Fed jitters test key support

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Bitcoin daily price chart.

Bitcoin has retreated toward $65,000 ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision as traders cut risk and reassess the outlook for interest rates under newly appointed Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.

Summary

  • Bitcoin fell from near $67,200 to around $65,236 ahead of the Fed’s June 17 rate decision as traders reduced risk.
  • Key resistance sits between $67,500 and $68,000, while analysts are closely watching support around $63,700 and $60,000.
  • Falling oil prices, Middle East tensions, and uncertainty over Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s policy outlook continue to shape market sentiment.

According to data from crypto.news, Bitcoin (BTC) price fell from a June 16 high of near $67,200 to an intraday low around $65,236 on June 17 before stabilizing near $65,300 at press time. The pullback came as investors awaited the outcome of the Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting, with policymakers expected to keep rates unchanged at 3.50%–3.75% when the decision is released later today.

Attention has instead shifted to the Fed’s updated dot plot and Warsh’s first post-meeting press conference. Traders have increasingly focused on whether policymakers abandon any remaining easing bias and reinforce expectations that borrowing costs could remain elevated for longer amid inflation running above 4%.

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Outside crypto, the cautious mood extended across several asset classes. Gold and silver both traded modestly lower during the session, while crude oil slid toward $75 per barrel for a fifth consecutive day as markets priced in the possibility of renewed Iranian oil exports under a proposed U.S.-Iran agreement.

At the same time, Asian technology shares continued attracting capital, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 reaching fresh record highs above 70,000 amid ongoing enthusiasm surrounding artificial intelligence investments.

Technical structure leaves Bitcoin trapped between $60K support and $68K resistance

Bitcoin’s recent rebound from below $60,000 has stalled near a major technical resistance zone.

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On the daily chart, BTC has returned to a support-turned-resistance region between roughly $65,200 and $65,800. The area previously acted as a key floor during February and March before breaking during the sharp selloff earlier this month. BTC price briefly reclaimed the zone before slipping back underneath it.

Bitcoin daily price chart.
Bitcoin daily price chart — June 17 | Source: crypto.news

Momentum indicators remain mixed. The daily RSI has recovered from oversold territory but remains below the neutral 50 mark, while the MACD continues to trade beneath its signal line despite narrowing bearish momentum.

On the four-hour chart, Bitcoin has also fallen back below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level near $65,016 after failing to sustain a breakout above the 50% retracement around $66,829.

Bitcoin 4-hour price chart.
Bitcoin 4-hour price chart — June 17 | Source: crypto.news

According to analyst Kamile Uray, the market is now closely watching whether support around $63,700 can hold.

“In deep declines, we will be tracking the 60000 level. This level must be held. Otherwise, the decline deepens further.”

On the positive side, Uray added that $67,500 remains the first major resistance zone, while a sustained move above $74,500 would be required to restore a stronger bullish structure.

Meanwhile, CoinGlass liquidation heatmaps show a dense concentration of leveraged positions sitting above current prices. Commenting on the setup, crypto analyst Daan Crypto Trades noted that “$68K is the biggest one to watch in the short term,” adding that the largest liquidity clusters now sit above the market after Bitcoin swept liquidity beneath $60,000 earlier this month.

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Fed guidance and Middle East tensions could determine the next move

Macro developments remain the primary risk factor heading into the Fed announcement.

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While falling oil prices have eased some inflation concerns, geopolitical uncertainty has persisted after Iran accused Israel of violating a Lebanon truce dozens of times and warned of a “harsh response” if attacks continue.

Tehran has also linked any final agreement with Washington to sanctions relief, the release of frozen assets, and an Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon.

The combination of Fed uncertainty, geopolitical risks, and persistent institutional caution has kept Bitcoin below major resistance despite recovering from its June lows.

A break above $68,000 could expose the next liquidity zones near $74,000 and $78,000, where large concentrations of leveraged positions remain.

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On the downside, losing support around $63,700 would place renewed focus on $60,000. A decisive move below that level could open the door toward the $55,000–$50,000 region highlighted by several market analysts.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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CME Group’s Terry Duffy to step down in 2027, CFO Lynne Fitzpatrick to become CEO

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CME Group's Terry Duffy to step down in 2027, CFO Lynne Fitzpatrick to become CEO

Terry Duffy, CME Group

Scott Mlyn | CNBC

CME Group‘s longtime leader Terry Duffy will step down as chief executive officer next year, succeeded by President and Chief Financial Officer Lynne Fitzpatrick.

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Duffy, 67, will transition to executive chairman effective March 1, 2027, the company said Wednesday. It marks a more than two-decade run that transformed the Chicago-based exchange operator into one of the world’s largest derivatives marketplaces.

“Leading CME Group through more than 25 years of transformative growth has been among the highest honors of my life,” said Duffy in a statement.

Since becoming chairman in 2002, Duffy has overseen CME’s transformation from a floor-based exchange into a global derivatives powerhouse. He led the company’s IPO, its shift to electronic trading and industry-defining acquisitions, including the 2007 merger with the Chicago Board of Trade and the 2008 purchase of the New York Mercantile Exchange.

Duffy also guided CME through the financial crisis, the collapse of broker-dealer MF Global and sweeping changes in market structure. More recently, the company expanded through its acquisition of NEX Group, a partnership with Google Cloud and a venture with FanDuel aimed at reaching a broader retail audience.

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Fitzpatrick, a 20-year veteran of CME, has served as president and chief financial officer since 2022 and has played a key role in the company’s strategy, capital allocation and investor relations efforts.

“I appreciate the confidence that he and the Board have placed in me, and I look forward to working with our investors, clients and employees around the world as we grow our core business and create value for our shareholders,” Fitzpatrick said in a statement.

Correction: CME Group made the announcement Wednesday. An earlier version misstated the day of the week.

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More united Fed board seen at Warsh’s first meeting, according to Kalshi traders

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More united Fed board seen at Warsh's first meeting, according to Kalshi traders

Renovations continue at the Federal Reserve Board building in Washington, D.C., U.S., November 14, 2025.

Elizabeth Frantz | Reuters

Prediction market traders think consensus will return to the Federal Reserve’s policy-setting board when new chairman Kevin Warsh presides over its June interest rate decision later Wednesday. At April’s meeting, the last under former Fed chair Jerome Powell, four members voted to dissent from policy, the most in more than 30 years.

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Traders on prediction market platform Kalshi place 70% odds on zero dissents in the June vote on the 12-member Federal Open Market Committee. Odds that four members will dissents, as in April, are at just 3%. 

The Fed is widely expected to hold interest rates steady on Wednesday at their current 3.50% to 3.75%, as policymakers continue to assess the extent of rising inflation due to higher oil prices stemming from the U.S.-Iran war. 

At the April meeting, the Fed also held rates steady, and only one dissent disagreed with that decision. That vote was cast by now former Fed governor Stephen Miran, who consistently argued for lower interest rates. 

The other three dissenters — Fed regional presidents Beth Hammack of Cleveland, Neil Kashkari of Minneapolis and Lorie Logan of Dallas — were opposed to language that hinted the central bank may cut interest rates in the future. That showed some members were worried the committee was too dovish in its outlook, and objected to signaling lower rates were coming.

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More than half, or 55% of respondents in Bank of America’s June Global Fund Manager Survey said the Fed will deliver a “hawkish hold” on Wednesday. 

When Warsh holds his first press conference as chairman, traders think there’s a 73% chance he’ll discuss “uncertainty,” a 43% chance he’ll mention “quantitative tightening,” and just a 20% chance he refers to President Donald Trump by name. 

Correction: This story has been revised to accurately reflect the titles of Beth Hammack, Neil Kashkari and Lorie Logan. A previous version of this story misstated that they were Fed governors.

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Startup drops first universal AI agent payment plug into Asia’s $28.9 trillion ecommerce market

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Startup drops first universal AI agent payment plug into Asia's $28.9 trillion ecommerce market

Many experts share Bilotta’s AI agent outlook, including Charles Hoskinson, founder and CEO of Cardano’s Input Output, who said that by 2035 they will become more relevant than humans.

The macro numbers support his stance. Data from the U.S. International Trade Administration via Trade.gov shows that business-to-business (B2B) e-commerce across the broader Asia-Pacific region is expanding at a 15% annual clip, with market values projected to climb past $28.9 trillion by the end of this year.

Yet, despite that explosive growth, the plumbing underneath remains broken. The problem is fundamentally an issue of legacy infrastructure and compliance, Bilotta noted.

Global financial regulations, banking protocols and identity verification checks were built strictly for humans. An autonomous AI software agent cannot pass a standard compliance check, he said or execute a payment loop unless a human manually intervenes to clear the transaction.

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To bridge this structural gap, the industry requires a compliant backend middleware that acts as a universal interpreter. Bilotta explained that by dropping an Anthropic-standard Model Context Protocol (MCP) server directly into the payment infrastructure, software agents can programmatically navigate compliance, pull real-time FX quotes, and settle transactions natively across borders without human steps.

While institutional gatekeepers like Stripe and Mastercard have spent billions acquiring fiat-to-crypto APIs to secure traditional corporate treasuries, the automated machine-to-machine economy across emerging corridors remains heavily underserved.

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Uniswap’s UNI token surges while rest of crypto market looks to FOMC for guidance

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Uniswap's UNI token surges while rest of crypto market looks to FOMC for guidance

Bitcoin is facing selling pressure ahead of today’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest-rate decision at the first meeting under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh.

The largest cryptocurrency pulled back below $65,000 after trading near $67,000 just a day earlier, CoinDesk data show. The broader market CoinDesk 20 Index (CD200) has lost 1.2% since midnight UTC, with all but four tokens declining.

“The main focus for the week is the FOMC meeting under new leadership, with market expectations of interest rate hikes already priced in through 2027,” Laser Digital said in its weekly note.

The market is pricing in no change in the fed funds rate at this meeting. Instead, the focus will be on Warsh’s post-meeting press conference for signals on his views on inflation. Warsh has criticized the Fed’s frequent press conferences and detailed forecasting and may face questions on his stance.

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Among stand-out gainers, Uniswap’s UNI token surged another 20% over 24 hours, buoyed by Standard Chartered’s bullish forecast of $100 by 2030. Meanwhile, NEAR, INJ and several stablecoin-related assets dropped as much as 8%.

Derivatives positioning

  • The market remains calm ahead of the Fed decision. Activity has slowed, with crypto futures volume falling 20% in 24 hours to $165 billion and open interest dropping 2.3% to $110 billion. Liquidations fell to roughly $310 million, down 44%.
  • The calm is also evident in BVIV, bitcoin’s 30-day implied volatility index, which was hovering near an annualized 39% at the time of writing — a level not seen since June 2, just before it spiked to nearly 59% a few days later. Ether’s volatility index is showing similar stability.
  • Cardano’s ADA stands out among altcoins. Open interest has climbed to 2.26 billion tokens, nearing the record 2.32 billion set on June 6 and recovering from the June 13 low of 2 billion.
  • The rebound points to renewed capital deployment in leveraged ADA markets, though the move isn’t necessarily bullish. The token’s price has slipped from over 18 cents to under 17 cents in two days alongside a negative 24-hour cumulative volume delta. The combination leans bearish, pointing to aggressive trading at market orders rather than passive limit orders.
  • ZEC and SUI are the other notable open interest gainers over the past 24 hours, while NEAR and BCH led the losers.
  • NEAR has dropped over 9%, and the decline in open interest suggests traders are unwinding leverage during the selloff rather than piling into fresh shorts.
  • Most major tokens, with the exception of TRX and CC, are showing negative 24-hour CVD, pointing to broad bearish dominance in trade flows.
  • In options markets, BTC puts continue to dominate 24-hour volume rankings, though the $80,000 call expiring March 26 next year also saw notable activity. In ether’s case, calls are leading volume rankings.

Token talk

  • UNI has risen for a seventh straight day, its longest winning streak since August 2023, when it ran eight. The token trades near $2.75, erasing its June losses after jumping by more than 10% earlier in the week.
  • The accelerant was a Standard Chartered note. The bank’s digital assets head, Geoff Kendrick, initiated coverage on June 15 with a $100 price target for 2030, roughly 40 times the current level, arguing that tokenized real-world assets, meaning stocks and bonds issued onchain, will flood into DeFi and Uniswap will capture the flow as core market infrastructure. He predicts a path through $6.50 by year-end.
  • Two fundamentals sit underneath the call. Uniswap’s fee switch, live since late 2025, routes a share of trading fees into buying back and burning UNI, and has removed about 106 million tokens, more than 10% of supply, turning a pure governance token into a deflationary one.
  • Separately, tokenized stocks that launched on the protocol earlier this month have already seen more than $9.1 billion swapped through its real-world-asset pools.

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Elon Musk’s SpaceX is now worth nearly twice all of bitcoin at $2.6 trillion

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Elon Musk's SpaceX is now worth nearly twice all of bitcoin at $2.6 trillion

The entire bitcoin market is worth about $1.2 trillion as of Wednesday. SpaceX, at $2.5 trillion, is worth nearly twice that, and it is drawing from the same risk budget that flows to crypto – the point ARK made earlier this week when it funded its SpaceX buying by selling other holdings.

The caution is that expectations now leave little room for error, with some analysts warning that a SpaceX stumble would hit the broader market and the AI winners with it.

“With the expectations already sky high, there is little room for error,” Lukman Otunuga, head of markets at FXTM, told CoinDesk in an email. “Should SpaceX disappoint down the line, the fallout will hit the broader stock market, as well as the beneficiaries of the AI boom.”

The numbers support that worry. SpaceX posted a $4.94 billion net loss in 2025 on $18.67 billion of revenue, and at $2.5 trillion, it trades at more than 130 times sales, a multiple some call meme-stock territory.

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As such, SpaceX announced Tuesday that it has formally agreed to take over Cursor in a deal that values the AI coding startup at $60 billion. Cursor investors will have the right to receive SpaceX stock based on the implied equity value of Cursor, according to a company filing.

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Aster Expands its Token Buyback Program, Price Jumps 10%

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Aster Price Performance

Aster DEX announced a sweeping tokenomics upgrade on June 17, 2026, directing 99% of daily platform fees into automatic $ASTER buybacks for veASTER stakers while triggering matching burns to slash total supply toward 3 billion.

The move intensifies an existing revenue-recycling strategy, tying token value directly to trading activity on one of the fastest-growing perpetual DEXes. ASTER token jumped by over 10% on this news.

Aster Price Performance
Aster Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto

Aggressive Fee-to-Buyback Mechanism

Under the new structure, 99% of Aster’s daily fees execute via TWAP across each day and settle on-chain to a public wallet (0xa0edBaBcb48034e368de286b49F9603C7AfA1b60).

All repurchased tokens flow straight into Loyalty Rewards, added atop the existing 300,000 $ASTER base pool and distributed proportionally to veASTER lock weight.

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For every token bought back, an equal amount is permanently burned from reserves—starting with team allocations.

Burns occur bi-weekly and continue until total supply hits the 3 billion target.

Permissionless Spot listings add further fuel: each incurs a 50,000 USDT fee routed into the same buyback system.

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Current Supply Snapshot

Aster launched with an 8 billion total supply. As of June 17, 2026:

  • Total Supply: ~7.82 billion
  • Circulating Supply: ~2.68–2.70 billion
  • Prior buybacks and burns have already removed tens of millions of tokens, with cumulative fee-generated buybacks previously exceeding hundreds of millions of dollars. coingecko.com

This upgrade escalates earlier phases that allocated 70–80% of fees, now pushing near-total revenue capture for holders.

Market Context and Investor Relevance

Perp DEX trading volumes remain robust amid broader crypto market recovery.

Aster has processed billions in cumulative volume and competes directly with leaders like Hyperliquid.

The 198% mechanism (99% buyback + 99% equivalent burn) creates a self-reinforcing loop: higher platform usage drives stronger buy pressure and accelerated deflation.

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For investors, the update strengthens real-yield potential for stakers while capping long-term dilution.

Transparent, on-chain execution via verifiable wallets enhances credibility in a sector often criticized for opaque tokenomics.

The program runs continuously with bi-weekly burns. Sustained or growing trading volumes will determine the pace of supply reduction and reward boosts.

Aster continues expanding features, including potential L1 developments and governance enhancements, which could further amplify fee generation.

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This upgrade positions $ASTER as one of the most aggressively aligned tokens in DeFi perp trading, directly rewarding usage and long-term holders as the platform scales.

The post Aster Expands its Token Buyback Program, Price Jumps 10% appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Trump Administration Delays Blacklisting DeepSeek and 100+ Chinese Tech Companies

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

Key Takeaways

  • Over 100 Chinese technology companies, including DeepSeek and CXMT, have avoided U.S. trade restrictions despite receiving security clearance for blacklisting.
  • An interagency committee greenlit these companies for Entity List designation, but the Commerce Department hasn’t published the updates.
  • The Entity List has seen no new additions since October—marking an unprecedented pause spanning more than ten years of enforcement history.
  • Security officials identified DeepSeek as aiding Chinese military objectives and attempting to illegally obtain advanced American semiconductors.
  • National security analysts caution that this administrative freeze could enable critical U.S. technology to fall into hostile hands.

The current administration has postponed the blacklisting of more than 100 Chinese corporations through the U.S. Commerce Department’s Entity List, Reuters has revealed. Among the companies awaiting designation are artificial intelligence developer DeepSeek and semiconductor manufacturer ChangXin Memory Technologies, both of which received interagency approval for restrictions but remain unlisted.

Inclusion on the Entity List triggers severe export limitations. American companies are prohibited from transferring products, software applications, or proprietary technology to designated entities without obtaining special government authorization, which authorities routinely reject.

This postponement appears connected to diplomatic strategies aimed at preventing escalation with China. Reports indicate that Jeffrey Kessler, the under secretary of commerce overseeing industry and security matters, has worked to suspend Chinese entity designations since the closing months of 2025.

DeepSeek captured international attention in January 2025 after launching an affordable AI system that sent shockwaves through the tech industry. According to a high-ranking State Department representative, the company has provided assistance to Chinese military and intelligence agencies while orchestrating efforts to procure cutting-edge American processors through intermediary corporations in Southeast Asia.

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Anthropic disclosed earlier this year that it uncovered coordinated efforts by DeepSeek alongside two additional Chinese AI developers attempting to extract proprietary capabilities from its Claude AI system. OpenAI similarly alerted congressional members that DeepSeek was conducting operations against its technology platforms.

ChangXin Memory Technologies, representing China’s leading memory chip producer, received designation as a Chinese military-linked corporation by Pentagon officials during the previous Biden administration.

Record-Breaking Pause in Enforcement Actions

No fresh Entity List designations have appeared since October. According to Philip Luck from the Center for Strategic and International Studies, this represents an unprecedented enforcement gap exceeding anything witnessed in the past decade.

“The Entity List functions like whack-a-mole and you need to maintain constant vigilance,” Luck explained.

Kevin Kurland, previously with the Commerce Department, characterized the suspension as evidence that commercial considerations are eclipsing national security imperatives. “The absence of any Entity List additions since October clearly demonstrates that trade policy considerations are taking precedence over a vital national security instrument,” he stated.

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No fewer than 75 Chinese organizations operating in semiconductor manufacturing, chip production equipment, and artificial intelligence development received approval for listing but await official publication.

Additional flagged entities include suppliers of components discovered in Russian unmanned aerial vehicles recovered in Poland last September, plus companies accused of distributing restricted Nvidia processors to Chinese educational institutions.

Commerce Bureau Remains Tight-Lipped on Publication Delays

The Bureau of Industry and Security has not provided substantive responses regarding the publication freeze, declining to address questions about DeepSeek and CXMT specifically.

The agency stated it employs “numerous policy and enforcement mechanisms, including the Entity List, throughout regular operations.”

Additionally, the bureau has failed to issue a successor regulation to the AI chip export controls established under President Biden, creating a potential regulatory void that may have permitted advanced processors to reach Chinese entities operating beyond China’s borders.

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Japan moves to cut crypto tax to 20%: why it matters

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Japan moves to cut crypto tax to 20%: why it matters

The world’s third-largest economy is reclassifying crypto as a financial instrument and charting a path to slash punishing tax rates. The change reaches far beyond Japan, and most of the coverage is getting the details wrong.

Summary

  • Japan has taken a major step toward treating crypto like a mainstream financial asset.
  • The 20% crypto tax rate is a target for 2028, not a change taking effect now.
  • Reclassification under FIEA could open the door to regulated crypto ETFs in Japan.
  • The move matters globally because a major economy is shifting from punitive policy toward integration.

On June 11, 2026, the lower house of Japan’s parliament passed a bill that begins one of the most consequential regulatory shifts in the country’s crypto history. The legislation reclassifies cryptocurrency from its current home under the Payment Services Act into the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act, the statute that governs stocks and bonds, and it sits alongside a closely linked tax proposal that would cut the tax on crypto gains from a punishing rate near 55% toward a flat 20%.

For the world’s third-largest economy, long known for some of the harshest crypto tax treatment among major nations, this is a structural turn toward treating digital assets as a legitimate part of the financial system. It also opens a path toward regulated crypto ETFs that Japanese investors have never had.

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The change matters well beyond Japan’s borders, which is why it has drawn global attention even as much of the coverage garbles the specifics. A major economy moving from punitive to competitive crypto policy is a signal other governments read, a data point in the global regulatory race, and a potential unlock for one of the largest pools of household savings in the world.

But the details are widely misreported, with headlines compressing a multi-stage, multi-year process into a single accomplished fact. This piece lays out what Japan actually did, what it did not yet do, why the reclassification matters as much as the tax cut, and what the move means for the global crypto landscape.

What Japan actually did, precisely

The single most important thing to get right: this is a process in motion, not a finished law, and the distinction matters for anyone trying to understand the timeline.

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On June 11, 2026, Japan’s House of Representatives, the lower house, passed an amendment bill that moves crypto-asset regulation out of the Payment Services Act and into the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act, often abbreviated FIEA, the law governing securities markets. The bill now advances to the upper house, the House of Councillors, for deliberation.

It requires upper house passage, government promulgation, and follow-on rulemaking by the Financial Services Agency before it takes full legal effect, which is expected to happen next year, not immediately. The Cabinet approved the underlying measure back in April, so the June lower-house vote is a major step in a sequence that began earlier and has further to run.

That tax change is a separate but linked matter, and conflating the two is the most common error in the coverage. The headline 20% rate does not live inside the FIEA reclassification bill itself; it sits in a closely associated tax proposal, and the flat 20% rate is targeted for 2028, not arriving with the reclassification.

Today, crypto gains in Japan are taxed as miscellaneous income at progressive rates that climb toward roughly 55% for high earners, among the heaviest crypto tax burdens in the developed world. The policy path would shift that to a flat, separate 20% rate, aligning crypto with how gains on stocks are taxed.

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The accurate summary is that Japan’s lower house has approved reclassifying crypto as a financial instrument, with a linked plan to cut the tax rate to 20% by 2028. Several legislative steps remain before either piece is law.

Why the reclassification matters as much as the tax cut

The tax cut gets the headlines, but the reclassification is the deeper change, and understanding why requires looking at what moving crypto into the securities statute actually does.

Placing crypto under the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act subjects it to securities-style market rules: issuer disclosure requirements, a crypto-specific insider-trading regime, anti-market-abuse enforcement, and tougher penalties for misconduct. This is a double-edged change.

On one side, it imposes tighter obligations on the industry, including more disclosure, more compliance, suitability checks on platforms, and possible eligibility screens that could cap certain unaudited issuer offerings for smaller investors. The Japanese crypto industry will carry a heavier regulatory load under FIEA than it did under the lighter-touch Payment Services Act.

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On the other side, that heavier regulation is precisely what legitimizes the asset class in the eyes of conservative institutions. Most of all, it creates the legal foundation for regulated investment products.

Most important of all is the path to ETFs. Under the Payment Services Act, crypto sat in a category that did not support the kind of regulated investment vehicles that securities law enables.

By moving crypto into the FIEA, Japan creates the statutory basis on which spot crypto ETFs and other regulated products can be built and offered to Japanese investors, who have never had access to them. That is the ETF access the reclassification enables, and it may matter as much as the tax change itself.

For a nation with one of the largest pools of household savings in the world, much of it sitting in low-yielding cash and bonds, opening a regulated, tax-efficient route into crypto is potentially far more significant than the tax cut alone. The reclassification is the plumbing; the tax cut is the incentive; and together they could channel a meaningful share of Japanese savings toward digital assets in a way the old regime actively discouraged.

That ETF path also matters for specific assets. Japan is already being discussed as a market where XRP products could arrive before 2028, showing how reclassification can move from abstract legal reform into real product pipelines.

The tax cut and what it changes for investors

Moving from a 55% top rate toward a flat 20% is a dramatic shift in the economics of holding crypto in Japan, and it addresses a long-standing complaint that drove activity offshore.

Under the current system, a Japanese investor’s crypto gains are lumped into miscellaneous income and taxed at progressive rates that can reach around 55% for high earners, far above the roughly 20% flat rate applied to gains on stocks. This disparity has been one of the loudest grievances of Japan’s crypto community for years.

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It both punished crypto investment relative to equities and pushed serious traders toward offshore venues and structures to escape the burden. A high-earning investor facing a 55% tax on crypto gains but a 20% tax on stock gains had every incentive to either avoid crypto or move their activity outside Japan’s tax net, and many did exactly that.

A flat 20% rate would erase that disparity, taxing crypto gains the same way stock gains are taxed and removing the penalty that has suppressed domestic crypto investment. The effect, should the tax proposal become law on its 2028 target, would be to make holding and trading crypto within Japan dramatically more attractive.

It would lower the absolute tax burden and end the perverse incentive to route activity offshore. Combined with the ETF access the reclassification enables, the tax cut could bring a wave of previously deterred domestic capital and activity back onshore and into regulated products.

The caveat, again, is timing. This is a 2028 target inside a proposal that still must advance, not a change taking effect now, and investors counting on it should track its progress instead of assuming it.

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Why this matters globally

Japan’s move is a national policy change with international weight, and the global significance runs along several lines that make it worth attention far outside Japan.

The first is the signal to other governments. Japan is the world’s third-largest economy and a serious, conservative financial jurisdiction, not a small state competing for crypto business through permissiveness.

When a country of that stature moves deliberately from punitive to competitive crypto policy, reclassifying the asset class into its mainstream financial statute and cutting taxes to match equities, it tells other governments that crypto regulation is shifting from suppression toward integration among the major economies. This feeds the global regulatory race, in which jurisdictions increasingly compete to host crypto activity instead of driving it away.

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Japan’s entry on the competitive side adds weight to that trend at the highest level. It also sits beside the parallel US regulatory shift, where classification, ETF access, and market-structure rules are reshaping how digital assets enter traditional finance.

The second is the demand unlock. Japan has enormous household savings and a long history of retail investor enthusiasm for new asset classes, and the combination of regulated ETF access and equity-equivalent taxation could mobilize a significant pool of capital that the old regime kept on the sidelines.

A large, wealthy, under-allocated investor base gaining a clean, tax-efficient route into crypto is the kind of structural demand expansion that matters for the asset class globally, not just locally. It also ties into the global institutionalization of crypto, where public-market access and regulated exposure are becoming central to the asset class.

Third is the institutional dimension. The move comes as major Japanese banks, including the country’s largest, prepare stablecoin projects and as regulators build a clearer framework, signaling that Japan’s financial establishment is engaging with digital assets instead of resisting them.

A major economy bringing its banks, its tax code, and its securities law into alignment around crypto is a meaningful validation that resonates well beyond its borders.

The risks and the caveats

A fair account has to weigh what could slow or complicate this, because the optimistic reading depends on several things going right.

The clearest caveat: none of it is final. The reclassification has passed only the lower house and must clear the upper house, promulgation, and FSA rulemaking before taking effect, expected next year.

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The tax cut is a separate 2028 target inside a proposal that has its own path to travel. Legislative processes can slow, change, or stall, and the compressed headlines proclaiming that Japan has already cut crypto taxes to 20% are running ahead of the actual state of the law.

Anyone making decisions based on this should track the upper house deliberation and the tax proposal’s progress instead of treating either as accomplished. That is why how regulatory timing shapes markets matters: policy direction and legal reality often move on different clocks.

The heavier regulation is also a real tradeoff, not a pure positive. Moving crypto under securities law brings disclosure burdens, insider-trading rules, suitability checks, and possible investment caps on certain products for smaller investors, which constrain some of the openness that characterized the lighter-touch regime.

The industry gains legitimacy and ETF access but accepts a heavier compliance load, and how the FSA writes the secondary rules will determine whether the balance lands closer to enabling or constraining. There is also the question of whether the demand materializes as hoped.

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Japan’s investors may embrace regulated crypto access, or cultural caution and the asset class’s volatility may temper the uptake. The savings-unlock thesis is a reasonable expectation, not a certainty.

The move is significant and directionally positive for crypto, but its full effect depends on execution across multiple stages that have not yet happened.

What it means for the global crypto landscape

For the crypto market broadly, Japan’s shift is a constructive data point in a year defined by regulatory realignment across major jurisdictions.

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One pattern stands out: convergence. The United States has been working through its own market-structure legislation and has seen agency-level commodity classifications for major assets.

Japan is reclassifying crypto into its securities framework and charting a tax cut. Other jurisdictions are building stablecoin and ETF frameworks.

The major economies are, in their different ways and on their different timelines, moving crypto from the regulatory margins toward integration into mainstream financial law. Japan’s June vote is a clear instance of that broader direction.

For an asset class whose largest overhang has long been regulatory uncertainty, a steady accumulation of clarity across the major economies is the kind of slow, structural tailwind that matters more over years than any single headline. It also feeds into the broader market this policy feeds into, where regulation, liquidity, and institutional access increasingly decide which crypto narratives matter.

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For investors and observers outside Japan, the practical takeaway is to read this as part of a trend, not an isolated event. The key question is whether the demand unlock the policy enables actually arrives, because that is the part that would feed back into global crypto demand.

A Japan that successfully brings a large share of its household savings into regulated crypto products would be a powerful proof of concept for the integration thesis, one other governments and markets would notice. The reclassification and the tax cut set the stage; what plays out on it over the next two years, through the remaining legislative steps and the response of Japanese investors, is the story worth following.

A major economy changes its mind

Japan spent years as a cautionary example of how punitive policy suppresses a domestic crypto market, taxing gains at rates that drove activity offshore and offering no regulated route into the asset class. The June 11 lower-house vote is the clearest sign yet that the country is changing its mind, reclassifying crypto as a financial instrument, charting a path to cut taxes from 55% toward 20%, and opening the door to the regulated ETFs its investors have never had.

This change is real, structurally important, and globally relevant, and it is also a multi-stage process whose biggest pieces, the tax cut targeted for 2028 and the full reclassification expected next year, have not yet taken final effect. Read accurately, Japan has not yet cut its crypto tax to 20%; it has taken a major step toward doing so, alongside a deeper reclassification that may matter even more by opening the ETF door.

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For the world’s third-largest economy to move so deliberately from suppression toward integration is a meaningful marker in crypto’s long regulatory normalization, and a signal other governments will read. The details are more complicated than the headlines suggest, but the direction is unmistakable, and the direction is what makes it matter.

Frequently asked questions

Did Japan cut its crypto tax to 20%?

Not yet. On June 11, 2026, Japan’s lower house passed a bill reclassifying crypto as a financial instrument, and a closely linked tax proposal aims to cut the tax on crypto gains from progressive rates near 55% to a flat 20%. But the 20% rate is targeted for 2028 and sits in a separate proposal, and the reclassification still needs upper-house passage and regulatory rulemaking before taking effect, expected next year. Japan has taken a major step toward cutting the tax, not completed it.

What does reclassifying crypto under the FIEA mean?

It moves crypto regulation out of Japan’s Payment Services Act and into the Financial Instruments and Exchange Act, the statute governing stocks and bonds. This subjects crypto to securities-style rules, including issuer disclosure, an insider-trading regime, and tougher enforcement, while also creating the legal foundation for regulated crypto ETFs that Japanese investors have not had access to. The reclassification may be more significant than the tax cut because it enables regulated investment products.

Why is Japan’s crypto tax currently so high?

Under the current system, crypto gains are treated as miscellaneous income and taxed at progressive rates that can reach roughly 55% for high earners, far above the flat 20% rate on stock gains. This disparity has long been a major grievance of Japan’s crypto community, because it penalized crypto investment relative to equities and pushed traders toward offshore venues. The proposed flat 20% rate would align crypto with stock taxation.

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When will the changes take effect?

The reclassification, having passed the lower house, needs upper-house passage, government promulgation, and Financial Services Agency rulemaking before taking full effect, expected next year. The flat 20% tax rate is a separate target for 2028. Both pieces still have legislative steps to complete, so the timeline spans the next two years instead of taking effect immediately, and progress should be tracked rather than assumed.

Why does Japan’s crypto policy matter globally?

Japan is the world’s third-largest economy and a serious, conservative financial jurisdiction. When a country of that stature moves from punitive to competitive crypto policy, it signals other governments that crypto regulation is shifting toward integration among major economies, feeding the global regulatory race. Japan also has enormous household savings, so opening regulated, tax-efficient crypto access could unlock a significant pool of capital, a structural demand expansion that matters for crypto worldwide.

Will this bring more money into crypto?

Potentially. The combination of regulated ETF access from the reclassification and equity-equivalent taxation from the tax cut could mobilize a large pool of Japanese household savings that the old regime kept out, and bring offshore activity back onshore. But this depends on the legislation completing its remaining steps and on Japanese investors actually embracing the access, which cultural caution and crypto’s volatility could temper. The demand unlock is a reasonable expectation, not a certainty.

As of June 16, 2026. Legislative and tax processes change over time; verify the current status before relying on this analysis. This article is information, not investment or tax advice.

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Heir to 135-year Gulf dynasty is moving a $6 trillion trade market onto blockchain rails

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Heir to 135-year Gulf dynasty is moving a $6 trillion trade market onto blockchain rails

For more than 135 years, the Kanoo family, one of Bahrain’s wealthiest families, has helped build the Gulf’s entire commercial infrastructure.

The family, with a net worth of up to $6 billion, owns businesses spanning shipping, logistics, travel and finance.

Abdulla Kanoo, one of the heirs to this 135-year-old dynasty, is now involved in crypto. While he refuses to reveal his family’s or his personal bitcoin investments, he says he’s invested in digital assets since 2015 and remains “faithful” to bitcoin .

Kanoo also believes the next generation of global commerce will not be built on ports or banks, but on digital rails or, more specifically, on the blockchain, where programmable money is king.

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Kanoo is the co-founder of ARP Digital, a digital asset infrastructure project focused on allowing the movement of money between emerging economies faster, cheaper and with fewer intermediaries.

“The Gulf was where global capital was stored,” he told CoinDesk. “The next chapter is about movement.”

Kanoo is not launching another crypto exchange nor is he pitching a new token. He has his goals set on expanding the family legacy on a global scale.

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Strategy’s ‘stable’ STRC spends a lot of time below its $100 target

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Strategy’s ‘stable’ STRC spends a lot of time below its $100 target

Most people holding Strategy’s 11.5% dividend-paying STRC, are making a strange bargain with the company; that on monthly snapshot days, the stock will trade near the company’s intended $100 share price.

In between those dates, however, STRC invariably wanders downhill. Indeed, it closed yesterday at $91.79, 8.2% below its target.

Strategy persuades buyers to take the bargain of downside possibility on their investment with an above-market yield of 11.5%.

Strategy, the bitcoin (BTC) treasury company built by Michael Saylor, markets STRC as a near-$100 instrument that strips away BTC’s volatility, providing ostensibly predictable payouts and a USD-stable target.

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Chart of STRC since July 25, 2025 IPO. Dividend dates in blue. Source: TradingView

Anyone who holds STRC at the close of Nasdaq’s regular trading session on the dividend record “snapshot” date receives that payout. 

Because Strategy pays a dividend on the full $100 par regardless of its price on Nasdaq, the company designed STRC to hold near $100 on its snapshot dates.

The actual chart of Nasdaq trades, unfortunately, says otherwise.

STRC had its IPO in July 2025 and didn’t even trade up to $100 until October. For over a trailing month as of publication time, STRC hasn’t traded at or above $100.

STRC crashes ex-dividend

The morning after its snapshot date, the stock trades “ex-dividend,” and holders earn nothing extra for maintaining their investment until another two weeks transpire and another snapshot occurs.

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Predictably, the stock always rallies into these snapshot dates and immediately sells off afterward. 

Historical prices bear this out across the security’s short life.

In August 2025, STRC dropped to $92.20 in-between its dividend snapshot dates. 

In September, it drifted to $96.61. October was a similar $96.75. Then November frightened investors with a 9.5% drop from $100 to $90.52.

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Although each month’s trading range is unique, this month is risking becoming on of its worst. Just yesterday, shares closed at $91.79.

Run-ups into the dividend snapshots are routine, but declines are just as routine.

Read more: Strategy shareholders approve twice-monthly STRC dividends

Semi-monthly dividends haven’t helped yet

Strategy’s talked shareholders into making the problem twice as frequent, albeit shorter in duration.

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On June 8, holders approved a shift to semi-monthly dividends, with record dates on the 15th and the last day of each month. Its first semi-monthly dividend will occur next month.

Strategy CEO Phong Le said the change was designed to “stabilize price” for STRC, which definitely hasn’t happened so far.

Over its lifetime, STRC has traded as high as $100.42 and as low as $90.38. That is a band of more than $10 for a $100 stock that’s supposed to hug its par value.

With STRC trading 8.2% below its par as of yesterday’s close, Strategy has two obvious defenses available. 

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First, it could raise the dividend. STRC pays 11.50% a year now, a yield higher than most junk bonds, but there’s plenty of room to go higher if the company wants to burn cash faster.

Payouts started at 9% when the shares launched, and have climbed steadily to 11.5% today.

Second, Strategy could buyback shares. The company has never done this.

As Protos has documented, the cost of maintaining investor confidence in STRC keeps rising. For a security sold on the idea of stable income, STRC asks for a lot of faith between its semi-monthly record dates.

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