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Bitcoin Rises as Markets Price State of the Union Trump Address

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Bitcoin Rises as Markets Price State of the Union Trump Address

Bitcoin (BTC) surged more than $2,000 to reclaim the $66,000 level Tuesday evening, driven by risk-on positioning ahead of the State of the Union address by President Donald Trump.

While the asset has since retraced slightly to trade near $65,500, according to CoinGecko, the move signals a potential localized bottom as traders digest the administration’s economic messaging amidst a broader equity rally.

Key Takeaways

  • The Catalyst: Trump’s claims of “plummeting inflation” and economic turnaround fueled a 3.5% relief rally across risk assets.
  • The Level: Bitcoin rejected immediate resistance at $66,000 but held support above $64,500, creating a tight consolidation range.
  • The Setup: Traders are eyeing Nvidia earnings Wednesday as the critical volume trigger to confirm or invalidate the bounce.

Trump Address Fuels Risk-On Rotation into Bitcoin

The immediate catalyst for the price action was the State of the Union address, where President Trump framed his first year back in office as an economic “turnaround for the ages.”

By highlighting falling mortgage rates and a 1.7% decline in core inflation over the last three months of 2025, the address provided a macro tailwind for risk assets that had been battered by regulatory uncertainty.

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Markets reacted favorably to the pledge that the U.S. economy would “never go back” to previous policies, spurring a relief bounce that saw Bitcoin climb from approximately $64,000 to peak at $66,000 just before the 9 pm ET speech.

This reaction starkly contrasts with earlier volatility, where Bitcoin price fell below $65k on Trump tariff risk-off fears, highlighting the market’s extreme sensitivity to fiscal signaling.

Post-Trump Address: Can Bitcoin Bulls Defend $64,500?

Bitcoin’s rejection at $66,000 has left price action in a precarious consolidation zone. The asset is currently trading up about 3.7% on the day, but the inability to close a 4-hour candle above $66,500 suggests buy-side exhaustion is still present.

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Bitcoin Rises as Markets Price State of the Union Trump Address
Source: TradingView

Support is forming firmly at $64,500. If that slips, it gives weight to claims by Polymarket and CryptoQuant that $55,000 may be the next local bottom.

Recent data shows that $370M in liquidations were required to defend the $60k level earlier this week, indicating that deep support exists lower down, but bulls cannot afford another tests of those lows if the recovery narrative is to hold.

Three metrics are currently flashing capitulation-level readings, with Bitcoin still down nearly 50% from its October 2025 ATH. While short-term engagement has increased, the lack of follow-through volume at $66,000 remains a concern for technical traders looking for a trend reversal.

Discover: Best meme coins To Buy Now

Risk Sentiment and Nvidia Correlation

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The broader market context suggests Bitcoin is once again trading in high correlation with equities. Asian stocks rallied overnight, and markets are optimistic ahead of Nvidia’s earnings report due Wednesday.

This tech-led optimism has spilled over into crypto, specifically benefiting altcoins a little more than Bitcoin, like Solana, which is up 8% in the last 24 hours, and Chainlink, which rose 5% in the same period.

However, institutional flows tell a more cautious story. Recent ETF outflows signal institutional caution, with smart money hesitating to deploy capital aggressively until a clear break above structural resistance occurs.

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If Nvidia earnings disappoint, the risk-off rotation could drag Bitcoin back toward the $63,000 range regardless of Trump’s fiscal promises.

Discover: Top crypto for portfolio diversification

What Happens Next?

Traders must watch two specific levels in the next 24 hours. For the bullish rebound to sustain, Bitcoin needs to reclaim $67,500 to confirm a break from the local downtrend. A close above this level opens the path to $70,000.

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Conversely, a breakdown below $64,000 invalidates the post-speech bounce. Market sentiment remains fragile; currently, Polymarket odds show traders pricing in a potential drop to $55k if macro headwinds persist. Until $67,500 is reclaimed, the trend favors the bears.

The post Bitcoin Rises as Markets Price State of the Union Trump Address appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Polymarket to rebuild engine, launch native dollar stablecoin

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Polymarket banned in Argentina after regulatory probe

Polymarket will rebuild its core engine, introduce a hybrid CLOB, and launch Polymarket USD, a USDC‑backed stablecoin on Polygon aimed at cheaper, more institution‑friendly trading.

Summary

  • Prediction market Polymarket plans its “largest infrastructure upgrade” in the next 2–3 weeks, overhauling its matching engine and smart contracts.
  • The upgrade will introduce a new hybrid CLOB model and a native stablecoin, Polymarket USD, pegged 1:1 to USDC on Polygon.
  • The changes aim to cut gas costs, boost efficiency, and make the platform friendlier to institutions via EIP‑1271 and multi‑sig support.

On‑chain prediction market Polymarket will roll out what it calls “the largest infrastructure upgrade since its launch” in the coming 2–3 weeks, rebuilding its core trading engine and debuting a native dollar stablecoin, Polymarket USD, according to plans shared with The Block. The company said the overhaul will “completely reconstruct” its matching engine via a new CTF Exchange V2 smart‑contract system, while introducing a native stablecoin pegged 1:1 to USDC to replace the current bridged USDC.e on Polygon. Existing order books will be cleared during the migration, with Polymarket promising to give users at least one week’s notice before maintenance begins.

At the heart of the upgrade is a redesigned Central Limit Order Book that uses a hybrid model of off‑chain order matching combined with on‑chain, non‑custodial settlement. In technical documentation for its CTF Exchange, Polymarket describes the architecture as a “hybrid‑decentralized model” where an operator handles off‑chain matching while settlement remains on‑chain, a setup it says optimizes “performance and security” for high‑volume event markets. The Block reports that CTF Exchange V2 will introduce new matching logic and order‑data structures intended to improve matching efficiency and reduce gas costs for traders.

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Polymarket has grown into one of the largest fully on‑chain prediction venues, recently drawing hundreds of millions of dollars in liquidity and a $600 million strategic investment from Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) as part of a broader bet on decentralized betting markets. ICE said its combined $1.6 billion of direct and secondary investment is not expected to be material to its financial results but positions the exchange operator as a key backer in what it calls a “David and Goliath battle” to bring prediction markets into the financial mainstream.

On the asset side, Polymarket USD formalizes a shift already underway in partnership with Circle to move from bridged USDC.e to native USDC on Polygon for all trading, order placement, and settlement. Circle has said native USDC, redeemable 1:1 for US dollars through its regulated entities, offers a “capital‑efficient” and more secure alternative to bridged tokens by eliminating cross‑chain bridge risk and tying collateral directly to its reserves. In line with that, Polymarket USD will be pegged 1:1 to USDC and used as the core collateral across the platform, with deposits from networks such as Ethereum, Solana, Arbitrum, and Base automatically converted into the new stablecoin on Polygon.

Polymarket will also add support for the EIP‑1271 (ERC‑1271) standard, allowing smart‑contract wallets such as Safe to validate signatures and trade directly, a move aimed at “expanding use cases for institutions and advanced users.” EIP‑1271 lets contracts define an isValidSignature method with arbitrary logic, making it easier for DAOs, funds, and multi‑sig setups to participate in non‑custodial markets without relying on externally owned accounts. The upgrade comes as competition in prediction markets intensifies, with Polymarket using performance, native dollar liquidity, and institutional‑grade wallet support to defend its lead in what it brands “The World’s Largest Prediction Market.”

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Bitcoin Profit Takers Keep BTC Price Action Away From $70,000 Reclaim

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Bitcoin Profit Takers Keep BTC Price Action Away From $70,000 Reclaim

Bitcoin found familiar resistance as it crossed the $70,000 mark to hit new April highs, with analysis blaming “profit-taking pressure.”

Bitcoin (BTC) coiled below $70,000 at Monday’s Wall Street open as analysis blamed profit taking for price inertia.

Key points:

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  • Bitcoin and stocks wobble as the US trading session begins amid nerves over the US-Iran war outcome.

  • Profit taking activity is keeping BTC price action away from a $70,000 reclaim, says research.

  • A Trader says $71,000 will act as fuel for a surge $10,000 higher.

BTC price meets “profit-taking pressure”

Data from TradingView showed BTC price action consolidating after hitting new April highs of $70,275 on Bitstamp.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

Market nerves over the US-Iran war resulted in uncertain trading, with US stocks treading water at the open.

Speaking to the media at a military event, US President Donald Trump reiterated earlier comments that Iran would “have no bridges” and “no power plants” unless a deal was reached.

“I won’t go further because there are other things that are worse than those two,” he told reporters.

Trump previously stated that the deadline for a deal was 8pm Eastern time on Tuesday.

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With price pinned below the $70,000 mark, onchain analytics platform Glassnode pointed to internal market forces as the reason for the lack of continuation higher.

“As price probed the $70K region, Realized Profit/hour spiked above $20M, signalling a local exhaustion,” it noted in a post on X

“A pattern consistent since February 2026: Every approach to the $70k–$80K band meets thin liquidity and profit-taking pressure, capping the bounce.”

Bitcoin realized profit chart. Source: Glassnode/X

Pseudonymous trader LP added that Mondays and Thursdays had seen the upper and lower end of the week’s trading range throughout 2026.

“Price pushed higher into Monday, increasing the probability of this pivot forming a weekly high. If the correlation continues to play out, this would suggest Thursday forms the low of the week,” they told X followers. 

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“Watch price action closely today and tomorrow, it will confirm whether this intra-week pivot resolved as a high or a low.”

BTC price chart. Source: LP/X

Bitcoin trader eyes $71,000 springboard

Continuing, crypto trader Michaël Van de Poppe said the line in sand for bears lay slightly higher than Monday’s current peak.

Related: First real bull signal since 2025? Five things to know in Bitcoin this week

“Pretty strong momentum on the markets of Bitcoin,” he wrote on X about the initial move to $70,000. 

“Volatility picking up, and I think it’s fireworks during this week as we might be getting to the end stage of the entire situation in the Strait of Hormuz. If Bitcoin breaks $71K, then markets are in for a test at $80K.”

BTC/USDT one-day chart. Source: Michaël Van de Poppe

Van de Poppe further cautioned on following blanket market consensus over new lows coming next.

“Given that all the markets are so oversold at this point, all on-chain indicators are looking overextended and are at similar levels to the bottom areas in 2018, 2020 and 2022, I wouldn’t be surprised that we’re getting a relief run that’s going to turn the sentiment quickly,” he concluded.