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Crypto World

BTC price hits a wall at $75,000 while onchain energy markets run hot: Crypto Daybook Americas

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By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise)

While bitcoin’s price rise since the Iran conflict began more than two weeks ago is impressive, the performance of Hyperliquid is even more notable.

Users of the decentralized perpetuals exchange have traded millions in commodity futures, particularly those tied to oil, highlighting the utility of blockchain-based markets in price discovery when traditional markets are closed.

That trend looks set to continue as industry pundits grow increasingly bullish on commodities, especially energy.

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Energy contracts – particularly refined products such as heating oil and gasoline – exhibit stronger expected Sharpe ratios, tighter physical markets, and supportive term structures,” Prometheus Research said

The Iran conflict has already driven gains in commodity ETFs, and Mining.com predicts a lasting impact on key metals, including nickel and other critical minerals.

All this suggests onchain commodity markets could siphon capital away from bitcoin and various parts of the crypto market. Booming AI stocks supposedly did that in 2024-25, limiting gains in the largest cryptocurrency.

Another tail risk: Economists are predicting an increase in inflation due to the oil price rally, which could prompt central banks to proceed cautiously with interest-rate cuts, further weighing on risk assets. Remember, the Fed is due to announce its rate decision tomorrow.

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So while BTC looks buoyant, rapid gains may not come easily. Prices briefly topped $75,000 earlier Tuesday on the back of short-covering in futures and options markets.

“When you pair that heavily hedged options market with the persistently negative perpetual funding rates we saw over the last couple of weeks, it became clear the market was heavily skewed — hedged, short, and under-owned,” Monarq Asset Management told CoinDesk.

The breakout, however, was short-lived. Prices slipped back below $74,000, dragging down the CoinDesk 20 Index and major tokens such as ether (ETH), XRP (XRP) and solana (SOL). Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures fell, signaling renewed risk aversion in traditional markets. Stay alert!

Read more: For analysis of today’s activity in altcoins and derivatives, see Crypto Markets Today

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What to Watch

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

  • Crypto
    • March 17: Lava Network (LAVA) to expand with 17 new chain integrations and nine new blockchain ecosystems.
  • Macro
    • March 17, 10 a.m.: U.S. Pending Home Sales MoM for February (Prev. -0.8%)
  • Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data)
    • March 17: CEA Industries (BNC), post-market, $0.69

Token Events

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

  • Governance votes & calls
    • March 17: Mantle (MNT) to host State of Mind Ep. 07, discussing CeDeFi milestones and DeFi strategies.
    • March 17: OKX to host an X Spaces session on agent states featuring representatives from Uniswap, Dune and Alchemy.
    • Decentraland DAO is voting on whether to allow registered users to customize the color of their avatar name tag, and to add a more accessible volume slider to the UI sidebar. Voting ends March 16 and 17.
    • Convex Finance is voting on Curve and Frax gauge weight allocations for the week of March 12, directing vlCVX voting power across hundreds of liquidity pools. It’s also voting on FXN gauge weight allocations for the same period. Voting ends March 17.
    • Aavegotchi DAO is voting to finalize its 2026–2027 Multi-Sig Signers election, preserving the 5-of-9 threshold and setting quarterly signer compensation. Voting ends March 17.
    • Aavegotchi DAO is running Ballot 3 to elect seven of the remaining 10 nominees as Multi-Sig Signers, completing the nine-signer roster for the DAO Foundation wallet. Voting ends March 17.
    • Aura Finance is voting on Balancer gauge weight allocations for the week of March 12, directing vlAURA voting power across Balancer pools on Ethereum, Arbitrum, Optimism, Gnosis, Base, and Avalanche. Voting ends March 17.
    • ShapeShift DAO is voting on establishing and funding a new International UX Workstream for six months to maintain professional multilingual translations of the ShapeShift app and website. Voting ends March 17.
  • Unlocks
  • Token Launches

Conferences

For a more comprehensive list of events this week, see CoinDesk’s “Crypto Week Ahead“.

Market Movements

  • BTC is down 0.28% from 4 p.m. ET Monday at $73,668.91 (24hrs: +0.22%)
  • ETH is down 1.25% at $2,307.46 (24hrs: +1.76%)
  • CoinDesk 20 is down 0.96% at 2,147.86 (24hrs: +0.75%)
  • Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is up 7 bps at 2.81%
  • BTC funding rate is at -0.0054% (-5.9042% annualized) on Binance
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  • DXY is up 0.09% at 99.80
  • Gold futures are up 0.03% at $5,003.80
  • Silver futures are down 0.61% at $80.19
  • Nikkei 225 closed unchanged at 53,700.39
  • Hang Seng closed up 0.13% at 25,868.54
  • FTSE 100 is up 0.54% at 10,373.64
  • Euro Stoxx 50 is up 0.45% at 5,764.94
  • DJIA closed on Monday up 0.83% at 46,946.41
  • S&P 500 closed up 1.01% at 6,699.38
  • Nasdaq Composite closed up 1.22% at 22,374.18
  • S&P/TSX Composite closed up 1.03% at 32,876.65
  • S&P 40 Latin America closed down 0.32% at 3,607.58
  • U.S. 10-Year Treasury rate is down 7 bps at 4.22%
  • E-mini S&P 500 futures are up 0.61% at 6,745.75
  • E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are up 0.66% at 24,839.25
  • E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 0.59% at 47,261.00

Bitcoin Stats

  • BTC Dominance: 59.06% (-0.17%)
  • Ether-bitcoin ratio: 0.0313 (-0.39%)
  • Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 935 EH/s
  • Hashprice (spot): $32.42
  • Total fees: 2.54 BTC / $187,439
  • CME Futures Open Interest: 115,130 BTC
  • BTC priced in gold: 14.8 oz.
  • BTC vs gold market cap: 4.93%

Technical Analysis

Daily swings int he ether-bitcoin ratio in candlestick format. (TradingView)
The ETH/BTC ratio’s consolidation has ended bullishly. (TradingView)
  • The chart shows daily swings in the ether-bitcoin ratio in candlestick format since November.
  • The ratio surged 5% Monday, breaking out of a prolonged trend of choppy price action.
  • The so-called bullish breakout suggests potential for continued ether outperformance ahead.

Crypto Equities

  • Coinbase Global (COIN): closed on Monday at $203.32 (+3.98%), +0.33% at $204.00 in pre-market
  • Circle Internet Group (CRCL): closed at $125.83 (+9.06%), +0.79% at $126.82
  • Galaxy Digital (GLXY): closed at $23.10 (+3.36%), unchanged
  • MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $9.23 (–0.97%), +0.11% at $9.24
  • Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $14.40 (+2.56%), +0.21% at $14.43
  • Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $16.97 (+2.91%), –0.41% at $16.90
  • CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $10.02 (+2.66%), +0.50% at $10.07
  • Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $9.32 (+3.90%)
  • CoinShares Bitcoin Mining ETF (WGMI): closed at $40.45 (+5.68%), unchanged
  • Bullish (BLSH): closed at $39.62 (+8.19%), –1.29% at $39.11

Crypto Treasury Companies

  • Strategy (MSTR): closed at $147.52 (+5.62%), –0.83% at $146.3
  • Strive (ASST): closed at $10.86 (+13.96%), unchanged
  • SharpLink Gaming (SBET): closed at $8.20 (+8.90%), +0.49% at $8.24
  • Upexi (UPXI): closed at $1.08 (–2.70%), +4.63% at $1.13
  • Lite Strategy (LITS): closed at $1.25 (+5.93%)

ETF Flows

Spot BTC ETFs

  • Daily net flows: $199.4 million
  • Cumulative net flows: $56.31 billion
  • Total BTC holdings ~ 1.29 million

Spot ETH ETFs

  • Daily net flows: $35.9 million
  • Cumulative net flows: $11.86 billion
  • Total ETH holdings ~ 5.74 million

Source: Farside Investors

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Crypto World

Stablecoins to Replace Old FX Rails, but Off-Ramps Remain a Chokepoint

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Stablecoins to Replace Old FX Rails, but Off-Ramps Remain a Chokepoint

Stablecoins are gaining traction in high-cost cross-border payment corridors in emerging markets as they reduce some of the inefficiencies of legacy foreign exchange (FX) infrastructure, according to research firm Delphi Digital.

Stablecoins are emerging as the cheapest alternative to move US dollars in emerging economies due to the high costs of legacy FX corridors, which can reach up to 8% in combined fees when sending money to Argentina or Nigeria. 

Delphi said in a Monday article on X that 81% of the cost in those corridors comes from servicing the underlying banking infrastructure, which it argues gives stablecoin rails a structural advantage.

“Stablecoin rails eliminate most of what makes these corridors expensive to operate.”

“Settlement is atomic, so pre-funded liquidity sitting idle in local currencies is no longer necessary,” Delphi said, adding that volume thresholds and intermediary chains also become obsolete as stablecoins settle directly against the US dollar.

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Related: Yield-bearing stablecoins surge as Washington fights over yield

Delphi’s prediction highlights the real-world impact of stablecoins in emerging markets, where locals use them to cut remittance costs to pennies or send instant transactions, bypassing legacy banking infrastructure. 

Source: Delphi Digital

Off-ramps remain a chokepoint for stablecoin adoption

Off-ramps, such as access to bank accounts or interbank rails, remain a significant chokepoint when value needs to move between onchain and legacy environments, according to the company.

Source: Delphi Digital

Most of the “friction” lies outside the blockchain, they said. While stablecoin minting and burning settle in seconds, bank wires feeding into these systems add significant delays due to batch processing schedules.

“Closing the gap is as much a regulatory problem as a technical one.”

The company added that stablecoins won’t replace the major FX corridors overnight, but the ones in emerging markets where “infrastructure costs dwarf currency risk and banks have largely given up on competing.”

Related: Stablecoin payments startup Kast raises $80M at $600M valuation: Report

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Stablecoin supply on the rise despite falling crypto prices

Despite falling cryptocurrency valuations, the stablecoin supply rose 2.5% during the past month, from $308 billion on Feb. 17 to $316 billion as of Tuesday, according to DeFiLlama.

Delphi said emerging markets remain one of the clearest sources of stablecoin demand, particularly where users need cheaper access to dollar liquidity and cross-border transfers.

Total stablecoin supply, all-time chart. Source: DeFiLlama

Investment companies continue pouring capital into stablecoin payment providers. On Tuesday, Singapore-based digital payment company Dtcpay raised $10 million in a Series A funding round led by investment firm Vertex Ventures Southeast Asia & India to fuel the expansion of its compliant stablecoin-based payment network.