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California Governor Odds: Becerra Leads as Primary Day Nears

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The California governor prediction market odds favored Xavier Becerra before voting, with Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer also in contention.

Prediction markets and polling odds pointed toward Xavier Becerra as the leading candidate in California crowded governor primary ahead of the vote. In Kalshi pricing published on primary day, Becerra was the favorite both to advance from the top-two primary and to win the governor’s race.

With only hours remaining before polls closed, Kalshi’s primary-advancer market placed Becerra at 95% to move on to the general election. Republican Steve Hilton was priced at 4%.

Recent surveys also put Becerra in front, though the order behind him varied. An Emerson College poll cited by Kalshi showed Becerra at 28%, Steyer at 22%, and Hilton at 21%. The Berkeley Institute of Governmental Studies placed Becerra at 25%, Hilton at 21%, and Steyer at 19%, while a Public Policy Institute of California poll showed Becerra at 23%, Hilton at 20%, and Steyer at 15%.

The California governor prediction market odds favored Xavier Becerra before voting, with Steve Hilton and Tom Steyer also in contention.
Kalshi

A separate report published before the primary described polling at 23% for Becerra and 20% for Hilton. It characterized the race as crowded, while identifying Becerra as the Democrat most likely to lead the field and Hilton as the Republican with the clearest route through the primary.

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California Governor Odds: Race Reshaped by a Changing Field

Kalshi reported that Becerra had entered the race polling at 5% and trading at less than 1% on its governor market in early April. The article linked his subsequent rise to Eric Swalwell’s departure from the contest and to setbacks affecting several other candidates.

Steyer remained a significant factor before the vote. Kalshi cited CalMatters reporting that he had heavily financed his campaign to a total of $200 million, including spending on social media influencers. Late primary-day movement also lifted Steyer from 33% to 40% in Kalshi’s advancers market before the article’s stated 39% takeaway figure.

Tom Steyer standing with a woman and supporters holding Tom Steyer for Governor campaign signs.
Tom Steyer campaigns for Governor of California.

Hilton’s campaign had the endorsement of President Donald Trump. Kalshi, citing The New York Times, reported that the endorsement may have hurt Hilton’s chances in California.

Prediction-market prices reflect trading at a particular time and can change as polling, campaign developments and voting information evolve. The June 2 Kalshi figures showed traders favoring Becerra, but they did not establish a final election outcome.

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XRP Price Prediction: Can $1 Be Reclaimed This Week?

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XRP Price Prediction: Can $1 Be Reclaimed This Week?

XRP price prediction has it trading at $0.9956, down -0.3% over the past 24 hours after swinging between $0.9897 and $1.0044, a range tight enough to make even patient bulls nervous. The token’s remarkable 635-session streak of closing above $1 nearly snapped twice this month, and today’s print puts it right back on the edge. What happens if that streak finally breaks?

A bridge exploit that drained roughly $200,000 via a connection between the TX Chain and XRP Ledger briefly pushed XRP under $1 on August 11 and again on August 14.

Buyers stepped in both times before the daily close, but the technical damage lingers: XRP’s 50-day EMA now sits below its 200-day EMA, a death cross that confirms sellers have controlled the short to medium-term trend for weeks.

Meanwhile, Wall Street posted a completely different Monday, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hovering near highs on AI-driven momentum, a divergence that’s left crypto looking increasingly isolated from broader risk appetite.

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Institutional flows tell a more nuanced story, though: recent XRP ETF activity from major players like Jane Street suggests some smart money isn’t fully bailing on the setup, even as retail sentiment sours.

XRP Price Prediction: Can Ripple Hit $1.06 This Week?

At $0.9956, XRP sits almost exactly on its most contested psychological level in a year. The $1.00 zone has functioned as the primary demand area since November 2024, and price has spent most of August oscillating between $1.00 and $1.18, with no decisive break in either direction. Bollinger lower bands cluster around $0.99–$1.01, reinforcing that this is where buyers have consistently shown up.

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Bull case: A reclaim of $1.04–$1.06 opens the door to the 50-day EMA zone near $1.09–$1.11, with $1.18 as the next real test.

Base case: continued chop between $0.99 and $1.06 as the market waits for a catalyst.

Bear case: a clean daily close below $1.00 invalidates the floor entirely, with FXLeaders analysis pointing toward $0.80 as the next technical magnet.

Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse’s appearance at the Wyoming Blockchain Symposium adds a wildcard; any regulatory clarity commentary could move price fast in either direction.

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Traders watching for confirmation should track whether XRP can close above $1.06 on volume before committing to the bull thesis; some analysts have also floated more aggressive 2026 targets, citing whale accumulation and shrinking exchange supply.

Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early Mover Upside as XRP Tests Key Levels

XRP price prediction shows a death cross on the chart and repeated sub-$1 scares, which isn’t confidence-inspiring for anyone holding through this chop. A token that’s already spent two years compounding needs a genuinely new catalyst to break its current range.

And even a clean bounce to $1.18 only recovers ground lost; it doesn’t create new upside. That’s the math pushing traders toward earlier-stage infrastructure plays where the ceiling isn’t already priced in.

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Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is positioning itself as the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with full SVM integration, aiming to process transactions faster than Solana itself while inheriting Bitcoin’s underlying security.

The presale has raised $33,032,316.79 at a current token price of $0.0136848, with staking rewards offered at a high APY (exact rate undisclosed).

Its Decentralized Canonical Bridge targets one of Bitcoin’s core limitations, the total absence of programmable smart contracts, without routing through custodial intermediaries.

Visit the Bitcoin Hyper Presale Website Here.

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This article is not financial advice. Crypto markets are highly volatile and unpredictable. Always conduct independent research before making investment decisions.

The post XRP Price Prediction: Can $1 Be Reclaimed This Week? appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Cash App taps MoonPay to give 50 million users access to broader crypto markets

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Cash App taps MoonPay to give 50 million users access to broader crypto markets

Cash App’s cryptocurrency service is extending beyond bitcoin and stablecoin USDC for the first time by being added to crypto payments platform MoonPay.

This means eligible U.S. Cash App users will be able to use their balances to purchase a host of other digital assets offered by MoonPay, including ether , solana (SOL), XRP and the largest stablecoin, USDT.

Users will also be able to fund wallets on MoonPay through their Cash App balances, including Ledger, BitPay, Trust Wallet, MetaMask and Uniswap, among others.

Cash App, the mobile payment service developed by Jack Dorsey’s fintech company Block (XYZ), is one of the premier mainstream gateways into cryptocurrency, given its customer base of over 50 million users.

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The gateway has, however, historically been open only for bitcoin purchases. Cash App added support for USDC, the second-largest stablecoin by market cap, earlier this year.

Bitcoin maximalist Dorsey said he didn’t like supporting stablecoins, but Cash App’s “customers want to use them.”

“I don’t think it’s wise to go from one gatekeeper to another,” he said in March.

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South Korea moves to block Polymarket over gambling concerns

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South Korea moves to block Polymarket over gambling concerns

South Korea moves to block Polymarket over gambling concerns

The Korea Media and Communications Commission said Polymarket’s structure and operations amount to illegal gambling despite its noncustodial design and smart contracts.

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Visa looking for new stablecoin settlement partner after BVNK sale to Mastercard

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Stablecoin trading volume is on track to smash records in 2026

Visa is looking for a new stablecoin settlement partner with licensing capabilities across multiple regions, according to documents seen by CoinDesk. This would fill the role previously held by BVNK, the stablecoin firm acquired by Mastercard earlier this year.

Visa’s request for product (RFP) talks about the ability to swap and support a range of stablecoins, as well as handle settlement for the newly introduced Open USD stablecoin project, fronted by Stripe, Visa and Mastercard, which plans to support multiple stablecoins.

The need for a stablecoin partner licensed in all major markets means the scope of potential partners has narrowed somewhat, Visa said. The payments giant said it is looking at one settlement and an over-the-counter (OTC) partner in particular, with cryptocurrency exchange licenses in the U.S., Canada, the UK and Singapore.

The stablecoin race hasn’t slowed down despite a flat bearish market persisting across the rest of the crypto industry. As such, stablecoins have become a focal point for the large card networks and payments players. The total stablecoin market cap is about $300 billion, according to CoinGecko data.

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Ethereum price trapped below $1,920, is $2,000 next?

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Ethereum daily chart shows ETH near $1,905 inside a tightening symmetrical triangle, with weak Aroon momentum and slightly negative CMF.

Ethereum price traded near $1,905 on Aug. 18 as tightening daily and 4-hour ranges placed the $1,920 resistance level at the center of its next major move.

Summary

  • Ethereum price has formed a symmetrical triangle between roughly $1,850 and $1,930.
  • A 4-hour close above $1,909 could expose the stronger $1,920 resistance level.
  • Liquidation clusters are concentrated near $1,925–$1,930 and below $1,890.
  • Analysts see $2,000 as the next target if Ether breaks its current range.

Ethereum price tightens inside a symmetrical triangle

According to data from crypto.news, Ethereum (ETH) price was trading at $1,904.89 after moving between an intraday low of $1,885.78 and a high of $1,914.38. The price was down about 0.5% on the day but remained inside the narrow range established since late July.

Ether’s recent lower highs and higher lows have created a symmetrical triangle on the daily chart. The upper trendline has fallen from near $1,980 toward $1,920, while the lower boundary has risen from around $1,800 toward $1,880.

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Ethereum daily chart shows ETH near $1,905 inside a tightening symmetrical triangle, with weak Aroon momentum and slightly negative CMF.
Ethereum price daily chart — Aug. 18 | Source: crypto.news

Price has now moved close to the triangle’s apex, where shrinking space between the two boundaries typically precedes a wider move. The formation remains neutral until ETH closes outside either trendline, meaning confirmation matters more than intraday movement within the pattern.

Momentum readings have not yet provided a clear directional signal. The daily Aroon readings were weak, with one line at 21.43% and the other at 0%, reflecting a lack of a strong recent high or low.

Chaikin Money Flow stood at -0.03, slightly below the neutral line. The reading shows that selling pressure has a small advantage, but the figure is not low enough to confirm strong capital flight.

Ether’s inability to break higher comes as large holders reportedly sold around $3 billion in ETH since Aug. 10. Decentralized exchange trading volume has also contracted by about 42% over recent months, while a negative Coinbase Premium Index has pointed to weak demand from US-based buyers.

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4-hour chart puts $1,909 and $1,870 in focus

The 4-hour chart shows a more immediate battle between Supertrend resistance at $1,908.59 and support at $1,869.92. Ether briefly traded above $1,905 but had not secured a candle close over the upper Supertrend level at the time of the chart.

Ethereum 4-hour chart shows ETH testing Supertrend resistance at $1,909, with support near $1,870 and cooling Stochastic RSI momentum.
Ethereum price 4-hour chart — Aug. 18 | Source: crypto.news

A confirmed move above $1,909 would weaken the short-term bearish signal and bring $1,920 into view. ETH has repeatedly struggled between $1,915 and $1,930, making that area the first meaningful test for buyers.

The Stochastic RSI has also turned lower after approaching overbought territory. Its two lines stood at 46.26 and 57.38, with the faster line below the slower one. The crossover shows that short-term momentum cooled during the latest push toward resistance.

However, the oscillator remains near the center of its range rather than in oversold territory. Bulls could regain momentum without requiring a deeper reset if ETH holds above $1,890 and breaks through $1,909.

Failure to clear the Supertrend barrier would keep the price exposed to $1,890, followed by the $1,870 support line. A 4-hour close below $1,870 would weaken the sequence of higher lows and shift attention toward $1,850.

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Ethereum liquidation map points to $1,925

CoinGlass’ three-day liquidation heatmap shows the largest nearby concentration of leveraged positions above the market between roughly $1,925 and $1,930. Additional liquidity appears around $1,940–$1,950 and close to $1,980.

Ethereum three-day liquidation heatmap shows major liquidity clusters around $1,925–$1,930 above price and $1,870–$1,890 below.
Ethereum liquidation heatmap | Source: CoinGlass

A move through $1,920 could force short positions to close around the first cluster. Such liquidations may add market buying and help ETH accelerate toward the $1,940–$1,950 region.

The downside also contains several active liquidity zones. The closest cluster sits around $1,885–$1,890, followed by stronger concentrations near $1,870 and $1,860.

Price briefly moved into the $1,885 region earlier on Aug. 18 before recovering above $1,900. The rebound suggests buyers remain active near the lower liquidation band, although repeated tests could weaken that defense.

A sweep below $1,885 could therefore pull ETH toward $1,870, which aligns with the 4-hour Supertrend support. The overlap between technical support and liquidation liquidity makes $1,870 the main short-term invalidation level for the bullish setup.

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Analysts target $2,000 after a $1,920 breakout

Analyst Michaël van de Poppe said Ethereum remained stuck in a range and had not matched Bitcoin’s larger move. He identified $1,920 as the resistance level that could unlock a stronger advance.

“However, once it cracks through the resistance at $1,920 I would assume we’re going to see a big move happening towards $2,000 here.”

His target matches the daily chart, where the psychological $2,000 level sits above the triangle and recent swing highs. ETH would first need to clear the supply zone between $1,920 and $1,950 before testing that target.

Analyst Ted Pillows presented a longer-term threshold, arguing that a weekly close above $2,500 would confirm that Ethereum’s bear market had ended. Such a close would allow ETH to reclaim its 200-week simple and exponential moving averages, according to his chart.

The $2,500 condition remains well above the current market and does not affect the immediate range. It instead shows that even a break above $2,000 would represent an early recovery step rather than confirmation of a full long-term trend reversal.

US flows remain a barrier for Ethereum

US-listed spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds recently recorded $2.26 million in net outflows, interrupting a multi-week inflow streak. The negative Coinbase premium also shows that US demand has not yet provided enough support to drive ETH through its current resistance.

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Investors are waiting for the upcoming Federal Reserve minutes after annual US inflation slowed to 3.4%. Any signal that policymakers are moving closer to lower interest rates could affect demand for risk assets, including Ether.

For now, Ethereum remains compressed between nearby liquidity on both sides of the market. A sustained break above $1,920 would favor a move toward $1,950 and $2,000, while rejection followed by a loss of $1,870 would expose $1,850 and potentially $1,800.

Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.

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Hyperliquid (HYPE) Leads the Top 10 in August, Yet Smart Money is Short

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August Month-To-Date Performance of the Top 10 Crypto Assets Excluding Stablecoins

Hyperliquid (HYPE) price has gained 13.99% in August, making it the strongest performer among the top 10 crypto assets this month. 

However, exchange-traded fund flows, large holder activity, and derivatives positioning now point in different directions.

HYPE Outpaces Bitcoin and Ethereum as ETF Demand Slows

CryptoRank data show HYPE up 13.99% for the month. This runs roughly 3.3 times Solana’s (SOL) 4.26% gain and 6.8 times Bitcoin’s (BTC) 2.07% uptick.

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August Month-To-Date Performance of the Top 10 Crypto Assets Excluding Stablecoins
August Month-To-Date Performance of the Top 10 Crypto Assets Excluding Stablecoins. Source: BeInCrypto/CryptoRank

XRP (XRP) is the only major asset in the red, down 5.98%. It has spent the month trailing its major peers while large holders kept buying.

The latest gain comes after a period of decline. HYPE fell 21.94% from its record high until early August, before rebounding. A 13.99% gain off a 21.94% drawdown still leaves the token short of its prior mark.

Meanwhile, institutional demand has yet to return in any sustained form. SoSoValue data shows that HYPE ETFs saw three consecutive weeks of outflows through July 31. 

Flows turned positive in the first two weeks of August. The recovery has since stalled, with no new inflows recorded since August 10.

Holders Show Mixed Behavior

Large holders moved in both directions this month. On-chain trackers recorded several wallets buying while others sold.

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A wallet linked to Maven11 Capital withdrew 202,705 HYPE from OKX last week. Monetalis-linked wallets sold 3.72 million Uniswap (UNI) via Cumberland and bought 171,543 HYPE, worth $9.56 million, over the weekend.

Selling ran in parallel. One whale sold 923,743 HYPE worth $53.02 million last week. 

“HyperLabs unlocked another 433,025 HYPE ($23.46M) and has been gradually depositing the tokens into exchanges, including Flowdesk and OKX, likely to sell,” Lookonchain reported in early August.

Sophisticated Traders Lean Short 

Derivatives positioning leans the other way. Nansen data show whales, smart traders, and public figures all net short. Funding stands at 0.00125% per hour, near 10.95% annualized, so longs currently pay shorts. 

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Spot flows offer no tiebreaker. Nansen recorded $5.7 million in HYPE leaving exchanges over seven days, alongside heavy accumulation on centralized exchanges and over-the-counter across 30 days. 

Each dataset answers a different question, and none confirms the others. Renewed ETF creations would show institutional buyers returning. A shift in the whale cohort to net long would signal the same from derivatives. Neither has happened yet.

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The post Hyperliquid (HYPE) Leads the Top 10 in August, Yet Smart Money is Short appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Chainlink pauses near $9.56 as ETF inflows support breakout hopes

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Chainlink pauses near $9.56 as ETF inflows support breakout hopes

Key takeaways

  • Chainlink trades around $9.42 after gaining more than 14% last week.
  • A long-to-short ratio of 0.76 and negative funding point to weakening derivatives sentiment.
  • Spot LINK ETFs attracted $2.07 million on Monday, their largest daily inflow since July 22.
  • Losing support at $9.39 could trigger a pullback toward $8.94 and the $8.60–$8.50 region.

Chainlink (LINK) is struggling to overcome resistance near $9.56 on Tuesday, pausing after rallying more than 14% during the previous week.

Weakening derivatives indicators suggest that bullish momentum may be losing strength. However, renewed institutional demand through spot LINK exchange-traded funds could support another attempt to move higher.

Derivatives traders adopt a bearish stance

CoinGlass data shows early signs of weakening sentiment in Chainlink’s derivatives market.

LINK’s long-to-short ratio stands at 0.90 on Tuesday, close to its lowest level in a month. A reading below one indicates that short positions outnumber long positions, suggesting more traders expect the price to decline.

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Chainlink’s funding rate also turned negative, falling to minus 0.0050%. Negative funding means short-position holders are paying traders with long exposure, reflecting a bearish imbalance in the perpetual futures market.

Together, the indicators suggest that derivatives traders are becoming more cautious after LINK’s double-digit weekly rally.

However, heavily bearish positioning could also increase the possibility of a short squeeze if Chainlink breaks through its nearby resistance levels.

Institutional demand showed improvement at the beginning of the week. Data from SoSoValue shows that spot Chainlink ETFs recorded $2.07 million in net inflows on Monday. This represented the products’ largest single-day inflow since July 22.

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The increase suggests that institutional investors are rebuilding exposure to LINK following its recent recovery.

Continued ETF inflows could help absorb profit-taking and provide the demand needed for Chainlink to overcome the 200-day Exponential Moving Average. However, a single day of positive flows is insufficient to establish a lasting trend.

A sustained series of inflows throughout the week would provide stronger confirmation of renewed institutional interest.

Chainlink price outlook: LINK tests the 200-day EMA

Chainlink trades around $9.42 on Tuesday and remains above its 50-day and 100-day EMAs, positioned at $8.50 and $8.60, respectively.

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Holding above these moving averages supports a mildly bullish medium-term outlook. However, LINK remains below the 200-day EMA at $9.56, which is limiting the current recovery.

The token has reclaimed the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at $9.39, establishing this level as immediate support.

Momentum indicators remain constructive but show that LINK may be approaching stretched conditions. The Relative Strength Index is near 67, just below the overbought threshold of 70, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence indicator remains positive.

These readings suggest that buyers retain control but may encounter increasing resistance following last week’s sharp rally.

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A decisive daily close above the 200-day EMA at $9.56 would strengthen Chainlink’s bullish outlook and bring the horizontal resistance at $9.92 into focus.

LINK/USD 4H Chart

Clearing both barriers could allow LINK to test the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement at $10.04. Beyond that, the cycle-high region around $10.87 represents the next major bullish objective.

On the downside, the 61.8% Fibonacci level at $9.39 provides the first line of support. A break below this area could trigger a pullback toward the 50% retracement at $8.94.

Stronger support is concentrated between the 100-day EMA at $8.60 and the 50-day EMA at $8.50. Holding this zone would preserve the medium-term recovery structure, while a decisive breakdown could return control to sellers.

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How TIME and Statista Determined America’s Top Venture Capital Firms of 2026

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How TIME and Statista Determined America's Top Venture Capital Firms of 2026

To be considered, a firm must be headquartered in the United States and, as a core part of its business model, raise third-party capital and deploy it as direct venture capital funding to companies and startups across various venture stages and sectors. Firms whose investment activities are exclusively or predominantly focused on growth equity, private equity, fund-of-funds, venture debt, or similar non-VC-focused strategies are not eligible.

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Bitcoin $64.5K Rally Shows Low-Volume Liquidity Trap, Analysis Says

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin’s rally above $64,000 on Monday was accompanied by a sharp spike in derivative-driven risk events, with short liquidations reaching their highest level in nearly a month. The move pushed BTC to around $64,550 on Bitstamp, according to market charting referenced by Crypto news coverage.

On-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant linked the upswing to crowded short positioning and uneven funding rates across major exchanges—conditions that can force shorts to close rapidly and accelerate upward price moves. Even so, CryptoQuant and related reporting emphasized that weaker spot demand remains a key limitation for how long the rebound can last, especially after a week of net ETF outflows.

Key takeaways

  • CryptoQuant attributes Monday’s jump toward $64,500 to a short squeeze fueled by illiquid market conditions and funding-rate imbalances.
  • Total Bitcoin short liquidations amounted to 637 BTC on Monday, the largest single-day figure since July 21, per CryptoQuant data.
  • Funding rates shifted downward over 24 hours (from roughly 0.006% to 0.003%), which CryptoQuant says could enable additional squeezes if short exposure grows.
  • Despite the rally, both CryptoQuant’s commentary and earlier market coverage point to limited spot demand and ongoing ETF outflows as potential constraints.
  • Short-term holders appear to be defending resistance, with their cost basis cited around $68,700, based on UTXO age metrics referenced in related analysis.

Short liquidations surge as funding rates reset

After a weekly close that helped set up the rebound, BTC climbed roughly 3% on Monday, topping out near $64,550 on Bitstamp, with prices previously hovering around $62,750. CryptoQuant’s analysis focused on what it described as a “low-volume liquidity trap,” where thin liquidity can magnify the impact of derivative positioning.

CryptoQuant reported that, around $62,750, funding-rate dynamics began to diverge between exchanges. It highlighted that shorts dominated on several major venues, including Binance, Bybit, OKX, and Deribit, while HTX saw a brief spike in funding rates to 0.05%. Funding rates represent periodic payments between long and short positions in Bitcoin derivatives markets; the direction of the aggregate rate indicates whether longs are generally paying shorts or vice versa.

In CryptoQuant’s framing, this setup created the primary catalyst for Monday’s move: a crowded short book that became vulnerable as price rose and forced traders to unwind positions. The result was a liquidation event—short positions were closed at market prices, helping drive BTC higher.

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CryptoQuant data put total short liquidations at 637 BTC for Monday, described by the firm as the largest single-day total since July 21. That level of liquidations indicates that the rebound was not only a mild drift upward, but a fast repricing event concentrated in leveraged markets.

Why the next squeeze may depend on funding-rate direction

While Monday’s liquidation spike was notable, CryptoQuant cautioned that the broader pattern of funding-rate resets could still set the stage for more upside—though not necessarily in a smooth way. The firm pointed to a downward reset in funding rates over roughly 24 hours, from about 0.006% to 0.003%.

CryptoQuant suggested this kind of shift can coincide with traders increasing short exposure again, which—paired with thin liquidity—may create conditions where additional short squeezes occur if price continues to rise. In other words, the analysis implies the market is capable of repeating the same mechanism, but the trigger would still be whether leveraged positioning remains crowded and whether liquidity stays shallow.

For traders, this means the funding-rate trajectory matters as much as spot price levels. If funding rates continue to move lower while short exposure builds, the risk of another squeeze increases; if funding stabilizes or flips as shorts reduce, the upside momentum driven by liquidations may fade.

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Spot demand still lags, raising questions about durability

Even with derivatives-driven buying pressure, CryptoQuant underscored a central issue: the lack of sustained spot demand. In related analysis discussed earlier, Cointelegraph reported that futures activity has been outweighing spot participation in the current trading range, with spot traders showing relatively muted interest.

In its own Monday update, CryptoQuant described spot demand as the primary hurdle to a more durable recovery. It also pointed to the absence of inflows to US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), reinforcing the notion that institutional-style spot accumulation has not yet supported the move.

CryptoQuant’s concern was explicitly framed around downside risk if spot weakness reasserts itself: it commented that a break below $60,000, especially alongside rising exchange inflows, would weaken market structure and increase the risk of a move toward $50,000. The firm also stated that while selling pressure appears to be cooling, demand still needs to return to justify follow-through.

This tension—strong liquidation-driven rebounds but soft spot participation—has practical implications. When price advances primarily through leveraged short covering, the market can become vulnerable to reversal if spot buyers do not step in at higher levels.

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Resistance may be anchored by short-term holder cost basis

Beyond derivatives and spot inflows, the rebound’s ceiling may also reflect where existing holders have been accumulating. CryptoQuant referenced analysis tied to short-term holders—wallets with a UTXO age of less than 155 days—showing cost basis around $68,700. That level, according to the cited view, can become resistance as underwater or marginal holders choose to sell on strength.

Additionally, earlier coverage noted that shorter-term investor behavior has been keeping BTC pinned below that resistance zone. Taken together, the data points suggest that Monday’s move may have been less about broad spot conviction and more about leveraged positioning unwinding—an environment where resistance levels tied to holder profitability can quickly limit upside.

For investors and active traders, watching how BTC behaves near the cited $68,700 area—and whether spot activity improves as funding rates evolve—may be more informative than tracking liquidation headlines alone.

Going forward, readers should watch whether funding-rate dynamics continue to support another short-covering burst and whether spot demand—along with US spot ETF inflows—shows signs of returning. Without that support, the market may remain prone to sharp, liquidity-driven swings rather than sustained trend expansion.

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BitBox Issues Urgent Fix for Severe Wallet Vulnerabilities

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Crypto Breaking News

BitBox, the Swiss maker of self-custody hardware wallets, has released a firmware update to address two security issues it describes as “severe.” The company says the fixes reduce the risk of malicious firmware installation and prevent scenarios involving its Silent Payments feature that could cause Bitcoin to be locked to an unintended address.

BitBox reported that it has not received any information indicating either vulnerability has been exploited in the wild or that users have lost funds as a result. Still, the disclosure lands amid a broader run of hardware-wallet-related security concerns, including a Coldcard flaw that was later linked to losses exceeding $112 million, according to Galaxy Research.

Key takeaways

  • BitBox’s latest firmware update targets two vulnerabilities it labels “severe,” including a memory corruption issue that could allow arbitrary code execution in unconfigured wallet states.
  • The update also addresses a Silent Payments weakness that could enable Bitcoin to be locked to an unintended address, creating a potential ransom-type leverage scenario.
  • BitBox says it has seen no reports of exploitation or user fund loss tied to either issue.
  • The release arrives after high-profile incidents spanning hardware wallet devices and the services around them, including a Coldcard issue tied to large BTC theft totals.

What BitBox says the firmware flaws could enable

In a security disclosure released on Monday, BitBox said one of the vulnerabilities stems from memory corruption affecting “Multi editions of BitBox02 and BitBox02 Nova” when those devices have not been configured with a wallet.

BitBox explained that, under certain conditions, a malicious host could exploit the bug to execute arbitrary code and potentially install malicious firmware. If successful, that chain of events could expose user funds by altering how the device signs transactions or operates.

The second issue relates to BitBox’s Silent Payments implementation. BitBox said the vulnerability could allow a malicious host to lock Bitcoin to an unintended address. While the company stated that the flaw does not enable direct theft in the way some vulnerabilities do, it argued an attacker could still use the situation to demand a ransom in exchange for cooperation on recovering the coins.

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Why the update matters for self-custody users

Hardware wallets are designed to minimize the amount of trust users must place in online systems. Even so, the BitBox disclosure highlights an important nuance: the device is not only responsible for protecting private keys, but also for maintaining a secure operating environment under all possible states—including those that occur before a wallet is configured.

For users, this is a practical reminder to keep firmware current, especially when device behavior can be influenced by connected hosts during setup or ongoing interactions. BitBox’s emphasis on “unconfigured” wallets suggests there is risk concentrated in specific device states rather than a universal exposure across all usage patterns. Still, the company’s decision to classify both bugs as severe indicates the potential outcomes are serious enough to warrant immediate action.

The timing: hardware-wallet incidents beyond device code

BitBox’s update arrives at a moment when the hardware wallet narrative has been dominated not only by device-level flaws, but also by problems in surrounding ecosystems—such as shipment and order-management systems.

Earlier, Cointelegraph reported on a Coldcard flaw that was traced to a March 2021 firmware change and reportedly remained undetected for more than five years. That vulnerability affected wallet-seed randomness. According to Galaxy Research, that defect enabled attackers to brute-force impacted wallet seeds and derive private keys without physical access. Galaxy Research said Coldcard-related losses exceeded $112 million, and reported approximately 1,778.6 BTC swept from more than 8,600 addresses.

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More recently, separate data breaches involving Trezor and SafePal exposed customer and order information for more than 53,000 customers. Cointelegraph coverage noted that Trezor attributed exposure affecting 13,689 customers’ data to shipping provider ShipMonk. SafePal, meanwhile, said an authorization flaw in an order-tracking plug-in exposed details tied to 39,798 customers. In both cases, Cointelegraph reported that the incidents did not compromise device private keys or recovery phrases, but both companies warned the information could be used for targeted phishing and impersonation attempts.

These episodes underline a broader reality: self-custody security is shaped by a chain of components—device firmware, host-side software interactions, and operational services that handle customers and transactions. Even when devices themselves remain uncompromised, attackers may still exploit human and process-level weaknesses to increase the odds of successful fraud.

What investors and builders should watch next

BitBox says there are no reports of exploitation tied to either vulnerability, but the company’s disclosure nonetheless reinforces the need for disciplined update practices across the hardware wallet stack. The next signal to monitor is whether BitBox’s patch becomes the new baseline for Multi editions of BitBox02 and BitBox02 Nova users, and whether Silent Payments-related guidance triggers further clarification from the company about conditions under which users could be exposed.

For the industry, the broader question is how quickly manufacturers respond after audits or research uncover weaknesses—and how effectively they communicate practical mitigation steps to users who may not follow security advisories closely.

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