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Chainlink’s 86% Correction May Be Over: Here’s Why $100 Could Be Next for LINK

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

TLDR:

  • LINK has corrected over 86% from its 2021 high near $53, now compressing inside a key demand block at $5.60–$7.50.
  • CryptoPatel identifies smart money absorption at macro support, with sell-side liquidity sweeps fully absorbed on the 3W chart.
  • Three upside price targets are mapped at $26.30, $52.22, and $100, representing up to 1,675% return from the demand zone.
  • The bullish setup is invalidated if LINK prints a three-weekly candle close below the critical support level of $4.76.

Chainlink’s native token, LINK, is currently priced around $8.30 after an extended period of price compression. Analyst CryptoPatel has released a high-timeframe technical forecast pointing toward a potential 10x move.

The setup is built on multi-year chart structure and accumulated demand at macro support. With volatility contracting sharply on the three-weekly chart, market participants are watching closely for a breakout confirmation.

LINK Accumulates Inside a Multi-Year Demand Block

LINK has been trading inside a descending channel on the three-weekly chart since its 2021 cycle high near $53. The token corrected more than 86% from that peak over the following years.

Price has since compressed into a demand block between $5.60 and $7.50. This zone is where CryptoPatel identifies strong smart money absorption taking place.

Multiple higher lows have formed within this demand block on the higher timeframe. Each successive low reflects buyers stepping in before price reaches prior lows.

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CryptoPatel noted that sell-side liquidity sweeps into this support region have been fully absorbed. That behavior points toward sustained accumulation rather than distribution at current levels.

The analyst’s tweet reads: “Fractal Structure Mirroring Previous Cycle Compression Before Breakout.” This observation draws a direct parallel to prior accumulation phases in LINK’s price history.

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Each of those phases was followed by a sharp directional expansion. The current setup carries a structurally similar pattern on the same timeframe.

Volatility on the three-weekly chart has contracted to an extreme degree, according to CryptoPatel. That level of compression typically precedes a larger expansion move in either direction.

Price is currently hovering near $8, described as range equilibrium within the analyst’s framework. The descending channel resistance from the 2021 all-time high remains the defining technical ceiling.

Key Price Levels That Could Trigger a Massive Upside Move

CryptoPatel has mapped out three upside targets: $26.30, $52.22, and $100. A move to the third target from current prices would represent a gain of approximately 1,110%.

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The projected total return from the high-timeframe demand zone sits between 1,232% and 1,675%. These targets align with liquidity pools resting above current price on the higher timeframe chart.

The critical confirmation signal for this setup is a three-weekly candle close above the descending trendline resistance. A simultaneous break of the range high on that timeframe would further strengthen the bullish case.

Until that close materializes, the channel resistance remains structurally intact. Traders following this setup are waiting for that specific trigger before adding exposure.

CryptoPatel’s bullish bias holds as long as LINK stays above $4.76 on the three-weekly timeframe. That level marks the lower boundary of the high-timeframe demand zone.

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A confirmed candle close below $4.76 would signal structural failure and open the door to further downside. That threshold functions as the hard invalidation point for the entire setup.

The analyst describes this as a high-timeframe, patience-based trade with asymmetric risk-to-reward. It is best suited for spot accumulation and long-term swing positioning, per the forecast.

No macroeconomic or fundamental variables are incorporated into the analysis. Traders are encouraged to conduct independent research before making any financial decisions.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin Exchange Inflows Spike as BTC Rally Halts at $75K

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Bitcoin Exchange Inflows Spike as BTC Rally Halts at $75K

Centralized crypto exchanges recorded a spike in Bitcoin hourly inflows on Monday as the crypto market rallied, with one analyst warning it could signal selling pressure. 

Hourly Bitcoin flows into exchanges spiked to 6,100 BTC on March 16, the highest since Feb. 20, reported head of research at CryptoQuant, Julio Moreno, on Tuesday. 

He added that the share of large inflows reached 63% of total inflows, which is the highest since mid-October 2025. 

It comes as Bitcoin has rallied around 12% so far this month, hitting a six-week high of around $76,000 on March 17.

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Traders often send Bitcoin (BTC) to exchanges in preparation to sell or exchange for stablecoins.

“Historically, spikes in large deposits to exchanges have been associated with increased selling pressure,” the analyst noted.

Bitcoin exchange flows have spiked this week. Source: CryptoQuant

Fed may signal no rate cuts this year

The spike in exchange inflows comes just days before the Federal Reserve’s meeting and rate decision on Wednesday, which can have an impact on crypto sentiment.

However, markets have priced in no changes to the US interest rate this month, with CME futures predicting a 98.9% probability of them remaining the same and only a 1.1% chance that they will be increased. 

Related: Trump ups pressure for Fed chair Powell to cut rates ‘right now’

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The Fed could even signal no interest rate cuts at all this year in the wake of the US-Iran war and increasing inflation concerns, reported the Associated Press on Wednesday. 

Bitcoin realized price resistance at $75,000

Moreno also noted that if Bitcoin continues to rally, it could first find resistance at $75,000.

“These levels represent the lower band of the traders’ onchain Realized Price, which historically acts as price resistance in bear markets,” he said.

The asset came just shy of $75,000 three times on Coinbase over the past 24 hours and hit resistance each time, according to TradingView. 

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The actual Realized Price, or the average break-even price for active traders, which acted as resistance in October and January, is currently around $84,700. 

Bitcoin is facing resistance at the lower band of the onchain RP. Source: CryptoQuant

Magazine: Metaplanet’s Japan Bitcoin bet, Bithumb ordered suspension: Asia Express