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Crypto World

Crypto Meets Commodities: OKX and ICE Launch Round-the-Clock Oil Perpetual Futures

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

Key Highlights

  • Intercontinental Exchange and OKX introduce perpetual futures contracts for Brent and WTI crude oil with 24/7 availability.

  • These contracts enable digital asset traders to gain oil market exposure without dealing with expiration dates.

  • ICE supplies regulated pricing benchmarks while OKX handles crypto-based margin and platform distribution.

  • Initial rollout targets markets outside the United States to comply with current regulatory frameworks.

  • This collaboration represents a significant merger of conventional commodity markets with digital asset trading infrastructure.

Digital asset platform OKX has forged an alliance with Intercontinental Exchange to introduce perpetual futures contracts anchored to international oil pricing standards. These instruments will reference ICE Brent Crude and WTI Crude benchmarks, facilitating uninterrupted trading access for cryptocurrency market participants. Unlike traditional futures, perpetual contracts enable traders to hold positions without expiration constraints, while funding mechanisms maintain price correlation with underlying assets.

This strategic alliance merges ICE’s established regulated futures pricing infrastructure with OKX‘s cryptocurrency margin trading capabilities and global distribution network. The oil perpetual products will initially be available in jurisdictions where the exchange currently maintains regulatory authorization. This framework deliberately separates US-regulated pricing benchmarks from international crypto trading activities to satisfy compliance obligations.

Industry analysts highlight that this agreement reinforces ICE’s strategic relationship with OKX. Intercontinental Exchange maintains an equity position in OKX and obtained board representation through their comprehensive partnership arrangement. This development enables ICE to generate revenue from benchmark licensing while simultaneously extending its reach into crypto-native trading frameworks.

Contract Mechanics and Trading Access

These instruments function as non-expiring swap agreements that derive their value from ICE’s Brent and WTI benchmark prices. Funding rate mechanisms are incorporated to maintain pricing alignment between crypto markets and conventional futures exchanges. The product launch will initially exclude US markets to ensure adherence to applicable jurisdictional regulations.

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Both retail and institutional market participants obtain perpetual exposure to globally recognized oil pricing standards. The perpetual contract structure facilitates around-the-clock market access, capitalizing on cryptocurrency market liquidity and existing user infrastructure. Through ICE pricing integration, OKX guarantees that contracts maintain fidelity to recognized market benchmarks.

The cryptocurrency exchange will oversee margin calculations, settlement processes, and user accessibility for these perpetual instruments. This arrangement grants traders commodity benchmark exposure without requiring physical asset custody or delivery. The approach corresponds with emerging patterns where digital asset venues provide derivatives linked to traditional commodities.

Market Impact and Future Development

Intercontinental Exchange and OKX are establishing a framework for incorporating tangible commodities into cryptocurrency markets. These perpetual instruments extend regulated benchmark utilization into digital asset trading environments. The continuous trading capability accommodates crypto leverage frameworks that users already understand and utilize.

This partnership creates pathways for accessing tokenized equity products and futures contracts pending regulatory clearance. ICE intends to introduce US-regulated cryptocurrency futures referenced to OKX spot market pricing. OKX platform users will gain access to ICE’s benchmark-linked instruments across international markets, significantly broadening market participation opportunities.

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The perpetual futures offering has potential to capture high-frequency traders pursuing commodity market exposure. This initiative demonstrates the growing convergence between established commodity trading venues and cryptocurrency platforms. It establishes foundational infrastructure for deeper integration of regulated financial instruments within digital asset marketplaces.

 

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Yield surge in ‘risk-free’ treasuries has bond investors on high alert

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Where to watch for risks and opportunities in bond market as Warsh era at Fed begins
Where to watch for risks and opportunities in bond market as Warsh era at Fed begins

U.S. treasury bonds typically occupy a special place in an investor’s portfolio — the asset class against which all other market risk is measured. But a surge in long-dated yields is forcing investors to rethink this assumption.

The yield on the 10-year treasury recently surged to a level it had not seen in over a year, while the 30-year treasury yield this week hit a level it has not seen since 2007 — right before the financial crisis. The moves are being driven by geopolitical conflict and an oil price shock that have rekindled inflation and resulted in a growing consensus that the Federal Reserve will not lower rates at the next meeting, the first since new Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh was confirmed with a mandate from President Trump to bring rates down. In fact, traders are now betting there will be no interest rate cut over the remainder of 2026, and that a rate hike is becoming more likely. Warsh was being sworn in by Trump on Friday.

The shift in bond market assumptions is a wake-up call for investors in an asset class that has long been called a “safe haven” due to bonds’ predictable income and guarantee of the return against maturity. HSBC wrote in a note this week that U.S. treasuries are now in a “danger zone.”

On Friday, the 10-year U.S. treasury yield was at 4.57% while the 30-year treasury bond was up to 5.08%.

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CHICAGO – MARCH 28: Traders in the Ten-Year Treasury Note options pit at the Chicago Board of Trade signal offers in a flurry of activity following the announcement by the Federal Open Market Committee that it was raising short term interest rates another .25 percent March 28, 2006 in Chicago, Illinois. Trading in the pit was at a trickle in the moments leading up to the announcement. The raise was the 15th consecutive increase by the Fed and the first since Ben Bernanke took over as chairman of the FOMC.

Scott Olson | Getty Images News | Getty Images

JoAnne Bianco, senior investment strategist at BondBloxx Investment Management, voiced similar concerns on CNBC’s “ETF Edge” podcast this week. “You are calling it the risk-free rate. It is not risk free. There is a lot of risk associated with this,” she said.

“Now the next likely action is they are going to be raising rates at some point, potentially starting later this year,” she said.

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The bond market action leads Bianco to make two recommendations for fixed income-focused investors. While a higher yield offers investors more income, it also punishes bond prices. Bianco suggests investors focus on the intermediate part of the treasuries curve, specifically the 5-year to 7-year range. That part of the bond market lets investors “step in at these higher rates” without the price volatility that has punished holders of long-dated bonds, she said.

She also recommends investors look to opportunities in the bond market that reflect the underlying strength of the U.S. economy and corporate earnings within the investment grade and high yield markets. While it is true that corporate bonds spreads are tight, Bianco said, “they are tight for a reason.”

Corporate fundamentals and recent earnings are strong and many companies in both the investment grade and high-yield market have issued positive guidance.

Within investment grade, Bianco says BBB-rated corporates stand out as the best opportunity, and that is nothing new, she added. During almost any time period, “the coupon income advantage that you get from BBB bonds” has driven complete outperformance versus both the broad U.S. corporate index and the U.S. aggregate bond index. In corporate bonds, income is the dominant driver of total return and BBBs carry a yield premium over high-rated investment grade bonds.

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An income premium comes with a higher degree of default risk, but she said while default risk is an issue investors should always be aware of, the current market environment does not suggest to her there is reason for elevated concern at this point in the economic cycle. With issuer fundamentals currently strong, she says investors are getting the income premium “without the material increase in default risk” that many assume comes with the territory.

She noted that default risk in the BBB segment of the investment grade market, while higher than AAA, is very low — under 0.3% over the past 30 years.

The high-yield market, meanwhile, where yields are as high as 12%, currently features strong average credit quality, as well as strong corporate earnings and business fundamentals from issuers. Bianco noted many issuers are focused on their leverage ratios and interest coverage, and there is more focus on refinancing in the market than on speculative on M&A and leveraged buyout issuance, with the latter having moved more to the private side of the bond market.

“The market is open for companies to refinance and we expect defaults to be well below the long-term average through the rest of the year,” Bianco said.

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Why Minnesota is empowering local banks to fight Wall Street for crypto revenue

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Why Minnesota is empowering local banks to fight Wall Street for crypto revenue

Minnesota financial institutions can no longer afford to remain on the sidelines as Wall Street aggressively captures digital asset infrastructure, driving a state-level legislative push to halt deposit flight and insulate the local economy, a local legislator and a banker told CoinDesk.

“Over the last several years, I’ve consistently heard concerns about the increasing amount of deposit flight from local financial institutions to crypto exchanges and digital asset platforms,” said Rep. Bernadette “Bernie” Perryman (R-St. Augusta).

The lawmaker, who authored the bill recently enacted by Governor Tim Walz, paving the runway for state banks and credit unions to provide crypto custody service, explained that deposit flight has created significant challenges for Minnesota.

“When those dollars leave local institutions to crypto exchanges outside our state, there are fewer opportunities for those funds to be reinvested locally through small business lending, mortgages, and community development,” Perryman said.

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From the state’s bankers’ perspective, the issue is also about remaining competitive, Meggan Schwirtz, chief experience officer at St. Cloud Financial Credit Union, told CoinDesk.

“This is no longer simply a question of ‘belief’ or consumer curiosity,” she said, “it’s a matter of commercial and competitive relevance for financial institutions.”

‘Aggressively positioning’

Schwirtz said the “reality is that large financial institutions and Wall Street firms are aggressively positioning themselves around digital asset infrastructure because they recognize the long-term implications for payments, settlement, custody, and the future movement of value.”

She also said local banks and credit unions could not “afford to ignore that shift if they intend to remain relevant to future generations of consumers.”

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And Schwirtz is not wrong. Wall Street giants are increasingly deepening their crypto exposure through stablecoins and tokenization to stay ahead of the competition in the race to adopt blockchain technology.

A recent Jefferies report found that although stablecoins are unlikely to spark a sudden run on U.S. bank deposits, they could steadily erode bank earnings as they gain traction. The firm estimated that privately-issued digital dollar adoption could drive a 3% to 5% runoff in core deposits over five years, cutting average bank earnings by about 3%.

In fact, tokenization and stablecoins were the main topics at Consensus Miami this year, overshadowing all other crypto-related topics. “We’re moving into a world where essentially the entire economy is going to be tokenized,” said Joseph Lubin, CEO and founder. Meanwhile, Circle SVP of marketing Tim Queenan said institutions are increasingly exploring how to move core financial infrastructure onchain, adding that stablecoins are becoming so embedded in payments that many users no longer even think of themselves as crypto users.

Major milestone

Minnesota recently became the first Midwestern state to pass an explicit, unified legislative framework authorizing both state-chartered commercial banks and credit unions to offer cryptocurrency custody services.

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The new law was signed by Governor Tim Walz last week and is scheduled to come into full force on Aug. 1, after passing with overwhelming bipartisan support in the legislature earlier this month.

Ryan Smith, chief Advocacy Officer at Minnesota Credit Union Network, said that while the passage of the law is vital, it is not the last word on crypto custody regulation.

“Federal requirements for financial institutions that offer these services will have to comply with a wide variety of federal regulations, as cryptocurrency custodians must specifically implement anti-money laundering (AML) programs, file Suspicious Activity Reports (SARs), and conduct enhanced know-your-customer (KYC) diligence.”

While digital assets remain entirely excluded from federal FDIC or NCUA insurance, local institutions are developing private compliance alternatives. Schwirtz confirmed that St. Cloud Financial Credit Union has proactively secured a strategic underwriting partnership with a Lloyd’s of London-backed insurance solution specifically tailored to their custody operations.

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While more work remains to be done, state Representative Steve Elkins (DFL) hailed the new law as a major milestone, marking a significant shift in how digital assets are managed.

“The community banks and credit unions wanted to be able to offer this service for their customers and members as part of a comprehensive array of financial services,” Elkins, one of the three authors of bill HF 3709, told CoinDesk.

The new law coincided with a regulatory clampdown on all crypto ATMs and kiosks across the state. Walz separately signed a bipartisan bill (SF 3868) implementing a statewide ban on the ATMs effective August 1. One of the U.S.’s largest bitcoin ATM providers, Bitcoin Depot, filed for bankruptcy on Monday.

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Cardano governance dispute puts IOG lab at risk

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OpenClaw enforces zero-crypto rule after scam fallout

Cardano governance is in crisis as an 81% stake majority opposes a 32.9 million ADA research funding proposal.

Summary

  • An 81% active stake majority is opposing a 32.9 million ADA proposal to fund Input Output Global’s research lab for another year through Cardano’s treasury.
  • Founder Charles Hoskinson called the vote existential for Cardano’s identity as a science-based blockchain, warning scientists could leave if the proposal fails.
  • The vote runs through June 8, with several dReps demanding competitive open RFP bids rather than an automatic IOG budget renewal.

A Cardano governance crisis has emerged on-chain as an 81% active stake majority is currently opposing a 32.9 million ADA proposal to fund Input Output Global’s core research team for another year. The opposition is led primarily by Japanese delegated representatives who argue the proposal lacks tight, auditable milestones.

“This doesn’t have anything to do with me. This has to do with destroying the entire core of our ecosystem. Cardano is the science coin. That’s our brand,” Charles Hoskinson said in response to the vote.

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Why the IOG vote matters for Cardano’s long-term roadmap

The IOG research lab is responsible for Cardano’s peer-reviewed development approach, including the Ouroboros consensus protocol. A failure to renew its funding would leave the protocol without its primary academic development engine.

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Several dReps want competing teams to bid against IOG through open RFPs rather than automatic renewal. ADA was trading near $0.25, down approximately 60% over the past 200 days.

Crypto.news has reported on Hoskinson’s earlier warning that crypto markets would get “redder,” made during a February 2026 livestream where he positioned Cardano as entering a commercialisation phase.

What the milestone controversy reveals about decentralised governance

Critics of the IOG proposal argue it lacks specific, time-bound deliverables that a decentralised treasury process should require. The sentiment reflects a broader tension in Cardano’s Voltaire governance era between institutional efficiency and community accountability.

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Crypto.news has tracked Hoskinson’s January 2026 warning that White House crypto czar David Sacks should resign if the Clarity Act failed to pass. Both episodes reflect the same impatience with institutional processes that fail to deliver tangible outcomes on a predictable timeline.

The voting period runs through June 8. If the proposal fails, scientists could leave, ending the peer-reviewed research model that defines Cardano’s identity. Crypto.news has covered analysis examining the gap between Hoskinson’s ambitions and Cardano’s on-chain adoption metrics, a tension the governance dispute now makes impossible to ignore.

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SpaceX’s First Mars Crew Includes a Crypto Billionaire and It’s Not Elon Musk

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Bitcoin Mining Pools Distribution.

SpaceX named crypto billionaire Chun Wang to lead its first crewed Mars flyby. The F2Pool co-founder will pilot a roughly two-year mission beyond the Earth-Moon system, the first of its kind.

The reveal aired during SpaceX’s live broadcast of Starship V3’s first launch attempt, which was scrubbed on Thursday. The company has not disclosed a target launch window for Mars or for an earlier lunar precursor flight.

Chun Wang’s Bitcoin Fortune Funds SpaceX Mars Flyby

Wang co-founded F2Pool in 2013, and it remains one of Bitcoin’s top crypto mining pools. Hashrate Index places its current share at roughly 10% of network hashrate.

Bitcoin Mining Pools Distribution.
Bitcoin Mining Pools Distribution. Source: Hashrate Index

That share feeds scrutiny of Bitcoin mining pool concentration, where four operators dominate block production after the halving. Wang has remained tied to F2Pool while pursuing other ventures.

His wealth, built through early Bitcoin mining and pool operations, has already financed private spaceflight. Wang funded and commanded Fram2 in 2025, the first crewed polar orbit, by selling part of his bitcoin holdings.

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That mission carried an all-civilian crew over both poles and made Wang the first Maltese citizen in space.

The same playbook now powers his interplanetary push, after earlier SpaceX Bitcoin transfers tied crypto treasuries to space.

Speaking from Bouvet Island in a pre-recorded video, Wang said the flyby should make Mars feel reachable. He framed the trip as a step toward future landings, not a substitute.

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“So it’s going to be a flyby mission of Mars,” Wang said in a recorded announcement.

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The schedule now depends on Starship V3, whose maiden flight slipped after Thursday’s scrub.

A second launch attempt is set for Friday evening. If Starship V3 reaches orbit, the Mars timeline moves with it. Until then, both the lunar precursor and Mars flyby remain open.

Musk’s Mars ambitions continue drawing crypto wealth into deep space.

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Which company will the U.S. government take a stake in next?

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Which company will the U.S. government take a stake in next?

The Micron Technology offices in San Jose, California, Dec. 16, 2025.

David Paul Morris | Bloomberg | Getty Images

Quantum stocks jumped this week on news that the U.S. government was taking equity stakes in nine companies, including IBM, as President Donald Trump’s administration continues to acquire shares of private sector companies

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So where might the government take its shopping cart next? Traders on prediction market platform Kalshi are putting money on the question. 

Traders place 32% odds that IonQ will get a government stake in 2026. IonQ was one of the quantum computing companies that wasn’t part of the Thursday announcement, but its stock still jumped more than 12% on the news. Shares then rose more than 7% on Friday.

Also on the list is Anduril Industries, which traders give a 31% chance of getting a U.S. government stake this year.

Anduril is a privately-owned defense technology company based in California. Last week, the company unveiled a new funding round that doubled its valuation to $61 billion. The Palmer Luckey company has worked with the Trump administration closely, including on the proposed “Golden Dome” missile defense system. 

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Lastly, traders place 28% odds that Micron Technology gets a U.S. government stake. Shares of Micron have surged more than 160% in 2026 thanks to a memory shortage due to the artificial intelligence buildout. 

The contracts only are resolved to “yes” if an official announcement is made or verified by the company or a government agency.”

In August, around the same time when the U.S. stake in Intel was first revealed, there were reports that the government was considering taking a stake in Micron. However, that proposal didn’t come to fruition, and the White House said it wouldn’t seek stakes in chip companies increasing investment in the U.S. 

Representatives for Micron, Anduril and IonQ couldn’t be immediately reached for comment. 

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XRP Faces Growing Backlash After Dropping 26% Year-to-Date

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XRP price performance - YTD. Source: TradingView

The XRP price decline has intensified debate across crypto markets as Ripple’s token continues to lag behind major digital assets in 2026.

Growing frustration among traders and holders reveals a widening gap between expectations and actual market performance.

XRP Price Dropped 26% in 2026, So Far

The XRP price decline reflects sustained momentum loss despite several positive developments in Ripple’s broader ecosystem. The token remains close to 26% lower year-to-date and continues trading near $1.36-$1.37.

XRP price performance - YTD. Source: TradingView
XRP price performance – YTD. Source: TradingView

Current market data also places XRP around 62% below its all-time high of $3.65 reached in July 2025, according to CoinGecko. Daily trading activity remains active, with volumes fluctuating between approximately $1,65 billion and $1,77 billion.

These numbers stand out because XRP experienced several major developments recently. Ripple secured important regulatory progress through its legal resolution involving the SEC.

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Spot XRP exchange-traded funds also entered the market, while institutional products like Ripple Prime expanded the company’s ecosystem.

Despite these advances, price action has remained weak. XRP traded within a narrow range between $1.35-$1.38 dollars during recent sessions. Technical analysts continue describing the structure as fragile, with selling pressure dominating sentiment.

Several market observers believe the area between $1.30 and $1.35 dollars could become a critical support zone. A breakdown below that range could increase downside risk toward lower price levels.

“We have now spent 5 days beneath ascending support. $1.30 is a current guardrail. If lost, a deeper drop to the lower $1 territory is likely in the coming weeks,” analyst ChartNerdTA said.

XRP price analysis. Source: X/@ChartNerdTA
XRP price analysis. Source: X/@ChartNerdTA

Traders Question XRP After Prolonged Market Weakness

The discussion has become increasingly emotional across social media platforms. Many traders openly question whether Ripple’s long-term messaging aligns with actual market results.

Other users adopted much stronger language, calling the token a “scam” and accusing Ripple of relying on “cheap propaganda” rather than delivering stronger price performance.

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“I’m so tired of XRP, I feel cheated, all I see about XRP is cheap propaganda”, a user on X commented.

The criticism reflects frustrations accumulated over several years. Ripple repeatedly positioned XRP as a solution for cross-border payments, emphasizing its bank partnerships, interoperability, and its role in global financial transformation.

Some retail investors expected these developments to create stronger market appreciation. Instead, XRP was among the weakest performers among leading cryptocurrencies in 2026.

“Just ask yourself, half-way into the term of a pro-crypto President, SEC etc, court case gone and clarity act on the move, ETF’s live and so on….yet xrp lost over half it’s value and is doing nothing but penny pump and dumps …how can this be anything but a scam!! Wake up!!!,” another enthusiast noted.

Critics argue that optimistic announcements often generate temporary enthusiasm but fail to create lasting price impact. This perception has gradually weakened confidence among traders seeking stronger returns.

However, supporters view the situation differently. They believe XRP is evolving into a more mature asset focused on institutional use rather than speculative momentum.

Developments surrounding the XRP Ledger, custody services, liquidity solutions, and broader regulatory clarity could support longer-term growth. Still, that institutional direction increasingly conflicts with retail expectations focused on rapid gains.

The debate now extends beyond price movement. It increasingly reflects a broader question surrounding whether adoption and infrastructure development can eventually translate into sustainable market value.

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Kevin Warsh’s real Fed ‘regime change’ may happen deep inside Wall Street’s plumbing

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How Jerome Powell reshaped the Federal Reserve

Kevin Warsh, then U.S. President Donald Trump’s nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve, delivers an opening statement during his Senate Committee on Banking, Housing, and Urban Affairs confirmation hearing in the Dirksen Senate Office Building on April 21, 2026 in Washington, DC.

Andrew Harnik | Getty Images

Incoming Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh‘s talk about “regime change” at the central bank has generated speculation about everything from interest rates to major personnel changes to fundamental alterations in the way it operates and communicates.

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But what that eventually might look like is subtler though perhaps more consequential – a rethink of how the Fed manages the financial plumbing in the U.S. economy and the mammoth balance sheet it has built through some 18 years of crisis fighting.

Interviews with former Fed officials and economists, along with a growing library of research, suggest Warsh could guide the Fed to a smaller role in day-to-day financial markets, while also setting clearer rules for how and when it should intervene.

Simply stated, the debate centers on whether the Fed should continue using its balance sheet as a regular tool for influencing financial conditions and supporting markets — as it has through much of the post-financial crisis era — or reserve it for periods of market dysfunction and more pernicious economic stress.

Rewriting the Fed playbook

The debate over the $6.8 trillion balance sheet is technical in nature and tucked away from the more common discussions about Fed policy. But the stakes are substantial.

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Since the financial crisis that exploded in 2008, the Fed has aggressively used its holdings of Treasurys and mortgage-backed securities to stabilize markets and influence broader financial conditions.

Prior to the crisis, the Fed had a minuscule balance sheet relatively speaking – about $800 billion – but expanded it at one point to about $9 trillion. The Fed’s asset holdings now equate to about 23% of the U.S. economy, or some seven times where they were pre-financial crisis.

Any effort to change the system could have wide ramifications, potentially impacting Treasury yields, mortgage rates and other interest-sensitive areas of the economy, while influencing the way policymakers respond to future crises.

“It’s a debate we’re going to be seeing later this year. But one thing that’s encouraging about all of this is that nobody, including Kevin Warsh, is arguing that any of this could be done rapidly,” said Lou Crandall, chief economist at Wrightson ICAP and a longtime Fed watcher.

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“It’s got to be done carefully, and some of the changes … would probably take time to implement,” he added. “Everyone’s looking at this as a medium-term project rather than part of the day-one agenda.”

Warsh called the balance sheet, in a Wall Steet Journal op-ed piece last year, “bloated” and said it could be reduced while at the same time allowing the Fed to lower interest rates.

What ‘regime change’ might entail

How Jerome Powell reshaped the Federal Reserve

However, he’s likely to run into quick opposition from his fellow policymakers, some of whom are skeptical of both the Fed’s ability to significantly reduce its holdings and the benefits this might provide.

“I think shrinking the balance sheet is the wrong objective, and many of the proposals to meet this objective would undermine bank resilience, impede money market functioning, and, ultimately, threaten financial stability,” Fed Governor Michael Barr said in a speech last week. “Some would actually increase the Fed’s footprint in financial markets.”

Barr’s thesis essentially is that looking merely at the size of the balance sheet is too narrow – that other issues, such as how it is comprised with respect to duration and composition also matter. Neglecting those issues, he asserts, could have “perverse” consequences such as increased volatility and even the possibility of more interventions from the Fed. At the same time, he said, lowering reserve requirements for banks could destabilize the system.

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Understanding how it works

The balance sheet mechanics regarding reserves are straightforward.

When building the balance sheet, the Fed credits itself with digital cash and uses it to buy assets from banks, creating reserves. That provides the banks liquidity that then theoretically flows through the financial system. Conversely, when the Fed is reducing the balance sheet, it is no longer buying assets while also allowing the proceeds of the bonds it has purchased to roll off, rather than reinvesting them.

Kevin Warsh’s legacy will be reforming the Fed, says Mohamed El-Erian

On the other side of the operation, the Fed is using its trading desk to achieve the interest rate it targets. The central bank also has a slew of other tools, such as the interest it pays on reserves, its discount window rate and, critically, overnight reverse repurchase operations that keep the financial flows moving.

The Fed has been operating under a system of “ample” reserves, a nebulous term that essentially means more than typical but not excessive — that would be “abundant.” Warsh has implied that the Fed can go back to its precrisis policy of “scarce” reserves, with the option to add when needed.

“Reasonable people can disagree on this,” said Bill English, the Fed’s former head of monetary affairs and now a professor at Yale. “The Fed could certainly go back to a system with scarce reserves, it would work perfectly well. Might be a little complicated to get there. You’d want to do it slowly, but I think they could do it.”

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After spending much of the past 18 years depending on the Fed’s balance sheet to keep operations running smoothly — and, critics would argue, support the bull run in stocks — markets will be watching closely.

“I would very much expect the Fed to have an open discussion about establishing a framework for future operations, so the market doesn’t just assume that they’ll do unlimited amounts,” Wrightson economist Crandall said. Doing so “would allow the market to form more sensible expectations about what would happen.”

As things stand, the Fed has never communicated clear rules about when and how the balance sheet will be used.

Markets have adopted terms for the balance sheet operations – quantitative easing, or QE, for expansion and quantitative tightening, or QT, for reduction – but the Fed has never set out clear guidance about when either will be used. That’s particularly true when distinguishing between addressing financial market functioning and supporting its dual inflation and employment goals.

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“They’ve never really set up a framework for when to use quantitative easing,” said former Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester. “The Fed hasn’t done a very good job, I think, over time of distinguishing and explaining when it’s using asset purchases for a monetary policy reason.”

Changing the message

This is where Warsh especially can come in.

Setting the tone for policy guidance is right within the chair’s wheelhouse, and Warsh could try to diminish market expectations that the Fed is going to crank up asset purchases when Wall Street starts to get the jitters.

In addition, he has spoken in favor of efforts that Michelle Bowman, the Fed’s vice chair for bank supervision, has undertaken to ease some banking regulations. Part of that would alter what kinds of assets banks could claim as reserves and use in times of crisis, an effort that Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan cited in a recent speech, saying she looks forward “to seeing how that work progresses.”

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Logan has firsthand experience with the dynamics that go into balance sheet management. Prior to her current position, she ran the trading desk at the New York Fed, which is charged with executing the central bank’s open market strategy.

Logan also noted, in the speech delivered April 2, that the Fed has other tools at its disposal to help the flow of liquidity — essentially using components from both the Warsh and Barr sides of the argument.

Like others, she spoke in favor of moving slowly to address the issue.

“I’d emphasize that any changes in the balance sheet should be gradual and planned carefully,” Logan said.

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The work has begun

Internally, Fed officials are girding for debate.

Central bank researchers have released several papers on the issue, including one titled “A User’s Guide to Reducing the Federal Reserve’s Balance Sheet.”

The paper concluded, without an endorsement in either direction, that up to $2.1 trillion in reductions could be achieved through the current policy framework, with further cuts possible should the Fed change direction into a scarce reserves approach to banking. The paper also contends it would take “at least a year and quite possibly several” before the process could even begin.

All of these proposals are likely to be on the table after Warsh takes over Friday.

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He inherits a Fed facing not only economic challenges but also high political expectations from a president who regularly attacked outgoing Chair Jerome Powell, nicknaming him “Too Late” as he repeatedly threatened to fire him for not carrying out Trump’s desire for lower rates.

For all the discussion about “regime change,” former officials caution against expecting a dramatic overnight overhaul, with Warsh’s lofty goals about to meet central bank reality.

Warsh will inherit a Federal Open Market Committee built on consensus, where even major policy shifts typically move deliberately and only after lengthy internal debate. Political considerations, these officials say, are left outside the central bank’s walls.

“I was going to FOMC meetings when [Alan] Greenspan was chair, so that’s a long time. Politics never enters that room,” said Mester, the former Cleveland Fed president. “Political considerations never enter the discussion.”

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Kevin Warsh will have a hard time navigating the political minefield as Fed Chair: Scott Nations
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Hyperliquid ETFs Surpass $69 Million in Net Inflows

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Hyperliquid ETFs Surpass $69 Million in Net Inflows


Hyperliquid's spot exchange-traded funds have accumulated over $69 million in total net inflows, with $16 million entering the funds yesterday alone. The two ETFs—$THYP and $BHYP—continue to attract significant capital from institutional and retail investors seeking exposure to the Hyperliquid… Read the full story at The Defiant

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Institutional Influence Grows in Bitcoin, AI Tokens & Prediction Markets

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Crypto Breaking News

Institutional adoption continues to reshape the digital asset landscape, even as geopolitical tensions underscore crypto’s sensitivity to broader macro conditions. This week saw digital asset investment products suffer more than $1 billion in outflows as traders pared risk amid fading hopes for a durable U.S.-Iran ceasefire. At the same time, Tether tightened its grip on Twenty One Capital by purchasing SoftBank’s stake, Bernstein highlighted a shift in Bitcoin mining toward AI infrastructure, and Polymarket teamed up with Nasdaq to launch prediction markets tied to private companies. The week’s developments illustrate how institutions still sit at the heart of the evolving crypto ecosystem, even as macro shocks drive short‑term sentiment swings.

Key takeaways

  • Digital asset funds posted over $1 billion in outflows last week as geopolitical tensions fueled a risk-off environment, led by Bitcoin and Ether products tracked by CoinShares.
  • Despite the weekly pullback, crypto exchange-traded products (ETPs) have recorded nearly $4.9 billion in year-to-date inflows, signaling ongoing institutional interest on a longer horizon.
  • Tether extended its influence in the Bitcoin market by acquiring SoftBank’s roughly 26% stake in Twenty One Capital for an undisclosed amount, consolidating a major corporate vehicle for Bitcoin treasury exposure.
  • Twenty One Capital has amassed a substantial Bitcoin position, reportedly over 42,000 BTC, bolstering Tether’s strategic footprint in the space. BitcoinTreasuries.NET pegs the position at about $3.34 billion.
  • Bernstein argues that Bitcoin miners are increasingly becoming strategic AI infrastructure partners, leveraging large-scale power access and data-center capacity to host AI workloads as block-reward economics evolve.
  • Polymarket partnered with Nasdaq to launch prediction markets focused on private, pre-IPO companies, expanding event-based forecasting into the venture-capital arena and underscoring growing institutional openness to non-traditional price-discovery tools.

Geopolitics weigh on crypto funds while institutions stay engaged

Recent data from CoinShares shows digital asset investment products experiencing more than $1 billion in outflows during a week shaped by renewed tensions in the Middle East. The sell-off was broad, with Bitcoin- and Ether-linked products accounting for the bulk of redemptions, as investors reassessed risk allocations in a volatile macro environment. While this marks a sharp contrast to the earlier resilience seen in some markets, it also reaffirms a fundamental dynamic: macro shocks and geopolitical headlines can rapidly pivot sentiment around crypto, even for assets with perceived hedging properties.

Nevertheless, the longer-term trend remains nuanced. CoinShares noted that year-to-date inflows into.crypto ETPs remain constructive, totaling close to $4.9 billion, suggesting that institutional allocators continue to differentiate between short-term volatility and longer-term strategic exposure to digital assets.

Tether strengthens Bitcoin treasury exposure via Twenty One Capital

In a move that tightens the convergence between stablecoins and Bitcoin treasuries, Tether acquired SoftBank’s roughly 26% stake in Twenty One Capital for an undisclosed amount. Twenty One, led by Strike founder Jack Mallers, launched with support from Tether, Bitfinex, Cantor Fitzgerald and SoftBank, and has built a balance sheet of more than 42,000 BTC.

The transaction reinforces Tether’s influence over one of the industry’s largest corporate Bitcoin holding vehicles. Twenty One’s expanded scope signals a continued appetite among institutions to hold and deploy Bitcoin through centralized, treasury-focused vehicles rather than through dispersed, purely retail channels.

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Public data tracked by BitcoinTreasuries.NET places Twenty One’s Bitcoin pile at roughly $3.34 billion, highlighting the scale of the networked holdings that backstop institutional strategies in the space.

Miners as AI infrastructure partners, according to Bernstein

Industry researchers at Bernstein have framed Bitcoin miners as more than just energy users — they’re becoming strategic infrastructure players in the AI race. The analysis points to two scarce resources miners typically enjoy in abundance: large-scale power access and data-center capacity. As AI developers demand ever-larger compute grids, mining outfitters are repurposing portions of their energy-intensive operations to host high-performance computing workloads for AI customers.

Bernstein suggests this shift could unlock new revenue streams and lift valuations for miners, particularly as the economics of block rewards wane after future halving cycles. The convergence of crypto mining and AI infrastructure is painting a picture of a broader, multi-use asset class that can weather cyclical crypto dynamics by anchoring itself to two capital-intensive, growth-oriented sectors.

Industry data indicate that a growing share of publicly traded miners has expanded their power portfolios to accommodate future demand, underscoring a tangible trend toward diversification beyond pure mining profitability.

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Polymarket teams with Nasdaq to introduce private-company bets

In a move that expands the reach of event-based forecasting, Polymarket has partnered with Nasdaq to launch a new category of prediction markets focused on private companies. The markets will allow participants to bet on milestones such as private company valuations, IPO timing and secondary-market activity, extending Polymarket’s reach beyond elections and macro events into venture-backed ventures.

The collaboration reflects growing institutional interest in forecasting tools as a potential complement to traditional price discovery. By aligning with Nasdaq’s infrastructure, Polymarket aims to lend greater legitimacy and liquidity to prediction markets, particularly in segments tied to venture capital and startup activity.

What comes next

As institutions continue to shape the crypto landscape, investors will watch how geopolitical risk, macro developments, and the evolving economics of mining intersect with the growing role of Bitcoin treasuries and AI-focused data-center use cases. The emergence of private-company prediction markets also raises questions about regulatory contours, risk controls, and the long-term viability of alternative forecasting mechanisms in mainstream financial ecosystems.

The coming weeks could reveal whether these structural shifts translate into sustained demand for Bitcoin treasury exposure, diversified mining revenue streams, and broader adoption of event-based markets by institutional players. In the meantime, readers should monitor policy signals, energy-market dynamics, and the pace of AI compute demand as key drivers of the sector’s trajectory.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Solana kept quiet about Alpenglow upgrade breakages

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Solana kept quiet about Alpenglow upgrade breakages

Anatoly Yakovenko told an applauding Consensus Miami 2026 conference earlier this month that Solana would be upgrading to Alpenglow, heralding a live testnet within a week as evidence that it’s “basically due sometime this year, I think next quarter.”

According to developers implementing that upgrade, Alpenglow actually broke while going live.

Anza, the Solana development outfit leading the rollout, left that error out of the mainstream press cycle.

Alpenglow is supposed to be the largest consensus change in Solana’s history, and is supposed to replace proof-of-history which has cryptographically ordered Solana’s network since launch.

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Validators approved it in September 2025 with 98% voting in support. Anza, the dev shop, marketed the upgrade as a “100x” improvement to transaction finality, allegedly cutting transaction finalization from 12.8 seconds to about 150 milliseconds.

Yakovenko spoke at Consensus Miami on May 5, praising the potential of Alpenglow. Days later, as promised, it went live on a cluster — and promptly broke.

That day, Anza spokesperson Max Resnick broke the news about the testnet launch to Decrypt, claiming it was “a really exciting milestone” while omitting that it had actually failed and restarted.

On the Solana Foundation’s May 14 weekly validator call, Anza engineer Ashwin Sekar admitted to the real story. Over 40 nodes joined the May 11 cluster running Alpenglow.

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Then the migration broke.

‘The next go-around, we were able to successfully perform’

“As usual, the first try did not work,” Sekar admitted on a May 14 call to a niche audience.

He went on to describe the incident, “There was a bug in, you know, the most recent master commit of TowerBFT and proof-of-history.”

TowerBFT is Solana’s proof-of-history-compliant consensus algorithm.

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Anza pushed a hotfix and tried relaunching. Sekar added that engineers were hard at work, “We patched it.

The next go-around, we were able to successfully perform the migration.” He also disclosed a second bug, a validator that accidentally banned peer connections, which Anza patched as well.

None of those errors made it into mainstream press cycles.

Read more: Solana validator logs 32 delinquencies, foundation still claims ‘100% uptime’

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Solana could upgrade beyond Proof-of-History by September

Outlets covering the May 11 activation, including TheStreet, Decrypt, CoinMarketCap, and many others reported it as a clean success. Anza’s initial framing of a well-executed migration carried through the news cycle unchallenged. 

Coverage of the bug existed mostly within a small audience on YouTube who bothered to watch a recording of a validator meeting.

Yakovenko’s next-quarter claim, which he made in early May, implies a Solana mainnet activation of the Alpenglow upgrade by September 30, 2026.

Solana’s mainnet has halted multiple times in its six-year history, including at least four outages within one 12-month period.

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