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Crypto prices dip as crude oil jumps to $115 ahead of US inflation report

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Crypto prices dip as crude oil jumps to $115 ahead of US inflation report

Crypto prices continued the strong downward trend today, March 8, as the war in Iran continued, pushing crude oil prices to $115 ahead of the upcoming US consumer inflation report.

Summary

  • Crypto prices continued falling today, with Bitcoin moving to $96,000.
  • Crude oil prices jumped to over $115 on Hyperliquid.
  • The US will publish its inflation report on Wednesday this week.

Bitcoin (BTC) price dropped to $67,000 on Sunday from last week’s high of $74,000. An index tracking the top 20 cryptocurrencies dropped by 1.29% in the last 24 hours, while the Crypto Fear and Greed Index dropped to 18.

Crypto prices dropped amid signs that the war in Iran was not about to end, which pushed crude oil prices to the highest level since 2022. The West Texas Intermediate, which ended the week at $90, soared to $115. Brent, the global benchmark, is nearing the important resistance level at $120 on Hyperliquid.

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Crude oil prices soared after more countries in the Middle East slashed their production because of the closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran. Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates announced that they would slash production as the war continues.

Soaring oil prices has a major impact on crypto prices because of its impact on inflation. Recent macro data from the United States showed that inflation has continued falling in the past few months. Therefore, this war will change the trajectory and push inflation higher in the coming months.

Soaring inflation rate will make it hard for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. Indeed, data on Polymarket shows that traders have scaled down their outlook for the Federal Reserve interest rate cuts for the year.

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The war in Iran is also bearish for the crypto market because Bitcoin has proven to be an unreliable hedge against inflation and geopolitical risks.

Looking ahead, crypto prices will react to the upcoming US consumer inflation report on Wednesday. Economists polled by Reuters expect the upcoming numbers to show that the headline Consumer Price Index rose to 2.5% in February from the previous 2.4%. 

Core inflation, which excludes the volatile food and energy prices, is expected to come in at 2.5. US inflation expectations have continued soaring this month as the war goes on.

Traders will focus on several cryptocurrencies this week. Pi Network price will be in focus ahead of the Pi Day event that happens on Saturday this week. Similarly, Polkadot will be in focus ahead of the tokenomics upgrade on March 12.

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Crypto World

Bitcoin ‘Bull Trap’ Forming As Bear Market Middle Stage Approaches: Analyst

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Bitcoin 'Bull Trap' Forming As Bear Market Middle Stage Approaches: Analyst

Bitcoin could experience a short-term rally that catches investors off guard before the broader downtrend resumes, according to on-chain analyst Willy Woo.

“Bull trap forming,” Woo said in an X post on Saturday, referring to a fake breakout suggesting that the market is entering a sustained uptrend. He added that it may last “out to [the] end of April.”

Woo said his outlook is based on liquidity conditions rather than price levels. “If capital comes back in force with the right type of long-term investors, then I’ll happily change my views,” Woo said.

Bitcoin is “solidly” in the middle of a bear market

From a long-range liquidity perspective, Woo said Bitcoin (BTC) is “solidly in the middle of its bear market.” “Typically, after fast downward flushes like we have had, BTC likes to go sideways and mount a rally where resistance is tested,” Woo said. 

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Bitcoin has fallen approximately 46.82% since reaching its October all-time highs of $126,000, trading at $67,012 at the time of publication, according to CoinMarketCap.

Bitcoin is up 3.74% over the past 30 days. Source: CoinMarketCap

Woo said that this level isn’t the bottom for Bitcoin and the asset may see further downside. Crypto sentiment platform Santiment shared a similar view on Saturday, pointing to whales aggressively selling while retail investors buy below $70,000.

“When retail buys while whales sell, it typically signals that the correction is not yet over,” Santiment said.

Bitcoin investor flows have been in “consistent recovery”

Woo said that despite Bitcoin failing to hold the “mid-70s” range after it soared to $74,000 on Wednesday, investor flows have been in “consistent recovery” since the middle of February.

Related: Bitcoin relief rally hits wall as spot ETFs log $228M in outflows

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Woo isn’t the only analyst who thinks Bitcoin is in a bear market. Crypto analyst Benjamin Cowen recently told Magazine that 2026 is a “bear market year” for Bitcoin and unlikely to bring new all-time highs.

On-chain analytics company CryptoQuant said on Thursday that “Bitcoin is still in a bear market despite the recent rally.”

It comes after the Crypto Fear and Greed Index, one of the most widely used gauges of crypto investor sentiment, fell back to “extreme fear” levels after briefly recovering on Wednesday.

Magazine: The debate over Bitcoin’s four-year cycle is over: Benjamin Cowen

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