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Crypto Skeptic Rashida Tlaib Holds Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs

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78 Banking Groups Push Senate to Rewrite CLARITY Act Section 404

Rep. Rashida Tlaib holds up to $30,000 in iShares Bitcoin (BTC) Trust ETF positions and up to $15,000 in a Grayscale Ethereum (ETH) staking fund, her latest financial disclosure shows.

The Michigan Democrat voted against the CLARITY Act in July 2025 and co-sponsored a resolution targeting crypto corruption. The Senate takes up the same bill in September.

What the Disclosure Shows

Tlaib filed her annual disclosure covering 2025 on August 11, 2026. It lists the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) in two separate accounts. Her Schwab Rollover Traditional IRA and her Schwab Roth Contributory IRA each hold a position valued at $1,001 to $15,000.

The Roth IRA also holds the Grayscale Ethereum Staking Mini ETF, which is likewise valued between $1,001 and $15,000. Combined, the three positions represent between $3,003 and $45,000 in crypto exposure. Lawmakers disclose assets only in broad ranges.

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The filing shows Tlaib bought IBIT on April 28 and May 29, 2025. Both purchases coincided with rollovers of two employer retirement plans into her Schwab accounts. The exposure comes entirely through exchange-traded funds. The filing lists no directly held cryptocurrencies.

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A Voting Record That Points the Other Way

Tlaib voted against the CLARITY Act when the House passed it 294-134 in July 2025, House records show. The bill would establish a market structure framework for digital assets. The Senate holds a procedural vote on it on September 15.

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In October 2025, Tlaib co-sponsored the Ban Crypto Corruption Resolution led by Rep. Ro Khanna. It calls on politicians and their immediate families to refrain from issuing, sponsoring, or endorsing digital assets. It also urges blind trusts for their digital asset holdings.

Her skepticism dates back further. In 2020, she introduced the STABLE Act. The bill sought to make it illegal to issue a stablecoin unless the issuer was an insured depository institution and a Federal Reserve System member. The bill died in committee.

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Zondacrypto Head Faces Fraud Charge Over Exchange Collapse

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Zondacrypto Head Faces Fraud Charge Over Exchange Collapse

Przemysław Kral, the head of the collapsed cryptocurrency exchange Zondacrypto, has reportedly been charged with participating in an alleged large-scale fraud and has begun cooperating with Polish prosecutors.

Kral is seeking a reduced sentence in exchange for testimony that could include details about Zondacrypto’s funding of right-wing politicians, Polish outlet Onet reported Monday.

According to Onet, prosecutors estimate Zondacrypto customers lost at least 2.4 billion Polish zlotys ($650 million). Investigators said the exchange used only part of customer funds to buy crypto, while the rest was transferred to private accounts controlled by Zondacrypto managers.

Onet reported Friday that Kral had been negotiating the terms of possible cooperation with prosecutors for six months. He reportedly held informal meetings with prosecutors in Poland, Sicily and Persian Gulf countries to discuss a potential deal.

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Kral has remained silent on X since publicly disclosing in mid-April that Zondacrypto could not access a cold wallet holding about 4,500 Bitcoin. He has denied accusations of misappropriating funds and said the wallet’s private keys were supposed to have been transferred by Zonda founder and former CEO Sylwester Suszek, who has been missing since 2022.

Zondacrypto was the main sponsor of the Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) held in Poland days before the second round of the presidential election won by Karol Nawrocki. The exchange spent 37 million zlotys on advertising with broadcaster Telewizja Republika in its final year, while companies owned by Kral made payments to foundations linked to politicians Zbigniew Ziobro and Przemysław Wipler.

Cointelegraph was unable to reach Kral or Zondacrypto for comment. Their email addresses have been unavailable since Kral’s April disclosure that the exchange could not access the Bitcoin wallet.

Related: Zondacrypto CEO goes off radar as Poland probe deepens

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Cointelegraph is committed to independent, transparent journalism. This news article is produced in accordance with Cointelegraph’s Editorial Policy and aims to provide accurate and timely information. Readers are encouraged to verify information independently.

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Stablecoin payments are fast, but local-currency settlement remains a bottleneck: Gravity Team CEO

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What is PayFi and how stablecoins are replacing wire transfers

Stablecoins can cross borders within seconds, but converting them into spendable local currency remains a slower and more fragmented process, Gravity Team CEO Mārtiņš Beņķītis told crypto.news as the firm launched its institutional OTC desk.

Summary

  • Stablecoin transfers do not remove the need for local liquidity, banking access, and payout infrastructure.
  • Gravity Team says traditional settlement can tie up 20% to 40% of monthly payment flows.
  • Stripe and Mastercard have expanded their stablecoin infrastructure through major acquisitions.
  • Gravity Team launched an OTC desk offering T+0 fiat settlement in more than 20 currencies.

Stablecoin payments depend on two types of liquidity

Mārtiņš Beņķītis, co-founder and CEO of emerging-markets liquidity provider Gravity Team, told crypto.news that stablecoin infrastructure has become a liquidity issue because the same tokens perform different jobs across trading and payments.

Market makers hold stablecoins to quote buy and sell prices, move inventory between exchanges, and respond to changes in trading activity. Payment companies, by contrast, use stablecoins to fund a conversion before releasing local currency to the recipient.

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Trading inventory must remain available across multiple venues, while a payment balance can be used again after settlement. However, the payment company still needs enough local currency to complete the other side of the transfer when the stablecoin arrives.

“Stablecoin payment infrastructure is a liquidity story because stablecoin balances serve very different jobs,” Beņķītis said.

“A market maker uses them to quote on both sides of order books and manage inventory risk across dozens of connected exchanges. A payment business uses them to fund a conversion and release local currency to the recipient.”

Gravity Team’s corridor analysis found that correspondent banking can leave the equivalent of 20% to 40% of monthly transaction flow in pre-funded accounts. The company said stablecoins may reduce this idle capital, but only when an operator maintains funded local-currency books and enough inventory to quote the conversion.

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The conversion point remains a bottleneck

A stablecoin payment contains at least two distinct stages. The first moves the token on-chain, while the second converts it into the currency that a recipient can spend through a local bank account or payment service.

Beņķītis said the second stage has become the newest area of competition for payment providers. Every currency market has different levels of liquidity, bank operating hours, compliance controls, transaction limits, and counterparties.

Gravity Team currently supports settlement involving the Philippine peso, Indonesian rupiah, Mexican peso, Brazilian real, euro, British pound, and U.S. dollar. The company plans to add the Vietnamese dong.

Its internal data found that between 3% and 7% of traditional inbound wires in the Southeast Asian and Latin American corridors it serves are delayed or returned on their first attempt. Stablecoin transfers in those markets reportedly clear on-chain more than 99.9% of the time once broadcast.

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Beņķītis cautioned that the on-chain success rate does not cover the entire payment.

“Local conversion and payout still have to complete after the token arrives,” he said.

Operators using direct banking relationships can control funding, payment cut-off times, and failed transactions more closely. Partner-based models can reach additional countries but depend on another company’s liquidity, availability, transaction limits, and handling of unsuccessful payouts.

The commercial test, according to Beņķītis, is therefore not how quickly a token reaches a wallet. It is how often the complete payment reaches the recipient at the quoted price and within the promised period, including when the primary payout route is unavailable.

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Stripe and Mastercard move deeper into stablecoin payments

Large payment companies have already spent heavily to bring stablecoin infrastructure into their existing networks.

Stripe completed its acquisition of Bridge in February 2025. Bridge provides infrastructure for businesses to receive, store, convert, issue, and spend stablecoins.

Mastercard completed its acquisition of BVNK on Aug. 3. The card network had agreed to pay as much as $1.8 billion, including $300 million in contingent payments, for technology connecting fiat and stablecoin rails.

Beņķītis described both acquisitions as logical steps but said global platforms must still maintain consistent pricing and settlement as they add currencies with different operating conditions.

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Gravity Team estimates that stablecoin settlement costs between 0.1% and 0.4% of the principal across the corridors it studied. Its estimated cost for correspondent banking ranges from 3% to 11% after including foreign-exchange spreads, intermediary charges, and capital held in pre-funded accounts.

Those comparisons also come from company research. Actual costs can vary by corridor, payment size, compliance requirements, and the number of intermediaries involved.

A March 2026 Federal Reserve note separately found that correspondent banking chains can make cross-border payments slower, more expensive and less transparent. The Fed said intermediaries may repeat compliance checks and make it harder to determine where a payment is being held.

Gravity Team opens institutional OTC desk

Gravity Team launched an institutional over-the-counter desk on Aug. 24 as part of its effort to connect crypto liquidity with local fiat settlement.

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The company said the service acts as the principal counterparty for transactions within agreed limits for size, price, and volatility. Clients receive quotes with defined validity periods instead of executing large orders through public exchange order books.

The desk offers stablecoin settlement in under 60 seconds and T+0 fiat settlement in more than 20 currencies where local banking conditions allow. T+0 means the fiat side is intended to settle on the same day as the transaction rather than after one or more business days.

Gravity Team said it has direct banking relationships in more than 20 markets and intends the desk for payment providers, fintech companies, brokers, and other institutions moving funds into emerging economies. It also offers request-for-quote execution and credit lines, subject to its counterparty terms.

The launch comes as emerging markets account for some of the fastest growth in crypto activity. Chainalysis reported that Asia-Pacific crypto volume rose 69% to $2.36 trillion during the 12 months ending June 2025, while Latin American activity increased 63%.

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For U.S. payment companies, the issue also extends beyond moving dollar-backed tokens overseas. Although the GENIUS Act created a federal framework for payment stablecoin issuers, domestic issuer rules do not by themselves supply peso, real, rupiah, or other local-currency liquidity in destination markets.

Stablecoins can shorten the digital part of a cross-border transfer. Completing the payment still requires local funding, currency conversion, regulatory checks, and a functioning payout route.

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Nvidia Stock Sinks As Earnings Approach

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Nvidia Stock Sinks As Earnings Approach

Nvidia (NVDA) stock on Monday is veering toward a seventh consecutive loss, remaining under pressure before the chipmaker releases its second-quarter earnings report this week. The recent IBD Stock Of The Day has struggled over the past week after forming a clear base and hitting an early entry point amid earnings reports from key AI-related companies such as Advanced Micro…

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Guardant Health Stock Dives After Losing A Patent Dispute; Judge Orders Royalties

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Guardant Health Stock Dives After Losing A Patent Dispute; Judge Orders Royalties

Guardant Health (GH) stock tumbled Monday after losing a patent battle against privately held TwinStrand Biosciences and the University of Washington. The judge ordered Guardant to pay more than $245.2 million in damages, accrued royalty and interest. Guardant will also have to pay a 6% royalty on sales of key products, including its Guardant360 and Shield tests. These tests use…

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CleanCore exits Dogecoin treasury with $33.4M sale for AI push

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CleanCore exits Dogecoin treasury with $33.4M sale for AI push

CleanCore Solutions has sold substantially all of its 463 million Dogecoin holdings for about $33.4 million as it redirects capital toward AI infrastructure while a $100 million stock offering has more than doubled its outstanding share count.

Summary

  • CleanCore sold substantially all of its 463 million DOGE holdings for about $33.4 million on July 20.
  • The proceeds were redirected toward the company’s AI infrastructure business, ending its Dogecoin treasury strategy.
  • A $100 million stock offering increased CleanCore’s outstanding shares by about 121.9% to 502.1 million.
  • Warrants covering another 524.2 million shares could result in additional dilution if exercised.

CryptoSlate, citing U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission filings, reported that CleanCore disposed of substantially all of its remaining Dogecoin (DOGE) on July 20 and allocated the proceeds to its AI infrastructure segment, ending a treasury strategy that less than a year ago was built around accumulating a major share of DOGE supply.

The sale follows several earlier disposals. An SEC prospectus showed that by June 2, CleanCore had already sold about 200 million DOGE for $18.4 million and transferred another 70 million tokens in exchange for roughly $6.8 million of professional services. At that point, it still held 463.06 million DOGE valued at approximately $44.3 million.

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CleanCore’s retreat has reversed a strategy that began in September 2025, when the company raised $175 million through a private investment in public equity to make Dogecoin its primary treasury reserve asset. As crypto.news previously reported, the financing attracted more than 80 investors, including Pantera, GSR and FalconX, while House of Doge and 21Shares advised the treasury program.

CleanCore Dogecoin treasury has moved from accumulation to liquidation

Only days after launching the strategy, CleanCore bought 285.42 million DOGE for about $68 million and initially planned to accumulate 1 billion tokens within 30 days. Its longer-term plan called for holding as much as 5% of Dogecoin’s circulating supply, according to coverage of the purchase in September 2025.

The holdings continued rising after the initial acquisition. By October 2025, CleanCore said its treasury contained 710 million DOGE and carried more than $20 million in unrealized gains, while management said the company had sufficient cash to continue buying tokens toward the 1 billion DOGE target, according to an October report.

By 2026, however, the company had begun unwinding the program. A June 8 SEC filing said CleanCore had terminated its asset management agreement with Dogecoin Ventures and 21Shares on March 6 and was managing the remaining assets internally while assessing their disposal. The company disclosed the earlier 200 million DOGE sale and 70 million DOGE transfer in the same filing.

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At the same time, CleanCore appointed Tyler Hassen as chief executive and said its business would focus on building AI infrastructure in the United States. The filing described plans to move away from both its cleaning products operations and its previously announced Dogecoin treasury strategy, while the company was exploring a sale of the cleaning business.

$100 million offering has lifted CleanCore’s share count 121.9%

Funding the new business has also substantially changed CleanCore’s capital structure.

CleanCore priced a best-efforts public offering on Aug. 11 involving 275,829,576 common shares, 124,170,424 pre-funded warrants and investor warrants covering up to another 400 million shares. The common shares and accompanying warrants were offered at a combined price of $0.25, while the pre-funded warrant packages were priced at $0.2499.

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According to CleanCore’s Aug. 20 SEC filing, issuance of the 275.83 million common shares increased shares outstanding to 502,090,260. The final prospectus placed the pre-offering total at 226,260,684 shares, meaning the shares already issued through the transaction increased the outstanding count by about 121.9%.

Potential dilution extends beyond the shares already issued. The offering included pre-funded warrants for 124.17 million shares, which carry a $0.0001 exercise price and have no expiry, alongside warrants covering as many as 400 million shares at an exercise price of $0.25 over five years.

If all offering-related warrants were eventually exercised after the Aug. 20 share count, the number associated with the offering could reach 1.026 billion shares. That remains a conditional scenario because warrant exercises are subject to ownership limits and other terms, while CleanCore’s prospectus separately lists stock options, restricted stock units, existing warrants, settlement shares and other potential equity issuances.

The company said the offering generated approximately $100 million in gross proceeds. Its prospectus estimated net proceeds of about $92 million after an $8 million placement and advisory fee, although the closing disclosure did not specify the final amount of cash received.

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AI infrastructure commitments exceed the latest equity raise

CleanCore’s new capital is being directed toward an AI infrastructure business that already carries large funding requirements.

A July 23 agreement established a joint venture for an approximately 55-megawatt data center in Minnesota, including a baseline 40-megawatt compute deployment connected to a colocation agreement with Cerebras Systems. CleanCore later said the 10-year Cerebras agreement carried an initial contract value of about $800 million, with two additional 10-year renewal options that could take potential contract value above $3 billion. Initial revenue is expected in the first quarter of 2027, according to the company.

The Minnesota venture carries an initial project budget of approximately $479 million, while CleanCore’s commitments can reach as much as $500 million under the transaction structure, according to the filings cited by CryptoSlate. An initial contribution schedule called for $25 million at the venture’s closing and as much as another $15 million within four business days depending on project needs.

CleanCore subsequently said approximately $140 million of project equity had been “funded or committed,” including proceeds from the stock offering and completed Dogecoin sales. The disclosures cited by CryptoSlate did not separate capital already funded from outstanding commitments or reconcile the $140 million figure against the venture’s contribution schedule.

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The financing model resembles a pattern already visible among other listed crypto companies. A July 2026 report found that more than a dozen digital asset treasury companies had moved toward AI and data center businesses as falling crypto prices and lower treasury premiums reduced investor demand for the digital asset treasury model.

CleanCore had reported $4.1 million in cash and cash equivalents and another $13 million in restricted cash on its March 31 balance sheet. The disclosures cited by CryptoSlate have not provided an updated cash balance incorporating the subsequent $33.4 million DOGE disposal and proceeds from the August equity offering.

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Bitcoin Braces for Warsh's Jackson Hole Debut: Will 2022 Repeat?

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Bitcoin (BTC) and S&P 500 (SPX) Performance Around Jerome Powell's First Jackson Hole

Kevin Warsh speaks at Jackson Hole on Friday, his first keynote as Federal Reserve Chair. Bitcoin traders have one question. Does this look like August 2022?

The answer sits in eight years of price data, which shows only one of those speeches actually hurt Bitcoin.

What Powell’s 2022 Speech Did to Bitcoin

Jerome Powell took the podium on August 26, 2022. He was blunt about fighting inflation and offered markets no relief.

Bitcoin fell from $21,518 to $20,230 that day. That is a drop of 6% in a single session. Likewise, the S&P 500 lost 3.4% in the same session.

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By August 28, Bitcoin sat 9% below its pre-speech level. That is the version traders fear repeating.

Bitcoin (BTC) and S&P 500 (SPX) Performance Around Jerome Powell's First Jackson Hole
Bitcoin (BTC) and S&P 500 (SPX) Performance Around Jerome Powell’s First Jackson Hole. Source: TradingView

Eight Years of Data Show 2022 Was the Outlier

BeInCrypto measured Bitcoin’s move on every Fed chair keynote day since 2018.

Bitcoin Performance Around Different Jackson Hole Speech
Bitcoin Performance Around Different Jackson Hole Speech

The median reaction is a gain of 1%. Seven of the eight moves sit inside a 5% band. Only 2022 broke that range, to mark the single move worse than 2% in eight years.

Tone alone does not explain it. The 2023 speech was also hawkish, yet Bitcoin lost only 0.4%. What set 2022 apart was surprise. Traders arrived expecting relief and got a pledge of economic pain instead.

Dovish years were not free money either. Bitcoin slipped 1.3% after Powell’s 2025 remarks, and that post-speech rally unwound within days.

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Why Warsh Could Still Deliver the Hawkish Version

The hawkish path is live, as the Fed held rates at 3.50% to 3.75% in July, but three officials voted to hike.

August minutes kept that pressure in view, with hawkish rate risks back on the table.

Inflation is the reason, as it held at 3.4% in July, and a September Fed hike is still close to a coin flip.

Heading into the Jackson Hole Symposium this week, Warsh is the wildcard because he has said little about rates since taking the job in May. This means anything he does say lands harder.

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He has framed Friday as a chance to widen the lens rather than signal a move.

“There is a tendency, especially with the proliferation of meetings and press conferences, to get caught up in the myopic … If I could, in the high mountain air in Jackson, Wyoming, I’d like to also frame the big questions,” Kevin Warsh, July 29 press conference transcript.

Bitcoin (BTC) trades near $79,093, roughly flat over the past 24 hours, after climbing 23% in the week to August 21. Traders can follow Bitcoin’s price action into Friday.

Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto
Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto

The next policy meeting falls on September 15 and 16. History says the base case is a small move. 2022 says the tail is fat.

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BitMart suggests restructuring weeks after closure announcement

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BitMart suggests restructuring weeks after closure announcement

Crypto exchange BitMart might not be shutting down after all, following this weekend’s announcement of plans to explore a potential “restructuring plan.”

BitMart says the plan may involve the phased “resumption of certain operations in an orderly manner alongside distributions to creditors.”

Restructuring counsel White & Case has been hired to help BitMart assess its options, while a roadmap detailing its future will be released “no later than September 9, 2026.”

Read more: BitMart CPO resigns as insolvency speculation mounts

Just over a month ago, on July 26, BitMart announced that it would cease all of its operations by January 31, 2027. 

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What followed was weeks of panic from users trying and failing to withdraw all of their assets from the exchange. 

BitMart’s Chief Product Officer Terence Lee resigned in a post that distanced himself from the crypto exchange’s core operations. 

Its CEO Nathan Chow was terminated prior to the closure announcement and wasn’t made aware the announcement in the first place. 

All of this led has led to speculation that the firm may be insolvent. 

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Ripple Payment Rails Separated From FedNow Access by Volante

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Infographic showing a 6-step cross-border payment flow cycle around a central mobile payment icon.

Volante Technologies offers U.S. banks and financial institutions a unified solution for the Federal Reserve’s FedNow Service and The Clearing House’s RTP real-time payments network. Separately, Volante’s cross-border payment materials list Ripple and digital currencies among the services its platform processes.

The available materials describe separate capabilities, while the Federal Reserve’s FedNow participants and service providers page does not mention XRP or Ripple.

Volante says its cloud-native cross-border payments platform processes SWIFT gpi, Ripple, Visa B2B, Mastercard Send, digital currencies, alternative payments, and other services from a single platform. The company also describes connectivity to SWIFT, blockchain networks, major card networks, and alternative payment rails.

Infographic showing a 6-step cross-border payment flow cycle around a central mobile payment icon.

This architecture presents multiple payment and messaging options through one provider. Volante’s cross-border materials identify Ripple alongside other rails, while its FedNow announcement describes a separate unified offering for FedNow and TCH RTP.

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Volante’s FedNow Offering Ripple Payment

In an announcement, Volante said it was offering U.S. banks and financial institutions a single unified solution for the FedNow Service and TCH RTP real-time payments. The company said adopters could begin with TCH RTP and add the FedNow Service when the network was ready.

The announcement said Volante had joined the FedNow Pilot Program in early 2021 and was a prospective participant in the Federal Reserve’s FedNow Service Provider Showcase. It described capabilities for real-time and instant payments and said Volante’s FedNow offering would be extensible to wire, ACH, and SWIFT. However, the announcement does not refer to Ripple or XRP.

The Federal Reserve’s FedNow participants and service providers page describes the FedNow Service as instant-payments infrastructure through which participating banks and credit unions can send and receive transactions within seconds on behalf of customers, 24 hours a day, seven days a week.

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Illustration of a clock integrated with dollar bills and the text defining FedNow as an instant-payment platform.
Infographic explaining the FedNow instant-payment platform from Investopedia.

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Keeping the Distinction Clear

Volante’s materials support two separate points: the company offers a FedNow and TCH RTP solution for U.S. financial institutions, and its cross-border platform processes Ripple among a broader set of payment services. The supplied materials do not describe a shared settlement mechanism between FedNow and Ripple.

Xrp (XRP)
24h7d30d1yAll time

A direct statement from FedNow connecting the service to XRP or Ripple would be needed to establish such a link. Based on the materials reviewed, Volante’s FedNow offering and its Ripple-related cross-border capability should be treated as separate parts of the vendor’s platform.

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Goverment Shutdown 2026 Odds Fall as Markets Split the October 1 Risk

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Goverment Shutdown 2026 Odds Fall as Markets Split the October 1 Risk

Kalshi’s contract on a federal government shutdown on October 1, 2026 priced YES at 15-16 cents, an implied odds near 10% and down sharply from 35% just three weeks earlier.

Polymarket’s parallel market, which resolves on a different trigger and a later cutoff, still showed 16.5 cents as of August 14, per Polymarket Trader’s snapshot. The gap between those two numbers says less about Washington than about how differently the two venues define a shutdown.

The Goverment Shutdown Odds In 2026 Aren’t Pricing the Same Bet

Kalshi’s contract resolves YES only if part of the government is shut down at 10:00 a.m. ET on October 1 specifically. Polymarket runs two separate contracts on the same date: one requiring an actual shutdown, agencies suspending non-excepted operations, typically with furloughs, by 11:59 p.m. ET, and a second, broader “any-duration lapse” contract that pays out even on a brief technical gap with zero operational impact.

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On August 14, Polymarket priced the shutdown version at 16.5 cents and the lapse version at 13.5 cents.

Source: Kalshi

A third Polymarket market bundles “another shutdown by January 31, 2027” with the 2026 House winner. Its no-shutdown legs had already settled at zero cents by the August 14 check, while the shutdown-plus-Democratic-House leg traded at 87.3 cents.

That is the market telling traders something specific: a lapse somewhere in the current funding cycle is priced as close to certain, even while an October 1 lapse specifically sits in the mid-teens.

A Five-Week Repricing, Told Through Three Snapshots

Kalshi’s own market commentary put the shutdown contract at 35% on July 31, with Senate negotiators reportedly nearing a stopgap that would fund the government to December 4 while capping a disputed OMB rule on appropriated spending.

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By August 3, the cross-venue average had fallen to 28%, with Kalshi at 25% and PredictIt at 31%. Two weeks later, Kalshi had drifted down again to the 12-13% range on roughly $193,000 in contract volume.

That trajectory, 35%, then 28%, then roughly 12-13%, is a repricing toward “Congress avoids the specific date,” not toward “shutdown risk is gone.”

The combined Polymarket market’s zeroed-out no-shutdown legs for January 31 make that distinction explicit: traders are separating the October 1 deadline from the broader fiscal-year window, and pricing them very differently.

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Both books remain thin relative to 2025, when related shutdown contracts on Polymarket cleared roughly $157 million in cumulative volume on the start-date market alone – a reminder that current liquidity of a few thousand to a few hundred thousand dollars leaves these prices more exposed to spread and single-trade repricing than last year’s deeper markets.

The Percentage Is Only Half the Trade. Kalshi Lets You Trade the Exact Question.

The shutdown market shows why prediction trading is more than glancing at a headline probability. A 15% contract can mean something very different from another market showing 16% if the resolution rules, timing, and trigger are not identical.

That precision is part of Kalshi’s appeal.

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Users can trade directly on defined real-world outcomes across politics, economic data, Fed decisions, crypto, and other major events, with every contract spelling out exactly what must happen for YES or NO to settle.

For traders following Washington into October, that creates a cleaner way to express a view than trying to guess how stocks, bonds, Bitcoin, or the dollar might react to the same event.

The government may avoid a shutdown at 10:00 a.m. on October 1 and still face another funding crisis weeks later. Kalshi lets traders separate those questions rather than treat them as a single macro bet.

Eligible new users who join through CryptoNews can also receive $25 through our referral link.

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Gemini strikes Apex deal to widen prediction markets reach

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U.S. CFTC files request to erase Gemini settlement that it no longer considers fair


The planned tie-up would make Gemini the exclusive CFTC-regulated venue for crypto event contracts offered through Apex’s futures commission merchant.

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