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Metaplex Launches All-In-One App to Optimize Onchain Capital on Solana

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Editor’s note: Metaplex has introduced a new self-service application designed to simplify how tokens are launched on Solana. The Metaplex App aims to replace gated launchpads, custom-built infrastructure, and volatile bonding curve models with a standardized, permissionless interface for Token Generation Events. By lowering technical and structural barriers, the platform targets a broader range of issuers, including Web2 companies, institutions, and emerging AI-driven projects. The move reflects a broader shift in onchain capital formation, as tokenization continues to expand beyond crypto-native startups into more traditional and hybrid digital business models.

Key points

  • Metaplex launches a self-service app enabling permissionless token creation without coding expertise.
  • Projects can choose between structured “project tokens” and short-window “memecoin” launch formats.
  • Launch pools replace bonding curves, with anti-sniper protections to reduce bot and insider advantages.
  • At least 20% of sale proceeds are automatically allocated to locked liquidity pools.
  • The app includes a discovery and trading dashboard for participating in and tracking new launches.

Why this matters

As tokenization expands into new sectors, infrastructure that reduces complexity and perceived unfairness becomes critical. By standardizing launch mechanics and embedding liquidity and anti-bot protections, Metaplex is positioning itself as a foundational layer for capital formation on Solana. For builders and institutions exploring onchain fundraising, simplified tooling may lower entry barriers and accelerate adoption.

What to watch next

  • Adoption levels among Web2 companies and institutional projects launching tokens via the app.
  • Early performance and liquidity outcomes of tokens created through launch pools.
  • Integration of the app within the broader Solana ecosystem and SVM-based applications.
  • User activity within the discovery and trading hub as new launches go live.

Disclosure: The content below is a press release provided by the company/PR representative. It is published for informational purposes.

SAN FRANCISCO – February 24, 2026 – Metaplex, the protocol behind over 99% of all tokens and NFTs on Solana, today announced the launch of the Metaplex App, a new platform providing a full-stack, self-service solution for token launches. The application provides an alternative to gated ICOs and chaotic bonding curves, reducing friction for businesses, platforms, and asset classes to leverage the reliable, battle-tested Metaplex launch protocol for global capital formation. 

For years, onchain capital formation has been broken. Creators have been forced to choose between three flawed paths: investing heavy technical resources into custom infrastructure, applying for acceptance into exclusive, gated launchpads, or risking a launch on a bonding curve that often lacks control and favors insiders. The Metaplex App eliminates these barriers, offering a streamlined interface where anyone can create and launch tokens without coding knowledge. Metaplex allows any project, from Web2 companies and institutions to AI agents, to execute a professional Token Generation Event (TGE) permissionlessly.

“The next generation of breakout technology businesses and platforms will launch onchain, using tokens for capital formation and DeFi to deliver their products at scale.,” said Stephen Hess (@meta_hess), the founder of Metaplex and director at the Metaplex Foundation. “ Since 2021, Metaplex has powered 99% of asset creation on Solana, but accessing that infrastructure required deep technical expertise. By moving away from the application only model of traditional launchpads and removing the technical barriers to entry, we are providing every project, from Web2 institutions to AI agents, the ability to formulate capital onchain.” 

The Metaplex App is designed to serve as the foundational entry point for the next wave of global capital. Metaplex is clearing the path for Web2 companies, traditional financial institutions, and emerging AI agents to form capital onchain. This expansion moves the industry beyond speculation and enables a vast array of new asset classes to leverage tokens as a transparent, efficient vehicle for growth. For the first time, projects have a reliable alternative to the friction of traditional funding or the roadblocks native to existing onchain methods, allowing them to focus on building value rather than navigating infrastructure.

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Key features of the Metaplex App include:

  • Self-Service Token Creation: Projects can manage their own launch parameters with no technical skills required. The platform allows projects to choose between two distinct streams designed to scale with their project’s specific needs: project tokens or memecoins. Project tokens are optimized for long-term capital formation and feature higher minimum caps and extended launch pool windows, while memecoins leverage 1-hour launch pools and a lower minimum cap.
  • Anti-Sniper Protection: By utilizing launch pools, the app removes the vulnerabilities of bonding curves and the traditional “first-come, first-served” advantages of presales, the platform prevents bots and front-runners from hijacking the initial supply.
  • Automated Liquidity: To ensure immediate tradability and long-term health, a minimum of 20% of sale proceeds are automatically locked into liquidity pools.
  • Discovery & Trading Hub: A central dashboard for users to discover upcoming launches, participate in active pools, and trade tokens launched on Metaplex.

With over 22 million fungible tokens and nearly 1 billion total assets created to date, Metaplex is reshaping onchain capital formation on Solana. For more information, visit Metaplex.com.

ABOUT METAPLEX

Metaplex is the standard for asset creation on one of the largest blockchain ecosystems in the world. The Metaplex App allows users to discover, trade and launch tokens, while Metaplex asset standards power the largest stablecoins, RWAs, DEXes, launchpads, wallets and other apps on Solana and the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM).

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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CrowdStrike (CRWD) Stock Rallies on $1.5 Billion Share Repurchase Authorization

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CRWD Stock Card

Key Highlights

  • Share repurchase authorization elevated to $1.5 billion, demonstrating management conviction
  • CRWD stock stabilizes around $400 mark with minimal 0.26% session decline
  • Recent buyback activity totaled $150.6M following impressive fourth-quarter performance
  • Artificial intelligence integration fueling cybersecurity platform expansion and revenue targets
  • Enhanced repurchase program underscores management’s belief in current valuation opportunity

CrowdStrike Holdings (CRWD) experienced minimal downward pressure during trading while simultaneously reinforcing its shareholder value initiatives. The cybersecurity platform provider saw shares settle at $398.08, representing a slight 0.26% decrease, as the company unveiled an enhanced share repurchase framework reflecting strong institutional confidence in its artificial intelligence-powered growth trajectory.


CRWD Stock Card

CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc., CRWD

Enhanced Repurchase Authorization Demonstrates Financial Strength

CrowdStrike elevated its authorized share repurchase capacity to $1.5 billion, marking a significant increase from its prior authorization level. This strategic move followed the company’s recent acquisition of $150.6 million worth of shares at an average cost of $364.57 per share. Leadership emphasized maintaining operational flexibility for future repurchase execution.

The cybersecurity firm successfully completed the acquisition of more than 413,000 Class A common shares through its active repurchase initiative. These strategic transactions demonstrate a disciplined framework for returning value to shareholders while preserving financial flexibility. The program aligns seamlessly with the organization’s overarching financial strategy and competitive market position.

The repurchase framework operates without predetermined termination dates or mandatory purchase volumes. CrowdStrike maintains discretionary authority to execute transactions according to prevailing market dynamics and strategic priorities. This structure provides management with maximum flexibility regarding transaction timing, pricing strategies, and execution methodologies.

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Artificial Intelligence Drives Platform Innovation and Revenue Expansion

CrowdStrike consistently advances its cybersecurity ecosystem through cutting-edge artificial intelligence integration. The organization correlates its expansion roadmap with accelerating enterprise appetite for AI-enhanced security solutions. Management has established an ambitious target of achieving $20 billion in annual recurring revenue before the conclusion of fiscal year 2036.

Leadership identified a valuation discrepancy between the company’s operational performance and current market pricing. This perceived undervaluation served as a catalyst for amplifying the repurchase authorization while simultaneously maintaining aggressive growth investment levels. The company continues scaling its comprehensive platform architecture to capture expanding enterprise market opportunities.

The cybersecurity industry has experienced substantial momentum in adopting artificial intelligence-powered threat intelligence and automated response technologies. CrowdStrike embeds these advanced capabilities throughout its flagship Falcon platform to maximize operational effectiveness and efficiency. The organization balances continuous innovation initiatives with prudent capital management strategies.

Share Price Action Demonstrates Technical Stability

CrowdStrike equity experienced marginal downward pressure throughout the trading session despite periodic recovery momentum. The stock maintained positioning immediately beneath the psychological $400 threshold, suggesting a period of technical consolidation. Price behavior indicates underlying stability rather than fundamental deterioration.

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Intraday fluctuations represented equilibrium between profit realization activities and persistent institutional accumulation. Strategic buyers provided support following midday softness, effectively preventing more pronounced declines. Near-term resistance around the $400 level continues limiting immediate upside advancement.

CrowdStrike preserves a constructive technical structure underpinned by its comprehensive growth strategy and capital allocation framework. The expanded repurchase authorization signals strong management conviction regarding future operational performance and valuation normalization. The company successfully navigates the balance between technological innovation, revenue growth acceleration, and consistent shareholder value creation.

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Schwab Bitcoin Ethereum trading launches for 38M clients

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Schwab Bitcoin Ethereum trading launches for 38M clients

Charles Schwab will launch Schwab Bitcoin Ethereum trading in Q2 2026, giving its 38.9 million active brokerage clients direct spot access to crypto for the first time through a new service called Schwab Crypto.

Summary

  • Schwab confirmed a phased rollout of direct spot Bitcoin and Ethereum trading in Q2 2026, operated through its banking subsidiary Charles Schwab Premier Bank and branded as Schwab Crypto
  • CEO Rick Wurster first signaled the move in mid-2025, confirmed the Q2 timeline in a March 2026 interview with Barron’s, and said the company is “ready to compete in spot Bitcoin and Ethereum trading”
  • Schwab manages $12.22 trillion in client assets, saw a 400% spike in crypto site traffic in 2025, and plans to follow the spot launch with a stablecoin product once the GENIUS Act is in effect

Charles Schwab Schwab Bitcoin Ethereum trading is now confirmed and imminent. As crypto.news reported, the firm confirmed it “remains on track to launch our spot crypto offer in the first half of 2026, starting with bitcoin and ether,” with a rollout beginning in Q2. The service will be operated through Charles Schwab Premier Bank, SSB, a regulated banking subsidiary, and is branded as Schwab Crypto. A waitlist for early access is already open.

CEO Rick Wurster confirmed the timeline in a March 2026 interview with Barron’s. He said the company is “ready to compete in spot Bitcoin and Ethereum trading,” framing the launch as the natural next step in a deliberate, multi-year build-out.

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The service represents a structural departure from Schwab’s prior crypto model. Until now, clients could access Bitcoin and Ethereum only through ETFs, futures contracts, and Schwab’s Crypto Thematic Index ETF. Schwab Crypto will allow clients to hold actual cryptocurrency through Schwab’s banking infrastructure, eliminating the need to open a separate account at a crypto-native exchange.

The rollout will be phased: internal employee testing comes first, followed by a limited client launch, then a broader rollout to the wider brokerage base. The service will not initially be available in New York or Louisiana. Not all applicants will qualify.

The Scale of What This Represents

Schwab manages $12.22 trillion in client assets across 38.9 million active brokerage accounts. As crypto.news noted, the firm reported a 400% increase in traffic to its crypto site in 2025, with 70% of that traffic coming from non-clients, a signal of how large the untapped demand pool is among mainstream investors who prefer a familiar brokerage environment over crypto-native platforms.

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Schwab’s March 2026 internal research characterized Bitcoin as a “matured mainstream asset,” a shift in institutional framing that helped clear the path for the launch. The Trump administration’s rollback of SEC accounting restrictions on crypto and the Federal Reserve’s loosening of bank crypto guidelines provided the regulatory runway Schwab had been waiting for since Wurster first flagged the plan.

Competitive Implications

The competitive threat to existing crypto exchanges is significant. Schwab’s scale could allow it to undercut existing platforms on fees, and the firm’s existing brokerage relationship with tens of millions of retail investors gives it a distribution advantage that no crypto-native exchange can replicate. Morgan Stanley is also preparing a comparable launch through its E*TRADE platform.

Schwab has additionally indicated plans to introduce a stablecoin product once the GENIUS Act clears, a sign that the firm is treating spot trading as the start of a more comprehensive crypto build-out rather than a one-time product launch.

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Circle Unveils Arc Roadmap With Phased Quantum-Resistant Blockchain Security Plan

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Circle plans phased quantum resistance across Arc, starting with opt-in post-quantum signatures at mainnet launch
  • Arc design allows users and developers to adopt quantum-safe features gradually without disrupting existing systems
  • Roadmap addresses risks of future decryption threats by enabling early protection against quantum computing advances
  • Infrastructure layers, including validators, will integrate quantum resistance over time for full network security

Circle has outlined a phased roadmap for its Arc blockchain, focusing on long-term security against quantum computing risks.

The plan introduces post-quantum cryptography at launch, while maintaining flexibility through opt-in adoption across wallets, validators, and core infrastructure layers.

Phased rollout targets quantum-resistant infrastructure

A recent update shared by Wu Blockchain on X detailed Circle’s approach to building Arc with quantum resilience in mind.

The roadmap shows a structured path toward securing every layer of the network, starting from wallets to deeper infrastructural components.

The mainnet launch will introduce post-quantum signature support as an optional feature. This allows users to create wallets secured against future quantum threats without forcing immediate system-wide changes. At the same time, existing cryptographic standards remain usable during the transition period.

This phased design reduces disruption across the ecosystem. Developers can continue building without rewriting applications, while users retain control over when to upgrade their security settings. As a result, the network maintains stability during gradual adoption.

Circle’s roadmap also addresses concerns tied to “harvest now, decrypt later” scenarios. In such cases, encrypted data collected today could become vulnerable once quantum computing advances. By enabling early adoption of quantum-resistant tools, Arc aims to reduce that exposure over time.

The update further notes that quantum computing could challenge public-key cryptography by 2030 or earlier. This timeline has shaped the decision to embed quantum resistance directly into the network’s foundation rather than relying on future upgrades.

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Mainnet launch introduces opt-in post-quantum signatures

The roadmap places strong focus on the mainnet phase, where post-quantum signatures will be introduced. This step marks the first practical implementation of Arc’s long-term security strategy within a live environment.

Users will have the option to create wallets secured by post-quantum cryptographic schemes at launch. This approach avoids forcing migrations while still offering advanced protection for those who choose it early. Over time, adoption can expand based on user preference and ecosystem readiness.

The design also ensures forward compatibility. As new cryptographic standards evolve, the network can integrate updates without requiring disruptive resets. This supports continuity for both developers and institutions operating on the platform.

Validators and infrastructure layers are also included in later phases of the roadmap. These components will gradually adopt quantum-resistant mechanisms, aligning the entire system under a unified security framework.

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Circle’s approach reflects a shift toward building infrastructure prepared for future risks. Instead of reacting to emerging threats, Arc’s roadmap introduces security measures during early development stages. This method reduces the need for urgent fixes later.

The structured rollout ensures that each layer of the network evolves without breaking existing functionality. At the same time, it allows stakeholders to adapt at their own pace while maintaining network integrity.

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Georgia AI chatbot bill heads to governor as session ends

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Georgia AI chatbot bill heads to governor as session ends

Georgia’s legislature adjourns today, April 6, having sent three AI-related bills to Governor Brian Kemp’s desk, the most notable being a Georgia AI chatbot bill that mandates disclosure, child protections, and crisis response protocols for self-harm.

Summary

  • Georgia’s SB 540, a chatbot disclosure and child safety bill, requires operators to notify users they are interacting with AI, limit certain actions by minors, offer privacy tools, and follow protocols when users express suicidal ideation or intent to self-harm
  • Two additional bills also await the governor: SB 444, which bans AI-only health insurance coverage decisions, and SR 789, a resolution creating a study committee on AI’s broader societal impact
  • Georgia’s SB 540 stands out nationally because it contains no carve-out for chatbots embedded within larger platforms, meaning major tech companies including Meta and Google would need to comply

Georgia’s 2026 legislative session is closing today with three AI bills awaiting Governor Brian Kemp’s signature, including a Georgia AI chatbot bill that is drawing national attention for its breadth and lack of industry exemptions, according to the Transparency Coalition AI’s legislative tracker. The package arrives as more than 27 states advance chatbot safety legislation in 2026, creating a fast-moving patchwork of AI regulations that the White House has publicly warned against.

Georgia’s SB 540 passed the Senate on March 6, cleared the House on March 25, and received Senate agreement on the reconciliation version on March 27. The bill requires chatbot operators to notify users that they are interacting with AI, implement steps that limit certain interactions with minors, provide privacy tools, and establish response protocols when users express suicidal ideation or self-harm intent.

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What makes the bill unusual nationally is that it does not include a carve-out for chatbots embedded within a broader service, an exemption that most similar bills include and that would otherwise shield platforms like Meta and Google from having to comply. As crypto.news reported, the global push for chatbot child safety regulation gained momentum earlier this year when UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer signalled plans to bring AI chatbots under stricter online safety rules, citing identical concerns around emotional dependency and unregulated AI-generated advice to minors.

The Other Two Bills on Kemp’s Desk

SB 444 prohibits health insurance coverage decisions from being based solely on AI systems or software tools, requiring human involvement in coverage determinations. It addresses a growing concern that automated denial systems are replacing clinical judgment without appropriate oversight.

SR 789 is a Senate resolution creating a Senate Study Committee on the Impact of Artificial Intelligence, a recognition that Georgia’s legislature intends to keep engaging on the issue after adjournment.

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A State-Level Wave the White House Is Watching

As crypto.news has noted, the acceleration of AI safety regulation without clear standards risks creating a compliance landscape where enforcement is inconsistent and under-resourced. The Trump administration has explicitly warned states against “onerous” AI laws and is pushing for a national standard to preempt state-level patchworks. A 10-year moratorium on state AI laws was proposed in the One Big Beautiful Bill Act last summer but was removed from the final legislation in a 99-to-1 Senate vote.

Tennessee’s Governor Bill Lee recently signed an AI therapy bot ban into law. Idaho approved four AI bills before session end. With Georgia now adjourning, the 2026 state AI legislative wave has not peaked.

“SB 540 is a chatbot disclosure and child safety bill, requiring notification of AI nature, steps to limit certain actions by minors, provide privacy tools, and protocols for response to suicidal ideation or self-harm,” the Transparency Coalition AI wrote in its April 3 legislative update. Whether Governor Kemp signs or vetoes the bills will be one of the first signals of how Republican-led states will navigate Washington’s pressure to stand down on AI regulation.

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Bitcoin Eyes $110K as Strategy Absorbs Nearly 3x New BTC Supply

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Bitcoin Eyes $110k As Strategy Absorbs Nearly 3x New Btc Supply

Bitcoin Eyes $110k As Strategy Absorbs Nearly 3x New Btc Supply

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This article was originally published as Bitcoin Eyes $110K as Strategy Absorbs Nearly 3x New BTC Supply on Crypto Breaking News – your trusted source for crypto news, Bitcoin news, and blockchain updates.

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Senate Banking Committee Sets April Timeline for Landmark Crypto Regulation Vote

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

Key Takeaways

  • April deadline set for Senate Banking Committee vote on comprehensive crypto framework

  • Legislators work to clarify jurisdictional boundaries between SEC and CFTC

  • Election cycle considerations accelerate timeline for digital asset legislation

  • Policy disputes over stablecoins and token classification near resolution

  • Committee markup process represents critical milestone for regulatory clarity

The United States Senate is positioning itself for a significant advancement in digital asset policy as April emerges as the critical month for legislative action. With the Senate Banking Committee preparing to restart formal proceedings, a comprehensive regulatory framework may finally transition from prolonged discussions to concrete legislative measures.

Committee Leadership Confirms April Restart for Digital Asset Legislation

Senator Bill Hagerty has publicly confirmed that the Senate Banking Committee intends to reconvene discussions on cryptocurrency policy during April. Committee leadership has expressed determination to advance the proposed legislation through formal markup procedures in the coming weeks. This commitment reflects a significant shift in momentum following extended periods of legislative inactivity.

Lawmakers temporarily suspended earlier initiatives following political challenges and persistent disagreements over fundamental policy elements. Nevertheless, committee participants now demonstrate greater consensus regarding the necessity of moving forward with structured legislative action. Consequently, the upcoming month represents a potentially transformative period for federal cryptocurrency policy development.

Before any consideration reaches the full Senate chamber, the Banking Committee must complete its comprehensive review and formal approval procedures. Additionally, collaboration with the agriculture committee remains essential given the overlapping supervisory responsibilities for commodity-related digital assets. Therefore, successful advancement requires sustained cooperation across multiple legislative bodies.

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Regulatory Authority Division Remains Central to Legislative Framework

The proposed legislative structure focuses extensively on establishing clear jurisdictional boundaries between the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. Presently, both regulatory agencies maintain competing claims over various categories of digital assets. This ambiguity has created an environment where enforcement actions substitute for comprehensive regulatory guidance.

The SEC’s approach typically classifies numerous digital tokens as securities requiring registration and disclosure compliance, whereas the CFTC designates prominent cryptocurrencies as commodities subject to futures market oversight. Such divergent interpretations have resulted in fragmented enforcement rather than coherent industry standards. Accordingly, the pending legislation attempts to establish definitive jurisdictional parameters and eliminate regulatory overlap.

Draft provisions include mandatory licensing frameworks for cryptocurrency exchanges and custodial service providers. Additional requirements would establish standardized disclosure obligations for entities issuing new tokens. These measures collectively aim to create predictable compliance pathways throughout the digital asset ecosystem.

Electoral Considerations and Stakeholder Engagement Shape Legislative Schedule

The accelerated timeline for cryptocurrency legislation reflects increasing awareness of digital asset policy as an electoral consideration ahead of 2026 congressional elections. Legislative leaders acknowledge the expanding political influence exercised by cryptocurrency advocacy organizations and industry coalitions. This recognition has elevated regulatory clarity to a matter of strategic political importance.

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Coinbase representatives and allied industry participants have reported meaningful progress in resolving previously contentious policy matters. Outstanding concerns regarding stablecoin interest-bearing functionality and ethical questions surrounding asset tokenization appear closer to compromise. These developments suggest that major obstacles to bipartisan support may be diminishing.

Political action committees focused on cryptocurrency issues have substantially increased their financial participation and campaign engagement throughout recent election cycles. This expanding political footprint continues to influence legislative agenda-setting within Congress. Subsequently, digital asset regulation has become intertwined with broader electoral strategy considerations.

Lawmakers recognize the strategic value of securing committee approval before campaign activities intensify later in the year. However, several technical specifications and jurisdictional details require additional negotiation and refinement. Accordingly, while legislative momentum has clearly increased, final passage remains contingent on resolving these remaining complexities.

Achieving a positive committee vote would establish the first comprehensive legislative framework for digital assets at the federal level. Such progress would significantly reduce the regulatory uncertainty that has constrained domestic innovation and market development. Ultimately, this legislative initiative could fundamentally alter the United States’ approach to digital financial infrastructure and establish a model for coordinated regulatory oversight.

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Trump’s Iran Deadline and the Case for a $75K Bitcoin Price Rally

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Trump’s Iran Deadline and the Case for a $75K Bitcoin Price Rally

Key takeaways:

  • President Trump’s Tuesday deadline to Iran creates a pivotal moment for Bitcoin as it continues to decouple from gold.

  • While a ceasefire could boost equities, Bitcoin’s $75,000 path depends on its role as a hedge against fiscal instability.

BTC may benefit from (no) US-Iran ceasefire

There is a high probability that US President Donald Trump’s Tuesday deadline to Iran could be the catalyst needed for a Bitcoin (BTC) rally above $75,000.

Should a deal fail to materialize, Bitcoin’s risk perception could strengthen due to its unique decentralized properties. Conversely, a positive outcome in negotiations would likely propel risk assets, including Bitcoin.

President Trump issued an ultimatum to Iran on Sunday, warning the nation would be “living in Hell” if the Strait of Hormuz is not reopened by Tuesday at 8:00 pm ET. However, CNBC reports that Trump has been “vacillating” between productive dialogue and the intensification of military action.

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Senior Iranian officials reportedly stated the strait will remain blocked until Iran receives compensation for war damages.

Gold/USD (left) vs. Bitcoin/USD (right). Source: TradingView

These mixed signals failed to convince market participants on Monday, as US stock markets traded mostly flat. In contrast, Bitcoin jumped above $69,000 for the first time in over 10 days—a trend made more notable by gold prices holding near $4,650, down 17% from a $5,600 all-time high.

Bitcoin slowly catching up to gold

Traders are increasingly concerned that central banks will be forced to liquidate their gold reserves. The Turkish Central Bank reported sales of 50 tonnes of gold for the week ending March 20, the sharpest decline in over seven years.

According to Reuters, Turkey has also sold $26 billion in foreign currencies to stabilize markets since the US and Israel-Iran war broke out in late February. Similarly, Russian gold reserves measured in tons have dropped to their lowest levels in four years.

A ceasefire in Iran, even if temporary, would almost certainly bolster risk markets, though the implications for Bitcoin are less certain.

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Traditional corporations remain heavily dependent on energy costs and global logistics. Therefore, any reduction in geopolitical risk is immediately reflected in equity prices.

However, a deal between the US and Iran would likely have a less direct impact on Bitcoin, as a resolution would likely strengthen the demand for US Treasuries.

Crude West Texas Oil (left) vs. US 5-year Treasury yield (right). Source: TradingView

Yields on the US 5-year Treasury note surged to 4% from 3.55% in late February, signaling that investors are demanding higher returns to hold those bonds. While part of this selling pressure stems from fears of sticky inflation driven by high oil prices, there is also the added burden on the US fiscal debt due to increased spending on military operations.

An eventual ceasefire and renewed confidence in the US Treasury reduces the necessity for alternative hedges and independent financial systems such as Bitcoin.

However, even if the Strait of Hormuz is reopened, Mohit Mirpuri, an equity fund manager at SGMC Capital, warned that “the damage to confidence and supply chains is already done — things don’t just snap back to normal.”

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Related: Iran war bets turn prediction markets into real-time macro radar—Sygnum

Predicting that the Bitcoin price will rally 8% by Tuesday based solely on a potential resolution to the US and Israel-Iran war seems far-fetched. Investors are gradually adjusting to President Trump’s characteristic back-and-forth, especially when negotiations involve unreliable third parties.

Traders are unlikely to provide the benefit of the doubt in this instance, so sustainable bullish momentum for risk markets could take longer to materialize. Nevertheless, the case for a $75,000 Bitcoin rally remains possible in the event of a positive outcome by Tuesday.