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Nvidia, Palantir stocks sink amid growth, value rotation

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nvidia stock

Nvidia shares slid to their lowest level since December, falling roughly 20% from record highs as an accelerating rotation from growth to value pushed the world’s most valuable company into bear-market territory.

Similarly, Palantir stock dropped to $130 as crypto.news predicted before its earnings. 

Summary

  • NVIDIA share price dropped into a bear market on Thursday.
  • There are signs that investors are dumping growth stocks.
  • Technical analysis points to a drop to $150.

Why is Nvidia down?

The ongoing Nvidia stock crash mirrors that of other growth companies. For example, AMD, its key competitor, tumbled to $194, down 27% from its December high.

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The software sector slid into a technical bear market, with the iShares Expanded Tech-Software ETF (IGV) down more than 20% as investor anxiety around AI disruption fueled what some are calling a “SaaSpocalypse.” Fears that autonomous AI agents could replace traditional software licenses have weighed on stocks such as Palantir, which continued to sink.

Wedbush analyst Dan Ives pushed back on the pessimism, calling the selloff a “software garage sale” and arguing the market is pricing in an unrealistic doomsday scenario. Ives said enterprise software remains deeply embedded, citing data security risks and migration costs. He named Palantir, Microsoft, Snowflake, Salesforce, and CrowdStrike as long-term winners despite the recent panic.

On the other hand

Value companies are doing well, with the Vanguard Value ETF and the Schwab U.S. Dividend ETF (SCHD) rising by nearly 10% this year. They are all trading at their all-time highs. 

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Nvidia stock has crashed as traders reflect on key concerns. For example, there are concerns about whether big-tech companies will continue their spending. These concerns accelerated after Microsoft’s report showed that its cloud revenue slowed in the fourth quarter. Its stock has dropped to $400, down by 27 from its all-time high. 

Therefore, there is a risk that the company and other top hyperscalers will begin to pare back their spending to please investors concerned about return on investment.

NVIDIA stock has sunk as investors remain concerned about its Chinese business. A report by the Financial Times said that the Trump administration was still conducting a review on sales of H200 chips to China. Beijing has allowed ByteDance, Tencent, and Alibaba to buy 400k chips.

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At the same time, Nvidia’s biggest customers are working on their own ASIC chips. Google is working on its TPU chips, while Amazon, Microsoft, and OpenAI are hoping to launch theirs soon. This development may lead to competition and lower sales in the long-term. 

The next key catalyst for Nvidia’s stock price is its financial results, which will provide more information about its business. Analysts anticipate its revenue will come in at $67 billion, up over 50% from 2024. Its annual revenue is expected to exceed $500 billion by 2027 or 2028.

NVIDIA share price technical analysis

nvidia stock
 NVDA stock chart | Source: TradingView

The daily chart shows that the NVDA share price is flashing red signals. It has formed a head-and-shoulders pattern and is now at the neckline. This is one of the most common bearish reversal sign.

It has moved below the 23.6% Fibonacci Retracement level. Also, it retreated below the 50-day moving average and the Supertrend indicator. Therefore, the most likely forecast is that it continues falling, potentially to $150, the 50% retracement level.

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Crypto World

Crypto giant debuts WTI trading, but it’s a different model to Hyperliquid’s perps

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Crypto giant debuts WTI trading, but it's a different model to Hyperliquid's perps

The Iran war has set oil on fire and crypto exchanges are racing to offer 24/7 trading to fill tradfi gaps, with most copying decentralized giant Hyperliquid’s perpetual-futures play.

Crypto market-making giant Wintermute is taking a different approach. On Tuesday, its derivatives unit, Wintermute Asia, launched over-the-counter (OTC) trading in WTI crude oil contracts for difference (CFDs).

CFD is type of derivative that allows traders to speculate on the price movement of an asset without owning it. Similar to futures, CFDs track the asset’s price, but the key difference is that only the difference between the opening and closing prices is exchanged between the trader and the broker when the contract is closed.

These are typically traded over-the-counter and can be tailored in term sof size, duration and margin requirements. This bespoke flexibility allows professional traders and institutions to design strategies that match specific risk-return objectives, rather than conforming to one-size-fits-all derivatives such as Hyperliquid’s oil perpetual futures.

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Wintermute’s CFD launch comes amid weeks of intense geopolitical volatility in the Middle East. Escalating tensions between Iran and the U.S.–Israel coalition have left traders in a bind over weekends when traditional finance markets are closed, limiting their ability to adjust positions or manage risk effectively. This led to outsized trading activity on Hyperliquid’s energy market perpetuals and prompted WIntermute to offer CFDs.

“We are seeing strong demand from counterparties looking to use digital asset infrastructure to trade traditional products like oil. The recent price action made that need much more immediate, as many investors were unable to act until traditional venues reopened,” said Evgeny Gaevoy, CEO of Wintermute.

“A Wintermute counterparty could have traded the weekend move before the Monday gap or responded immediately to the reversal,” Gaevoy added.

Note that Wintermute is a counterparty in the CFD. Traders aren’t matched with each other; they are trading directly against Wintermute, which is taking on the market risk. The firm is, therefore, leveraging its risk management systems and deep liquidity to monetize demand for 24/7 crude than simply supplying liquidity to perpetual futures.

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Traders can access WTI CFDs with zero trading fees, using a variety of fiat and crypto assets as margin, the official announcement said. Contracts can be executed via chat, Wintermute’s electronic OTC platform, or API. The rollout builds on the recent introduction of tokenized gold, further broadening Wintermute Asia’s suite of offerings beyond purely digital assets.

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Enlivex Raises Funds for Rain Prediction Market Token Buys

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Enlivex Raises Funds for Rain Prediction Market Token Buys

Immunotherapy company Enlivex has raised $21 million via a debt financing agreement to purchase another 3 billion tokens tied to the prediction market platform Rain.

Enlivex said on Tuesday it exercised an option to acquire another 3 billion Rain (RAIN) tokens at a 62% discount for $10 million on Sunday while extending its option to purchase another 272.1 billion RAIN tokens at the same price to December 2027. The debt financing came from The Lind Partners, a New York-based asset manager.

“We are continuing to execute our prediction markets treasury strategy, and we are pleased that Lind provided us with substantial capital, allowing us to continue the execution of our operating plan, as well as to acquire approximately three billion additional RAIN tokens,” said Enlivex executive chair Shai Novik.

Enlivex develops cell therapy solutions for knee osteoarthritis, but is one of several non-crypto companies that have purchased cryptocurrencies in the hopes that it will strengthen their balance sheets and attract a wider base of investors.

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The company also said it approved a $20 million share buyback program, aimed at enhancing shareholder value.

Details of Enlivex’s debt financing announcement. Source: Enlivex

The value of Enlivex’s RAIN treasury is directly tied to Rain’s decentralized prediction market platform, which has a built-in 2.5% fee that automatically buys back and burns RAIN tokens in a bid to boost the token’s supply-demand dynamics.

RAIN token, Envilex shares trade mostly flat

The Rain token rose 7% to $0.009 after Enlivex’s announcement before falling slightly to $0.0088, trading flat over the last 24 hours with a 0.3% gain, according to CoinGecko. 

Shares in Enlivex (ENVL) also traded mostly flat on Tuesday and closed the trading day down 0.9% to $1.10, but gained 4.5% in after-hours trading, rising to $1.15.

Related: Kalshi, Polymarket eye $20B valuations in potential fundraising: WSJ

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Rain runs on the Ethereum Layer-2 Arbitrum network and ranks among the top 10 prediction market platforms by total value locked and fees over the past seven days, DeFiLlama data shows.