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OpenAI IPO Filing Looms: Crypto Liquidity Crunch Incoming?

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OpenAI IPO Filing Looms: Crypto Liquidity Crunch Incoming?

OpenAI is preparing to file for an IPO very soon, potentially as early as this Friday, according to a new exclusive Wall Street Journal report.

The ChatGPT maker is working with bankers at Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley on a confidential draft prospectus for regulators.

The post OpenAI IPO Filing Looms: Crypto Liquidity Crunch Incoming? appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Fed officials see rate hike ahead if inflation stays elevated, minutes show

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Fed officials see rate hike ahead if inflation stays elevated, minutes show

U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell attends a press conference in Washington, D.C., the United States, on April 29, 2026.

Li Rui | Xinhua News Agency | Getty Images

A majority of Federal Reserve officials at their most recent meeting anticipated that interest rate increases would be necessary if the Iran war continued to aggravate inflation, according to minutes released Wednesday.

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Though the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee again voted to keep its benchmark rate targeted between 3.5%-3.75%, the meeting featured four “no” votes, the most since 1992, and an apparently heightened level of disagreement about where policy should go.

At issue was the impact that the Iran war would have on prices and how that would work its way into monetary policy. Officials differed on how long the war’s impact would last and whether the post-meeting statement should continue to reflect a bias toward cutting rates as the more likely next move.

While several meeting participants said it would be appropriate to lower when it’s clear that inflation is moving back to the Fed’s 2% or when the labor market weakens, “A majority of participants highlighted, however, that some policy firming would likely become appropriate if inflation were to continue to run persistently above 2 percent.”

Three of the four “no” votes came from regional presidents who advocated policymakers keep their options open for increases amid an inflation surge. The group agreed with keeping the benchmark fed fund rates steady, but objected to the inclusion of language that referenced “additional adjustments” to rates. The phrasing is widely believed to infer the next move would be a cut.

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The minutes noted that “many participants indicated that they would have preferred removing the language from the post-meeting statement that suggested an easing bias regarding the likely direction of the Committee’s future interest rate decisions.”

In Fed parlance, though, “many” does not constitute a majority, so the phrasing remained in the statement.

Officials broadly agreed that the Iran conflict would have “significant implications” for the Fed as it pursued its dual goals of full employment and stable prices, though they debated how long the impact on inflation would last.

“The vast majority of participants noted an increased risk that inflation would take longer to return to the Committee’s 2 percent objective than they had previously expected,” the document stated.

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Warsh’s challenge

The meeting took place against an intriguing backdrop: It was the last time Jerome Powell presided over the committee, and it came amid escalating inflation pressures coming primarily from the war as well as other factors that have officials cautious over the future of policy.

Former Governor Kevin Warsh now takes over the helm, following a lengthy campaign that involved as many as 11 candidates. President Donald Trump chose Warsh and was explicit that he expects the Fed to be cutting rates.

Market pricing, though, has pointed to a higher probability that the committee’s next move will be a hike, either by late 2026 or early 2027.

Inflation had been trending towards the Fed’s 2% goal through 2025 and into the early part of this year. However, the war has changed the dynamic, with soaring energy prices sending most inflation measures above 3%.

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Policymakers generally look through supply shocks like the oil surge as temporary. However, even core inflation, which excludes food and energy, has been climbing as well. Goldman Sachs expects that the Fed’s chief inflation forecasting measure will post an annual rate of 3.3% in April when that figure is released next week.

Warsh’s challenge, then, will be to convince his colleagues that improvements in productivity, led by artificial intelligence enhancements, will be disinflationary and counter the momentary impact of higher energy costs.

One of those colleagues will be Powell himself, who has chosen to stay on the Board of Governors. Powell has two years remaining on that term and said in April that he would stay on “for a period of time to be determined” while echoing a prior statement that he would stay until “this investigation is well and truly over.” No other Fed chair has stayed on the board in nearly 80 years.

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Fed Minutes Signal Higher-for-Longer Rates as Bitcoin Faces Pressure

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Fed Minutes Signal Higher-for-Longer Rates as Bitcoin Faces Pressure

The latest Federal Reserve minutes revealed a more hawkish tone than markets expected, reinforcing fears that interest rates could stay elevated longer and potentially pressure Bitcoin and broader risk assets.

Minutes from the April 28–29 meeting showed that many policymakers wanted to remove the Fed’s easing bias entirely, while a majority signaled additional rate hikes could become necessary if inflation remains persistent.

Four Dissents Highlight Growing Fed Divide

Officials pointed to rising energy prices, tariffs, and geopolitical instability tied to the Middle East conflict as major inflation risks.

The Fed ultimately kept rates unchanged at 3.50%–3.75%, but the meeting exposed one of the deepest policy divisions in years.

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The meeting produced four dissents, the highest number since 1992.

Stephen Miran favored a 25-basis-point rate cut, warning policy may become overly restrictive as labor market risks grow. Meanwhile, Beth Hammack, Neel Kashkari, and Lorie Logan opposed retaining language suggesting future easing.

Officials also warned inflation expectations could become “de-anchored” if price pressures remain elevated.

The post Fed Minutes Signal Higher-for-Longer Rates as Bitcoin Faces Pressure appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Kraken, Coinbase User Hit by $6.7M Crypto Theft and Laundering

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR

  • A Kraken and Coinbase user lost about $6.7 million after attackers drained crypto from both exchange accounts.
  • The stolen assets included Ethereum, Bitcoin, and cbBTC withdrawn in a short and coordinated series of transactions.
  • On-chain analyst Specter traced the stolen funds to new wallet addresses across the Ethereum and Bitcoin networks.
  • Attackers moved about $5.3 million of the stolen crypto through Tornado Cash to obscure transaction trails.
  • Early reports suggested a physical attack, but later analysis indicated no evidence of coercion.
  • The method used to access the victim’s exchange accounts has not been confirmed.

A crypto user has lost about $6.7 million after attackers drained accounts linked to Kraken and Coinbase. The stolen assets included Ethereum, Bitcoin, and cbBTC, according to blockchain tracking data. The incident involving Kraken has raised fresh concerns about exchange account security and targeted attacks.

Kraken Account Drained Alongside Coinbase Holdings

Attackers withdrew large amounts of crypto from the victim’s accounts within a short period. The activity affected both Kraken and Coinbase balances simultaneously.

On-chain analyst Specter reported that 1,554 ETH, worth about $3.3 million, left the Kraken account. The attackers also withdrew 10.5 BTC during the same period.

At the same time, the Coinbase account saw withdrawals of 34.1 cbBTC worth roughly $2.6 million. These movements occurred quickly and followed a coordinated pattern.

Specter tracked the stolen funds to newly identified wallet addresses on Ethereum and Bitcoin networks. The analyst shared that the assets moved rapidly after the initial withdrawals.

Early reports suggested a possible physical attack on the account holder. However, Specter later stated the case likely did not involve physical coercion.

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The exact method used to access the accounts remains unclear at this stage. No official statement from Kraken or Coinbase has detailed the breach vector.

Stolen Crypto Moves Through Tornado Cash

Blockchain data shows that attackers began laundering funds shortly after the theft. They routed a large portion through Tornado Cash, a privacy mixer on Ethereum.

Specter said about $5.3 million had already passed through Tornado Cash. The transfers occurred in multiple transactions to obscure tracking.

The use of mixers complicates efforts to trace stolen crypto across the blockchain. Investigators often face delays when funds move through such services.

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The case adds to ongoing reports of phishing and malware targeting exchange users. Attackers often exploit compromised credentials to gain account access.

Kraken and Coinbase both offer two-factor authentication and withdrawal protection features. However, advanced attacks continue to bypass these safeguards in some cases.

Security experts advise users to enable all available protections and monitor account activity closely. They also recommend avoiding suspicious links and unknown software.

As of the latest update, the stolen funds remain in circulation after passing through Tornado Cash. Authorities and analysts continue to track related wallet activity.

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Market Spotlight: Nvidia (NVDA) Earnings, ASML Rally, Strategy (MSTR) Target Hike, and Target’s (TGT) Strong Quarter

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

Market Summary

  • Nvidia releases quarterly results after market close, with Wall Street projecting $1.78 EPS and $79.2B revenue—representing roughly 80% annual growth
  • Market veteran Jim Cramer noted Nvidia’s historical pattern of post-earnings rallies followed by sustained selling pressure from profit-taking
  • ASML shares climbed 6.7% following UBS naming it the leading European semiconductor stock with a €1,900 price objective
  • Strategy received a $400 price target upgrade from TD Cowen, maintaining Buy status with upside potential exceeding 140%
  • Target surpassed earnings projections with $1.71 EPS compared to $1.46 consensus, while boosting annual sales outlook

Nvidia: Market’s Most Anticipated Quarterly Report

[[LINK_START_0]]Nvidia[[LINK_END_0]] commands unprecedented attention as traders await its quarterly disclosure following today’s closing bell. The artificial intelligence semiconductor giant faces elevated expectations from the investment community.

Wall Street consensus points to approximately $1.78 in per-share earnings alongside roughly $79.2 billion in total revenue. These figures would mark year-over-year revenue expansion approaching 80%.

The data-center segment represents the critical metric investors will scrutinize. Demand for AI-focused processors from hyperscale cloud providers, artificial intelligence research firms, and major corporations has fueled Nvidia’s explosive expansion over recent reporting periods.

Market participants are particularly focused on several key areas: gross profit margins, order momentum for Blackwell architecture chips, ramifications of expanded China export controls, and forward guidance projections.

Can Strong Results Sustain Upward Momentum?

Jim Cramer highlighted a recurring trend worth monitoring. He observed that Nvidia’s earnings track record frequently features immediate post-announcement gains, subsequently followed by persistent selling waves as traders capitalize on strength.

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His analysis suggests that even exceptional results might fail to propel shares higher when market expectations already price in near-perfection.

Competitive dynamics remain front and center for investors. Custom silicon initiatives from major cloud platforms, AMD’s growing presence, and proprietary chip development by technology giants all factor into market calculations.

Should Nvidia provide robust forward guidance while effectively addressing concerns surrounding Chinese market access and margin sustainability, the broader AI investment thesis could receive validation. Conversely, post-results weakness might ripple across semiconductor stocks and technology-heavy indexes.


ASML: European Chip Leader Rallies on Analyst Endorsement

ASML advanced 6.7% after UBS designated the company as its premier European semiconductor selection. The firm elevated its price objective to €1,900 from €1,600.

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UBS anticipates ASML’s earnings performance will consistently exceed consensus forecasts extending through 2027 and 2028, propelled by sustained demand for cutting-edge semiconductor manufacturing equipment.

ASML’s Central Role in AI Infrastructure

ASML manufactures extreme ultraviolet lithography systems, which represent indispensable technology for fabricating the world’s most sophisticated processors. Without these specialized machines, chipmakers cannot produce the advanced semiconductors required for AI computing.

Escalating artificial intelligence demand translates to chipmakers requiring expanded manufacturing capacity. This dynamic positions ASML at the strategic center of global semiconductor production infrastructure.

The substantial 6.7% price movement demonstrates investors recognize opportunities beyond domestic AI chip manufacturers. Capital is flowing toward the comprehensive international supply chain enabling chip production.

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Strategy: TD Cowen Maintains Optimistic Bitcoin Treasury Stance

Strategy captured market attention following TD Cowen’s price target elevation to $400 from $395 while maintaining Buy guidance. This projection suggests upside potential surpassing 140% from previous closing levels.

Strategy maintains substantial Bitcoin reserves and employs leverage combined with capital-raising activities to expand its cryptocurrency holdings. While the company retains its software operations, market valuation primarily reflects its Bitcoin treasury position.

Substantial Upside Accompanied by Elevated Volatility

TD Cowen’s upgraded outlook reflects conviction in Strategy’s Bitcoin accumulation strategy. However, the equity remains among the market’s most volatile instruments.

Bitcoin price declines typically trigger sharp Strategy share drops. Conversely, cryptocurrency rallies tend to attract aggressive momentum purchasing activity.

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For market participants seeking leveraged Bitcoin exposure through traditional equity markets, Strategy continues commanding significant attention.


Target: Results Exceed Expectations Amid Lingering Investor Skepticism

Target disclosed first-quarter adjusted earnings reaching $1.71 per share, surpassing the $1.46 Wall Street estimate. Revenue totaled $25.44 billion, exceeding the $24.66 billion projection.

Comparable sales metrics showed improvement, supported by increased customer traffic. Target additionally raised its full-year sales growth guidance, suggesting its operational turnaround strategy may be generating positive momentum.

Tempered Market Response Despite Quarterly Beat

Notwithstanding the earnings beat, share price reaction proved subdued. Investors maintain caution regarding consumer spending durability and whether Target’s first-quarter momentum can persist throughout the fiscal year.

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Profit margins and broader retail sector headwinds remain focal concerns. A single strong quarterly performance proves insufficient to completely restore investor confidence following an extended challenging period for the retailer.

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Ethereum Price Risks Falling to $1K Next, Analysts Warn

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Ethereum Price Risks Falling to $1K Next, Analysts Warn

Market analysts say Ether’s (ETH) price may drop to $1,000 if a breakdown from a bearish chart pattern is confirmed.

Key takeaways:

  • Ether’s bear flag targets 50% ETH price drop to $1,075. 
  • Ether risks over $1.70 billion in long liquidations if the price breaks below $2,000.
  • Whale accumulation weakens as major ETH holders reduce exposure.

Ether’s bear flag targets $1,000 ETH price

Ether’s downtrend could accelerate if the price breaks below the lower trend line of a bear flag at $2,000 on the daily chart, where a similar breakdown in January led to a 41.5% ETH price drop.

Related: Ether taker volume turns negative for first time in two months: Will ETH fall under $2K next?

A bear flag pattern is a bearish continuation setup that forms after the price consolidates inside an up-sloping channel following a sharp price drop.

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The measured target of the flag, derived from the previous downtrend’s height added to the breakdown point at $2,000, is $1,075, down 49% from the current price.

ETH/USD weekly chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

“$ETH is about to break the bear flag pattern,” analyst Coin Signals said in a Monday post on X, adding that if the price fails to hold above the lower trend line at 2,000, a “sell-off to $1800 or a new low” would follow.

Fellow analyst Keith Alan told his followers to be “prepared for the nasty scenario,” involving the confirmation of a death cross between the 21-day simple moving average (SMA) and 50-day SMA, and validation of a bear flag in the daily time frame.

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“Momentum indicators also show deterioration on both daily and weekly RSI timeframes,” the analyst said in a recent article on X.

“Failure to establish support, however, opens the door to a sequence of progressively lower technical support levels” toward the measured target of the bear flag structure around $1,300, he added.

ETH/USD daily chart. Source: X/Keith Alan

Fellow analyst Crypto Patel said that ETH’s validation of a rising wedge pattern was underway, with a downside target of $1,500.

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“Ethereum has lost a key rising trendline. As long as the price stays below it, weakness can continue.”

ETH/USD daily chart. Source: X/Crypto Patel

Meanwhile, Ethereum’s liquidation map shows that a correction below $2,000 would trigger over $1.70 billion worth of leveraged long ETH liquidations across all exchanges, according to CoinGlass data.

ETH exchange liquidation map. Source: CoinGlass

Ethereum whale accumulation drops

Ether’s latest rebound to $2,400 did not trigger broad-based accumulation across major wallet cohorts, Glassnode data showed.

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For instance, the number of mega-whale wallets holding more than 10,000 ETH has declined sharply to a 10-month low of 1,050, with the 30-day change dropping to as low as -70, levels last seen in early February.

Ethereum mega-whale address count balance (>10K ETH). Source: Glassnode

In other words, large players are taking advantage of recent liquidity to de-risk, reflecting a lack of mid-term confidence.

The picture looks similar among smaller wallet cohorts.

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Ethereum wallets holding 1,000 to 10,000 ETH have also been declining, falling to a nine-month low of 4,750 on May 8. The 30-day change remains negative, hovering around -50 at the time of writing.

Ethereum whale and shark address count balance. Source: Glassnode

Taken together, the data suggest ongoing distribution and weak conviction across key ETH holder cohorts, reinforcing the risk of a deeper drop if $2,000 breaks.

This reduction in whale counts aligns with the recent inflows into exchanges, indicating the path of least resistance remains down in the immediate future and selling pressure mounts.

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EU Launches MiCA Crypto Rules Review as Key Negotiator Urges More Proportionality

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EU Launches MiCA Crypto Rules Review as Key Negotiator Urges More Proportionality

The European Commission opened a consultation on May 20 about the EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA). The review asks the public and industry how the rules are performing nearly two years after rollout.

Stakeholders have until August 31 to submit feedback. Brussels will weigh the responses against shifting digital asset markets and competing global regulators.

What the MiCA Review Will Examine

MiCA, in force since 2024, was the first comprehensive crypto framework adopted by a major jurisdiction. It established harmonized rules for asset-referenced tokens, e-money tokens, and crypto-asset service providers across all 27 member states.

The Commission wants to assess whether the framework still fits a fast-changing sector. The consultation has a public track for individuals and a technical track for issuers, exchanges, banks, and policy bodies.

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Stablecoins remain the most contested element. Industry tracking shows close to 30 approved fiat-backed tokens under the rules.

The parallel category for asset-referenced tokens has yet to clear a single product.

Global Pressure Builds for MiCA Updates

The review arrives as the EU faces accelerating moves in Washington and Asia. US lawmakers advanced the GENIUS Act stablecoin bill last year.

The push prompted European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde to publicly back a euro stablecoin response.

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European banks are preparing a MiCAR-compliant euro stablecoin for 2026. Smaller crypto firms argue compliance costs are pushing activity toward more flexible jurisdictions.

Germany and the Netherlands are seen as the strictest enforcers.

Subscribe to our YouTube channel to watch leaders and journalists provide expert insights

“We should not treat in the same way the global trade crypto exchanges coming from the US and listed on the US stock exchange market with the same rules that we treat a small startup company running a crypto business,” Ondřej Kovařík told BeInCrypto.

According to Kovařík, there should be two additional fixes:

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  • MiCA’s stablecoin rules are too strict for European issuers, he argued, leaving the market dominated by US dollar tokens.
  • The framework should also add provisions to recognize equivalent regimes from countries such as the UK or Switzerland.

Kovařík was Renew Europe’s shadow rapporteur on MiCA, making him one of the key architects of the world’s first comprehensive crypto regulatory framework.

He also maintains memberships with the European Parliament (representing the Czech Republic) and the Committee on Economic and Monetary Affairs.

The August deadline gives Brussels a narrow window to gather positions before any legislative proposal.

Minor technical fixes or a broader MiCA 2 effort could follow. The outcome will shape the EU’s competitiveness in digital asset rulemaking.

The post EU Launches MiCA Crypto Rules Review as Key Negotiator Urges More Proportionality appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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ETH Insider Explains Wave of 2026 Ethereum Foundation Departures

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A long-time Ethereum investor and community figure has pushed back against growing alarm over the string of departures from the Ethereum Foundation (EF), arguing that the organization’s commitment to the network is as firm as ever.

Ryan Berckmans, who has worked full-time in the Ethereum space for eight years, offered one of the more detailed community-level defenses of the EF’s current direction since the exits started mounting this year.

Departures Caused by Differences of Opinion

According to Berckmans, people are misreading the situation.

“The EF departures are not because the people departing feel differently about Ethereum and our trajectory vs. the people staying at EF or vs. community folks like me,” he wrote.

What actually drove them, in his view, was a mix of internal disagreements over sub-strategies rather than any loss of faith in Ethereum itself, plus a deliberate generational shift.

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“Some folks disagreed. Some tiny number were asked to leave for Reasons. Some few others left immediately due to Reasonable Net Feelings. Some more are leaving because the Wheel is Turning,” he explained.

Further, Berckmans added that new, younger contributors are ready to step into leadership across teams and departments. He also addressed a persistent piece of community frustration, that the EF and Vitalik Buterin do not care about ETH’s price, calling it a misconception.

According to him, they care deeply, but across a much longer time horizon than most community members track.

“They want to know, ‘How will Ethereum remain dominant after quantum computers?’ and, ‘How will Ethereum be the world’s economic hub for trillions in assets and thousands of L2s across a hundred countries?’”

His conclusion was that these are questions that can only get asked if you believe the outcome is achievable, and the EF’s programs in response to them are “gigabullish.”

Four Prominent Contributors Left in Just Four Weeks

The wave of exits has included Carl Beek, Julian Ma, Barnabé Monnot, Tim Beiko, Trent Van Epps, Josh Stark, and former co-Executive Director Tomasz Stańczak.

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Stańczak’s departure, in particular, drew quite a lot of attention, considering that it came just 11 months after he’d taken the role. In addition, the exits have been concentrated, with four of the more prominent ones landing within roughly four weeks of each other in April and May.

Meanwhile, a detailed analysis by crypto researcher Nick Sawinyh pointed to unconfirmed claims circulating online that staff were asked to formally align with the Foundation’s new mandate. However, the EF has not publicly confirmed those claims, and none of the departing contributors cited the mandate as their reason for leaving.

People are also focusing on the coming Glamsterdam upgrade to Ethereum that is still under test. The protocol update includes changes tied to scaling and validator infrastructure, although some anticipated features, including FOCIL and native account abstraction, have already been delayed to a later upgrade cycle.

Despite this, many Ethereum backers believe that the entire ecosystem can now take leadership changes in stride without posing a risk to the network as a whole. One of them, author William Mougayar, described the Foundation’s shrinking role as a deliberate attempt to remove Ethereum’s remaining central point of control rather than a sign of institutional decline.

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The post ETH Insider Explains Wave of 2026 Ethereum Foundation Departures appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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1 Quadrillion MAPO Minted: Bridge Exploit Crashes Token

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MAP Protocol (MAPO) Price Performance

MAP Protocol’s Butter Bridge suffered a severe exploit on May 20, 2026, with attackers minting 1,000,000,000,000,000 MAPO tokens, roughly 4.8 million times the legitimate circulating supply of approximately 208 million.

The MAP Protocol token has fallen over nearly 30% in the immediate aftermath.

MAP Protocol Hit by 1 Quadrillion Token Mint

Security firms PeckShield raised immediate alarms, highlighting a vulnerability in Butter Bridge V3.1’s OmniServiceProxy contract that allowed unauthorized minting on Ethereum and BSC.

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The attacker triggered the mint via a spoofed cross-chain message on the Butter Bridge, directing 1 quadrillion MAPO from the zero address to wallet address 0x40592025392BD7d7463711c6E82Ed34241B64279.

On-chain data shows the exploiter swapped portions of the fake supply, extracting approximately 52.2 ETH (~$110,000) and pulling over $180,000 in liquidity from Uniswap pools before the price collapsed.

Most of the inflated tokens remain in the attacker’s wallet.

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This incident adds to a troubling 2026 trend: PeckShield has tracked multiple bridge exploits draining hundreds of millions across DeFi this year.

Market Impact: MAPO Price Crashes

MAPO, the native token of the Bitcoin Layer-2 and omnichain interoperability project, traded around $0.003 prior to the attack. The massive dilution triggered sharp sell-offs and liquidity evaporation.

As of this writing, MAPO traded for $0.001558, down almost 30% following the incident.

MAP Protocol (MAPO) Price Performance
MAP Protocol (MAPO) Price Performance. Source: Coingecko

Holders and liquidity providers faced immediate losses as trading pairs destabilized.

MAP Protocol positions itself as a secure infrastructure for BTC, stablecoins, and tokenized assets using light clients and MPC-based verification.

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The bridge flaw exposed gaps in message validation despite these safeguards.

The project team has not yet issued a formal statement on mitigation steps, such as contract pauses, token blacklisting, or supply adjustments.

Investors should avoid interacting with MAPO pools or the affected bridges until official updates emerge.

This event highlights persistent risks in cross-chain infrastructure. As bridge exploits continue in 2026, users and protocols must prioritize audited verification layers and rapid response mechanisms.

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Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Stock Rallies 8% Following Strong Q3 Earnings Beat

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SMCI Stock Card

Key Takeaways

  • SMCI shares climbed over 8% Wednesday following a Q3 FY2026 non-GAAP EPS of $0.84, surpassing the $0.62 estimate by 35%
  • Quarterly revenue hit $10.24 billion, marking a 123% year-over-year increase, despite falling short of analyst expectations
  • Company executives elevated full-year FY2026 revenue projections to $38.9B–$40.4B
  • Super Micro disclosed concerns including significant cash outflows, increasing debt obligations, inventory accumulation, and an export compliance probe
  • Despite Wednesday’s gains, SMCI remains down 24% over the trailing twelve months, while Dell surged 112% and HPE climbed 89%

Shares of Super Micro Computer (SMCI) experienced a notable surge exceeding 8% during Wednesday’s trading session on May 20, positioning it as the top performer among AI server manufacturers that day.


SMCI Stock Card
Super Micro Computer, Inc., SMCI

The upward movement followed the company’s disclosure of Q3 FY2026 financial results that demonstrated substantial outperformance on the earnings front. The firm posted non-GAAP EPS of $0.84, handily beating analyst projections of $0.62.

Quarterly revenue totaled $10.24 billion, representing a robust 123% year-over-year expansion. The top line figure, however, failed to meet Street expectations.

Investors looked past the revenue shortfall and instead concentrated on the company’s improved outlook. Leadership increased its full-year FY2026 revenue guidance to a band of $38.9 billion through $40.4 billion.

Chief Executive Charles Liang emphasized that the organization’s “transformation into a total datacenter infrastructure provider is accelerating,” highlighting margin improvements and expansion in the DCBBS segment as indicators of underlying strength.

The organization has also broadened its manufacturing capabilities internationally, a move executives characterized as essential to meeting surging demand for AI infrastructure solutions.

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Headwinds Persist Despite Rally

The earnings report wasn’t without blemishes. Super Micro cautioned about substantial cash outflows, mounting debt obligations, and inventory accumulation as it works to satisfy customer demand.

Company leadership also acknowledged persistent supply chain limitations. Additionally, the firm revealed it’s subject to an export-related regulatory inquiry, introducing further uncertainty for market participants tracking the equity.

These complications have contributed to SMCI’s challenging twelve-month performance. Shares remain down 24% over that timeframe, stemming from filing delays and auditor transitions that rattled shareholder confidence.

Market sentiment had been gradually improving before Wednesday’s advance. Social media sentiment data from Reddit during the May 9–10 weekend indicated bullish indicators for SMCI recovering to the 68–72 range following bearish readings earlier that month.

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SMCI Performance Versus Dell and HPE

Wednesday’s price action gave SMCI the daily lead among its industry competitors. Dell Technologies (DELL) advanced approximately 3.9% while Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) gained roughly 2.7%.

However, the longer-term comparison tells a different story. Across the past year, Dell has surged 112% and HPE has climbed 89%, whereas SMCI continues trading in negative territory.

Dell disclosed AI-optimized server revenue of $8.95 billion in its most recent quarter, representing a 342% year-over-year jump, with a $43 billion AI order backlog entering FY27. The company is scheduled to announce fiscal Q1 2027 results on May 28.

HPE delivered non-GAAP EPS of $0.65 last quarter, exceeding internal forecasts, with networking revenue soaring 152% year-over-year to $2.71 billion. Its upcoming earnings announcement is set for June 1.

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Extending the timeline to five years, SMCI maintains sector leadership with a 751% advance compared to Dell’s 417% and HPE’s 134%.

Dell Technologies’ May 28 earnings report will provide the next significant benchmark for evaluating the AI server industry’s trajectory.

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Prediction markets firms take heat in Senate Commerce hearing scrutinizing surge

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Prediction markets firms take heat in Senate Commerce hearing scrutinizing surge

Prediction markets platforms such as those run by Kalshi and Crypto.com drew two hours of critical questioning in a U.S. Senate Commerce Committee hearing, including scrutiny on the platforms’ advertising practices, regulatory disputes and the cheating they may encourage.

“We want athletes competing on merit, but the opportunity to make money can tempt gamblers — and sometimes even athletes themselves — to guarantee a sure bet,” Senator Ted Cruz, a Texas Republican who chairs the committee, said during the Wednesday hearing. He said high-profile incidents of player cheating “sow doubt in the minds of fans.”

Cruz flagged some recent cases, saying: “NBA players and coaches are accused of manipulating performance and providing insider information to win bets. Two major league baseball pitchers allegedly rigged their own pitches in exchange for money. [Major League Soccer] banned two players for intentionally getting yellow cards to win bets, and the UFC has canceled matches and terminated contracts because of suspected match fixing.”

“It is not uncommon for fans scrolling Twitter on a Sunday afternoon in the fall to see posts speculating that a controversial call by an official was related to gambling,” Cruz said.

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Other lawmakers focused on marketing that fosters problem gambling or that has reached youths that are otherwise meant to be blocked from betting. Senator John Hickenlooper, a Colorado Democrat, accused the prediction markets businesses of unleashing the “hounds of hell” in social media and marketing to “prey on our young people.”

Patrick McHenry, who was a prominent member of the House of Representatives until his recent retirement, is now an adviser at the Coalition for Prediction Markets that represents Kalshi, Crypto.com, Robinhood, Coinbase and others. He said trades aren’t allowed for anybody under 18 and that the average age of users is 33.

Problem gamblers

Harry Levant, director of gambling policy at the Public Health Advocacy Institute, testified on Wednesday, telling the lawmakers he was a recovering gambling addict and lamenting the “avalanche of unregulated advertising” from prediction market firms.

“It’s a known addictive product, just like heroin,” he said.

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Earlier this week, Kalshi co-founder and CEO Tarek Mansour posted on social media site X to highlight his company’s $2 million commitment with the National Council on Problem Gambling to support an initiative on “trader health and safety.””As retail participation in markets increase, we have a responsibility to balance free markets and individual responsibility with customer education and safety guardrails,” he wrote.

And still other lawmakers on Wednesday dove into the rapidly growing industry’s avoidance of state regulators and competition with regulated gaming on U.S. tribal lands, where revenue is a core support of tribal reservations’ financial health.

CFTC

Even as the senators put the event-contract space under the microscope, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission that regulates derivatives trading platforms is pursuing a lawsuit filed on Tuesday to stop a new law in Minnesota that was set to hold prediction market activity as illegal there. The regulator adds this to a growing list of lawsuits the federal agency has filed against states that have sought to limit prediction markets or declare them in violation of state gambling laws.

“This Minnesota law turns lawful operators and participants in prediction markets into felons overnight,” said CFTC Chairman Mike Selig in a statement, who added this suit alongside similar agency fights against Arizona, Connecticut, Illinois and New York.

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Selig has led an agency legal campaign to defend his agency’s authority to supervise and regulate prediction markets, which are managed on registered platforms under CFTC rules. Meanwhile, his agency — at which he’s the sole member of what’s meant to be a five-member commission — is also pursuing a formal rule to establish tailored standards for the sector.

McHenry defended the CFTC role on Wednesday.

“The CFTC, as a cop on the beat, has the capacity to oversee this market, just as they’ve done with the broader commodities marketplace that’s been around and well versed for decades,” McHenry said.

Senator Hickenlooper responded, “You’re the first person who’s told me you think that they think the CFTC is up to the standards.”

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One of the witnesses, Bill Miller, the president and CEO of the American Gaming Association, contended the federal regulators “are absolutely not competent to handle this, and two, they are absolutely hurting tribes and states financially.” He added that, “it was never Congress’s intent to create a federal department of gambling through the CFTC.”

McHenry argued that these event contracts are derivatives that belong to “fundamentally different business models” from bets placed with gambling businesses. He equated them to long-regulated grain futures contracts, and he added that “our member companies have enhanced surveillance greater than any casino and greater than any sportsbook in the country.”

In the end, Chairman Cruz said, “The Supreme Court may have to decide the issue.”

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