Crypto World
Perplexity AI Predicts Weak XRP Price by 2027: Bull Run Canceled?
The Silicon Valley-based Perplexity AI predicts XRP could have a tame Q4, saying it believes the token will only hit $3.25 by January 1, 2027. This prediction comes as other AI models and analysts call for XRP to trade $7-10 by the end of the year.
XRP currently trades near $1.49 as of September 21, 2026, after a strong rebound alongside Bitcoin’s surge above $84,000–$85,000 earlier today. This BTC breakout has fueled widespread belief that the cycle bottom is in and a broader bull market is underway, providing a powerful tailwind for large-cap alts like XRP.
This Perplexity forecast assumes that macro conditions align to trigger a “full-blown” bull market between now and December 2026, characterized by sustained institutional inflows, positive regulatory clarity, and a breakout above key multi-year resistance levels.

The base bullish target of $3.25 represents a successful retest of the 2021/2024 cycle highs and aligns with the upper end of conservative 2027 bull ranges projected by analysts. Achieving this would require XRP to break the critical $1.70–$2.00 congestion zone and ride a wave of retail FOMO similar to previous alt seasons.
As for the optimistic target of $4.50, Perplexity AI states that this would be a scenario where XRP decouples from Bitcoin and sees massive utility-driven demand (e.g., widespread XRPL adoption or ETF inflows); the price could extend toward $4.50.
This target sits just below the psychological $5.00 barrier and corresponds to the aggressive end of 2027 forecasts from firms like Standard Chartered and Bitwise.
Perplexity AI Predicts XRP to $3.25: Does the Technical Analysis Support the Prediction?
XRP’s technical setup is currently building a massive multi-year accumulation base that could support a violent upside move if confirmed. On the weekly timeframe, XRP is forming a textbook inverse head-and-shoulders pattern, a highly bullish reversal structure that has been building since the 2021 highs.
The “neckline” of this pattern sits around $1.55–$1.70; a decisive weekly close above this level would technically confirm the pattern and project a measured move targeting the $3.00–$4.00 range.
Furthermore, the monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) is resetting from overbought conditions without breaking the long-term bullish trend, suggesting the asset is coiling for its next major leg up.
The alignment of moving averages on the daily chart, specifically, the price holding above the 200-day EMA, indicates that the long-term trend remains intact despite short-term consolidation.
If the anticipated bull market materializes, a breakout above the $2.00 psychological barrier would likely trigger a “price discovery” phase, where the lack of historical resistance allows for rapid appreciation toward the $3.25 target.
Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early Mover Upside as XRP Tests Key Levels
A 45-week-overdue moving average flip is exactly the kind of headline that gets long-term holders nodding along, but at a $1.49 handle, XRP’s percentage upside from here is a different animal than it was at $0.1. Doubling from here adds $100Bn to the market cap.
That math is why traders chasing asymmetric returns are increasingly looking one layer down, toward infrastructure being built directly on top of Bitcoin’s network.
Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is positioning itself as the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with full SVM integration. Hyper runs smart contracts at speeds it claims outpace Solana, while settling back to Bitcoin’s base chain for security. The presale has raised $33M at a current token price of just $0.0136865, with staking rewards offered at a high 30% APY.
Its Decentralized Canonical Bridge aims to solve BTC’s two biggest structural gaps: near-zero programmability and sluggish, expensive transaction throughput.
Gain Access to New Bitcoin Layer 2 Early Here
Discover: The Best Token Presales
The post Perplexity AI Predicts Weak XRP Price by 2027: Bull Run Canceled? appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
Crypto-draining FOMO app was available on Apple store for a week
Analysts have urged iPhone users to update their IOS after crypto-stealing malware was discovered in malicious Safari browser links and the FOMO app.
SlowMist’s Chief Information Security Officer, Shān Zhang, encouraged his followers last Saturday to update to the latest version of IOS following the proliferation of DarkSword malware.
He claims iPhone versions IOS 13 to IOS 26.5 leave you vulnerable to malicious Safari links that utilize a memory-corruption flaw in WebKit and JavaScriptCore.
This gives hackers access to the JavaScript layer for read and write access.
Hackers can then bypass pointer authentication codes, escape the WebContent sandbox, and escalate kernel privileges in order to gain root access and make unauthorised changes allowing for the exfiltration of crypto keys and wallet data.
Read more: Google warns over 200 million iPhone crypto wallets at risk
FOMO official app contained malware for a week
SlowMist also warned about crypto draining malware across official versions of the FOMO app on the App Store that users may have downloaded thanks to the promotion of crypto key opinion leaders.
SlowMist’s report on the malicious apps found it contained malware hidden with modules that were similarly capable of the DarkSword exploits, and can lead to the theft of seed phrases and private keys.
The vulnerable versions were active between September 9 and September 17.
SlowMist says updating or deleting the app may not be enough, and that users should treat their “relevant seed phrases, private keys, and sensitive credentials as compromised.”
Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on X, Bluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.
Crypto World
Next for the U.S. SEC: Agency’s chief crypto counsel illuminates path for custody
Once the idea is cleared by the Office of Management and Budget at the White House, the agency can formally propose it and take comment from the industry and public. Meanwhile, Lindman cited the agency’s staff statement in December that was meant as an interim approach to steer broker-dealers on how they should handle crypto custody until the rules are in place, and he also referenced its move in September 2025 to allow investment advisers to park customer assets with state-chartered trusts as qualified crypto custodians.
The SEC’s previous effort to pursue a custody rule in 2023 was under a decidedly different regime, and then-SEC Chair Gary Gensler said that crypto firms themselves wouldn’t qualify to custody the assets. That rule, though, never moved to final form and was scrapped when President Donald Trump returned to the White House and appointed crypto-friendly leadership at the regulator.
Speaking more broadly of the agency’s crypto agenda, which has recently included a proposed rule to allow for crypto offerings and a new exemption to clear the way for tokenized securities, Lindman characterized the work as “foundation laying,” adding that “some of the foundation laying is boring.”
“It’s the customary steps associated with taking what was once like this really unique and scary asset, and now saying, ‘Hey, look, this is how we think about stablecoins, or this is how we think about non-security crypto assets,’ and really trying to put them within a framework that can be built upon for every generation to come,” Lindman said. “We need to kind of meet the market where it’s at.”
Crypto World
Binance faces second probe over Iran-linked billions
US officials are probing Binance again as they try to uncover whether or not the Dubai-based crypto exchange knowingly allowed Iran-linked trades and violated US sanctions against the country.
Bloomberg reported Tuesday that the Manhattan US attorney’s office and Justice Department’s (DoJ) Washington arm are spearheading the investigation.
Binance told Bloomberg it doesn’t tolerate sanctions violations, saying, “We fully cooperate with law enforcement, and we remain committed to rooting out and shutting down bad actors.”
Earlier this year, The Wall Street Journal, New York Times, and Forbes reported that two Chinese companies traded billions of dollars worth of crypto on Binance as part of a sanction-dodging plan to allow Iran to continue to sell its oil.
Read more: US Senator asks if Binance lied to Congress about Iran
Binance called these reports defamatory.
In March, the DoJ reportedly began an investigation into Binance about these Iran-linked funds. In the same month, Binance sued the WSJ for defamation.
Earlier this month, the US government seized and planned to forfeit $61 million worth of frozen USDT that is allegedly part of Iran’s oil trading.
It claimed this enterprise has generated $1.5 billion in crypto proceeds for Iran’s military and nuclear program.
Got a tip? Send us an email securely via Protos Leaks. For more informed news and investigations, follow us on X, Bluesky, and Google News, or subscribe to our YouTube channel.
Crypto World
Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysis: Bulls Eye $3K Following Breakout Above $2.7K Resistance
Ethereum has extended its recovery from the September lows and is now trading around $2.73K after slightly breaking above the $2.7K resistance area. The latest move has strengthened the short-term structure, although ETH is approaching another major resistance zone and momentum might be beginning to cool from its recent highs.
Ethereum Price Analysis: The Daily Chart
The daily chart shows a clear structural improvement following the sharp recovery from the $1.5K area. ETH subsequently reclaimed the $1.9K region and then broke above the $2.1K resistance zone with substantial force.
The breakout accelerated in August, pushing ETH above both the 100-day and 200-day moving averages. These key moving averages are now converging rapidly, which could lead to a potential bullish crossover around $2K. All of these signs point to the fact that the broader bearish structure has weakened considerably. Still, a complete long-term trend reversal would require ETH to trade above the higher resistance levels.
The market is currently trading around $2.73K, just above the marked $2.7K resistance zone. Holding above this area could open the way toward the next major resistance around $3.0K. That region is particularly important because it is also an important psychological level that the market would need to overcome.
On the downside, the former $2.7K resistance area could now act as initial support if the breakout holds. Below it, the $2.5K consolidation region is the next notable zone, followed by the key $2.1K support area, which also coincides with the key moving averages.
ETH/USDT 4-Hour Chart
The 4-hour chart provides a clearer view of the latest breakout. ETH spent much of September consolidating between roughly $2.4K and $2.7K before breaking higher over the recent sessions. The move finally carried price through the $2.7K resistance area.
The latest candles show some hesitation after ETH briefly pushed toward $2.8K. This is consistent with profit-taking around a previously marked resistance area rather than an immediate structural reversal.
The key short-term level is now the same $2.7K zone. Holding above this area and completing a pullback would preserve the recent breakout structure and could allow an attempt toward the $3K region. Conversely, a sustained move back below the $2.7K area would weaken the breakout and increase the possibility of a deeper retracement toward the $2.45K bullish order block in the short-term.
The 4-hour RSI has risen into the upper portion of its range following the breakout but has already pulled back from an overbought state. This indicates that momentum remains constructive, while also showing that the market has become less stretched after the initial surge, which is a positive sign showing momentum cooling off before another rally materializes.
Sentiment Analysis
The Ethereum Taker Buy Sell Ratio chart shows the metric’s 30-day average currently around 0.99. A reading below 1 indicates that aggressive taker selling has exceeded aggressive taker buying over the measured period.
This is notable because ETH has continued to appreciate despite the ratio remaining below 1. The latest price rebound therefore has not been accompanied by a clear dominance of aggressive market buying on this metric.
The chart also shows that the 30-day average has been declining from significantly higher levels seen around April and July. At the same time, ETH has recently moved sharply higher from the $1.8K area toward $2.7K. This divergence suggests that the rally has not yet been confirmed by a sustained improvement in taker-buying dominance.
A move in the ratio back above 1, particularly if sustained, would provide stronger confirmation that aggressive futures buyers are gaining control. Conversely, continued readings below 1 while ETH trades near resistance could leave the latest breakout vulnerable to a period of consolidation or correction, especially if spot demand fails to keep up with the selling pressure coming from the futures market.
The post Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysis: Bulls Eye $3K Following Breakout Above $2.7K Resistance appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Should You Buy Moderna Stock? Why Many Wall Street Analysts Say “No.”
Moderna (NASDAQ: MRNA) has remained one of the market’s hottest biotech stocks. Even as the vaccine maker’s shares remain off their 52-week high, hit by news of a breakthrough in using its mRNA technology to create marketable drugs for other diseases and ailments, not just for COVID-19, at around $157 per share, they’re still up over sixfold over the past 12 months.
Yet while Moderna may still be sitting pretty right now, analysts remain skeptical whether the stock can hold on to its latest spate of gains.
Missed AI’s “Act 1”? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn’t buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our analysts, we’re only at the end of “Act 1″—the R&D phase. “Act 2” is the global rollout. Continue »
Moderna, the big rally, and the analyst community’s cautious view
Already trending higher since late 2025, Moderna shares skyrocketed in August. This super rally came on the heels of the company’s unveiling of positive late-stage clinical trial data for Intismeran Autogene, an mRNA-based cancer vaccine that Moderna is co-developing with Merck.
Per the press release, top-line results from the Phase 3 INTerpath-001 trial of Instimeran Autogene combined with Keytruda, Merck’s immunotherapy treatment, “demonstrated meaningful improvements in recurrence-free survival (RFS) and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) in patients with completely resected Stage IIB-IV melanoma.”
Perceiving this development as a positive sign for Moderna’s overall plans to bring mRNA-based oncology products to market, Moderna shares surged 177% following the Aug. 19 clinical trial news. Even after giving back some of these gains in the past month, Moderna remains near multiyear highs.
That said, according to Barron’s, most analysts hold either a neutral or “hold” rating on Moderna right now; two analysts have downgraded the stock following this rally. Rothschild & Co. Redburn’s Simon Baker, in his downgrade from “hold” to “sell,” noted that while the phase 3 data were “undoubtedly good,” the market has likely overreacted to news, as it’s uncertain whether the nine other clinical trials for other types of tumors will unveil similar conclusions.
In her bearish research update, J.P. Morgan’s Jessica Fye also noted uncertainty over subsequent trial data, coupled with the argument that the immediate economic implications of the aforementioned clinical trial are already well-factored into the stock price.
The best move for new and existing investors
Crypto World
x402’s $50B Scale Gives Solana an AI Payments Edge
Solana’s x402 protocol has processed roughly $50 billion in volume and connected about 150,000 merchant endpoints, according to a Solana Foundation and Coinbase webinar recap. XRP Ledger has since documented its own x402 implementation settling in XRP and RLUSD, while Cardano remains a name attached to the conversation without comparable live adoption to show for it.
But for smart money, the question isn’t whether AI agents can pay for web resources without a human clicking “checkout.” That part works.
The question is whether any single network converts that technical capability into recurring machine-to-machine commerce that translates into durable demand for its native token, rather than just routing stablecoins through infrastructure that happens to sit on top of it.
How Does x402 Turn HTTP Requests into Payments?

x402 revives an HTTP status code that has sat unused for decades: 402, Payment Required. Instead of a server simply rejecting a request, it responds with pricing terms, letting an AI agent evaluate the cost, authorize a stablecoin payment, and retry the same call with proof of payment attached.
According to the Solana webinar recap, the protocol solves three specific problems for autonomous software: open tool discovery that replaces API keys with a wallet as identity, economic reasoning that embeds live pricing into an agent’s decision-making, and a single runtime where an agent can both earn and spend.
Most transactions settle under 50 cents – a scale of micropayment that traditional card rails were never built to clear economically.
Does x402 Give Solana a Distribution Advantage?
Solana’s pitch leans on infrastructure it already has: more than $15 billion in circulating stablecoins, roughly $10 trillion in cumulative transfers, 400-millisecond block times, and fees near a thousandth of a cent. The recap says x402 has processed over 180 million transactions since launching about a year ago and is now referenced in the docs and workflows of Cloudflare, Stripe, and AWS – the last of which has built it natively into Agent Core Payments.
The webinar’s live demos were the more concrete evidence. Using pay.sh, a Solana-built CLI directory of x402-payable endpoints, an agent located the correct endpoint, paid a one-cent fee, and returned live token-volume rankings without an API key.
A second demo on AWOL, Coinbase’s comparable wallet-based client, chained a social-content pull into a video-generation call, with the agent funding and paying for the entire workflow autonomously – a task the recap notes would otherwise take 30 minutes to an hour of manual key provisioning.
Whether that kind of throughput scales into something with staying power is a separate question from whether Solana’s transaction capacity can handle it, which is the debate Cryptonews has covered in the context of Solana’s transaction stack.
The rival settlement path and the Cardano Credibility Gap
XRP Ledger’s documentation lays out a parallel flow: an agent hits a protected endpoint, receives a 402 response with price and payment address, submits an on-chain XRP or RLUSD payment, and retries once a facilitator verifies the transaction and issues a receipt.
XRPL’s deterministic finality means that verification lands in three to five seconds, according to the documentation – a specific technical claim worth noting given how it differs from Solana’s demo, which is documented separately and dated earlier. For related coverage, see Ripple’s broader push into the Machine Payments Protocol.
Cardano is the hardest case to assess. It’s named as a potential challenger in this market, but nothing in the available evidence shows comparable live transaction volume, merchant endpoints, or agent-payment demonstrations on the network.
That doesn’t rule Cardano out of a longer-term contest – it just means there’s no production adoption to point to yet, which puts it in a different category from Solana’s demoed workflows and XRPL’s documented settlement path.
The broader XRP narrative around AI-driven payment integrations, including XRP’s connection to Stripe-linked payment infrastructure, has already fed into price speculation well ahead of any settled adoption data.
Can micropayments become meaningful network demand?
The Solana recap cites both roughly 200 million and more than 180 million x402 transactions in different passages, without reconciling the two figures or specifying whether either is Solana-exclusive activity.
That’s not a fabrication – the numbers likely reflect different measurement windows or protocol-wide totals rather than network-specific volume – but it’s also not a clean basis for calling this a settled contest between chains.
The deeper structural issue is that x402 and comparable protocols settle in stablecoins, not in SOL, XRP, or ADA. Stablecoins on Solana have already scaled across cross-border payments, remittances, and store-of-value use cases well before agentic payments entered the picture, which means high transaction counts on any of these chains do not automatically translate into equivalent token demand. Fee capture, validator activity, or liquidity effects could eventually matter for native tokens, but the primary evidence here documents payment volume and merchant endpoints, not token-level economic outcomes.
What’s actually being tested here is whether machine-to-machine payments become a recurring commercial pattern or stay confined to conference demos and testnet tutorials.
Solana has the clearest public distribution story right now – real endpoints, real demos, integration references from Cloudflare, Stripe, and AWS.
XRP Ledger has a working settlement path with a specific finality guarantee.
Cardano has neither yet, and until it does, framing this as an even three-way race overstates where the evidence actually sits.
Don’t Miss: The Hottest Meme Coin Opportunities Silently Climbing the Crypto Ranks in September
The post x402’s $50B Scale Gives Solana an AI Payments Edge appeared first on Cryptonews.
Crypto World
SoFi moves $25 billion card program to SoFiUSD settlement on Mastercard
SoFi Technologies has moved its entire $25 billion card program to blockchain based settlement using SoFiUSD as its bank issued stablecoin goes live across Mastercard’s global payments network.
Summary
- SoFi has moved its $25 billion card program to SoFiUSD settlement across Mastercard’s global payments network.
- Transactions are now live onchain, while merchants can receive funds without holding stablecoins or building blockchain infrastructure.
- SoFi and Mastercard are exploring SoFiUSD for merchant settlement, cross border payments and remittances.
According to a joint announcement from SoFi and Mastercard on Sept. 22, debit and credit card transactions under the SoFi Bank program are now settling with SoFiUSD, making the token part of Mastercard’s live payment infrastructure six months after the companies announced their partnership.
Transactions are already live onchain, with SoFi Bank migrating a card program expected to process more than $25 billion in volume. SoFi said the rollout makes SoFiUSD the first stablecoin issued by a nationally chartered bank to be used for settlement across Mastercard’s network.
The system does not require merchants to hold the token or build separate blockchain infrastructure. Settlement can reach a SoFi Bank account through the company’s Big Business Banking platform, after which merchants can withdraw the funds as cash around the clock without a withdrawal fee.
“In six months, SoFi and Mastercard took stablecoin settlement from an idea to a live product that materially improves how money moves for businesses,” SoFi CEO Anthony Noto said.
Noto said merchants can use blockchain based settlement without changing how they currently operate, while gaining faster access to funds through their bank accounts.
SoFiUSD stablecoin settlement moves into live card transactions
SoFiUSD is issued by SoFi Bank, N.A., a nationally chartered bank regulated by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. The stablecoin is redeemable 1:1 for U.S. dollars, with reserves held primarily in cash, according to the company.
The token is available to institutions and SoFi members for settlement, payments and other financial applications.
SoFi had already expanded access to the token before moving its card program onchain. In May, crypto.news previously reported that SoFiUSD became available inside the company’s consumer app, allowing nearly 15 million members to buy, sell, hold and convert the stablecoin. The token operates on Ethereum and Solana, while SoFi had listed Mastercard settlement among the institutional uses planned for the product.
Mastercard Global Head of Digital Commercialization Sherri Haymond said the launch had moved the companies past the testing stage and into live use.
“Stablecoins become meaningful when they solve real problems that businesses face every day,” Haymond said. She added that the companies were bringing regulated stablecoin settlement into production while keeping the safeguards and scale associated with Mastercard’s existing network.
Mastercard has been expanding stablecoin settlement options
The SoFi rollout follows a larger stablecoin settlement program unveiled by Mastercard earlier this year.
In June, Mastercard added six regulated stablecoins to its planned settlement infrastructure, including Circle’s USDC, PayPal USD, Global Dollar, Pax Dollar, Ripple USD and SoFiUSD. The payment company said supported transactions could settle outside conventional banking hours, including during weekends and holidays.
Support was announced across several blockchain networks, including Ethereum, Solana, Polygon, Base, Arbitrum, Canton, Tempo and the XRP Ledger.
Under that rollout, issuers and acquirers were expected to gain the option to settle card transactions using regulated stablecoins while retaining existing Mastercard payment processes. Initial support was planned for parts of the United States and Latin America before further expansion during 2026.
Mastercard has since continued building infrastructure that connects conventional payment systems with blockchain based money movement.
The company completed its acquisition of BVNK in August in a deal valued at up to $1.8 billion. BVNK provides infrastructure for moving funds between fiat currencies and stablecoins and supports payments, treasury operations, payouts and settlement.
Bringing BVNK into Mastercard gave the payments company another set of systems for handling stablecoin and tokenized asset transactions alongside its existing payment network.
SoFi is extending SoFiUSD beyond its own banking network
SoFi said the latest settlement launch is not intended to remain limited to transactions involving SoFi Bank.
The company is in discussions with large U.S. merchants over stablecoin based settlement arrangements, ranging from multinational retailers to technology service platforms. No participating merchants or implementation dates were disclosed in the announcement.
SoFi and Mastercard plan to examine more uses for SoFiUSD across Mastercard’s network, including cross border payments, remittances and other forms of money movement.
Institutional distribution of the stablecoin has been growing through separate partnerships. Earlier this month, SoFi reached an agreement with Payward that brought together its banking infrastructure and Kraken’s digital asset services.
Under the arrangement, Kraken agreed to list the SoFiUSD stablecoin, while Payward joined SoFi’s real time settlement network for round the clock U.S. dollar transfers. SoFi agreed to use Kraken Prime as another source of liquidity for digital asset orders.
The partnership gave SoFiUSD another distribution channel outside SoFi’s own platform while connecting institutional clients with bank based dollar settlement.
Merchants can settle without holding SoFiUSD
For merchants, the companies have structured the system so that stablecoin settlement can remain largely behind the scenes.
Businesses do not need to maintain a SoFiUSD balance or integrate blockchain wallets into their operations, according to SoFi. Funds can be received through SoFi Bank and converted into cash while the blockchain handles the settlement process between the relevant parties.
SoFi’s Big Business Banking platform serves as part of that infrastructure. The service was launched earlier this year to give institutional customers access to fiat balances, stablecoins and digital assets through a single regulated banking environment.
SoFiUSD can be used within the platform for payments and settlement, while businesses can move between the token and U.S. dollars through SoFi Bank.
The company said the system gives merchants access to settlement funds at any time instead of tying withdrawals to traditional banking hours.
SoFi and Mastercard have not provided a timetable for the next phase of the rollout. Their current discussions cover merchant settlement, cross border transfers, remittances and other payment uses as they assess where SoFiUSD can be used across Mastercard’s network.
Crypto World
Executives of the Year: Ekta Chopra

Crypto World
ECB seeks tighter MiCA rules to block indirect stablecoin yields and protect bank deposits
The European Central Bank (ECB) and the European Union’s national central banks want crypto platforms to be prevented from using lending, borrowing, staking and other products that offer indirect returns on stablecoin holdings.
“Electronic money is intended to be used for making payments and not as a means of saving,” the European System of Central Banks (ESCB) said in a response to the European Commission’s consultation on reviewing the Markets in Crypto-Assets regulation (MiCA).
In the 57-page response, the group said it “continues to support the prohibition on CASPs paying remuneration on stablecoins,” referring to crypto-asset service providers. The ban, it said, should not be limited to services already governed by MiCA, which began taking effect in June 2024, and should also cover unregulated activities, including crypto lending, borrowing and staking.
The banks said that allowing indirect returns could undermine the distinction between electronic money and bank deposits, as well as distort the level playing field across the EU financial system.
“Maintaining and, where necessary, strengthening the prohibition, covering both direct and indirect forms of remuneration, should be a clear legislative priority,” the ESCB stated.
Crypto World
ECB, EU Banks Seek MiCA Changes On EU Stablecoin Liquidity Rules
The European Central Bank (ECB) and EU central banks want to replace mandatory bank-deposit thresholds for stablecoin reserves with new liquidity requirements, arguing that large stablecoin deposits could create liquidity risks for banks.
The European System of Central Banks (ESCB) called for removing rules requiring at least 30% of reserves, or 60% for significant stablecoins, to be held as bank deposits. The proposal came in the ESCB’s response, published Tuesday, to the European Commission’s review of the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA).
Instead of the existing bank-deposit rules, the ESCB backed minimum liquidity thresholds for reserve assets maturing within one and five working days. It separately pointed to overnight reverse repurchase agreements (repos) and short-term sovereign bonds as alternative instruments issuers could use to achieve liquidity.
The new proposal echoes concerns previously raised by the stablecoin industry, including Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino, who has warned since at least 2024 that MiCA’s bank-deposit requirements could create systemic risks for both banks and stablecoin issuers.
EU central banks favor liquidity buckets
The ESCB said the existing requirement “creates a direct link between issuers and credit institutions” and could expose banks to liquidity problems if a stablecoin run forces an issuer to rapidly withdraw deposits.
The central banks cited draft rules published by the European Banking Authority in 2024, requiring significant stablecoins to hold at least 40% of reserves in assets maturing within one working day and 60% within five working days. For non-significant tokens, the thresholds are 20% and 30%, respectively.
Beyond stablecoin reserves, the ESCB also warned of “material challenges” in enforcing MiCA, saying non-compliant crypto companies can still access EU customers.
Tether raised similar bank-risk concerns in 2024
In an October 2024 Cointelegraph interview, Tether CEO Ardoino illustrated the risk with a hypothetical stablecoin holding 10 billion euros in reserves, 6 billion euros of which would have to be kept in bank deposits.
If a bank lent out 90% of those funds, he said, only 600 million euros would remain available, potentially creating a liquidity crunch if the issuer suddenly needed billions to meet redemptions, Ardoino said.
Related: ECB launches Pontes to settle tokenized assets without stablecoins
Flash forward almost two years and the ESCB now points to a similar risk, saying a stablecoin run could force an issuer to rapidly withdraw deposits and create liquidity problems for a bank, particularly if stablecoin reserves account for a significant share of its funding.
The central banks on Tuesday said risks can also flow in the opposite direction, citing the March 2023 collapse of Silicon Valley Bank, which triggered a run on Circle’s USDC stablecoin after Circle disclosed that $3.3 billion of its reserves were held at the bank.
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