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Pi Network price at support as MACD momentum exhausts

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Will Pi Network price recover to $0.20 as bearish MACD momentum exhausts at the support floor? - 2

Pi Network price is trading at $0.1672 on April 15, with the daily MACD histogram printing at exactly 0.0000 for the first time since the February all-time low, raising the question of whether the extended bearish phase that carried price from the $2.99 peak to the $0.1351 floor is finally losing its downward force.

Summary

  • Pi Network price is at $0.1672, +0.48%, on April 15, as the daily MACD histogram reads 0.0000 for the first time since the $0.1351 all-time low on Feb. 11, marking the first pause in bearish momentum expansion during the current downleg.
  • The daily SMA ribbon remains fully bearish with all four moving averages stacked above price: SMA 20 at $0.1715, SMA 50 at $0.1852, SMA 100 at $0.1807, and SMA 200 at $0.2029.
  • A daily close above the SMA 20 at $0.1715 is the first recovery signal and opens $0.20 as the nearterm target; the annotated resistance at $0.2804 is the extended objective, while a daily close below $0.1351 invalidates the support thesis entirely.

Pi Network (PI) price is at $0.1672 on April 15, up 0.48% on the session, as the daily chart posts the first MACD histogram reading of exactly 0.0000 since the Feb. 11 all-time low at $0.1351. The flattening of the histogram at zero does not confirm a reversal on its own, but it marks the first session since the all-time low where the force of the downtrend has mathematically paused, occurring as price stabilizes directly above the annotated structural floor. The 24-hour volume stands at 14.7M PI, reflecting the consolidation conditions that have held since the bounce off the all-time low.

The full SMA ribbon remains bearish. SMA 20 at $0.1715, SMA 50 at $0.1852, SMA 100 at $0.1807, and SMA 200 at $0.2029 form sequential overhead resistance. None of the four averages have been reclaimed on a daily close since price broke below them in the fourth quarter of 2025. The key variable now is whether the MACD histogram moves from zero into positive territory, which would signal that momentum has shifted from deceleration to acceleration in the bull direction.

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The MACD (12,26,9) on the Pi Network daily chart has printed a histogram reading of 0.0000 on April 15, with the MACD line at -0.0052 and the signal at -0.0052. Both lines remain below zero, confirming the macro trend is still bearish. The histogram reaching zero from below means the gap between the MACD and signal lines has collapsed to nothing, a necessary precondition before any bullish crossover can occur. In prior PI trading cycles, histogram readings approaching zero from the negative side have preceded short-term recoveries toward the nearest SMA resistance level.

Will Pi Network price recover to $0.20 as bearish MACD momentum exhausts at the support floor? - 2

The signal arrives at the most structurally significant level on the chart. The $0.1351 all-time low, set on Feb. 11, 2026, is the annotated support floor on the daily chart. It has held without a daily close below it since that date. Price bouncing repeatedly from this level while the MACD contracts toward zero describes the conditions for a potential base-building setup, conditional on the SMA 20 being reclaimed.

Pi Network completed its mainnet upgrade to Protocol v21 on April 14, introducing performance enhancements as the foundational step toward smart contract support via Protocol v23.0, scheduled for May 18. The v22.1 node upgrade deadline falls on April 22, the next milestone on the road to that smart contract launch.

Key Levels: Support, Resistance, and Price Targets

The $0.1351 all-time low is the structural floor. A daily close below it has not occurred since Feb. 11 and would expose uncharted territory with no prior chart reference below that level.

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On the upside, the SMA 20 at $0.1715 is the immediate resistance and the first level a recovery must clear. A daily close above $0.1715 opens $0.20, which has capped multiple recovery attempts in 2026. The annotated horizontal resistance at $0.2804 is the extended bull case target if $0.20 is cleared and held on a daily close. The SMA 50 at $0.1852 sits between $0.1715 and $0.2804 and represents the midpoint resistance in any recovery sequence.

Invalidation: a daily close below $0.1351.

On-Chain and Market Data Context

Approximately 230 million PI tokens are scheduled to unlock over the next 30 days, adding consistent sell pressure to any technical recovery attempt. A single whale address has accumulated approximately 350 million PI, becoming the network’s sixth-largest holder, a signal of conviction accumulation at structural support even as the unlock schedule weighs on spot price.

Analyst @kwalaintel (40.2K followers on X) flagged that Pi faces “a major structural headwind” from daily token unlocks, identifying the supply and demand tension as the key variable that technical patterns alone cannot resolve. If the MACD histogram moves from zero into positive territory on a daily close, the SMA 20 at $0.1715 becomes the primary nearterm target, with $0.20 as the level that would confirm a sustained recovery attempt is underway.

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Xi Denies Arming Iran in Trump Letter

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Trump token initiative begins: More pay for play?

President Trump disclosed Wednesday that he and Chinese President Xi Jinping exchanged letters over China’s alleged weapons transfers to Iran, with Xi denying the claim in writing and Trump calling it a positive step ahead of their May summit.

Summary

  • Trump revealed on Fox Business that he wrote Xi asking him not to supply Iran with weapons, and Xi responded saying China was not doing that.
  • Trump posted on Truth Social that China had “agreed not to send weapons to Iran” and predicted Xi would give him a “big, fat, hug” at their planned meeting in Beijing next month.
  • Any genuine easing of US-China tensions alongside Iran diplomacy could reduce the oil-driven pressure that has weighed on Bitcoin since February.

President Trump told Fox Business Wednesday morning that Chinese President Xi Jinping sent him a letter denying that China is supplying weapons to Iran. Trump said he initiated the exchange after US intelligence reports surfaced suggesting Beijing may have sent a shipment of missiles to Tehran. “I wrote him a letter asking him not to do that, and he wrote me a letter saying, essentially, he’s not doing that,” Trump said.

In a follow-up Truth Social post, Trump wrote that China had “agreed not to send weapons to Iran” and said he and Xi were “working together smartly, and very well.” The post also stated that China was “very happy” the US was moving to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, through which China sources a significant portion of its energy imports.

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The exchange carries diplomatic weight even without formal verification. Trump last week threatened a 50% tariff on any country supplying Iran with weapons, a warning aimed squarely at China. Xi’s written denial, whether or not it reflects Beijing’s actual behavior, gives Trump a face-saving path to de-escalate one front of the conflict without confrontation.

US intelligence has not confirmed definitive evidence that Chinese missiles have been used against American or Israeli forces. Chinese companies have, however, provided dual-use components tied to Iran’s missile and drone programs, a distinction analysts say matters significantly for what Xi’s letter does and does not commit to.

Trump and Xi are scheduled to meet in Beijing on May 14 and 15, and Trump said the Iran situation would not affect that meeting.

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How China Fits Into the Iran Standoff

China is the primary buyer of Iranian crude oil and has the most to lose economically from a prolonged Strait of Hormuz closure. As the largest non-Western power with influence over Tehran, Beijing’s posture toward the conflict has been closely watched by both markets and diplomatic circles. Xi’s first public comments on the war came Tuesday, when he told Spain’s prime minister that “the international order is crumbling into disarray.”

The letter exchange suggests a backchannel is open between Washington and Beijing at a moment when the two countries are also navigating trade tensions, with tariff negotiations expected to feature prominently at next month’s summit.

What It Means for Bitcoin and Crypto Markets

Bitcoin has been acutely sensitive to every diplomatic signal in the Iran conflict. BTC rallied 5% to $74,400 on Trump comments suggesting Iran wanted to return to talks, and dropped to a session low of $70,617 when the naval blockade was announced and oil spiked to $105. Each diplomatic signal has produced an immediate repricing, amplified by the heavy short positioning that has built up over 46 consecutive days of extreme fear.

A credible path toward US-China cooperation on Iran, even without a formal ceasefire, would ease the oil-driven inflation pressure that has kept the Federal Reserve hawkish and risk assets on the back foot since February. Market analyst Sam Daodu has outlined a $75,000 to $80,000 range for BTC if new talks produce even a temporary agreement, and a path toward $100,000 by year-end if a full deal materialises.

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China equities navigate oil shock as trade data shifts dynamics

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Lale Akoner Global Markets Analyst At Etoro

China equities are navigating a global oil shock, according to eToro’s latest market commentary. The note ties March trade data to how higher oil prices can reverberate through the economy, noting slower export growth alongside a sharp rise in imports driven by energy and commodity purchases. While such shocks can push up input costs and pressure margins in the near term, the material emphasizes that the market impact is often reflected in valuations as investors adjust expectations. The write-up also points to likely beneficiaries, sector rotations, and the ongoing role of policy support in shaping the near-term outlook.

Key points

  • Export growth slowed to 2.5% in March while imports jumped nearly 28%, driven by energy and commodities.
  • Frontloading of energy imports amid supply uncertainty suggests near-term input-cost pressure and potential margin effects.
  • Energy-sensitive sectors such as oil, shipping, and logistics may see stronger pricing power; AI and energy-security themes remain supported by policy tailwinds and high-tech exports.

Why it matters

For readers and investors, the report outlines how a commodity-price shock can influence market dynamics in China—from trade patterns to sector rotation—and why policy context matters for near-term sentiment and positioning.

What to watch

  • Oil-price trajectories and energy-import trends that could signal further frontloading or shifts in demand.
  • Near-term sector rotation, particularly toward energy, shipping, and logistics, and away from more exposed areas.
  • Policy signals and ongoing momentum in high-tech exports that could sustain AI-related and energy-security themes.

Disclosure: The content below is a press release provided by the company or its PR representative. It is published for informational purposes.

China equities navigate oil shock as trade data signals shifting dynamics

Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates – April 15, 2026: China’s equity markets are adjusting to the impact of rising oil prices, as the latest March trade data offers an early indication of how the shock is feeding through the economy, according to eToro’s latest market commentary.

China’s export growth slowed to 2.5% in March, while imports surged nearly 28% – the fastest pace since 2021 – driven by a sharp increase in purchases of oil and other commodities. This pattern suggests a degree of frontloading in energy and commodity imports amid ongoing supply uncertainty, a trend observed during previous periods of market disruption.

Historically, such shocks tend to raise input costs and weigh on corporate margins in the near term. However, the impact is often reflected more significantly in market valuations rather than immediate earnings deterioration, as companies and investors adjust expectations.

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Lale Akoner Global Markets Analyst At Etoro
Lale Akoner Global Markets Analyst At Etoro

Lale Akoner, Global Market Analyst at eToro, commented: “China equities are navigating the oil shock in real time, with trade data highlighting how quickly the effects are being priced in. The surge in imports, particularly in energy and commodities, points to frontloading behaviour as businesses respond to supply uncertainty.”

She added: “From an investment perspective, energy-sensitive sectors such as oil, shipping, and logistics are likely to benefit from stronger pricing power in this environment. At the same time, structural themes like AI and energy security remain supported by policy tailwinds and global demand, as reflected in continued strength in high-tech exports.”

Despite near-term volatility, broader market fundamentals remain underpinned by policy support, with the Chinese state continuing to play a stabilising role. The current environment is also driving sector rotation, particularly towards industries that can better absorb or pass on rising input costs.

Akoner concluded: “With oil acting as a catalyst for sector rotation, the focus for investors remains clear: stay selective, lean into defensive positioning, and treat volatility as an opportunity rather than a signal of deterioration.”

Media Contact
PR@etoro.com

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About eToro:
eToro is the trading and investing platform that empowers you to invest, share and learn. We were founded in 2007 with the vision of a world where everyone can trade and invest in a simple and transparent way. Today we have 40 million registered users from 75 countries. We believe there is power in shared knowledge and that we can become more successful by investing together. So we’ve created a collaborative investment community designed to provide you with the tools you need to grow your knowledge and wealth. On eToro, you can hold a range of traditional and innovative assets and choose how you invest: trade directly, invest in a portfolio, or copy other investors. You can visit our media centre here for our latest news.

Disclaimers:
Not investment advice. eToro is a multi-asset investment platform. The value of your investments may go up or down. Your capital is at risk.

Regulation and License Numbers:

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eToro (ME) Limited, is licensed and regulated by the Abu Dhabi Global Market (“ADGM”)’s Financial Services Regulatory Authority (“FSRA“) as an Authorised Person to conduct the Regulated Activities of (a) Dealing in Investments as Principal (Matched), (b) Arranging Deals in Investments, (c) Providing Custody, (d) Arranging Custody and (e) Managing Assets (under Financial Services Permission Number 220073) under the Financial Services and Market Regulations 2015 (“FSMR”). Registered Office and its principal place of business: Office 26 and 27, 25th floor, Al Sila Tower, ADGM Square, Al Maryah Island, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates.

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Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Allbirds Stock Rallies 700% On AI Pivot, But Mirrors Failed Crypto Treasury Plans

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Allbirds (BIRD) Stock Performance

Allbirds (BIRD) stock gained over 700% on April 15 after the company announced it would ditch footwear entirely and pivot to AI compute infrastructure. The playbook may look familiar.

Less than a year ago, a wave of struggling pharma companies pulled the same move with crypto. Most of those stocks have since collapsed.

From Dead Shoe Brand to 700% Market Frenzy in a Single Day

Allbirds, once valued at $4 billion after its 2021 IPO, sold its shoe brand to American Exchange Group for just $39 million in March.

The remaining shell secured a $50 million convertible financing facility and plans to rebrand as NewBird AI, leasing GPUs to developers facing compute shortages.

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“NewBird AI expects to use initial capital from the Facility to acquire high-performance GPU assets, which will be deployed to serve customers requiring dedicated access to AI compute capacity,” read an excerpt in the press release.

Following the news, Allbirds’ stock, BIRD, rallied by over 700%, with prospects for more gains as rising demand continues to clear each local top.

Allbirds (BIRD) Stock Performance
Allbirds (BIRD) Stock Performance. Source: TradingView

It is imperative to note, however, that the company has no track record in hardware, data centers, or cloud services. Both deals still require stockholder approval at a May 18 special meeting.

Against this backdrop, analysts noted the disconnect between the stock move and the underlying business.

“Feels like the market is rewarding what you could be not what you are … Nothing changed operationally overnight. Just the story. Shoes → dead. AI → alive,” analyst Kyle Doops remarked.

Crypto Tried This First

In 2025, at least four medical firms abandoned their core businesses to become crypto treasury companies.

  • Helius Medical rebranded as Solana Company and raised $500 million for a SOL treasury.
  • Kindly MD merged with Nakamoto Holdings to hold Bitcoin (BTC).
  • MEI Pharma became Lite Strategy, adopting Litecoin (LTC) as its reserve asset.

Each stock spiked on the announcement. The aftermath tells a different story. Helius Medical traded near $25 at its peak and now sits around $2.31.

Nakamoto has fallen to $0.22 and is pursuing a reverse stock split to avoid Nasdaq delisting. Lite Strategy trades at $1.10 with a market cap of roughly $40 million.

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Solana Company (HSDT), Nakamoto (NAKA), and Lite Strategy (LITS) Price Performance
Solana Company (HSDT), Nakamoto (NAKA), and Lite Strategy (LITS) Price Performance. Source: TradingView

Same Hype, Different Label

Master Ventures founder Kyle Chassé called it the “AI effect,” suggesting this may only be the beginning.

“This is the AI effect. Allbirds announced their switch from shoes to AI and then shot up 700% in a single day. It wouldn’t be surprising if other companies started pulling the same moves,” Chassé suggested.

The pattern is consistent. A company with a failing core business sells its operations, attaches itself to the hottest narrative, and watches its stock pop.

With crypto treasuries, the pop faded once markets demanded actual execution.

AI compute demand is real, but so was demand for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana (SOL).

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Whether NewBird AI breaks the pattern or follows it may depend on whether $50 million is enough to compete in a market dominated by hyperscalers spending billions.

“I wish the Allbirds people luck in their attempt to pivot to GPUs. Maybe they can do it. But i regard this as the first definitive sign that things have gone too far. What a bunch of jokers and mountebanks they are,” wrote Jim Cramer.

The post Allbirds Stock Rallies 700% On AI Pivot, But Mirrors Failed Crypto Treasury Plans appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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Crypto PAC Fellowship Discloses $11M from Cantor Fitzgerald and Anchorage

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Crypto PAC Fellowship Discloses $11M from Cantor Fitzgerald and Anchorage

The committee, led by Tether’s head of government affairs, reported spending $3 million on advertising through a company co-founded by Tether US CEO Bo Hines.

The latest filing by the crypto-aligned political action committee (PAC) headed by stablecoin issuer Tether’s head of government affairs shows $11 million in contributions from financial institutions.

In a Wednesday filing with the US Federal Election Commission (FEC), the Fellowship PAC revealed it had received $10 million from financial services firm Cantor Fitzgerald and $1 million from Anchor Labs, the company behind the crypto bank Anchorage Digital. The January 2026 contributions came amid $3 million in spending by the PAC for “issue advocacy advertising” with the Nxum Group, a marketing company co-founded by former White House crypto adviser and Tether US CEO Bo Hines.

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Source: FEC

Despite the significant contributions from Cantor Fitzgerald and Anchorage, Fellowship initially claimed to have “over $100 million” from undisclosed backers aligned with the crypto industry at its launch in September. FEC filings showed no receipts over $200 between Aug. 7, 2025 and Dec. 31, 2025, but did not necessarily include any contributions after March 31.

The 2024 US election season saw crypto-backed PACs spend hundreds of millions of dollars on media to support candidates they considered “pro-crypto” and to oppose those marked as “anti-crypto” by many in the industry. With party control of the US Congress hanging in the balance this year, PAC spending like Fellowship’s signals that the crypto industry could try to repeat their successes of 2024.

Related: US midterm election mirrors 2024 as crypto PACs move into Ohio races

In addition to its $3 million in advertising costs, the PAC reported in April that it had spent $1.5 million in media buys supporting Republican candidates in Georgia’s 14th Congressional District and candidates in US Senate races in Nebraska and Kentucky. Those three US states are scheduled to hold party primaries in May.

PAC’s ties to the crypto industry

Mitchell Nobel, listed as the PAC’s treasurer, has also been Cantor Fitzgerald’s director of digital asset strategy and policy since August 2025, roughly the same time Fellowship filed its statement of organization with the FEC.

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Anchorage announced in March that it would be joining Chainlink to support the launch of the Blockchain Leadership Fund, a hybrid PAC that allows contributions directly to candidates as well as independent expenditures. An Anchorage spokesperson told Cointelegraph at the time that the company would make a “meaningful contribution” to be disclosed with the FEC, but no filing was public as of Wednesday.

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