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Robinhood (HOOD) Stock: Bernstein Maintains $130 Target Despite 53% Plunge

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HOOD Stock Card

Key Takeaways

  • Bernstein maintains its Outperform rating on HOOD with a $130 price target, banking on cryptocurrency resurgence and expanding prediction markets.
  • HOOD shares have plummeted 53% from their 52-week peak of $153.86, now hovering between $69 and $71.
  • Bernstein’s revenue projections for 2026 exceed consensus by 9%, while EPS estimates are 16% higher; their crypto revenue outlook is 31% above street expectations.
  • Several analysts have reduced their targets, including Morgan Stanley (down to $95), Truist (lowered to $100), and Mizuho (cut to $105), although most retain positive ratings.
  • CEO Vladimir Tenev and company insiders offloaded nearly 470,000 shares worth approximately $34.16 million in the last quarter, while institutional player Robeco increased its position by 83%.

Robinhood Markets (HOOD) is experiencing turbulent times. Shares have collapsed more than 53% from their 52-week peak of $153.86, currently hovering in the $69–$71 range. This represents a dramatic reversal for a platform that recently benefited from cryptocurrency mania and surging retail investor activity.


HOOD Stock Card
Robinhood Markets, Inc., HOOD

Yet Bernstein SocGen Group remains undeterred. The investment firm reaffirmed its Outperform rating Monday, maintaining a $130 price target that suggests significant upside from current levels. Their bullish stance hinges on two key catalysts: a rebound in cryptocurrency markets and expanding revenue from prediction markets.

Bernstein’s projections stand notably above Wall Street consensus. The firm’s 2026 revenue forecast exceeds the street by 9%, while their earnings per share estimates run 16% higher. For cryptocurrency-related revenue specifically, Bernstein anticipates 2026 figures 31% above consensus expectations. The analysts suggest disappointing Q1 2026 results are already reflected in the current valuation.

The wider analyst community has adopted a more reserved posture. Morgan Stanley slashed its price objective from $147 down to $95 while downgrading to equal weight. Truist reduced its target from $120 to $100, and Mizuho lowered expectations from $135 to $105. Cantor Fitzgerald dropped its forecast from $130 to $100. Citizens adjusted from $180 to $155. Nevertheless, the consensus among 25 analysts maintains a “Moderate Buy” rating with an average target of $110.25.

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods launched coverage with a neutral market perform rating and $75 target—essentially aligned with current trading levels. Zacks took the most bearish stance, downgrading HOOD to strong sell.

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Executive Stock Sales Draw Attention

Insider transaction activity has contributed to negative sentiment. During the past three months, company insiders collectively sold 469,239 shares generating approximately $34.16 million. CEO Vladimir Tenev alone divested 375,000 shares. CTO Jeffrey Pinner sold roughly 5,835 shares. Director Daniel Gallagher unloaded 10,000 shares. These sales were executed through pre-established Rule 10b5-1 trading arrangements.

Insiders continue to control approximately 19.95% of outstanding shares, and institutional activity presents a mixed picture. Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest recently acquired HOOD stock in a substantial multi-million dollar transaction. Robeco Institutional Asset Management expanded its position by 83% throughout Q4, purchasing an additional 474,081 shares to reach over 1 million shares valued at approximately $118 million.

Financial Performance Breakdown

HOOD’s fourth-quarter results showed strength on earnings—delivering $0.66 EPS compared to the $0.63 consensus—while falling short on revenue with $1.28 billion versus expectations of $1.32 billion. Revenue nevertheless climbed 26.5% year-over-year.

The platform expanded its retail trading revenue share to 14% in 2025, up from 11% in 2024, through diversification into cryptocurrency and prediction markets. HOOD currently captures 4% of total brokerage revenue within its addressable market.

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Technically, shares trade below both the 50-day moving average of $75.27 and the 200-day moving average of $107.80. The stock touched a 52-week low of $39.21 during its recent decline. Market capitalization currently stands at approximately $62.29 billion with a price-to-earnings ratio of 33.59.

A potentially significant development emerged from Washington: Robinhood secured selection alongside BNY Mellon to administer the U.S. Treasury’s “Trump Accounts” child savings initiative, presenting a possible long-term customer acquisition opportunity. This represents the latest development worth monitoring.

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From NASA to Crypto: The Unlikely Journey of Benjamin Cowen

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From NASA to Crypto: The Unlikely Journey of Benjamin Cowen

Benjamin Cowen has spent years saying things people don’t want to hear. No hype, paid promotions, or promises of the next 100x altcoin. In a space where opinions are routinely bought and sold, he has built one of crypto’s most trusted voices on a simple, uncomfortable truth:

“It’s hard to find people in this space whose opinions aren’t paid for. A lot of times, their opinions are actually paid for.”

What makes that statement land differently coming from Cowen is where he came from — and what he carried with him on the way.


The Lab That Built Benjamin Cowen

Before hundreds of thousands of subscribers knew his name, Benjamin Cowen was deep inside a university laboratory, studying radiation damage through molecular dynamics and transmission electron microscopy.

From 2013 to 2018, his world was defined by peer-reviewed papers, strict advisers, and the kind of intellectual rigour that doesn’t tolerate shortcuts. By the time he defended his dissertation, he had around ten to eleven published papers to his name.

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That foundation, he says, is everything.

“I don’t really think I had that strong of a work ethic before grad school. But then I went to grad school and I had to work really, really hard. If you’re running an experiment, it doesn’t care if you’ve already worked forty hours that week. You still got to go in and deal with it.”

Graduate school changed him. The lab doesn’t close because you’ve already put in forty hours. You show up anyway. That lesson never left.


Culture Shock: From Academia to the Crypto

When Cowen started his YouTube channel, IntoTheCryptoverse, the transition from academia to crypto felt natural in one sense — and deeply jarring in another. The work ethic translated perfectly. The culture did not.

“In my world, you don’t talk to people like that. In academia, everyone’s really respectful and professional. People aren’t tweeting back at each other at 3:00 a.m. with really mean insults.”

For a while, it got to him. A single negative comment could overshadow ten positive ones and linger for the rest of the day. He kept showing up anyway. Five, six, sometimes eight or nine videos a week. Applying the same publishing discipline learned in grad school to a medium moving at an entirely different speed.

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The breakthrough came gradually. He realised that in crypto, you’re either a bull or a bear. There is no neutral ground that pleases everyone.

“It really doesn’t matter what I say — there will be a certain amount of people that just don’t like what I say regardless.”

Once he accepted that, the comments lost their power. Today, two to three years into that mindset shift, Benjamin Cowen barely dwells on criticism at all.


One Ethics Stayed Constant

Through it all, what kept him grounded wasn’t the channel, the analysis, or the portfolio. It was something far simpler.

“The biggest form of wealth is family, in my opinion. I would give up every Bitcoin I’ve ever owned for my family.”

In a space that constantly tempts people to define their worth by their holdings, that kind of clarity is rarer than it sounds. It also explains something deeper about why his audience keeps coming back — not for price predictions, but for perspective from someone who has never confused the market with what actually matters in life.

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Benjamin Cowen didn’t stumble into crypto in search of a get-rich-quick story. He arrived with a scientist’s mind, an academic’s discipline, and the integrity to say what the data shows, even when nobody wants to hear it.

In an industry that rewards hype, that turned out to be his greatest edge.

The post From NASA to Crypto: The Unlikely Journey of Benjamin Cowen appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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HYPE Hits $45 as Oil Contracts Boost Hyperliquid Volume

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR

  • HYPE climbed above $45 for the first time in five months after gaining more than 20% in one week.
  • Oil perpetual contracts ranked among the most traded assets on Hyperliquid during the price rally.
  • Crude Oil generated over $840 million in 24-hour volume and became the third most traded market.
  • Brent Crude Oil recorded more than $360 million in daily volume and ranked fifth on the exchange.
  • HIP-3 daily trading volume reached about $5.4 billion in late March, led by commodity contracts.

HYPE advanced to nearly $45 early Tuesday, marking its highest level in five months. The token gained over 20% during the past week as trading volumes expanded. Oil-linked perpetual contracts drove much of the activity on Hyperliquid.

The token later eased to about $43.4 at press time. However, it held most of its weekly gains as traders stayed active. The recovery followed renewed focus on commodity markets listed on the exchange.

HYPE Price Rally Aligns with Commodity Trading Surge

HYPE climbed sharply as traders increased activity across builder-deployed markets on Hyperliquid. The token reached nearly $45 before trimming gains later in the session. It still traded firmly above late January levels.

The weekly advance exceeded 20%, reflecting stronger participation on the platform. Oil contracts ranked among the most traded assets during the rally. This trading momentum coincided with higher open interest across new perpetual listings.

Hyperliquid operates a permissionless listing structure under its HIP-3 framework. Outside developers can launch perpetual markets directly on the exchange. The protocol describes HIP-3 as a move toward decentralized perp listings.

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This structure expanded the range of available markets beyond digital assets. Commodity and equity-linked contracts gained traction in recent weeks. As a result, overall trading activity shifted toward these instruments.

Market data showed builder-deployed markets topping $1.2 billion in open interest during March. Oil and equity futures contributed heavily to that figure. These contracts became central to daily trading flows on the platform.

Crude Oil emerged as one of the busiest contracts on Hyperliquid. The contract generated over $840 million in 24-hour volume. It ranked as the third most traded market on the exchange.

Brent Crude Oil also attracted strong participation from traders. The contract recorded more than $360 million in 24-hour volume. It ranked fifth among all listed markets.

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Oil Frenzy Under HIP-3 Lifts HYPE Visibility

Trading activity accelerated during volatility tied to the US-Iran conflict. Traders used perpetual markets to react before traditional exchanges reopened. This dynamic increased volume across oil-linked contracts.

A March report from The Wall Street Journal detailed rapid volume growth. Cumulative oil futures volume jumped from $339 million to $7.3 billion within days. Traders favored nonstop markets during heightened geopolitical tension.

This surge extended beyond oil alone and covered other commodities. HIP-3 daily volume reached about $5.4 billion in late March. Silver, WTI, Brent, and gold contracts led that activity.

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Kraken Moves Toward IPO as Valuation Drops to $13.3B

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR

  • Kraken confirmed that it confidentially filed for an initial public offering, according to co-CEO Arjun Sethi.
  • The company secured a $13.3 billion valuation in April, down from its $20 billion peak in late 2025.
  • Arjun Sethi said Kraken plans to offer institutional-grade trading tools to retail users.
  • Kraken obtained a master account with the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City for direct dollar settlement access.
  • Deutsche Börse agreed to invest $200 million for a 1.5% fully diluted stake in Payward Inc.
  • Kraken disclosed insider-related security incidents that affected about 2,000 accounts without compromising client funds.

Kraken confirmed it confidentially filed for an initial public offering, according to co-CEO Arjun Sethi. He disclosed the move on Tuesday at the Semafor World Economy summit in Washington, D.C. The filing follows a prior pause in listing plans as its valuation fell to $13.3 billion.

Kraken Advances IPO Plan as Valuation Adjusts

Kraken confirmed it submitted a confidential IPO filing, and Arjun Sethi announced the update during a public event. He spoke at the Semafor World Economy conference in Washington, D.C., and addressed earlier reports. The company had paused earlier listing plans after crypto markets weakened and trading volumes dropped.

The San Francisco-based exchange secured a $13.3 billion valuation in an April funding round. That figure marked a decline from its $20 billion peak recorded in late 2025. The round included backing from Citadel Securities and reflected changing investor sentiment.

Sethi said Kraken wants to expand institutional-grade trading tools to retail clients. He compared the company’s goals to services offered by Jane Street and JPMorgan Chase. He stated, “We aim to bring institutional-grade tools to retail users,” while outlining product ambitions.

Kraken recently obtained a master account with the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City. The account grants direct access to U.S. payment systems, including Fedwire. This access allows dollar settlements without intermediary banks, though it excludes interest on reserves and lending facilities.

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Deutsche Börse Investment and Insider Security Incidents

Deutsche Börse disclosed a $200 million investment in Kraken through a secondary share purchase. The transaction grants a 1.5% fully diluted stake in Payward Inc, pending regulatory approval. The companies expect the deal to close in Q2 2026.

The investment expands a partnership announced in December 2025 between Kraken and Deutsche Börse. The collaboration targets regulated crypto trading, derivatives, tokenized assets, and institutional liquidity services. Both firms said the agreement seeks to connect traditional financial infrastructure with digital asset markets.

Kraken also reported two insider-related security incidents involving support staff. The employees accessed limited client data through internal systems without authorization. About 2,000 accounts, representing 0.02%, were affected, and no client funds or trading systems were compromised.

A criminal group later attempted extortion, claiming it possessed internal videos linked to the incidents. Kraken refused to pay and revoked access for the responsible individuals. The company notified affected users and cooperated with law enforcement while strengthening internal controls.

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Galaxy Digital reported a separate cybersecurity incident during the same week. The firm disclosed unauthorized access to a development environment. It stated that no client data or funds were impacted by that breach.

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Popular DeFi platform CoW Swap warns users to stay away from its site after security breach

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Blockchain sleuth ZachXBT alleges Axiom employee conducted insider trading

CoW Swap, a decentralized trading interface, said Tuesday it temporarily halted its services after detecting a domain name system (DNS) hijacking incident affecting its website, underscoring ongoing security risks at the front-end layer of DeFi platforms.

In a post on X, the team said the attack occurred at 14:54 UTC and warned users to avoid interacting with its interface until further notice. While the protocol’s underlying infrastructure, including its backend and APIs, was not directly compromised, both were paused “as a precaution” as the team worked to resolve the issue.

DNS hijacking allows attackers to redirect users from a legitimate domain to a malicious lookalike site, often with the goal of draining crypto wallets or harvesting private data. The attack vector has become a persistent weak point in decentralized finance, where users typically rely on web-based interfaces to access otherwise secure smart contracts.

CoW Swap operates as a decentralized exchange aggregator, sourcing liquidity across venues and using a mechanism known as “Coincidence of Wants” to match trades directly between users or batch them for more efficient execution. Orders are handled by competing “solvers” that optimize trade outcomes, a design intended to reduce slippage and limit exposure to maximal extractable value (MEV).

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MEV is a practice on the blockchain where bots reorder transactions to extract profit at users’ expense, making mitigation key to ensuring fair pricing and protecting traders.

The platform is governed by CoW DAO, a decentralized autonomous organization spun out of the Gnosis ecosystem. The project has positioned itself as a user-protective alternative in DeFi trading, emphasizing execution quality and fairer trading outcomes.

“We are now actively working to resolve the situation. Please continue to refrain from using swap dot cow dot fi until we confirm that it is safe to use,” the team wrote on X.

Read more: DEX Aggregator CoW Swap Targets 33% Trading Boost With Collaboration Feature, More Rewards

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Draper Says Bitcoin Price Could Reach $250K by 2027

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR

  • Tim Draper expects the Bitcoin price to reach $250,000 within the next 18 months.
  • He links his forecast to growing global adoption and weakening fiat currencies.
  • Draper first attempted to acquire Bitcoin when it traded at $4 through a mining partnership.
  • He later lost his Bitcoin holdings during the collapse of Mt. Gox exchange.
  • In 2014, he purchased Bitcoin at $632 per coin during a US Marshals auction.

Venture capitalist Tim Draper has renewed his projection that Bitcoin will reach $250,000 within 18 months. He shared the forecast in a recent public statement and linked it to rising adoption trends. He also cited the weakening of fiat currencies as a driver of future demand.

Bitcoin Price Outlook and Long-Term Target

Draper stated that he expects the Bitcoin price to climb to $250,000 within 18 months. He said growing usage will fuel the projected rise. He added that weakening fiat currencies will also boost demand.

He said, “I have reason to believe that Bitcoin will reach $250k in 18 months.” He linked his view to broader use cases across global markets. He maintained that expanding adoption will sustain the rally.

Draper acknowledged that some past forecasts did not meet timelines. However, he said he continues to stand by his current target. He stressed that he bases his outlook on adoption data and currency trends.

He previously predicted that Bitcoin would reach $10,000 within three years. He made that call shortly after buying confiscated coins in 2014. The asset later met that target within the projected period.

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Early Bitcoin Mining and Mt. Gox Losses

Draper said he first attempted to acquire Bitcoin when it traded at $4. He partnered with Peter Viscenne to mine the cryptocurrency. They ordered mining chips from hardware maker Butterfly Labs.

However, Draper alleged that Butterfly Labs used the chips to mine for itself. He said the company delayed shipping the hardware. By the time they received the equipment, Bitcoin traded above $30.

Draper later lost his holdings during the collapse of Mt. Gox. The exchange served as the leading Bitcoin trading platform at that time. Despite the failure, the Bitcoin price remained resilient.

He said, “It turned out that Bitcoin was being used for remitting money.” He added that people used it to pay unbanked employees and create new economies. He said these use cases supported price stability.

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In 2014, Draper purchased Bitcoin through a US Marshals auction. Authorities had seized the coins from the Silk Road marketplace. He paid $632 per coin during that auction process.

Shortly after the purchase, Draper predicted a $10,000 Bitcoin price within three years. A television host reacted with confusion during the interview. The asset later reached that level within the timeframe.

Draper admitted that later price targets were less accurate. However, he reiterated confidence in his current forecast. He again pointed to adoption growth and fiat currency erosion as key factors.

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Rakuten integrates XRP into payments network for millions of users in Japan

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Rakuten integrates XRP into payments network for millions of users in Japan

Japan’s e-commerce giant Rakuten is adding XRP to its Rakuten Pay app, allowing its 44 million users to use Ripple’s cryptocurrency as a payment method with more than 5 million merchant locations across the country.

In an announcement via X on Tuesday, Tatsuya Kohrogi, Ripple’s senior ecosystem growth manager, said Rakuten is also enabling its users to spot trade XRP via the app. He said they will also be able to purchase XRP with Rakuten points and hold it in their Rakuten Wallet.

The move ties XRP into one of Japan’s largest loyalty systems, where more than 3 trillion points—worth roughly $23 billion—are in circulation and can now be converted into XRP, Kohrogi said.

“Starting April 15, Rakuten Wallet will launch XRP as both a listed asset and a payment method, meaning users can buy XRP directly with Rakuten Points and charge their Rakuten Cash with XRP to spend it at over 5 million merchant locations across Japan,” Kohrogi said, calling the development “one of the most significant XRP milestones.”

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The Ripple executive also said Rakuten is one of Japan’s most trusted consumer brands. “The fact that XRP is now embedded into its loyalty and payments infrastructure is a powerful signal of where digital asset adoption is heading,” he added.

Rakuten began allowing users to spend bitcoin, ether and bitcoin cash in 2023. In 2021, the Japanese e-commerce giant announced the launch of its own Rakuten Coin, a token it said would be used as part of its points-based loyalty rewards system.

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DAO Behind CoW Swap Urges Users to Stay off Platform after ‘Hijacking‘

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DAO, DeFi, Trading, DEX

The decentralized exchange aggregator said users should refrain from visiting its website after a frontend exploit.

Decentralized exchange aggregator CoW Swap is calling on users to refrain from using its website after an unknown party hijacked its domain.

In a Tuesday X post, the decentralized autonomous organization (DAO) behind CoW Swap said its website had experienced a “DNS [Domain Name System] hijacking,” leading to a pause of its backend and APIs. The frontend exploit, through the website http://swap.cow.fi, was ongoing at the time of publication.

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“We are now actively working to resolve the situation,” said CoW Swap. “Please continue to refrain from using swap dot cow dot fi until we confirm that it is safe to use.”

DAO, DeFi, Trading, DEX
Source: CoW Swap

DNS attacks like the one CoW Swap reported are not uncommon among crypto and blockchain companies where user funds are at risk from phishing attempts. Decentralized exchange Balancer reported a domain attack in 2023, while Curve Finance said it has experienced multiple DNS hijackings.

Related: Firestorm erupts in Aave governance forum over CoW Swap fees

The price of the CoW Protocol’s COW token dropped more than 3% amid news of the domain hijacking, to $0.2159 from $0.2229.

Web3 hacks, driven by phishing, resulted in a half billion dollars in losses in Q1 2026

Blockchain security company Hacken reported on Tuesday that Web3 projects lost $482 million to hacks and scams in the first quarter of 2026. According to Hacken, there were 44 incidents over Q1 2026, most of which were phishing and social engineering attacks.

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Magazine: Are DeFi devs liable for the illegal activity of others on their platforms?