Crypto World
Tether and Telegram prop up $442B scam economy
Elliptic’s chief scientist Tom Robinson has called on stablecoin issuer Tether and encrypted messaging app Telegram to do more to stop an online scam industry estimated to have stolen $442 billion last year.
Robinson made the plea in an article he wrote for the Royal United Services Institute, a British security and defence think tank.
In the piece, Robinson calls on global regulators to demand greater accountability from messaging platforms and stablecoin issuers when it comes to tackling scams and the illegal marketplaces that rely on them.
He claims that the problem has reached “epidemic proportions,” and that an estimated $442 billion was lost to such scams in 2025.
Robinson also noted the humanitarian crisis that runs parallel, claiming that an estimated 300,000 trafficked workers are “held in these [scam] compounds, forced to commit online fraud under threat of torture, sexual violence and death.”
Within this industry, he says that firms like Tether and Telegram, and their ability to help launder online scam proceeds, are “becoming a foundational pillar of the modern global illicit economy.”
Read more: Myanmar proposes death penalty for violent crypto scammers
A scammer’s three major requirements are highlighted within the piece. This includes their need to find victims, their reliance on infrastructure to communicate and defraud said victims, and their ability to launder stolen funds.
He says “guarantee marketplaces,” which are online chat groups within messaging apps like Telegram, help facilitate these needs by selling illegal services.
Stolen data is sold to criminals looking for victim information, fake social media accounts are used to engage with victims, and mule bank services, which help launder funds, are advertised to criminals.
Payments are made with tether (USDT), and are primarily found on the TRON blockchain. Robinson says, “This allows value to be transferred peer-to-peer, circumventing many of the anti-money laundering checks imposed by banks.”
Who are the biggest perpetrators?
Major examples of these guarantee marketplaces include Huione, Xinbi, and Todou. Between them, Robinson says they’ve facilitated roughly a combined $66.6 billion in payments.
Huione is described as the “largest” guarantee firm and is linked to the conglomerate Huione Group.
This firm was sanctioned last year by the UK and US and is also linked to payments firm Huione Pay, which is estimated to have processed $103 billion in USDT transactions.
Read more: Huione Group head ‘Boss Xi’ reportedly arrested then released
Tudou Guarantee was a kind of rebrand for Huione Guarantee (which itself had renamed to Haowang Guarantee) after it was accused of being a “primary money laundering concern.”
Telegram began to ban Haowang Guarantee groups in May 2025 and, within criminal circles, merchants were encouraged to pivot to Tudou Gurantee. Huione Group also held a significant stake in Tudou.
However, Tudou began to shutter its operations in 2026 after pressure from Chinese law enforcement. The Xinbi Guarantee marketplace then filled this gap in the market and, according to Robinson, is handling $35 million per day.
Telegram also banned Xinbi channels in May 2025, but Robinson says it’s managed to circumvent the bans and just keep creating new marketplace channels.
He claims that the link between these scam marketplaces “is their reliance on services provided by two technology companies: Tether and Telegram. Telegram hosts the marketplaces while Tether provides the payment mechanism on which they depend.”
Robinsons says Telegram is doing the ‘bare minimum’
Robinson also says Xinbi has taken the lead in the scam industry. The UK sanctioned the firm in March 2026 for its role in human rights abuses and the operation of scam centers.
On X, he said that three weeks after the sanctions, Telegram was still hosting its marketplace channels.
After this, Telegram banned Xinbi for UK users, which Robinson described as the “bare minimum” it could do to comply with sanctions while “doing nothing to address the underlying issue.”
Protos has reached out to Elliptic for comment and will update this piece should we hear anything back.
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Crypto World
Solana (SOL) in Danger: Here’s Why the Price Could Plunge by Double Digits
The crypto market experienced another correction in recent days, with only a handful of leading digital assets managing to escape the broader sell-off.
Solana (SOL) was not among the few exceptions, with its price tumbling by double digits over the past week. Moreover, some analysts think it could fall further in the short term.
What’s Next?
Earlier this month, the renowned analyst Ali Martinez observed SOL’s performance and estimated that its price has been moving within a well-defined channel since February. He identified $98 as the upper boundary of that structure, while $78 was described as the lower one. Later on, he predicted a possible pump if SOL makes a successful breakout above the ceiling and set $88 as “the pivot point.”
However, the asset’s valuation could not surpass the desired mark and currently trades at around $84.50, representing a substantial 12% weekly decline. In one of his recent X posts, Martinez noted that SOL failed to reach its bullish target, suggesting it could now head south toward the channel bottom near $78.
Another popular market observer who made a pessimistic forecast is Ted. He claimed that SOL’s RSI uptrend has been lost, meaning that the price needs to hold above the $82-$84 level.
“A daily close below won’t be good for Solana,” he added.
Adding to the bearish momentum, recent filings revealed that Goldman Sachs fully exited its SOL ETF exposure during Q1 2026. Such a move from a financial giant often signals caution and can weigh on market confidence.
On the other hand, inflows into spot SOL ETFs have continued to surpass outflows in recent days, suggesting growing institutional interest. Notably, the last red day was April 30.

‘Zoom Out’
Of course, some analysts remain unfazed by the latest pullback and expect SOL’s price to head north in the near future. X user Trader Koala said people should “zoom out,” setting $135 as “the eventual destination.”
SatoshiOwl is also among the optimists. They claimed that many expect “more panic on alts, more fear everywhere.” However, the analyst believes this could be the perfect moment for the market to pivot, with “a monster reversal candle out of nowhere.”
“I’m long on SOL here,” they concluded.
The post Solana (SOL) in Danger: Here’s Why the Price Could Plunge by Double Digits appeared first on CryptoPotato.
Crypto World
Senator Elizabeth Warren Challenges US Regulator Over Crypto Bank Approvals
TLDR
- Elizabeth Warren questioned the OCC over its approval of crypto-focused trust bank charters.
- She argued that these firms operate like banks while avoiding strict federal banking regulations.
- Warren stated that the approvals could pose risks to consumers and the financial system.
- She requested records of communications between the OCC and Donald Trump or his family.
- The OCC granted charters to companies including Coinbase, Paxos, Ripple, BitGo, and Fidelity Digital Asset Services.
U.S. Senator Elizabeth Warren has pressed a federal banking regulator over approvals granted to crypto-focused institutions. She questioned whether these firms met legal standards and raised concerns about risks to the financial system. Her request targets decisions by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency regarding trust charters for digital asset companies.
The development follows recent approvals issued by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency. These approvals allowed several crypto firms to operate under national trust bank charters. Warren sent a formal letter seeking detailed explanations and supporting records from the regulator.
Elizabeth Warren Questions Crypto Charter Approvals
Warren stated that the approved firms operate like banks but avoid strict regulatory requirements. She argued that the agency enabled companies to bypass safeguards applied to full-service national banks. She wrote, “These companies are effectively crypto banks that want to evade fundamental safeguards.”
She also claimed that the approvals conflict with federal banking law and established oversight practices. She warned that the decisions could affect consumers and overall financial stability. She added that the process may weaken the separation between banking and commerce.
Warren’s letter specifically requested documents related to communications between regulators and executive officials. She asked for any records involving President Donald Trump or his family members. She also sought details on internal review processes for the charter decisions.
She noted that several companies received trust charters instead of pursuing full national bank licenses. She argued that this route allows firms to avoid stricter capital and compliance standards. She said the firms “look like crypto banks, not trust companies.”
Regulator Approvals Include Major Crypto Firms
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency granted trust charters to companies such as Coinbase and Paxos. It also approved applications linked to Ripple, BitGo, and Fidelity Digital Asset Services. These firms now operate under limited-purpose banking frameworks.
Warren argued that business plans from these firms suggest broader financial activities. She said the plans include custodial services, payment facilitation, and lending functions. She also pointed to stablecoin operations that resemble deposit-taking activities.
She stated that these activities align more closely with traditional banking services. She argued that such operations should require full regulatory approval under national bank standards. She emphasized that regulators must ensure compliance with existing federal laws.
The OCC did not issue an immediate response to Warren’s request for comment. However, the agency previously supported efforts to create a crypto-friendly regulatory environment. These actions aligned with policies introduced during Trump’s administration.
Concerns Extend to Trump-linked Crypto Venture
Warren also referenced a pending charter application involving World Liberty Financial Inc. The company has financial ties to Trump and his family members. She raised concerns about potential conflicts of interest in the review process.
She requested further clarity on how the OCC evaluates applications tied to politically connected entities. She asked whether standard review procedures applied equally in such cases. She also sought timelines for pending charter decisions.
Her letter emphasized transparency and accountability in regulatory decisions. She urged the OCC to provide complete records and justification for its actions. The agency has yet to disclose the requested materials or provide a formal reply.
Crypto World
Tokenisation Could Cut Costs as UK Advances Stablecoin Rules
London’s financial policy circle is signaling a sharper focus on digital money, with senior Bank of England officials outlining how tokenization could drive lower costs, faster settlement, and greater competition in payments and markets. The remarks come as policymakers pursue a framework that nurtures innovation while preserving financial stability, and as the BoE signals changes to the settlement backbone that could underpin a broader digital-asset ecosystem.
Deputy Governor Sarah Breeden, speaking during City Week in London, described tokenization—the digital representation of assets and money on distributed ledgers—as a conduit to more efficient payments and markets, provided that trust and interoperability are embedded in the design. While central bank money remains the anchor of the monetary system, Breeden stressed that private-sector innovations such as tokenized deposits and regulated stablecoins are increasingly visible, and that policy must accommodate these developments without undermining resilience.
Breeden articulated a balanced vision: alongside traditional bank deposits, the public should be able to transact with tokenized bank deposits, regulated stablecoins, and potentially a retail central bank digital currency (CBDC). In her view, market competition across a broader technology and business-model spectrum should translate into lower costs and enhanced user functionality. The Bank’s transcript of the speech frames tokenization as a path to modernization, not a wholesale replacement of existing money or payment rails.
The BoE has signaled that its thinking is being refined through close collaboration with industry, government, and regulators to craft a framework that supports innovation while safeguarding financial stability. This stance aligns with ongoing industry engagement as policymakers reassess the UK’s stance on digital assets and the role of private money within an anchored monetary system.
Key takeaways
- Tokenization as a catalyst for efficiency: Representing assets and money on digital ledgers could improve payment efficiency and market functionality, contingent on robust trust, interoperability, and risk controls.
- Central bank money remains the anchor: The BoE emphasizes that sovereign money will continue to underpin the monetary system even as tokenized deposits and regulated stablecoins gain traction.
- Settlement infrastructure evolving toward near-continuous operation: The BoE proposed extending the operating hours of RTGS/CHAPS to near 24/7 to support cross-border payments and securities settlement amid growing tokenization activity.
- Regulatory recalibration for stablecoins and digital assets: The Bank is reconsidering its approach to pound-denominated stablecoins, with a focus on reducing friction for early adopters while maintaining safeguards against financial instability.
Tokenization, interoperability and the anchor role of central bank money
The Bank of England’s policy direction treats tokenization as a potential enabler of more efficient and resilient financial markets, not as an immediate replacement for established systems. By representing real assets and public money on auditable digital ledgers, tokenization could streamline settlement cycles, reduce counterparty risk, and broaden access to payment services. However, officials insist that any transition must preserve trust in the monetary framework and ensure interoperability across platforms and providers.
Breeden underscored a pragmatic stance: central bank money remains the universal reference point, while private innovations—such as tokenized deposits and regulated stablecoins—could coexist with traditional products. The policy objective is clear, she said: unlock higher competition, deploy a wider set of technologies, and deliver better outcomes for users without compromising safety or financial stability. The emphasis on interoperability signals a preference for cohesive standards and governance that can survive cross-border and cross-platform interactions.
From a regulatory perspective, the emphasis on a coordinated framework has implications for banks, payment firms, and digital-asset counterparties. Institutions seeking to deploy tokenized products would need to demonstrate robust risk management, reliable reserve backing where applicable, and clear compliance with AML/KYC requirements. The BoE’s approach appears to favor an openness that invites innovation while maintaining robust oversight—a stance that resonates with global policy debates on digital money and regulatory harmonization.
According to Cointelegraph reporting linked to the Bank of England’s public communications, policymakers are engaging with industry to align innovation with safety standards. The takeaway for compliance teams and financial institutions is that tokenization is moving from pilot-test scenarios toward practical deployment, but only within a carefully designed regulatory envelope that preserves monetary stability and consumer protection.
Extending settlement hours: modernizing core settlement services
In a parallel move to modernize the settlement framework, the BoE proposed extending the operating hours of its core settlement infrastructure, with near-continuous availability. The plan aims to better accommodate tokenized assets and evolving digital-asset workflows, supporting more efficient cross-border payments and the settlement of securities as technology-enabled assets become more prevalent.
The proposal comes after remarks from Breeden that the monetary framework should not only accommodate innovation but actively support it. By offering longer settlement windows, the BoE intends to reduce friction for users and for industry participants operating in a rapidly digitizing market environment. The change would entail thoughtful risk controls and governance to ensure resilience during extended operations and to maintain the integrity of the settlement rails that underpin the UK financial system.
The policy direction aligns with a broader objective to position the United Kingdom as a competitive hub for digital-asset activity. A more flexible settlement timetable could enable smoother cross-border activity and make the domestic settlement system more attractive to international participants seeking predictable, regulated access to UK rails. For institutions, this shift implies updated operational risk frameworks, new liquidity management considerations, and enhanced reconciliation processes to cope with a longer window of activity.
Policy signals since Breeden’s City Week remarks indicate a willingness to adapt the UK’s regulatory and operational posture to a digital-money era. The BoE has also indicated that its stance on stablecoins—particularly pounds-denominated variants—has evolved in recent months as policymakers seek to balance industry engagement with prudent prudential considerations. The extended-hours proposal complements this approach by reducing settlement friction for those experimenting with or deploying tokenized deposits and related products.
Regulatory recalibration, stablecoins, and market-structure implications
The BoE’s evolving stance on stablecoins reflects a broader effort to calibrate risk while enabling practical use cases for digital assets. Officials have signaled a more flexible approach to reserve and backing requirements than previously proposed, emphasizing industry consultation and the need to avoid unnecessary barriers to adoption. The reexamination of consumer holding limits and other prudential safeguards is aimed at lowering friction for early adopters, provided robust safeguards are in place to maintain financial stability and consumer protection.
The CBDC conversation also features prominently in the Bank’s public discourse. The BoE’s CBDC Academic Advisory Group acknowledged that a retail CBDC is not strictly necessary to preserve monetary uniformity but could play a valuable supporting role as cash usage declines. This nuanced view reflects a policy environment that weighs the benefits of a potential digital-retail instrument against the complexities of design, privacy, access, and monetization of monetary policy transmission.
For institutions, the regulatory landscape remains a central factor in how and when to engage with tokenized products. Licensing regimes, compliance frameworks, and oversight expectations will shape the pace and manner of participation in digitized markets. While the UK signals openness to innovation, the emphasis remains squarely on resilience, risk management, and a coherent supervisory pathway that can adapt to evolving technologies and business models.
From a systemic perspective, the BoE’s actions illustrate how a major financial center is reconciling innovation with oversight. The move to 24/7 settlement capabilities, coupled with an adaptable stance on tokenization and stablecoins, signals a policy framework designed to attract institutional participation while maintaining rigorous standards for stability and consumer protection. This approach could influence the global regulatory narrative, encouraging other jurisdictions to pursue parallel reforms that balance fintech advancement with prudential safeguards.
Closing perspective
As tokenization and digital-money frameworks become more central to policy discussions, the Bank of England’s course suggests a staged, risk-conscious evolution of the UK’s financial plumbing. Institutions should monitor regulatory updates, settlement-infrastructure proposals, and the ongoing dialogue around stablecoins and CBDC to anticipate changes in licensing, compliance requirements, and operational preparedness. The overarching question remains whether the balance between innovation and stability can be maintained as these technologies mature and scale.
Crypto World
US Treasury Hits Over 50 Firms and Vessels in Iran Shadow Banking Crackdown
The US Treasury sanctioned more than 50 companies, vessels, and individuals tied to Iran’s shadow banking and oil networks this week, escalating the Trump administration’s Economic Fury campaign against Tehran’s financial workarounds.
The Office of Foreign Assets Control hit Iranian exchange house Amin Exchange and blocked 19 oil and petrochemical tankers, while Secretary Scott Bessent warned global banks to monitor how Tehran continues moving funds through the international financial system.
Amin Exchange Anchors the Sanctions Sweep
OFAC designated Iran-based Ebrahimi and Associates Partnership Company, known as Amin Exchange, for moving hundreds of millions of dollars on behalf of sanctioned Iranian banks.
CEO Samad Nemati, a former IRGC officer, and owner Yousef Ebrahimi were also designated.
The firm runs front companies across the UAE, Türkiye, Hong Kong, and China, with eight entities added to the Specially Designated Nationals list.
Counterparties named in the action included the National Iranian Oil Company and Triliance Petrochemical, both already under US sanctions.
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Crypto and Shadow Fleet Under Pressure
The 19 tankers blocked by OFAC have transported millions of barrels of Iranian oil, naphtha, methanol, and liquefied petroleum gas since 2023.
Owners based in Hong Kong, the Marshall Islands, and Liberia were also designated.
Bessent said Economic Fury has frozen nearly $500 million in regime-linked cryptocurrency, building on earlier actions including a $344 million Tether (USDT) freeze on the Tron blockchain.
Treasury has also pressured Binance over Iran-linked flows.
“Iran’s shadow banking system facilitates the illicit transfer of funding for terrorist purposes,” Bessent stated.
Iran-based exchange houses move billions in foreign currency each year, OFAC said, allowing Tehran to convert oil revenue and channel funds to its armed forces.
Crypto has become a lifeline as traditional oil revenue collapses, and Treasury signaled more secondary sanctions could follow against foreign banks, refineries, and airlines that help process Iranian flows.
The post US Treasury Hits Over 50 Firms and Vessels in Iran Shadow Banking Crackdown appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Wintermute launches Armitage DeFi vault
Wintermute launched its first DeFi vault product, Armitage, supporting collateral types unavailable on competing curator platforms.
Summary
- Wintermute launched Armitage, its first DeFi vault curation product, designed to support collateral types that other vault curators on platforms like Morpho do not accept.
- The move expands Wintermute beyond its core role as a market maker and liquidity provider into yield infrastructure, a growing segment of institutional on-chain finance.
- Armitage positions Wintermute to leverage its deep liquidity expertise and collateral risk understanding to offer differentiated vault strategies for institutional depositors.
Wintermute, the algorithmic trading firm and liquidity provider, entered the DeFi vault curation space on May 19 with the launch of Armitage, a new vault product designed to accept collateral types that competing curators cannot or will not support. The announcement marks Wintermute’s first direct move into yield infrastructure from its established position as a market maker and DeFi liquidity provider.
Armitage is built as a curator on the Morpho vault model, where independent operators define a vault’s strategy, acceptable collateral, and risk parameters without holding custody of depositor funds.
Wintermute said the product’s differentiation lies in its ability to handle collateral types that other curators treat as too complex or illiquid. As crypto.news reported in January, Bitwise entered the same curator space on Morpho earlier in 2026, targeting institutional USDC depositors at approximately 6% APY through conservative overcollateralised lending markets.
DeFi vault curation becomes institutional battleground
The DeFi vault sector has attracted a wave of institutional curators throughout 2026. Morpho’s total value locked stands at approximately $5.8 billion, with curators including Gauntlet, Steakhouse Financial, MEV Capital, and Bitwise competing for depositor capital.
Wintermute’s entry adds a market-maker perspective to curation: the firm has direct access to liquidity across hundreds of trading venues and deep experience managing collateral risk in leveraged positions, capabilities that could allow it to accept assets that pure risk shops avoid.
As crypto.news documented, even the Ethereum Foundation has deployed ETH into Morpho vaults as part of its shift away from periodic token sales toward yield-generating treasury management.
That institutional migration toward on-chain vaults is expanding the pool of depositors Armitage can target, particularly those holding non-standard collateral such as tokenised real-world assets, long-tail altcoins, or structured products.
As crypto.news covered, Morpho’s expansion to the Flare blockchain earlier in 2026 showed how curator-led vaults are extending beyond Ethereum mainnet to reach XRP and other asset holders.
Wintermute has not disclosed the specific collateral types Armitage accepts, vault APY targets, or initial AUM. The firm said the product is designed for institutional counterparties and will expand its offering as the platform scales.
Crypto World
Senator Warren Questions OCC Head on Approval of ‘Ineligible’ Crypto Trust Charters
Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren accused Office of the Comptroller of the Currency’s (OCC’s) Jonathan Gould of violating banking laws by approving national trust charters for cryptocurrency companies.
In a Monday letter to Gould, Warren said the OCC head had “approved at least nine national trust charters for crypto companies that intend to engage in activities that appear to go far beyond the narrow set of activities permitted by law,” an apparent violation of the National Bank Act.

Source: US Senate Banking Committee
She called on Gould to provide the full applications of crypto companies the OCC had approved or conditionally approved since December 2025, including Coinbase, Crypto.com’s parent company, Ripple, Stripe, BitGo, Circle, Fidelity Digital Assets, Protego Holdings and Paxos, as well as communications between the office and US President Donald Trump, members of his family and White House officials.
“These companies are effectively crypto banks that want to evade the fundamental safeguards and obligations that come with being a bank,” said Warren. “Your decision to facilitate this regulatory arbitrage not only conflicts with federal law, it also poses serious risks to consumers, the safety and soundness of the banking system, and the separation of banking and commerce.”
Related: Warren urges Fed, Treasury not to ‘bail out’ crypto amid Trump-linked firm concerns
Warren, ranking member of the US Senate Banking Committee, has repeatedly criticized lawmakers and regulators for supporting policies with potential conflicts of interest related to Trump’s ties to the crypto industry. She pushed for provisions in the crypto market structure bill, the CLARITY Act, in a committee markup last week and called on Gould to delay consideration of the Trump family-backed crypto business World Liberty Financial, which filed for a charter in January.
Cointelegraph requested comment from the OCC but did not receive an immediate response.
Kraken parent’s application under review
On May 8, Payward, the parent company of cryptocurrency exchange Kraken, filed an application with the OCC for a national trust charter. The company said, if approved, the charter would allow it to “provide fiduciary custody and other services primarily for digital assets” under the Payward National Trust Company.
A national trust bank charter mainly allows holders to provide fiduciary and custodial services without engaging in deposit-taking or commercial lending, which means they are not subject to the same regulatory requirements as traditional banks.
Magazine: Crypto scammers face death, Aussie CGT makes Asian hubs attractive: Asia Express
Crypto World
Polymarket Opens $5 Trillion Private Market to Retail Traders
TLDR
- Polymarket has launched prediction markets tied to private company milestones for retail traders.
- The platform partnered with Nasdaq Private Market to provide verified data for contract outcomes.
- Traders can speculate on events like IPO timing and valuation targets without owning company shares.
- The contracts resolve based on real data and follow a yes or no outcome structure.
- Nearly 1600 unicorn companies globally hold a combined value exceeding $5 trillion.
Polymarket has launched new prediction contracts tied to private companies and their milestones. The platform partnered with Nasdaq Private Market to supply verified data for contract outcomes. The move introduces retail access to a $5 trillion private market previously limited to institutional investors.
Polymarket Expands Access to Private Company Events
Polymarket introduced contracts that track private company milestones like valuations and IPO timelines. The platform uses blockchain infrastructure to enable real-time trading on these outcomes.
The company confirmed that users can trade without owning actual shares in private firms. Instead, traders take positions on defined events that resolve as “yes” or “no.”
Nasdaq Private Market will supply the official data used for settlement decisions. The firm tracks private transactions and valuation benchmarks across secondary markets.
A Polymarket spokesperson stated, “We aim to broaden access to private market signals through transparent contracts.” The platform confirmed that all outcomes depend on verified external data sources.
The companies reported that nearly 1,600 unicorn startups now exist worldwide. These firms hold a combined valuation exceeding $5 trillion across global markets.
Retail Traders Gain Exposure Without Equity Ownership
Retail participants have historically lacked access to private company growth before public listings. Venture capital firms and accredited investors have dominated early-stage investment opportunities.
Polymarket’s structure allows users to engage with these developments through prediction markets. Traders can speculate on whether companies reach valuation targets or file IPOs.
The platform clarified that contracts do not represent ownership or equity stakes. Instead, they function as binary instruments based on measurable corporate events.
Nasdaq Private Market operates an infrastructure that supports secondary share trading. It collects transaction data that helps determine pricing trends in private markets.
A Nasdaq Private Market representative stated, “Our data ensures consistent and transparent contract resolution.” The firm emphasised accuracy in tracking private market activity.
New Data Model Drives Market Resolution
The partnership relies on structured datasets that define clear outcomes for each contract. Polymarket integrates this data directly into its blockchain-based system.
Each contract resolves based on predefined conditions linked to real-world company developments. This approach reduces ambiguity in outcome determination.
Private markets often lack continuous pricing visibility compared to public exchanges. As a result, valuation data typically emerges during funding rounds or secondary sales.
Polymarket stated that prediction contracts can reflect real-time sentiment from traders. These signals may indicate how participants view company performance or timelines.
The companies confirmed that the system will continue expanding to include more private firms. They plan to introduce additional contracts tied to evolving market data.
Crypto World
XRP Risks 50% Dip to $0.65 Despite Persistent ETF Inflows
XRP (XRP) has fallen 12% over the last five days, and the confirmation of a bearish pattern now points to the risk of more losses ahead.
Key takeaways:
- XRP/USD’s bear pennant pattern on the three-day chart points to a possible 52.5% drop toward $0.65.
- Persistent institutional demand through exchange-traded products supports the case for a recovery in XRP price.
XRP’s descending triangle breakdown is underway
Since early February, the XRP/USD pair has been consolidating inside a bear pennant on the three-day chart.
In technical analysis, bear pennants are typically viewed as bearish continuation patterns. The pattern was confirmed when the price produced broke below the pennant’s lower trend line at $1.40, as shown in the chart below.
Related: JPMorgan lifts Bitcoin ETF exposure in Q1, led by BlackRock’s IBIT
The downside target is derived by taking the height of the initial drop (the pennant’s post) and placing it lower from the point where the price breaks below the pattern’s lower trend line.

XRP/USD three-day chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView,
XRP’s measured downside target comes in near $0.65, about 52.5% below current levels.
XRP’s Stoch RSI on the weekly chart “has confirmed a deathcross, marking the third time this signal has flashed since the July‑2025 ATH,” technical analyst ChartNerd said in a recent post on X.
The previous two crosses produced deeper corrections of about 50%, and the one in January came after a “relief rally into a weekly 20/50 EMA death cross,” the analyst said, adding:
“A failure at the weekly 20 (just retested) or the weekly 50 ($1.80) will likely open the next leg down later in the year.”

XRP/USD weekly chart. Source: X/ChartNerd
The daily RSI has dropped to 42 from 63 over the last seven days, suggesting increasing bearish momentum.
As Cointelegraph reported, buyers are expected to aggressively defend the $1.27 as a close below it may sink the XRP/USDT pair to $1.11 and later to the psychological level at $1.
XRP price shuns ETF demand
The five-day price correction comes even as institutional sentiment remains relatively positive, as reflected in steady inflows into US-based XRP spot ETFs.
According to data from SoSoValue, XRP ETFs added $750,000 on Monday. This marked nine consecutive days of net inflows, totaling $95.5 million. This streak has pushed cumulative inflows to nearly $1.4 billion and assets under management (AUM) to $1.14 billion.

Spot XRP ETF flows chart. Source: SoSoValue
Global XRP investment products also registered weekly inflows of approximately $67.6 million during the week ending May 15, outperforming Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH), which saw $981.5 million and $250 million in outflows, respectively.

Global crypto ETP flows table. Source: CoinShares
This indicates institutional appetite for XRP products is “heating up, signalling growing confidence in regulated crypto exposure,” TronWeekly said in a post on Tuesday.
As Cointelegraph reported, stronger technical validation, passage of the CLARITY Act in the US and recovering network activity could also contribute to XRP’s recovery.
Crypto World
OpenAI Founding Member Who Coined “Vibe Coding” Joins Anthropic
Andrej Karpathy has joined Anthropic, the AI researcher announced on Tuesday. The move returns him to hands-on frontier lab work after more than a year of independent projects.
The hire places one of the most visible figures in AI research at a direct competitor to OpenAI. Karpathy was a founding member there before two separate stints at the company.
From OpenAI Founding Member to Anthropic Researcher
Karpathy joined the original OpenAI team in 2015. He left in 2017 for Tesla and rejoined OpenAI in 2023 for about a year. He departed again in February 2024.
Karpathy framed that second exit as a personal choice rather than the result of any internal dispute. He moved into independent work soon after.
He launched Eureka Labs, an AI education startup. He also built a large following through his Zero to Hero video series on neural networks and language models.
The Anthropic announcement marks his first return to a major frontier lab since that departure.
I’ve joined Anthropic. I think the next few years at the frontier of LLMs will be especially formative… I remain deeply passionate about education and plan to resume my work on it in time,” he shared in a post.
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Coining Vibe Coding Between Stints
Karpathy created a phrase that reshaped how developers talk about AI-assisted programming. In a February 2025 post, he introduced the term vibe coding.
He defined it as a workflow where the model writes code. The user accepts changes without reading the diff. The term entered mainstream developer vocabulary within weeks.
BeInCrypto coverage has documented its use in building a crypto trading bot in a single weekend. The same workflow helped separate winning crypto exchanges from laggards.
It also lowered the entry barrier for Web3 builders with no programming background.
Karpathy has since refined the idea into what he calls agentic engineering. Humans focus on specifications and oversight while autonomous agents handle execution.
Frontier LLM Research the Next Chapter
Anthropic was founded in 2021 by former OpenAI researchers. The company has positioned itself as the safety-focused alternative to its larger rival.
Its Claude model family competes directly with GPT. Anthropic shipped Opus 4.7 in April with stronger long-form reasoning and vision capabilities.
The Karpathy hire follows a steady stream of senior moves between Anthropic and OpenAI in recent quarters. OpenAI countered days after the Opus 4.7 release with GPT-5.5.
That model was pitched as OpenAI’s most capable system for autonomous, multi-step work. The talent war between the two labs has steadily intensified.
Neither Karpathy nor Anthropic has disclosed the specific team or projects he will work on. His public statement points to LLM training and agentic systems.
His prior research on neural network design, computer vision, and synthetic data has direct application in those areas.
Karpathy also said he plans to resume his education work in time. Eureka Labs and related output will likely continue alongside his Anthropic role.
The coming months will show which areas of Anthropic’s research Karpathy gravitates toward. His arrival may also shift how the company presents its frontier work to developers.
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Crypto World
Bitcoin Hovers Under $77K as US Bond Yields Near 20-Year Highs
Bitcoin traded around month-to-date lows on Tuesday as a surge in U.S. Treasury yields pressured risk assets and spilled into safe-haven plays. The market backdrop remained dominated by elevated oil prices, war-risk sentiment, and a sense that central-bank dynamics may stay tight longer than anticipated.
Key points:
- Bitcoin moved with other risk assets as U.S. bond yields jumped, amplifying pressure on equities and crypto markets.
- Macro headwinds, including higher oil prices and the ongoing energy-inflation backdrop, pressured sentiment and pushed precious metals lower.
- Bitcoin hovered near a critical technical level, with analysts warning that a break lower could prolong a period of consolidation.
- Geopolitical headlines and policy developments added to the volatility, underscoring the fragility of the current risk-off environment.
US 30-year yields spike to multi-decade highs
Market data indicated BTC/USD was trading just under $77,000 as Wall Street opened, maintaining the prior session’s floor but facing renewed pressure from higher long-dated yields. The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield rose to its highest level since July 2007, a move that reverberated through stocks, gold, and other traditional safe havens.
This shift fueled a broad risk-off mood as investors recalibrated the cost of capital against inflationary pressures and potential escalations in energy-related spending. Gold also weakened, with the XAU/USD pair dipping below $4,500 to mark its weakest level since late March, illustrating how the macro unwind was affecting non-equity assets as well.
Ole S. Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, framed the move as a response to increased demand for “greater compensation for holding longer-dated debt amid war-driven energy inflation and mounting concerns over widening budget deficits.” He noted the price dynamics showed a market reacting to a confluence of oil momentum, inflation expectations, and central-bank rate outlooks.
In another signal of the day’s risk-off tone, traders and observers pointed to the broader bond-market reaction as a primary driver of the market’s pullback in risk assets, including Bitcoin.
Bitcoin at a crucial support zone, but upside remains uncertain
Within the crypto space, anxiety over the macro setup grew as traders weighed the persistence of high yields against the possibility of renewed liquidity support. Strategy-focused commentator Michaël van de Poppe highlighted a dual drag on Bitcoin from elevated bond yields and firm oil prices, arguing that these factors are not supportive of risk-on assets in the near term.
“Bitcoin is at a crucial level of support and it seems to be that it’s going to be holding.”
He noted that a sustained move below key levels could imply a longer accumulation phase before renewed upside, underscoring the risk-off environment more than a definitive breakout signal. A later post summarized the risk: “Anything lower of $75,000-76,000 might signal that the accumulation needs to take longer.”
Analysts stressed that Bitcoin’s near-term trajectory would likely hinge on how quickly the macro pressures abate—particularly whether yields cool and if oil subsides—before investors gain enough confidence to re-enter risk assets with conviction.
Geopolitics and macro headlines compound market sensitivity
Beyond the bond market, headlines surrounding the U.S. stance on Iran and broader Middle East tensions fed into a tense mood acrossAsset classes. Reported moves and comments from political leaders and influencers contributed to the sense that the risk environment remains prone to sudden shifts, with macro catalysts capable of jolting both traditional markets and crypto markets in tandem.
In a related line of commentary, market observers pointed to the possibility that even brief developments in the conflict landscape or diplomatic engagements could modulate oil prices and inflation expectations, further shaping the path of Bitcoin and other risk assets in the short term.
What to watch next
Market participants will be watching the trajectory of U.S. yields, oil prices, and central-bank signals for any signs of a reversal in the risk-off mood. If long-dated yields resume their ascent or oil remains elevated, Bitcoin could test additional support levels again, delaying any meaningful upside momentum. Conversely, a broad-based risk-on rebound and cooling inflation expectations could help BTC regain traction, particularly if liquidity conditions improve and investors re-enter the market with a renewed appetite for crypto risk assets.
Additionally, traders will be mindful of geopolitical developments and policy remarks that could amplify volatility. Given the current cross-currents, readers should prepare for continued price dispersion across crypto and traditional markets as new data and headlines emerge.
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