Crypto World
Top 5 Companies To Watch in Q3 For Stock Market Traders
A record Nasdaq listing, a meme-fueled trading boom, and the largest corporate Bitcoin (BTC) holder selling its coins are set to define this quarter. These 5 companies across AI and crypto carry the stories investors will follow through September.
Each faces a key test this quarter, from debut earnings to defending market dominance. Here are the top 5 companies to watch.
1. SK Hynix (SKHY)
SK Hynix is South Korea’s second-most valuable company and the world’s leading supplier of high-bandwidth memory (HBM) chips. The company has emerged as one of the biggest beneficiaries of the AI infrastructure boom, with demand for its advanced memory chips continuing to outpace supply.
Last year, SK Hynix said its entire planned supply for 2026 had already been sold out, highlighting the strength of long-term AI demand. That momentum has helped propel its Seoul-listed shares by more than 180% year to date.
Last week, SK Hynix made its Wall Street debut. The company began trading on Nasdaq on Friday, pricing its shares at $149 to raise over $26 billion in the largest foreign listing ever on a US exchange.
The ADRs debuted strongly, opening near $170, before closing their first session almost 13% higher.
Despite the strong fundamentals, volatility has also been a defining feature. The company’s Seoul-listed shares fell 15.4% in a single session today.
How the stock trades through this quarter will be worth watching, especially after a notable decline following SpaceX’s record IPO.
Analysts remain firmly bullish. Goldman Sachs raised its 2028 operating profit forecasts for SK Hynix by 24% to 454 trillion won ($299.62 billion).
Citi lifted its target to 3.1 million won in May, roughly 68% above the current price of 1.8 million won. Meanwhile, UBS told clients to buy the new US depositary receipts while selling the Seoul-traded stock.
2. SpaceX (SPCX)
Elon Musk’s SpaceX is an aerospace, connectivity, and artificial intelligence company, which absorbed xAI ahead of its market debut. The company went public in June with the biggest IPO on record.
SpaceX priced its shares at $135 and opened at $150 on June 12. The stock touched $225 in its first week before seeing a continuous drawdown.
The slide has persisted despite the Nasdaq-100’s inclusion, a milestone that attracts passive investment flows from index-tracking funds. On Friday, it closed at a record low of $145.30, down 9.7% from its debut closing price.
Even so, at least six major brokerages, including Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and UBS, have initiated coverage with buy-equivalent ratings, Bloomberg reported.
Attention now turns to the company’s first earnings report as a public company. SpaceX has not announced a date, though analysts expect it in early August.
Analysts are bullish but far apart. Morgan Stanley set a target at $300, roughly 106% above current levels, with a bull case of $600 and a bear case of $75.
RBC and Banco BTG Pactual both set $225 targets, UBS sits at $210, Goldman Sachs at $205, and Stifel at $190. Even the lowest of those implies about 31% upside from Friday’s close.
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3. Robinhood (HOOD)
Robinhood grew from a retail trading app into a global brokerage with more than 27 million funded accounts. The company expanded its crypto business through the acquisition of Bitstamp and launched its own Layer-2, Robinhood Chain, in July.
The stock is down year to date amid a market downturn. Yet, it has gained significantly since May with a 51% rally.
Its DEX volumes and agentic AI push have also captured attention. Robinhood Chain DEX volume reached a record $893 million on July 11, per Dune data, driven by a renewed meme coin frenzy led by Cash Cat.
At the same time, the company is expanding its agentic AI trading from stocks into crypto. Prediction markets have become another growth engine. Event contracts traded on Robinhood jumped from 300 million in Q1 2025 to 8.8 billion in Q1 2026, according to Artemis.
Wall Street repriced the stock at notable speed this month. Mizuho raised its target on HOOD shares to $130 from $115 while maintaining an Outperform rating.
Barclays lifted its target 48.8% to $122 from $82 and reiterated its Buy rating. Morgan Stanley also raised its target by 30.5% to $124 from $95.
4. Strategy (MSTR)
Strategy or MicroStrategy is the largest corporate holder of Bitcoin, with 843,775 BTC purchased at an average price of $75,653. With Bitcoin below $63,000, the position sits deep underwater.
The company’s famous flywheel has reversed. Its market premium to net asset value has compressed below 1x, making new share sales dilutive. Meanwhile, MSTR, like the rest of the crypto stocks, is flashing red, down 37.7% so far in 2026.
Strategy sold 32 BTC in late May to fund preferred dividends, its first sale since a tax-related move in December 2022. The board then approved a Digital Credit Capital Framework on June 29, which authorizes the sale of up to $1.25 billion in Bitcoin. Further larger sales followed in July.
Q2 earnings are scheduled for July 30. Investors will watch whether the company leans further into Bitcoin sales under its $1.25 billion authorization.
Analysts are split on the recovery path. Citi kept a Buy rating but cut its target to $136 from $260, nearly halving its forecast. Mizuho lowered its target to $213 from $340. At the same time, Barclays initiated coverage with an Equal Weight rating and a $130 target.
5. Circle (CRCL)
Circle issues USDC (USDC), the second-largest stablecoin. The company went public last year, riding on favorable regulatory momentum and surging crypto prices.
Nonetheless, the crypto market drawdown has weighed on stock returns. BeInCrypto’s analysis revealed that Circle is trading lower from its $69 open.
Measured against the $31 offer price, however, Circle is still up by more than 100%. This makes it one of only two recent debuts still trading above their offer prices.
Competition struck hard in late June when Stripe, Visa, and BlackRock launched a rival stablecoin called Open USD, crashing Circle shares 17% in a single day. The stock is now down 16.6% year to date.
However, Circle has secured major regulatory wins. The company received final approval from the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) to establish a national trust bank.
It also holds MiCA compliance for both USDC and its euro-denominated EURC, giving it licenses that its consortium rival lacks. Q2 earnings on August 12 offer the next test of whether that moat is holding.
Analysts hold the widest range of targets on this list. Goldman Sachs cut its target to $96 with a Neutral rating, roughly 47% above current levels. Bernstein reaffirmed its Outperform rating with a $190 target, while Clear Street called the selloff overdone.
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The post Top 5 Companies To Watch in Q3 For Stock Market Traders appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Trump’s crypto riches loom over Clarity Act talks to ban conflicts for U.S. officials
On Monday, several Senate Democrats announced that they’d hold a press conference this week to state their opposition to Clarity and what they said is its “failure to rein in President Donald Trump’s corrupt crypto schemes.” Senator Murphy will join senators Chris Van Hollen and Jeff Merkley at that event on Capitol Hill, which will also highlight their claims that the crypto sector’s Washington influence is causing “growing political corruption.”
One of the lawmakers involved in the ethics discussions, Senator Kirsten Gillibrand, a New York Democrat, recently noted that Trump’s largest single 2025 income stream, $636 million, came from issuing the memecoin that bore his name. She said that she and fellow Democrats have been pushing to make it illegal for presidents to issue or sponsor any digital assets.
“We cannot let self-dealing destroy an opportunity to strengthen consumer protections, crack down on illicit finance and expand economic opportunity for the millions of Americans our financial system has left behind,” Gillibrand said in a statement. “The time to act is now — and that must include ethics reforms that prohibit members of Congress, the president and their spouses from cashing in on their office.”
Though Clarity would need many Democrats to join with Republicans if advocates want to hit the necessary 60-vote threshold for Senate passage, Gillibrand and other Democrats have said that the bill can’t pass until this is addressed.
Crypto World
Polymarket Odds Plummet Despite Trump Pushing CLARITY Act With Urgent China Warning
President Donald Trump pressed the Senate to pass the CLARITY Act, warning that China could seize control of crypto and artificial intelligence (AI) if lawmakers fail to act.
The appeal arrives with the Senate back in session and a narrow window before the recess that begins August 8. Lawmakers have roughly four weeks, widely viewed as the bill’s last realistic chance this year. Yet, success odds on prediction market Polymarket have plummeted by almost 5% today.
Trump Frames the CLARITY Act as a China Race
Trump posted the appeal on Truth Social, linking it to the late Senator Lindsey Graham. The South Carolina Republican, whom he called a supporter of the bill, died over the weekend.
“China, and many other countries, would like to take complete and total control of this major financial “happening,” as well as A.I., where we are now leading, but where they are fighting hard. Don’t let China win on either subject!!!” Trump articulated.
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The warning frames a wider contest between Washington and Beijing over digital assets and AI. CLARITY would build on the GENIUS Act, the first major US crypto law, signed last July.
The House passed the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act 294-134 in July 2025, with dozens of Democrats joining. It later cleared the Senate Banking Committee 15-9.
The bill now needs 60 votes on the Senate floor, a threshold that has grown more politically expensive to reach.
Why 60 Votes Remain Out of Reach
The bill still faces unresolved fights, and ethics is the biggest. Democrats want guardrails on conflicts of interest tied to Trump’s crypto business.
Trump’s latest financial disclosure showed crypto as his biggest income source. It included more than $1 billion from his family’s ventures, led by over $500 million from World Liberty Financial.
The two committee Democrats who backed the bill said their support would not extend to the floor without a deal. Negotiators also disagree over developer liability protections for non-custodial software.
Graham’s death and Mitch McConnell’s absence since mid-June leave Republicans little margin. That raises the stakes for winning Democratic support.
Analysts Split on the Odds
Industry voices disagree on the outcome. Solana Policy Institute President Kristin Smith sees a real path, citing building momentum and the emerging bill text.
Still, Galaxy Digital Head of Research Alex Thorn is more cautious. His firm recently cut its passage odds to 50%, citing a shrinking calendar and competition for floor time.
Prediction market Polymarket mirrors that doubt. As of July 13, its traders put the odds of passage this year near 24%, down from above 70% earlier.
Custodia Escalates Its Fed Fight
Meanwhile, Wyoming crypto bank Custodia asked the Supreme Court to revive its fight with the Federal Reserve. The bank wants justices to review its denied master account.
The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City rejected that account in January 2023, citing its crypto focus. Founder Caitlin Long petitioned the court after lower courts backed the Fed.
Critics have long called the denial an example of Operation Choke Point 2.0.
The coming weeks will test whether Washington can deliver crypto’s biggest legislative prize before the calendar runs out.
The post Polymarket Odds Plummet Despite Trump Pushing CLARITY Act With Urgent China Warning appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
A July rate hike from the Fed? The odds are rising
Renovation work continues on the Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve Board Building, the main offices of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System on December 9, 2025 in Washington, DC.
Andrew Harnik | Getty Images
The Federal Reserve is still expected by futures traders and prediction markets to maintain the status quo at its July meeting, leaving interest rates unchanged once again. However, it’s going to be a close call.
The odds are rising Monday that the central bank makes a move to hike.
There’s now a 46.5% chance that the Fed hikes interest rates by a quarter point on July 29, according to CME’s FedWatch tool. That’s up from 34% on Sunday.
On prediction market platform Kalshi, traders now see a 36% chance of a hike, up from under 20% on Sunday and under 10% earlier this month.
The rise in odds comes after President Donald Trump announced he is reinstating the U.S. blockade of Iranian ports near the Strait of Hormuz, and imposing a 20% toll on all cargo through the passageway.
U.S. Oil prices rose in response on Tuesday, jumping more than 5% and crossing $75 per barrel.
Chances on Kalshi also jumped after Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said the bank must not repeat the mistakes of 2021 and 2022, where he said the Fed waited too long to raise rates amid rising inflation. He added, though, that the bank shouldn’t overcorrect and raise rates too quickly.
Odds of a hike are rising even as June inflation was expected to have cooled a bit. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones expect that inflation rose 3.8% annually in June, which is down from the rate in May of 4.2%. The Consumer Price Index report for June will be delivered on Tuesday.
But the inflation outlook could become more complicated if oil prices march higher again as the conflict in the strait resumes. And a Barclays note on Monday made the case that inflation concerns are now beyond solely energy prices.
WTI Crude 5-day chart.
Barclays global chairman of research Ajay Rajadhyaksha said that the pass-through of higher prices from the oil shock still isn’t over, and that the lack of demand destruction from elevated energy prices has only exacerbated the inflation from it. He added that AI-induced price hikes are also deteriorating the inflation outlook.
All of this combines to create a situation for the Fed where it may have to turn increasingly hawkish, Rajadhyaksha wrote.
“A data-dependent framework means you respond to inflation prints, as well as forecasts,” he wrote. “And the prints, for the next few months, are not going to look good.”
The Federal Reserve will announce its next decision on interest rates on July 29.
Disclosure: CNBC and Kalshi have a commercial relationship that includes customer acquisition and a minority investment.
Crypto World
BlueMove’s $500K SUI loss raises insider job suspicions
Around $500,000 worth of SUI tokens was drained from BlueMove DEX’s locked pools last weekend, leading users to speculate that the incident may have been an inside job.
Quantum Void Labs founder, Tyler Simpson, shared screenshots last Saturday appearing to show over 700,000 SUI tokens being drained from the locked liquidity pools provided by BlueMove.
Simpson initially accused the platform of draining its locked liquidity pools, and implied its alleged actions were “crime.” However, he later noted that the firm was exploited.
The next day, he claimed that BlueMove had “shipped the backdoor themselves” after it implemented a package on May 31 that laid the groundwork for the exploit.
He said it added immutable functions like “add_liquidity_returns,” and “double-mint LP inflation” before, over 40 days later, the exploit began.
Read more: SUI: Stops Unexpectedly and Intermittently
Because of this, Simpson has described the draining event as a “delayed rug pull.”
BlueMove says it will compensate users
BlueMove disagrees. It claims on its website that it was the fault of an attacker exploiting “a long-standing arithmetic overflow bug in BlueMove’s legacy AMM contract to drain liquidity from 389 pools.”
The bug has reportedly been visible since at least 2023, with BlueMove explaining that an upgrade overlooking the bug was partly responsible for the exploit as it prevented any further patches.
It claims that “because the UpgradeCap was burned on June 3, BlueMove currently has no on-chain path left to patch or disable the vulnerable v1 package.”
BlueMove added that a fix would now require “an independent admin/freeze capability (if one exists outside the UpgradeCap) or a full migration to a new, audited package.”

Read more: Robinhood Chain scams are already costing users dearly
BlueMove also sent a message to a crypto address in an attempt to contact the hacker and strike a white hat bounty deal with them.
It says, “You drained the BlueMove DEX pool (~$400k). Keep 30% as a white hat bounty and return 70% within 48h to our Sui address.”
BlueMove added, “If returned, we will consider the matter resolved. Otherwise, we will pursue all available legal and recovery actions.”
That’s around $150,000 for the hacker (as long as the price of 700,000 SUI remains roughly $500,000).
BlueMove also claims it will compensate all affected users if it doesn’t receive a response from the hacker in the next 48 hours, adding that the project will shut down going forward.
The company’s operation’s remain suspended as it continues to investigate what happened.
A SUI Network spokesperson responded “no comment” when Protos asked it about the draining event and the recovery of funds.
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The post BlueMove’s $500K SUI loss raises insider job suspicions appeared first on Protos.
Crypto World
Trump triggers $20B crypto wipeout with Strait of Hormuz takeover claim
Bitcoin and the broader crypto market have lost more than $20 billion in value after President Donald Trump’s latest remarks on the Strait of Hormuz pushed oil prices higher and accelerated risk-off selling.
Summary
- Trump’s Strait of Hormuz remarks helped send Brent crude above $79 and fueled a sharp crypto selloff.
- Bitcoin fell more than 3% as the crypto market lost over $20 billion and liquidations topped $40 million.
- Traders now await U.S. CPI data and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s testimony for policy and market direction.
Trump’s comments have intensified pressure across global markets
President Donald Trump said on Monday that the United States was “taking over” the Strait of Hormuz and that other countries would have to pay Washington for protecting the vital shipping route. He also said recent negotiations had broken down despite what he described as progress during an earlier meeting.
“We’re taking over the Strait. They have nothing… yesterday, they had an 11-hour meeting… and everything was agreed to yesterday, and they leave the room, and they call back and they say, ‘we had to make a couple of change.”
Trump also warned Iran after the collapse of the ceasefire, adding that U.S. forces had carried out overnight strikes that destroyed key Iranian military equipment.
Following those remarks, Brent crude climbed above $79 per barrel after gaining nearly 5% as military exchanges between the United States and Iran continued. Iran announced that it had closed the Strait of Hormuz, although U.S. Central Command rejected that claim. Rising oil prices and geopolitical uncertainty weighed on global risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
The latest market turbulence comes only hours after crypto.news reported that shares of American Bitcoin, the Bitcoin mining and treasury company backed by Eric Trump, had fallen more than 95% from their peak, according to Bloomberg.
The decline has erased more than $600 million from the value of Eric Trump’s roughly 6% stake. Bloomberg also reported that the company closed at a record low of $6.13 on July 10 after completing a 1-for-15 reverse stock split earlier this month.
Crypto liquidations have accelerated as traders await inflation data
Selling pressure quickly spread through digital assets, with Bitcoin falling more than 3% over several hours to trade at $62,389. During the same period, the cryptocurrency touched an intraday low of $62,120 after reaching as high as $64,340 over the previous 24 hours.
Ethereum, XRP, BNB, Solana, Hyperliquid, Zcash and Cardano also declined between 2% and 6% as investors reduced exposure to risk assets during the sharp market selloff.
According to CoinGlass, the downturn erased nearly $20 billion from the crypto market and triggered almost $40 million in liquidations across Bitcoin, Ethereum, SPCX, Solana, SNDK, Hyperliquid, MU and XRP positions. The derivatives data provider also reported that about 73,000 traders were liquidated over the past 24 hours.
CoinGlass further noted that the largest single liquidation occurred on Hyperliquid, where an XYZ:SKHX position worth approximately $4.86 million was closed.
Attention has now turned to this week’s U.S. economic events, with traders watching Tuesday’s consumer price index inflation report and testimony from Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh for fresh signals on the central bank’s interest-rate path.
Those releases are expected to shape sentiment across financial markets as investors continue to assess the impact of escalating tensions in the Middle East.
Crypto World
SpaceX slips below $140 despite FAA clearing Starship for launch
SpaceX stock has fallen below the $140 level even after the U.S. Federal Aviation Administration completed its review of the company’s Starship Flight 12 mishap and cleared the path for the next launch.
Summary
- SpaceX stock has dropped below $140 despite the FAA clearing Starship Flight 13 preparations.
- The FAA has accepted SpaceX’s corrective actions and closed its Flight 12 mishap investigation.
- Wall Street firms, including Raymond James, Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and Citi, remain bullish.
According to data from Yahoo Finance, SpaceX stock was trading near $139 during the latest session, down about 4% on the day. The decline has pushed the shares close to their $135 IPO price and well below the $150 opening level recorded after last month’s public debut.

Over the past five trading days, the stock has lost more than 12%, extending its retreat despite a series of positive corporate developments.
FAA has completed the Starship Flight 12 review
Adding to the company’s operational progress, the FAA confirmed that it has closed its investigation into the Starship Flight 12 launch mishap. In an official statement, the regulator said there were no reports of public injuries or damage to public property during the incident.
The FAA also stated that it reviewed and accepted the findings and corrective actions proposed through SpaceX’s investigation. With the review now complete, the agency said the company may proceed with preparations for Starship Flight 13 as long as all remaining safety and licensing requirements are satisfied.
SpaceX is expected to conduct the Starship Flight 13 test flight as early as this week. Even so, the regulatory clearance has not triggered a recovery in the company’s share price, with the stock continuing to trade near its recent lows.
Another positive development also failed to change investor sentiment. Last week, SpaceX joined the Nasdaq-100 index, a milestone that typically brings additional demand from index-tracking funds and institutional investors. Despite that inclusion, the stock has continued to move lower in recent sessions.
Wall Street analysts bet on further upside
Although the recent price action has remained weak, several Wall Street firms have maintained bullish views on the stock. As previously reported by crypto.news, analysts at Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, and Citi have all issued buy ratings on SpaceX shares despite the ongoing correction from recent highs.
The stock remains well below its record level above $200, increasing the gap between current trading levels and analysts’ long-term targets. Among the most optimistic forecasts, Raymond James recently initiated coverage with a Strong Buy rating and assigned an $800 price target.
According to Raymond James, that target implies potential upside of more than 400% from the stock’s current trading range. The brokerage’s outlook contrasts sharply with the recent weakness that has pulled shares back toward their IPO valuation.
For now, investors appear to be focusing more on the recent selling pressure than on the company’s operational progress. With Starship Flight 13 expected soon following the FAA’s clearance, upcoming launch execution could become the next closely watched catalyst for both the aerospace program and the stock’s near-term performance.
Crypto World
Bolivia weighs adding Tether’s USDT to its national payments system
Bolivia is considering adding Tether’s USDT stablecoin to its national payments system, marking another step in the country’s shift from banning crypto transactions to allowing regulated digital asset use.
Economy Minister José Gabriel Espinoza said at a press conference on Monday that the government is evaluating whether USDT could circulate alongside the boliviano, the country’s fiat currency, and the U.S. dollar.
The proposal remains under technical review and the government has not published implementation rules or granted the stablecoin legal-tender status, local news outlet La Razón reported.
Officials are developing a framework for banks, digital wallets and payment providers, according to Espinoza. Any rollout would require stronger anti-money laundering controls as Bolivia remains on the Financial Action Task Force’s grey list, which subjects the country to increased monitoring over shortcomings in its financial crime regime.
The proposal comes amid a sharp rise in crypto adoption after Bolivia’s central bank lifted restrictions on transactions in June 2024. Central bank data shows that crypto transaction volume climbed from $46.5 million in the first half of 2024 to $294 million during the same period last year. Total transaction volume rose 630% after restrictions were removed, the central bank has said.
Crypto World
The marginal bitcoin seller may be done liquidating, analysts say
Dessislava Ianeva, an analyst at Nexo, made a similar point in an email to CoinDesk.
“ETF flows confirm it from another angle. The past ten days split between inflow and outflow, netting slightly positive,” Ianeva said.
“Glassnode data shows spot selling pressure has faded. June’s net selling averaged nearly 2,000 BTC a day; July’s has slowed to just 53 BTC a day, the calmest month of 2026 outside April.”
The relative calm, however, may not indicate a rapid turnaround.
The price recovery from the year’s low of $57,700, hit earlier this month, is largely driven by derivatives traders and not spot buyers, according to Alex Kuptsikevich, FxPro’s chief market analyst.
“Demand for Bitcoin is recovering rapidly, though the growth is currently being driven mainly by retail traders in the speculative futures market. At the same time, the situation in the spot market remains less positive,” he said.
Without a strong return of buy-side liquidity, prices could remain in a sideways trend for months to come, he said.
Caution is understandable ahead of macroeconomic data that may influence interest-rate decisions and the appetite for risk.
U.S. CPI for June is scheduled for release Tuesday and Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s first Congressional testimony is due this week. These events could influence the market trajectory and make, or break, the recovery.
Crypto World
Trump revives Hormuz blockade as Bitcoin slips towards $62K
Bitcoin has slipped over 2% toward $62,000 after President Donald Trump reinstated an Iranian blockade in the Strait of Hormuz and announced new cargo fees for ships crossing the waterway.
Summary
- Bitcoin fell below $63,000 after Trump announced the return of the Iranian blockade in the Strait of Hormuz.
- Trump said the U.S. will charge a 20% cargo fee while protecting commercial shipping through the strategic waterway.
- Polymarket traders now see only a 16% chance that Hormuz shipping will return to normal by Aug. 31.
According to a July 13 Truth Social post by President Trump, the renewed blockade will target only Iranian ships and customers while allowing all other countries to continue using the Strait of Hormuz.
The announcement comes as tensions between the United States and Iran have intensified again following fresh attacks around the key oil shipping route.
Trump stated that the Strait of Hormuz would remain open “with or without Iran” and declared that the United States would now be known as “THE GUARDIAN OF THE HORMUZ STRAIT.”
He added that Washington would collect a 20% reimbursement on all cargo shipped through the passage with U.S. protection, saying the payment would cover the costs of maintaining safety and security in what he described as a volatile region.
The president also said implementation would begin immediately. The latest announcement follows his earlier proposal for the United States to take control of the Strait of Hormuz and introduce transit fees, an idea that came after Iran discussed imposing its own tolls on vessels crossing the chokepoint.
Bitcoin weakens as geopolitical risks return
Alongside the renewed geopolitical uncertainty, Bitcoin (BTC) has extended its retreat from levels above $64,000 reached earlier this week. The cryptocurrency is changing hands near $62,240 at the time of writing, down nearly 3% over the past 24 hours.
The daily chart also points to weakening momentum after Bitcoin failed to hold above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement near $63,200 and slipped back below the 50-day simple moving average around $64,650. Price continues to trade inside a descending channel that has been in place since May, while the 100-day and 200-day moving averages remain much higher near $70,700 and $73,800, respectively.

Despite the decline, the Chaikin Money Flow indicator remains slightly positive at around 0.06, suggesting capital inflows have not completely reversed. Still, technical resistance between roughly $63,200 and $64,600 continues to cap recovery attempts, while support sits near the 20-day moving average around $61,870 before the psychologically important $60,000 level.
Traders reduce expectations for shipping recovery
Meanwhile, prediction markets indicate that traders have become increasingly pessimistic about shipping conditions returning to normal in the Strait of Hormuz.
According to data from crypto prediction platform Polymarket, the probability that maritime traffic will normalize before Aug. 31 has dropped to just 16%. Those odds have fallen sharply from nearly 48% earlier this month after Trump declared that the previous ceasefire was over.

The latest decline follows several days of military escalation between Washington and Tehran. Iran’s Navy has announced that the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed until further notice, while Iranian forces have reportedly struck multiple vessels operating in the waterway in recent days as the country seeks to tighten its control over the strategic oil corridor.
With geopolitical tensions continuing to escalate and uncertainty surrounding one of the world’s most important energy routes growing, risk assets such as Bitcoin remain under pressure as investors closely monitor developments in the region.
Crypto World
Bitcoin Price Analysis: Could BTC’s Latest Pullback Be a Long-Term Bullish Signal?
Bitcoin is yet to recover after its sharp rejection from the mid-$80K region in May, but the latest price action suggests sellers may be losing momentum. While the broader trend is still bearish across higher timeframes, derivatives data points to improving sentiment as funding rates have recovered into positive territory.
The coming sessions will likely determine whether BTC can extend its rebound toward key resistance or revisit its major demand zone.
Bitcoin Price Analysis: The Daily Chart
On the daily timeframe, Bitcoin continues to trade below both the 100-day and 200-day moving averages, which are currently positioned around the $71K and $74K levels, respectively. Both averages are sloping downward, confirming that the broader market structure remains bearish despite the recent stabilization.
Following the rejection from the 200-day moving average in May and the breakdown below the 100-day moving average in June, BTC experienced a sharp selloff into the $60K support zone, where buyers stepped in aggressively. At the moment, the price has recovered toward the $63K area but remains trapped below the first major resistance at $66k-$67K.
Above that, the $72K to $74K region, reinforced by both moving averages, represents the next significant supply zone and would likely be very difficult to reclaim without stronger bullish momentum. On the downside, the $60K demand zone continues to serve as the most important support. Losing this region could expose the lower blue support area around $54K.
BTC/USDT 4-Hour Chart
The 4-hour chart shows Bitcoin consolidating within a broad descending channel after finding support near the lower boundary around $58K. The rebound has produced a series of higher lows, but the recovery has repeatedly stalled below the channel’s descending resistance.
The asset is currently trading around $63K after another rejection from the $64K to $65K area. This region now represents the first short-term resistance, while the broader supply zone at $66K aligns closely with the upper boundary of the channel. A successful breakout above this confluence would strengthen the case for a deeper recovery toward the higher daily resistance levels.
On the downside, the $62K zone has become the first support following the recent advance. If sellers regain control and push the price below this area, the next important demand zone sits around the same daily levels at $58K-$60K. A breakdown below this zone would likely resume the broader bearish trend and lead to much lower prices in the coming months.
On-Chain Analysis
Bitcoin’s funding rates have shifted back into positive territory after spending an extended period below zero during the recent correction. Historically, negative funding reflects dominant short positioning and pessimistic market sentiment, while positive readings indicate that long positions are once again paying a premium.
The recent move back above zero suggests that traders are gradually rebuilding bullish exposure as the price stabilizes near $63K. Unlike previous periods of excessive optimism, however, funding remains relatively moderate and has not reached the elevated levels typically associated with overheated markets.
This combination could provide room for further upside if spot demand continues to improve. At the same time, the positive shift in funding also means the market has become more vulnerable to long liquidations should Bitcoin lose the $60K support zone. For now, derivatives positioning appears supportive of a continued recovery, but confirmation will likely require a decisive breakout above the $66K to $67K resistance cluster.

The post Bitcoin Price Analysis: Could BTC’s Latest Pullback Be a Long-Term Bullish Signal? appeared first on CryptoPotato.
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