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Trap Ahead As Whales Dump $30 Million?

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Cardano Breakdown Triggered

Cardano price has entered a critical phase after confirming a bearish breakdown. The token has already lost key support, and the technical structure now points toward deeper downside risk. Yet, even as large holders continue selling and avoid re-entering, smaller investors are aggressively buying the dip.

This creates a dangerous split in the market. Whales appear to be stepping aside, while retail investors are stepping in. The key question now is whether retail is buying the bottom — or walking into the next leg lower.

Whales Dump 120 Million ADA Before Breakdown — And Still Refuse to Buy Back

Cardano’s recent price drop of nearly 5% over the past 7 days did not come without warning. The largest whale cohort holding between 100 million and 1 billion ADA began reducing holdings days before the head-and-shoulders breakdown happened.

Cardano Breakdown Triggered
Cardano Breakdown Triggered: TradingView

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On February 19, this group held about 2.54 billion ADA. By February 23, their holdings had fallen to 2.42 billion ADA. This represents a drop of around 120 million ADA, roughly 30 million.

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This selling started even before the head-and-shoulders breakdown confirmed on February 22. In other words, whales reduced exposure while the pattern was still forming, suggesting they anticipated further downside. More importantly, whales have not started buying back.

Whales Keep Dumping
Whales Keep Dumping: Santiment

This absence of accumulation matters more than the selling itself. When large investors expect a recovery, they typically begin re-accumulating near support levels. Their refusal to do so signals continued caution.

This raises a critical question. If whales are staying away, why are smaller investors suddenly stepping in aggressively?

Retail Buying Surges 640% Even As Profitability Signals More Downside Risk

Exchange flow data reveals a dramatic shift in retail behavior. On February 21, ADA exchange outflows totaled around $344,450. By February 23, outflows surged to $2.55 million. This marks a massive 640% increase in just two days.

Exchange outflows happen when investors withdraw coins into private wallets. This usually signals buying and holding rather than preparing to sell. Retail investors are clearly buying the dip as whales have been clearly selling.

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ADA Outflows
ADA Outflows: Coinglass

However, another key metric suggests the correction may not be finished yet. The Percent of Total Supply in Profit indicator shows how much of the circulating supply is currently profitable. This metric dropped to just 6.06% on February 12, marking its lowest level in three months.

It later recovered to around 11% before the breakdown and now sits near 8.45%. Even though profitability remains low, it is still about 40% higher than the recent bottom. This matters because markets often continue falling when profitability remains above extreme capitulation levels.

Profitability Chart
Profitability Chart: Santiment

This suggests Cardano may still have room to decline further.

This creates a clear contradiction. Retail investors are accumulating aggressively, but profitability and whale positioning both signal continued caution. The ADA price chart now shows exactly how this conflict could resolve.

Cardano Price Targets $0.23 Unless Bulls Reclaim Critical Resistance

Cardano has now confirmed a breakdown from a head-and-shoulders pattern on the 8-hour chart. This pattern typically signals a shift from accumulation to distribution and often leads to further downside.

Cardano recently lost the key support level at $0.266 and is now trading near $0.265. This level has already failed to provide a strong recovery. Even the Smart Money Index (SMI), which tracks the positions of informed investors, is diverging from the signal line as the ADA price broke support. This pattern aligns with whale skepticism and suggests an immediate rebound might not be on the cards, as retail thinks.

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ADA Smart Money
ADA Smart Money: TradingView

The next immediate support sits near $0.259.

If this level breaks, Cardano could fall toward $0.233. This represents an additional 12% downside from current levels and aligns with the full projection of the breakdown pattern. The broader structure remains bearish unless Cardano can reclaim higher resistance levels.

Cardano Price Analysis
Cardano Price Analysis: TradingView

The first sign of strength would appear only if Cardano recovers above $0.276. However, true bullish invalidation requires a move above $0.293. Until then, the trend remains tilted toward further downside.

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How North Korea’s 6-month long secret espionage program has crypto community rethinking security

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How North Korea's 6-month long secret espionage program has crypto community rethinking security

When Drift disclosed the details behind its $270 million exploit, the most unsettling part wasn’t the scale of the loss — it was how it happened.

According to the team behind the protocol, the attack wasn’t a smart contract bug or a clever piece of code manipulation. It was a six-month campaign involving fake identities, in-person meetings across multiple countries and carefully cultivated trust. The attackers, allegedly from North Korea, didn’t just find a vulnerability in the system. They became part of it.

This new threat is now forcing a broader reckoning across decentralized finance.

For years, the industry has treated security as a technical problem, something that could be solved with audits, formal verification and better code. But the Drift incident suggests something far more complex: that the real vulnerabilities may lie outside the codebase altogether.

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Alexander Urbelis, chief information security officer (CISO) at ENS Labs, argues the framing itself is already outdated.

“We need to stop calling these ‘hacks’ and start calling them what they are: intelligence operations,” Urbelis told CoinDesk. “The people who showed up at conferences, who met Drift contributors in person across multiple countries, who deposited a million dollars of their own money to build credibility: that’s tradecraft. It’s the kind of thing you’d expect from a case officer, not a hacker.”

If that characterization holds, then Drift represents a new playbook: one where attackers behave less like opportunistic hackers and more like patient operators embedding themselves socially before making a move onchain.

“North Korea isn’t scanning for vulnerable contracts anymore. They’re scanning for vulnerable people… That’s not hacking. That’s running agents,” Urbelis added.

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The tactics themselves aren’t entirely new.

Investigations in recent years have shown North Korean operatives infiltrating crypto firms by posing as developers, passing job interviews and even securing roles under fake identities. But the Drift incident suggests those efforts have escalated — from gaining access through hiring pipelines to running months-long, in-person relationship-building operations before executing an attack.

‘The Achilles’ heel’

That shift is what has many security leaders most concerned. Even the most rigorously audited protocol can still fail if a contributor is compromised.

David Schwed, chief operating officer of SVRN and a former CISO at both Robinhood and Galaxy, sees the Drift case as a wake-up call.

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“Protocols need to understand what they’re up against. These aren’t simple exploits. These are well-planned, months-long operations with dedicated resources, fabricated identities, and a deliberate human element,” Schwed told CoinDesk. “That human element is the Achilles’ heel for many organizations.”

Many DeFi teams remain small, fast-moving and built on trust. But when a handful of individuals control critical access, compromising one can be enough.

Schwed argues that the response needs to be updated. “The answer is a well-fortified security program that protects not just the technology, but the people and the process… Security needs to be foundational to the project and the team.”

Some protocols are already adjusting. At Jupiter, one of Solana’s largest DeFi platforms, the baseline of audits and formal verification remains, but leaders claim it’s no longer sufficient.

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“Clearly, securing code via multiple independent audits, open sourcing, and formal verification is just table stakes. The surface area for attacks has broadened substantially,” said COO Kash Dhanda.

That broader surface now includes governance, contributors and operational security. Jupiter has expanded its use of multisigs and timelocks while investing in detection systems and internal training.

“Given that flesh is more vulnerable than code, we’re also updating opsec training and monitoring for key team members,” Dhanda said.

Even then, he added, “there is no end-state for security” and complacency remains the biggest risk.

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For protocols like dYdX, the Drift incident reinforces a reality that can’t be engineered away entirely.

“It’s an unfortunate fact of life that crypto projects are being increasingly targeted by state-sponsored bad actors… developers must take precautions to prevent and mitigate the impact of social engineering compromises, but users should also be aware that given the increasing sophistication of bad actors the risk of such compromises cannot be totally eliminated,” said David Gogel, COO of dYdX Labs.

That evolving threat model is also shifting responsibility toward users themselves.

“Users who are active in DeFi should take the time to understand the technical architecture of protocols or smart contracts that hold their funds, and should factor into their risk assessments the role and nature of any multisigs for software upgrades and the possibility that those could be maliciously compromised,” Gogel added.

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‘Threat model’

For some founders, the Drift exploit underscores a more uncomfortable conclusion: that trust itself has become a vulnerability.

“The Drift exploit wasn’t a code vulnerability. It was a six-month intelligence operation that exploited trust between humans,” said Lucas Bruder, CEO of Jito Labs.

In practice, that means designing systems that assume compromise — not just bugs.

“Smart contract audits are table stakes. The real attack surface is your team, your multisig signers, and every device they touch.”

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That mindset is becoming central to how DeFi approaches security. Schwed of SVRN says it starts with asking not just how a protocol works, but how it could fail.

“Start with a threat model. Ask yourself, how can I be exploited? If one of the project owners becomes compromised, what’s the blast radius of that scenario?”

In that sense, the Drift exploit may be remembered less for the funds lost than for what it revealed — that the biggest risks in DeFi may no longer live in the code, but in the people who run it.

Read more: How North Korea Infiltrated the Crypto Industry

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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Decoupling From Tech Stocks, Reshaped by War and AI

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Bitcoin price is doing something it hasn’t done in months by moving on its own terms, breaking the recent bearish prediction. Trading near $68,500 and dropping by 2% today, BTC is quietly separating from the tech equity complex that dragged it lower through most of early 2026.

The catalyst isn’t a halving narrative or ETF inflow. It’s war, and the AI valuation crisis that is hitting software stocks. The full implications for price haven’t been priced in yet.

Since the outbreak of the U.S.-Iran conflict on Feb. 28, Bitcoin’s correlation with the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF (IGV) collapsed from near-perfect alignment at close to 1.0 to just 0.13, a level signaling near-total decoupling, before partially recovering to around 0.7.

Over that same period, Bitcoin has risen more than 5% while IGV has dropped more than 2%. The gap is widening. Investors appear to be rotating out of software equities, where AI-driven margin compression is hammering SaaS multiples, and treating Bitcoin as a macro hedge instead, a role gold has occupied for decades. Geopolitical shock has a way of accelerating these thesis shifts.

The 1 year chart still shows both assets deeply underwater, Bitcoin down 10%, IGV off 15%, but the divergence since late February suggests the relationship is fundamentally changing.

Discover: The best crypto to diversify your portfolio with

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Reclaim $75K as the Tech Decoupling Deepens?

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At current levels, Bitcoin is trading roughly 30% below its October all-time high after a peak-to-trough decline of approximately 50%. IGV peaked slightly earlier and fell about 35% from its own top, a shallower drawdown, but one now accelerating as AI disruption fears mount across enterprise software. The divergence in recovery trajectories is stark.

The key technical level to watch is the $67,000 range. The level has flipped from resistance to support following this week’s move. A hold above that level keeps the bull case intact. The next meaningful resistance cluster sits near $74,000–$75,000, where prior consolidation and moving average confluence converge.

Bitcoin price is doing something it hasn't done in months by moving on its own terms, breaking the recent bearish prediction.
BTC USD, Tradingview

For the bulls, geopolitical tension that sustains macro-hedge demand will keep IGV’s correlation suppressed near 0.3–0.5, and BTC breaks toward $75,000–$78,000 over the next 2–4 weeks.

But, correlation can drift back toward 0.7 as markets stabilize; BTC consolidates between $67,000 and $72,000 while macro catalysts remain ambiguous. A breakdown below $67,000, or a re-coupling with equities if risk-off sentiment deepens, reopens a path toward the $54,000 level flagged by more bearish technicals.

Year-to-date, Bitcoin remains down roughly 10%, matching IGV’s losses almost exactly. That symmetry is now breaking. Whether this week’s move is a structural shift or a head-fake is the only question that matters right now.

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Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early Mover Upside as Bitcoin Tests Key Levels

Bitcoin at $68,500 is recovering, but a spot BTC position from here still means waiting on macro catalysts, regulatory timelines, and a 30%-plus move just to return to all-time highs. Early-stage infrastructure in the Bitcoin ecosystem offers a different risk profile entirely.

Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is positioning itself at the intersection of two converging trends: Bitcoin’s resurgence as a macro asset and the explosive demand for scalable smart contract infrastructure. The project claims to be the first Bitcoin Layer 2 integrating the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM), delivering sub-second finality and low-cost smart contract execution while anchoring security to Bitcoin’s base layer.

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The presale has raised $32 million at a current price of $0.0136, with 36% APY staking rewards live for early participants. The Decentralized Canonical Bridge enables native BTC transfers into the ecosystem without custodial risk.

For traders who believe Bitcoin’s decoupling thesis has legs, research Bitcoin Hyper as a higher-beta way to express that conviction at the infrastructure layer.

The post Bitcoin Price Prediction: Decoupling From Tech Stocks, Reshaped by War and AI appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Solana Foundation launches security overhaul days after $270 million Drift exploit

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Solana Foundation launches security overhaul days after $270 million Drift exploit

The Solana Foundation announced a suite of security initiatives on Monday, just five days after decentralized finance (DeFi) platform Drift Protocol suffered a $270 million exploit carried out by a North Korean state-affiliated group following a six-month social engineering campaign.

The centerpiece is Stride, a structured evaluation program led by Asymmetric Research that will assess Solana DeFi protocols against eight security pillars and publish its findings publicly. The foundation also introduced the Solana Incident Response Network (SIRN), a membership-based group of security firms and researchers focused on real-time crisis response.

The initiatives address part of the problem exposed by Drift, but not the mechanics that actually caused the loss. Drift’s smart contracts were not compromised, and its code passed audits. The vulnerability was human: The attackers spent six months building relationships with Drift contributors and compromised their devices through a malicious code repository and a fake TestFlight app.

Under Stride, protocols with more than $10 million in total value locked (TVL) that pass the evaluation will receive ongoing operational security and active threat monitoring funded by Solana Foundation grants, with coverage calibrated to each protocol’s risk profile.

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For protocols with more than $100 million in TVL, the foundation will also fund formal verification, a mathematical method that checks every possible execution path in a smart contract to guarantee correctness.

In addition to Asymmetric Research, founding members include OtterSec, Neodyme, Squads, and ZeroShadow. The network is available to all Solana protocols but prioritized by TVL.

Stride’s formal verification, however, would not have caught the North Korean attack, which used the compromised devices to obtain multisig approvals that were then locked into durable nonce transactions and executed weeks later.

Neither would 24/7 monitoring of onchain activity, because the transactions were valid by design and indistinguishable from legitimate administrative actions until they were used to drain the vaults. The attack exploited the gap between onchain correctness and offchain human trust, a gap no smart contract audit or monitoring tool is built to cover.

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SIRN, however, could have helped with the response. ZachXBT, an onchain security expert, criticized stablecoin issuer Circle Internet (CRCL) for failing to freeze over $230 million of its stolen dollar-pegged USDC during a six-hour window after the attack began.

A dedicated incident response network with established relationships to bridge operators, exchanges and stablecoin issuers might have shortened the response time. Whether it would have been fast enough to prevent the Wormhole bridging and obfuscation through Tornado Cash is an open question.

The foundation was careful to note that the programs “do not transfer the underlying responsibility away from the protocols themselves,” a line that reads differently after Drift’s postmortem revealed that individual contributor devices were the entry point for a nation-state attack.

Solana already hosts several free security tools for builders, including Hypernative for threat detection, Range Security for real-time monitoring, and Neodyme’s Riverguard for attack simulation.

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Crypto ETPs Rebound With $224M Inflows Led by XRP: CoinShares

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Crypto ETPs Rebound With $224M Inflows Led by XRP: CoinShares

Cryptocurrency investment products recorded minor inflows last week despite mixed geopolitical signals and increasingly hawkish investor expectations.

Global crypto exchange-traded products (ETPs) clocked $224 million in inflows last week, following a $414 million outflow a week before, CoinShares reported on Tuesday.

The fresh inflows brought total assets under management to about $131.8 billion, roughly in line with levels seen at the same time last year. Year-to-date inflows also totaled about $1.2 billion, compared with $960 million over the same period last year.

The inflows marked a brief rebound in sentiment before later-week macro data and policy expectations reversed momentum, CoinShares head of research James Butterfill said.

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XRP leads inflows as Bitcoin trails closely

XRP (XRP) led inflows with about $120 million, contributing more than half of net weekly inflows.

The gains marked XRP’s largest weekly inflows since mid-December 2025, Butterfill noted, bringing its year-to-date inflows to $159 million.

Crypto ETP flows by asset (in millions of US dollars). Source: CoinShares

Bitcoin (BTC) ETPs followed closely with $107 million of inflows, bringing year-to-date flows to slightly above $1 billion. Of those gains, only around $22 million was contributed by US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which remain in negative territory year-to-date.

Solana (SOL) also saw minor inflows totaling around $35 million last week, with steady inflows this year representing 10% of total assets under management.

On the other hand, Ether (ETH) investment products continued to lag, posting $53 million in outflows. That followed $222 million in outflows the prior week, bringing year-to-date outflows to $327 million.

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Related: CoinShares stock makes US debut on Nasdaq following SPAC merger

CoinShares’ Butterfill attributed the negative sentiment around Ether to developments tied to the CLARITY Act, a major piece of crypto legislation closely linked to stablecoins, which are largely issued on the Ethereum blockchain. Following months of delays, US Senate Banking Committee member Bill Hagerty said Monday that he expects a potential path for the bill in the coming weeks.

Geographically, Switzerland led last week’s inflows at roughly $157 million, followed by Germany and the US, which both recorded about $28 million each, and Canada with $11 million.

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