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Trust in DeFi Starts with Proper Risk Management

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Trust in DeFi Starts with Proper Risk Management

DeFi has entered an institutional phase, with large investors gradually testing the waters in crypto ETFs and digital asset treasuries. The shift signals the maturation of on-chain finance, introducing new instruments and digital counterparts to traditional assets. Yet as flows rise, so do questions about risk management and the resilience of underlying infrastructure. For institutions to participate with confidence, the ecosystem must harden its guardrails, standardize risk disclosures, and ensure liquidity access remains predictable even under stress. The broad arc is clear: move beyond yield chasing toward a structured, auditable framework that aligns DeFi with the expectations of regulated finance.

Key takeaways

  • Institutional participation in crypto is expanding beyond spot exposure to regulated products and digital asset treasuries, expanding on-chain liquidity and demand for governance-grade infrastructure.
  • Three primary risk areas are highlighted: protocol risk driven by DeFi’s composability, reflexivity risk from leveraged staking and looping strategies, and duration risk tied to liquidity timelines and solver incentives.
  • Trust is the scarce resource in the next phase of DeFi, with standardized guardrails and interoperable risk reporting viewed as prerequisites for a true institutional supercycle.
  • Stablecoins and tokenized real-world assets are reshaping on-chain fundamentals, driving institutional demand and signaling Ethereum’s prominence as a settlement layer.
  • Industry signals point to a need for shared risk-management frameworks similar to those in TradFi, including clearinghouse-like structures and standardized disclosures for DeFi protocols.

Tickers mentioned: $BTC, $ETH

Sentiment: Neutral

Market context: The ascent of regulated ETFs and on-chain treasuries sits within a broader push toward more liquid, transparent, and auditable crypto markets. As institutional flows grow, liquidity conditions and risk governance will increasingly shape which DeFi primitives scale and which remain niche experiments.

Why it matters

The current rise of regulated institutional products has done more than inflate on-chain TVLs; it has moved the dialogue from “how much yield can be generated” to “how can risk be measured, disclosed, and managed at scale.” A Paradigm-backed view suggests risk management is treated as an operational pillar rather than a compliance checkbox, underscoring the need for formalized standards as DeFi seeks to attract larger, more durable capital footprints. The near-term implication is a shift in emphasis from rapid experimentation to rigorous governance, with industry-wide norms around disclosure and interoperability acting as the backbone for broader adoption.

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Within this frame, the industry has begun to witness a practical convergence around three pillars: the maturation of stablecoins as a payment and settlement tool, the tokenization of real-world assets (RWAs), and the tokenization of traditional instruments such as government securities. The stability and scalability of stablecoins have become critical to supporting multi-chain liquidity and cross-border settlement, while RWAs enable the on-chain replication of largely traditional asset classes. In parallel, large institutions are piloting tokenized treasuries and stock-market access through on-chain equivalents, hinting at a future where a wider class of financial products can live on Ethereum and related networks. The net effect is a more connected, on-chain financial system that retains the risk sensitivities familiar to regulated markets.

Source: EY

In the institutional ETF arena, the appetite has produced notable landmarks. The framing of regulated Bitcoin and Ethereum exchange-traded products has produced flows that some observers describe as a bellwether for broader acceptance. Specifically, two of the most successful ETF launches in the last two years—BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin ETF (CRYPTO: BTC) and Ethereum ETF (CRYPTO: ETH)—illustrate a growing willingness among asset managers to bring digital assets onto balance sheets. The momentum around ETH-related products is particularly pronounced, with net inflows into Ethereum vehicles building momentum in a tight, high-conviction space. This dynamic culminates in a broader realization: official pricing and settlement rails may increasingly depend on on-chain infrastructure built to accommodate institutional-grade risk controls and reporting standards.

Source: Bitwise Asset Management

Beyond ETFs, the on-chain tooling narrative has also gained traction. Stablecoins have become crypto’s product-market fit as regulatory clarity improves, enabling them to function more reliably as settlement rails and liquidity buffers. Their TVL across protocols is approaching a striking milestone—nearly $300 billion—while they move nearly as much money every month as traditional payment rails such as Visa. This liquidity capacity, when combined with tokenized RWAs, introduces a more scalable, on-chain settlement layer that can absorb large institutions’ demand without compromising speed or risk discipline. The evolution of these instruments signals a credible path for large-scale participation, especially as governance and disclosure standards converge toward TradFi-like rigor.

Tokenization remains a central theme in institutional strategy. Robinhood Europe, for example, has advanced tokenization projects across its stock-exchange ecosystem, while BlackRock has pursued tokenized government securities through its BUIDL initiative. The trend toward converting real-world assets into tradable digital tokens aligns with a broader push to enhance liquidity, accessibility, and efficiency across markets. As tokenization scales, it raises critical questions about transparency, custody, and governance; the path forward will hinge on robust interoperability and standardized risk reporting across platforms.

Source: Cointelegraph Research

All of this reinforces a central insight: both stablecoins and RWAs are reframing DeFi’s narrative around Ethereum as a settlement and interoperability layer. The on-chain economy is increasingly anchored to the same building blocks traditional finance relies upon—clear risk delineation, verifiable disclosures, and robust settlement rails—while preserving the permissionless innovation that defines DeFi. The net effect is a push toward an on-chain financial system capable of onboarding the next trillion dollars of institutional capital, provided guardrails and standards keep pace with innovation.

In a recent assessment, Paradigm argued that risk management is not simply a cost but a core capability that must be embedded into the operational fabric of DeFi. If institutions are to scale, DeFi will need comparable institutions to the traditional clearinghouses and rating agencies—open, auditable, and interoperable frameworks for assessing and reporting risk. The evolution will not require abandoning experimentation; rather, it will require a disciplined approach to risk that can be understood, verified, and trusted across a diverse ecosystem of protocols, vaults, and strategies.

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Opinion by: Robert Schmitt, founder and co-CEO at Cork.

As momentum builds, the market will increasingly reward projects that demonstrate transparent risk management, verifiable liquidity, and resilient infrastructure. The coming year is likely to feature more regulatory clarity around stablecoins, additional tokenization deals, and new on-chain products designed to meet institutional standards. The DeFi supercycle, if it unfolds, will be defined not only by capital inflows but by the depth of risk governance that can withstand the next wave of market shocks. In that sense, the focus shifts from chasing yield to building a durable, on-chain financial system that can operate at the scale of traditional markets while preserving the openness that makes DeFi unique.

What to watch next

  • Upcoming industry standards for cross-chain risk disclosures and protocol reporting.
  • Regulatory developments affecting stablecoins and tokenized RWAs in major jurisdictions.
  • New ETF filings or substantial inflows into BTC and ETH ETFs as institutional appetite evolves.
  • Expanded tokenization projects from major custodians or asset managers, including government securities and blue-chip equities.
  • Governance updates and liquidity-architecture improvements that affect withdrawal timelines and risk parameters on leading DeFi platforms.

Sources & verification

  • Paradigm’s report on TradFi, DeFi, and risk management in extensible finance.
  • Regulated ETF launches for Bitcoin and Ethereum by BlackRock, including performance flows.
  • Ethereum digital asset treasuries (ETH) and market dynamics surrounding DATs, including Bitmine Immersion.
  • Stablecoin market capitalization, locked value, and regulatory clarity milestones (EY insights on treasury use and DLT).
  • Robinhood Europe’s tokenization initiatives and BlackRock’s tokenization efforts on U.S. government securities (BUIDL).

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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BTC USD and Gold Price Outlook: The War Pause, De-escalation, and Prediction

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BTC USD is holding just below the $72,000 price level, while gold presses $4,800 resistance, but one number that matters most is crude oil.

Markets are repricing risk following a ceasefire agreement between the US, Israel, and Iran, and the moves are significant. BTC USD is holding just below $72,000 price level, while gold presses the $4,800 resistance level. One number that matters most is crude oil. It is down over 16% this week and is reshaping macro expectations across every major asset class.

BTC USD is holding just below the $72,000 price level, while gold presses $4,800 resistance, but one number that matters most is crude oil.
OIL SPOT US, TradingView

The reopening of the Strait of Hormuz triggered the repricing. Dubai’s Financial Market index spiked as much as 10% at the open, global equities gained over 3%, and the US dollar weakened more than 1%, all within the same session.

The risk premium built into gold and BTC during peak tension is unwinding fast, but unevenly. The pause is real.

Discover: The best pre-launch token sales

Can BTC USD Price Break $75,000 as Geopolitical Risk Unwinds?

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Bitcoin is trading below $72,000, capped at a level that has functioned as both psychological resistance and a technical ceiling since the latest escalation cycle began. Volume context is thin, and consolidation patterns on the BTC USD chart suggest the market is waiting for confirmation rather than positioning aggressively in either direction.

The $75,000 level is the line to break. Above it, momentum indicators could flip bullish quickly, given how compressed this range has become. Below $68,000, a level that has absorbed selling pressure repeatedly, the broader recovery thesis weakens materially.

Technical analysis on BTC/USD points to structural factors supporting recovery, alongside one clear risk: another leg lower remains possible before any sustained breakout.

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BTC USD is holding just below the $72,000 price level, while gold presses $4,800 resistance, but one number that matters most is crude oil.
BTC USD, TradingView

For us, we want CPI to print soft Friday, the ceasefire narrative to hold, and Bitcoin to clear $75,000 with volume.

Gold testing $4,800 resistance simultaneously complicates the read. Bitcoin’s decoupling from traditional safe-haven dynamics in war-driven macro environments remains incomplete, which means gold’s next move likely provides the cleaner signal for BTC directional bias in the sessions ahead.

Discover: The best crypto to diversify your portfolio with

Bitcoin Hyper: BTC Eco Play With Early-Mover Upside

Bitcoin below $72,000 with a ceiling firmly in place is a frustrating setup for spot holders; the upside exists, but so does the wait. That gap between conviction and near-term price action is exactly where early-stage infrastructure plays attract serious attention.

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Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is positioning as the first-ever Bitcoin Layer 2 with Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) integration, a direct attack on Bitcoin’s three core limitations: slow transactions, high fees, and the absence of programmable smart contracts.

The presale has raised more than $32 million at a current price of $0.0136, with staking live and drawing significant participation. The SVM integration is the differentiator: delivering sub-Solana latency on Bitcoin’s security layer is something only a few Layer 2 projects have attempted, let alone shipped.

For traders watching Bitcoin consolidate below resistance while seeking asymmetric exposure to the broader ecosystem, the infrastructure layer is worth examining.

Research Bitcoin Hyper before the next presale stage moves the entry price.

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Crypto Long & Short: Asia’s digital asset crackdown: accountability gets personal

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Chart: Crypto investment fraud reported by age group

Welcome to our institutional newsletter, Crypto Long & Short. This week:

  • Bob Williams on how stricter crypto regulations in Asia are putting more personal responsibility on senior leaders, making strong governance and D&O insurance essential.
  • The FBI’s Haidy Grigsby on how crypto scams are increasingly targeting experienced investors by building trust and tricking them into making larger deposits until their money is gone.
  • Top headlines institutions should pay attention to by Francisco Rodrigues.
  • Hyperliquid’s TradFi bet is now 40% of its own volume in Chart of the Week.

-Alexandra Levis


Expert Insights

Asia’s digital asset crackdown: accountability gets personal

By Bob Williams, FinTech, digital assets, & blockchain advisory leader (Asia/Pacific), Lockton Companies

A new wave of digital asset regulations across Asia is increasing pressure on trading platforms and asset managers to strengthen governance — and to reassess their Directors’ and Officers’ (D&O) liability insurance arrangements.

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In recent months, three leading digital asset hubs — Hong Kong, Singapore and South Korea — have announced plans to refine their respective regulatory frameworks. As regulatory expectations rise and senior management’s personal accountability becomes clearer, platform operators must stay informed of these developments and evaluate whether their existing risk transfer strategies remain fit for purpose.

Hong Kong: expanding accountability beyond governance

In August 2025, Hong Kong’s Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) issued a circular to licensed virtual asset trading platform operators clarifying senior management’s responsibilities regarding the custody of clients’ virtual assets. The circular reinforces expectations around governance, internal controls and effective oversight, signaling a continual shift toward personal accountability for directors and senior management.

An emerging consideration from the SFC’s consultation process is whether virtual asset management service providers should be permitted to rely on non‑SFC‑regulated or offshore custodians. From an insurance perspective, the availability of coverage for virtual asset risks is closely tied to the robustness of custody arrangements, including security controls, operational resilience and asset protection standards. To date, insurance capacity has largely been supported by the prescriptive requirements imposed on SFC‑regulated custodians and platforms.

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If alternative custody models are permitted, ensuring that non‑regulated or offshore custodians are held to equivalent standards, including appropriate insurance coverage will be critical. Without alignment, firms that have invested heavily to meet Hong Kong’s regulatory and insurance expectations may face a competitive disadvantage, while the objective of enhancing investor protection and market integrity could be undermined.

Singapore: reinforcing senior management competency

In 2025, Singapore introduced licensing requirements for digital token service providers serving only overseas customers, bringing a broader range of firms within the Monetary Authority of Singapore’s regulatory perimeter.

Under the licensing guidelines, the competency and fitness of key individuals are core admission criteria. Senior management is expected to demonstrate a clear understanding of the regulatory framework and to exercise effective oversight and control over business activities and staff.

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As regulatory expectations rise, so too does the personal exposure of directors and officers. In this context, D&O insurance remains a critical component of a firm’s overall risk management framework, helping to protect personal assets in the event of claims or regulatory actions arising from alleged governance or oversight failures.

South Korea: gearing up for Digital Asset Basic Act

South Korea is pursuing a more expansive regulatory overhaul through the proposed Digital Asset Basic Act, introduced to the National Assembly in June 2025. The bill seeks to formalize the digital asset market by regulating issuance, trading practices and distributions, while introducing new governance structures around asset listing and delisting decisions.

These imminent changes would significantly increase compliance obligations for trading platforms and related service providers. In this environment, D&O insurance plays an important role in protecting directors and officers from the financial consequences of legal actions, investigations or claims arising from alleged regulatory breaches.

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Navigating regulatory complexity with D&O insurance

Across Hong Kong, Singapore and South Korea, regulators are refining already sophisticated frameworks to address the evolving risks of digital assets. These developments reflect a broader global trend toward intensified regulatory scrutiny and heightened expectations of senior management accountability.

For firms operating in the region, this means proactively reviewing governance structures, custody arrangements and insurance programs to ensure leadership is appropriately protected against emerging liabilities. D&O insurance is no longer a secondary consideration — it is a core element of responsible risk management in an increasingly regulated digital asset landscape.


Informed Perspectives

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Crypto scams are not just targeting the uninformed

By Haidy Grigsby, special agent, cybercrime and digital evidence unit, Tennessee Bureau of Investigation

A common assumption is that crypto scams prey on the uninformed. While this is often true in financial fraud, crypto-related frauds are increasingly catching experienced investors, retired professionals and former market participants off guard with increasing frequency.

In my work at the FBI, I recently met with a retired trader who fit that profile exactly. He met a young woman online who claimed to know someone involved in crypto trading. He was told he had been selected as a consultant because of his experience. His case illustrates a strategy that we now see often.

Initial contact often begins with a wrong-number text, LinkedIn message or social media outreach. What starts as professional often turns personal or romantic, a tactic known as “pig butchering.” Scammers flatter expertise, create exclusivity and get the target to move the conversation to encrypted apps. In this case, “she” said WhatsApp was easier for her.

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Exploiting familiarity with legitimate infrastructure, victims are instructed to open accounts on real exchanges, then use self-custody wallets to access external sites through built-in Web3 browsers. Because they click within a trusted app, they often don’t realize that they have left it.

These fraudulent markets mimic real ones with a twist: unlike real markets, these platforms allow one daily trade at a set time, ostensibly to capture optimal volatility. Victims choose long or short, allocate funds and confirm a brief trade lasting seconds or minutes. The scammer will often claim to contribute their own funds, reinforcing trust and the illusion of shared risk.

Balances grow and profits appear real. In truth, no trading occurs — the website is controlled by the operation, and the returns aresimply numbers entered by the scammer on their end.

To build credibility, victims are encouraged to withdraw a small amount after a “winning” trade. The withdrawal appears processed successfully, but is funded with cryptocurrency stolen from other victims and is meant to encourage larger future deposits. “I took profits. It had to be real,” the retired trader told me in frustration.

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The websites change domains and branding frequently, with victims being told the company is merging, upgrading or rebranding. In reality these changes occur because of law enforcement takedowns, and victims are simply redirected to “new trading platforms.”

When victims attempt larger withdrawals, the narrative shifts: regulatory holds, tax prepayments, liquidity verification thresholds or tier upgrades. Each explanation is paired with urgent demands for more funds.

Convincing victims of the truth remains one of the greatest challenges. When I spoke with the retired trader, it was difficult to convince him I was law enforcement and that he had been dealing with a criminal organization, not one individual. No one wants to believe the person they built trust with and gave substantial sums of money to never existed. This retired trader was left to face his family, admit he had been defrauded and ask for help with basic living expenses. By the time he accepted reality, his retirement savings were already gone: assets had been transferred overseas, laundered and liquidated.

Chart: Crypto investment fraud reported by age group

Source: FBI Internet Crime Complaint Center (IC3), 2025 Internet Crime Report, p. 53, https://www.ic3.gov/AnnualReport/Reports/2025_IC3Report.pdf

The FBI’s 2024 data show losses rising with age, likely reflecting the fact that older individuals have more accumulated wealth than those in their 20s.

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Victims gather evidence: phone numbers, accounts, photos and websites — most of it turns out to be stolen, fake or AI-generated. Despite the difficulties in apprehending the perpetrators of these sophisticated schemes, law enforcement continues to pursue these cases. Anyone affected should cease all communication and report the incident to local law enforcement, IC3.gov and Chainabuse.com.


Headlines of the Week

By Francisco Rodrigues

This week’s headlines show institutional adoption has kept on growing in the cryptocurrency space, yet old dangers remain. Protocol exploits, state-sponsored attacks, and technology disruption remain active threats.


Chart of the Week

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Hyperliquid’s TradFi bet is now 40% of its own volume

Hyperliquid’s HIP-3 has scaled from ~$115 million in its first week (Oct 2025) to a peak of $17.8 billion/week, now consistently representing 35–40% of total protocol volume. Despite launching as a crypto-adjacent product, HIP-3 is overwhelmingly a TradFi venue, with Commodities alone driving ~60% of volume and pure crypto categories accounting for just ~12%. The aggregate (core + HIP 3) volume continues to decline since the early March 2026 peak with the HYPE price now following the same trend.

Chart: Hyperliquid's TradFi bet is now 40% of its own volume

Listen. Read. Watch. Engage.

Looking for more? Receive the latest crypto news from coindesk.com and market updates from coindesk.com/institutions.


Note: The views expressed in this column are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of CoinDesk, Inc., CoinDesk Indices or its owners and affiliates.

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Fed officials still foresee rate cut this year, despite war impacts, minutes show

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Fed officials still foresee rate cut this year, despite war impacts, minutes show

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks during a press conference following the Federal Open Markets Committee meeting at the Federal Reserve on March 18, 2026 in Washington, DC.

Anna Moneymaker | Getty Images

Federal Reserve officials at their March meeting still expected to lower interest rates this year, even with a high level of uncertainty from the Iran war and tariffs, according to minutes released Wednesday.

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Most of the participants said the war could result in the need for easier monetary policy if rising gas prices hit the labor market and consumer wallets.

Policymakers said they would need to remain “nimble” as they weighed the impact the war had on inflation, which continued to hold above the Fed’s target, and hiring, which has been mostly flat over the past year.

“Many participants judged that, in time, it would likely become appropriate to lower the target range for the federal funds rate if inflation were to decline in line with their expectations,” the minutes said.

The consensus anticipated one cut this year, unchanged from the last update in December.

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The summary then noted caution over “a further softening in labor market conditions, which could warrant additional rate cuts, as substantially higher oil prices could reduce households’ purchasing power, tighten financial conditions, and reduce growth abroad.”

Ultimately, the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee voted 11-1 to keep the benchmark overnight borrowing rate targeted in a range between 3.5%-3.75%.

Possible hike?

The consensus was to keep rates steady as they observed conditions unfold, with officials also expressing concern that the Middle East hostilities could result in sustained inflation that could require rate hikes.

“Most participants commented that it was too early to know how developments in the Middle East would affect the U.S. economy and judged it prudent to continue to monitor the situation and assess the implications for the appropriate stance of monetary policy,” the minutes said.

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The March 17-18 meeting came just a weeks after the U.S. and Israel launched an attack on Iran that triggered a surge in energy costs and renewed fears of a spike in inflation. A ceasefire announced Tuesday evening led to a sharp drop in oil, though the durability of the agreement is still highly in question.

In assessing conditions so far, meeting participants said they still expected inflation to continue moving toward the Fed’s 2% target, despite the tumult the war caused. They noted that tariffs remain a threat, though most see the impact of the duties as temporary when it comes to computing inflation.

Chair Jerome Powell said in a recent public appearance that raising rates now to stave off an inflation spike could have negative longer-term effects given the lagged impact of Fed rate moves.

At the same time, officials expressed concern about the labor market, which has been creating enough jobs to keep the unemployment rate steady. However, job growth has come almost exclusively from health care-related sectors, raising concerns about stability and potential for growth.

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“The vast majority of participants judged that risks to the employment side of the mandate were skewed to the downside,” the minutes said. “In particular, many participants cautioned that, in the current situation of low rates of net job creation, labor market conditions appeared vulnerable to adverse shocks.”

Markets largely expect the Fed to remain on hold through the rest of the year. However, the ceasefire led traders to raise the odds for a potential cut.
 
Broadly speaking, the economy has showed signs of slowing, causing some on Wall Street to raise their expectations for a recession.
 
Gross domestic product rose at just a 0.7% pace in the fourth quarter of 2025 and is on track for just a 1.3% growth rate in the first quarter of 2026.

Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.

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Bernstein says quantum threat to Bitcoin is real but manageable

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Bernstein says quantum threat to Bitcoin is real but manageable

Network News

BERNSTEIN SAYS QUANTUM THREAT TO BITCOIN IS REAL BUT MANAGEABLE: Wall Street broker Bernstein said the rise of quantum computing poses a credible but manageable threat to Bitcoin and the broader crypto ecosystem, as recent breakthroughs compress timelines for potential attacks on modern cryptography. Advances such as Google Quantum AI’s reported reduction in qubit requirements suggest the risk is no longer a distant, decade-long concern, the broker noted. Still, the firm cautioned that scaling quantum systems to the level needed to break widely used encryption remains a complex, multi-step challenge. “Quantum should be seen as a medium to long term system upgrade cycle rather than a risk,” analysts led by Gautam Chhugani said in the Wednesday report. Quantum computing uses the principles of quantum mechanics rather than classical physics. Instead of binary bits, it relies on qubits that can exist in multiple states at once, a property known as superposition, allowing many possibilities to be processed simultaneously. Combined with entanglement, this enables quantum systems to solve certain problems, such as breaking encryption, far more efficiently than classical computers. Quantum computers could eventually weaken cryptographic systems like elliptic curve encryption, which underpin crypto wallets, by solving problems beyond the reach of classical machines. However, the report said the threat spans industries from finance to defense and should be viewed as a manageable, long-term risk rather than an existential one for Bitcoin. — Will Canny Read more.

EXPLOITS TO ESPIONAGE: DRIFT HACK REVEALS MORE COMPLEX OPERATIONS: When Drift disclosed the details behind its $270 million exploit, the most unsettling part wasn’t the scale of the loss — it was how it happened. According to the team behind the protocol, the attack wasn’t a smart contract bug or a clever piece of code manipulation. It was a six-month campaign involving fake identities, in-person meetings across multiple countries and carefully cultivated trust. The attackers, allegedly from North Korea, didn’t just find a vulnerability in the system. They became part of it. This new threat is now forcing a broader reckoning across decentralized finance. For years, the industry has treated security as a technical problem, something that could be solved with audits, formal verification and better code. But the Drift incident suggests something far more complex: that the real vulnerabilities may lie outside the codebase altogether. Alexander Urbelis, chief information security officer (CISO) at ENS Labs, argues the framing itself is already outdated. “We need to stop calling these ‘hacks’ and start calling them what they are: intelligence operations,” Urbelis told CoinDesk. “The people who showed up at conferences, who met Drift contributors in person across multiple countries, who deposited a million dollars of their own money to build credibility: that’s tradecraft. It’s the kind of thing you’d expect from a case officer, not a hacker.” If that characterization holds, then Drift represents a new playbook: one where attackers behave less like opportunistic hackers and more like patient operators embedding themselves socially before making a move onchain. — Margaux Nijkerk Read more.

SOLANA FOUNDATION NEW AD ‘DONT WASTE TIME ON CRYPTO’: The Solana Foundation is taking a deliberately contrarian approach to crypto marketing in San Francisco, rolling out a billboard campaign that reads: “Don’t waste time with crypto.” At first glance, the message may seem a bit confusing as a crypto foundation is saying not to waste time with crypto. But according to the Solana Foundation, it is a bullish bet on the future of crypto that intersects with agentic AI. Essentially, what this means is that rather than wasting your time executing transactions with crypto, which might be cumbersome and time-consuming, let your AI agents do the hard work. The ad directs passersby to the x402 account on X, a nod to a growing push within the Solana ecosystem to position blockchain not as a consumer-facing product, but as invisible infrastructure for the next phase of the internet. — Margaux Nijkerk Read more.

NEW ALCHEMY AI TOOL: Alchemy, a cryptocurrency infrastructure provider used by many blockchains and firms in the space, has released a new tool, AgentPay , that lets different AI payment systems, from companies like Coinbase, Stripe, Visa, Mastercard, and Circle, work together. The new tool addresses the problem that agentic payment systems currently coming online aren’t “interoperable,” or in other words, don’t talk to one another, meaning a merchant that wants AI agents as customers has to build a separate integration for every protocol. “That’s not sustainable, and it’s only going to get more fragmented as more systems launch,” said Alchemy CTO Guillaume Poncin in an email. “AgentPay fixes that. A merchant registers their existing API with us, we give them a new endpoint, and any agent on any supported protocol can pay them through it.” Alchemy is widely seen as the “AWS of Web3,” as it provides the infrastructure, developer tools, and node services needed to build blockchain applications. AgentPay promises one integration for every protocol, citing the likes of x402, MPP, A2P or L402. “We sit in the middle as the translation layer, where AgentPay routes instructions, and Alchemy never touches the funds,” Poncin said. — Ian Allison Read more.

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In Other News

  • Adam Back has denied claims that he is Satoshi Nakamoto after a New York Times story argued that the British cryptographer is the strongest candidate yet for Bitcoin’s pseudonymous creator. In a post on X after the article was published, Back said his long record in cryptography, privacy tools and electronic cash research explains why reporters keep finding links between his work and Bitcoin’s design. “I’m not satoshi,” Back wrote. He said he had been “early in laser focus on the positive societal implications of cryptography, online privacy and electronic cash,” and that his work from about 1992 onward, including discussions on the cypherpunks mailing list, led to Hashcash and other ideas later echoed in Bitcoin. Back, said NYT reporter John Carreyrou, had found “many interesting bitcoin analogs in early attempts to create a decentralized ecash,” adding that early researchers explored concepts such as peer-to-peer systems, proof-of-work, and routing models that looked like prototypes for Bitcoin. — Helene Braun Read more.
  • Wall Street investment bank JPMorgan (JPM) said the pace of capital flowing into digital assets slowed markedly in the first quarter of 2026, with total inflows estimated at around $11 billion. That implies an annualized run rate of roughly $44 billion, about one-third of the pace seen in 2025, according to the report published last week. “Investor flows, either retail or institutional, have been small or even negative YTD with the bulk of the digital asset flow in Q1’26 stemming from Strategy’s (MSTR) bitcoin purchases and concentrated crypto VC funding,” wrote analysts led by Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou. Crypto markets had a volatile and broadly negative first quarter, with prices and market value retreating sharply amid a risk-off backdrop. Total crypto market capitalization fell roughly 20% over the period, while bitcoin dropped around 23% and ether (ETH) declined more than 30%, marking one of the weakest first-quarter performances in years. The selloff was driven by macroeconomic and geopolitical pressures, triggering liquidations and a broad pullback in risk assets, with altcoins hit even harder. — Will Canny Read more.

Regulatory and Policy

  • Polymarket removed a betting market tied to the rescue of U.S. service members in Iran, after intense backlash and criticism from lawmakers this weekend. The market allowed users to wager on when the U.S. would confirm the rescue of two airmen after an F-15E fighter jet was shot down over Iran. The crew members have since been rescued. Rep. Seth Moulton, a Democrat from Massachusetts, criticized the listing in a post on X, calling it “disgusting” and arguing it reduced a military rescue effort to a financial trade. Moulton has taken a hard line on prediction markets, recently banning his staff from using platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi over concerns that financial incentives could influence policy decisions. A Polymarket spokesperson said the listing did not meet its integrity standards and the contract was removed shortly after it appeared. The company added that it is reviewing how the market passed internal safeguards. — Francesco Rodrigues Read more.
  • The U.S. Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. formally proposed its approach to stablecoin issuers as one of the federal financial regulators required to write and oversee rules under last year’s Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins (GENIUS) Act. The FDIC’s proposal —meant to align closely with what its sister banking agency, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, proposed in February — will be open for a 60-day public comment period on the lengthy list of 144 questions posed Tuesday by the agency. The FDIC’s job is to police U.S. depository institutions, and under the GENIUS Act, its role is to regulate such institutions issuing stablecoins from their subsidiaries. To that end, it posed capital, liquidity and custody standards for those firms, though the details won’t be set in stone until the rule is finalized — not likely to occur until the agency spends further months reviewing input and writing the final language. This is the second GENIUS Act proposal from the banking agency after its December pitch on the issuer application process. As expected under the law, stablecoins won’t enjoy the deposit insurance that the banks maintain on traditional banking accounts, according to the proposal. — Jesse Hamilton Read more.

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BTC’s next bull run to be driven by banking and digital credit, says Strategy’s Michael Saylor

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Brazil's B3 stock exchange to launch bitcoin-linked 'event contracts'

Michael Saylor, executive chairman of Strategy (MSTR), believes bitcoin likely bottomed in early February at $60,000.

Speaking at a recent Mizuho event, Saylor reiterated his long-held view that bottoms aren’t necessarily about valuations but are driven by seller exhaustion, analysts Dan Dolev and Alexander Jenkins wrote.

Trend reversals, he added, are driven more by capital structure and liquidity than by investor sentiment.

Saylor now sees limited selling pressure amid growing demand from ETF inflows, which are absorbing daily supply, and companies shifting treasury assets into bitcoin.

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Bitcoin and Strategy’s next drivers

As for the catalyst for the next bull market, Saylor believes it will be the formation of banking credit and digital credit on top of bitcoin. This will have bitcoin supporting more lending and credit activity beyond simple buy-and-hold demand.

Digital credit already exists, said Saylor, in the form of Strategy’s STRC preferred stock, whose beefy 11.5% yield remains well below the company’s expectation of BTC’s long-term appreciation. Strategy is “stretching” bitcoin “from a nonyielding asset into a capital markets engine,” he said.

On the recently hotly-debated topic of quantum computing, Saylor said the risks are overblown. The threat, he argued, is theoretical, likely decades away, and even then solvable.

Mizuho retained its outperform rating on Stategy and $320 price target, suggesting about 150% upside from the current $127.

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Circle Launches Stablecoin Settlement Solution for TradFi Institutions

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Circle Payments Network (CPN) Managed Payments let financial institutions operate in fiat, while using crypto rails behind the scenes via Circle.

Circle today launched Circle Payments Network (CPN) Managed Payments, a stablecoin settlement solution designed to simplify stablecoin transactions for traditional financial institutions, according to a press release from the firm.

The new managed solution is aimed at mainstream TradFi firms, including payment service providers, fintechs, banks, and global enterprises, per the release. The product’s core pitch is simplicity: participating firms interact solely in fiat, while Circle handles the the crypto rails in the background, namely USDC minting and burning, payment orchestration, compliance, and blockchain infrastructure.

Use cases include cross-border settlement, merchant stablecoin acceptance, high-volume payouts, and FX cost reduction, according to the releae. At launch, partners include Thunes and Worldline, alongside payments company Veem.

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In recent months, UDSC has overtaken Tether’s USDT, the largest stablecoin by market cap, in terms of monthly transaction volume, per data from Visa and Allium.

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Stablecoin transaction volume by asset. Source: Visa, Allium

The launch comes as stablecoins cement their role as mainstream financial infrastructure. Total stablecoin supply surged 50% in 2025 as enterprise adoption accelerated, with the GENIUS Act creating the first federal U.S. regulatory framework for the sector.

Major institutions have moved quickly: Visa launched USDC settlement on Solana in December, and the same month, Intuit struck a multi-year deal with Circle to embed stablecoin capabilities across TurboTax, QuickBooks, and Credit Karma.

Meanwhile, last month, Mastercard acquired stablecoin infrastructure firm BVNK with aims to bridge on-chain and fiat rails within the network.

This article was written with the assistance of AI workflows. All our stories are curated, edited and fact-checked by a human.

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XRP Price Prediction: Ripple Leads Crypto Inflows as Market Recovers

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XRP recorded $119.6 million in weekly fund inflows for the period ending last week, occurred when price prediction was running at rock bottom.

Institutional money is rotating back in, and XRP is leading the rallies. XRP recorded $119.6 million in weekly fund inflows for the period ending last week, its strongest weekly haul since mid-December 2025, which occurred when XRP price prediction was running at rock bottom.

That single figure puts XRP ahead of every other digital asset for the week, including Bitcoin. The broader crypto market pulled in $224 million total, reversing a stretch of notable outflows and signaling a clear sentiment shift among institutional allocators.

Regulatory clarity and XRP’s entrenched position in cross-border payment infrastructure appear to be the twin catalysts. With macro conditions still turbulent, the price setup deserves a closer look.

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Discover: The best crypto to diversify your portfolio with

XRP Price Prediction: $2.00 Before Year-End?

XRP’s 4.6–5.0% daily gain lands it at the $1.37–$1.38 range, but the technical picture remains cautious. The asset is holding above its short-term 10-day and 20-day exponential moving averages, a tentative green flag.

The problem? It still trades below the 50-, 100-, and 200-day EMAs, keeping the broader trend firmly in bearish territory. The 14-day RSI sits at 39.43, neutral but leaning toward oversold, which historically creates room for further upside before momentum stalls.

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XRP recorded $119.6 million in weekly fund inflows for the period ending last week, occurred when price prediction was running at rock bottom.
XRP USD, Tradingview

Support levels are stacked at $1.31, $1.29, and $1.27, with resistance clustered at $1.4, the exact range XRP is currently testing. A clean breakout above $1.38 with volume would open the door toward $1.50 and potentially $1.70 on a momentum extension.

The inflow data is bullish. The chart structure is still mending. Those two realities coexist, and neither cancels the other out.

Discover: The best pre-launch token sales

Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early Mover Upside as XRP Tests Key Resistance

XRP’s 50% projected upside is compelling, but at a $84B+ market cap, the runway to 10x returns requires a very specific set of conditions to align perfectly. Traders hunting asymmetric early-stage exposure are looking elsewhere without abandoning the Bitcoin ecosystem entirely.

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Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is positioned as the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) integration, a combination that delivers sub-second transaction finality while inheriting Bitcoin’s security layer. The project targets Bitcoin’s three structural weaknesses directly: slow transactions, high fees, and the near-total absence of programmability.

The presale has raised $32 million at a current token price of $0.0136, with staking rewards already live for early participants. The Decentralized Canonical Bridge enables direct BTC transfers into the ecosystem, removing friction that has historically limited Bitcoin DeFi adoption.

Research Bitcoin Hyper here.

The post XRP Price Prediction: Ripple Leads Crypto Inflows as Market Recovers appeared first on Cryptonews.

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South Korea proposes comprehensive digital asset law including stablecoin rules

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South Korea proposes comprehensive digital asset law including stablecoin rules

South Korea’s ruling Democratic Party proposed a “Digital Asset Basic Act” Wednesday that would establish a legal framework for digital assets, including issuance, trading, custody and supervision.

“Digital assets are emerging as a core medium connecting the real economy and financial markets,” the proposal states. It defines value-linked digital assets, including those tied to fiat currencies or real-world assets, as a category requiring issuer authorization, refund reserves and redemption obligations.

The new proposal comes amid stalled Digital Asset Basic Act negotiations since early this year when regulators clashed over who should be allowed to issue won-pegged stablecoins. The Bank of Korea insisted banks with 51% ownership should be the only ones authorized to issue stablecoins, while the Financial Services Commission warned this could hinder innovation.

The bill also said it aims to “establish a foundation for Korea to lead the global digital financial order.” Under the proposal, entities seeking to issue such assets must obtain approval and meet requirements including capital thresholds, operational capacity and reserve plans.

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The legislation would introduce licensing, registration and reporting requirements for digital asset businesses, including trading, brokerage, custody and advisory services.

It would also establish rules on disclosures, internal controls and market conduct, including prohibitions on unfair trading practices such as market manipulation and use of non-public information.

The proposal calls for the creation of a digital asset committee to review and coordinate policy, as well as national basic and implementation plans for the sector.

It also noted that South Korea’s current system remains focused on investor protection and lacks a comprehensive framework covering issuance, disclosure and market structure.

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The proposal follows the announcement of new rules Wednesday by the country’s Financial Services Commission and Financial Supervisory Service ordering all domestic cryptocurrency exchanges to adopt a single, strict system for delaying withdrawals. The aim is to block a surge in voice phishing scams that rely on speed.

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Yuga Labs settles Bored Ape NFT lawsuit, ending fight over alleged copycat tokens

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Yuga Labs settles Bored Ape NFT lawsuit, ending fight over alleged copycat tokens

Yuga Labs has settled its lawsuit against artist Ryder Ripps and Jeremy Cahen over their alleged copycatting of its non-fungible tokens (NFTs) from the Bored Ape Yacht Club collection.

The agreement ends a two-year dispute over whether the pair’s project, which reused Bored Ape imagery, crossed the line from satire into trademark infringement.

Proposed court orders would permanently bar Ripps and Cahen from using Yuga’s trademarks and imagery, according to a filing in California federal court. The terms of the settlement were not disclosed.

Yuga’s Bored Ape collection became one of the most recognizable NFT brands during the market’s peak. The firm sued in 2022, claiming Ripps and Cahen sold lookalike tokens in their RR/BAYC NFT collection and earned millions by confusing buyers. The defendants argued their work was a satirical response to the actual Bored Ape Yacht Club collection.

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A district judge initially sided with Yuga and awarded nearly $9 million in damages and fees. But an appeals court later overturned that ruling, saying a jury should decide whether buyers were actually misled. The settlement avoids that trial.

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Ethereum Foundation to sell 5,000 ETH via CoWSwap TWAP

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Transak announces integration with Ethereum Layer 2 MegaETH

Summary

  • Ethereum Foundation will convert 5,000 ETH into stablecoins via CoWSwap’s TWAP feature to fund research, grants, and donations.
  • The move follows earlier EF treasury conversions using DeFi rails as part of a broader diversification policy.
  • Market watchers scrutinize EF sales as potential sentiment signals, even when the amounts are small relative to ETH’s total supply.

The Ethereum Foundation (EF) has announced it will convert 5,000 ETH into stablecoins using decentralized trading protocol CoWSwap’s time-weighted average price (TWAP) function, describing the move as routine funding for “R&D, grants and donations.” “Today, The Ethereum Foundation will convert 5000 ETH to stablecoins via @CoWSwap’s TWAP feature as a part of our ongoing work to fund R&D, grants and donations,” the foundation wrote on X, reiterating its commitment to using DeFi-native tools for treasury operations. At current prices, the sale is worth tens of millions of dollars but remains negligible versus Ethereum’s circulating supply and daily trading volume.

EF’s latest conversion echoes a similar move in October 2025, when it sold 1,000 ETH via CoWSwap TWAP “to fund R&D, grants and donations, and to highlight the power of DeFi,” a transaction then valued at roughly $4.5 million. The foundation has also previously outlined a plan to convert up to 10,000 ETH on centralized exchanges, positioning these sales as part of a diversification strategy that seeks “a middle ground between earning yields above standard benchmarks and serving as a responsible steward of Ethereum.” BeInCrypto noted that the new 5,000 ETH TWAP sale is “in line with its June 2025 treasury policy focused on DeFi and privacy,” framing it as policy execution rather than a directional bet on ETH.

While modest in size, EF treasury moves are closely watched as soft sentiment gauges around whether the organization views current levels as top-of-cycle or simply takes profit to extend runway. In a previous crypto.news story, Ripple’s Brad Garlinghouse argued that stablecoins and DeFi rails are becoming a primary “business entry point” for crypto, underscoring why Ethereum-native funding operations resonate far beyond the foundation’s own balance sheet. Another crypto.news story highlighted how 90% of financial institutions already use stablecoins in some form, and a third story on cross-border payments detailed how incumbents such as SWIFT are testing tokenized settlement, putting Ethereum-based infrastructure at the center of the next phase of global payments.

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