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U.S. Treasury may boost T-Bill issuance as stablecoins eye $2 trillion market cap: StanChart

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U.S. Treasury may boost T-Bill issuance as stablecoins eye $2 trillion market cap: StanChart

Standard Chartered still expects the stablecoin market to reach $2 trillion by the end of 2028, which should translate into around $1 trillion in new Treasury bill demand, the bank said in a Monday report.

As of early 2026, the total stablecoin market capitalization is roughly $300-$320 billion.

“This will result in c. $0.8-$1.0 trillion of fresh demand for T-bills (for use as reserves) from stablecoin issuers over that period,” wrote Geoff Kendrick, head of digital asset research, and U.S. rates strategist John Davies.

Combined with $1-$1.2 trillion in projected Federal Reserve buying, total new T-bill demand could hit about $2.2 trillion through 2028, the report said. That compares with roughly $1.3 trillion in net new supply if bills’ share of total debt remains unchanged, implying a potential shortfall of $0.9 trillion.

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Stablecoin issuers such as Tether and Circle (CRCL) have become major buyers of short-term U.S. government debt, holding tens of billions of dollars in Treasury bills as reserves backing tokens such as USDT and USDC.

Tether alone has disclosed T-bill holdings that rival those of mid-sized sovereign investors, while Circle also keeps a significant share of its reserves in short-dated Treasuries via money market funds.

As the stablecoin market grows, issuers typically park new inflows into T-bills to earn yield while maintaining liquidity, effectively channeling crypto-driven capital into U.S. government financing and reinforcing demand at the front end of the yield curve.

The Treasury said in its February 4 Quarterly Refunding Announcement (QRA) that it “is monitoring SOMA purchases of Treasury bills and growing demand for Treasury bills from the private sector,” a trend Standard Chartered expects to intensify.

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The analysts said the projected excess demand gives Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent scope to lift T-bills’ share of issuance. Raising that share by 2.5 percentage points over three years would create about $0.9 trillion in additional bill supply, offsetting the gap.

Reallocating that amount from longer-dated bonds could effectively suspend 30-year auctions for three years and ease upward pressure on long-term yields, according to the report.

While not its base case, the bank expects the 10-year yield to reach 4.6% by end-2026, as the analysts warned of rising risks of front-end scarcity.

Stablecoin growth has recently stalled just above $300 billion, up from $238 billion in April 2025, as crypto prices weakened and post-GENIUS Act issuance slowed. Bitcoin has fallen more than 50% from its $126,000 October 2025 peak, dampening trading-driven demand. Standard Chartered views these headwinds as cyclical and maintains that stablecoins could add nearly $1 trillion in incremental T-bill demand by 2028, reshaping U.S. rate markets.

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Read more: Standard Chartered sees bitcoin sliding to $50,000, ether to $1,400 before recovery

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XRP Crypto Falls to $1.31 After Failed Breakout as Liquidity Dries Up

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XRP Crypto slipped to $1.31 after a hard rejection at $1.35 left traders with little to show from a breakout attempt that briefly looked credible.

The 2% drop is secondary – what matters is the combination of that ceiling rejection and visibly thinning order book depth, a setup that historically precedes sharper directional moves.

The failed push came off a March 31 high of $1.37, with XRP unable to clear $1.40 resistance and grinding lower through a $1.28–$1.33 range ever since.

That recent run toward $1.35 now looks like a distribution zone rather than a launchpad, and the market cap sits at $80.6 billion with 24-hour volume at just $2.01 billion – reduced participation that confirms the liquidity problem is real. The chart now forces a binary question: does $1.28 hold, or does the next support at $1.15 come into play faster than bulls expect?

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XRP Crypto, Reclaim $1.35 or Retreat to $1.15?

XRP Crypto is trading below both its 50-day EMA ($1.38) and 200-day EMA ($1.88), with price pinned inside a descending channel on the 4-hour chart where both the 50-SMA and 200-SMA act as overhead ceiling.

Daily RSI reads 38 – weak momentum, but not yet in oversold territory, which means there’s no technical floor from that indicator alone. MACD is negative and expanding downward, removing any near-term momentum argument.

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Key resistances sit at $1.3500; load-bearing supports are $1.3000 and $1.2698. The $1.28 level has held since February, aligning with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement – below it, holder support thins materially until $1.15.

Source: TradingView

The bull case requires a clean reclaim of $1.35 on volume – not a wick, a close – followed by a hold above the 50-day EMA at $1.38.

That sequence opens $1.45 and, with a catalyst, $1.60 tied to regulatory progress on the CLARITY Act, which carries a 63% probability of passing in 2026 per current prediction markets. Long-term analysts maintain structurally bullish frameworks, but those scenarios require macro conditions – FOMC dovishness, easing geopolitical tensions – that aren’t present right now.

The bear case activates on a confirmed daily close below $1.28. Analysts are flagging $1.15 as the next meaningful support, with more aggressive targets at $0.80 contingent on oil above $100 and Fed rate holds through Q2.

The uncomfortable reality is that XRP is down nearly 30% year-to-date and 64% from its $3.65 all-time high, and every bounce has been sold. The single most important level: $1.28. Hold it and the range stays intact; lose it and $1.15 becomes the next anchor.

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The post XRP Crypto Falls to $1.31 After Failed Breakout as Liquidity Dries Up appeared first on Cryptonews.

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South Korea Tightens Crypto Rules with 5-minute Asset Verification Mandate

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South Korea Tightens Crypto Rules with 5-minute Asset Verification Mandate

South Korea has ordered all crypto exchanges to reconcile their internal ledgers with actual asset holdings every five minutes after an inspection uncovered weaknesses in internal controls.

The directive was announced on Monday by the Financial Services Commission (FSC) after a meeting with top crypto exchanges and the Digital Asset Exchange Alliance (DAXA), during which they discussed the findings of an emergency inspection triggered by the Bithumb payout incident.

The inspection found that three of the country’s five major exchanges were reconciling balances only once every 24 hours, limiting their ability to respond quickly to discrepancies. Systems designed to halt trading during major mismatches were also found to be insufficient, raising concerns about how exchanges would handle large-scale errors.

In February, Bithumb mistakenly distributed 620,000 Bitcoin (BTC) to 249 users during a promotional event. The exchange later announced that it recovered 99.7% of the funds the same day. The remaining 0.3%, 1,788 BTC that had already been sold, was covered using company reserves.

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Related: Bithumb seeks to reappoint CEO despite recent controversies: Report

South Korea mandates five-minute asset checks

Under the new measures, exchanges must implement automated ledger-to-wallet reconciliation systems operating on a five-minute cycle. They will also be required to introduce defined criteria for triggering automatic transaction halts in the event of significant discrepancies.

Beyond reconciliation, regulators are pushing for sweeping changes to internal operations. High-risk processes like promotional payouts will require stronger oversight, including third-party cross-checks and multi-level approval systems. Exchanges will also need to separate high-risk accounts and implement automated verification tools for payments.

Top Korean crypto exchanges. Source: CoinGecko

Furthermore, external audits will shift from quarterly to monthly, while disclosures will expand to include detailed asset balances by wallet and ledger.

“The financial authorities and the DAXA plan to complete the rule changes needed to implement the improvement measures within April this year,” the FSC wrote.

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Related: South Korean brokerage Korea Investment & Securities eyes Coinone stake: Report

Bithumb delays IPO to post-2028

Last week, Bithumb announced it is now targeting an IPO after 2028, marking another delay from its earlier 2025 plans as it works through restructuring and regulatory pressure. The exchange said it will focus on strengthening accounting policies and internal controls through 2027, following an advisory agreement with Samjong KPMG.

Meanwhile, Naver Financial has also delayed its planned share swap with Dunamu by about three months, now targeting a shareholder vote on Aug. 18 and completion by Sept. 30.

Magazine: South Korea gets rich from crypto… North Korea gets weapons

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