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USD/JPY and USD/CAD Near Key Levels Ahead of Central Bank Meetings

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USD/JPY and USD/CAD Near Key Levels Ahead of Central Bank Meetings

The US dollar is trading mixed against its major counterparts following a sustained rally last week. The market is now entering a phase of moderate correction, as investors adopt a wait-and-see approach ahead of key macroeconomic releases and central bank decisions that could determine the next direction in the FX market.

Market participants are focused on the upcoming Federal Reserve decision, updated FOMC economic projections, and the Bank of Canada meeting. Additional influence is coming from US inflation and producer price data, as well as statistics on industrial orders and commodity markets.

Geopolitical tensions remain another source of uncertainty, continuing to impact commodity markets and demand for safe-haven assets. Reports of renewed escalation in the Middle East and risks to energy supply routes are increasing volatility in the oil market, which in turn directly affects the Canadian dollar.

USD/JPY

The USD/JPY pair, after an extended rally, has approached key resistance levels and shifted into a corrective decline. The downside move remains limited so far and is largely driven by profit-taking ahead of major fundamental events.

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Technical analysis suggests the potential for a deeper pullback if the price firmly settles below 158.70. However, a break above the recent high at 159.70 would signal a possible continuation of the primary upward trend.

Key events for USD/JPY:

  • Today at 14:30 (GMT+2): US Producer Price Index (PPI);
  • Today at 20:00 (GMT+2): Federal Reserve interest rate decision;
  • Today at 20:30 (GMT+2): FOMC press conference.

USD/CAD

The USD/CAD pair has reached the upper boundary of the medium-term range at 1.3530–1.3750. Buyers have so far failed to hold above this level and extend the upward move, resulting in a pullback below 1.3700.

If US dollar-positive news emerges, a break above 1.3730 could open the way for further gains towards 1.3800–1.3820. Conversely, a rejection from current levels may lead to a retest of key support in the 1.3620–1.3650 zone.

Key events for USD/CAD:

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  • Today at 15:45 (GMT+2): Bank of Canada interest rate decision;
  • Today at 16:30 (GMT+2): US crude oil inventories;
  • Today at 16:30 (GMT+2): Bank of Canada press conference.

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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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Crypto World

Bittensor (TAO) Crypto Surges 46% as Covenant-72B Launch Triggers Subnet Explosion

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Bittensor (TAO) crypto just surged 46% in March. Trading near $277.

The network successfully deployed its Covenant-72B model on Subnet 3. That is not a roadmap promise. It is a live heavy-compute model running on-chain.

The market responded immediately. The subnet-native τemplar token pumped nearly 200% in under a week.

TAO is no longer just a governance play. Actual utility demand is driving this move.

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Key Takeaways:

  • TAO posts 46% monthly gain driven by Covenant-72B model deployment.
  • Subnet 3 activity explodes, pushing the τemplar token up 194% in days.
  • Institutional inflow accelerates ahead of potential Grayscale ETF approval.

Covenant-72B: Why This Release Moved the Market

Covenant-72B is a 72 billion parameter large language model. A significant jump from the lighter models Bittensor has run previously. It means the network can now handle enterprise-grade compute loads.

That scale directly impacts validator staking. Running a model this size requires higher quality miner inputs and more TAO staked to secure the bandwidth. Demand for compute on Subnet 3 created direct demand for the collateral backing it. The pricing mechanism worked exactly as designed.

The biggest winner was not TAO itself. It was τemplar, the Subnet 3 native token, which rallied 194% following the deployment. That is the ecosystem feedback loop in action. High-performance subnets attract speculative capital, which deepens liquidity for the miners running there.

Volume backs the move. TAO’s volume-to-market-cap ratio is sitting between 17% and 19%, with over $254 million traded in 24 hours. That is not a thin order book pump. That is real participation.

When subnet tokens outperform the parent chain like this, it typically signals the start of an application layer season for the protocol. That is the next phase traders are positioning for.

TAO Crypto Price Analysis: Can Bulls Breach $300?

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TAO is consolidating at $277.49, just below the $300 psychological level. Structure stays bullish as long as $250 holds.

The 46% impulse already flushed weak hands. OI is building. Traders are positioning for a breakout.

Bittensor (TAO)
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Bull case: daily close above $300 opens $350. Grayscale ETF filing provides the fundamental narrative. Volume needs to stay above $250 million daily to keep the momentum alive.

Bear case: rejection at $300 retests $240. If the broader altcoin recovery stalls, TAO could chop sideways for weeks. Watch $265 closely. Lose that level and the immediate breakout setup is invalidated.

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The post Bittensor (TAO) Crypto Surges 46% as Covenant-72B Launch Triggers Subnet Explosion appeared first on Cryptonews.

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Bitcoin ETFs on Track to Turn Positive YTD as XRP Rebounds

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Bitcoin ETFs on Track to Turn Positive YTD as XRP Rebounds

US spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) extended their inflow streak to seven consecutive days, marking the longest run since October 2025.

Spot Bitcoin (BTC) ETFs added $199.4 million on Monday, bringing their seven-day streak to around $1.2 billion, according to data from SoSoValue. The latest inflows suggest continued institutional interest, though total inflows remain far below the roughly $6 billion seen during the October 2025 run.

Total trading volumes fell to $2.6 billion on Monday, while total assets under management in Bitcoin ETFs climbed to $96.7 billion. Net year-to-date flows remain negative, following $1.8 billion in cumulative monthly outflows and $1.7 billion in cumulative inflows.

The ETF rebound has coincided with broader strength in crypto investment products, which drew about $2.7 billion over three straight weeks, lifting year-to-date inflows to roughly $1.2 billion, according to CoinShares.

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Daily spot Bitcoin ETF inflows from March 9–March 17, 2026, versus Sept. 29–Oct. 9, 2025. Source: SoSoValue

XRP funds post first gains after eight-day losing streak

Spot altcoin ETFs also saw a broad uptick, led by Ether (ETH) with $138.3 million in inflows, the largest since March 4. Solana (SOL) followed the trend with $17.8 million in inflows, also the biggest since March 4.

XRP (XRP) stood out with $4.64 million inflows, the first gains since March 4. The ETFs saw $56.8 million outflows in the period from March 5-16.

Daily XRP ETF flows from March 4–March 17, 2026. Source: SoSoValue

Despite $33.5 million in outflows so far in March, XRP ETFs remain in the green year-to-date, supported by $73.7 million in inflows during January and February.

Solana leads all crypto ETFs year-to-date with $223 million in net inflows.

Related: Bernstein says Bitcoin rebound reflects more resilient long-term holder base

In contrast, Ether ETFs remain underwater, with $364.5 million in year-to-date outflows, following $358.5 million in inflows in March and $723 million in outflows during the first two months of the year.

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Magazine: Spot Bitcoin ETFs first green week, crypto ATM losses surge 33%: Hodler’s Digest, Mar. 8 – 14