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Why IBM Shares Plunged by More Than 13%

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Why IBM Shares Plunged by More Than 13%

Yesterday, shares in IBM Corporation opened above $254 but closed below $224. By some estimates, this marked the company’s largest single-day decline in the past 25 years. Since the start of February, the stock has fallen by roughly 27%, its worst monthly performance since 1968.

Why Did IBM’s Share Price Drop?

The main trigger was an announcement by Anthropic about the launch of a new AI tool, Claude Code, designed to modernise legacy COBOL code.

This is particularly significant for IBM, as much of “Big Blue’s” business is tied to mainframes processing transactions for banks and government institutions in COBOL. Traditionally, upgrading such systems required “armies of consultants” and multi-billion-dollar budgets.

The new AI solution promises to automate this process, making it faster and more cost-effective. This not only poses a direct threat to IBM’s services and support revenues, but also reignites concerns that AI could reshape the entire technology sector, rendering established business models less sustainable.

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Technical Analysis of IBM Shares

Throughout 2025, IBM stock traded within an ascending channel, but the psychological $300 level proved to be strong resistance. The price attempted to secure a foothold above it for several months, without success. The earnings release on 28 January turned into a bull trap and marked the beginning of an extraordinary sell-off, accompanied by rising volume on bearish candles — a sign of market weakness.

At the same time, several major analysts (including those at Goldman Sachs and Jefferies) have maintained or reiterated their “Buy” ratings. Their optimism is based on the view that panic surrounding Anthropic’s tool may be overstated, while IBM’s financial fundamentals remain solid.

Although the sharp downward momentum may continue in the near term, a support zone could emerge where several technical levels converge:

→ the psychological $200 mark;
→ the 2025 low around $215;
→ the lower boundary of an increasingly clear channel (shown in red).

Buy and sell stocks of the world’s biggest publicly-listed companies with CFDs on FXOpen’s trading platform. Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading share CFDs with FXOpen.

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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.

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Crypto World

Will BTC Drop Below $70K Again?

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Will BTC Drop Below $70K Again?

Strategy paused its Bitcoin (BTC) accumulation via STRC preferred stock after failing to raise fresh capital since Friday, marking a notable shift after two aggressive weeks of buying.

Strategy’s STRC dashboard ft. at-the-market sales. Source: STRC.LIVE

Key takeaways:

  • STRC has dipped below its $100 par value, forcing Strategy to halt its Bitcoin buying spree.

  • Previous STRC dips below $100 have coincided with declines in BTC prices.

STRC drops below $100 par value

The pause coincided with STRC trading below its $100 par value, a key threshold for Strategy’s at-the-market (ATM) issuance model.

STRC share price performance. Source: BitcoinQuant.CO

STRC is a yield-focused preferred stock, which income investors buy for monthly dividends.

Strategy typically issues new shares only when STRC trades at or above par to raise capital efficiently. When the price falls below $100, the company must offer better terms or sell at a discount, making issuance unattractive.

As a result, the funding channel shuts off, stalling STRC-backed BTC buys, which appears to be the case since Friday.

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Before the pause, Strategy was in heavy accumulation mode, buying 22,337 BTC in the week ending March 15, partly funded by about $1.18 billion in STRC-linked sales.

STRC ATM analysis. Source: BitcoinQuant.CO

The week before, it bought another 17,994 BTC, with roughly $377 million coming from STRC proceeds.

In total, Strategy added over 40,000 BTC in two weeks, with STRC serving as a key funding source. That’s roughly six times the total Bitcoin mined over the same two-week period.

STRC fractals hint at BTC dipping below $70,000

Historically, pauses in Strategy’s STRC-driven Bitcoin accumulation aligned with short-term BTC pullbacks.

For instance, after STRC slipped below its $100 par value in January, Bitcoin fell nearly 40% over the next three weeks.

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BTC/USD vs. STRC daily performance chart. Source: TradingView

A similar setup in November 2025 preceded a BTC price decline of around 25%, suggesting that the latest STRC move below $100 could again raise the risk of a near-term BTC price pullback.

Related: Bitcoin’s ‘powerful move’ nears as Bollinger Bands warn of volatility

The chances of a drop are high as Bitcoin pulls back after testing $76,000, a level coinciding with the upper boundary of its prevailing bear flag pattern.

BTC/USD daily chart. Source: TradingView

BTC could slide toward the $66,000–$68,000 area, which aligns with the pattern’s lower trendline support, if the correction persists this week.

A bear flag breakdown, on the other hand, risks sending the Bitcoin price to as low as $51,000.