Crypto World
Will Robinhood Chain flip Solana? The math says no
Robinhood Chain launched, filled with memecoins, briefly ranked third among DEXs, and the “Solana killer” talk started immediately. Then you look at the actual numbers. Solana has 27 times the value locked and 2 million more users. This is not a flippening. It is a fair fight over the wrong metric.
Summary
- Robinhood Chain launched July 1 and drew roughly $185 million in value locked and over $3 billion in first-week DEX volume, briefly ranking among the top DEXs by volume and prompting Solana comparisons.
- Solana dwarfs it on every durable metric: around $4.93 billion in value locked, $1.91 billion in daily DEX volume, more than 2 million active addresses, and roughly $3 million in daily app revenue.
- The gap on value locked is about 27 to 1. On active users, it is larger. Volume alone, the one metric where Robinhood looked competitive, is the least durable measure and is inflated by a memecoin frenzy and a gas subsidy.
- The real bull case for Robinhood is not flipping Solana on-chain. It is distribution: roughly 28 million existing customers and a decade of retail brand equity that no crypto-native chain can match.
- The honest verdict is that Robinhood will not flip Solana on DeFi metrics any time soon, but the two are not actually competing for the same thing, which makes the flippening question the wrong one.
Within days of Robinhood Chain going live, the comparison wrote itself. A memecoin frenzy sent the chain’s DEX volume past $3 billion in a week; it briefly cracked the top three networks by daily DEX volume, and crypto Twitter did what crypto Twitter does: it declared a Solana killer.
The parallel was tidy. Solana also grew through a memecoin boom, so surely Robinhood was running the same playbook toward the same destination. Then you pull the actual data, and the tidy story falls apart. Solana has roughly 27 times Robinhood Chain’s value locked and millions more users.
The one metric where Robinhood looked competitive, raw volume, is the flimsiest number on the board. This piece is about whether Robinhood Chain can flip Solana, and the short answer is no, not close, and the more interesting answer is that flipping Solana was never the right frame.
The scoreboard
Start with the numbers, because the numbers settle most of the argument before it starts.
Solana, as of mid-July 2026, carries around $4.93 billion in total value locked, does roughly $1.91 billion in daily DEX volume, has more than 2 million active addresses, and generates about $3 million in daily application revenue. These are the metrics of a mature, heavily used layer-1 with a deep DeFi ecosystem, years of accumulated liquidity, and a large, sticky user base.
Robinhood Chain, roughly 2 weeks after launch, sits at around $185 million in value locked, having posted more than $3 billion in DEX volume across its first week. Depending on the day and the source, its TVL has been quoted between $185 million and $312 million, with the higher figure heavy on stablecoin deposits. Active addresses are counted in the hundreds of thousands cumulatively, not the millions active.
Line the durable metrics up, and the gap is stark. On value locked, Solana leads by a factor of roughly 27 to one against the lower Robinhood figure, and still around 16 to 1 against the higher one. On active users, the gap is larger still. On application revenue, Solana’s ecosystem earns real fees across a diverse set of protocols; Robinhood Chain’s revenue is concentrated in memecoin trading and inflated by incentives. There is exactly one metric where Robinhood looked competitive in its first fortnight, and that is raw DEX volume, where a memecoin frenzy briefly pushed it into the same conversation as networks many times its size.
That single metric is doing all the work in the flippening narrative, and it is the metric that deserves the least trust.
Why volume is the wrong number
Volume is seductive because it is large and it moves fast, and it is misleading for the same reasons.
Robinhood Chain’s $3 billion first week was overwhelmingly memecoin trading. CASHCAT alone generated roughly $98 million in a single day, about 17% of the chain’s entire DEX volume, and the broader wave of Robinhood-themed tokens, Cash Dog in Hood, Little John, Hoodrat, drove most of the rest.
Memecoin volume is the most transient category of on-chain activity there is. It arrives with attention and leaves with it, and it leaves no infrastructure behind. A chain doing $3 billion in memecoin volume this week can do a fraction of that next month, as the 33% single-day CASHCAT drop after its launchpad exited already showed.
Then there is the subsidy. Robinhood Chain ran a 90-day gas fee subsidy from launch, which makes transactions artificially cheap and inflates transaction counts and, indirectly, trading activity. Any volume comparison during the subsidy window is measuring a promotion as much as organic demand. The honest read of that number will only be available once the subsidy expires and users start paying real costs.
Value locked, by contrast, is sticky. It represents capital that has chosen to reside on the chain, in lending protocols, liquidity pools, and asset-management strategies, and it does not evaporate with a memecoin’s attention cycle. Solana’s ~$4.93 billion in TVL is the accumulated result of years of protocols, integrations, and users committing capital. Robinhood’s ~$185 million is a 2-week-old figure heavily weighted toward stablecoin deposits and speculative liquidity. TVL is the metric that predicts whether a chain is durable. Volume is the metric that predicts whether it is currently trending. They are not the same, and the flippening narrative relies entirely on the second.
The bull case for Robinhood
The strong case for Robinhood Chain does not run through on-chain metrics at all, and the people making the flippening argument are looking in the wrong place because the actual advantage is off-chain.
Robinhood has roughly 28 million customers across 38 countries and more than a decade as one of the largest retail investment platforms in the United States. That is a distribution asset no crypto-native chain possesses. Solana had to acquire its users one at a time through the slow, expensive work of crypto adoption.
Robinhood already has tens of millions of funded accounts belonging to people comfortable trading both stocks and crypto, and it can put its chain in front of them inside an app they already use. If even a modest fraction of that base becomes active on-chain, the user numbers change quickly. Brand equity and distribution are exactly what earlier tokenization projects lacked, and Robinhood has both in abundance.
The memecoin-as-ignition argument also has real historical support. Solana itself grew through a memecoin cycle: BONK, WIF, and the Pump.fun era, before it produced serious infrastructure and institutional adoption. Base followed a similar arc. Speculative trading bootstraps the liquidity, the market makers, the tooling, and the attention that serious applications later need. In this reading, Robinhood Chain’s memecoin phase is not a failure to attract real activity; it is the normal first stage, and judging a 2-week-old chain by its TVL is like judging Solana by its 2021 numbers.
And Robinhood is playing a different game entirely. Its chain is built for tokenized stocks and real-world assets, a category Solana is also chasing but where Robinhood brings brokerage licenses, custody relationships, and regulatory infrastructure that a crypto-native chain has to build from scratch. If the RWA thesis plays out, Robinhood competes on ground where its traditional-finance credentials are an advantage, not on the DeFi metrics where Solana is years ahead. The flippening question assumes the two chains want to be the same thing. They may not.
The bear case for Robinhood
The skeptical case is that Robinhood Chain has attracted exactly the kind of activity that does not convert, and that the gap to Solana is not a head start Robinhood can close but a structural difference it may never close.
The mercenary-liquidity problem is the core of it. Memecoin traders are loyal to activity, not to chains. They arrived on Robinhood Chain because that is where the new-launch action was, and they will leave for the next chain offering quicker profits without a second thought. The Noxa launchpad that powered the entire boom generated roughly $12 million in fees and then stopped accepting launches and went dark within 11 days of the chain’s launch. That is not the behavior of infrastructure settling in; it is the behavior of an extraction cycle moving through. When the memecoin attention leaves, the question is what remains, and right now what remains is roughly $12.8 million in actual tokenized real-world assets, the thing the chain was built for.
The convert-the-traffic problem compounds it. Robinhood’s 28 million customers are a distribution asset only if they can be moved on-chain, and there is no evidence yet that memecoin degens and Robinhood’s retail stock traders are the same people or that 1 becomes the other. The chain’s current users may have almost no overlap with the tokenized-asset investors Robinhood hopes to serve. Distribution is potential, not conversion, and the conversion has not been proven.
Then there is the structural point that on-chain metrics are not a race Robinhood is quietly winning. Solana continues to outperform Robinhood Chain across essentially every DeFi metric despite the new chain’s loud debut, and Solana is not standing still. It has its own institutional momentum, its own tokenized-asset push, its own SBI partnership for on-chain financial markets in Japan. Robinhood is not catching a stationary target. It is entering, 2 weeks old, a competition against a network with a multi-year head start that is itself accelerating. Closing a 27-to-1 TVL gap against a moving, growing competitor is a different proposition than the volume charts suggest.
The Base comparison nobody makes
The flippening debate fixates on Solana, but the more instructive comparison is Coinbase’s Base, because Base is the closest thing to a control group for exactly what Robinhood is attempting, and it complicates both the bull and bear cases.
Base launched in 2023 as a corporate-backed Ethereum layer 2, built by a licensed, publicly traded American financial company with a large existing user base, aimed at bringing mainstream users on-chain. That is Robinhood Chain’s template almost exactly. And Base’s early growth, like Robinhood’s, ran heavily through memecoins before it developed into a more diversified ecosystem. So Base is the case study for whether a corporate chain can convert a speculative launch into durable activity, and the answer it offers is genuinely mixed.
On the bull side, Base did convert. It built real DeFi, real stablecoin activity, and real applications on top of the initial speculation, and it became one of the larger L2s by several measures. Coinbase’s distribution, tens of millions of users, mattered, and the memecoin phase did function as ignition rather than as the whole story. That is the precedent Robinhood is betting on, and it is a real one: a corporate chain did turn a speculative launch into something lasting.
On the bear side, Base did not flip Solana either, and it had a 2-year head start on Robinhood plus a parent company that was crypto-native from birth. If Base, with Coinbase’s crypto-specific expertise and a longer runway, sits alongside Solana instead of above it, the idea that Robinhood Chain will vault past Solana looks even less plausible. And Base has its own value-capture questions as an Ethereum L2, the same ones that apply to Robinhood Chain, where the base layer captures little of the economics. Base shows the corporate-chain model can work; it also shows that working means becoming a significant chain, not dethroning the incumbent. That is the realistic ceiling for Robinhood Chain too: not flipping Solana, but earning a durable place alongside it, and only if it converts the way Base did rather than fading the way most launch-frenzies do.
What a flippening would actually require
The word “flippening” gets thrown around loosely, so it is worth being precise about what would have to happen for Robinhood Chain to actually surpass Solana, because the specifics show why the headline math is not close.
Flipping Solana is not one event; it is a set of them across separate metrics, and they do not move together. On total value locked, Solana holds roughly $4.93 billion against Robinhood Chain’s ~$185 million, a gap of about 27 times. Closing that does not mean matching Solana’s memecoin volume for a week. It means persuading serious capital, lending markets, stablecoin issuers, restaking protocols, and asset managers to park billions on a corporate L2, which is a trust-and-time problem that speculative volume does nothing to solve. TVL is sticky precisely because it represents commitment, and commitment is the thing a memecoin wave cannot manufacture.
On active addresses, Solana runs above 2 million against a far smaller base on Robinhood Chain, and the composition matters more than the count. Solana’s addresses span DeFi users, NFT traders, payment apps, and memecoin degens across a mature ecosystem. Robinhood Chain’s early activity is concentrated in memecoin speculation and a gas subsidy that inflates the raw transaction figure. An address trading CASHCAT once is not equivalent to an address running a lending position, a payment flow, and a staking allocation. The headline number can converge while the underlying engagement stays a chasm apart.
On application revenue, Solana generates around $3 million daily from a diversified base of protocols. Robinhood Chain’s revenue is thin and skewed toward the launchpad-and-memecoin complex that already showed it can evaporate in days when Noxa went dark. Sustainable app revenue requires applications people use for reasons other than speculation, and building that catalog is measured in years of developer adoption, not weeks of viral trading.
Then there is the structural ceiling nobody in the flippening conversation mentions: Robinhood Chain excludes US persons from its flagship products. Stock Tokens are barred to Americans, wallet perpetuals are barred to Americans, and the chain’s entire regulated-RWA thesis is aimed at a user base that cannot legally touch its marquee offerings from Robinhood’s home market. Solana has no such wall. A chain competing for global L1 dominance with its largest potential market fenced off from its best products is running the race with a weight the incumbent does not carry.
Put those together, and the flippening is not a single line for Robinhood Chain to cross. It is four separate lines, on four metrics that move at different speeds for different reasons, at least one of which is capped by regulation. Memecoin volume, the one number Robinhood Chain can actually post, is the least sticky and least predictive of the set. That is why the honest answer to the headline is not “not yet.” It is “not close, and the gap is wider than the volume charts make it look.”
The verdict
So will Robinhood Chain flip Solana? On the metrics that matter, no, and not close, and not soon.
The value-locked gap is roughly 27 to 1. The user gap is larger. The revenue gap is structural. The only metric where Robinhood was competitive is raw volume, which is the least durable measure available, is dominated by transient memecoin trading, and is inflated by a temporary gas subsidy. A chain does not flip a mature layer-1 by winning the one number that evaporates when attention moves on. Every durable indicator points to Solana remaining well ahead for the foreseeable future.
But the question contains a flawed assumption, and that is the more useful thing to say. “Flip Solana” treats the two chains as competitors for the same prize, and they may not be. Solana is a general-purpose, crypto-native layer-1 with a deep DeFi ecosystem built by and for crypto users. Robinhood Chain is a corporate settlement layer built by a licensed brokerage to bring tokenized stocks and real-world assets to a retail base that already trades on Robinhood. Their overlap right now is memecoins, which is precisely the activity neither of them was built for and which will belong to whichever chain is currently paying attention. The lasting competition, if there is one, is over tokenized real-world assets, and that race has barely started.
The honest framing is this. Robinhood will not out-DeFi Solana; that is not a contest it is positioned to win and probably not one it is trying to win. What Robinhood can do is convert a slice of 28 million existing customers into on-chain users of tokenized-asset products, on rails where its brokerage credentials matter more than its DEX volume. If it does that, it does not need to flip Solana, because it will be winning a different game. If it does not, the memecoin volume fades, the chain settles back to its $12.8 million of real assets, and the flippening talk looks like what it probably is: a volume chart mistaken for a verdict. The number to watch is not DEX volume and not the gap to Solana. It is whether tokenized real-world assets on Robinhood Chain grow, and Robinhood’s July 29 earnings are the first real look.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Robinhood Chain bigger than Solana?
No, and the gap is large. As of mid-July 2026, Solana holds around $4.93 billion in total value locked against Robinhood Chain’s roughly $185 million, a gap of about 27 to 1. Solana also has more than 2 million active addresses and around $1.91 billion in daily DEX volume from a mature ecosystem. Robinhood Chain briefly matched Solana on raw DEX volume during a memecoin frenzy, but trails badly on every durable metric.
Why do people compare Robinhood Chain to Solana?
Because Robinhood Chain’s DEX volume surged past $3 billion in its first week, briefly ranking among the top networks, and because Solana famously grew through a memecoin cycle of its own before maturing. The parallel is that both bootstrapped with speculation. The comparison relies heavily on volume, which is the least durable metric and, for Robinhood, is inflated by memecoin trading and a temporary gas subsidy.
Could Robinhood Chain flip Solana eventually?
On DeFi metrics, it is unlikely any time soon, given a 27-to-1 value-locked gap against a competitor that is itself growing. Robinhood’s real advantage is off-chain: roughly 28 million existing customers and strong retail brand equity. If it converts a meaningful share of that base into on-chain users of tokenized-asset products, it could become large without ever matching Solana on DeFi, because it would be competing on different ground.
Why is DEX volume a misleading metric?
Because it is transient and easily inflated, Robinhood Chain’s volume was overwhelmingly memecoin trading, which arrives and leaves with attention and builds no lasting infrastructure. A 90-day gas subsidy also made transactions artificially cheap during the launch window. Value locked, which represents capital committed to the chain’s protocols, is a far better predictor of durability, and on that measure Solana leads decisively.
What is Robinhood Chain actually built for?
Tokenized stocks and real-world assets. It launched as an Ethereum layer 2 with Stock Tokens as the flagship product, targeting a retail base that already trades equities on Robinhood. Its competitive advantage is brokerage licenses, custody relationships, and regulatory infrastructure. The memecoin activity that drove its early volume is not the use case it was designed for, and only about $12.8 million in real-world assets currently sit on it.
What happened with CASHCAT and the memecoins?
CASHCAT, a token named after Robinhood’s original working name, surged to a roughly $156 million market cap and at one point generated about 17% of the chain’s daily DEX volume. It spawned a wave of Robinhood-themed tokens. The launchpad driving the boom, Noxa, earned around $12 million in fees, then went dark within 11 days, and CASHCAT fell more than 33% in a day, illustrating how quickly memecoin activity can leave.
Does Robinhood’s user base guarantee success?
No. Roughly 28 million customers is a distribution advantage, but distribution is potential, not conversion. There is no evidence yet that Robinhood’s retail stock traders will become active on-chain users, or that the memecoin traders currently driving activity overlap with the tokenized-asset investors the chain targets. Converting existing customers into on-chain users is the unproven step the entire strategy depends on.
When will we know if the strategy is working?
Watch the tokenized real-world asset figure on the chain, currently around $12.8 million, rather than DEX volume or the gap to Solana. If real assets grow substantially while memecoin activity fades, the traffic is converting, and the strategy is working. Robinhood’s second-quarter earnings on July 29 should offer the first real look at Stock Token adoption, and liquidity behavior after the gas subsidy expires will be the next test.
Disclaimer: This article is for information and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. It compares blockchain networks and company strategies, not the merits of any token. Memecoins are highly speculative, and most participants lose money. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy any asset or use any platform. Always do your own research. On-chain figures move quickly and are accurate as of July 17, 2026.
Crypto World
XRP Achieves a Milestone No Other Altcoin Has Ever Reached in Crypto History
XRP just secured a record no other altcoin can claim, staying inside crypto’s top 10 by market cap every single year since 2014.
The streak spans more than a decade, from bull runs to brutal bear markets to a landmark legal battle against regulators.
The Only Altcoin Besides Bitcoin in the Top 10
A top 10 ranking measures the ten largest cryptocurrencies by market cap, the total value of all coins in circulation. XRP is the only asset besides Bitcoin to hold that position continuously since 2014.
The CoinGecko study, which excluded 2013 due to sparse data, frames the achievement in stark terms. Back in 2014, XRP ranked eighth, with a market cap of nearly $32 million, just 0.3% of the top 10’s combined market cap.
The token reached second place in 2015, right behind Bitcoin. It later held third across 2017, 2018, and 2019 before stablecoins and Layer-1 tokens reshaped the ranking.
The list of casualties makes the run even more impressive. Early giants like Litecoin, Dash, NEM, Namecoin, and Peercoin once filled the top 10 but eventually faded from view.
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XRP, by contrast, refused to disappear entirely. It weathered every rotation of capital, narrative, and technology that pushed rivals out of the elite tier and into obscurity.
Ethereum offers a useful perspective on the feat. It has spent years in the top 10, yet its token only launched in 2015, leaving XRP alone alongside Bitcoin as a genuine 2014 survivor.
Why Does XRP’s Longevity Actually Matter
The resilience faced its harshest test between 2020 and 2023. The US Securities and Exchange Commission sued Ripple, the payments firm tied to XRP, triggering delistings across several major exchanges.
Even then, the token retained enough value to stay among the industry’s largest names. CoinGecko attributed that endurance to sustained institutional and cross-border payment demand across every market cycle.
The numbers show how far it has traveled since those early days. By 2025, XRP had reached fourth place with a market cap of nearly $127.9 billion, roughly 4.3% of the top tier.
Its trajectory mirrors both the explosive growth of crypto and its own ability to stay relevant as the industry matured around it year after year.
Legal commentator, Bill Morgan, called the record both a fact and an inconvenient truth for skeptics who still question XRP’s long-term relevance.
The achievement carries weight beyond bragging rights. Longevity signals durable demand, a quality that increasingly matters as institutions weigh which assets belong inside regulated financial products and long-term portfolios.
XRP currently trades near $1.10, holding its top-10 spot despite recent market volatility that briefly dragged the price to $1.05 before recovering.
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Crypto World
Circle president backs USDC as new rival pressures CRCL stock
Circle President Heath Tarbert has defended the company’s long-term strategy after Circle shares fell sharply from their post-IPO peak.
Summary
- Circle says USDC’s scale and network effects remain difficult for new stablecoin competitors to replicate.
- Open USD adds pressure as Circle shares trade far below their post-IPO peak near $260.
- Circle keeps expanding regulated infrastructure while investors question competition, margins, and future stablecoin revenue sharing.
Speaking in a July 14 interview with FOX Business, Tarbert said management remains focused on building financial infrastructure rather than reacting to short-term moves in the stock.
The interview came as Circle faced growing investor concern over competition in the stablecoin market. CRCL had traded near $260 after its public debut before falling toward the low $60 range. Tarbert said Circle is “playing the long game” and argued that successful execution would eventually support shareholder value.
Tarbert points to USDC network effects
Tarbert said Circle’s main focus remains building a full-stack internet financial platform around USDC and related infrastructure. He argued that the company’s position cannot be measured only through daily stock movements and said the stock should “take care of itself” if Circle delivers on its wider mission.
He also defended USDC against new competitors. Tarbert pointed to roughly $73 billion in circulation and native support across 34 blockchains, saying those network effects would be “incredibly hard to replicate.” Circle describes USDC as a regulated digital dollar used across trading, payments and settlement.
Open USD adds new pressure to Circle
The comments came after Open Standard launched Open USD, a planned stablecoin backed by more than 140 participating businesses. The group includes Visa, Mastercard, Stripe, BlackRock, BNY and Coinbase. Open Standard says partners can mint and redeem Open USD without fees and receive reserve earnings after a management charge.
As reported by crypto.news, Circle shares fell 17.5% to $62.63 after Open USD entered the market and CRCL left several Russell Growth indexes. The decline added to concerns about whether new stablecoin models could pressure Circle’s economics.
Wall Street has also raised questions about that competition. Crypto.news reported that Mizuho cut its Circle price target to $50, arguing that Open USD’s revenue-sharing structure could pressure margins and raise distribution costs.
Circle faces pressure over USDC economics
Circle’s challenge extends beyond new stablecoin issuers.JPMorgan lowered earnings forecasts for Circle and Coinbase after a new revenue-sharing agreement tied to USDC balances on Hyperliquid. The bank said stronger adoption could come with lower reserve income retained by the companies.
Tarbert pushed back on the idea that competitors can quickly reproduce USDC’s reach. He also described USDC as the largest regulated stablecoin and said it leads in actual transaction volume, presenting scale and existing distribution as key parts of Circle’s competitive position.
Circle keeps expanding regulated infrastructure
Circle has continued adding regulated infrastructure despite the stock decline. On July 10, the company received final OCC approval to establish Circle National Trust. The trust bank will initially provide digital asset custody, with USDC reserve management planned as a possible future service.
As reported by crypto.news, the approval places the new entity under direct federal supervision. Circle says the structure could support wider institutional use of its digital asset infrastructure.
Tarbert’s comments frame the stock decline against a wider contest for stablecoin distribution and reserve income. Open USD brings a large group of payment and financial companies into the market, while Circle continues betting that USDC’s existing network and regulated infrastructure will support its long-term position.
Crypto World
XRP Price Prediction: Can XRP Hold $1 Next Week?
XRP price prediction remains in focus as it trades between $1.08 and $1.10. The chart still gives bulls little to celebrate. Price remains below the 50, 100, and 200-day EMAs between $1.15 and $1.16, $1.24 and $1.25, and $1.45 and $1.46. That leaves the $1.00 to $1.02 zone as the key support that traders keep watching.
The latest inflation data briefly lifted risk appetite across financial markets. However, XRP barely flinched. While stocks welcomed the softer backdrop, XRP continued to drift as traders stayed on the sidelines. Sometimes the market hears good news and simply shrugs.
Open interest in perpetual futures has continued to fade, reflecting weaker speculative demand. ETF inflows have also slowed, while assets under management remain below $900 million to $1 billion. Retail participation has yet to return in meaningful numbers, leaving momentum without much fuel.

Even so, momentum remains neutral rather than outright bearish. The daily RSI sits between 44 and 46, suggesting neither buyers nor sellers have full control. That shifts the focus away from breakout dreams. Instead, traders are asking whether XRP can defend the psychologically important $1.00 to $1.02 area before sellers push for another leg lower.
Now, can XRP push higher next week?
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XRP Price Prediction: Hold $1.00 Support This Week?
XRP is trading between $1.08 and $1.10, while 24-hour volume sits between $1.0 billion and $1.1 billion. Activity remains healthy, but volume still lacks the punch that usually confirms a trend. Meanwhile, the failed defense of the $1.10 to $1.11 zone remains the technical headline. That area briefly acted as support, but losing it puts buyers back on the spot.
The EMA stack still leans against a quick recovery. The 20, 50, and 200-day EMAs continue capping upside attempts. As a result, every bounce runs into overhead supply almost immediately. Sellers are not running away with the market, but they are still calling the tune.
The bullish path remains straightforward. Buyers need to defend the $1.08 to $1.10 range and reclaim $1.15 to $1.17 with convincing volume. Fresh optimism around regulation could also help, although the price still needs to prove it. Hope is cheap, but breakouts usually demand cash.
The base case is still a sideways grind between $1.08 and $1.16. However, if $1.10 to $1.11 turns into firm resistance again, attention shifts toward $1.02 to $1.04. A break there would put the $0.99 to $1.00 area back in focus, where traders often become far more emotional than technical.
The RSI around 51 to 53 reflects neutral momentum rather than a decisive edge for either side. In that environment, patience often beats prediction. Longer-term models still lean constructive, yet short-term traders are likely watching whether the $1.00 mark survives before dreaming about the next rally.
Discover: The Best Token Presales
Bitcoin Hyper Targets Early Mover Upside as XRP Tests Key Levels
When a large-cap asset like XRP is grinding below every meaningful moving average with weakening institutional flows, the risk-adjusted case for holding it starts to compete with the opportunity cost of sitting in something earlier in its curve. That’s the rotation trade some active traders are running right now. They are not abandoning crypto, but moving capital where asymmetry is higher.
Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is currently in presale at $0.0136832, having raised $32.9 million to date. The project’s core pitch is infrastructure, not hype: it’s positioning as the first Bitcoin Layer 2 with Solana Virtual Machine (SVM) integration, with sub-Solana latency on a chain secured by Bitcoin’s trust model.
The presale includes staking with a high APY, and the feature set covers a decentralized canonical bridge for BTC transfers alongside low-cost smart contract execution.
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Crypto World
ETA CEO Eyes New Partnerships as Bitcoin Startups Expand
The Electronic Transactions Association (ETA) is signaling that Bitcoin may become a more visible part of mainstream payments conversations—at least within the group’s broader push to engage with emerging transaction technologies. ETA CEO Jason Oxman told CoinDesk that the organization is not lobbying for or against Bitcoin, but he suggested that ETA members are beginning to recognize its potential disruption in the payments stack.
The message comes as the ETA expands its membership base to include BitPay. On August 6, the trade group announced that BitPay—the Bitcoin payments provider—had become the first virtual currency company to join the ETA, framing the move as part of the industry’s ongoing innovation agenda.
Key takeaways
- The ETA’s Jason Oxman said the group does not take an official pro- or anti-Bitcoin stance and supports electronic transactions broadly, including non-Bitcoin technologies.
- BitPay’s entry as the ETA’s first virtual currency member is being presented by Oxman as evidence the trade group “won’t turn a blind eye to innovation.”
- Oxman pointed to education efforts around Bitcoin—specifically referencing the role of the Bitcoin Foundation—in shaping ETA members’ attitudes.
- On New York’s BitLicense proposal, Oxman argued regulators should avoid applying “reflexive” rules to new technology and instead conduct a deeper technical review of how Bitcoin systems and consumer protections work.
- New York’s financial regulator extended the public comment period for the BitLicense proposal by 45 days, pushing the deadline to October 21.
Why BitPay’s ETA membership matters
ETA represents major players in electronic payments, including companies such as Visa, MasterCard, Amazon, and PayPal. When Oxman discussed the ETA’s posture toward Bitcoin, he did not describe the trade group as endorsing a single technology. Instead, he framed the ETA’s mission around enabling electronic transactions in whatever form merchants and customers choose.
In that context, Oxman cited the ETA’s partnership with Atlanta-based Bitcoin payment solutions provider BitPay as a practical sign of openness. He suggested the organization is trying to position itself as a partner for emerging technology startups, with engagement driven largely by whether market participants show demand for those tools.
Oxman’s core argument was that transaction rails evolve according to user and merchant preferences. As he put it in his remarks, electronic transactions will take “whatever the customer or merchant of choice agrees is going to be the form of their electronic transaction.”
From education to partnerships
Oxman also linked the ETA’s shifting view to earlier learning efforts about Bitcoin. He said the Bitcoin Foundation played a significant role in educating ETA members about Bitcoin’s benefits and emphasized the value of business-oriented introductions between Bitcoin startups and established payment companies.
Specifically, Oxman referenced an ETA event in 2013 where Bitcoin Foundation general counsel Patrick Murck spoke. In Oxman’s recollection, Murck helped frame Bitcoin in business terms, after which Oxman said at least one ETA member decided to pursue a deal with a Bitcoin processor.
This detail matters because it suggests the ETA’s openness is not only policy-driven, but also influenced by how Bitcoin is presented—less as a speculative innovation and more as a payments system that can be integrated into existing commercial workflows.
What Oxman says about BitLicense and consumer protection
The ETA CEO’s comments also touched New York’s BitLicense framework, which has been at the center of ongoing debate about how cryptocurrency businesses should be regulated. Oxman said the ETA’s historical experience with regulatory change has involved adjusting to new payment options such as PayPal, noting that it previously spent significant effort encouraging regulators not to constrict innovation.
However, he acknowledged why regulators may be cautious with new payment technologies. His reasoning was that regulators tend to focus on consumer protection. According to Oxman, the less established the alternative system is—meaning the fewer protections are clearly available—the more regulators feel compelled to intervene.
Still, Oxman said the NY Department of Financial Services (NYDFS) should do more than react quickly to novelty. He argued regulators should not rely on “reflexive rules” simply because a technology is new, and instead conduct a real in-depth look at Bitcoin’s underlying systems.
In his view, the key is understanding how Bitcoin’s system operates, including how the blockchain works, and how Bitcoin providers—such as payment processors—can implement additional safeguards for consumers and merchants. The implication is that compliance standards should reflect the actual operating model and control points of Bitcoin-related businesses, rather than generic assumptions that could overreach.
Regulatory timeline shifts in New York
While ETA’s stance is aimed at engagement rather than advocacy, New York’s regulatory process is still unfolding. Earlier this week, NYDFS superintendent Benjamin Lawsky extended the public comment period on the BitLicense proposal by 45 days, pushing the deadline to October 21. This extension followed a joint letter addressed to Lawsky from BTC China, Huobi, and OkCoin, where the “Big three” exchanges outlined concerns about the proposal.
For industry participants, the practical takeaway is that the BitLicense debate remains active and that the regulatory outcome may depend on the arguments that emerge during the revised comment window. For Bitcoin-focused payments firms, that matters directly: the availability of licensing pathways and the scope of compliance requirements can influence whether and how businesses expand within New York.
As the ETA continues to bring Bitcoin payments into its orbit through members like BitPay and as New York works through its BitLicense process, readers should watch two things: whether regulators adopt a more technical, systems-level approach to consumer safeguards, and whether established payments networks deepen partnerships with Bitcoin-related processors as demand from merchants and customers becomes more visible.
Crypto World
South Korea targets Dunamu over Upbit hack as legal gaps emerge
South Korea’s Financial Supervisory Service has begun a formal sanctions process against Dunamu, the operator of crypto exchange Upbit, over the major wallet breach reported in November 2025.
Summary
- South Korea’s FSS opened sanctions proceedings against Dunamu over Upbit’s November 2025 wallet breach case.
- Current law lacks direct hacking penalties, leaving regulators uncertain about how severe sanctions can be.
- Upbit reimbursed affected users and rebuilt wallet systems while regulators continued examining the incident closely.
The action follows a months-long inspection into whether the exchange met its duties under the country’s Virtual Asset User Protection Act.
According to an SBS report citing financial authorities, the FSS recently sent Dunamu an inspection opinion letter. The document gives the company a chance to respond before regulators decide what penalties, if any, should follow. The process then moves through several formal regulatory review stages.
FSS reviews Upbit’s response to the 2025 breach
The November 27 attack affected Solana-based assets held by Upbit. Early estimates varied, with crypto.news reporting losses of about $36 million based on figures available at the time. South Korean reports now place the affected amount at 44.5 billion won, worth about $32 million at current exchange rates.
Upbit said it moved assets to cold wallets, halted deposits and withdrawals, and began tracing the stolen funds after detecting abnormal transfers. In its official customer notice, the exchange said customer losses would be covered with company funds. Authorities later examined both the security failure and the timing of Upbit’s public disclosure.
Legal gap makes the possible sanctions unclear
The current Virtual Asset User Protection Act gives regulators powers over custody, unfair trading and customer protection, but it does not set direct penalties specifically for hacking or computer system failures. That leaves uncertainty around how far the FSS can go in this case.
The regulator will consider Dunamu’s response before issuing advance notice of any proposed action. Final measures would require further review by the sanctions review committee, the Securities and Futures Commission and the Financial Services Commission. South Korean authorities are also considering stronger rules for hacking and technology failures in the next phase of digital asset legislation.
Upbit has faced wider regulatory pressure
The hack arrived during a period of close regulatory attention on Dunamu. As reported by crypto.news, South Korea’s Financial Intelligence Unit previously imposed a 35.2 billion won fine on the company over anti-money laundering and customer verification failures.
That earlier enforcement action later faced court scrutiny. Crypto.news reported that a court canceled a three-month partial suspension against Dunamu after finding gaps in the legal basis used for the sanction. The latest hacking case could create another test of how existing laws apply to crypto exchange operations.
Dunamu’s Naver deal remains under review
The sanctions process also comes while Dunamu works through a planned share swap with Naver Financial. the companies recently delayed completion of the transaction to December 31 because several regulatory approvals remain outstanding.
The current inspection does not automatically block that deal. However, Dunamu remains under several layers of regulatory review while South Korea prepares broader digital asset rules. The FSS has not yet announced a proposed sanction level in the hacking case, and Dunamu still has an opportunity to challenge the inspection findings before any final decision.
Crypto World
South Korean Regulator Begins Sanctions Process Against Dunamu: Report
South Korea’s Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) has reportedly sent an inspection opinion letter to Dunamu, the operator of crypto exchange Upbit, regarding the $36 million hack from November 2025.
Local news outlet Yonhap News reported Sunday that the FSS had recently sent Dunamu an inspection opinion letter.
The letter marks the formal start of a sanctions procedure by the financial authorities. It provides Dunamu with an opportunity to respond to the inspection’s findings before the regulator notifies the company of its proposed sanctions.
Cointelegraph has approached Dunamu for comment on the matter.
Related: Kaspersky identifies malware framework targeting crypto investors
Upbit faced criticism for delaying its announcement of the $36 million exploit, according to Yonhap.
The breach lasted about 54 minutes, starting at 4:42 a.m. KST on November 27, but Upbit only announced the hack at the end of the day, after a merger-related event involving internet giant Naver Financial concluded.
The financial regulator said it is reviewing whether the exchange violated the Virtual Asset User Protection Act, which provides no direct sanctions provisions related to cyberattacks or computer hacks.
The report said South Korean authorities plan to address the regulatory gap by adding sanctions and compensation provisions for hacking and computer system failures to the second phase of the Digital Asset Basic Act.
Upbit reimburses users, launches onchain tracing system for fund recovery
In a statement following the November exploit, Upbit said it froze approximately 2.3 billion won ($1.5 million) worth of funds. The exchange said it would fully reimburse affected customers using its own balance sheet assets.
Upbit said it initiated an overhaul of its crypto wallet architecture to address potential vulnerabilities after the exploit and migrated all assets from affected wallets.
In December 2025, Upbit said it developed an automatic onchain tracking service, Onchain AI Tracer System, to track the path of the stolen funds and aid potential recovery efforts.
Upbit ranks third in CoinMarketCap’s crypto spot exchange rankings, based on scores that include traffic, liquidity and trading volumes.
Magazine: Does Botanix’s failure prove Bitcoiners don’t care about DeFi?
Crypto World
Drake Eyes $5 Million Crypto Payout in Spain Vs Argentina World Cup Final
Canadian singer Drake has wagered $1.5 million USDT on Argentina to beat Spain in regulation time at Sunday’s World Cup final. A win would pay the rapper $5,175,000.
He placed the bet through the crypto gambling platform Stake and announced it on Instagram. In contrast, Spain enters the World Cup final at MetLife Stadium as the favorite.
A World Cup Curse Looms Over the Bet
Soccer fans have already invoked the Drake Curse, the belief that teams he backs publicly falter at the worst moment. A similar regulation-time bet cost Drake his last World Cup payout, even though Argentina won it in extra time. The wager only pays out if Argentina wins within 90 minutes, excluding extra time and penalties.
The rapper’s crypto ties run deeper than betting slips. He referenced Bitcoin (BTC) on his new Iceman album this year, calling himself a “crypto big-timer.” This bet, however, relies entirely on a stablecoin rather than a volatile token.
Kalshi Odds Favor Spain in Regulation
Kalshi’s regulation-time market prices Spain’s win probability at 43%, compared with 28% for Argentina and 32% for a tie. Meanwhile, that gap mirrors how World Cup betting markets have leaned toward Europe throughout the knockout rounds. The Kalshi contract for Sunday’s World Cup game had already logged more than $2.8 million in trading volume.
Prediction markets have grown into a major venue for World Cup wagering this year. Kalshi recently expanded its World Cup prediction hub through a partnership with ADI Predictstreet. Still, Drake’s wager sits well outside that data-driven crowd.
A Historic World Cup Night Beyond the Bet
Tether chief executive Paolo Ardoino shared news of the wager on X, adding an Argentine flag and a heart emoji. Celebrity wagers have become a running theme this World Cup, following a similar betting wave around Taylor Swift’s rumored wedding.
The final also marks a first off the pitch. FIFA will award custom championship rings to World Cup winners for the first time, a tradition borrowed from American sports. Interest has spiked around other World Cup markets, including bets on the halftime show lineup.
Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium in New Jersey. If Messi and Argentina deliver in regulation, Drake finally breaks even on a wager that has haunted him for years.
The post Drake Eyes $5 Million Crypto Payout in Spain Vs Argentina World Cup Final appeared first on BeInCrypto.
Crypto World
Visa and Mastercard prove an early Bitcoin payments prediction right
A prediction made more than a decade ago about closer ties between Bitcoin startups and traditional payment companies increasingly resembles the payments market of 2026.
Summary
- A 2014 prediction about traditional payment firms partnering with Bitcoin startups increasingly resembles today’s market.
- Visa and Mastercard now work directly with crypto firms on cards, settlement, stablecoins, and payments.
- BitPay continues expanding regulated crypto payment services more than a decade after joining the payments industry.
Former Electronic Transactions Association CEO Jason Oxman discussed that possibility in an August 2014 interview with CoinDesk. His comments followed BitPay becoming the first digital currency company to join the payments trade group. Oxman said the association would remain open to new payment technologies without formally backing Bitcoin over other systems.
Early Bitcoin partnerships pointed to a wider shift
Oxman argued that payment companies ultimately respond to how consumers and merchants choose to transact. He said the industry was “in the business of facilitating electronic transactions,” regardless of which technology carried those payments.
The comments came during an early period for commercial Bitcoin adoption, when regulators were still debating New York’s BitLicense proposal. Oxman also warned regulators against applying rules simply because a technology was new, while accepting that consumer protection remained a valid concern.
The leadership of ETA has since changed. Jodie Kelley became the organization’s CEO in 2019, and ETA now operates a dedicated Digital Assets committee alongside its other payments industry groups.
Visa and Mastercard build direct crypto partnerships
The type of partnership Oxman discussed is now common across the payments industry. Visa and Stripe-owned Bridge announced plans in March to expand stablecoin-linked Visa cards to more than 100 countries by the end of 2026. As reported by crypto.news, the cards allow users to spend stablecoin balances across Visa’s merchant network.
Visa has also expanded its stablecoin settlement pilot to nine blockchains. The company said in April that the program had reached a $7 billion annualized settlement rate. Visa said the expansion gives payment partners more choice when selecting blockchain networks.
Mastercard has followed a similar path. Its Crypto Partner Program brings together more than 100 crypto companies, financial institutions and payment providers. As reported by crypto.news, Alchemy Pay joined the initiative in May to explore closer links between fiat payments and onchain commerce.
Stablecoins now lead much of the payments expansion
The industry’s focus has also shifted from Bitcoin alone toward stablecoins. Visa, Mastercard and Coinbase recently joined more than 140 companies backing Open Standard, a group developing the Open USD stablecoin.
As reported by crypto.news, the project plans to create payment infrastructure for businesses using a dollar-linked digital asset. The move puts major card networks directly alongside crypto-native companies in developing blockchain payment systems.
BitPay has also continued expanding. Crypto.news recently reported that the payment company secured MiCA authorization in the Netherlands, allowing it to provide regulated crypto and stablecoin services across eligible European Union markets.
More than a decade after Oxman predicted growing cooperation, partnerships between traditional payment networks and crypto companies have moved from isolated experiments into cards, settlement systems, stablecoins and cross-border payments.
Crypto World
A closer look at whether it is a scam or not
Disclosure: This article does not represent investment advice. The content and materials featured on this page are for educational purposes only.
Spreadefi faces scrutiny as users assess trust, transparency, and DeFi platform credibility.
As the decentralized finance (DeFi) space has evolved, users have gotten a lot more careful about which platforms they trust with their digital assets. After a long line of fraudulent projects, one question comes up naturally: can Spreadefi be trusted, or is it just another scam?
Let’s take a closer look at the project, check the available information, and see whether there’s any real reason to call it unreliable.
What is Spreadefi?
Spreadefi is a DeFi platform that lets users earn income by staking in liquidity pools. Crypto assets are placed into a pool, and from there, they’re used to provide liquidity on decentralized exchanges. In return, participants earn rewards generated from fees and other protocol mechanisms.
The platform puts the emphasis on automated operations, cross-chain infrastructure, and risk management, aiming to make DeFi more accessible to both experienced users and newcomers alike.
Why do questions about a scam come up at all?
These days, just about any new crypto project faces questions like this. The market has lived through a string of high-profile frauds in recent years, and investors have grown far more cautious as a result.
Search queries like “Spreadefi scam” or “Is Spreadefi legit?” are completely normal. People want to be sure a project is actually building something, and wasn’t created just to pull in funds.
What was verified
In looking at the project, the focus is on the criteria that typically help separate a real company from a questionable crypto operation.
The company is officially registered
One of the first positives was the project’s legal transparency. Spreadefi operates through an officially registered company in the United States, information you can verify through public registries. Being able to confirm a legal entity is a strong sign of openness, especially in the crypto space.
Registration alone doesn’t guarantee success, of course. But fraudulent schemes almost never make that kind of information public.
Another important factor is that Spreadefi is building an ecosystem rather than relying on a single service.
Alongside its liquidity pool infrastructure, the platform has developed its own crypto swap service, allowing users to exchange supported digital assets directly within the ecosystem. This helps create additional utility for the platform while supporting internal liquidity.
The company is also developing API solutions for developers and business partners. These APIs are designed to allow third-party platforms, applications, and digital asset services to integrate Spreadefi’s infrastructure into their own products, expanding the ecosystem beyond the platform itself.
In addition to its staking and liquidity services, Spreadefi continues to invest in its technology stack, user interface, security systems, and infrastructure tools. Recent updates have included improvements to liquidity allocation algorithms, mobile experience, platform performance, and internal security architecture.
Projects that consistently expand their product offering and continue investing in infrastructure typically demonstrate a longer-term development strategy rather than focusing solely on attracting deposits.
Active project development
During the analysis, the team’s public activity was also taken note of.
Spreadefi regularly publishes content on its official blog, sharing updates on product development, new features, and technical upgrades. On top of that, project representatives take part in industry events and conferences, which suggests long-term development plans rather than a short-lived platform.
That kind of public visibility is rare for fraudulent projects. After launch, they usually cut off nearly all interaction with their audience.
Are there any negative reviews?
A deliberate effort was made to dig up confirmed negative material about Spreadefi.
After going through publications, reviews, and discussions across open sources, no convincing evidence was found that the project is engaged in fraud. There are the usual user questions, discussions of DeFi risks, and skeptical comments, all of which are completely natural for any crypto project.
What wasn’t found, however, were mass complaints, confirmed accusations of fraud, or signs of a classic rug pull.
It’s important to understand that the absence of that kind of material doesn’t mean there’s zero risk. Any DeFi protocol comes with market and technical risks. That said, the information landscape around Spreadefi looks significantly calmer than what you see with a lot of young crypto projects.
What risks remain?
Even if a project is legitimate, working with DeFi always carries certain risks:
- market volatility
- smart contract risk
- blockchain infrastructure vulnerabilities
- shifts in liquidity
- changes in crypto regulation
These factors apply to the entire decentralized finance industry, and they don’t point to any specific platform being fraudulent by nature.
Conclusion
Based on the information available right now, there are no objective grounds to call Spreadefi a scam.
Several things speak in the project’s favor:
- official company registration
- an actively expanding ecosystem including liquidity pools, a native swap service, and developer APIs
- regular product updates and infrastructure improvements
- regular posts on the official blog
- project representatives participating in conferences and industry events
- no confirmed accusations of fraud or widespread reports of misconduct
As with any crypto project, investors should study the documentation themselves, weigh the risks, and only make decisions after doing their own research. But as of today, Spreadefi gives the impression of a project that’s developing out in the open, with transparency, and with its sights set on being around for the long haul.
Disclosure: This content is provided by a third party. Neither crypto.news nor the author of this article endorses any product mentioned on this page. Users should conduct their own research before taking any action related to the company.
Crypto World
Bitcoin’s quantum problem gets a recovery tool, but not for Satoshi’s 1.1 million coins

Project Eleven says it has funded a proof that lets a wallet’s own key-derivation path stand in as ownership after quantum computers can forge its signatures. It runs in 243 milliseconds on a laptop.
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