Polling from YouGov has shown that the Green Party has a decent lead with voters under 50:

POLL | Greens lead amongst under 50s

{ 18-49 }
Grn: 25% ( +14 )
Lab: 20% ( -23 )
Ref: 16% ( +5 )
Con: 15% ( +2 )
Lib: 14% ( – )

{ 50+ }
Ref: 32% ( +14 )
Con: 23% ( -11 )
Lab: 16% ( -11 )
Lib: 12% ( +1 )
Grn: 8% ( +4 )

Via YouGov, 22 June (+/- vs '24) pic.twitter.com/O6lFoxTnvR

— Stats for Lefties (@LeftieStats) July 9, 2026

It’s a further sign that people in Britain are chiefly divided by the ‘have mortgages’ and the have nots.

Division

It was once a common truism that people become more conservative as they age. Usually, you’d expect this to kick in around middle age. The reason it’s happening less and less is that people have less and less to conserve.

To give you the broader picture, this is the latest polling on overall voting intention from YouGov:

Education and the Green Party

YouGov also showed voting intention by education:

POLL | Voting intention by education level (%)

{ Low | Medium | High }

Ref: 40 | 27 | 14
Con: 21 | 20 | 18
Lab: 12 | 15 | 23
Grn: 8 | 15 | 20
Lib: 8 | 8 | 17

Via @YouGov, 2-22 June 2026 pic.twitter.com/Tsx2AADui6

— Stats for Lefties (@LeftieStats) July 10, 2026

While it’s tempting to say people support Reform because they don’t know any better, the truth is they do know something – namely that they’ve been shafted. Right now, Reform have proven to be the most successful when it comes to convincing voters that:

1. They have indeed been screwed over by the establishment.
2. Reform is the party to turn their fortunes around.

Educated people are more likely to benefit from the status quo. Even with that group, though, things are looking less and less rosy. As the Independent reported in January:

A leading UK university vice-chancellor has warned that a degree no longer guarantees a good job for graduates, citing a crowded market and the impact of artificial intelligence.

And as professor Shitij Kapur explained:

The competition for graduate jobs is not just all because of AI filling out forms or taking away jobs.

It’s also because of the stalling of our economy and it’s also because of a surfeit of graduates.

So I feel that that simple promise [of a good job] has now become conditional on ‘Which university did you go to? What course did you take?’

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The personal equation of the university as a vehicle for social mobility, almost as a passport to social mobility, meant that if you got a degree, you were certain to get a job as a socially mobile citizen.

But now I think it has become a visa for social mobility, it means you’ve got a chance to go and visit that place called social mobility.

Maybe you’ll make it there, maybe you won’t.

When things gets harder; when your prospects dry up; when your life doesn’t compare to your parents at the same age, you become angry with the establishment, and you vote with your feet.

Working

For under-50s and the highly educated, the party convincing the most people is the Greens; for over 50s, it’s Reform. We disagree that Reform represents an actual change to the status quo, and that much is obvious by who’s funding them. The party certainly sells itself as an alternative, though, and it’s working.

Working to an extent, anyway.

Although Reform has led in successive polls, it’s still far off achieving the numbers which delivered Labour a majority in 2024 and the Tories a majority in 2019. And the way things are going, we can’t see Farage & .co ever reaching those heights.

For the Greens, though – or to whichever party can best harness the desire for progressive change – it seems the future is on their side.

Featured image via the Canary

By Willem Moore

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Real Madrid has once again solidified its global dominance, this time on the world stage rather than in club competitions. Players from the club have achieved a historic milestone at the 2026 World Cup, setting a new record for the most goals contributed by players from a single club in a single tournament.

This record-breaking feat followed a decisive brace by England’s Jude Bellingham against Norway, which propelled his national team to the semi-finals. This effort brought the total goal tally for Real Madrid players in the current World Cup to 19—the highest number ever recorded for a single club in the tournament’s history.

With this achievement, Real Madrid surpasses the previous record of 18 goals, which had stood since the 1954 World Cup, set by the Hungarian club Honvéd, led by Sándor Kocsis. Bayern Munich later matched that record during Germany’s 2014 triumph, and Paris Saint-Germain equaled it in 2022, fueled by the brilliance of Lionel Messi and Kylian Mbappé. Now, Real Madrid stands alone at the top of this historic ranking.

Mbappe leads, Bellingham follows

Kylian Mbappé leads the charge for Real Madrid in the tournament with 8 goals, followed by Jude Bellingham with 6. Vinícius Júnior added 4 goals before Brazil’s exit, and Arda Güler contributed one for Turkey, bringing the combined total to 19.

This record is poised to rise even further. With both Mbappé and Bellingham still competing, Real Madrid has an opportunity to extend its lead and further cement the profound impact its players are having on football’s most prestigious tournament.

Featured image via the Canary

By Alaa Shamali

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Israel has again shown its contempt for the very idea of a ceasefire, with at least four murderous airstrikes on Gaza City today.

Last week, the occupation murdered the director of Egypt’s aid mission to Gaza, in evident retaliation for the Egyptian football team manager’s show of solidarity with Palestine. On Sunday 12 July 2026, Israel hit a home in a densely-populated civilian area of Gaza City with at least four missiles in quick succession:

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A post shared by Hamdan Dahdouh (@hamdaneldahdouh)

Israel — One street, three bombings

And in a further horrifying display of the evil of Zionism, it committed three attacks on just a single Gaza City street – al-Sana’a street:

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A post shared by Louay Al-Jadi 𓂆 (@louay_.al)

Families fled in terror as more missiles struck:

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A post shared by Mohammed Zaanoun (@m.z.gaza)

Smoke and debris from the explosions could be seen across the city:

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A post shared by Ahmed Masoud || أحمد مسعود (@ahmad_masoud__)

With the world’s attention on the illegal war on Iran, and on World Cup football, the terror state hopes we will ignore or forget its ongoing genocide in Gaza.

We must not.

Featured image via the Canary

By Skwawkbox

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Benny Melendez voted for President Donald Trump in 2024. But since Trump returned to the White House, it has been increasingly difficult for Melendez to run his small construction company in south Texas. He says immigration officers have detained workers at his job sites and while driving his company trucks. Since the beginning of 2025, more than 10 of those workers have been deported.

The chaos of the past year-and-a-half has convinced Melendez to abandon his support for Trump and Republicans, and instead back the Democrat in this year’s U.S. Senate election, state Rep. James Talarico.

“How can we continue voting for someone that is targeting our community?” Melendez said. “There’s no way possible we’re going to support that. No way.”

Melendez is not alone. One in five Hispanic business owners in Texas say they’ve had an employee deported in the past year, according to a new survey commissioned by the U.S. Hispanic Business Council and shared first with POLITICO. Seven in ten said their businesses had been impacted by Trump’s tariffs. Among those surveyed, Talarico holds a seven-point lead over Attorney General Ken Paxton, the GOP nominee, even though a plurality of the over 1,000 respondents self-identify as Republican. Almost one quarter who supported Sen. John Cornyn in the Republican primary now say they’ll back Talarico, while over half say they’ll back Paxton.

The survey is the clearest sign yet of Paxton’s vulnerability among Texas’ robust Hispanic business community amidst broader signs that Hispanic voters around the country are swinging hard against him, thanks to the Trump administration’s immigration crackdown and the shaky economy. The survey was conducted from June 2 to 15 and included 1,012 Texas-based USHBC members. Respondents included business owners in construction, food services, retail, manufacturing and other industries.

Those business owners pointed to the fear the deportation push created in the community, as well as their bottom lines, for why they were turning on Trump and toward Talarico.

“The fear factor that it creates, the disruption that it creates, the environment that it creates, is debilitating,” said Javier Palomarez, president and CEO of USHBC. “If you’ve got a small business of 10 people or so, and you get even one person deported, you can imagine what that does to the morale of that business unit and to the fear of the business owner.”

Meanwhile, Paxton, long an immigration hardliner, has doubled down, touting his support for a controversial Texas immigration law and suing to stop publicly funded legal defense for undocumented immigrants.

The Texas Senate race will be one of the nation’s most watched — and most expensive — this cycle. Early polling shows it in a dead heat: A New York Times/Siena poll released last month showed Paxton and Talarico tied. Among Hispanic voters, Talarico led by 32 points. In 2024, Trump won Texas Latinos by 10 points.

In a statement, Paxton spokesperson Madison Cercy said Hispanic voters want “lower taxes, less regulation, affordable energy, and a strong economy.”

“Ken Paxton has a proven record of fighting for those priorities, while James Talarico has consistently opposed the tax-cutting policies that help Texans thrive, declares that ‘God is non-binary,’ and said that there are ‘six biological sexes,’” Cercy said. “Texans deserve to hear the truth about Talarico’s radical record and the damage his agenda would do to families and businesses across our state. Once they do, it will kill Talacreepo’s campaign for their vote.”

In a statement, Talarico offered an olive branch to Hispanic voters: “We should be supporting Hispanic small businesses — not crushing them under the weight of high costs and failed immigration policies,” he said. “Here’s my message to Hispanic communities across Texas: if you feel like you’ve been conned, if you feel like you’ve been let down by both political parties, if you feel like politicians aren’t doing anything to lower your costs or fix this broken immigration system — you’ve got a place in this campaign.”

Across south Texas, business owners say immigration enforcement is a major reason why they’re turning on the GOP. In 2024, Trump rode concerns over former President Joe Biden’s border policy to victory in the heavily Latino communities along the U.S.-Mexico border, a massive shift in the historically deep-blue region. Trump won 14 of those 18 border counties, including Starr County, a 90-percent Latino county that Hillary Clinton won with 79 percent of the vote in 2016 and hadn’t gone for a Republican since the 1890s.

But now, many feel the Trump administration’s interior enforcement policy has gone too far. 70 percent of those surveyed in the USHBC poll had a negative view of the immigration raids on the workforce, and that impact on families and businesses risks kneebuckling Republicans running in those same border districts.

“I didn’t like what Biden was doing here on the border,” Melendez said. “But now with Trump, it’s all the opposite, 180 degree change. He doesn’t let us work. He’s taking the best we have.”

Earlier this year, construction executives in south Texas sounded the alarm on immigration enforcement. Some trade association leaders met with officials in the White House and Congress to discuss concerns in February.

Immigration enforcement at worksites subsided for several months, executives said. But activity ticked up again last month. Now, Melendez says, immigration officers are again rounding up workers at construction sites and pulling over vehicles that have work equipment like ladders. The Department of Homeland Security didn’t immediately respond to request for comment on this characterization of enforcement.

“It just seems now more than ever, if you’re brown, they’re gonna stop you,” said Mario Guerrero, a three-time Trump voter who leads the South Texas Builders Association. “And I know that sounds really racist, but it’s what we’re facing, man.”

Across the state, story after story of the immigration crackdown consume local media: An undocumented man in Houston shot and killed by an ICE officer; a mariachi musician in San Antonio detained after playing at a birthday party; a Catholic nun in McAllen detained while walking to Sunday Mass.

Even some Republican officials have denounced the activity. “As I have repeatedly said, our immigration enforcement should target violent criminals,” GOP Rep. Monica de la Cruz, who represents a battleground district in the Rio Grande Valley, wrote on Facebook. “A Catholic nun on her way to church is not a threat to our community.”

One construction company owner in south Texas, granted anonymity to speak openly, said the nun’s arrest — which was plastered all over local news last month — was “the final nail in the coffin” for many Hispanics in the community who had voted for Republicans.

“We’re pissed off at the current administration. Everybody’s pissed off down here in south Texas,” the construction executive said, noting that most Hispanics in the area are Catholic. “Remember, we’re conservative, we’re not far left. We’re in the middle, conservative Latinos in south Texas. It doesn’t make sense.”

Guerrero, who leads a trade group with over 160 members across south Texas, said the idea that deportations will create jobs for American workers is ill-informed. “When people say, ‘Why don’t you hire American citizens to do foundation or to do concrete?’ I’m like, ‘Dude, tell me what f—ing United States citizen is gonna want to go and pour concrete at 103 degrees down here in the valley,’” Guerrero said.

Palomarez echoed that sentiment.

“This notion that these immigrants are taking American jobs is bullshit,” said Palomarez. “The districts in South Texas that swung decidedly Republican are paying the price, because that fear-mongering has come home to roost. And now you don’t have employees, or enough employees, to get that project done.”

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After 14 years of Tory rule (and 40 years of neoliberalism), Keir Starmer needed to make dramatic moves to turn this country around. Instead, he tinkered around the edges then pouted when no one thanked him as their lives continued to worsen.

Starmer is on his way out, and you have to assume Rachel Reeves will follow. Given her response to the following, it’s easy to see why:

#BBCLaurak: "You were absolutely central to Keir Starmers whole project. What do you think, reflecting back, is the biggest reason why its come to an end like this?

Rachel Reeves: "I think governing is hard today" pic.twitter.com/D77acb3MrX

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— Saul Staniforth (@SaulStaniforth) July 12, 2026

Starmer — Excuses

In the above clip, Kuenssberg puts the following to Reeves:

You know, you haven’t just been the Chancellor, you’re a highly experienced politician, you’ve been on the front line, as it were, for a long time, and you were absolutely central to Keir Starmer’s whole project. What do you think, reflecting back, is the biggest reason why it’s come to an end like this?

Reeves’ response:

I think governing is hard today.

If you think governing wasn’t hard back in the day, you may be unaware of this thing we have called ‘human history’.

That aside, she’s not wrong to point out things are tough. The problem is she’s failed to call out the key culprit for Western society’s decline. Here are the problems she identified:

I was just with finance ministers from other European countries earlier this week, And governing is hard across a number of developed economies today. There have been a lot of shocks in recent years, whether that’s COVID, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, now the conflict in the Middle East, increasing barriers to trade around the world. And at the same time, those things are going on.

There have been major crises throughout history; the reason we’re increasingly unable to deal with them is because 40 years of neoliberalism stripped the state bare. We’re not expecting Burnham to change things, either, despite his protests to the contrary:

Neoliberalism is the Manchester model: it’s the essence of the Manchester Independent Economic Review girded by New Labour urbanism, and of Osbornite devolution, which created metro mayors as a brokerage system between starved local authorities and Westminster. https://t.co/XadZLrIf8t

— Richard Seymour (@leninology) July 5, 2026

Every year, private companies own more and more of the wealth and assets this country is made of. The more the rich have, the less there is for the rest of us, and the more our government is powerless to do anything besides managing our various debts and dependencies.

Events

On the issue of ‘events’, the government website notes the following:

When Prime Minister Harold Macmillan was asked what was the greatest challenge for a statesman, he replied: ‘Events, dear boy, events’.

Napoleon Bonaparte also had something to say on the topic:

In politics nothing is immutable. Events carry within them an invincible power. The unwise destroy themselves in resistance. The skillful accept events, take strong hold of them and direct them.

A great politician rises to the occasion; a failed politician complains to the BBC.

We don’t have to look far for examples of Labour politicians meeting the moment either:

Reeves: "Andy knows.. the most successful Lab govts are those that combine radical change with credible economic policies"

The most successful Lab govt nationalised 20% of the entire British economy, founded the NHS & built over 800k council houses. What have you & Starmer done? pic.twitter.com/EDjbB2BdsJ

— Saul Staniforth (@SaulStaniforth) July 12, 2026

Labour achieved the above in 1945, so the event they existed in the aftermath of was World War II. Clearly, then, events don’t have to be an excuse for inaction; they can also be an opportunity for greatness.

With his massive 2024 majority, Starmer could have repeated what Clement Attlee achieved in the post war years and then some. Instead, history will remember him as the PM nobody remembers. A quickly peeled plaster on the festering wound of Thatcherism.

Featured image via the Canary

By Willem Moore

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On 7 July, Nigel Farage resigned as the MP for Clacton. Seconds later, he announced he was running to become… the MP for Clacton.

Hours later, the other political parties said they wouldn’t be running, and that Farage could have his fun running against Count Binface.

Days later again, the public delivered their verdict:

I just like the fact that 13% of the people polled can't decide. pic.twitter.com/ghxVShMUqh

— Jonathan Pie (@JonathanPieNews) July 11, 2026

FFS Farage!

If this all seems ridiculous, that’s because it is. There was no good reason for Farage to step down; our best guess as to why he did is to distract from his many ongoing scandals. It’s not worked out that way, of course, because there are more scandals than any one stunt could distract from:

Robert Jenrick has a meltdown on #C4News

He refuses to accept that there are parliamentary rules that Nigel Farage may have broken

And insists the only people who can judge Nigel Farage are the people of Clacton

– Whatever you do, please don't share this humiliating clip pic.twitter.com/ofjcF7yh9l

— Farrukh (@implausibleblog) July 7, 2026

Personally, we thought the Greens should have stood to keep the focus on Reform’s establishment-friendly political platform. We’ll take Farage embarrassing himself against a guy with a bin for a head, though, and it is shaping up to be an all-time humiliation.

As you can see above, the Ipsos polling showed the following support:

• Count Binface: 33%
• Nigel Farage: 21%.
• Neither: 32%.
• Don’t know: 13%.

This is emblematic of the broader problem Reform is making for itself. Its politics of division is proving successful in terms of locking down 20-25% of voters. At the same time, it’s ensuring 75-80% of voters despise the party. This is why Farage & .co keep getting buried by tactical voting in crucial by-elections.

Space-manifesto

Ipsos also showed support for Count Binface’s manifesto:

69% support @CountBinface’s proposed policy of restoring the price of a 99 flake to 99p

Half of Brits (53%) support capping the price of croissants at £1 pic.twitter.com/2AWZNBuaKd

— Ipsos in the UK (@Ipsos_in_the_UK) July 10, 2026

“Count Binface’s manifesto”.

What the f*ck are we doing here?

It’s funny enough, sure, but this is obviously a waste of everyone’s time. The problem for Reform is that the public understand their time is being wasted because Farage wants to deflect from his alleged financial misdeeds. The right, meanwhile, are treating Binface like a serious political candidate:

The Telegraph has published a lengthy opinion piece attacking – seemingly entirely seriously – Count Binface’s economic policies https://t.co/DzVtk4c7T2

— Ben Kentish (@BenKentish) July 12, 2026

We don’t think Binface can win in Clacton, but it seems like Farage is going to be the real loser by the end of this.

Featured image via the Canary

By Willem Moore

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Extremist Israeli settlers — is there any other kind? — detained US lawmaker Ro Khanna as he visited the occupied West Bank last week.

Khanna — one of the more critical of Israel among US politicians — was held for around 90 minutes by land-thieves armed with M4 assault rifles. He said that when Israeli troops finally turned up:

they sided with the settlers and continued our detention.

Khanna becomes the first US politician held by the apartheid colony. Surely his brown skin had nothing to do with it. The detention has been ignored by the White House and US Israel lobby. He is not, however, the first foreign politician held by Israel — mostly to either deafening silence or token expressions of disapproval from the victims’ home governments. Some have faced torture and/or sexual abuse for daring to try to take food to starving people in Gaza under Israel’s criminal siege.

Khanna was on a fact-finding visit to the West bank to examine the impact of Israeli occupation. He said:

We were at a village that Israeli settlers had destroyed, they had destroyed the school, they had destroyed that village, and we were just looking at it,” he said.

And these hoodlums come in with machine guns — M4, an American-made machine gun — and they detain us. They block off the road. And then they call the IDF and ​the IDF is on their side, not on the side of the Americans.

Khanna is said to be considering a bid to stand for the Democrats in the next US presidential election.

Ro Khanna vs murderous land-thieves

The euphemistic term ‘settlers’ comes nowhere near the brutal reality of the mostly-imported land thieves driving the indigenous Palestinians from their land. ‘Settlers’ burn homes with Palestinian families inside. They beat and shoot Palestinians, poison water — a tactic used since the inception of the colony — steal or destroy crops and livestock — all under the protection of the occupation military and with complete impunity.

They also hold the whip hand in Israel’s government, with fascist bigots like Itamar Ben-Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich free to demand mass murder and even more brutal repression of Palestine’s colonised, rightful inhabitants.

Featured image via House.gov

By Skwawkbox

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Today’s Sunday Mail leads for the second week in a row on questions about the finances of Yes Scotland.

But there’s a paragraph in the online version of the story that doesn’t make the print edition, and it’s a shame, because it’s a very telling one.

This is it, from Yes Scotland’s former marketing director Ian Dommett:

And unfortunately, until the rest of the SNP’s voters join the 414,000 who walked away from the party between the 2021 and 2026 Holyrood elections and contrive to somehow get that key realisation into their thick heads, Scotland will never take a single step closer to independence.

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The SNP’s entire reason for existence now is failing to win independence. Failure is what protects their wages and their power. No government as incompetent as this one wins elections on its record. The moment independence was achieved, the Scottish electorate would give someone else a chance at actually running the country after 20+ years of the same party in charge, and the SNP cannot allow that to happen.

Sadly, if even this sort of thing (from The National on Tuesday):

isn’t enough to wake up the loyal, tribal dunderheads, it’s likely that nothing will be.

And on we’ll limp, year after year, in ever-shrinking circles, going nowhere.

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