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Justin Jefferson Forecasted for ‘Bust’ Season

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Justin Jefferson warms up before a Vikings game against the Bears.
Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson warmed up at Soldier Field before a road divisional matchup with the Chicago Bears, getting loose in full uniform during pregame routines. On November 24, 2024, in Chicago, Jefferson prepared for another NFC North test as Minnesota readied its offense for kickoff against a familiar division opponent. Mandatory Credit: Daniel Bartel-Imagn Images.

Compared to his normal behavior on a football field, Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson had a quiet year in 2025, mainly because his quarterbacks did not flourish at all times. So, he is destined to rebound and regain his All-Pro form with Kyler Murray in town, right? Not according to CBS Sports.

Heath Cummings outlined fantasy “busts” on Monday, and Jefferson received an unfortunate nomination.

The Kyler Murray Factor Complicates the Fade

Justin Jefferson lines up during Vikings-Rams wild card action. Justin Jefferson fantasy
Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson lined up against the Los Angeles Rams during NFC Wild Card action at State Farm Stadium, giving Minnesota’s offense its top playmaker in a postseason setting. On January 13, 2025, in Glendale, Jefferson worked through coverage as the Vikings tried to spark their passing game against Los Angeles. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images.

Cummings: Jefferson Will Be a Fantasy Bust

Finding seven busts, Cummings landed on Jefferson near the top of his list. He explained, “I am very hopeful that Kyler Murray wins the job and proves better than J.J. McCarthy.”

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“But I am concerned about drafting Kyler Murray’s WR1 in Round 1. Murray was miserable last year, averaging 6.0 yards per pass attempt, and hasn’t posted a pass TD rate above 3.9% since 2021. His rushing, while good for the team, can be detrimental to the total number of targets available for pass catchers.”

Most fantasy brains are actually high on Jefferson, believe it or not. Murray is supposed to be an elixir.

Cummings added, “Jefferson’s TPRR over the past two seasons has been about 24% when both Jordan Addison and T.J. Hockenson are on the field.”

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“That would have tied Emeka Egbuka for 23rd at WR last year. Jefferson is a good bet to bounce back, and a fine pick in the middle of Round 2, but he’ll be a disappointment if you draft him in Round 1.”

The TDs Really Need Help

For Jefferson to be considered a truly deadly fantasy asset — like prime Christian McCaffrey at RB — he’ll need more touchdowns, Plain and simple. He recorded 2 last year, which was criminally low, and in his career, Jefferson has logged double-digit scores in a season twice: 10 in 2021 and 10 in 2024. If you’ve ever wondered why Jefferson never quite feels like he’s on Randy Moss’s level, it’s the touchdowns — lack thereof compared to his yardage totals.

Thankfully, Jefferson topping 2 touchdowns from 2025 this season won’t be hard to do. In fact, it should be seamless with Murray slinging the rock. Theoretically, Jefferson could conquer his 2025 touchdown total in Week 1 against the Green Bay Packers.

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But overall, he needs the touchdowns to be a supremely deadly fantasy asset.

Never Forget: a Pass-Happy Offense

Jefferson also plays in a pass-happy offense — almost to a fault at times, as fans wish Kevin O’Connell would run the football more often to balance the playcalling. So long as Murray doesn’t play like an imbecile, the Vikings will naturally throw the football more than most teams because that’s what O’Connell, a former quarterback, does.

Justin Jefferson parties after scoring a touchdown against the Bears. Justin Jefferson fantasy
Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson reacted after scoring a second-half touchdown at Soldier Field, adding emotion to another road chapter against the Chicago Bears. On September 8, 2025, in Chicago, Jefferson punctuated the moment as Minnesota extended momentum in a hostile divisional setting and delivered a decisive late scoring play. Mandatory Credit: Matt Marton-Imagn Images.

These are Jefferson’s targets by year since he turned pro in 2020:

  • 2020 — 125
  • 2021 — 167
  • 2022 — 184
  • 2023 — 100
  • 2024 — 154
  • 2025 — 141

He didn’t suffer from a lack of targets last season; his quarterbacks just didn’t efficiently feed him the ball.

Where to Draft Vikings Players in Fantasy

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If you’re looking for a quick guide on where to draft Vikings players in August and September, we’ve got it. These are recommendations, assuming 10-Team SuperFlex rules:

Vikings Players,
Dynasty | Redraft
ADP by Round:

Justin Jefferson
Redraft: Round 2
Dynasty: Round 2

Kyler Murray
Redraft: Round 4
Dynasty: Round 7

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Jordan Addison
Redraft: Round 12
Dynasty: Round 9

T.J. Hockenson
Redraft: Round 17
Dynasty: Round 15

Jordan Mason
Redraft: Round 14
Dynasty: Round 16

Aaron Jones
Redraft: Round 13
Dynasty: Round 17

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J.J. McCarthy
Redraft: Round 28
Dynasty: Round 18

Demond Claiborne
Redraft: Round 25
Dynasty: Round 23

Jordan Addison grabs a touchdown against the Packers at Lambeau Field. Justin Jefferson fantasy
Minnesota Vikings wide receiver Jordan Addison secured a touchdown catch during first-quarter action against the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field, giving Minnesota an early divisional strike. On September 29, 2024, in Green Bay, Addison tracked the pass and completed the scoring play as the Vikings pushed their road offense forward. Mandatory Credit: Jeff Hanisch-Imagn Images.

SI.com‘s Thomas Carelli on Murray’s fantasy outlook: “The Risk: Murray has struggled to be as efficient as he was in his days at Oklahoma. A player formerly drafted 1st overall in the NFL Draft has become nothing more than a mediocre quarterback. He could not feed Marvin Harrison Jr., so why should he feed Justin Jefferson?”

“The Reward: If anyone can get Murray right, it will be Kevin O’Connell. He had Kirk Cousins post his best career numbers in the early 2020s. He also helped breed Sam Darnold into the Super Bowl winner he became. The Vikings also add the best trio of wide receivers that Murray will have ever had: Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and Jauan Jennings. If all goes right, Murray could be a top-5 quarterback in fantasy football.”

Jefferson, meanwhile, is under contract with the Vikings through the end of 2028, though he could reasonably ask for a trade next summer if he sours on the club.

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Dustin Baker is a novelist and political scientist. His second novel, The Invaders , is out now. So is … More about Dustin Baker

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The Vikings Have 5 Red Flags in 2026

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Jordan Mason scores a touchdown against the Eagles at U.S. Bank Stadium.
Vikings running back Jordan Mason fights through contact near the goal line at U.S. Bank Stadium as Minnesota finishes a touchdown against Philadelphia in a home matchup. On Oct. 19, 2025, Mason powered into the end zone against the Eagles, giving the Vikings a physical scoring moment from the team’s official game footage. Mandatory Credit: YouTube.

The NFL regular season is now less than nine weeks away, and when the Minnesota Vikings get there, they’re supposed to finish 8-9 or 9-8, according to sportsbooks. It’s the same forecast that followed the franchise in the summer of 2024 before Minnesota chipped off 14 wins. With such a mediocre projection, the club must have some red flags, right?

Indeed, and we are here to lift up the main ones. The red flags are ranked in ascending order (No. 1 = biggest red flag).

Vikings’ Biggest Concern Still Starts at QB

Aaron Jones celebrates a touchdown with Justin Jefferson against the Cardinals. Vikings red flags 2026
Minnesota Vikings running back Aaron Jones celebrates with Justin Jefferson at U.S. Bank Stadium after scoring in the fourth quarter against the Arizona Cardinals. On Dec. 1, 2024, Jones marked the touchdown beside Minnesota’s star wide receiver as the Vikings pushed through another late-game sequence in front of their home crowd. Mandatory Credit: Brad Rempel-Imagn Images.

Bonus: No Game-Changing RB

VikingsTerritory mentions the rushing offense — and has done so for four years — so much that it always feels like the sun rising.

Minnesota ranked 19th in 2025 per rushing playcall percentage. The best teams — ones that win Super Bowls — run the football at a more balanced clip. Then, every summer, the Vikings coaches outwardly profess that they’re going to run the rock more and only effectuate that mission a teensy bit.

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The underlying problem? The team doesn’t have a young, game-changing running back. That was Dalvin Cook nine years ago, and he’s long gone. Rookie Demond Claiborne could fill this role, but 6th-Round tailbacks usually end up as RB3s or out of the league.

Minnesota’s main running backs are Aaron Jones and Jordan Mason. The duo is not overly dynamic.

5. iOL Depth

These are the Vikings’ interior offensive line starters:
Donovan Jackson (LG), Blake Brandel (C), and Will Fries (RG).

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These are the Vikings’ interior offensive line main backups:
Joe Huber (LG), Michael Jurgens (C), and Henry Byrd (RG).

Minnesota is one iOL injury away from serious heartburn.

4. Win-Now Head Coach v. Brand New GM

Most coaches don’t enter Year No. 5 with franchises sans a playoff win. But Kevin O’Connell will.

The Vikings are in the middle of their third-longest playoff win drought in franchise history, and while no one is vociferously screaming about O’Connell on the hot seat, doesn’t he have to, you know, win a postseason game sooner rather than later?

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Meanwhile, Minnesota fired Kwesi Adofo-Mensah in January and hired new general manager Nolan Teasley about five weeks ago. Teasley probably doesn’t think, “Oh, dear God, this team must win now.” He’s likely — hopefully — preparing the franchise for the long term.

If O’Connell needs a player via trade before the deadline in November, for example, will Teasley be willing to pull the trigger on a draft pick? There’s some self-imposed friction here — a head coach who must win versus a general manager who just walked through security.

3. Ruthless NFC Competition

As recently as three years ago, the NFC North always had a team to beat up. They just did. It was usually the Detroit Lions, sometimes intermixed with a mediocre-to-poor Chicago Bears team. The Vikings have also been mediocre every other year since 2012.

Dallas Turner sacks Jordan Love during a Vikings-Packers game at Lambeau Field. Vikings red flags 2026
Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love is brought down by Minnesota Vikings linebacker Dallas Turner at Lambeau Field during a division matchup in Green Bay. On Nov. 23, 2025, Turner finished the sack in the first half, giving Brian Flores’ defense a key pressure moment against Love and the Packers’ offense. Mandatory Credit: Kayla Wolf-Imagn Images.

The days of one pushover team in the NFC North are gone. Oddsmakers project every team to win at least eight games. Every NFC North matchup features, at least, a Wildcard playoff level of difficulty.

Even if Minnesota is good, 10-7 or so may be the ceiling inside a vicious division.

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2. OLB Depth

The Eagles acquired Jonathan Greenard via trade in April, and the Vikings went from showcasing the OLB room as its deepest unit to a roster question mark. Instead of Greenard, Andrew Van Ginkel, and Dallas Turner — “too much of a good thing” — it’s Van Ginkel, Turner, and possibly Bo Richter, Jake Golday, and Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins. There is genuine uncertainty at OLB3, something Vikings fans have not experienced in years.

Of course, this problem is easily fixable: Teasley could sign Von Miller, Jadeveon Clowney, or Leonard Floyd after breakfast today. He has $13 million in cap space.

But until he does that, Vikings football is one injury away from displaying Dallas Turner and Bo Richter as the main OLBs on the field on any given Sunday.

1. QB Uncertainty

It is terrific to have quarterback depth like Kyler Murray, J.J. McCarthy, Carson Wentz, and Max Brosmer. Sure. If one quarterback gets hurt, Minnesota has options, unlike 2023 and 2025 when it had to scramble and hope for the best.

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Kyler Murray throws a pass during Vikings minicamp in Eagan. Vikings red flags 2026
Minnesota Vikings quarterback Kyler Murray throws during minicamp at TCO Performance Center in Eagan as he works through summer reps inside Kevin O’Connell’s offense. In June 2026, the veteran passer continued learning the system after signing in March, preparing for a high-profile quarterback competition within Minnesota’s reshaped QB room before training camp arrived. Mandatory Credit: YouTube.

Here’s the one problem with having no declared QB1 by July: no other NFC North team is in that position. The Bears have Caleb Williams. The Lions had Jared Goff. The Packers have Jordan Love. Minnesota is the only NFC North squad with a huge quarterback mystery.

Generally speaking, it’s better to be in the other boat.


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Dustin Baker is a novelist and political scientist. His second novel, The Invaders , is out now. So is … More about Dustin Baker

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‘Epic rematch’ expected as Les Bleus face down The Atlas Lions

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WWE launches brand new title belt as merchandise at $2,000

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WWE is full of merchandise. With every possible chance, they ought to make some sort of merchandise from it and get their money’s worth. Now, a new addition has been made to their titles: a once-a-year-seen title replica has officially begun its sale. However, as of now, only the Men’s title is for sale.

The Stamford-based promotion is selling full-size replicas of its Crown Jewel Championship title belt through the WWE Shop for $1,999.99. The design is exactly like the original, with gold-plated accents and emerald-green gems in its enormous size. The title was introduced in 2024, specifically for the Crown Jewel PLE held annually. It began in Riyadh, and last year it went to Perth, Australia.

In 2024, Cody Rhodes and, last year, Seth Rollins won the very titles. The actual championship, however, no longer remains with the winners, as it is kept on permanent display at the WWE Experience attraction in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, and is brought back for the next iteration. It can now be seen frequently with replicas for those who buy the premium collectible.

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WWE Crown Jewel in 2025 took place in Perth

Crown Jewel 2025 took place on October 11, 2025, at the RAC Arena in Perth, Australia, delivering a historic five-match card. The show opened with Australia’s Bronson Reed defeating Roman Reigns in an Australian Street Fight. For the Women’s Crown Jewel Championship, RAW’s Women’s World Champion Stephanie Vaquer defeated SmackDown’s WWE Women’s Champion Tiffany Stratton.

Seen as one of John Cena’s best matches in 2025, he battled AJ Styles in a barn-burner with massive callbacks to the moves of wrestling legends. Cena captured a victory, making their singles matches in their five-match rivalry 3-2. In the penultimate match, Australian Anomaly Rhea Ripley, with her partner Iyo Sky, won the Women’s Tag Team Championship from The Kabuki Warriors.

The main event then was for the Men’s Crown Jewel Championship, where RAW’s World Heavyweight Champion Seth Rollins defeated SmackDown’s Undisputed Champion Cody Rhodes. In the end, both the Crown Jewel titleholders were in the ring celebrating their triumphs, capping off one of 2025’s best PLEs.