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Crypto World

Analyst Sees Pivotal Trend Test

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Crypto Breaking News

Bitcoin (BTC) gave up the $80,000 level over the weekend and now faces a historically significant battle around $74,000-$75,000. This zone has repeatedly served as a critical support floor over the past two years, and analysts say the next test could be pivotal for the ongoing bear market.

Analyst Ardi notes that the $74,000-$75,000 region has anchored BTC’s price action in multiple phases. In 2024, the zone helped cap a seven-month consolidation, and in early 2025 it provided support before Bitcoin ascended to cycle highs near $126,000. As BTC approaches this crucial band after posting a 5.78% weekly correction to roughly $77,900, the weight of the zone is reinforced by several major price pivots formed there across different timeframes.

Key takeaways

  • BTC is testing a long-standing support band around $74k-$75k after dipping below $80k, a level that has repeatedly defined price stability in recent years.
  • Analysts see the next retest of this zone as potentially decisive for the current bear market, given its historical role as a support anchor across multiple cycles.
  • The Bitcoin market-signal framework known as the bull-bear structure index has shifted back to bearish territory after BTC failed to sustain above $82k, signaling renewed selling pressure.
  • On-chain activity highlights a shift of long-term holders’ coins to exchanges, with a rising share of older BTC moving on-chain and toward selling, amplifying near-term downside risk.
  • If BTC can hold the $70k-$75k neighborhood, traders see potential for a relief rally toward the mid-to-high $80k range; a break below the zone could widen the downside toward $50k-$60k.

Critical price zone under scrutiny

As BTC approaches the $74,000-$75,000 corridor, market observers emphasize the zone’s weight as a potential fulcrum for the bear market. Ardi explains that this area has repeatedly functioned as a technical anchor, shaping strategic decisions for traders looking for the next directional impulse. The recurrence of pivotal pivots near this level across multiple timeframes adds to the sense that a robust defense here could extend the downtrend, while a durable hold might set the stage for a fresh leg higher once demand returns.

Bitcoin’s recent price action—trading around $77,900 after a weekly decline—puts the market in a position where a decisive hold in the $74k-$75k zone could calm near-term downside risks and pave the way for new momentum if buyers reemerge. The narrative hinges on whether buyers can sustain a floor in this band or if sellers gain the upper hand and drive BTC into deeper correction territory.

Bearish signals strengthen as price stalls above $82k

Market signals tracking BTC’s structural balance offer a sobering read. Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr. notes that the Bitcoin bull-bear structure index turned bearish again after BTC failed to maintain a run above $82,000 earlier this month. The metric aggregates six indicators—spanning ETF demand proxies, trader activity, exchange flows, and short-term momentum—to gauge whether buyers or sellers currently control the market. A positive reading points to buyer dominance, while a negative one signals growing selling pressure.

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The bullish tilt proved fleeting. The index turned positive for less than three trading days, around early May when BTC flirted with $82,000. By May 17, the reading had collapsed to -23.49, underscoring a swift reversal toward seller control. This shift aligns with a broader view that fading upside momentum could be accompanied by renewed selling pressure, particularly if price fails to sustain critical levels.

On-chain dynamics reinforce this sentiment. CryptoQuant data show more BTC flowing onto exchanges from investors who bought BTC six to twelve months ago, a cohort that typically sits on significant unrealized losses when prices retreat. The analysis notes the average cost basis among this cohort sits around $110,851, suggesting many holders are vulnerable to realizing losses as prices pull back.

Historically, this reflects investors locking in major losses and exiting the market, creating severe spot-market selling pressure.

Additionally, the share of older coins moving to exchanges spiked to about 10.54%, far above the usual sub-1% threshold. Easy On Chain highlighted this pattern as a potential sign that longer-held positions are being liquidated, adding to near-term selling pressure and challenging the odds of a rapid rebound until demand returns.

For context, recent coverage around Bitcoin’s price action has also looked at potential near-term traps and the broader supply/demand balance. A linked analysis from Cointelegraph discussed a bullish trap around the mid-$70k range, underscoring how fragile the market’s immediate upside can be when tested at key levels.

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What happens next: scanning the two likely paths

Traders are watching the $70,000 level as a more decisive floor. Alex Wacy, another market observer cited in the coverage, framed the possible outcomes as a bifurcation: holding the $70k zone could underpin a return to the $85,000–$90,000 range, rekindling bullish expectations if demand reasserts itself. Conversely, losing the $70k area—and notably breaking below the $74k-$75k support band—could open a path toward deeper losses, potentially targeting the $50,000–$60,000 region if the selling pressure persists and momentum fails to recover.

These scenarios reflect a market navigating a delicate balance between macro uncertainty, fading upside momentum, and shifting on-chain behavior. If buyers manage to stablize above the pivotal zone, workflow from traders, funds, and miners could align toward a renewed attempt at higher highs, possibly drawing in fresh participation and forcing a reappraisal of risk in a market that has struggled to sustain meaningful rallies since mid-2024.

The broader context remains important. The interaction between price action, on-chain movements, and market sentiment indicators suggests a market that could see either a short-lived relief rally or a renewed leg lower depending on whether buyers respond decisively around the $74k-$75k zone. As always, traders will be parsing every retail and institutional signal, while analysts emphasize that a broad macro backdrop—ranging from central bank policies to global risk appetite—will continue to shape BTC’s trajectory.

Readers should monitor the next price action near the $74k-$75k support and the $82k threshold for momentum. The next few weeks could reveal whether the bear market finds a durable floor or slides further as longer-term holders reassess risk and exit positions into strength or weakness in the spot market. For ongoing analysis and updates, keep an eye on market commentary that connects price levels with on-chain signals and fund flows, as these elements collectively illuminate the risk-reward landscape for Bitcoin in the near term.

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Related reading: BTC price ‘bull trap’ at $76.5K? Five things to know in Bitcoin this week

Risk & affiliate notice: Crypto assets are volatile and capital is at risk. This article may contain affiliate links. Read full disclosure

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Digital Assets Security: BitGo Expert Outlines How Businesses Can Enter the Space Safely

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • BitGo’s Deputy CISO says businesses must prioritize custody decisions before selecting any digital asset tools or wallets.
  • Hot and cold wallet choices should align with a company’s liquidity needs and intended digital asset usage profiles.
  • Governance frameworks covering people, process, and technology must be in place before any transactions begin.
  • Business model alignment, not trend-chasing, should drive every company’s digital asset architecture and strategy decisions.

Digital assets security remains a top priority as businesses accelerate their move into the digital asset economy. BitGo Deputy CISO Manny Khan has outlined a structured approach for companies entering this space.

Writing in Forbes, Khan argues that businesses often get the process backwards. Most organizations start with tools rather than building the right foundation.

His framework centers on custody, governance, and architecture decisions tailored to each business model.

Custody and Wallet Architecture Must Come Before Anything Else

Custody is the first decision any business should make before entering the digital asset space. Khan stresses that organizations must honestly assess whether they are ready to hold digital assets internally.

Handing this responsibility to an IT team without proper preparation can lead to irreversible losses. History has shown that preventable mistakes in this area carry serious consequences.

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For businesses handling meaningful value, partnering with a regulated, institutional-grade provider may be more appropriate. This does not mean all companies should follow the same path.

Each organization must weigh its internal maturity against external options realistically. Security and control are not mutually exclusive, but achieving both requires the right fiduciary relationships.

Wallet architecture decisions should also be driven by purpose, not convention. Hot wallets suit speed and operational availability, while cold wallets prioritize long-term asset protection.

Neither option is universally superior to the other. The right choice depends entirely on liquidity needs and intended usage.

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Multi-sig and MPC technologies also carry real operational consequences. They affect accountability, transparency, and resilience across the organization.

Companies should categorize digital assets by usage and liquidity profiles. Forcing all use cases into one mold typically increases risk rather than reducing it.

Governance Frameworks and Business Model Alignment Drive Long-Term Success

Governance must be established before a company begins transacting in digital assets. Khan’s framework covers people, process, and technology, with disciplined vigilance at the center.

Teams need a clear understanding of the stakes involved at every level. Processes must define approvals, controls, and accountability from the start.

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As Khan noted via BitGo’s official post: “Most businesses are approaching it backwards, starting with tools instead of building the right foundation first.” Digital asset readiness requires compliance, security, finance, and operational controls working together.

Treating it as a simple infrastructure project misses the real challenge entirely. Silos between departments create misalignment and increase exposure.

Business model alignment is equally critical when developing a digital asset strategy. A trading firm has different liquidity needs than a corporate treasury function.

A fintech business requires secure API integration, while a B2B2B provider may need shared-control models. Architecture decisions should always work backward from the customer profile and operating model.

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Not every company requires the same level of urgency in adopting digital assets. Businesses operating locally or within narrow geographic footprints may not need immediate action.

However, cross-border activity and settlement friction are pushing global companies in this direction. Leaders must approach this space with clear eyes, sound controls, and architectures that fit their specific business.

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3 Factors May Send Bitcoin Price Back To $80K

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3 Factors May Send Bitcoin Price Back To $80K

Key takeaways:

  • Aggressive Bitcoin buying by Strategy helped to offset the recent leveraged long liquidations.
  • Rising bond yields and a heavy US government debt burden are driving investors toward scarce assets.
  • A potential deal between the US and Iran could quickly restore traders’ risk appetite.

Bitcoin (BTC) faced a rejection following a failed attempt to break above $82,000 on Thursday. A subsequent retest of the $76,000 level on Monday triggered $400 million in liquidations for bullish Bitcoin positions over a four-day period. While traders’ confidence took a hit from the 7% price decline, the prospects for recovering the $80,000 mark remain valid.

Bitcoin reserve accumulation by Strategy (MSTR US). Source: Strategy

US-listed Strategy (MSTR US) completed the acquisition of $2 billion in BTC over the past week alone. Spearheaded by Michael Saylor, the company continues to surprise investors by finding innovative ways to reduce the cost of capital and raise cash through equity issuance, whether via MSTR common stock or STRC preferred equity.

More importantly, Strategy proved the company can also capitalize on a weaker market by repurchasing $1.5 billion of its debt due in 2029. Retiring some of its senior convertible notes reduces potential future dilution for current MSTR holders. This move clears the runway for new share issuance and additional Bitcoin purchases.

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S&P 500 index (left) vs. US 10-year Treasury yield (right). Source: TradingView

From a macroeconomic perspective, the odds of a sustainable bullish momentum for Bitcoin improved as traders demanded higher returns to hold government bonds. Yields on the 10-year Treasury jumped to 4.60%, hitting their highest level in 16 months. Investors are gradually realizing the heavy burden on the US Treasury, especially with $2 trillion in long-term debt maturing in 2026.

US dollar weakness and a potential deal with Iran

The US Federal Reserve will likely need to continue accumulating bonds and Treasurys, a move that potentially weakens the US dollar. Typically, investors seek shelter in scarce assets when they lose confidence in the central bank’s ability to navigate a crisis without devaluing the currency. Even if gold acts as the primary beneficiary, the incentive to hold fixed-income assets drops significantly.

Gold/USD (left) vs. Bitcoin/USD (right). Source: TradingView

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Gold prices surged in January after the US captured Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro and President Trump’s global trade war escalated. However, gold retraced most of those gains over the next four months, while Bitcoin built strong bullish momentum, jumping to $76,500 from $65,000 in late February. These recent price moves hint at growing confidence in Bitcoin as a reliable hedge instrument.

Related: Analysts debate whether Bitcoin is in ‘sell in May’ bear market setup

Crude Brent oil prices jumped to $113 on Monday as negotiations to fully reopen the Strait of Hormuz backpedaled. Oil prices have surged more than 50% since the US and Israel attacked Iran in late February. President Trump’s administration also decided not to renew a waiver for Russian crude oil, further squeezing supply, according to Yahoo Finance.

A deal between the US and Iran, while not the baseline scenario, could trigger renewed risk appetite and catapult the Bitcoin price back above $80,000. Inflation has been pinned down by high energy prices, limiting the odds of expansionary monetary policies. Even so, the odds favor Bitcoin, as the US stock market is hovering near its all-time high while the cryptocurrency still sits 39% below its peak.

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Hyperliquid's HYPE Token Rallies 7% as Trade.xyz Launches First Pre-IPO Perpetual Market for SpaceX

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Hyperliquid's HYPE Token Rallies 7% as Trade.xyz Launches First Pre-IPO Perpetual Market for SpaceX


HYPE token gained 7% over 24 hours following the launch of a synthetic SpaceX pre-IPO perpetual contract on Hyperliquid, valuing the private aerospace company at $1.78 trillion.

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SEC to propose tokenized stock framework as Wall Street efforts deepen: Bloomberg

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SEC to propose tokenized stock framework as Wall Street efforts deepen: Bloomberg


The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is reportedly poised to release a major crypto proposal as it seeks to institute its digital assets agenda.

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Citi Warns Bitcoin Is More Vulnerable to Quantum Computing Attacks Than Ethereum

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

TLDR:

  • Citi warns quantum computing could break Bitcoin encryption, with Q-Day set between 2030 and 2032.
  • An estimated 6.7 to 7 million BTC in exposed wallets make Bitcoin a prime quantum attack target.
  • Ethereum’s flexible governance positions it to adapt more readily against the quantum computing threat.
  • Fireblocks CEO calls Bitcoin’s quantum risk a coordination issue and notes post-quantum tools exist.

Quantum computing poses a growing threat to the crypto sector, according to a new Citi research note. The report warns that Bitcoin faces far greater exposure than Ethereum.

That divide, analysts argue, comes down to governance rather than technology alone. Recent breakthroughs have pushed the estimated timeline for practical quantum attacks to as early as 2030.

With millions of Bitcoin already at risk, the industry is watching this closely. Analysts say the window for preparation is narrowing fast.

Bitcoin’s Structural Vulnerability to Quantum Attacks

Bitcoin transactions expose the sender’s public key to the network until they are confirmed. This creates a window where a quantum attacker could theoretically derive a private key.

From there, the attacker could redirect funds before the transaction is finalized. The exposure is brief but real, and it grows more dangerous as quantum computing hardware improves.

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Google’s research suggests a 500,000-qubit machine could break Bitcoin’s encryption in minutes. No such machine currently exists, but the pace of progress is accelerating.

Google places its Q-Day estimate at 2032, while some researchers suggest 2030. Either way, the crypto industry has limited time to act.

The dormant wallet problem makes Bitcoin’s exposure more pressing. An estimated 6.7 to 7 million BTC sit in wallets with public keys already exposed. These wallets represent a concentrated and attractive target for any future quantum-capable actor.

Among those wallets, roughly 1 million Bitcoin believed to be mined by Satoshi Nakamoto remain untouched. These coins use early address formats that are particularly vulnerable to quantum attacks. At current prices, they carry an estimated value of around $82 billion.

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Governance Gap Separates Bitcoin and Ethereum

Ethereum and other proof-of-stake networks are better positioned to adapt, Citi analysts said. Their more flexible governance allows for faster protocol changes when needed.

Ethereum also has a demonstrated history of regular protocol upgrades. That agility gives it a structural advantage against the quantum computing threat.

Bitcoin’s conservative, consensus-driven model is widely seen as central to its credibility. That same model, however, makes rapid protocol changes slow and contested.

Moving to quantum-resistant cryptography would likely require a hard fork, a notoriously difficult process. Broad network consensus would need to be achieved before any changes take effect.

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Fireblocks CEO Michael Shaulov addressed this at the Financial Times Digital Asset Summit, arguing that the threat “is not actually a threat as people make it out to be.”

He described Bitcoin’s quantum challenge as “mostly a coordination issue” for the community rather than a technical one.

Shaulov further noted that “the entire internet industry needs to basically leapfrog and start using post-quantum encryption,” adding that “generally speaking, we have the available algorithm.” His remarks suggest that preparation, not the threat itself, remains the real challenge.

Citi’s analysts pointed to BIP-360 and BIP-361 as proposed Bitcoin upgrades worth monitoring. Ethereum, meanwhile, is not entirely immune to quantum threats either.

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A quantum-enabled attacker could theoretically acquire enough private keys to control 33% of staked assets. This could allow disruption of block finality or broader network operations.

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Bitwise HYPE ETF pledges 10% fees to buybacks

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Geopolitical shock showed why finance is moving on-chain soon

Bitwise will devote 10% of its HYPE ETF management fee to buying HYPE on its balance sheet.

Summary

  • Bitwise announced it will devote 10% of its BHYP Hyperliquid ETF management fee to purchasing and holding HYPE tokens on its balance sheet.
  • The BHYP ETF launched on NYSE on May 15 with a 0.34% sponsor fee, the first US product to offer in-house staking through Bitwise Onchain Solutions.
  • Combined with 21Shares’ THYP product, the two Hyperliquid ETFs have accumulated over $5.6 million in net inflows since launching last week.

Bitwise Asset Management announced that it will devote 10% of the management fee from its Bitwise Hyperliquid ETF (NYSE: BHYP) to holding HYPE on its balance sheet. The firm said the move mirrors Hyperliquid’s own tokenomics, which routes roughly 99% of protocol revenue through its Assistance Fund to repurchase HYPE.

“Hyperliquid’s token is explicitly designed so that rising trading activity on the Hyperliquid platform directly benefits token holders,” said Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer of Bitwise. “This has translated into historically strong returns. We think it’s one of the most exciting assets in crypto.”

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HYPE ETF structure and the buyback signal

BHYP launched on NYSE on May 15 with a 0.34% sponsor fee, waived for the first month on the fund’s first $500 million in assets. It is the only US-listed Hyperliquid product to stake HYPE through the issuer’s own infrastructure rather than a third party. As crypto.news reported, HYPE rebounded toward $46 following the launch and has recovered roughly 65% since the start of 2026.

The 10% fee commitment adds a second capital channel into HYPE beyond staking. Bitwise stakes the fund’s holdings through Bitwise Onchain Solutions, with rewards flowing back into the fund after a 15% fee. Adding balance sheet purchases from management fees means institutional capital flows into HYPE through two parallel mechanisms.

Competing with BHYP is 21Shares’ THYP product, which launched on Nasdaq earlier in the week and drew approximately $1.2 million in inflows on its first day. Together, the two HYPE ETFs have accumulated more than $5.6 million in total net inflows.

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Why the fee model matters for HYPE

Hyperliquid saw $2.9 trillion in trading volume in 2025, up more than 400% year on year, and currently commands roughly 60% of all on-chain derivatives open interest globally. HYPE’s market cap stands above $11 billion, making it the tenth-largest crypto asset by market capitalisation.

As crypto.news documented in its April filing update, Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas flagged the addition of the BHYP ticker and fee details as signs the fund was approaching launch.

The fee-to-buyback pledge aligns Bitwise’s incentives directly with Hyperliquid’s community-first model. Every dollar of management fee generates a fraction of HYPE that sits permanently on Bitwise’s balance sheet, creating a demand mechanism that scales with fund AUM alongside ETF inflow growth.

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Tom Lee Links Ethereum Weakness to Rising Oil Prices

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According to Bitmine Chairman Tom Lee, rising oil prices are the biggest reason Ethereum (ETH) has been struggling, and he says the inverse correlation between the two assets has hit the highest level ever recorded.

His observation has come at a time when ETH is trading near $2,100, down roughly 3% in 24 hours and 12% over the past month.

The Oil Connection

Lee laid out his thinking in a post on X on May 18, saying that as oil prices climbed over the past six weeks, ETH fell in step. “Rising oil prices is the biggest headwind,” he wrote, noting that the ETH-oil inverse correlation was at its “highest ever.” According to him, the implication is straightforward. Should oil reverse lower, ETH is likely to recover.

However, Lee was careful to frame this as short-term noise rather than a structural problem. The longer-term case, in his view, still rests on two things: tokenization of real-world assets and agentic AI.

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“These structural drivers are in place,” he wrote. “Thus, we expect ETH prices to be stronger as we move through 2026.”

The timing of his comments matters. ETH has been grinding lower for weeks, and the drop accelerated on May 18 after fresh geopolitical pressure came from US President Donald Trump, who warned Iran that its “clock is ticking” in a Truth Social post.

BTC slid to around $76,700 in response, its lowest level since early May, while over $660 million in leveraged positions were liquidated across the market, with ETH accounting for $256 million of that wipeout, according to data from CoinGlass.

The sell-off on Binance and OKX was particularly aggressive, with figures shared by analyst Amr Taha showing that taker sell volume on Binance crossed $1.1 billion as ETH pushed toward $2,100.

A Market Cleared of Longs

What the liquidation data shows is a market that has been largely flushed of bullish leverage. According to market observer CW, only about $600 million in high-leverage ETH long positions remain, while short positions have reached $6.3 billion, more than ten times the size of the long side.

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They also noted that a new CME gap has formed around $2,200 and that three unfilled CME gaps now sit between the current price and $3,200, removing a layer of downside technical risk.

Another trader, Crypto Ed, said both Bitcoin and Ethereum had entered what he described as “green box” support zones, though he still expected another leg lower before any sustained recovery. ETH hit a 10-month low against BTC over the weekend, with the ETH/BTC pair falling under 0.028, a level not seen since the middle of last year.

The post Tom Lee Links Ethereum Weakness to Rising Oil Prices appeared first on CryptoPotato.

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Bitcoin Traders Monitor $74K Support As Sell Pressure Increases

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Bitcoin Traders Monitor $74K Support As Sell Pressure Increases

Bitcoin (BTC) lost its hold on the $80,000 level over the weekend, and data suggest that the cryptocurrency needs to trade above the $74,000-$75,000 range, as it has repeatedly served as key support over the last two years. 

Crypto analyst Ardi said the next retest of the $74,000-$75,000 range could become the most important support test of the current bear market.

The analyst pointed to the role that the price range played during the last two years. In 2024, Bitcoin struggled to break above the range during a seven-month-long consolidation. In Q1 2025, the same area held as support before BTC rallied toward its cycle highs at $126,000.

BTC/USD, one-day chart analysis by Ardi. Source: X

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Bitcoin is now approaching this level after its 5.78% weekly correction to $77,900. Ardi said the zone carries added weight because several major price pivots formed at $74,000-$75,000 across multiple time frames.

Crypto trader Alex Wacy focused on the $70,000 level. Wacy said holding that area could support a move back toward $85,000-$90,000. Losing it could open the door to a larger decline toward the $50,000-$60,000 range.

Related: BTC price ‘bull trap’ at $76.5K? Five things to know in Bitcoin this week

Bitcoin market signal weakens again

Bitcoin researcher Axel Adler Jr. said the Bitcoin bull-bear structure index turned bearish again after BTC failed to stay above $82,000 earlier this month.

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It tracks six indicators linked to exchange-traded fund (ETF) demand, trader activity, exchange flows, and short-term price momentum. A positive reading indicates buyers are in control, while a negative reading points to growing seller pressure.

Bitcoin bull-bear structure index. Source: CryptoQuant

The bullish signal lasted less than three trading days. On May 6, the index briefly turned positive as Bitcoin climbed near $82,000. By May 17, the reading had dropped to -23.49, indicating that sellers quickly regained control.

Meanwhile, CryptoQuant data showed more Bitcoin moving onto exchanges from investors who bought BTC six to 12 months ago. The average buying price was around $110,851, meaning many are now sitting on large unrealized losses after the latest drop.

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The share of older coins moving to exchanges also surged to 10.54%, far above its usual level below 1%, with market analyst Easy On Chain stating

“Historically, this reflects investors locking in major losses and exiting the market, creating severe spot-market selling pressure.”

Related: Saylor’s Strategy scoops $2B Bitcoin, holdings reach 843,738 BTC

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Citi warns Bitcoin faces quantum risk

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Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin, and new utility protocols

Citi warned Monday that Bitcoin faces an outsized quantum computing threat, with up to 6.9 million BTC already vulnerable.

Summary

  • Citi’s May 18 digital asset research note says quantum computing advances are compressing the timeline for when machines could break Bitcoin’s encryption.
  • Bitcoin is particularly exposed because its decentralised governance makes protocol upgrades slow and difficult to coordinate, unlike proof-of-stake networks.
  • An estimated 6.5 to 6.9 million BTC have public keys already exposed on-chain, representing roughly one-third of circulating supply valued at around $450 billion.

Citi analyst Alex Saunders warned in a May 18 digital asset research note that accelerating quantum computing advances are shortening the timeline for risks to Bitcoin and broader internet infrastructure.

The bank said Bitcoin is particularly exposed because its conservative governance structure makes protocol upgrades slow and difficult to coordinate.

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The Citi Institute has been tracking quantum risk to financial systems throughout 2026, estimating that a quantum-enabled attack on a major US bank could put $2 to $3.3 trillion of GDP at risk, as reported by The Quantum Insider in February.

“While large-scale quantum attacks remain a medium-term concern, the pace of progress has shortened the horizon and warrants closer attention from investors,” Saunders wrote in the note.

Bitcoin’s governance is its quantum weakness

Citi identified vulnerabilities tied to public keys already exposed on-chain. Older Bitcoin addresses using pay-to-public-key outputs left public keys permanently visible, including wallets believed to belong to Bitcoin’s pseudonymous creator Satoshi Nakamoto. The bank estimates 6.5 to 6.9 million BTC hold already-exposed keys, worth roughly $450 billion at current prices.

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The report flagged a “harvest now, decrypt later” risk, where attackers collect encrypted data today for future quantum-enabled decryption. Proof-of-stake networks such as Ethereum may be better positioned to respond because they upgrade protocols more frequently, Citi said.

However, the bank warned they present a larger attack surface. The crypto.news Bitcoin price page shows Bitcoin currently trading at around $76,900.

How far away is the actual threat?

The bank said it remains constructive on crypto’s long-term ability to adapt through post-quantum cryptography. Proposed Bitcoin upgrades including BIP-360 and BIP-361 are in development but require broad consensus among miners and node operators, a process that historically takes years.

Broader Bitcoin ecosystem context matters here: as crypto.news reported in its Q1 2026 mining sector coverage, the Bitcoin network is navigating simultaneously rising energy costs, the AI pivot among miners, and now growing institutional scrutiny of its long-term cryptographic resilience.

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JPMorgan has separately noted that miners pivoting to AI face high capital needs and potential shareholder dilution, underlining that the broader Bitcoin infrastructure is undergoing structural stress from multiple directions at once.

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Bitcoin faces outsized quantum threat as computing breakthroughs accelerate, Citi says

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It might be too late for bitcoin’s quantum migration, Project Eleven report argues


The bank said accelerating advances in quantum computing are compressing the timeline for risks to crypto and broader internet infrastructure, with Bitcoin seen as particularly exposed.

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