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South Korea’s $40B Leverage Bet on U.S. Tech Is Flashing Red

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

TLDR:

  • Korean retail poured $40B into U.S. leveraged ETFs in 2025, with $7B flowing in December alone.
  • South Korean regulators imposed training rules to limit retail access to 2x and 3x offshore ETFs.
  • The KOSPI has rallied 177% over the past year, driven largely by semiconductor stocks.
  • Volatility is rising at market highs, signaling stretched positioning through aggressive leverage.

South Korea’s stock market is sitting on a $40 billion leverage position in U.S. tech assets. The KOSPI has surged 177% over the past year. 

On the surface, semiconductor giants Samsung and SK Hynix drove most of that momentum. But a deeper look reveals a retail-driven leverage story that regulators are already scrambling to address.

Korean Retail Floods U.S. Leveraged ETFs at Historic Pace

Korean retail investors allocated $40 billion into U.S. leveraged ETFs throughout 2025. Of that total, $7 billion entered in December alone. 

The pace alarmed South Korean financial regulators enough to intervene directly. Authorities imposed mandatory training and mock trading requirements to restrict retail access to these instruments.

The same investor class that fueled the crypto “Kimchi Premium” has rotated into equities. Their appetite for high-risk, high-return products has not cooled. They simply shifted the arena. The move has concentrated enormous exposure into 2x and 3x U.S. tech ETFs.

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This is not a niche segment of the market. Korean retail is widely recognized as one of the most active investor bases globally. Their capital flows carry real weight in offshore markets. At $40 billion, their U.S. ETF positioning is now systemically relevant.

The regulatory response confirms the scale of concern. Training requirements and mock trading rules are unusual interventions. They signal that authorities view the current behavior as a structural risk, not just speculative excess.

Rising Volatility at Market Highs Signals Stretched Positioning

Volatility is climbing even as the KOSPI holds near euphoric highs. That combination is historically unusual. Volatility typically spikes during market bottoms, not tops. When it rises alongside highs, it often reflects aggressive call buying and overextended leverage.

According to data flagged by Bull Theory, the current setup involves three overlapping risk layers. A 177% domestic rally almost entirely dependent on semiconductors. 

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Forty billion dollars parked in highly leveraged offshore tech products. And volatility expanding while prices stay elevated.

If U.S. tech corrects, Korean retail faces pressure on both fronts simultaneously. Their KOSPI holdings decline on weaker chip export expectations. Their leveraged U.S. ETF positions amplify losses in real time. The two portfolios move against them at once.

Seoul’s market is now directly tethered to Nasdaq price action, according to Bull Theory’s analysis. Korean retail has become a significant marginal buyer of high-beta U.S. tech. That linkage runs both ways.

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Crypto World

BTC Plunges Below $64K as US-Israel Military Action Against Iran Triggers Crypto Selloff

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Bitcoin (BTC) Price

TLDR

  • BTC plummeted almost 5% toward $63,000 following coordinated US-Israeli military operations against Iranian targets
  • The cryptocurrency reached its weakest level since the February 5 market crash when BTC momentarily fell under $60,000
  • Israel’s Defense Minister Israel Katz announced a nationwide state of emergency throughout the country
  • BTC’s continuous trading schedule positions it as an immediate outlet for risk aversion when traditional markets remain closed
  • Market participants dumped bitcoin as it represented one of the only major liquid assets accessible during weekend hours

The world’s leading cryptocurrency experienced a dramatic decline on Saturday, February 28, 2026, plunging toward $63,000 following military strikes executed by the United States and Israel against Iran.

Bitcoin (BTC) Price
Bitcoin (BTC) Price

The digital asset shed nearly 5% of its value within mere minutes, representing a significant blow to the cryptocurrency market.

The selloff pushed bitcoin to levels not witnessed since February 5, when the digital currency momentarily traded beneath the $60,000 threshold.

Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz announced a comprehensive state of emergency covering the entire nation immediately following the commencement of the military operations.

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According to The Wall Street Journal, a U.S. official verified American involvement in the coordinated attacks.

Reuters reported that Israeli officials characterized the military action as a “preemptive strike,” citing statements from the nation’s defense leadership.

Why Bitcoin Sold Off First

Unlike traditional equity and bond markets that close for weekends, Bitcoin operates continuously without interruption, 24 hours daily, seven days weekly.

This constant availability positions it as among the few substantial, liquid assets accessible for traders to offload during heightened risk periods outside conventional market operating hours.

This behavior represents a recurring phenomenon. BTC frequently experiences rapid selloffs during geopolitical crises, often rebounding once conventional markets resume trading.

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“Bitcoin just dropped off a cliff,” one market observer shared on X, further predicting that “Monday will be a bloodbath in the market.”

Geopolitical Context

The military operations arrive after several weeks of escalating U.S. military presence and unsuccessful nuclear discussions with Iranian leadership.

Market analysts had previously been examining potential implications of Iranian conflict for bitcoin, precious metals, and equity markets.

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The military action heightens the possibility of expanded regional warfare in one of the globe’s most economically critical regions.

In recent months, bitcoin’s price movement has diverged from gold, challenging its narrative as a safe-haven or “digital gold” investment vehicle.

As of Saturday morning hours, bitcoin was changing hands near $63,000, with additional market volatility anticipated when conventional financial markets resume operations Monday.

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Crypto World

Altcoins Bleed Out After Trump Confirms Attacks Against Iran, BTC Down to $63K: Weekend Watch

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BTCUSD Feb 28. Source: TradingView


KCS, STABLE, and PIPPIN are today’s top losers after the latest attacks.

Bitcoin’s price moves took another turn for the worse in the past few hours after Israel attacked Iran, and then US President Trump confirmed his country was also involved.

Numerous altcoins have bled out heavily, while Binance Coin has taken advantage and surpassed XRP in terms of market cap.

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BTC Dumps Again

It was already a highly volatile trading week for the primary cryptocurrency as the bears seemed to be in full control by Tuesday. At the time, they pushed the asset south to a multi-week low of $62,500. However, bitcoin rebounded almost immediately and skyrocketed by several grand to $70,000 on Wednesday.

Many analysts speculated whether this was a typical dead-cat bounce, which turned out to be the case. At first, BTC slipped to around $68,000, where it spent most of Thursday and Friday. However, the situation worsened once again on Saturday morning when Israel launched a “preemptive” attack against Iran and issued a state of emergency.

In minutes, BTC plunged to under $62,800 before it recovered some ground to $63,400 as of press time. US President Donald Trump confirmed that the US was also involved in the attacks, and more volatility is expected later today as the situation unravels.

As of now, bitcoin’s market cap has slid to $1.275 trillion on CG, while its dominance over the alts is below 56%.

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BTCUSD Feb 28. Source: TradingView
BTCUSD Feb 28. Source: TradingView

Alts Bleed

The graph below will show the painful reality in the altcoin space, in which almost all assets are deep in the red. ETH has plunged by $200 in the past few days to $1,850. XRP was surpassed by BNB after a 9% drop, while SOL has slumped by double digits to under $80.

ADA, HYPE, BCH, DOGE, CC, LINK, and XLM have plummeted hard as well. Declines of up to 20% are evident from KCS, PIPPIN, and STABLE, while stablecoins linked to gold are in the green.

The total crypto market cap has erased over $100 billion in the past day or so and is deep below $2.3 trillion on CG.

Cryptocurrency Market Overview Daily Feb 28. Source: QuantifyCrypto
Cryptocurrency Market Overview Daily Feb 28. Source: QuantifyCrypto
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US, Israel Move on Iran Forces Bitcoin Toward $63,000

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US, Israel Move on Iran Forces Bitcoin Toward $63,000

Bitcoin faced geopolitical instability alone as a weekend move on Iran saw traditional markets closed, with key support still holding.

Bitcoin (BTC) daily losses neared 4% on Saturday as the US and Israel announced a military operation in Iran.

Key points:

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  • Bitcoin targets $63,000 as US President Donald Trump confirms a major bombing campaign inside Iran.

  • Trump highlights nuclear infrastructure as a key target of the joint raids with Israel.

  • Crypto markets react alone with TradFi trading suspended until futures return.

Trump tells Iranians: “Take over your government”

Data from TradingView showed BTC price action testing $63,000 as crypto markets reacted to the weekend’s events.

BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingView

In a video address, US President Donald Trump said that the goal of the move was to target Iran’s nuclear infrastructure, but finished by calling on Iranians to take control of the incumbent government.

“When we are finished, take over your government; it will be yours to take,” he said.

“This will be, probably, your only chance for generations. For many years, you have asked for America’s help, but you never got it.”

With US stock market futures yet to open, crypto was alone in deciding on how to react to fresh geopolitical instability.

Data from CoinGlass showed liquidations passing $250 million in the four hours to the time of writing.

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BTC liquidation heatmap (screenshot). Source: CoinGlass

“The US and Israel now appear to be at war with Iran for the second time in 8 months,” trading resource The Kobeissi Letter wrote in a response on X.

Kobeissi referenced a previous Iran offensive in 2025 — an event that sparked an immediate, volatile reaction across crypto and risk assets.

Bitcoin reacts to familiar cues

With core support levels still holding for BTC/USD, the fresh escalation comes at a key time for traders as the final hours tick down to the February monthly close.

Related: Price predictions 2/27: BTC, ETH, XRP, BNB, SOL, DOGE, BCH, ADA, HYPE, LINK

As Cointelegraph reported, the pair is now down roughly as much as in February 2025, and due to seal its fifth consecutive month of losses — something not encountered in seven years.

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Hot US inflation data added another headwind for Bitcoin bulls on Friday, after they tried and failed to reclaim key support levels closer to $70,000.