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Peter Schiff predicts oil prices going higher, economic ‘downturn’

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Peter Schiff predicts oil prices going higher, economic 'downturn'

Oil prices will rise even higher regardless of whether the Iran war ends, U.S. economic and political commentator Peter Schiff predicted during an interview with Fox News Digital on Wednesday, noting that he expects an economic “downturn.”

Schiff, chief economist and global strategist of Euro Pacific Asset Management and host of “The Peter Schiff Show” podcast, described the elevated prices as “a tax on the economy,” opining, “I don’t think it’s over.”

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“I think oil prices are headed significantly higher from here — not just oil, but everything related to, to energy,” he explained, “especially… diesel, which is gonna have a particularly harmful impact because that is the fuel… that is used in, in agriculture, it’s used in transportation, all the trucks are diesel,” he noted, adding that this will “affect the price of pretty much everything.”

The AAA national average price for diesel recently hit the highest recorded average price of $6.5276 as of Tuesday, but inched down to $6.5141 by Thursday.

While Americans have been facing elevated fuel prices amid the Iran war, Schiff also pointed to the Federal Reserve as part of the reason for the energy prices.

SENATORS PRESS PRESIDENT TRUMP TO RELEASE HOME HEATING OIL RESERVES AMID SOARING PRICES

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Peter Schiff

Peter Schiff at the London Blockchain Conference at The Queen Elizabeth II Conference Centre on June 2, 2023, in London. (Eamonn M. McCormack/Getty Images for London Blockchain Conference )

“But the Fed’s monetary policy has been much too loose for much too long,” he said. “The quarter-point rate hike… last week is too little too late to really derail the inflation train. And I think you’re gonna see a lot of upward pressure on all prices” due to “Fed policy,” Schiff explained. 

He also pointed out that the U.S. will eventually “have to stop selling” oil from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR).

“And I think the same thing is gonna happen with other countries that have been liquidating reserves in order to… artificially suppress prices,” he said, noting, “imagine what happens if we have to start replenishing those depleted reserves. That would put even more upward pressure on prices.”

The supply of crude oil in the U.S. SPR has fallen significantly this year from over 400 million barrels down to more than 284 million as of the most recent data posted by the U.S. Energy Information Administration.

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“Look, I think the prices will be lower if we manage to get ourselves outta this war. How much lower it’s hard to say. Because I think even if we have some kinda deal to end the war, I don’t know that you could trust it,” he said. “I think that there’s gonna be a risk premium for many years now because you have no idea when the war would resume.”

US ECONOMY ‘WORSE’ OFF THAN WHEN BIDEN DEPARTED, PETER SCHIFF SAYS, WARNING OF 2028 DEM SOCIALIST ‘THREAT’

“Maybe we get some kind of deal, a ceasefire or something, but… we’ve seen these deals before and… they immediately blow up,” he noted.

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Schiff said he believes “oil prices are going up regardless of the outcome of the war and whether we end it or not. It’s just that if the war continues, I think the prices will be higher than if it doesn’t continue,” he said, predicting that prices will increase “either way.”

President Donald Trump asserted in part of a Truth Social post last week, “The World’s Diesel price rise is mostly caused by the Russia/Ukraine War, not Iran.”

Schiff expects unemployment to rise and consumer spending to fall, speculating that the Fed may “not raise interest rates as much as they should to contain inflation. In fact, they may even end up cutting rates if the economy is weak enough.”

“If the Fed tries to stimulate the economy or fight rising unemployment by rate cuts or quantitative easing, that’s gonna fuel the fire that’s already burning in, in consumer prices,” energy included, he noted.

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IRAN WAR COSTS US HOUSEHOLDS $860 MORE IN HIGHER ENERGY PRICES, ECONOMIST SAYS

Peter Schiff

Peter Schiff onstage during “How a ‘Digital Gold’ System Should Really Work” at The Queen Elizabeth II Conference Centre on June 2, 2023, in London. (Eamonn M. McCormack/Getty Images for London Blockchain Conference )

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Fox News Digital reached out to the White House on Thursday.

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Palantir: Open Weight Bet Could Be Behind The Recent Rerate (Rating Downgrade)

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Palantir: Open Weight Bet Could Be Behind The Recent Rerate (Rating Downgrade)

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Snapdeal parent AceVector raises Rs 189 crore from anchors; Negen, Singularity among top investors

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Snapdeal parent AceVector raises Rs 189 crore from anchors; Negen, Singularity among top investors
AceVector, the company behind Snapdeal, raised Rs 189 crore from anchor investors ahead of its initial public offering, which opens for public subscription on September 25. The company allotted 5.9 crore shares to anchor investors at Rs 32 per share, the upper end of its IPO price band. Negen Undiscovered Value Fund received the largest allocation in the anchor book, with 1,24,99,812 shares worth about Rs 40 crore. Singularity Growth Opportunities Fund II was the second-largest anchor investor, receiving 84,37,104 shares worth nearly Rs 27 crore.

Turnaround Opportunities Fund was allotted 62.49 lakh shares worth about Rs 20 crore. Alchemy Long Term Ventures Fund Series 3, Mavira Growth Opportunities Fund and LC Pharos Multi Strategy Fund VCC were each allotted 46.87 lakh shares worth about Rs 15 crore.

Other investors in the anchor book include Helios Mid Cap Fund, Helios Small Cap Fund, Ashika Global Finance, Taurus Ethical Fund, Emerge Capital Opportunities Scheme, Saint Capital Fund, ASAS Global Fund Incorporated VCC Sub Fund and TMF Holdings.

Also Read | Snapdeal IPO: GMP, price band among 10 things to know about AceVector public offer

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Out of the total anchor allocation, 93.74 lakh shares, or 15.87% of the anchor investor portion, were allotted to two domestic mutual funds through three schemes. These were Helios Mid Cap Fund, Helios Small Cap Fund and Taurus Ethical Fund. The mutual fund allocation was worth about Rs 30 crore.


The company reported no applications from insurance companies and pension funds, so no allocations were made to them.
AceVector’s IPO will open on Friday, September 25, and close on Tuesday, September 29. The anchor investor bidding opened and closed on September 24.Also Read | Missed the NSE IPO? Here are 5 of the largest issues in the pipeline to keep on your radar

The price band has been fixed at Rs 30-32 per share. Investors can bid for a minimum of 468 shares and in multiples of 468 shares thereafter. At the upper price band, the minimum retail application works out to Rs 14,976.

The public issue comprises a fresh issue of Rs 287 crore and an offer for sale of up to 4,15,62,500 shares by existing shareholders. At the upper price band, the OFS is worth about Rs 133 crore, taking the total issue size to around Rs 420 crore.

The fresh issue proceeds will be used for marketing and business promotion expenses of the company’s marketplace business, technology infrastructure costs, inorganic growth through acquisitions and general corporate purposes.

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(Disclaimer: Recommendations, suggestions, views and opinions given by the experts are their own. These do not represent the views of The Economic Times)

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Jefferies reiterates Sarepta Therapeutics stock rating on pipeline potential

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Jefferies reiterates Sarepta Therapeutics stock rating on pipeline potential

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Canadian business leader warns US trade uncertainty risks ‘capital chill’ amid global push

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Canadian business leader warns US trade uncertainty risks 'capital chill' amid global push

Canada’s push to expand its economic relationships around the world should not be mistaken for a retreat from the U.S., a leading Canadian business voice told FOX Business, warning that continued uncertainty over North American trade risks creating a “capital chill” that could weigh on investment.

Goldy Hyder, president and CEO of the Business Council of Canada, said Canadian companies continue to view the U.S. as their most important market even as Prime Minister Mark Carney’s government accelerates efforts to attract investment and expand trade with Europe and other markets.

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“Even a kid with a lemonade stand would know, it’s not good for business to just have one customer,” Hyder said, describing Canada’s approach as a “U.S. Plus” strategy.

“The United States is and will be our most important trading partner,” he added.

The push comes amid a sharp deterioration in the trading relationship between the longtime allies. Nearly 68% of Canadian exports have gone to the U.S. this year, with roughly 80% of those shipments moving duty-free under exemptions provided by the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement, according to Canadian and U.S. government data cited by Reuters.

WHAT ARE THE MAIN STICKING POINTS IN THE TRUMP ADMIN’S TRADE NEGOTIATIONS WITH CANADA, MEXICO?

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Goldy Hyder, president and chief executive officer of Business Council of Canada, speaks at a panel discussion themed on “Revitalizing APEC: towards the Vision of an Asia-Pacific Community” during the Boao Forum for Asia BFA Annual Conference 2026 in (Wang Yiliang/Xinhua via Getty Images)

Washington and Ottawa have exchanged new trade restrictions in recent weeks after negotiations broke down, adding uncertainty over the future of USMCA. The agreement remains in force, although the U.S. declined to renew it in its current form during a July review and has continued negotiations with its North American partners.

“Business does not welcome uncertainty, it shuns uncertainty, and there’s too much of that,” Hyder said.

EU OPENS DOOR TO UNPRECEDENTED ‘ASSOCIATE MEMBER’ STATUS FOR CANADA AMID US TRADE SPAT

“The key here is the uncertainty can create capital chill, it will create hesitancy because we just can’t be sure the environment in which we’re dealing.”

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That concern is shared by the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, which is urging all three governments to quickly resolve the issue.

canadian prime minister eu parliament

Canada’s Prime Minister Mark Carney (L) during the European Commission President’s annual State of the Union address at a plenary session of the European Parliament in Strasbourg, eastern France on Sept. 16, 2026.  (Jean-Christophe VERHAEGEN / AFP via Getty Images)

“For businesses and investors, it is essential to restore certainty to a North American economic partnership on which 13 million U.S. jobs depend,” Neil Herrington, the Chamber’s senior vice president for the Americas, told FOX Business.

Herrington said the Chamber wants the process concluded in a way that eliminates tariffs and broader trade restrictions while ensuring the relationship “remains trilateral.”

Carney, meanwhile, is attempting to position Canada as a more diversified destination for global capital. His government has set a goal of helping catalyze 1 trillion Canadian dollars in investment over five years, with a focus on sectors including energy, mining, technology and infrastructure.

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Donald Trump and Mark Carney

President Donald Trump meets with Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney in the Oval Office at the White House on May 6, 2025, in Washington, DC. (Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

Canada has also pursued deeper ties with Europe. The EU is Canada’s second-largest trading partner after the U.S., accounting for $178 billion in total trade last year, Global Affairs Canada spokesperson Renelle Arsenault told FOX Business.

Arsenault said Ottawa remains committed to a “fair and stable economic relationship” with the U.S. while simultaneously diversifying its trade and investment relationships.

Hyder similarly cautioned against interpreting Canada’s outreach abroad as an alternative to North American economic integration.

“I don’t believe there’s any scenario in which we seek to have more regulatory and/or tax or other types of integration with Europe because it’s nowhere near as competitive as we are, and certainly you are in terms of what we have going when it comes to the USMCA,” he said.

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“That is the foundational trade architecture under which we operate.”

Hyder also dismissed concerns that Washington’s separate negotiations with Canada and Mexico signal that the three-country framework is fragmenting.

Parts of the Enbridge Line 3 pipeline.

Sections of the Enbridge Line 3 pipeline are seen on the construction site on the White Earth Nation Reservation near Wauburn, Minnesota, on June 5, 2021. (Kerem Yucel/AFP via Getty Images)

“All roads point to a merger. All roads point to this coming together trilaterally,” Hyder said, adding that businesses are seeking a “timely, trilateral, tariff-exempt” review and renewal of the USMCA.

Global Affairs Canada likewise said all three countries “would benefit from restoring greater certainty” to the North American free-trade arrangement.

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Looking beyond the current dispute, Hyder pointed to energy, nuclear power, food security and critical minerals as areas where the three countries could deepen cooperation and strengthen North American supply chains.

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“It shouldn’t be… America at the expense of Mexico and Canada,” Hyder said. “It should be America, Mexico and Canada thinking as North Americans that we can work together to compete with the rest of the world.”

Reuters contributed to this report. 

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Pacific defence ministers briefed on El Nino, fuel fears

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Pacific defence ministers briefed on El Nino, fuel fears

Defence ministers from Australia and other Pacific nations have jointly condemned China’s recent ballistic missile test following a meeting in Fiji this week.

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Improve whole grain flour through new process

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Improve whole grain flour through new process

SEATTLE — Awakened Grains has introduced a process for controlled germination and starch conversion that transforms whole grains into baking flour that provides better flavor, nutrition and performance, according to the Seattle-based grain technology company. Food manufacturers may use the process to make whole grain bread, pastries, snacks, breakfast cereal, pancake mixes, pizza crusts and pasta.

A patent for the process covers cereal and non-cereal grains, ancient grains, legumes, pulses and seeds. Two applications for the Awakened Grains processing technology are in the pipeline. Imperial Flour is available for licensing to baked foods companies, blenders and dry ingredient companies. The company also plans to introduce Power Flour, which is designed to deliver more protein and fiber, as well as less starch, than standard bread flour.

“Awakened Grains exists to help consumers enjoy the bread, cookies, cakes, donuts, pastries, pasta and pancakes they crave while getting more of the whole grain nutrition they need,” said David Naccarato, chief operating officer, inventor and founding partner of Awakened Grains. “Parents and schools no longer have to choose between foods kids will eat and foods that support better nutrition. Our patented process improves grains and legumes by removing natural digestive blockers, making more nutrients metabolically available and creating products that are both comfortable to digest and enjoyable to eat.”

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Japan's Next Chapter

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CIO Weekly: Japan - Intervention Adds To Policy Pressure

Japan's Next Chapter

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Bahamas accuses DEA agents of illegal "rogue" operations on its soil

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Bahamas accuses DEA agents of illegal "rogue" operations on its soil

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‘Bring banks back to the high street’: Bev Craig’s call to save town centres

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Mayor says ‘I’ve spoken to so many people, who look at their high street, and see a physical sign decline on their doorstep’

Bev Craig at the Cost of Living Summit

Bev Craig at the Cost of Living Summit(Image: Local Democracy Reporting Service)

The Greater Manchester Mayor has pledged to ‘bring banks back to the high street’ as part of efforts to tackle dying town centres and the cost of living crisis.

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The GMCA is working with the Manchester Building Society to increase access to explore turning public spaces into community banking sites. This could include making space in libraries, leisure centres, or Post Offices for banking desks to combat the growing number of towns left without access to in-person services.

Banks have closed down more than 500 branches across the UK in the last year alone, with North West classified as the worst-affected area. Government research shows these closures can exacerbate financial exclusion of vulnerable groups, impact negatively on small businesses, and speed up the decline of high streets.

Ms Craig said: “I’ve spoken to so many people, who look at their high street, and see a physical sign decline on their doorstep. At the same time, they’re being told the city is growing in prosperity. Community banking for me is a massive priority in plugging that gap.

“GMCA and the Manchester Building Society will work together to see how we can expand community banking. I’m particularly interested in the model of shared space, working with charities, working with leisure centres and libraries. Obviously, Manchester Building Society is a business, so, they will cover their costs. But in terms of education, financial inclusion, and outreach into communities, there is an opportunity for working together.

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“My challenge is to any other banking institution who wants to get back involved in putting people before profit, and investing in the high street, we’ll welcome it.”

The GMCA is joining forces with the Manchester Building Society, who has already participated in similar schemes with four local authorities across the UK.

Andrew Haigh from MBS said: “We have lost nearly two thirds of our high street bank branches. In many places, that means communities are being left with no services in their area. This isn’t just about access to cash. It’s about the services and support provided. And the people who are most affected by this are the most vulnerable.

“We’re taking away the ability to build trust, to get advice. We can’t simply watch this tragedy happen as more and more people get isolated from in person services and support.”

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Mr Haigh spoke at the brand new ‘Cost of Living Summit’ called by the Greater Manchester Mayor. Around 300 businesses and charities attended the event at the Renold Building in the city centre with the aim of getting the private sector involved in ‘tackling the crisis and putting money into people’s pockets’.

Manchester Building Society is opening a new flagship branch  in King Street, in Manchester city centre. Bev Craig, Leader of Manchester City Council, left, with Andrew Haigh, Chief Executive, Newcastle Building Society Group

Manchester Building Society opened its flagship branch in King Street, in Manchester city centre, in 2025. Bev Craig, then leader of Manchester City Council, left, was pictured with Andrew Haigh, CEO at Newcastle Building Society Group(Image: Manchester Building Society)

Addressing the summit, Ms Craig said Cost of Living remained persistent, with residents increasingly feeling like ‘the deal we have, that if you work hard, things will be better for the next generation, is fragile and eroding’, with 43 per cent of Greater Manchester families struggling to cover the bills. She shared memories from her childhood in Greenisland, outside Belfast.

Ms Craig said: “When I was growing up, I didn’t think I was poor. I thought every kid took less food to the harvest festival than they took home. I thought every child had a church helper visit them with parcels and food. I didn’t think it was unusual that you would get your first computer from a skip when the university was throwing it away.

“It taught me resilience, the same resilience I see across Greater Manchester now.”

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But the Mayor called for ‘more support’ from both the public and private sectors to bring ‘greater dignity and hope’ to families struggling in the region.

As well as courting more support from private firms, GMCA is setting up a new website, everydaysupport.org.uk, to pool advice and support from dozens of different local, regional and national sources into a single location.

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What to think about when buying travel insurance

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Consumer expert Harry Kind is walking, pulling a suitcase with his left hand. He's wearing a red jacket over a white t-shirt.

Consumer expert Harry Kind walks through what to do when buying travel insurance.

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