Cathie Wood’s ARK Invest bought about $9.4 million worth of Coinbase and Circle shares on Aug. 3 as the U.S. Senate considered its next steps on the CLARITY Act.

ARK Invest adds $8 million in Coinbase shares

ARK Invest spread its Coinbase purchase across three exchange-traded funds, according to the firm’s latest trade disclosure.

The ARK Innovation ETF bought 38,761 Coinbase shares, making it the largest buyer among the three funds. Based on Coinbase’s Aug. 3 closing price of $146.50, the transaction was worth approximately $5.68 million.

ARK’s Next Generation Internet ETF added another 11,133 shares valued at about $1.63 million. The ARK Fintech Innovation ETF purchased 4,882 shares worth roughly $715,000.

Combined, the three ETFs acquired 54,776 Coinbase shares for approximately $8.02 million.

Coinbase closed the Aug. 3 session 0.16% higher. The purchase expanded ARK’s exposure to one of the largest publicly traded U.S. cryptocurrency exchanges while the broader digital asset market remained under pressure.

Circle purchase lifts ARK’s combined investment to $9.4 million

ARK also added shares of stablecoin issuer Circle Internet Group through two of its funds.

The ARK Innovation ETF purchased 17,910 Circle shares valued at approximately $1.08 million based on the stock’s $60.35 closing price. The ARK Next Generation Internet ETF bought another 5,160 shares worth about $311,000.

Those transactions brought ARK’s total Circle purchase to 23,070 shares, valued at roughly $1.39 million. Together with the Coinbase trades, ARK spent approximately $9.42 million on the two crypto-related stocks.

Circle fell 3.61% on Aug. 3 despite ARK’s purchase. Its shares have been consolidating near their recent lows after a prolonged decline from levels above $130.

The daily chart showed Circle rebounding to $62.56 on Aug. 4, up 3.66% during the session. However, the stock remained below its 20-day simple moving average at $63.73 and well below its 50-day average at $75.55.

Circle’s Chaikin Money Flow reading improved to 0.03, indicating slightly positive capital flow. A sustained close above $63.73 could strengthen the short-term recovery, while the $60 area remains an immediate support zone.

Coinbase and Circle stocks face technical resistance

Coinbase traded at $149.12 on Aug. 4, gaining 1.78% after recovering from an intraday low of $145.60. The rebound followed a recent test of the $139.25 support level.

However, the stock remained below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $156.99. That level represents the first major barrier to a broader recovery, followed by resistance at $170.93.

Coinbase’s relative strength index stood at 42.44, below the neutral 50 level. Its moving average convergence divergence indicator also remained bearish, with the MACD line below its signal line and the histogram in negative territory.

The readings suggest that buyers have defended the recent low but have not yet reversed the broader bearish momentum. A break below $139.25 would weaken the setup, while a close above $156.99 could open a move toward $170.93.

CLARITY Act remains absent from Senate schedule

ARK’s purchases came as Senate leaders continued discussions over the CLARITY Act, a proposed framework for dividing oversight of the U.S. digital asset market between federal regulators.

Senate Majority Leader John Thune included crypto market structure among the chamber’s remaining priorities before its August recess.

“We have a bunch of stuff that we have to finish, and we’ll just stay here until we finish it,” Thune said.

On the bill’s prospects, he added, “I think market structure we’ll get a vote on. Whether we can get on it or not, we’ll see.”

Despite those remarks, the CLARITY Act has not appeared on the Senate’s official floor schedule. The chamber has scheduled action on H.R. 6500, while no motion to proceed with H.R. 3633 has been announced.

Analyst Ted Pillows said a cloture filing on Wednesday would likely push the earliest possible vote to Friday. That leaves lawmakers with a narrow procedural window before the recess, while Coinbase and Circle investors await greater clarity on the bill’s prospects.

The XRP Ledger recorded a sharp rise in real-world asset holders as Ripple expanded its tokenization strategy. RWA holder numbers increased 25.16% during the past month, reflecting stronger activity across the network. However, the blockchain’s stablecoin market remained under pressure despite modest growth in participating addresses.

XRP Ledger RWA Holders Rise 25%

The XRP Ledger’s RWA ecosystem gained more holders as tokenized finance attracted additional users and businesses. Data showed a 25.16% monthly increase in addresses holding tokenized real-world assets on XRPL. This growth strengthened the network’s position within the expanding blockchain-based asset market.

Real-world assets represent physical or traditional financial products recorded and managed through blockchain technology. These assets can include bonds, property, commodities, funds, and private credit products. Tokenization can simplify ownership transfers while improving settlement speed and access to financial markets.

XRPL supports tokenized assets through fast settlement, low transaction costs, and built-in exchange functions. These features allow companies to issue, move, and trade assets without relying on multiple external systems. Consequently, the network has become a practical option for institutions exploring blockchain-based financial products.

Ripple Expands XRPL Tokenization Infrastructure

Ripple recently invested in two major companies to expand infrastructure supporting institutional tokenization on the XRP Ledger. The investments form part of Ripple’s broader plan to bring more financial assets onto blockchain networks. They also support tools needed for custody, settlement, compliance, issuance, and secondary market activity.

Ripple has increased its focus on capital markets as institutions explore tokenized funds and other digital financial products. The company aims to position XRPL as a reliable network for enterprise payments and asset management. Therefore, Ripple continues to add partnerships and services that connect traditional finance with blockchain infrastructure.

More than 1,000 developers and businesses now build products and services across the XRP Ledger ecosystem. These participants support payments, token issuance, decentralized trading, custody, compliance, and institutional settlement services. Their activity broadens XRPL’s utility beyond XRP transfers and strengthens its role in digital finance.

XRPL has operated for more than a decade and uses a consensus system without traditional mining. The network processes transactions within seconds and charges relatively low fees for transfers. These features have supported Ripple’s efforts to promote the ledger for cross-border payments and tokenized assets.

XRPL Stablecoin Market Remains Below Peak

Despite the RWA holder increase, the XRP Ledger’s stablecoin market recorded another decline during the month. Stablecoin market capitalization fell 9.04% and reached approximately $901.4 million. The decrease showed that holder growth has not yet produced a wider recovery in stablecoin value.

However, the number of stablecoin holders increased 0.92% during the same 30-day period. More than 60,240 addresses held stablecoins on XRPL after the monthly increase. This change suggests that participation expanded slightly even as the total market value declined.

Stablecoins support payments, trading, settlement, and liquidity across tokenized financial markets. Ripple also uses RLUSD to strengthen its payment and institutional product ecosystem. The dollar-backed asset operates on both the XRP Ledger and Ethereum, which extends its reach.

A stronger stablecoin market could improve liquidity for tokenized assets issued through the XRP Ledger. Stablecoins allow users to settle trades without moving funds through traditional banking systems. Therefore, their adoption could support Ripple’s wider institutional finance strategy and encourage more activity across XRPL.

The latest figures show uneven growth across the XRP Ledger’s expanding tokenization market. RWA holders increased quickly, while stablecoin capitalization continued to fall during the same period. Ripple’s infrastructure push now provides the main foundation for further adoption across both sectors.

The risk, which remains until users take action, is confined to specific devices and firmware. Owners of the Mk3, Coldcard’s 2019 model, should move their funds now if the wallet was set up on firmware 4.0.1 or later. Mk4, Mk5 and Q owners on firmware below 5.6.0 or 1.5.0Q should update, create a new wallet and then move their coins across.

Coinkite has said the exception is anyone who used the device’s dice option, where a user physically rolls dice at least 50 times and types in the results, and the wallet builds its key from those numbers instead of generating its own. Those wallets never touched the broken code and are safe.

A seed is the master key controlling a wallet’s coins, so one produced with too little randomness, or entropy, can be guessed and regenerated by an attacker, who can then drain the wallet without ever touching the device.

Vincent Bouzon, cybersecurity expert at Ledger, which makes competing hardware wallets, said the incident was a failure of one implementation rather than a verdict on self-custody.

“Every wallet ultimately depends on a root secret generated from high-quality entropy,” Bouzon told CoinDesk in an email, adding that the generation of that entropy “must be anchored in secure hardware, with an architecture that cannot silently downgrade to an untrusted software-based source.”

Ethereum researchers have proposed a new issuance model that would gradually burn validator rewards and reduce them to zero once about half of ETH’s supply is staked.

EIP-8361 would taper Ethereum staking rewards

Ethereum researchers Jérôme de Tychey, Justin Drake, dapplion, pintail, pa7x1, and Ladislaus von Daniels submitted EIP-8361 as a draft Core Ethereum Improvement Proposal.

Called Tapered Issuance Burn, the mechanism would destroy part of the rewards validators receive for attestations, proposing blocks, and participating in sync committees. The share burned would rise alongside the proportion of ETH committed to staking.

The burn rate would eventually reach 100% when about 60.25 million ETH is staked. Based on Ethereum’s current circulating supply of about 120.7 million ETH, that level represents close to 50% of all ETH. CoinMarketCap data placed the circulating supply at roughly 120.68 million ETH at the time of writing.

As a result, validators would no longer receive consensus-layer issuance rewards after staking reaches the proposed threshold. They could still earn other forms of revenue, including transaction priority fees and maximal extractable value.

Why Ethereum researchers want to change issuance

EIP-8361 seeks to remove what its authors describe as a permanent incentive for more ETH to enter staking, even when additional deposits may provide limited security benefits.

“The current issuance curve continues offering a yield of around 1.5% even if nearly all ETH is staked,” the authors wrote.

They added that “the remaining yield floor provides no point at which issuance stops encouraging additional staking.”

Under the draft model, annual ETH issuance would peak at approximately 0.5% of supply when the staking ratio reaches about 20%. Issuance would then decline as more ETH enters staking before reaching zero near the 50% threshold.

Ethereum’s staking ratio has already exceeded one-third of its supply. The proposal estimates that more than 70 million ETH could be staked by January 2028 if demand continues under the existing reward structure.

Transition would protect validator yields initially

The researchers proposed an 18-month transition rather than applying the permanent reward curve at once.

Ethereum’s base reward factor would initially rise from 64 to 128 before gradually returning to its current level. The temporary adjustment is intended to keep validator yields near their existing range during the early phase before the tapered burn becomes more restrictive.

For US validators and staking service providers, the proposal could change the economics of operating Ethereum infrastructure if developers eventually include it in a network upgrade. Lower issuance rewards could affect expected returns, although the draft would not alter US tax or securities rules governing staking.

The plan also follows a separate Ethereum research proposal reported by crypto.news in June. That mechanism, known as validator redirected revenue, would allow validators to direct between 0% and 10% of their staking income toward ecosystem funding.

Under that proposal, contributions would become mandatory if 51% of validators supported a redirect rate above zero. Its authors argued that shared funding could help pay for research, security, and public tools used across Ethereum.

EIP-8361 still faces community review

EIP-8361 is a draft and does not automatically change Ethereum’s monetary policy. It must move through technical review, community debate, and developer coordination before it can be considered for a future network upgrade.

The proposal has already drawn concerns that less predictable yields could affect solo validators, institutional staking operations, and decentralized finance strategies built around staked ETH.

ETH showed no clear reaction tied to the draft. The token traded near $1,878, up about 0.5% over 24 hours, with approximately $7.86 billion in trading volume at the time of writing, according to CoinMarketCap.

BNY has tapped crypto financial services firm Galaxy (GLXY) to add staking capabilities to its digital asset custody platform, the companies announced Tuesday.

The new service will allow institutional clients to stake digital assets held in custody through BNY’s platform, pending regulatory approval. Galaxy will provide the staking infrastructure while also serving as a design partner as BNY expands its blockchain-based services.

Staking allows holders of certain crypto assets to help secure blockchain networks by locking up their tokens in exchange for rewards. For large investors, offering staking through the same platform that holds their assets removes the need to transfer tokens to a separate provider.

BNY, formerly known as Bank of New York Mellon, has steadily expanded its digital asset business since launching crypto custody services in 2022. The bank oversees tens of trillions of dollars in assets under custody and administration, making its moves into blockchain infrastructure closely watched across the financial industry.

The financial services firm recently said it was shifting its core transfer agency record-keeping onto blockchain technology, creating a single onchain ownership ledger that it said will reduce reliance on multiple intermediaries. It also plans to introduce around-the-clock settlement for traditional and tokenized U.S. Treasuries in 2027 and begin testing tokenized Treasuries on a private blockchain before the end of this year.

Dogecoin price traded near $0.070 as SPCX stock extended its rebound ahead of SpaceX’s first earnings report as a public company.

Dogecoin price holds near $0.070

According to data from crypto.news, Dogecoin (DOGE) price was trading at $0.07035 at the time of writing, remaining near the lower end of its three-month range. The meme coin has stabilized after falling from a May peak above $0.117, but the daily chart has yet to confirm a sustained bullish reversal.

DOGE is trading below the Bollinger Bands’ 20-day midpoint at $0.07122. The level represents the first barrier buyers must reclaim before challenging the upper band at $0.07398.

The daily Relative Strength Index stood at 43.09, slightly above its moving average of 40.42. The reading shows that momentum has improved but remains below the neutral 50 mark, leaving sellers with a modest advantage.

Dogecoin’s immediate price action is unfolding alongside a broader crypto market recovery. Bitcoin traded around $63,400, while Ethereum hovered near $1,840. However, DOGE’s gains remained limited as traders waited for a stronger catalyst.

SpaceX earnings put Musk-linked assets in focus

SpaceX is scheduled to release its second-quarter results after the U.S. market closes on Tuesday. Management will hold an audio webcast at 4:30 p.m. ET, according to the company’s investor announcement.

The report will be SpaceX’s first since its June initial public offering. Investors are expected to focus on Starlink subscriber growth, Starship spending and the financial impact of the company’s artificial intelligence operations.

Analysts expect SpaceX to report about $6.8 billion in quarterly revenue and a loss of roughly $0.23 per share, according to Yahoo Finance. Market estimates vary, with some forecasts pointing to a quarterly net loss of between $1.55 billion and $1.9 billion.

Options pricing implied that SpaceX shares could move about 15% in either direction after the report, potentially changing the company’s valuation by approximately $225 billion, Reuters reported.

Dogecoin has no direct financial link to SpaceX earnings. However, both assets remain connected through market sentiment surrounding Elon Musk. This association can attract speculative DOGE trading when Musk-owned companies dominate U.S. market attention, though it does not guarantee a corresponding price move.

Dogecoin price must break $0.07398

The daily chart places DOGE’s first significant resistance at $0.07273, corresponding to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of its decline from $0.09092 to $0.06778.

A daily close above that level would expose the upper Bollinger Band at $0.07398. Buyers would then need to break $0.07662, the 61.8% Fibonacci level, to establish a more convincing recovery.

Continued momentum above $0.07662 could open a move toward $0.07935. The next resistance levels would stand at $0.08208 and $0.08546, although DOGE would require stronger volume and an RSI move above 50 to support that scenario.

On the downside, the lower Bollinger Band sits at $0.06847. A loss of that level could return DOGE to the $0.06778 range low.

Breaking below $0.06778 would invalidate the immediate rebound and extend the bearish structure that has controlled the daily chart since May.

SPCX stock tests $119 Fibonacci resistance

SPCX stock traded at $119.71 on the 4-hour chart after gaining 4.6%. Shares rebounded from a low near $105 and moved back above the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $119.34.

Holding above $119.34 would allow buyers to challenge the 4-hour Supertrend resistance at $124.15. A confirmed break above the Supertrend could shift the short-term signal and place $130.67 in focus.

Further resistance stands at $138.63 and $146.58. However, the broader chart remains bearish after SPCX declined from $172.34 in early July and from its June high above $220.

The Awesome Oscillator remained negative at minus 10.40, showing that bearish momentum has not fully disappeared. Its rising bars nevertheless indicate that downward pressure is easing as the stock rebounds.

Failure to hold $119.34 could send SPCX back toward $114 and $110. The primary technical floor remains near $104.91.

Earnings and share unlock could increase volatility

SpaceX’s earnings will not be the only event affecting the stock. An IPO lockup is due to expire on Aug. 6, potentially allowing insiders and early investors to sell up to 911.5 million shares, according to Business Insider.

That incoming supply could limit an earnings-driven rally or deepen a decline if SpaceX misses market expectations. Strong Starlink growth, improved margins or clearer spending guidance could instead help SPCX hold its recovery.

For Dogecoin, the technical picture remains neutral-to-bearish while the price stays below $0.07273. SpaceX earnings may lift trading interest around Musk-linked assets, but DOGE still needs a confirmed breakout above $0.07398 to turn that attention into a stronger price recovery.

Recent earnings calls from Open USD’s highest-profile backers, however, paint a more nuanced picture. Executives at Coinbase, Visa and Mastercard all said they intend to support multiple stablecoins instead of betting on a single winner, describing Open USD as another network to connect to rather than a replacement for USDC.

Multi-coin strategy

During its second-quarter earnings call last week, Coinbase reassured investors about its close relationship with Circle. Chief Financial Officer Alesia Haas said the exchange has already met the conditions to renew its commercial agreement with Circle and will continue growing the USDC ecosystem.

CEO Brian Armstrong also said Coinbase remains a “multi-stablecoin platform” and wants to support whichever stablecoins customers choose to use. The exchange already supports USDC alongside Tether’s USDT and PayPal’s PYUSD, he said, with Open USD creating “additional business opportunities and revenue opportunities.”

Ryan McInerney, CEO of Visa, struck a similar tone during his firm’s earnings call, describing the company as “multi-coin, multi-chain” and saying that Visa’s role is to help clients connect to whichever stablecoins gain adoption.

“Our role is not to pick winners,” he said.

Notably, Visa offered the first live example of pushing Open USD to customers. The firm last month launched its Visa Stablecoin Platform, giving banks, fintechs and payment providers tools to access, store, redeem and move stablecoins, with OUSD serving as the initial supported token.

Bybit has secured an Electronic Money Institution license in Austria, allowing its local payments subsidiary to offer regulated electronic money and payment services across the European Union.

Bybit gains approval for regulated EU payments

Austria’s Financial Market Authority granted the license to Bybit Payments GmbH on Aug. 4 under the country’s E-Money Act 2010.

The authorization allows the Vienna-based company to issue electronic money and provide payment services under Austria’s Payment Services Act 2018. Those permissions cover incoming and outgoing payments, payment transactions, and issuing and acquiring payment instruments, according to the FMA’s licensing notice.

Bybit said the license gives its payments subsidiary a regulated foundation for expanding financial services across Europe through Bybit.eu.

“Europe is setting the global benchmark for how digital assets and financial services can evolve together under clear regulation,” said Georg Harer, managing director of Bybit EU GmbH and Bybit Payments GmbH.

Harer said the EMI license and Bybit’s existing Markets in Crypto-Assets authorization create complementary regulatory foundations for crypto assets, payments and other financial services.

Bybit keeps payments and crypto services separate

Bybit Payments GmbH will operate independently from Bybit EU GmbH, the entity responsible for the exchange’s crypto-asset services under MiCA.

Customers will be able to access both service categories through Bybit.eu, but each subsidiary will remain responsible only for activities covered by its respective authorization. The structure allows Bybit to offer a unified interface without combining its payment and crypto operations under one regulatory permission.

“This licence enables Bybit Payments GmbH to build regulated payment capabilities that complement the crypto-asset services offered by Bybit EU GmbH,” said Bernhard Krick, managing director of Bybit Payments GmbH.

Krick added that preserving a clear distinction between the two entities is essential because each company must remain within its approved regulatory scope.

The arrangement reflects the division between electronic money regulation and crypto-asset supervision in Europe. An EMI license covers fiat-linked payment activities, while a MiCA authorization governs services such as crypto trading, custody and transfers.

License opens path to cards and open banking

Bybit said its payments unit could eventually introduce person-to-person transfers, electronic money products and Strong Customer Authentication features. The company is also considering open banking tools, merchant payment services and payment cards.

Those offerings remain subject to further regulatory requirements and product approvals. Bybit did not provide a launch schedule or specify which European markets would receive the services first.

The authorization gives the exchange another regulated entry point as it expands through locally supervised subsidiaries. In July, Bybit launched a domestic platform in Indonesia after acquiring a majority stake in PT Enkripsi Teknologi Handal, previously known as NOBI.

The acquisition established Bybit Indonesia as a local entity supervised by Indonesia’s Financial Services Authority, known as the OJK. Its rollout began with plans to support more than 500 trading pairs while using Bybit’s global liquidity and locally required market controls.

EU framework contrasts with US crypto rules

The Austrian approval does not extend Bybit.eu services to customers in the United States. European financial licenses generally apply within the European Economic Area and do not replace federal or state approvals required for serving US customers.

However, the expansion shows how MiCA and existing European payment laws can provide separate but coordinated regulatory routes for crypto trading and fiat payment services.

The US has no direct equivalent to MiCA’s single regional framework. Crypto companies offering payment services may instead face a combination of federal obligations and state-by-state money transmitter licensing requirements.

Bybit’s next step will be converting its Austrian authorization into consumer-facing payment products. Its ability to launch cards, merchant tools and open banking services will depend on regulatory clearances, technical integration and the markets selected for the initial rollout.

Bitcoin price rebounded above $64,000 as Qatar reported progress in efforts to restart US-Iran negotiations, while technical charts pointed to a possible breakout from a descending channel.

Bitcoin price rebounds above $64,000

According to data from crypto.news, Bitcoin (BTC) price traded near $64,100 late Tuesday, recovering from an intraday low around $63,300 and extending its rebound from the $62,400-$62,500 support area.

The daily chart showed BTC closing above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at $63,496. Holding this threshold would keep the recovery structure intact and allow buyers to target the 78.6% retracement at $65,026.

Momentum has also improved. The daily Relative Strength Index stood at 50.30, moving slightly above its signal line at 49.94. The reading places Bitcoin in neutral territory and suggests neither buyers nor sellers have full control.

The Aroon indicator offered a more positive signal. Aroon Up stood at 78.57%, while Aroon Down fell to zero, showing that recent highs are becoming more relevant than recent lows.

However, Bitcoin remains inside a broader consolidation range between approximately $57,868 and $66,975. A daily close above $65,026 would strengthen the short-term recovery, but the July high near $66,975 remains the larger breakout level.

US-Iran talks support demand for risk assets

Bitcoin’s rebound followed Qatar’s confirmation that regional mediators were working to bring the United States and Iran back to negotiations.

Qatari Foreign Ministry spokesperson Majed Al-Ansari said Doha wanted conditions in the Strait of Hormuz to return to normal. Qatar, Pakistan, and Oman are exchanging proposals between Washington and Tehran, although no timetable has been set for an agreement.

“What matters to us now is the resumption of negotiations, and to achieve this, a ceasefire and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz must be guaranteed,” Al-Ansari said.

The diplomatic push has eased some concerns surrounding global energy supplies. The Strait of Hormuz remains one of the world’s most important oil transit routes, meaning any reopening could reduce pressure on crude prices and improve demand for risk assets.

Still, the negotiations remain uncertain. Iran has denied holding direct talks with Washington, describing its discussions as negotiations with Oman. Shipping activity through the strait also remains restricted despite reported diplomatic progress.

For US investors, the outcome could affect Bitcoin through oil prices, inflation expectations, and broader risk sentiment. A ceasefire and restored shipping traffic could support crypto and equities, while another breakdown in talks may renew demand for cash and other defensive assets.

Bitcoin tests descending channel resistance

The 4-hour chart showed Bitcoin testing the upper boundary of a descending parallel channel that has guided price action since the July 21 peak near $66,700.

BTC briefly moved above the channel boundary before returning toward $64,100, showing that buyers have yet to confirm a breakout. The Supertrend indicator also placed immediate resistance near $64,115, almost level with the current price.

Analyst Ali Martinez identified $64,300 as the key confirmation level. According to Martinez, a 4-hour close above that price could validate the channel breakout and open the way toward $65,500 or $66,500.

The Awesome Oscillator climbed to 277.98 and printed rising green bars, indicating that bullish momentum was building on the 4-hour timeframe. However, momentum alone may not be enough if Bitcoin fails to absorb overhead supply.

Order-book data shared by analyst Ted Pillows showed large sell orders appearing between $64,000 and $65,000. This supply helps explain why BTC has repeatedly struggled to extend gains above the current range.

A confirmed break above $65,000 would place the next targets at $65,500 and $66,641. Failure to clear the channel could send the price back toward $63,500 and the 4-hour Supertrend support near $62,316.

Liquidation map keeps $62,000 in focus

The one-week Bitcoin liquidation heatmap showed a large concentration of leveraged positions near $62,000. It was the brightest liquidity band below the current price and may attract price if the recovery loses momentum.

Smaller liquidity clusters appeared around $63,000, while several bands were visible above Bitcoin between $64,500 and $66,000. These levels could fuel a short squeeze if BTC closes above $64,300 and forces bearish positions to exit.

The bullish scenario depends on Bitcoin holding $63,496 and breaking the $64,300-$65,000 supply zone. That would support targets at $65,500, $66,500, and eventually $66,975.

The bearish scenario begins with a loss of $63,500. Such a move could expose $62,421, followed by the liquidation cluster near $62,000. A deeper decline would bring the $61,347 Fibonacci level back into focus.

US-Iran diplomacy may determine which liquidity zone Bitcoin reaches first. Continued progress toward a ceasefire could support a breakout, but stalled talks or renewed disruption in the Strait of Hormuz would leave the recovery vulnerable.