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Bitcoin price forecast as whale deposits 10K BTC to Binance

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Bitcoin price is facing renewed pressure after on-chain data flagged by Lookonchain revealed that a major whale has moved roughly 10,000 BTC to Binance over the past two days, raising concerns of potential selling activity.

Summary

  • Lookonchain flagged a Bitcoin whale moving nearly 10,000 BTC to Binance over two days, raising concerns of potential sell pressure.
  • Bitcoin is trading around $66,900, well below its 50-day SMA near $85,000, confirming a strong short-term downtrend.
  • Key support sits at $65,000 and $60,000, while resistance stands at $72,000 and $78,000–$80,000, with indicators still showing mild capital outflows.

The most recent transfer involved 2,035 Bitcoin (BTC) worth about $135 million. In total, the whale has deposited around 8,200 BTC in 48 hours, bringing cumulative recent inflows close to the 10,000 BTC mark.

Lookonchain warned traders that previous deposits from the same wallet were followed by short-term price drops, including a decline of more than 3% shortly after a prior alert.

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Large exchange inflows are often interpreted as potential sell signals because coins moved to centralized platforms become immediately liquid. While deposits do not guarantee selling, the timing has raised caution among traders already navigating a fragile technical setup.

Bitcoin price analysis and forecast

On the daily chart (BTC/USDT), Bitcoin is currently trading near $66,900, well below the 50-day simple moving average at $85,012. The sharp gap between price and the 50 SMA signals a strong prevailing downtrend.

bitcoin price
Bitcoin price analysis | Source: Crypto.News

Price recently plunged toward the $60,000–$62,000 zone, printing a long lower wick before bouncing. That area now stands as critical support. A daily close below $60,000 could open the door toward the psychological $55,000 region.

Immediate support sits around $65,000, which price is currently testing. If this level fails, bears may attempt another push toward the recent lows.

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On the upside, resistance is forming at $72,000, where recent recovery attempts stalled. A stronger resistance cluster lies between $78,000 and $80,000, followed by the 50-day SMA near $85,000, which now acts as dynamic resistance.

The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator sits slightly negative at around -0.05. While it has recovered from deeply negative territory, it still suggests capital outflows remain dominant. Sustained movement above the zero line would be needed to confirm renewed buying pressure.

If whale deposits translate into spot selling, Bitcoin could retest the $60,000 support zone. However, if $65,000 holds and exchange inflows fail to trigger heavy liquidation, a short-term rebound toward $72,000 is possible.

For now, the trend remains bearish unless Bitcoin reclaims levels above $80,000 and closes back above its 50-day moving average.

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Crypto World

South Korea Bars Stablecoins from Corporate Crypto Investment Guidelines Over Legal Conflict

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Nexo Partners with Bakkt for US Crypto Exchange and Yield Programs

TLDR:

  • South Korea FSC excludes USDT and USDC from corporate crypto investment guidelines over legal conflicts.
  • The Foreign Exchange Transactions Act does not recognize stablecoins as a valid external payment method.
  • Listed companies may invest in the top 20 non-stablecoin assets, capped at 5% of their own capital.
  • A pending amendment to the Foreign Exchange Act could eventually open the door for stablecoin inclusion.

Stablecoins, including USDT and USDC, are set to be excluded from South Korea’s corporate cryptocurrency investment guidelines.

South Korea’s Financial Services Commission (FSC) is preparing rules to allow listed companies to trade digital assets.

According to Herald Economy, regulators have opted to keep dollar-pegged stablecoins out of the approved investment list.

The decision stems from a conflict with the Foreign Exchange Transactions Act. This law does not currently recognize stablecoins as a legal external payment method.

Legal Conflict Shapes the Stablecoin Decision

South Korea’s Foreign Exchange Transactions Act requires external payments to go through designated foreign exchange banks. Stablecoins are not classified as external payment instruments under this law.

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Allowing corporate investment in stablecoins would create a direct legal contradiction. The FSC chose to exclude stablecoins from the new corporate investment guidelines.

A partial amendment to the Foreign Exchange Transactions Act was introduced to the National Assembly in October. The amendment aims to formally recognize stablecoins as a means of payment.

The bill, however, remains under review and has not yet been passed. Until the law changes, stablecoins cannot be included in corporate investment guidelines.

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Instead, the FSC plans to permit the top 20 non-stablecoin digital assets by market capitalization. Bitcoin and Ethereum are among the assets expected to be approved under these rules.

Investment amounts may also be capped at 5% of a company’s own capital. This limit is designed to reduce exposure during the early market stages.

Some listed companies with cross-border trade had requested stablecoin inclusion in the guidelines. They argued stablecoins support exchange rate hedging and fast international settlements.

The FSC, however, maintained its position and excluded stablecoins from the permitted investment list.

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Corporate Stablecoin Access Remains Outside Regulated Guidelines

Even without official guidelines covering stablecoins, companies can still trade them through other channels. Personal wallets like MetaMask and overseas exchanges such as Coinbase’s OTC platform remain accessible to corporations.

These transactions, however, operate outside any officially regulated framework. The guidelines do not block companies from using stablecoins entirely.

Authorities noted that some companies already use stablecoins through personal accounts or overseas exchange platforms for trade.

These transactions occur outside formal banking channels. The FSC acknowledged this but still chose not to formalize stablecoin use in the guidelines. Regulators placed legal consistency above industry convenience in this case.

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An industry insider confirmed the corporate guidelines task force has wrapped up its work. “I know that the working task force on corporate guidelines has been completed,” the insider said.

They added, “It is in line with the legislative status of the Phase 2 Digital Asset Framework Act, so we have to wait and see, but it is a knotted situation.” Progress, therefore, depends heavily on how the broader legal framework develops.

The FSC’s approach signals a cautious entry into corporate digital asset participation. By limiting access to top non-stablecoin assets, regulators aim to manage financial risk.

Companies seeking stablecoin access will likely need to wait for the Foreign Exchange Transactions Act to be amended.

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Stablecoin Transaction Volume Hits a New Record High as USDC Surpasses USDT

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Stablecoin Transaction Volume Hits a New Record High as USDC Surpasses USDT

Stablecoins have hit an all-time high in monthly transaction volume, as Circle’s USDC (USDC) flipped Tether’s USDt (USDT), new data shows.

Key takeaways:

  • Stablecoin monthly transaction volume reached a record $1.8 trillion in February.

  • USDC comprised 70% of all stablecoin volume.

  • Rising stablecoin supply on exchanges puts crypto markets in a good position to recover.

USDC “consistently” flips USDt transfer volume

The stablecoin transfer volume reached $1.8 trillion in February, setting a monthly record, according to data from Allium.

Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies designed to maintain a stable value, typically pegged to fiat currencies like the US dollar, and can be hosted on multiple blockchains.

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Stablecoin transaction volume ($). Source: Allium

Similarly, the volume of USDC transactions reached a high of $1.26 trillion, representing a new milestone in the adoption of the second-largest stablecoin by market cap since its launch in September 2018. 

Related: Florida Senate passes state-level stablecoin bill, awaits DeSantis’ signature

This was more than double that of USDt, whose transfer volume was $514 billion in February.

Transaction volume by stablecoin. Source: Allium

In fact, USDC has “consistently flipped” Tether in transfer volume over the last few months, founder at Moonrock Capital, Simon Dedic, said in a Friday post on X. 

USDC’s usage comes as a “surprise” given that its market cap is less than half that of USDt, Dedic added. USDC is the second-largest stablecoin by market cap at $77.4 billion, compared to USDt’s $184 billion.

Moreover, USDC’s supply has grown faster than USDt’s in recent weeks. Over $3 billion in USDC has been printed already in March, according to market intelligence firm Arkham, as USDt’s supply has remained relatively unchanged.

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As Cointelegraph reported, USDC issuer Circle Internet Group reported strong Q4/2025 earnings, attributed to rapid growth in the USDC’s business and expanding payments operations.

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More stablecoin liquidity suggests “buying power”

The Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR), or the ratio of the Bitcoin (BTC) market cap relative to stablecoin market cap, is “steadily recovering after crashing” in February, said CryptoQuant analyst Sunny Mom in a Friday Quicktake post, adding:

“This shows buying power is returning to the market.”

Bitcoin: Stablecoin Supply Ratio: Source: CryptoQuant

Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s latest push to $74,000 was fueled by a recovery in stablecoin supply on crypto exchanges, which rose to a three-week high of $66.5 billion on Friday. 

Stablecoin supply on exchanges. Source: CryptoQuant

Stablecoin inflows to exchanges have boosted the SSR alongside Bitcoin’s (BTC) price. On March 5, the total amount of stablecoins transferred to the exchange amounted to nearly $5.14 billion, up from $1.14 billion on March 1.

More stablecoins on exchanges means more buying power for cryptocurrencies. In the past, the return of sidelined capital to exchanges was a major catalyst for the start of Bitcoin bull markets.