Key Highlights

• Cardano has posted an 11% gain throughout May 2026, hovering near $0.27–$0.28 with key resistance at $0.30–$0.32
• Founder Charles Hoskinson confirmed the updated CLARITY Act no longer treats ADA as a security
• Major holders controlling 1M+ ADA tokens now possess 67.47% of total circulating supply
• Derivative open interest climbed from $69M in February to $122M currently
• Technical analysts suggest a sustained move past $0.28 could target $0.34

Cardano has delivered an 11% rally since May 2026 began, propelled by two critical catalysts: favorable developments surrounding the U.S. CLARITY Act and sustained buying from institutional-sized wallets. While the upward momentum is notable, ADA continues trading within a defined range on shorter timeframes without a decisive breakout confirmation.

The digital asset currently trades between $0.27 and $0.28. Last week saw price rebound sharply from a demand area spanning $0.24 to $0.25, creating the most substantial weekly candle observed since mid-March. Immediate resistance appears at $0.28, while more formidable supply clusters exist between $0.317 and $0.329.

Downside protection remains intact within the $0.254–$0.266 band, which corresponds with the 50%–61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels. Should this critical zone fail, the next major support structure lies near $0.227–$0.233.

Cardano’s creator Charles Hoskinson recently voiced approval for the revised CLARITY Act via social media platform X, praising Senator Tim Scott for demonstrating “strong leadership” in refining the legislation. Hoskinson clarified that the updated draft explicitly recognizes ADA as a non-security, crediting Cardano’s decentralized governance framework.

Hoskinson had earlier expressed concern about the CLARITY Act’s initial language, cautioning it might categorize certain digital assets as securities. The revised legislation now accommodates decentralized networks more favorably, which directly benefits Cardano’s operational model.

Large Holders Continue Expanding Positions

Data from Santiment reveals that major ADA holders have maintained consistent accumulation patterns since December 2023. Addresses containing a minimum of 1 million ADA tokens collectively hold 25.09 billion units — representing 67.47% of available supply. This buying trend has persisted despite ADA experiencing a 71% market capitalization decline over the preceding nine months.

Technical momentum metrics suggest cautious optimism. The Relative Strength Index registers 60.28, positioned above the neutral midpoint of 50. The MACD indicator shows 0.00673 versus a signal line at 0.00444, producing a positive histogram value of 0.00229, which indicates strengthening buyer momentum.

Futures Market Shows Growing Interest

Open interest across ADA derivative contracts has expanded from $69 million in February to $122 million presently, based on Coinglass metrics. Binance exchange data reveals a long/short ratio of 2.30, indicating bullish positions outnumber bearish ones by more than two-to-one.

Nevertheless, the CLARITY Act continues facing headwinds. Banking institutions have submitted 8,000 written objections to the Senate regarding stablecoin yield components. Polymarket prediction markets currently assess the bill’s passage likelihood at 60%, representing a decline from the previous 74% probability.

Technical analyst More Crypto Online identifies near-term resistance at $0.299, with a significant extension target at $0.349. A confirmed breakout requires ADA to decisively reclaim the $0.30–$0.32 zone supported by substantial trading volume.

The elevated long/short ratio of 2.30 on Binance introduces potential downside risk — any price stagnation could trigger rapid liquidations among overleveraged long positions, potentially sparking a sharp correction.

Nakamoto reported $2.7 million in first-quarter operating revenue after completing its acquisitions of BTC Inc. and UTXO Management on Feb. 20. 

The company said the deals added media, asset management and advisory businesses to its Bitcoin-focused model.

Revenue included $1.1 million from Bitcoin treasury and derivatives activity, $0.8 million from media and information services, $0.2 million from asset management, and $0.5 million from healthcare operations. Nakamoto said the acquired businesses contributed for only part of the quarter.

Net loss reaches $238.8 million

The company posted a net loss of $238.8 million for Q1, compared with a $1.0 million loss a year earlier. Nakamoto said the result was mainly tied to non-cash and transaction-related items.

Those items included a $102.5 million mark-to-market loss from the fall in Bitcoin’s price during the quarter and a $107.7 million non-cash reduction tied to a pre-acquisition call option. The company also reported about $8.0 million in transaction and integration costs.

In addition, Nakamoto held more than 5,000 Bitcoin at the end of March, with an aggregate fair value of about $345 million. The company said Bitcoin fell from $87,519 at the end of 2025 to $68,220 on March 31, which weighed on quarterly results.

Nakamoto also sold about 284 BTC during the quarter to support working capital. Its derivatives strategy generated about 43 BTC in premium income, after which the company sold about 40 BTC.

CEO David Bailey said “the first quarter marked a transformational period” as Nakamoto shifted into a Bitcoin operating company. He added that management is focused on scaling operating businesses, expanding revenue lines and using disciplined capital allocation.

Treasury strategy faces market test

Crypto.news reported in February that Nakamoto’s all-stock BTC Inc. and UTXO Management deal was valued at more than $107 million. That report said the acquisitions were meant to add recurring revenue beyond capital markets activity.

Earlier crypto.news coverage also showed the pressure around Nakamoto’s stock. The report said NAKA had fallen about 95% from its all-time high by September 2025, after PIPE share unlocks and concern around Bitcoin treasury firms weighed on sentiment.

Nakamoto is now moving further away from its legacy healthcare business. The company said healthcare operations are being wound down and are expected to be mostly completed by the end of the second quarter.

BitGo Holdings reported $3.77 billion in first-quarter revenue, up 112.6% from $1.77 billion a year earlier. 

The result marked the crypto infrastructure firm’s first quarterly earnings update since its January public listing on the New York Stock Exchange.

The company said digital asset sales remained its main revenue driver. That unit generated about $3.66 billion in Q1, while staking revenue reached $49.4 million. Subscription and services revenue stood at $25.6 million.

Net loss widens despite revenue growth

BitGo’s net loss widened to $60.7 million in Q1, compared with a loss of $25.7 million in the same quarter last year. The company linked the wider loss to non-cash mark-to-market changes tied to its Bitcoin treasury and higher stock-based compensation after its IPO.

The firm also reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of $1.7 million, compared with a $3.9 million gain a year earlier. BitGo ended March with $186.6 million in cash and cash equivalents, plus 2,449 Bitcoin valued at about $167.1 million.

Stablecoins and derivatives add new revenue lines

BitGo said its Stablecoin-as-a-Service revenue rose 43.6% from the prior quarter to $38.2 million. The company linked the increase to client adoption, new partnerships, BitGo Mint, and related stablecoin workflows.

BitGo launched BitGo Mint in April to let institutions mint, redeem, and manage stablecoins within its platform. The product started with USD1 and SoFiUSD, both supported by BitGo’s Stablecoin-as-a-Service infrastructure.

The company also launched a derivatives offering during Q1. CFO Ed Reginelli said the product generated about $3 billion in notional trading volume during the quarter. He added that reported revenue comparisons were not directly comparable because derivatives revenue is booked on a net basis, while spot trading revenue is booked on a gross basis.

BitGo’s public-market push

Crypto.news reported in January that BitGo targeted a valuation of up to $1.96 billion before its IPO, with Goldman Sachs and Citigroup leading the offering. BitGo later priced shares at $18 and raised about $212.8 million.

Related coverage also noted that YZi Labs backed BitGo’s IPO as the custodian made its NYSE debut. The report said BitGo served more than 5,100 institutional clients across more than 100 countries at the time.

CEO Mike Belshe said “BitGo delivered strong underlying business performance in Q1 despite a challenging market environment.” He added that the company is investing in stablecoins and tokenized assets as institutional adoption continues.

European currencies have moved into a corrective phase following recent gains, while market participants focus on upcoming macroeconomic data from the UK, the eurozone and the United States. After a strong upward move, both currencies returned to their previous trading ranges, signalling a shift towards consolidation ahead of important economic releases. Additional pressure on the euro and pound is coming from partial profit-taking after the earlier weakening of the US dollar.

Investors will assess data on UK GDP, industrial production and business activity across European economies. These figures may influence expectations regarding future actions by the Bank of England and the European Central Bank. At the same time, markets continue to monitor US statistics, including retail sales and jobless claims, which could affect expectations surrounding future Federal Reserve policy.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD has entered a corrective decline after recent gains and is once again trading within its previous range. Technical analysis suggests the pair may fall towards the lower boundary of the four-week range near 1.1650–1.1670, as a bearish engulfing pattern has formed on the daily timeframe. A break below these support levels could trigger a deeper downward correction. If the pair rebounds from 1.1650, a renewed test of 1.1760–1.1780 may follow.

Key Events For EUR/USD:

• today at 10:00 (GMT+3): Spain Consumer Price Index (CPI)
• today at 13:00 (GMT+3): Thomson Reuters/Ipsos Primary Consumer Sentiment Index (PCSI) in Germany
• today at 15:30 (GMT+3): US retail sales volume

GBP/USD

GBP/USD is also correcting after its previous rally and remains within a range-bound structure. A move below yesterday’s low at 1.3490 could lead to a decline towards the 1.3400–1.3440 area. The bearish correction scenario remains valid while the pair stays below 1.3550.

Key Events For GBP/USD:

• today at 09:00 (GMT+3): UK GDP
• today at 09:00 (GMT+3): UK manufacturing production
• today at 15:30 (GMT+3): US initial jobless claims

Market attention remains focused on UK economic data, including industrial production, construction output and investment activity. At the same time, the pair will continue to be influenced by US statistics and the dollar’s reaction to macroeconomic releases. If US data confirms signs of economic slowing, the dollar may come under renewed pressure, allowing GBP/USD to resume its upward movement. However, stronger US figures could intensify the current correction and keep the pair within its established range.

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)Major shifts toward a digitized financial architecture are edging closer to mainstream adoption, according to a forthcoming Moody’s Ratings assessment. In conversations with U.S. banks and other market intermediaries, the credit-ratings firm found a common view: tokenization will unfold in two stages—an initial slow phase that gradually accelerates into a tipping point where broader asset classes, participants, and use cases come on chain.

)Moody’s quotes industry leaders as saying broad asset tokenization is likely, but the timing and sequencing remain the big unknowns. In Moody’s words, “Across our conversations, industry leaders generally believed that broad asset tokenization will happen; the main uncertainties center around how quickly and in what sequence.”

)The report notes that near term progress is expected to be measured and focused on simpler segments—funds and short-term instruments—running in parallel with traditional processes. Yet, a growing cadre of market participants anticipates a point where adoption accelerates rapidly as infrastructure matures and more use cases prove viable, Moody’s said.

Tokenization — the on-chain representation of real-world assets or financial instruments — has long been cited as a foundational driver of institutional interest in blockchain and crypto. Moody’s underscores that, while the current activity remains modest, large banks and market intermediaries are actively building out capabilities to position themselves for a potential surge in demand. The report aligns with projections from analysts who see tokenization as a structural shift rather than a one-off trend.

Key takeaways

• Moody’s expects tokenization to proceed in a two-phase pattern: a gradual near-term ramp-up followed by a more rapid expansion as assets, markets, and participants come on chain.
• The market for tokenized real-world assets has grown rapidly, rising more than 420% since the start of 2025 and reaching about $31.6 billion, according to RWA.xyz.
• Institutional preparation is underway: virtually all large banks and major market intermediaries have created dedicated digital-asset teams and participate in pilots to test new infrastructure.
• Moody’s identifies three potential trajectories for the financial system based on tokenization pace: steady growth, constrained growth, or rapid disruption if tokenization accelerates, with meaningful implications for incumbents.

Momentum, pilots, and the coming tipping point

Despite the current quiet phase, the cross-currents pushing tokenization forward are evident. Moody’s highlights ongoing industry pilots aimed at validating new settlement rails, custody, and interoperability across networks. These efforts are described as strategic, with incumbents aiming to be ready to serve clients who demand digital asset and digital money capabilities if demand expands rapidly.

The debate about timing sits alongside other macro- and regulatory considerations. In parallel, industry observers point to a broader capital allocation shift toward tokenized assets as a potential source of efficiency improvements and transparency in settlement and record-keeping. The adoption curve remains a focal point for investors watching how quickly tokenization can scale beyond niche use cases toward mainstream financial products.

Three possible futures for a tokenized financial system

Moody’s lays out a trio of potential outcomes, tied to how quickly tokenization captures momentum. The base case, described as steady growth, envisions tokenization scaling in select assets such as stablecoins and tokenized deposits, while core banking and asset-management ecosystems retain influence. This is the scenario Moody’s views as most likely.

In a low-growth path, regulatory friction, unresolved legal questions, and tepid end-user demand could restrict tokenization to narrow uses, leaving the broader financial system largely intact and tokenization gains minimal.

The most disruptive scenario imagines rapid growth, with widespread on-chain settlement enabled by tokenized assets and digital money. In such a world, incumbents like payment processors and certain traditional interfaces could lose revenue tied to settlement delays and siloed infrastructures, while deposits at smaller banks might come under pressure as flows rechannel onto digital rails.

Industry voices outside Moody’s echo the sense that tokenization could reshape payments and settlement in meaningful ways. Macro investor Jordi Visser has suggested the tokenization reality could begin this year, highlighting the potential of tokenized assets to power more autonomous, AI-assisted payment flows. Meanwhile, international bodies have urged caution: the IMF has warned that tokenization can reduce friction and increase transparency, but also acknowledges the new risks it introduces for financial stability.

On the market-building side, demand signals are starting to coalesce around real-world assets and cross-border rails. The tokenization story intersects with the broader growth narrative around digital assets, with institutional interest sustained by pilots and strategic asset-token programs. Morgan Stanley’s ongoing crypto unit expansion, including leadership appointments and ETF/digital wallet initiatives announced earlier this year, illustrates how traditional banks are aligning with the tokenization narrative to capture a potential first-mover advantage in a more digitized financial system.

ARK Invest has positioned tokenized assets as a catalyst for a much larger digital assets market, with projections pointing toward a multi-trillion-dollar expansion by the end of the decade. While such forecasts are ambitious, the underlying premise remains: tokenization could unlock efficiencies and new liquidity pools that were previously inaccessible to traditional assets.

In regulatory and risk terms, observers will be watching how authorities balance innovation with stability. The IMF’s assessment underscores both opportunity and risk: tokenization can streamline finance, but it also demands robust oversight to avoid destabilizing side effects as on-chain markets scale.

What this means for investors and market participants

For investors and builders, the Moody’s report offers a structured view of the ecosystem dynamics shaping tokenization’s path. The near-term emphasis on funds and short-term instruments suggests early-stage opportunities exist in familiar, regulated investment vehicles that can bridge traditional finance and digital rails. Yet the longer-term potential hinges on the maturation of infrastructure—custody, interoperability, and settlement—alongside clear regulatory guardrails that unlock cross-border applicability and consumer access.

As institutions continue to assemble digital-asset teams and participate in pilots, market participants should monitor the following developments:

• Speed of expansion beyond niche asset classes into broader securities, funds, and possibly tokenized deposits.
• The pace at which stablecoins and central-bank digital money concepts gain credibility as reliable on-chain settlement options.
• Regulatory clarity and risk management frameworks that enable cross-border flows without compromising financial stability.
• Evidence from pilots on interoperability and settlement efficiency that could translate into measurable cost savings and improved liquidity.

For readers tracking the arc of this transition, the next phases will hinge on real-world deployments and the outcomes of ongoing pilots across major banks and asset managers. The Morgan Stanley crypto unit developments, public-facing product initiatives, and the evolving stance of international bodies will be key indicators of whether tokenization moves from aspiration to widespread practice in the near term.

Further coverage from Moody’s, along with continued industry pilots and regulatory updates, will illuminate how quickly the tipping point may arrive and which segments stand to gain or recede as tokenization reshapes the financial landscape.

Readers should stay tuned for updates on grand-scale pilots, cross-border settlement experiments, and any regulatory milestones that could accelerate or slow the tokenization trajectory.

Blockchain networks are designed to process transactions securely and transparently. But during periods of heavy activity — especially in crypto bull markets — networks can become congested. When this happens, users often experience high fees, delayed transactions, and slower application performance.

For beginners entering the crypto space, blockchain congestion can feel confusing and frustrating. One moment, a transaction costs a few cents, and the next it suddenly costs $20 or more. Understanding why this happens is essential for anyone using cryptocurrencies, decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, or blockchain-based applications.

Understanding Blockchain Congestion

Blockchain congestion happens when the number of transactions waiting to be processed exceeds the network’s available capacity.

Every blockchain has limits:

• The maximum number of transactions it can process per second (TPS)
• A limited block size or computational capacity
• A fixed block production speed

When too many users attempt to send transactions simultaneously, the network becomes overloaded.

Think of it like highway traffic 🚗

If only a few cars are on the road, traffic flows smoothly. But when thousands of vehicles enter the highway at once, congestion builds up, and everything slows down.

The same thing happens on blockchains.

Why Congestion Happens

Blockchain congestion is usually triggered by spikes in demand. Common causes include:

1. Bull Market Activity

During bull runs, trading activity increases dramatically. More people buy, sell, transfer, and interact with crypto applications all at once.

Popular networks such as Ethereum have historically experienced major congestion during periods of intense market speculation.

2. NFT Launches and Meme Coin Frenzy

Large NFT mint events or viral meme coin launches can flood networks with transactions.

Users compete to get their transactions processed first, creating bidding wars for block space.

3. DeFi Activity

Decentralized finance applications require constant blockchain interactions:

• Swaps
• Lending
• Yield farming
• Staking
• Liquidations

When DeFi activity surges, transaction volume can overwhelm the network.

4. Limited Network Throughput

Some blockchains prioritize decentralization and security over raw speed. This can reduce the number of transactions processed per second.

For example:

• Some networks process only a few dozen TPS
• Traditional payment systems can process thousands

This difference becomes noticeable during periods of high demand.

Gas Fees During Congestion

One of the biggest effects of congestion is rising gas fees.

Gas fees are payments users make to validators or miners for processing transactions.

When the network is busy:

• Users compete for limited block space
• Higher fees receive priority
• Transactions with low fees remain pending longer

This creates a fee market.

On networks like Ethereum, gas prices can rise dramatically during congestion events.

Example Scenario

Imagine:

• Normal transaction fee: $1
• Heavy congestion fee: $50+

During major NFT launches, some users have paid hundreds of dollars just to complete a single transaction.

This can make smaller transactions impractical.

Slow Confirmations

Congestion also slows transaction confirmations.

Normally:

• Transactions are processed quickly
• Confirmations happen within seconds or minutes

But during overload:

• Transactions wait in the mempool (pending queue)
• Confirmation times increase
• Some transactions fail entirely

Users may experience:

• Delayed token transfers
• Failed swaps
• Stuck withdrawals
• Frozen DeFi interactions

This creates a poor user experience, especially for beginners unfamiliar with blockchain mechanics.

What Is the Mempool?

The mempool is a temporary waiting area for pending blockchain transactions.

When you submit a transaction:

1. It enters the mempool
2. Validators or miners select transactions
3. Higher-fee transactions usually get processed first

During congestion, the mempool becomes crowded.

This backlog can create long delays across the entire network.

Network Overload and Its Effects

Congestion affects more than just individual users.

It can impact entire ecosystems.

Common Effects of Blockchain Overload

Increased Costs

Applications become expensive to use due to high gas fees.

Reduced Accessibility

Small users may be priced out of the network.

Slower Applications

Blockchain-based games, DeFi platforms, and NFT marketplaces may lag or fail.

Failed Transactions

Users can lose gas fees even if the transaction fails.

Poor User Experience

New users may become discouraged by delays and unpredictable costs.

Real-World Examples of Blockchain Congestion

Several major congestion events have shaped crypto history.

Crypto Bull Runs

During intense market rallies:

• Exchanges become overloaded
• Wallet activity spikes
• Trading volume surges

Networks often struggle to keep up.

NFT Minting Wars

Popular NFT collections have caused massive traffic spikes.

Thousands of users compete simultaneously, overwhelming the blockchain infrastructure.

Meme Coin Surges

Speculative trading around viral tokens can rapidly increase transaction demand.

This often creates temporary fee explosions and slower confirmations.

How Blockchains Try to Solve Congestion

Blockchain developers continuously work on scaling solutions to improve performance.

These upgrades aim to:

• Increase transaction speed
• Lower fees
• Improve scalability
• Reduce bottlenecks

Here are the main approaches.

Layer 2 Scaling Solutions

Layer 2 networks process transactions outside the main blockchain while still benefiting from its security.

Popular methods include:

• Rollups
• Sidechains
• Payment channels

These systems reduce congestion on the main network.

Examples connected to Ethereum include:

Layer 2 solutions have become increasingly important for reducing gas fees and improving transaction speed.

Increasing Block Capacity

Some blockchains increase:

• Block size
• Throughput
• Transaction limits

This allows more transactions per block.

However, larger blocks can create trade-offs involving decentralization and hardware requirements.

Alternative Consensus Mechanisms

Different consensus systems can improve scalability.

For example:

• Proof-of-Stake networks often process transactions more efficiently than older Proof-of-Work systems
• Some blockchains use parallel processing architectures

These designs aim to handle larger transaction volumes.

Sharding

Sharding divides blockchain activity into smaller sections called shards.

Instead of every validator processing every transaction:

• Different groups process different shards
• Workload becomes distributed

This can significantly improve scalability.

Why Congestion Matters

Blockchain congestion is more than a technical issue.

It directly affects:

• Transaction costs
• User adoption
• Developer activity
• Market sentiment
• Network competitiveness

A blockchain that cannot scale efficiently may struggle during periods of mass adoption.

That is why scalability remains one of the most important challenges in the crypto industry.

Final Thoughts

Blockchain congestion is a natural result of growing demand. When too many users interact with a network at once, transaction queues grow, fees rise, and confirmation times slow down.

While congestion can frustrate users, it also highlights something important: people are actively using the network.

As blockchain adoption grows, scaling solutions such as Layer 2 networks, sharding, and improved consensus mechanisms will continue playing a major role in making crypto faster, cheaper, and more accessible.

Understanding congestion helps beginners navigate the crypto ecosystem more confidently — especially during fast-moving bull markets where network activity can surge overnight. 🚀

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A viral X post is claiming Claude ‘cracked’ a forgotten bitcoin wallet to recover 5 BTC from a user’s computer.

But don’t get caught in the hype as that is not what happened. Anthropic’s AI simply helped the owner search their own computer for an old wallet file, which was then decrypted with a password the owner already had written down in a notebook.

User cprkrn posted the recovery on Wednesday, calling it “the most obvious opening ever” once they figured out what had happened.

The owner had been trying for eight weeks to brute-force the password on their current Blockchain.com wallet, testing roughly 3.5 trillion combinations using the btcrecover service on a rented computing chip.

The recovery happened when the user “dumped my whole college computer into Claude” as a last-ditch effort, and the assistant located an old wallet backup from December 2019 that was encrypted with a password the user already had written down in a notebook.

The old password decrypted the old backup, which contained the same private keys controlling the current funds, since bitcoin private keys never change.

The password itself was “lol420fuckthePOLICE!*:)” per the user’s own X disclosure. Total Vast.ai GPU spend on the failed brute-force attempts was around $15, with the recovery effectively a file search.

For context, breaking bitcoin’s actual cryptography would require either a working quantum computer running Shor’s algorithm or a flaw in elliptic-curve cryptography that has not been found in 16 years of public scrutiny.

CoinDesk’s post-quantum security series earlier this year covered the timeline expectations for that threat, with most researchers placing the cryptographically relevant quantum computer at least five to ten years out.

But the user’s experience opens up a further door for AI inside crypto. Forgotten wallets from bitcoin’s early years now hold serious value, and recovery tools like btcrecover have existed for years to help users test password variations against encrypted wallet files.

The problem has always been that most recovery work requires technical expertise that the average lost-bitcoin owner does not have.

That is where AI assistants can step in. Instead of manually sorting through folders, timestamps, and backup files across years of accumulated drive clutter, owners can hand the search to an LLM and have it identify patterns, narrow the search space, and surface candidate files.

Millions of bitcoin are believed to remain inaccessible because owners lost passwords, drives, or recovery phrases during the early years.

With bitcoin trading around $79,000, a forgotten laptop in a closet could be holding six figures. Back up wallet data carefully, store recovery phrases somewhere that is not your memory, and check old hardware before you sell it.