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Dogecoin falls 7% as risk-off trade hits Ethereum tied tokens

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Dogecoin falls 7% as risk-off trade hits Ethereum tied tokens

DOGE slid sharply as sellers pushed price through multiple support levels, with a spike in derivatives activity signaling speculation rather than conviction buying.

News Background

  • Dogecoin fell alongside broader crypto weakness, acting as a high-beta proxy as ether slid roughly 7% over the same period.
  • The move wasn’t driven by DOGE-specific news, but by risk-off positioning that weighed on speculative assets.
  • Macro sentiment remained mixed even as U.S. lawmakers narrowly passed a funding bill to end the government’s partial shutdown, removing one near-term uncertainty but doing little to improve appetite for risk across crypto markets.

Price Action Summary

  • DOGE fell about 6.9%, sliding from $0.1085 to $0.1030
  • Multiple support levels failed during the decline
  • A sharp volume spike near $0.110 marked a failed breakout and reversal
  • Price stabilized late in the session near $0.103–$0.104

Technical Analysis

  • DOGE rejected sharply near $0.110, where a high-volume spike gave way to a fast reversal, flipping that zone into resistance. Selling accelerated once price broke below $0.106, confirming a distribution-led breakdown rather than a brief liquidity sweep.
  • The final hour saw capitulation-style selling into the $0.103 area, where bids finally emerged to slow the decline. While that suggests short-term stabilization, structure remains bearish unless DOGE can reclaim lost support.
  • A notable feature of the session was the disconnect between futures and spot: derivatives volume surged while spot trading declined, pointing to speculative positioning rather than fresh demand.

What traders say is next?

  • Traders see $0.10 as the immediate line in the sand.
  • If $0.10 holds, DOGE may consolidate as liquidation pressure fades — but bulls would need a reclaim of $0.106, and eventually $0.110, to argue the selloff has run its course.
  • If $0.10 breaks, downside risk opens toward $0.08, with momentum likely to accelerate given the recent failure of multiple support levels.
  • For now, DOGE remains a high-beta trade, with futures activity amplifying moves but spot demand needed to confirm any meaningful recovery.

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Crypto World

Ethereum Dust Attacks Have Increased Post-Fusaka

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Ethereum Dust Attacks Have Increased Post-Fusaka

Stablecoin-fueled dusting attacks are now estimated to make up 11% of all Ethereum transactions and 26% of active addresses on an average day, after the Fusaka upgrade made transactions cheaper, according to Coin Metrics. 

Ethereum is now seeing more than 2 million average daily transactions, spiking to almost 2.9 million in mid-January, along with 1.4 million daily active addresses — a 60% increase over prior averages.

The Fusaka upgrade in December made using the network cheaper and easier by improving onchain data handling, reducing the cost of posting information from layer-2 networks back to Ethereum.

Digging through the dust on Ethereum

Coin Metrics said it analyzed over 227 million balance updates for USDC (USDC) and USDt (USDT) on Ethereum from November 2025 through January 2026.

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It found that 43% were involved in transfers of less than $1 and 38% were under a single penny — “amounts with insignificant economic purpose other than wallet seeding.”

“The number of addresses holding small ‘dust’ balances, greater than zero but less than 1 native unit, has grown sharply, consistent with millions of wallets receiving tiny poisoning deposits.”

Pre-Fusaka, stablecoin dust accounted for roughly 3 to 5% of Ethereum transactions and 15 to 20% of active addresses, it said. 

“Post-Fusaka, these figures jumped to 10-15% of transactions and 25-35% of active addresses on a typical day, a 2-3x increase.”

However, the remaining 57% of balance updates involved transfers above $1, “suggesting the majority of stablecoin activity remains organic,” Coin Metrics stated.

Median Ethereum transaction size fell sharply after Fusaka. Source: Coin Metrics

Users need to be wary of address poisoning

In January, security researcher Andrey Sergeenkov pointed to a 170% increase in new wallet addresses in the week starting Jan. 12, and also suggested it was linked to a wave of address poisoning attacks taking advantage of low gas fees

These “dusting” attacks typically involve malicious actors sending fractions of a cent worth of a stablecoin from wallet addresses that resemble legitimate ones, duping users into copying the wrong address when making a transaction.

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Related: Ethereum activity surge could be linked to dusting attacks: Researcher

Sergeenkov said $740,000 had already been lost to address poisoning attacks. The top attacker sent nearly 3 million dust transfers for just $5,175 in stablecoin costs, according to Coin Metrics.

Dust does not represent genuine economic usage

Coin Metrics reported that approximately 250,000 to 350,000 daily Ethereum addresses are involved in stablecoin dust activity, but the majority of network growth has been genuine.  

“The majority of post-Fusaka growth reflects genuine usage, though dust activity is a factor worth noting when interpreting headline metrics.”

Magazine: DAT panic dumps 73,000 ETH, India’s crypto tax stays: Asia Express

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