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Ethereum (ETH) Price Retreats to $2,130 Amid Geopolitical Uncertainty and ETF Outflows

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Ethereum (ETH) Price

Key Takeaways

  • Ethereum retreated to approximately $2,130 following a peak of $2,390 earlier this week
  • BitMine Immersion acquired 60,999 ETH, expanding total reserves to 4.59 million ETH
  • Large holders are exiting long positions and establishing short bets while smaller traders buy
  • Spot Ethereum ETFs recorded net withdrawals totaling $192.1 million across two consecutive days
  • Price filled the CME futures gap at $2,117, with significant buy support clustering near $2,100

Ethereum kicked off the week with impressive upward momentum, surging to $2,390—marking its strongest performance since the beginning of February. The rally was fueled by institutional accumulation, significant whale buying, and heightened activity in the derivatives market.

Ethereum (ETH) Price
Ethereum (ETH) Price

Early this week, Ethereum treasury company BitMine Immersion (BMNR) announced the acquisition of 60,999 ETH, pushing its cumulative position to 4.59 million ETH. Simultaneously, open interest across ETH derivatives markets reached levels not seen since September of last year.

However, the upward trajectory lost momentum. Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East drove oil prices higher and diminished market expectations for interest rate reductions in 2026, creating a risk-off environment that impacted cryptocurrency valuations.

ETH encountered resistance near its realized price—the average on-chain acquisition cost—hovering around $2,310. This metric has consistently acted as a profit-taking zone during fragile uptrends, as holders reach breakeven points and liquidate positions.

Institutional Outflows Intensify Downward Pressure

Following six consecutive days of capital inflows, US spot Ethereum ETFs reversed course with net outflows. Approximately $192.1 million exited these investment vehicles over a 48-hour period, compounding the selling pressure on ETH.

Source; SoSoValue

Within a single 24-hour window, Ethereum experienced $39 million in forced liquidations, with long positions accounting for $21.2 million of that total, based on Coinglass tracking data.

On-chain researcher Boris identified what appears to be a developing liquidity trap. As Ethereum approached the $2,400 threshold, the Whale vs Retail Delta indicator shifted decisively negative. Major holders were systematically closing bullish positions and initiating bearish bets, while retail participants moved in the opposite direction—aggressively accumulating.

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Boris observed that although buying demand remained robust temporarily, it was ultimately absorbed by available sell-side liquidity. The market has now transitioned into a consolidation period. Liquidation heatmaps reveal substantial long position accumulation, with critical liquidation zones identified at $1,850 and lower price points.

Futures Gap Closure at $2,117 Level

Market technician CW verified that Ethereum successfully closed its CME futures gap positioned at $2,117. A substantial accumulation zone has developed around the $2,100 price point, which coincides with the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. Should a rebound materialize from this area, the subsequent upside target sits at $2,686.

Ethereum is presently challenging the $2,110 support area, which corresponds with the 20-day exponential moving average. A decisive breakdown beneath this threshold could expose deeper support levels at $1,740, followed by $1,524. For bullish continuation, ETH requires a daily candle close above $2,390 to validate renewed upward momentum.

The Relative Strength Index remains positioned near the neutral 50 mark, indicating equilibrium with diminishing bullish pressure.

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Cryptocurrency analyst Ted shared his perspective on X: “$ETH bounced back from its $2,100 support zone. The move is looking a bit weak, as spot buyers aren’t here. This means Ethereum could drop below the $2,100 level again given rising macro uncertainty and low institutional demand.”

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Current market conditions show ETH maintaining a precarious position just above $2,100, with ETF outflows persisting and macroeconomic headwinds from Middle Eastern geopolitical developments continuing to influence trading sentiment.

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Crypto World

Web3 Projects Lost $464.5M in Q1 2026 as Hacks Shift Beyond Code: Hacken

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Cryptocurrencies, Phishing, Smart Contracts, Cybercrime, Cybersecurity, Hacks

Web3 projects lost $464.5 million to hacks and scams in the first quarter of 2026, while multi-billion-dollar “mega hacks” gave way to a larger number of mid-sized incidents, according to blockchain security company Hacken.

According to Hacken’s Q1 2026 report, phishing and social engineering attacks dominated the period, accounting for $306 million in losses in a quarter that saw 43 incidents overall. A single $282 million hardware wallet scam in January was responsible for 81% of the quarter’s damage.

Smart contract exploits totaled $86.2 million, with access control failures, including compromised keys and cloud services, driving an additional $71.9 million in losses.

The losses place this quarter as the second-lowest first quarter since 2023, with the absence of a single mega hack on the scale of Bybit, which lost $1.46 billion in Q1 2025, the primary driver of the year-over-year decline.

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Hacken’s incident mapping shows the largest failures increasingly occurring outside onchain code, in operational and infrastructure layers that traditional audits rarely touch. Yev Broshevan, chief executive and co-founder at Hacken, told Cointelegraph the most expensive failures “happen outside the code layer entirely.”

Related: Aethir halts bridge exploit, promises compensation after $90K loss

According to Hacken, that shift is drawing greater scrutiny from regulators and institutional counterparties, with frameworks such as the Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (MiCA) and Digital Operational Resilience Act (DORA) in the European Union moving further into enforcement and raising expectations around continuous security monitoring and incident response.

Legacy code, fake VC calls and key compromises 

Broshevan pointed to $306 million in phishing, a $40 million North Korea-linked fake venture capitalist (VC) call against Step Finance, and a $25 million AWS key management service compromise at Resolv Labs. Even where smart contracts were at fault, the costliest bugs often sat in legacy deployments and known vulnerability classes. Truebit lost $26.4 million to a bug in a Solidity contract deployed around five years ago, while Venus Protocol was hit by a donation attack pattern documented since 2022.

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Cryptocurrencies, Phishing, Smart Contracts, Cybercrime, Cybersecurity, Hacks
Q1 2025 compared to Q1 2026. Source: Hacken.

Six audited projects, including Resolv with 18 audits and Venus with five separate firms, still accounted for $37.7 million in losses. On average, that was more than their unaudited peers because higher total value locked (TVL) protocols attract more sophisticated attackers and exploits.

Global watchdogs harden incident response expectations

In Q1, MiCA and DORA in the EU shifted further into active enforcement, Dubai’s regulator, the Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority, tightened expectations around its Technology and Information Rulebook, Singapore enforced Basel-aligned capital and one-hour incident notification rules, and the United Arab Emirates’ new Capital Market Authority took over federal digital asset oversight with broader powers and higher penalties.

Cryptocurrencies, Phishing, Smart Contracts, Cybercrime, Cybersecurity, Hacks
Total crypto losses per quarter. Source: Hacken

Related: Crypto hackers steal $169M from 34 DeFi protocols in Q1: DefiLlama

Hacken ties those regimes to a new benchmark for “regulator-ready” stacks that includes proof-of-reserves attestations backed by daily internal reconciliation, 24/7 onchain monitoring across treasury wallets and privileged roles, automated circuit-breakers on minting and governance functions and incident notification clocks calibrated to the strictest applicable standard. 

The report highlights “realistic” targets of awareness within 24 hours, labeling within four hours, and blocking in 30 seconds, with “aspirational” goals as low as 10 minutes for detection and 1 second to block, based on guidance from Global Ledger’s 2025 Laundering Race data.

At the human layer, Hacken flags North Korean clusters as the most consistent operational threat, with Step Finance’s $40 million loss and Bitrefill’s infrastructure breach extending a playbook of fake VC outreach, malicious video call tooling and compromised employee endpoints that extracted roughly $2.04 billion from the sector in 2025.

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