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Goldman Sachs Sees Major Buying Opportunity in Tech Stocks After Historic Selloff

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Brian Armstrong's Bold Prediction: AI Agents Will Soon Dominate Global Financial

Key Highlights

  • Technology sector valuations have dipped beneath the broader market’s levels for the first time in multiple decades, according to Goldman Sachs analysts
  • The sector has experienced underperformance relative to the overall market at levels unseen since the beginning of the 1970s
  • The price-to-earnings-growth (PEG) ratio for tech has declined below sectors including Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, and Industrials
  • Despite the selloff, tech sector earnings continue showing strength, with projections of 44% EPS expansion in Q1 2026
  • Major tech firms currently command approximately 20x forward P/E multiples, representing less than 40% of dot-com era valuations

Analysts at Goldman Sachs have identified the technology sector as attractively priced following one of its most significant periods of underperformance spanning five decades. The investment bank characterizes the recent decline as presenting a compelling entry point for market participants.

The technology sector reached peak valuations in October of last year, propelled by accelerating revenue expansion and robust profitability metrics. Subsequently, shares have experienced substantial declines amid investor concerns regarding the enormous capital commitments being directed toward artificial intelligence infrastructure.

Major cloud computing providers have pledged upwards of $700 billion toward constructing data center facilities. Market participants are scrutinizing whether anticipated returns can substantiate such extraordinary capital deployment.

The technology sector’s recent underperformance versus the broader equity market has reached magnitudes not witnessed since the early part of the 1970s. Analysts at Goldman, headed by Peter Oppenheimer, argue this performance divergence has generated a compelling valuation entry point.

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The price-to-earnings-growth metric for the global information technology sector has descended below that of the wider market. Additionally, the sector’s forward price-to-earnings multiple now registers beneath Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, and Industrial sectors.

Goldman’s analysis draws parallels between the present valuation compression and the bottom observed following the collapse of the dot-com bubble during the 2003-2005 timeframe. However, the firm emphasizes this comparison does not signal an impending repeat of that market crash.

Why Goldman Rejects Bubble Comparisons

Today’s dominant technology companies — encompassing Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon — currently command a collective two-year forward price-to-earnings multiple of approximately 20x. During the zenith of the dot-com bubble in 2000, leading technology stocks commanded valuations near 52x forward earnings.

This valuation disparity forms the foundation of Goldman’s investment thesis. The firm contends present-day multiples do not exhibit the speculative characteristics that fueled the bubble exceeding twenty years ago.

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Fundamental earnings performance has demonstrated resilience throughout the market correction. Analysts project the information technology sector will deliver earnings per share growth of 44% during the first quarter of 2026.

This growth figure represents 87% of aggregate S&P 500 earnings expansion during the same timeframe. Goldman’s research suggests AI infrastructure investment independently will account for approximately 40% of S&P 500 earnings growth throughout this year.

Understanding the Shift Away From Technology

Capital has migrated toward what Goldman characterizes as “old economy” equities. A Goldman-constructed basket of capital-intensive securities, encompassing utilities and industrial manufacturing firms, has appreciated 11% on a year-to-date basis.

These traditional sectors have experienced multiple expansion as market participants anticipate increased infrastructure expenditure to facilitate energy production and data center construction. This sector rotation has redirected capital flows away from technology holdings.

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Goldman further observes that technology sector cash flow generation exhibits lower sensitivity to macroeconomic growth dynamics. The bank contends this characteristic positions the sector more defensively should ongoing Middle Eastern geopolitical tensions continue pressuring international markets.

The S&P 500 has also demonstrated relative weakness compared to other primary global equity indices since early 2025, reversing a persistent trend established following the financial crisis.

Oppenheimer from Goldman noted that return on equity metrics within the technology sector have maintained elevated levels, while earnings revision trends have sustained positive momentum throughout the downturn.

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Crypto World

Split Capital Founder Says Crypto Hedge Funds No Longer Work

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Split Capital Founder Says Crypto Hedge Funds No Longer Work

Split Capital, a digital asset hedge fund founded by investor Zaheer Ebtikar, is shutting down, with the founder joining Peter Thiel-backed stablecoin startup Plasma.

Ebtikar announced the news in an X post on Tuesday, saying Split Capital was profitable both in 2024 and 2025, and delivered over 100% in returns.

“We were a top performing fund by every mark,” Ebtikar claimed, adding that his decision to wind down the business was driven by a belief that the crypto market had shifted away from strategies that hedge funds are designed to capture.

“The hedge fund model did not make sense for crypto, in perpetuity,” he said.

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Ebtikar’s decision came amid continued pressure on crypto hedge funds, which have reportedly faced more challenging market conditions since the 2022 market downturn.

Crypto industry no longer rewards traders chasing momentum, Ebtikar argues

Ebtikar described his early years in crypto as “PvP button-clicking,” where traders competed in fast-moving markets driven by momentum and narratives. But after nearly a decade, he said those conditions have changed.

“The industry no longer rewards traders chasing momentum, it has matured into a space where the only real question is ‘What does the future look like and where is the value?’” he said.

Ebtikar said that many investors, including critics, were ultimately right to question whether funds such as Split Capital were sustainable in a rapidly evolving market.

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An excerpt from Zaheer Ebtikar’s announcement on joining Plasma and winding down Split Capital. Source: Zaheer Ebtikar

“As time went on, our conviction narrowed around a small number of founders and verticals I genuinely believed in,” Ebtikar said.

Betting on Plasma’s stablecoin vision

Ebtikar said his conviction in Plasma grew after working closely with its founding team throughout 2024 and 2025.

Plasma is focused on building infrastructure for stablecoin settlement and global financial access. The platform raised $24 million in February last year from investors such as Framework Ventures, Bitfinex, Peter Thiel and Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino.

Related: Standard Chartered says faster stablecoin turnover could curb demand

As chief strategy officer at Plasma, Ebtikar will work across partnerships, growth and go-to-market efforts, as well as engage with investors and policymakers ahead of the rollout of Plasma One and ongoing ecosystem expansion.

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He framed the move as part of a larger belief that crypto is entering a new phase defined less by speculation and more by building global financial systems.

“The last dance of crypto’s old era and the hope and deep belief that our work at Plasma can get us to a new golden age for our space,” Ebtikar said.

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